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Do monetary Shocks Exert Nonlinear Real Effects on UK Industrial Production?

Mark Holmes () and Ping Wang

Economia Internazionale / International Economics, 2002, vol. 55, issue 3, 351-364

Abstract: This study investigates whether or not UK industrial production is characterised by a nonlinear response to monetary shocks. Our methodology is based on logistic smooth transition vector autoregression modelling where we employ monthly data for the period January 1960 to August 1999. We find evidence of small, though nonetheless significant nonlinearities. Our evidence is consistent with a range of New Keynesian arguments insofar as greater price flexibility, and therefore less real adjustment, occurs against a background of high inflation. In addition, the potency of monetary shocks can depend on the position of the UK economy in the business cycle. Key Words: . JEL Classification:

Keywords: Nonlinear; monetary shocks; UK output (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C30 E30 E50 E60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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