Asymmetric expectation effects of regime shifts in monetary policy

Zheng Liu, Daniel Waggoner and Tao Zha

No 2008-22, Working Paper Series from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Abstract: This paper addresses two substantive issues: (1) Does the magnitude of the expectation effect of regime switching in monetary policy depend on a particular policy regime? (2) Under which regime is the expectation effect quantitatively important? Using two canonical DSGE models, we show that there exists asymmetry in the expectation effect across regimes. The expectation effect under the dovish policy regime is quantitatively more important than that under the hawkish regime. These results suggest that the possibility of regime shifts in monetary policy can have important effects on rational agents' expectation formation and on equilibrium dynamics. They offer a theoretical explanation for the empirical possibility that a policy shift from the dovish regime to the hawkish regime may not be the main source of substantial reductions in the volatilities of inflation and output.

Keywords: Monetary; policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/papers/2008/wp08-22bk.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Asymmetric Expectation Effects of Regime Shifts in Monetary Policy (2009)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2008-22

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Paper Series from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Research Library ().