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Globalization, Redistribution, and the Size of Government

Jonathan Ostry, Raphael Espinoza and Xiaoxiao Zhang

No 14137, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: This paper investigates how trade and financial globalization affect government decisions to redistribute via spending and taxation, using a large panel covering around 100 democratic countries over the period 1970-2015. We use a time-varying external instrument in regressions with fixed and time effects in order to overcome endogeneity concerns that have plagued the earlier literature. Our findings support the view that more open economies have bigger governments. The paper also examines the impact of globalization on different types of social spending and taxes. We find that trade openness increases the tax burden on labor income and reduces the tax burden on capital income and that financial openness reduces corporate income tax rates. In addition, exposure to trade pushes governments to spend more on labor programs and family benefits. Finally, the paper does not find that political institutions affect the sensitivity of public spending to globalization.

Keywords: Trade openness; Government size; Redistribution; Financial liberalization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F68 H11 H53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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