Abstract
Prediction of human motion trajectory is crucial for safe human-robot collaboration (HRC). The existing prediction method based on the adaptive neural network (NN) model couples the parameter estimation error with the priori estimation error of trajectory. The increments of the parameter vector over time steps is unavailable. This causes an inaccurate assessment of the motion trajectory mean-square estimation error (MSEE) and the associated estimated value, which is a potential threat to safe HRC. In this work, we seek a “look-backward-and-forward” approach. That is, the estimation error (EE) of the parameter vector at a certain time step ago is firstly calculated by reversely using the offline trained NN model. Later, the estimated parameter vector at more recent time steps are computed recursively till the present time step. By doing this, the coupling of the MSEE of the parameter vector with the MSEE of the trajectory is cut off. And the effect of EE of the parameter vector’s increments to the EE of the motion trajectory’s diminishes in the finite time steps. Thus, more accurate predictions of motion trajectory and associated MSEE are achieved, which is important for the upcoming robot controller design. The experimental results on predicting a 3-D motion trajectory show the practical appeal of the proposed method.
Supported by National Key R&D Plan of China (2017YFB1301204), National Natural Science Foundation of China (51875554, 51705510), Zhejiang Key R&D Plan (2018C01086), Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Robotics and Intelligent Manufacturing Equipment Technology (2015E10011), Equipment R&D Fund (6140923010102), and Ningbo S&T Innovation Key Project (2018D10010).
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abuduweili, A., Li, S., Liu, C.: Adaptable human intention and trajectory prediction for human-robot collaboration. arXiv preprint arXiv:1909.05089 (2019)
Alahi, A., Goel, K., Ramanathan, V., Robicquet, A., Fei-Fei, L., Savarese, S.: Social lstm: human trajectory prediction in crowded spaces. In: Proceedings of the IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition, pp. 961–971 (2016)
Catlin, D.E.: Estimation, Control, and the Discrete Kalman Filter, vol. 71. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)
Cheng, Y., Zhao, W., Liu, C., Tomizuka, M.: Human motion prediction using semi-adaptable neural networks. In: 2019 American Control Conference (ACC), pp. 4884–4890. IEEE (2019)
Farina, F., Fontanelli, D., Garulli, A., Giannitrapani, A., Prattichizzo, D.: Walking ahead: the headed social force model. PloS one 12(1), e0169734 (2017)
Hao, Q.Y., Jiang, R., Hu, M.B., Jia, B., Wu, Q.S.: Pedestrian flow dynamics in a lattice gas model coupled with an evolutionary game. Phys. Rev. E 84(3), 036107 (2011)
Helbing, D., Molnar, P.: Social force model for pedestrian dynamics. Phys. Rev. E 51(5), 4282 (1995)
Kim, Y., Bang, H.: Introduction to Kalman filter and its applications. Introduction and Implementations of the Kalman Filter, vol. 1, pp. 1–16 (2018)
Langston, P.A., Masling, R., Asmar, B.N.: Crowd dynamics discrete element multi-circle model. Safety Sci. 44(5), 395–417 (2006)
Li, X.F., Xu, J.P., Wang, Y.Q., He, C.Z.: The establishment of self-adapting algorithm of BP neural network and its application. Syst. Eng. Theory Pract. 5 (2004)
Liu, C., Tomizuka, M.: Safe exploration: Addressing various uncertainty levels in human robot interactions. In: 2015 American Control Conference (ACC), pp. 465–470. IEEE (2015)
Liu, X.T.: Study on data normalization in bp neural network. Mech. Eng. Autom. 3, 122–123 (2010)
Ma, Y., Lee, E.W.M., Yuen, R.K.K.: An artificial intelligence-based approach for simulating pedestrian movement. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 17(11), 3159–3170 (2016)
Tanimoto, J., Hagishima, A., Tanaka, Y.: Study of bottleneck effect at an emergency evacuation exit using cellular automata model, mean field approximation analysis, and game theory. Physica A: statistical mechanics and its applications 389(24), 5611–5618 (2010)
Villani, V., Pini, F., Leali, F., Secchi, C.: Survey on human-robot collaboration in industrial settings: safety, intuitive interfaces and applications. Mechatronics 55, 248–266 (2018)
Wang, T., Tao, Y.: Research status and industrialization development strategy of Chinese industrial robot. J. Mech. Eng. 50(9), 1 (2014)
Wei, T., Liu, C.: Safe control algorithms using energy functions: a unified framework, benchmark, and new directions. In: 2019 IEEE 58th Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 238–243 (2019)
Xie, J.J., Xue, Y.: Study on the dynamics of indoor pedestrian evacuation based on the game. In: 2011 Seventh International Conference on Natural Computation, vol. 4, pp. 2283–2287. IEEE (2011)
Zheng, X., Cheng, Y.: Conflict game in evacuation process: a study combining cellular automata model. Physica A: Stat. Mech. Appl. 390(6), 1042–1050 (2011)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Liu, Y. et al. (2021). A “Look-Backward-and-Forward” Adaptation Strategy of NN Model Parameters for Prediction of Motion Trajectory. In: Liu, XJ., Nie, Z., Yu, J., Xie, F., Song, R. (eds) Intelligent Robotics and Applications. ICIRA 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 13016. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-89092-6_65
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-89092-6_65
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-89091-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-89092-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)