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Data assimilation in discrete event simulations: a rollback based Sequential Monte Carlo approach

Published: 03 April 2016 Publication History

Abstract

Data assimilation is an analysis technique which aims to incorporate measured observations into a dynamic system model in order to produce accurate estimates of the current state variables of the system. Although data assimilation is conventionally applied in continuous system models, it is also a desired ability for its discrete event counterpart. However, data assimilation has not been well studied in discrete event simulations yet. This paper researches data assimilation problems in discrete event simulations, and proposes a rollback based implementation of the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method -- the rollback based SMC method. To evaluate the accuracy of the proposed method, an identical-twin experiment in a discrete event traffic case is carried out and the results are presented and analyzed.

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  1. Data assimilation in discrete event simulations: a rollback based Sequential Monte Carlo approach

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    cover image Guide Proceedings
    TMS-DEVS '16: Proceedings of the Symposium on Theory of Modeling & Simulation
    April 2016
    229 pages
    ISBN:9781510823211

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    Society for Computer Simulation International

    San Diego, CA, United States

    Publication History

    Published: 03 April 2016

    Author Tags

    1. Sequential Monte Carlo methods
    2. data assimilation
    3. discrete event simulations
    4. rollback

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