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Predictability limits in session-based next item recommendation

Published: 10 September 2019 Publication History

Abstract

Session-based recommendations are based on the user's recent actions, for example, the items they have viewed during the current browsing session or the sightseeing places they have just visited. Closely related is sequence-aware recommendation, where the choice of the next item should follow from the sequence of previous actions.
We study seven benchmarks for session-based recommendation, covering retail, music and news domains to investigate how accurately user behavior can be predicted from the session histories. We measure the entropy rate of the data and estimate the limit of predictability to be between 44% and 73% in the included datasets.
We establish some algorithm-specific limits on prediction accuracy for Markov chains, association rules and k-nearest neighbors methods. With most of the analyzed methods, the algorithm design limits their performance with sparse training data. The session based k-nearest neighbors are least restricted in comparison and have room for improvement across all of the analyzed datasets.

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  • (2024)Limits of predictability in top-N recommendationInformation Processing & Management10.1016/j.ipm.2024.10373161:4(103731)Online publication date: Jul-2024
  • (2023)Enhancing Predictability Assessment: An Overview and Analysis of Predictability Measures for Time Series and Network LinksEntropy10.3390/e2511154225:11(1542)Online publication date: 15-Nov-2023
  • (2022)Quantifying predictability of sequential recommendation via logical constraintsFrontiers of Computer Science10.1007/s11704-022-2223-117:5Online publication date: 24-Dec-2022
  • Show More Cited By

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cover image ACM Other conferences
RecSys '19: Proceedings of the 13th ACM Conference on Recommender Systems
September 2019
635 pages
ISBN:9781450362436
DOI:10.1145/3298689
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 10 September 2019

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Author Tags

  1. predictability
  2. session-based recommendation

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  • Short-paper

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RecSys '19
RecSys '19: Thirteenth ACM Conference on Recommender Systems
September 16 - 20, 2019
Copenhagen, Denmark

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RecSys '19 Paper Acceptance Rate 36 of 189 submissions, 19%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 254 of 1,295 submissions, 20%

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Cited By

View all
  • (2024)Limits of predictability in top-N recommendationInformation Processing & Management10.1016/j.ipm.2024.10373161:4(103731)Online publication date: Jul-2024
  • (2023)Enhancing Predictability Assessment: An Overview and Analysis of Predictability Measures for Time Series and Network LinksEntropy10.3390/e2511154225:11(1542)Online publication date: 15-Nov-2023
  • (2022)Quantifying predictability of sequential recommendation via logical constraintsFrontiers of Computer Science10.1007/s11704-022-2223-117:5Online publication date: 24-Dec-2022
  • (2022)Dynamic Classification of Bank Clients by the Predictability of Their Transactional BehaviorComputational Science – ICCS 202210.1007/978-3-031-08751-6_36(502-515)Online publication date: 15-Jun-2022
  • (2021)A Survey on Session-based Recommender SystemsACM Computing Surveys10.1145/346540154:7(1-38)Online publication date: 18-Jul-2021
  • (2021)A novel context-aware recommender system based on a deep sequential learning approach (CReS)Neural Computing and Applications10.1007/s00521-020-05640-w33:17(11067-11090)Online publication date: 3-Jan-2021
  • (2020)Spatio-Temporal Dual Graph Attention Network for Query-POI MatchingProceedings of the 43rd International ACM SIGIR Conference on Research and Development in Information Retrieval10.1145/3397271.3401159(629-638)Online publication date: 25-Jul-2020

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