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The cyclicality of job-to-job transitions and its implications for aggregate productivity

Toshihiko Mukoyama

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, vol. 39, issue C, 1-17

Abstract: This paper analyzes the job-to-job transitions of workers in the United States. First, I propose a new method of correcting the time-aggregation bias. The bias correction does not significantly alter the cyclical properties of the job-to-job transition rates. The bias-corrected series from 1996 to 2011 reveals a procyclical pattern of job-to-job transitions and a large decline since the beginning of the 2000s. Second, I construct a model of on-the-job search and explore the implications of this phenomenon. The calibrated model quantifies the effect of the decline in the reallocation of workers through job-to-job transitions on total factor productivity (TFP). From 2009 to 2011, the model accounts for about 0.4–0.5% annual decline in TFP.

Keywords: Job-to-job transition; Time-aggregation bias; On-the-job search (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E32 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:39:y:2014:i:c:p:1-17

DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.12.004

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