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Development of Prediction Model of Basic Budget Parameters in Russian Federation

P. Nazarov () and Maria Kazakova
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P. Nazarov: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Published Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: In this paper, we will construct a simulation and forecast of the main parameters of the Russian federal budget. In particular, we will describe the general scheme of prediction and analysis of statistical data used in the calculations. Next series will be tested for stationarity and cointegration and studied for their statistical characteristics. On the results of this test will be carried out forecast budget guidelines in Russia and ways to improve the quality of the obtained forecasts will be discussed. The calculations will be formulated conclusions.

Keywords: budget; Russia; modelling; forecast; prediction; data; statistics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 86 pages
Date: 2014-06
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rnp:ppaper:r90220

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