Abstract
This paper explores the welfare implications of free entry when firms face known entry costs, but production costs are privately known. Upon entering, firms compete in prices to supply a homogeneous good. Our framework yields results that are more nuanced than those of the literature on social efficiency and entry, where there is either insufficient or excessive entry for all parameter values. With asymmetric information, depending on the distribution of costs, and the magnitude of entry costs, it is possible to have both excessive and insufficient entry, as well as the optimal level of entry. We also show that the existence of entry costs fundamentally changes one of the key results of Spulber (J Ind Econ 43(1):1–11) on the convergence of the equilibrium price to the competitive equilibrium.
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Bertrand competition refers to the seminal work in Bertrand (1883).
Blume (2003) pointed out that, in a Bertrand competition with asymmetric costs, the discontinuity of the profit functions implies that a Nash equilibrium in pure strategy arises only under specific assumptions such as a discrete space or an ad-hoc tie breaking rule. See also Kartik (2011). In our setting, however, as the set of firms’ types (costs) is continuous, there are no ties when firms choose an increasing, symmetric strategy, and therefore expected profits are continuous.
For example, in their seminal paper, Mankiw and Whinston (1986) show that in homogeneous product markets a business-stealing effect always creates a bias toward excessive entry: ignoring the integer constraint on the number of firms and the coordination issue identified above, marginal entry is more desirable to the entrant than it is to society because of the output reduction entry causes in other firms.
This result has been extended in a number of ways. For example, Okuno-Fujiwar and Suzumura (1993) consider the case where firms make a commitment to cost-reducing R&D investment after deciding whether to enter, but before competing in quantities in the output market. The show that the excess entry result holds in the presence of such strategic commitments. Ghosh and Saha (2007) extend the result to the case of asymmetric costs, under full information, and constant returns to scale. For the case of heterogeneous goods, Anderson and Engers (2001) examine a model of sequential entry where firms can commit capital early to the market so that they can claim a particular location (i.e., a particular position in the product space). This temporal competition is shown to dissipate rent in equilibrium, providing a foundation for the sequential move structure, and resulting in an excessive entry.
There are other circumstances under which the excessive entry result does not hold. For example, Ghosh and Morita (2007) show that in the presence of vertical integration free entry can lead to a socially insufficient number of firms.
For a formal expression of this probability refer to Eq. (24) in the Appendix.
Note that we defined m as the number of firms that enter the market in the previous section. However to avoid confusion in this section we use \(\ell \) as the number of entrants when we calculate the social surplus.
Note that in Eq. (10) we compute the optimal level of entry from an ex-ante perspective by using the expectation of the lowest realized cost. Therefore, a social planner with the knowledge of the second-best optimal entry level at the ex-ante stage (i.e. prior to firms drawing their costs and deciding whether to enter), could potentially promote or prevent entry to improve the social surplus.
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Appendix
Appendix
Proof of Proposition 1
First we calculate the probability that firm i’s price is the lowest among others. In a symmetric, increasing equilibrium this probability is equal to the lowest order statistics conditional on the number of firms that entered. That is:
Note that only firms with types lower than \({\tilde{c}}\) would enter. Therefore, \({\tilde{c}}\) is the cost of the firm that is indifferent between entering or not the market when the m firms entered. Also, as we later show in Lemma 1, \({\tilde{c}}\) is explicitly defined as the solution to \(\Pi ({\tilde{c}},{\tilde{c}},k)=0\).
We can then rewrite (4) as follows,
Rearranging we obtain the following differential equation.
Note that \(\pi ^2(p^*(c),c)=p_iD(p_i)-C(D(p_i),c_i))\) and \(\frac{ \partial \pi ^2(p^*(c),c)}{\partial p^*}=D(p_i)+D^{\prime }(p_i)p_i- D^{\prime }(p_i) \frac{\partial C(D(p_i),c_i) )}{\partial p_i}\). It follows from Spulber (1995, Proposition 2) that there is a unique increasing solution to the above differential equation with a boundary condition \( \pi ^2(p^*({\bar{c}}),{\bar{c}})=0\).
We now show that \(p^{*}(c_{i})<p_{o}(c_{i})\). Suppose \(p^{*}(c_{i})\ge p_{o}(c_{i})\). Note that the monopoly price \(p_o\) is profit maximizing. Therefore, we must have,
However, \(p^*\) cannot be equal to \(p_o\) because the first order condition in (4) is not satisfied. Also for \(p^*>p_o\) the first term in (4) becomes negative while the second term is also strictly negative. That is, we must have \(p^*(c_{i})<p_{o}(c_{i})\). \(\square \)
Proof of Lemma 1
First note that the ex-ante profit function \(\Pi (c,{\tilde{c}},k)\) is strictly decreasing in c. Also since \(k<{\bar{k}}\), then \(\Pi ({\underline{c}},{\tilde{c}},k) >0\) and \(\Pi ({\bar{c}}, {\tilde{c}},k) = -k\). Thus, due to continuity, there exists a unique \({\hat{c}}\), such that \(\Pi ({\hat{c}},{\tilde{c}},k)=0\). We next show that in fact, \({\hat{c}}={\tilde{c}}\). To see this suppose \({\hat{c}}\ne {\tilde{c}}\). In the case where \({\hat{c}}<{\tilde{c}}\) then for any \({\hat{c}}<c<{\tilde{c}}\) we must have \(\Pi (c,{\tilde{c}},k)<0\) and the firm enters the market which is a contradiction. Also when \({\hat{c}}>{\tilde{c}}\) for all types \({\hat{c}}>c>{\tilde{c}}\) we must have \(\Pi (c,{\tilde{c}},k)>0\) and the firm does not enter the market which is again a contradiction. Therefore we have \({\hat{c}}={\tilde{c}}\) and for all types below \({\tilde{c}}\) the ex-ante expected profit is positive while for all types above \({\tilde{c}}\) the ex-ante expected profit is negative.
\(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 2
The proof simply follows the proof of Proposition 1 and Lemma 1. \(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 3
First suppose the number of entrants is continuous. Differentiate (10) with respect to \(\ell \) yields:
Note that the first two terms of the RHS of (28) are positive, decrease with the number of firms that enter the market (\(\ell \)), and approach zero when \(\ell \) goes to infinity. This means that with no entry cost, the surplus is maximized at the highest possible number of entrants. Also when the entry cost is \({\bar{k}}\), the surplus is zero. Therefore, with positive entry costs below \({\bar{k}}\), there exists a \({\hat{\ell }}\) that maximises the surplus. Now note that the number of entrants is an integer and discontinuous. Therefore we denote \(\ell ^*\) as the integer value that is closest to \({\hat{\ell }}\). We can conclude that for any entry above \(\ell ^*\) the total surplus decreases and for entry below \(\ell ^*\) it is increasing in \(\ell \) and the integer value of the solution to (28) when it is equal to zero, gives \(\ell ^*\).
\(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 4
Given that \(p_o\) is strictly greater than \(p=mc\) it is enough to show that \(p^*>mc\) for any given number of firms. We use a proof by contradiction. Suppose the price is equal to the marginal cost of the winner, that is, \(p^*=mc\). This guarantees zero profit at the interim stage. Given that there is a positive entry cost k, any firm who takes the pricing strategy of \(p^*=mc\) guarantees a negative payoff at the entry stage. Thus the equilibrium pricing strategy of each firm i, must be strictly larger than their marginal costs. \(\square \)
Proof of Lemma 2
When the entry cost is equal to \({\bar{k}}\), zero entry is optimal. In a close neighborhood, there is only a small subset of types that could make a positive profit from entry. Given that the payoffs are decreasing in the entry fee, it is straightforward to conclude that the lower the entry fee is the higher the number of potential entrants. On the other hand, when \(k=0\), then we have a situation similar to Spulber (1995), and then there is always a positive marginal effect on the overall surplus with an extra entry. So the optimal level of entry is infinity. On a close neighborhood of \(k=0\), the optimal number of entry is very large and again becomes smaller when k increases. \(\square \)
Proof of Proposition 5
According to Proposition 3 we know that there exist a unique \(\ell ^*\) that maximizes the total surplus. Also note that from Lemma 1 we know that there exist a threshold type \({\tilde{c}}\) such that firms with realized costs below \({\tilde{c}}\) enter the market. The probability that exactly \(\ell ^*\) firms have a realized value below \({\tilde{c}}\) is positive and equal to,
Therefore given the space of realized values and the existence of \({\tilde{c}}\) within this interval, with positive probability the entry will be optimal. Furthermore, it is possible to show the probability that more than \(\ell ^*\) firms have realized values below \({\tilde{c}}\) is also positive. This probability is the sum of events where \(\{\ell ^*+1, \ell ^*+2,\ldots , n\}\) firms have realized values below \({\tilde{c}}\) which is given by,
Finally, if less than \(\ell ^*\) firms have realized values below \({\tilde{c}}\) we will have insufficient entry. The probability is given by,
Therefore, given the space of possible realized values in the interval, all three cases of optimal, excess and insufficient entries are possible. \(\square \)
Proof of Corollary 1
First note that according to the definition of \({\bar{k}}\) the change in the surplus as shown in (28) will be negative at \({\bar{k}}\). In particular, we can denote \({\bar{k}}\) as,
It is straightforward to check that for any extra entry the increase in the surplus by a reduction in price is less than \({\bar{k}}\) and therefore, the overall effect is negative. Also note that, when \(k=0\) then moving from one to two entry would increase the overall surplus. Given that (28) is continuous and decreasing in k, there exists a \({\hat{k}}<{\bar{k}}\) such that the (28) is zero when the entry changes from one to two. Therefore, for all entry costs above \({\hat{k}}\) the optimal level of entry is one. \(\square \)
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Khezr, P., Menezes, F.M. Entry and social efficiency under Bertrand competition and asymmetric information. Int J Game Theory 50, 927–944 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00182-021-00775-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00182-021-00775-z