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Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the euro area government bond market?

Simone Manganelli and Guido Wolswijk

No 745, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper studies the determinants of interest rate spreads of euro area 10 year government bonds against the benchmark, the German bund, after the introduction of the euro. In particular, it pays attention to the question whether market discipline is advanced or obstructed by financial integration and by fiscal rules like the Stability and Growth Pact. We first argue that financial integration - by improving market efficiency - is instrumental for markets to exert their disciplinary role. Next, we discuss the relationships between market discipline and fiscal rules, arguing that these in principle may reinforce each other. Finally, we provide strong empirical evidence that spreads depend on the ratings of the underlying bond and to a large extent are driven by the level of short-term interest rates. JEL Classification: G12, G18, C23

Keywords: bond spreads; credit risk; liquidity risk. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-04
Note: 196912
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (43)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007745

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