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Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes

H. Bertholon, Alain Monfort and Fulvio Pegoraro ()

Working papers from Banque de France

Abstract: We consider the problems of derivative pricing and inference when the stochastic discount factor has an exponential-affine form and the geometric return of the underlying asset has a dynamics characterized by a mixture of conditionally Normal processes. We consider both the static case in which the underlying process is a white noise distributed as a mixture of Gaussian distributions (including extreme risks and jump diffusions) and the dynamic case in which the underlying process is conditionally distributed as a mixture of Gaussian laws. Semi-parametric, non parametric and Switching Regime situations are also considered. In all cases, the risk-neutral processes and explicit pricing formulas are obtained.

Keywords: Derivative Pricing; Stochastic Discount Factor; Implied Volatility, Mixture of Normal Distributions; Mixture of Conditionally Normal Processes; Nonparametric Kernel Estimation; Mixed-Normal GARCH Processes; Switching Regime Models. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C5 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 55 pages
Date: 2007
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes (2006) Downloads
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