Summary
Robust Bayesian analysis is the study of the sensitivity of Bayesian answers to uncertain inputs. This paper seeks to provide an overview of the subject, one that is accessible to statisticians outside the field. Recent developments in the area are also reviewed, though with very uneven emphasis.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Angers, J. F. (1992). Use of the student-t prior for the estimation of normal means: a computational approach.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.), Oxford: University Press, 567–576.
Angers, J. F. and Berger, J. O. (1991). Robust hierarchical Bayes estimation of exchangeable means.Canadian J. Statist. 19, 39–56.
Angers, J. F. and Delampady, M. (1992). Hierarchical Bayesian curve fitting and smoothing.Canadian J. Statist. 20, 35–49.
Angers, J. F., MacGibbon, B. and Wang, S. (1992). A robust Bayesian approach to the estimation of intra-block exchangeable normal means with applications.Tech. Rep. 92-7, Université de Montréal.
Basu, S. (1992a). Variations of posterior expectations for symmetric unimodal priors in a distribution band.Tech. Rep. 214, Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, University of California, Santa Barbara.
Basu, S. (1992b). Ranges of posterior probability: symmetry, unimodality and the likelihood.Tech. Rep. 215. University of California, Santa Barbara.
Basu, S. (1992c). A new look at Bayesian point null hypothesis testing: HPD sets, volume minimizing sets, and robust Bayes.Tech. Rep. 216, University of California, Santa Barbara
Basu, S. and DasGupta, A. (1992). Bayesian analysis with distribution bands: the role of the loss function.Tech. Rep. 208. University of California, Santa Barbara.
Basu, S. and Jammalamadaka, S. R. (1993). Local posterior robustness with parametric priors: maximum and average sensitivity.Tech. Rep. 239, University of California, Santa Barbara.
Basu, S., Jammalamadaka, S. R., and Liu, Wei (1993a). Local posterior robustness: total derivatives and functional derivatives.Tech. Rep. 239, University of California, Santa Barbana.
Basu, S. Jammalamadaka, S. R., and Liu, W. (1993b). Qualitative robustness and stability of the posterior distributions and posterior quantities.Tech. Rep. 238, University of California, Santa Barbara
Bayarri, M. J. and Berger, J. (1993a). Robust Bayesian analysis of selection models.Tech. Rep. 93-6, Purdue University, W. Lafayette.
Bayarri, M. J. and Berger, J. (1993b). Robust Bayesian bounds for outlier detection.Proceedings of the 4th International Meeting of Statistics in the Basque Country-IMSIBAC4 (M. L. Puri and J. P. Vilaplana, eds.). Amsterdam: North-Holland.
Bayarri, M. J. and Berger, J. (1994). Applications and limitations of robust Bayesian bounds and type II MLE.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V (S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, eds.). Berlin: Springer, 121–134.
Bayarri, M. J. and DeGroot, M. (1992). A BAD view of weighted distributions and selection models.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 17–34.
Berger, J. (1984). The robust Bayesian viewpoint.Robustness of Bayesian Analysis (J. B. Kadane, ed.). Amsterdam: North-Holland, 63–124, (with discussion).
Berger, J. O. (1985).Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis. New York: Springer-Verlag.
Berger, J. O. (1990). Robust Bayesian analysis: sensitivity to the prior.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 25, 303–328.
Berger, J. O. (1992). A comparison of minimal Bayesian tests of precise hypotheses.Rassegna di Metodi Statistici ed Applicazioni 7, Pitagora Editrice. Bologna, 43–78
Berger, J. O. and Berliner, L. M. (1986). Robust Bayes and empirical Bayes analysis with ∈-contaminated priors.Ann. Statist. 14, 461–486.
Berger, J. and Bernardo, J. M. (1992). On the development of the reference prior method.Bayesian Statistics 4 J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 35–60.
Berger, J. O., Brown, L. and Wolpert, R. (1994). A unified conditional frequentist and Bayesian test for fixed and sequential hypothesis testing.Ann. Statist. (to appear).
Berger, J. O. and Chen, M. H. (1993). Determining retirement patterns: prediction for a multinomial distribution with constrained parameter space.The Statistician 42, 427–443.
Berger, J. O. and Delampady, M. (1987). Testing precise hypotheses.Statist. Sci. 2, 317–352, (with discussion).
Berger, J. O. and Jefferys, W. (1992). The application of robust Bayesian analysis to hypothesis testing and Occam’s razor.J. It. Statist. Soc. 1, 17–32.
Berger, J. O. and Moreno, E. (1994). Bayesian robustness in bidimensional models: prior independence.J. Statist. Planning and Inference. (to appear).
Berger, J. O. and O’Hagan, A. (1988). Ranges of posterior probabilities for unimodal priors with specified quantiles.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 45–66.
Berger, J. O. and Pericchi, L. R. (1993). The intrinsic Bayes factor for model selection and prediction.Tech. Rep. 93-43C, Purdue University, W. Lafayette.
Berger, J. O. and Robert, C. (1990). Subjective hierarchical Bayes estimation of a multivariate normal mean: on the frequentist interface.Ann. Statist. 18, 617–651.
Berger, J. O. and Sellke, T. (1987. Testing a point null hypothesis: the irreconcilability of significance levels and evidence.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 82, 112–122, (with discussion).
Berliner, L. M. and MacEachern, S. N. (1993). Examples of inconsistent Bayes procedures based on observations on dynamical systems.Statistics and Probab. Letters 17, 355–360.
Bernardo, J. M. (1979). Reference posterior distributions for Bayesian inference.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. A 41, 113–147, (with discussion).
Bernardo, J. M. and Smith, A. F. M. (1994).Bayesian Theory. New York: Wiley.
Berry, D., Wolff, M. C. and Sack, D. (1992). Public health decision making: a sequential vaccine trial.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 79–96.
Betrò, B., Meczarski, M., and Ruggeri, F. (1994). Robust Bayesian analysis under generalized moment conditions.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Boratyńska, A. (1991). On bayesian robustness with the ε-contamination class of priors.Tech. Rep., University of Warsaw
Boratyńska, A. and Zieliński, R. (1991). Infinitesimal Bayes robustness in the Kolmogorov and the Lévy metrics.Tech. Rep. University of Warsaw
Bose, S. (1990).Bayesian Robustness with Shape-constrained Priors and Mixtures of Priors. Ph.D. Thesis, Purdue University.
Bose, S. (1993). Bayesian robustness with mixture classes of priors.Tech. Rep. 93-1, George Washington University.
Bose, S. (1994). Bayesian robustness with more than one class of contaminations.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear),
Box, G. E. P. (1980). Sampling and Bayes’ inference in scientific modelling and robustness.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. A 143, 383–430, (with discussion).
Box, G. and Tiao, G. (1973).Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
Brunner, L. and Lo, A. (1989). Bayes methods for a symmetric unimodal density and its mode.Ann. Statist. 17, 1550–1566.
Cano, J. A. (1993). Robustness of the posterior mean in normal hierarchical models.Comm. Statist. Theory and Methods 22, 1999–2014.
Cano, J. A., Hernández, A. and Moreno, E. (1985). Posterior measures under partial prior information.Statistica 2, 219–230.
Carlin, B. P., Chaloner, K. M., Louis, T. A., and Rhame, F. S. (1993). Elicitation, monitoring, and analysis for an AIDS clinical trial.Tech. Rep., University of Minnesota
Carlin, B. P. and Louis, T. A. (1993). Identifying prior distributions that produce specific decisions, with application to monitoring clinical trials.Bayesian Inference in Econometrics and Statistics, (to appear).
Carlin, B. P., and Polson, N. G. (1991). An expected utility approach to influence diagnostics.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86, 1013–1021.
Casella, G. and Berger, R. (1987). Reconciling Bayesian and frequentist evidence in the one-sided testing problem.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 82, 106–111 (with discussion).
Casella G. and Wells, M. (1991). Noninformative priors for robust Bayesian inference.Tech. Rep., Cornell University
Chib, S., Osiewalski, J. and Steel, M. F. J. (1991). Posterior inference on the degrees of freedom parameter in multivariate-t regression models.Economics Letters 37, 391–397.
Coolen, F. P. A. (1993). Imprecise conjugate prior densities for the one-parameter exponential model.Statistics and Probability Letters 16, 337–342.
Cuevas, A. and Sanz P. (1988). On differentiability properties of Bayes Operators.Bayesian Statistics, 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press, 569–577.
DasGupta, A. (1991). Diameter and volume minimizing confidence sets in Bayes and classical problems.Ann. Statist. 19, 1225–1243.
DasGupta, A. and Delampady, M. (1990). Bayesian testing with symmetric and unimodal priors.Tech. Rep. 90-47, Purdue University.
DasGupta, A. and Mukhopadhyay, S. (1994). Uniform and subuniform posterior robustness: the sample size problem.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
DasGupta, A. and Studden, W.J. (1988a). Frequentist behavior of robust Bayes procedures: new applications of the Lehmann-Wald minimax theory to a novel geometric game.Tech. Rep. 88-36C, Purdue University.
DasGupta, A. and Studden, W. J. (1988b). Robust Bayesian analysis in normal linear models with many parameters.Tech. Rep. 88-14, Purdue University.
DasGupta, A. and Studden, W.J. (1989). Frequentist behavior of robust Bayes estimates of normal means.Statistics and Decisions,7, 333–361.
DasGupta, A. and Studden, W. J. (1991). Robust Bayesian experimental designs in normal linear models.Ann. Statist. 19, 1244–1256.
Datta, G. and Lahiri, P. (1992). Robust hierarchical Bayes estimation of small area characteristics in presence of covariates.Tech. Rep. 92-28, University of Georgia.
Dawid, A. P. (1973). Posterior expectations for large observations.Biometrika,60, 664–667.
De la Horra, J., and Fernandez, C. (1993). Bayesian analysis under ε-contaminated priors: a trade-off between robustness and precision.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 38, 13–30.
De la Horra, J. and Fernández, C. (1994). Bayesian robustness of credible regions in the presence of nuisance parameters.Communications in Statistics 23. (to appear).
Delampady, M. (1989a). Lower bounds on Bayes factors for interval null hypotheses.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 84, 120–124.
Delampady, M. (1989b). Lower bounds on Bayes factors for invariant testing situations.J. Multivariate Analysis 28, 227–246.
Delampady, M. and Berger J. (1990). Lower bounds on Bayes factors for Multinomial and chi-squared tests of fit.Ann. Statist. 18, 1295–1316.
Delampady, M. and Dey, D. (1994). Bayesian robustness for multiparameter problems.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
De Robertis, L. (1978). The use of partial prior knowledge in Bayesian inference. Ph.D. Thesis, Yale University.
DeRobertis, L. and Hartigan, J. A. (1981). Bayesian inference using intervals of measures.Ann. Statist. 1, 235–244.
Dette, H. and Studden, W. J. (1994). A geometric solution of the BayesianE-optimal design problem.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V (S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, eds.), Berlin, Springer, 157–170.
Dey, D. and Birmiwal (1991). Robust Bayesian analysis using entropy and divergence measures.Tech. Rep., University of Connecticut
Diaconis, P. and Freedman, D. (1986). On the consistency of Bayes estimates.Ann. Statist. 14, 1–67.
Doss, H. (1994). Bayesian estimation for censored data: an experiment in sensitivity analysis.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics, V (S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, eds.) Berlin: Springer, 171–182.
Draper, D. (1992). Assessment and propagation of model uncertaintyTech. Rep., University of California
Drummey, K. W. (1991)Robust Bayesian Estimation in the Normal, Gamma, and Binomial Probability Models: a Computational Approach. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Maryland.
DuMouchel, W. and Harris, J. (1983). Bayes methods for combining the results of cancer studies in human other species.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78, 293–315, (with discussion).
Edwards, W., Lindman, H. and Savage, L. J. (1963). Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research.Psychological Rev. 70, 193–242.
Eichenauer-Herrmann, J. and Ickstadt, K. (1993). A saddle point characterization for classes of priors with shape-restricted densities.Statistics and Decisions 11, 175–179.
Fan, T. H. and Berger, J. O. (1990). Exact convolution oft-distributions, with application to Bayesian inference for a normal mean witht prior distributions.J. Statist. Computation and Simulation 36, 209–228.
Fan, T. H. and Berger, J. O. (1992). Behavior of the posterior distribution and inferences for a normal mean witht prior distributions.Statistics and Decisions 10, 99–120.
Ferguson, T.S., Phadia, E.G., and Tiwari, R.C. (1992). Bayesian nonparametric inference.Current Issues in Statistical Inference: Essays in Honor of D. Basu (M. Ghosh, and P.K. Pathak, eds.), Hayward CA.: IMS, 127–150.
Fernández, C., Osiewalski, J., and Steel, M.F.J. (1993). Marginal equivalence inv-spherical models.Tech. Rep., Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
Fortini, S., and Ruggeri, F. (1990). Concentration function in a robust Bayesian framework.Rech. Rep. 90.6, CNR-IAMI, Milano.
Fortini, S. and Ruggeri, F. (1992). On definining neighborhoods of measures through the concentration function.Sankhyā A. (to appear).
Fortini, S. and Ruggeri, F. (1994). Concentration functions and Bayesian robustness.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Fougere, P. (Ed.) (1990).Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods. Dordrecht: Kluwer
Gasparini, M. (1990). Nonparametric Bayes estimation of a distribution function with truncated data.Tech. Rep. 182, University of Michigan.
Geisser, S. (1992). Bayesian perturbation diagnostics and robustness.Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics (P. K. Goel and N. S. Iyengar, eds.). Berlin: Springer, 289–302.
Gelfand, A. and Dey, D. (1991). On Bayesian robustness of contaminated classes of priors.Statitics and Decisions 9, 63–80.
Genest, C., and Zidek, J. (1986). Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography.Statist. Sci. 1, 114–135.
Geweke, J. (1992). Priors for macroeconomic time series and their application.Proceedings of the Conference on Bayes Methods and Unit Roots, a special issue ofEconometric Theory, (to appear).
Ghosh, J. K., Ghosal, S., and Samanta, T. (1994). Stability and convergence of the posterior in non-regular problems.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V (S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, eds.). Berlin: Springer, 183–200.
Ghosh, M. (1993). Inconsistent maximum likelihood estimators for the Rasch model.Tech. Rep., University of Florida.
Ghosh, M. (1994). On some Bayesian solutions of the Neyman-Scott problem.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V (S. S. Gupta and J.O. Berger, eds.). Berlin: Springer, 267–276.
Girón, F.J. and Ríos, S. (1980). Quasi-Bayesian behavior: a more realistic approach to decision making?Bayesian Statistics (J.M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Valencia: University Press, 17–38.
Goldstein, M. and Wooff, D.A. (1994). Robustness measures for Bayes linear analyses.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Good, I. J. (1983a).Good Thinking: The Foundations of Proability and Its Applications. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, MN.
Good, I. J. (1983b). The robustness of a hierarchical model for multinomials and contingency tables.Scientific Inference, Data Analysis and Robustness (G. E. P. Box, T. Leonard and C. F. Wu, eds.). New York: Academic Press.
Good, I. J. and Crook, J. F. (1987). The robustness and sensitivity of the mixedi-Dirichlet Bayesian test for ‘independence’ in contingency tables.Ann. Statist. 15, 694–711.
Goutis, C. (1991). Ranges of posterior measures for some classes of priors with specified moments.Tech. Rep. 70, University College London.
Gu, C. and Wahba, G. (1993). Smoothing spline ANOVA with component-wisa Bayesian confidence intervals.J. Comput. and Graphical Stat. 2, 97–117.
Gustafson, P. and Wasserman, L. (1993). Local sensitivity diagnostics for Bayesian inference.Tech. Rep. 574, Carnegie-Mellon University.
Guttman, I. and Peña, D. (1988). Outliers and influence: evaluation by posteriors of parameters in the linear model.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.), Oxford: University Press, 631–640.
Guttman, I. and Peña, D. (1993). A Bayesian look at diagnostics in the univariate linear model.Statistica Sinica 3, 367–390.
Hartigan, J.A. (1983).Bayes Theory, New York: Springer-Verlag.
Ickstadt, K. (1992). Gamma-minimax estimators with respect to unimodal priors. InIperations Research ’91 (P. Gritzmann,et al., eds.), Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag.
Jaynes, E. T. (1983).Papers on Probability, Statistics and Statistical Physics, (R. Rosenkrantz, ed.), Dordrecht: Reidel
Jefferys, W., Berger, J. (1992). Ockham’s razor and Bayesian analysis.Amer. Scientist 80, 64–72.
Kadane, J. (1994). An application of robust Bayesian analysis to a medical experiment.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Kadane, J. B. and Chuang, D. T. (1978). Stable decision problems.Ann. Statist. 6, 1095–1110.
Kass, R. and Greenhouse, J. (1989). Investigating therapies of potentially great benefit: A Bayesian perspective. Comments on “Investigating therapies of potentially great benefit: ECMO”, by J. H. Ware.Statist. Sci. 4, 310–317.
Kass, R. E. and Raftery, A. (1992). Bayes factors and model uncertainty.Tech. Rep. 571, Carnegic-Mellon University.
Kass, R. E., and Slate, E. H. (1992). Reparametrization and diagnostics of posterior non-normality.Bayesian Statitics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 289–306.
Kass, R. E., Tierney, L. and Kadane, J. B. (1980). Approximate methods for assessing influence and sensitivity in Bayesian analysis.Biometrika 76, 663–674.
Kass, R. E. and Wasserman, L. (1993). Formal rules of selecting prior distributions: a review and annotated bibliography.Tech. Rep., Carnegie-Mellon University.
Kiefer, J. (1977). Conditional confidence statements and confidence estimators (theory and methods).J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 72, 789–827.
Kohn, R. and Ansley, C. F. (1988). The equivalence between Bayesian smoothness priors and optimal smoothing, for function estimation. InBayesian Analysis of Time Series and Dynamic Models (J. C. Spall, ed.). New York: Marcel Dekker.
Kouznetsov, V. P. (1991).Interval Statistical Models. Moscow: Radio and Communication.
Laplace, P. S. (1812).Theorie Analytique des Probabilities. Courcier, Paris.
Lavine, M. (1989). The boon of dimensionality: how to be a sensitive multidimensional Bayesian.Tech. Rep. 89-14, Duke University.
Lavine, M. (1991a). Sensitivity in Bayesian statistics: the prior and the likelihood.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86, 396–399.
Levine, M. (1991b). An approach to robust Bayesian analysis with multidimensional spaces.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86, 400–403.
Lavine, M. (1992a). Sensitivity in Bayesian statistics: the prior and the likelihood.J. Ame. Statist. Assoc. 86, 396–399.
Lavine, M. (1992b). Some aspects of Polya tree distributions for statistical modelling.Ann. Statist. 20, 1222–1235.
Lavine, M. (1992c). A note on bounding Monte Carlo variances.Comm. Statist. Theory and Methods 21, 2855–2860.
Lavine, M. (1992d). Local predictive influence in Bayesian linear models with conjugate priors.Commun. Statist.-Simulation 21, 269–283.
Lavine, M. (1994). An approach to evaluating sensitivity in Bayesian regression analysis.J. Statist. Planning and Inference. (to appear).
Lavine, M. and Wasserman, L. (1992). Can we estimateN? Tech. Rep. 546, Carnegie-Mellon University.
Lavine, M., Wasserman, L. and Wolpert, R. (1991). Bayesian inference with specified prior marginals.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86, 964–971.
Lavine, M., Wasserman, L., and Wolpert, R. (1993). Linearization of Bayesian robustness problems.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 37, 307–316.
Leamer, E. E. (1982). Sets of posterior means with bounded variance prior.Econometrica 50, 725–736.
Lenk, P. J. (1988). The logistic normal distribution for Bayesian, nonparametric, predictive densities.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83, 509–516.
Leonard T. (1978). Density estimation, stochastic processes, and prior information.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 40, 113–146.
Li, Y. and Saxena, K. M. L. (1990). Optimal robust Bayesian estimation.Tech. Rep. 4, University of Nebraska.
Liseo, B. (1993). Elimination of nuisance parameters with reference priors.Biometrika 80, 295–304.
Liseo, B., Petrella, L., and Salinetti, G. (1993). Block unimodality for multivariate Bayesian robustness.J. Ital. Statist. Soc. (to appear).
Lo, A. Y. and Weng, C. S. (1989). On a class of Bayesian nonparametric estimates: II. Hazard rate estimates.Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 41, 227–245.
Lucas, T. W. (1992). When is conflict normal?Tech. Rep., The Rand Corporation.
Meczarski, M. (1991). Stable Bayesian estimation in the Poisson model: a nonlinear problem.Tech. Rep. 91.14, CNR-IAMI, Milano.
Meczarski, M. and Zieliński, R. (1991). Stability of the Bayesian estimator of the Poisson mean under the inexactly specified gamma prior.Statist. Prob. Letters 12, 329–333.
Meng, X. L. (1994). Posterior predictiveP-values.Ann. Statist., (to appear).
McCulloch, R. E. (1989). Local model influence.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 84, 473–478.
Moreno, E. and Cano, J. A. (1989). Testing a point null hypothesis: Asymptotic robust Bayesian analysis with respect to the priors given on a subsigma field.Int. Statist. Rev., 57, 221–232.
Moreno, E. and Cano, J. A. (1991). Robust Bayesian analysis for ε-contaminations partially known.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 53, 143–155.
Moreno, E. and Cano, J. A. (1992). Classes of bidimensional priors specified on a collection of sets: Bayesian robustness.Tech. Rep., Universidad de Granada.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1990). Sensitivity of the Bayesian analysis to the priors: structural contaminations with specified quantiles of parametric families.Actas III Cong. Latinoamericano Probab. Estad. Mat., 143–158.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1991). Robust Bayesian analysis for ε-contaminations with shape and quantile constraints.Proc. Fifth Inter. Symp. on Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis. World Scientific Publ., 454–470.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1992a). Subjetivismo sin dogmatismo: análisis Bayesiano robusto (with discussion).Estadist. Española 34, 5–60.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1992b). Bands of probability measures: A robust Bayesian analysis.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.), Oxford: University Press, 707–714.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1993a). Bayesian robustness for hierarchical ε-contamination models.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 37, 159–168.
Moreno, E. and Pericchi, L. R. (1993b). Precise measurement theory: robust Bayesian analysis.Tech. Rep., Universidad de Granada.
Morris, C. N. and Normand, S. L. (1992). Hierarchical models for combining information and for meta-analyses.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 321–344.
Moskowitz, H. (1992). Multiple-criteria robust interactive decision analysis for optimizing public policies.Eur. J. Oper. Res. 56, 219–236.
Mukhopadhyay, S. and DasGupta, A. (1993). Uniform approximation of Bayes solutions and posteriors: frequentistly valid Bayes inference.Tech. Rep. 93-12C, Purdue University.
O’Hagan, A. (1988). Modelling with heavy tails.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press, 345–360.
O’Hagan, A. (1990). Outliers and credence for location parameter inference.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 85, 172–176.
O’Hagan, A. (1994). Robust modelling for asset management.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
O’Hagan, A. and Berger, J. O. (1988). Ranges of posterior probabilities for quasi-unimodal priors with specified quantiles.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83, 503–508.
Osiewalski, J. and Steel, M. F. J. (1993a). Robust Bayesian inference in ℓ q -spherical models.Biometrika, (to appear).
Osiewalski, J. and Steel, M. F. J. (1993b). Robust Bayesian inference in elliptical regression models.J. Econometrics 57, 345–363.
Osiewlaski, J. and Steel, M. F. J. (1993c). Bayesian marginal equivalence of elliptical regression models.Journal of Econometrics, (to appear).
Peña, D. and Guttman, I. (1993). Comparing probabilistic methods for outlier detection in linear models.Biometrika 80, 603–610.
Peña, D. and Tiao, G. C. (1992). Bayesian outlier functions for linear models.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 365–388.
Pericchi, L. R. and Nazaret, W. (1988). On being imprecise at the higher levels of a hierarchical linear model.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 361–376.
Pericchi, L. R. and Pérez, M. E. (1994). Posterior robustness with more than one sampling model.J. Statist. Planning and Inference., (to appear).
Pericchi, L. R. and Walley P. (1991). Robust Bayesian credible intervals and prior ignorance.Internat. Statist. Rev. 58, 1–23.
Pettit, L. I. (1988). Bayes methods for outliers in exponential samples.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 731–740.
Pettit, L. (1992). Bayes factors for outlier models using the device of imaginary observations.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87, 541–545.
Poirier, D. J. (1988). Bayesian diagnostic testing in the general linear normal regression model.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 725–732.
Polasek, W. (1985). Sensitivity analysis for general and hierarchical linear regression models.Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques: Essays in Honor of Bruno de Finetti (P. K. Goel and A. Zellner, eds.). Amsterdam: North-Holland
Polasek, W. and Pötzelberger, K. (1988). Robust Bayesian analysis in hierarchical models.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 377–394.
Polasek, W. and Pötzelberger, K. (1994). Robust Bayesian methods in simple ANOVA models.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Pötzelberger, K. and Polasek, W. (1991). Robust HPD-regions in Bayesian regression models.Econometrica 59, 1581–1590.
Rao, C. R. (1985). Weighted distributions arising out of methods of ascertainment: what population does a sample represent?A Celebration of Statistics: The ISI Centenary Volume (A. G. Atkinson and S. Fienberg, eds.). Berlin: Springer.
Regazzini, E. (1992). Concentration comparisons between probability measures.Sankhyā B 54, 129–149.
Ríos-Insúa, D. (1990).Sensitivity Analysis in Multiobjective Decision Making. Berlin: Springer.
Ríos-Insúa, D. (1992). Foundations for a robust theory of decision making: the simple case.Test 1, 69–78.
Ríos-Insúa, D. and French, S. (1991). A framework for sensitivity analysis in discrete multiobjective decision making.Eur. J. Oper. Res. 54, 176–190.
Ríos-Insúa, D. and Martín, J. (1994). Robustness issues under precise beliefs and preferences.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Robert, C. (1992).L’Analyse Statistique Bayesienne. Paris: Economica.
Ruggeri, F. (1990). Posterior ranges of functions of parameters under priors with specified quantites.Comm. Statist. Theory and Methods 19, 127–144.
Ruggeri, F. (1991). Robust Bayesian analysis given a lower bound on the probability of a set.Comm. Statist. Theory and Methods 20, 1881–1891.
Ruggeri, F. (1992). Bounds on the prior probability of a set and robust Bayesian analysis.Theory of Probability and Its Applications 37.
Ruggeri, F. and Wasserman, L. (1991). Density based classes of priors: Infinitesimal properties and approximations.Tech. Rep. 528, Carnegie-Mellon University.
Ruggeri, F. and Wasserman, L. (1993). Infinitesimal sensitivity of posterior distributions.Canadian J. Statist. 21, 195–203.
Salinetti, G. (1994). Stability of Bayesian decisions.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Sansó, B. and Pericchi, L. R. (1992). Near ignorance classes of log-concave priors for the location model.Test 1, 39–46.
Sedransk, N. (1993). Admissibility of treatment.Clinical Trials: Bayesian Methods and Ethics (J. Kadane ed.). New York: Wiley.
Sivaganesan, S. (1988). Range of posterior measures for priors with arbitrary contaminations.Comm. Statst. 17, 1591–1612.
Sivaganesan, S. (1989). Sensitivity of posterior mean to unimodality preserving contaminations.Statistics and Decisions 7, 77–93.
Sivaganesan, S. (1990). Sensitivity of some standard Bayesian estimates to prior uncertainty—a comparison.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 27, 85–103.
Sivaganesan, S. (1991). Sensitivity of some posterior summaries when the prior is unimodal with specified quantiles.Canadian J. Statist. 19, 57–65.
Sivaganesan, S. (1992). An evaluation of robustness in binomial empirical Bayes testing.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 783–790.
Sivaganesan, S. (1993a). Range of the posterior probability of an interval for priors with unimodality preserving contaminations.Ann. Inst. of Statist. Math. 45, 187–199.
Sivaganesan, S. (1993b). Optimal robust sets for a density bounded class.Tech. Rep., University of Cincinnati.
Sivaganesan, S. (1993c). Robust Bayesian diagnostics.J. Statist. Planning and Inference 35, 171–188.
Sivaganesan, S. (1994). Bounds on posterior expectations for density bounded classes with constant bandwidth.J. Statist. Planning and Inference., (to appear).
Sivaganesan, S. and Berger, J. (1989). Ranges of posterior measures for priors with unimodal contaminations:Ann. Statist. 17, 868–889.
Sivaganesan, S. and Berger, J. (1993). Robust Bayesian analysis of the binomial empirical Bayes problem.Canadian J. Statist. 21, 107–119.
Sivaganesan, S., Berliner, L. M., and Berger, J. (1993). Optimal robust credible sets for contaminated priors.Statist. and Probab. Letters, (to appear).
Smith, A. F. M. (1983). Bayesian approaches to outliers and robustness.Specifying Statistical Models (J. P. Florens et al. eds.). Berlin: Springer.
Spiegelhalter, D. J. (1985). Exact Bayesian inference on the parameters of a Cauchy distribution with vague prior information.Bayesian Statistics 2 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DcGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.), Amsterdam: North-Holland, 743–749.
Srinivasan, C. and Trusczcynska, H. (1990). Approximation to the range of a ratio linear posterior quantity based on Frechet derivative.Tech. Rep. 289, University of Kentucky.
Srinivasan, C. and Trusczcynska, H. (1993). Ranges of non-linear posterior quantities.Ann. Statist., (to appear).
Stephens, D. A. and Smith, A. F. M. (1992). Sampling-resampling techniques for the computation of posterior densities in normal means problems.Test 1, 1–18.
Tamura, H. (1992). Robust Bayesian auditing.Tech. Rep., University of Washington.
VanEeden, C. and Zidek, J. V. (1994). Group Bayes estimation of the exponential mean: a retrospective view of the Wald theory.Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V (S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, eds.). Berlin: Springer, 35–50.
Verdinelli, I. and Wasserman, L. (1991). Bayesian analysis of outlier problems using the Gibbs sampler.Statist. Computing 1, 105–117.
Vidakovic, B. (1992). A study of properties of computationally simple rules in estimation problems. Ph.D. Thesis, Purdue University.
Wahba, G. (1990).Spline Models for Observational Data. Philadelphia: SIAM.
Walley, P. (1991).Statistical Reasoning With Imprecise Probabilities. London: Chapman and Hall.
Wasserman, L. (1989). A robust Bayesian interpretation of likelihood regions.Ann. Statist. 17, 1387–1393.
Wasserman, L. (1990). Prior envelopes based on belief functions.Ann. Statist. 18, 454–464.
Wasserman, L. (1992a). The conflict between improper priors and robustness.Tech. Rep. 559, Carnegie-Mellon University.
Wasserman, L. (1992b). Recent methodological advances in robust Bayesian inference.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 483–502.
Wasserman, L. (1992c). Invariance properties of density ratio priors.Ann. Statist. 20, 2177–2182.
Wasserman, L. and Kadane, J. (1990). Bayes’ theorem for Choquet capacities.Ann. Statist. 18, 1328–1339.
Wasserman, L. and Kadane, J. B. (1992a). Computing bounds on expectation.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87, 516–522.
Wasserman, L. and Kadane, J. (1992b). Symmetric upper probabilities.Ann. Statist. 20, 1720–1736.
Wasserman, L. and Seidenfeld, T. (1994). The dilation phenomenon in robust Bayesian inference.J. Statist. Planning and Inference, (to appear).
Weiss, R. E. (1992). Influence diagnostics with the Gibbs sampler.Computing Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the 24 th Symposium on the Interface (H. J. Newton, ed.) Alexandria: ASA.
Weiss, R. (1993). Identification of outlying perturbations.Tech. Rep. 594, University of Minnesota.
West, M. (1987). On scale mixtures of normal distributions.Biometrika 74, 646–648.
West, M. (1992). Modeling with mixtures.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 503–524.
West, M. and Harrison, J. (1989).Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models. Berlin: Springer.
Wolpert, R. L. and Warren Hicks, W. J. (1992). Bayesian hierarchical logistic models for combining field and laboratory survival data.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press, 525–546.
Zellner, A. (1976). Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of regression models with multivariate student-t error terms.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 71, 400–405.
Zen, M. M. and DasGupta, A. (1993). Estimating a binomial parameter: is robust Bayes real Bayes?Statistics and Decisions 11, 37–60.
Zidek, J. V. and Weerahandi, S. (1992). Bayesian predictive inference for samples from smooth processes.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 547–566.
Additional References in the Discussion
Berger, J. O. (1985b). Discussion of ‘Quantifying prior opinion’ by Diaconis and Ylvisaker.Bayesian Statistics 2 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.), Amsterdam: North-Holland, 133–156.
Cano, J.A. and Moreno, E. (1993). Sampling models: a robust Bayesian analysis.Tech. Rep., Universidad de Murcia.
Cifarelli, D. M. and Regazzini, E. (1987). On a general definition of concentration function.Sankhyā B 49 307–319.
Cook, R.D. (1986). Assessment of local influence.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 48, 133–169, (with discussion).
Dalal, S. R. and Hall, W. J. (1983). Approximating priors by mixtures of natural conjugate priors.J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 45, 278–286.
De la Horra, J. and Fernández, C. (1994). Sensitivity to prior independence via Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern model.Tech. Rep. 94-17, Tilburg University.
Diaconis, P. and Ylvisaker, D. (1985). Quantifying prior opinion.Bayesian Statistics 2 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds., Amsterdam: North-Holland, 163–175.
Efron, B. (1986). Why Isn’t Everyone a Bayesian?Ann. Statist. 40, 1–11.
Feller, W. (1973).An Introduction to Probability Theory and Applications 2, New York: Wiley.
Garthwaite, P. H. (1992). Preposterior expected loss as a scoring rule for prior distributions.Comm. Statist. Th. Meth. 21, 3601–3619.
Garthwaite, P. H. and Dickey, J. M. (1992). Elicitation of prior distributions for variable-selection problems in regression.Ann. Statist. 20, 1697–1719.
Grieve, A. P. (1985). A Bayesian Analysis of the Two-Period Crossover Design for Clinical Trials.Biometrika 41, 979–990.
Gustafson, P. (1993a). Local sensitivity in Bayesian statistics. Ph.D. Thesis. Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh.
Gustafson, P. (1993b). The local sensitivity of posterior expectations.Tech. Rep., Carnegie Mellon University.
Johnson, N. L. and Kotz, S. (1975). On some generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern distributions.Comm. Statist. A 4, 415–427.
Johnson, N. L. and Kotz, S. (1977). On some generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern distributions II: regression, correlation and further generalizations.Comm. Statist. A 6, 485–496.
Keeney, R. and Raiffa, H. (1993).Decision Making with Multiple Objectives, Wiley.
Kemperman, J. H. B. (1972). On a class of moment problem.Proc. Berkeley Symposium on Math. Statist. and Prob. 2, 101–126.
Kemperman, J. H. B. (1983). On the role of duality on the theory of moments.Semiinfinite programming and applications (Fiacco, A. V. and Kortaneck, K. O., eds.). Lecture Notes in Economics and mathematical Systems215, New York: Springer-Verlag.
Kemperman, J. H. B. (1987). Geometry of the moment problem.Proceedings of Symposia in Applied mathematics 37, 16–53
Krause, A. and Polasek, W. (1992). Approaches to Tobit Models via Gibbs sampling, in: COMPSTAT 1992, Physica Verlalg, 559–564.
Le, H. and O’Hagan, A. (1993). A class of bivariate heavy-tailed distributions.Tech. Rep. 93-20, Nottingham University Statistics Group.
Leamer, E. E. (1978). Specification Searches. New York: Wiley.
Leland, J. (1992). An approximate Expected Utility Theory,Tech. Rep., Carnegie Mellon University.
Levy, H. (1992). Stochastic Dominance and Expected Utility Analysis: A Review,Mgt. Science 38, 555–593.
Moreno, E., Martínez, C. and Cano, J. A. (1993). Elicitation of contamination classes of prior distributions.Tech. Rep., Universidad de Granada.
Nair, V.J., and Wang, P.C.C. (1989). Maximum likelihood estimation under a successive sampling discovery model.Technometrics 31, 423–436.
O’Hagan, A. and Le, H. (1993). Conflicting information and a class of bivariate heavytailed distributions.Aspects of Uncertainty: A Tribute D. V. Lindley (Smith, A. F. M. and Freeman, P. R., eds.). Wiley: Chichester.
Polasek, W. (1992). Joint sensitivity analysis for covariance matrices in Bayesian linear regression.Tech. Rep. 9205, University of Basel.
Polasek, W. (1993). Bayesian Generalized Errors in Variables (GEIV) models for censored regression.Tech. Rep., University of Basel.
Proll, L., Ríos-Insúa, D. and Salhi, A. (1993). Mathematical Programming and the sensitivity of multicriteria decisions,Annals of Operations Research 43, 109–122.
Renyi, A. (1962/1970).Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung. Berlin: Deutscher Verlag der Wissenschaften. English translation in 1970 asProbability Theory. San Francisco, CA: Holden-Day.
Ríos, S., Ríos-Insúa, S., Ríos-Insúa, D. and Pachón, J. (1994). Experiments in robust decison making (S. Ríos, ed.)Decision Making and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges, Dorfrecht: Kluwer, 233–242.
Ríos-Insúa, D. (1994). Ambiguity, imprecision and sensitivity in Decison Theory, (Puri and Vilaplana, eds.)New Progress in Probability and Statistics, STP. (to appear).
Robert, C. P. (1992).L’Analyse Statistique Bayesianne Paris: Economica.
Robert, C. P. (1993). Intrinsic losses. Rapport techn., URA CNRS 1378, Univ. de Rouen.
Seidenfeld, T. and Wasserman, L. (1993). Dilation for sets of probabilities.Ann. Statist. 21, 1134–1154.
Stein, C. (1985). On the coverage probability of confidence sets based on a prior distribution. InSequential Methods in Statistics, Banach Center Publication16, 485–514, Warsaw: PWN Publishers.
Tibshirani, R. (1989). Noninformative priors for one parameter of many.Biometrika 76, 604–608.
West, M. (1993). Prediction for finite populations under biased sampling.ISDS Discussion Paper 93, Duke University.
Young, N. (1988). Hilbert Space, Cambrdige: University Press.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Carnegie Mellon University
The research of Professor Kadane was supported in part by the following grants; ONR: N0004-89-J-1851, NSF: SES-9123370, DMS-9005858 and DMS-9302557. Professor Srinivasan was supported in part by NSF grants ATM-9108177 and DMS-9204380.
Duke University
CNR-IAMI and Duke University
Read before the Spanish Statistical Society at a meeting organized by the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid on Friday, November 19, 1993
Research supported by the National Science Foundation, Grants DMS-8923071 and DMS 93-03556.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Berger, J.O., Moreno, E., Pericchi, L.R. et al. An overview of robust Bayesian analysis. Test 3, 5–124 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02562676
Received:
Revised:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02562676