This paper examines the potential effects of the Trump administration's revisionist trade... more This paper examines the potential effects of the Trump administration's revisionist trade policies on Sino-American economic relations and their international trade implications. The Foreign Trade War Smash Wave Effect (FTWSWE) Simulator attempts to assess the impact of preferential trade agreements on both countries' socioeconomic performance. The FTWSWE Simulator suggests five possible tariff rate scenarios (1%, 5%, 25%, 50%, 100%). The model examines the following indicators: (i) import-export ratios; (ii) production capacity; (iii) unemployment rate; (iv) economic desgrowth; (v) inflation rate; and (vi) poverty rate. The model investigates the economic performance of both countries between 2020 and 2025.
business-cycle transmission is expected to be found between these two countries. This paper analy... more business-cycle transmission is expected to be found between these two countries. This paper analyses the shock-transmission channels, including trade, monetary policy, and exchange
This report presents an overview on the trends and growth rates of foreign fee-paying (FFP) stude... more This report presents an overview on the trends and growth rates of foreign fee-paying (FFP) student numbers in the Christchurch - Canterbury region in different institutional levels (primary schools, secondary schools, tertiary institutions, and private institutions) over the previous five years and forecasts of trends and projections for growth rates of FFP student numbers up to 2007. Additionally, the report analyses the views of education providers who were interviewed by Christchurch Education Coordinator in the Education Provider Feedback Survey 2003.
This research is interested to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globall... more This research is interested to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globally. Therefore, we propose a new simulator that is entitled “The Massive Pandemic Contagious Diseases Damage on Stock Markets Simulator (φ-Simulator).” The main objective is to evaluate from a multidimensional graphical perspective the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globally. The φ-Simulator can evaluate the COVID-19 impact in the short and long-run. The main objective of the φ-Simulator is to make different simulations under different levels of massive pandemic contagious disease growth rates and the stock market growth rates performance simultaneously. The application of φ-Simulator can show the impact of COVID-19 in different stock markets such as S&P 500, TWSE, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Nikkei 225, DAX, Hang Seng, U.K.-FTSE, KRX, SGX, and Malaysia-FTSE. The issue of COVID-19 is a global issue, which requires an effective global integral medical assistance programs worldwide as well as a stronger and dynamic detection systems and vaccination research collaborations that will render richer welfare and will increase the opportunity to reduce the damage of COVID-19 on the stocks markets anytime and anywhere.
This paper formulates an analytical framework to understand the spatiotemporal patterns of epidem... more This paper formulates an analytical framework to understand the spatiotemporal patterns of epidemic disease occurrence, its relevance, and implications to financial markets activity. The paper suggests a paradigm shift: a new multidimensional geometric approach to capture all symmetrical and asymmetrical strategic graphical movement. Furthermore, the concept of stagpression is introduced, a new economic phenomenon to explain the uncharted territory for the world economies and financial markets are getting into. The Massive Pandemic Contagious Diseases Damage on Stock Markets Simulator (φ-Simulator) to evaluate the determinants of capital markets behavior in the presence of an infectious disease outbreak. The model investigates the impact of COVID-19 on the performance of ten stock markets, including S&P 500, TWSE, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Nikkei 225, DAX, Hang Seng, U.K.-FTSE, KRX, SGX, and Malaysia-FTSE.
The Googlekonomia is an alternative economic research technique that focuses on searching the bes... more The Googlekonomia is an alternative economic research technique that focuses on searching the best and easy access to a large number of economic meta-database and documents from different sources on the internet. The main objective of Googlekonomia is the technical evaluation of trustworthy economic meta-database and documents from different websites and search engines. Subsequently, the Googlekonomia is able to monitor, evaluate, and classify a large number of economic meta-database and documents to study and solve various economic problems. Finally, the Googlekonomia evaluates a large number of economic meta-database and documents accessible in different internet sources and search engines based on the use of artificial intelligence together with a real-time multi-dimensional graphical modeling approach.
Moving up the global value chain requires an enabling innovation ecosystem alongside economy-spec... more Moving up the global value chain requires an enabling innovation ecosystem alongside economy-specific endowments, a mix of supportive policies in broad areas of infrastructure and institutions, and other enabling factors. Examining sample economies globally and in developing Asia, the empirical results suggest that during the transition from a low level of upgrading in a global value chain to a medium-level one, efforts should focus on increasing the scale of innovation inputs, allowing firms to improve in many areas of their capacity to innovate. To move higher up a global value chain, the design of innovation policies should gradually emphasize the production of technological, knowledge, and creative outputs.
While developing Asia has traditionally prioritized growth over equality, recent years have witne... more While developing Asia has traditionally prioritized growth over equality, recent years have witnessed a growing popular demand for more inclusive growth in the region. In this connection, Korea, which has managed to combine rapid economic growth and moderate inequality levels, offers potentially valuable lessons for developing Asia. The central objective of our paper is to analyze the relationship between growth policy and inequality in Korea in order to identify relevant policy implications for developing Asia. According to our analysis, the one policy that stands out as a driver of both rapid economic growth and more equal income distribution is large and systematic investments in public education. The broader positive lesson from the Korean experience is that growth and inequality do not necessarily go hand in hand, and government policy can make a difference.
Developing Asia has benefited greatly from the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC), ... more Developing Asia has benefited greatly from the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC), primarily through the trade channel. The PRC and its neighbours have collectively formed a regional production network, and the PRC is becoming an increasingly important source of final demand. Two empirical techniques are used to examine the likely economic impact of growth deceleration in the PRC on other Asian economies: (1) a single-equation approach that captures the trade channel; and (2) a global vector autoregressive model that captures the effects beyond the trade channel. The results of both analyses confirm that deceleration in the PRC will have a non-negligible negative effect on other economies, especially on East and Southeast Asian economies. An out-of-sample analysis to tease out the effects of slower growth in the PRC from the recent growth performance of selected Southeast Asian economies suggests that the PRC effect is contributing to the growth dynamics of this region but is not always dominant.
This paper examines the potential effects of the Trump administration's revisionist trade... more This paper examines the potential effects of the Trump administration's revisionist trade policies on Sino-American economic relations and their international trade implications. The Foreign Trade War Smash Wave Effect (FTWSWE) Simulator attempts to assess the impact of preferential trade agreements on both countries' socioeconomic performance. The FTWSWE Simulator suggests five possible tariff rate scenarios (1%, 5%, 25%, 50%, 100%). The model examines the following indicators: (i) import-export ratios; (ii) production capacity; (iii) unemployment rate; (iv) economic desgrowth; (v) inflation rate; and (vi) poverty rate. The model investigates the economic performance of both countries between 2020 and 2025.
business-cycle transmission is expected to be found between these two countries. This paper analy... more business-cycle transmission is expected to be found between these two countries. This paper analyses the shock-transmission channels, including trade, monetary policy, and exchange
This report presents an overview on the trends and growth rates of foreign fee-paying (FFP) stude... more This report presents an overview on the trends and growth rates of foreign fee-paying (FFP) student numbers in the Christchurch - Canterbury region in different institutional levels (primary schools, secondary schools, tertiary institutions, and private institutions) over the previous five years and forecasts of trends and projections for growth rates of FFP student numbers up to 2007. Additionally, the report analyses the views of education providers who were interviewed by Christchurch Education Coordinator in the Education Provider Feedback Survey 2003.
This research is interested to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globall... more This research is interested to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globally. Therefore, we propose a new simulator that is entitled “The Massive Pandemic Contagious Diseases Damage on Stock Markets Simulator (φ-Simulator).” The main objective is to evaluate from a multidimensional graphical perspective the impact of COVID-19 on different stock markets globally. The φ-Simulator can evaluate the COVID-19 impact in the short and long-run. The main objective of the φ-Simulator is to make different simulations under different levels of massive pandemic contagious disease growth rates and the stock market growth rates performance simultaneously. The application of φ-Simulator can show the impact of COVID-19 in different stock markets such as S&P 500, TWSE, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Nikkei 225, DAX, Hang Seng, U.K.-FTSE, KRX, SGX, and Malaysia-FTSE. The issue of COVID-19 is a global issue, which requires an effective global integral medical assistance programs worldwide as well as a stronger and dynamic detection systems and vaccination research collaborations that will render richer welfare and will increase the opportunity to reduce the damage of COVID-19 on the stocks markets anytime and anywhere.
This paper formulates an analytical framework to understand the spatiotemporal patterns of epidem... more This paper formulates an analytical framework to understand the spatiotemporal patterns of epidemic disease occurrence, its relevance, and implications to financial markets activity. The paper suggests a paradigm shift: a new multidimensional geometric approach to capture all symmetrical and asymmetrical strategic graphical movement. Furthermore, the concept of stagpression is introduced, a new economic phenomenon to explain the uncharted territory for the world economies and financial markets are getting into. The Massive Pandemic Contagious Diseases Damage on Stock Markets Simulator (φ-Simulator) to evaluate the determinants of capital markets behavior in the presence of an infectious disease outbreak. The model investigates the impact of COVID-19 on the performance of ten stock markets, including S&P 500, TWSE, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Nikkei 225, DAX, Hang Seng, U.K.-FTSE, KRX, SGX, and Malaysia-FTSE.
The Googlekonomia is an alternative economic research technique that focuses on searching the bes... more The Googlekonomia is an alternative economic research technique that focuses on searching the best and easy access to a large number of economic meta-database and documents from different sources on the internet. The main objective of Googlekonomia is the technical evaluation of trustworthy economic meta-database and documents from different websites and search engines. Subsequently, the Googlekonomia is able to monitor, evaluate, and classify a large number of economic meta-database and documents to study and solve various economic problems. Finally, the Googlekonomia evaluates a large number of economic meta-database and documents accessible in different internet sources and search engines based on the use of artificial intelligence together with a real-time multi-dimensional graphical modeling approach.
Moving up the global value chain requires an enabling innovation ecosystem alongside economy-spec... more Moving up the global value chain requires an enabling innovation ecosystem alongside economy-specific endowments, a mix of supportive policies in broad areas of infrastructure and institutions, and other enabling factors. Examining sample economies globally and in developing Asia, the empirical results suggest that during the transition from a low level of upgrading in a global value chain to a medium-level one, efforts should focus on increasing the scale of innovation inputs, allowing firms to improve in many areas of their capacity to innovate. To move higher up a global value chain, the design of innovation policies should gradually emphasize the production of technological, knowledge, and creative outputs.
While developing Asia has traditionally prioritized growth over equality, recent years have witne... more While developing Asia has traditionally prioritized growth over equality, recent years have witnessed a growing popular demand for more inclusive growth in the region. In this connection, Korea, which has managed to combine rapid economic growth and moderate inequality levels, offers potentially valuable lessons for developing Asia. The central objective of our paper is to analyze the relationship between growth policy and inequality in Korea in order to identify relevant policy implications for developing Asia. According to our analysis, the one policy that stands out as a driver of both rapid economic growth and more equal income distribution is large and systematic investments in public education. The broader positive lesson from the Korean experience is that growth and inequality do not necessarily go hand in hand, and government policy can make a difference.
Developing Asia has benefited greatly from the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC), ... more Developing Asia has benefited greatly from the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC), primarily through the trade channel. The PRC and its neighbours have collectively formed a regional production network, and the PRC is becoming an increasingly important source of final demand. Two empirical techniques are used to examine the likely economic impact of growth deceleration in the PRC on other Asian economies: (1) a single-equation approach that captures the trade channel; and (2) a global vector autoregressive model that captures the effects beyond the trade channel. The results of both analyses confirm that deceleration in the PRC will have a non-negligible negative effect on other economies, especially on East and Southeast Asian economies. An out-of-sample analysis to tease out the effects of slower growth in the PRC from the recent growth performance of selected Southeast Asian economies suggests that the PRC effect is contributing to the growth dynamics of this region but is not always dominant.
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