Abstract
Kidney transplantation can significantly enhance living standards for people suffering from end-stage renal disease. A significant factor that affects graft survival time (the time until the transplant fails and the patient requires another transplant) for kidney transplantation is the compatibility of the Human Leukocyte Antigens (HLAs) between the donor and recipient. In this paper, we propose new biologically-relevant feature representations for incorporating HLA information into machine learning-based survival analysis algorithms. We evaluate our proposed HLA feature representations on a database of over 100,000 transplants and find that they improve prediction accuracy by about 1%, modest at the patient level but potentially significant at a societal level. Accurate prediction of survival times can improve transplant survival outcomes, enabling better allocation of donors to recipients and reducing the number of re-transplants due to graft failure with poorly matched donors.
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Acknowledgements
The research reported in this publication was supported by the National Library of Medicine of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number R01LM013311 as part of the NSF/NLM Generalizable Data Science Methods for Biomedical Research Program. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
The data reported here have been supplied by the Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute (HHRI) as the contractor for the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR). The interpretation and reporting of these data are the responsibility of the author(s) and in no way should be seen as an official policy of or interpretation by the SRTR or the U.S. Government. Notably, the principles of the Helsinki Declaration were followed.
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Nemati, M. et al. (2021). Predicting Kidney Transplant Survival Using Multiple Feature Representations for HLAs. In: Tucker, A., Henriques Abreu, P., Cardoso, J., Pereira Rodrigues, P., Riaño, D. (eds) Artificial Intelligence in Medicine. AIME 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12721. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-77211-6_6
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