Abstract
The record of failure to deliver large-scale information systems (IS) in a timely fashion that offer value to major commercial and public organizations is legendary. Just looking to critical success factors such as top management support and user involvement in order to understand how to deliver better systems can at best be a partial solution. We seem to overlook an obvious area in our organizations: what can we learn from our information system development (ISD) historical patterns? In order to develop this idea we draw on parallels in sport where current performance and behaviour are believed to be closely linked to historical precedents, or “form”. In that domain, historical patterns are a fallible but valuable predictor of success. Our thesis is that past negative patterns in ISD will tend to repeat themselves without radical intervention. Put another way, failure begets failure. After examining the game of football as an allegory for ISD, we look briefly at two organizations that have experienced a pattern of failure in the IS area in the past but have transformed the way they build IS, moving from negative patterns to successful ones. This chapter ends with suggestions for managers charged with developing new IS as to how they might use their understanding of ISD “form” to improve their chances of success.
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Notes
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Figure 99.1 also shows the major, critical events En at time tn. In a previous paper we developed a model that attempted to explain ISD outcomes in terms of history, context and outcomes [14].
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Owing to space considerations, we will not be addressing the complex question as to what constitutes success and failure in ISD in this chapter. Where the matter is not obvious, we will adopt a stakeholder view which may involve multiple and conflicting opinions on the subject.
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In the case of football there is often a large amount of money wagered world-wide on a particular game with separate odds for a home win, away win or a draw. Spread betting is a more sophisticated version of this with real-time odds offered on possible events during the game (e.g. next goal scorer).
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Newman, M., Pan, S.L., Pan, G. (2009). Why Can’t We Bet on ISD Outcomes: ISD “Form” as a Predictor of Success. In: Papadopoulos, G., Wojtkowski, W., Wojtkowski, G., Wrycza, S., Zupancic, J. (eds) Information Systems Development. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/b137171_99
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