Abstract
The high-latitude climate system contains complicated, but largely veiled physical feedback processes. Climate predictions remain uncertain, especially for the Northern High Latitudes (NHL; north of 60°N), and observational constraint on climate modeling is vital. This study estimates local radiative feedbacks for NHL based on the CERES/Terra satellite observations during March 2000–November 2014. The local shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiative feedback parameters are calculated from linear regression of radiative fluxes at the top of the atmosphere on surface air temperatures. These parameters are estimated by the de-seasonalization and 12-month moving average of the radiative fluxes over NHL. The estimated magnitudes of the SW and the LW radiative feedbacks in NHL are 1.88 ± 0.73 and 2.38 ± 0.59 W m−2 K−1, respectively. The parameters are further decomposed into individual feedback components associated with surface albedo, water vapor, lapse rate, and clouds, as a product of the change in climate variables from ERA-Interim reanalysis estimates and their pre-calculated radiative kernels. The results reveal the significant role of clouds in reducing the surface albedo feedback (1.13 ± 0.44 W m−2 K−1 in the cloud-free condition, and 0.49 ± 0.30 W m−2 K−1 in the all-sky condition), while the lapse rate feedback is predominant in LW radiation (1.33 ± 0.18 W m−2 K−1). However, a large portion of the local SW and LW radiative feedbacks were not simply explained by the sum of these individual feedbacks.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alexeev V, Langen PL, Bates JR (2005) Polar amplification of surface warming on an aquaplanet in “ghost forcing” experiments without sea ice feedbacks. Clim Dyn 24:655–666
Brown PT, Li W, Jiang JH, Su H (2016) Unforced surface air temperature variability and its contrasting relationship with the anomalous TOA energy flux at local and global spatial scales. J Clim 29:925–940
Burt MA, Randall DA, Branson MD (2016) Dark warming. J Clim 29:705–719
Cesana G, Kay J, Chepfer H, English J, Boer G (2012) Ubiquitous low-level liquid-containing Arctic clouds: new observations and climate model constraints from CALIPSO-GOCCP. Geophys Res Lett 39
Cess RD (1976) Climate change: an appraisal of atmospheric feedback mechanisms employing zonal climatology. J Atmos Sci 33:1831–1843
Chapin FS, Randerson JT, McGuire AD, Foley JA, Field CB (2008) Changing feedbacks in the climate–biosphere system. Front Ecol Environ 6:313–320
Choi Y-S, Song H-J (2012) On the numerical integration of a randomly forced system: variation and feedback estimation. Theor Appl Climatol 110:97–101
Choi Y-S, Ho C-H, Park C-E, Storelvmo T, Tan I (2014a) Influence of cloud phase composition on climate feedbacks. J Geophys Res 119:3687–3700
Choi Y-S, Kim B-M, Hur S-K, Kim S-J, Kim J-H, Ho C-H (2014b) Connecting early summer cloud-controlled sunlight and late summer sea ice in the Arctic. J Geophys Res 119
Choi Y-S, Cho H, Ho C-H, Lindzen RS, Park SK, Yu X (2014c) Influence of non-feedback variations of radiation on the determination of climate feedback. Theor Appl Climatol 115:355–364
Christensen MW, Behrangi A, L’Ecuyer T, Wood NB, Lebsock MD, Stephens GL (2016) Arctic observation and reanalysis integrated system: a new data product for validation and climate study. Bull Am Meteorol Soc
Chylek P, Folland CK, Lesins G, Dubey MK, Wang M (2009) Arctic air temperature change amplification and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 36
Comiso JC, Hall DK (2014) Climate trends in the Arctic as observed from space. WIREs Clim Change 5:389–409
Cronin TW, Tziperman E (2015) Low clouds suppress Arctic air formation and amplify high-latitude continental winter warming. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 112:11490–11495
Dee D, Uppala S, Simmons A, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda M, Balsamo G, Bauer P (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137:553–597
Dessler A (2013) Observations of climate feedbacks over 2000–10 and comparisons to climate models. J Clim 26:333–342
Donohoe A, Armour KC, Pendergrass AG, Battisti DS (2014) Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO2. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 111:16700–16705
Eastman R, Warren SG (2010) Arctic cloud changes from surface and satellite observations. J Clim 23:4233–4242
Forster PMF, Gregory JM (2006) The climate sensitivity and its components diagnosed from Earth radiation budget data. J Clim 19:39–52
Frankignoul C (1999) A cautionary note on the use of statistical atmospheric models in the middle latitudes: comments on “Decadal variability in the North Pacific as simulated by a hybrid coupled model”. J Clim 12:1871–1872
Frankignoul C, Czaja A, L’Heveder B (1998) Air-sea feedback in the North Atlantic and surface boundary conditions for ocean models. J Clim 11:2310–2324
Ghatak D, Miller J (2013) Implications for Arctic amplification of changes in the strength of the water vapor feedback. J Geophys Res 118:7569–7578
Graversen RG, Mauritsen T, Tjernström M, Källén E, Svensson G (2008) Vertical structure of recent Arctic warming. Nature 451:53–56
Graversen RG, Langen PL, Mauritsen T (2014) Polar amplification in CCSM4: Contributions from the lapse rate and surface albedo feedbacks. J Clim 27:4433–4450
Gregory J, Ingram W, Palmer M, Jones G, Stott P, Thorpe R, Lowe J, Johns T, Williams K (2004) A new method for diagnosing radiative forcing and climate sensitivity. Geophys Res Lett 31
Hall A (2004) The role of surface albedo feedback in climate. J Clim 17:1550–1568
Hansen J, Lacis A, Rind D, Russell G, Stone P, Fung I, Ruedy R, Lerner J (1984) Climate sensitivity: analysis of feedback mechanisms. In: Hansen JE, Takahashi T (eds) Climate processes and climate sensitivity. American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, pp 130–163
Hansen J, Nazarenko L, Ruedy R, Sato M, Willis J, Del Genio A, Koch D, Lacis A, Lo K, Menon S (2005) Earth’s energy imbalance: confirmation and implications. Science 308:1431–1435
Holland MM, Bitz CM (2003) Polar amplification of climate change in coupled models. Clim Dyn 21:221–232
Hwang YT, Frierson DM, Kay JE (2011) Coupling between Arctic feedbacks and changes in poleward energy transport. Geophys Res Lett 38
Jonko AK, Shell KM, Sanderson BM, Danabasoglu G (2012) Climate feedbacks in CCSM3 under changing CO2 forcing. Part I: adapting the linear radiative kernel technique to feedback calculations for a broad range of forcings. J Clim 25:5260–5272
Kato S, Loeb NG, Minnis P, Francis JA, Charlock TP, Rutan DA, Clothiaux EE, Sun-Mack S (2006) Seasonal and interannual variations of top-of-atmosphere irradiance and cloud cover over polar regions derived from the CERES data set. Geophys Res Lett 33
Kay JE, Gettelman A (2009) Cloud influence on and response to seasonal Arctic sea ice loss. J Geophys Res. doi:10.1029/2009JD011773
Kay JE, L’Ecuyer T (2013) Observational constraints on Arctic Ocean clouds and radiative fluxes during the early 21st century. J Geophys Res 118:7219–7236
Kim Y, Choi Y-S, Kim B-M, Kim H (2015) Influence of altered low cloud parameterizations for seasonal variation of Arctic cloud amount on climate feedbacks. Clim Dyn 47:1661–1672
Knutti R, Hegerl GC (2008) The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth’s temperature to radiation changes. Nat Geosci 1:735–743
Langen PL, Alexeev VA (2007) Polar amplification as a preferred response in an idealized aquaplanet GCM. Clim Dyn 29:305–317
Lindzen RS, Choi Y-S (2009) On the determination of climate feedbacks from ERBE data. Geophys Res Lett 36
Lindzen RS, Choi Y-S (2011) On the observational determination of climate sensitivity and its implications. Asia Pac J Atmos Sci 47:377–390
Manabe S, Wetherald RT (1975) The effect of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model
Masters T (2012) On the determination of the global cloud feedback from satellite measurements. Earth Syst Dyn 3:97–107
Meehl GA, Teng H, Arblaster JM (2014) Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming. Nat Clim Change 4:898–902
Murphy DM (2010) Constraining climate sensitivity with linear fits to outgoing radiation. Geophys Res Lett 37
Pithan F, Mauritsen T (2014) Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models. Nat Geosci 7:181–184
Rigor IG, Colony RL, Martin S (2000) Variations in surface air temperature observations in the Arctic, 1979–97. J Clim 13:896–914
Rind D (2008) The consequences of not knowing low-and high-latitude climate sensitivity. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 89:855
Santer BD, Bonfils C, Painter JF, Zelinka MD, Mears C, Solomon S, Schmidt GA, Fyfe JC, Cole JN, Nazarenko L (2014) Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature. Nat Geosci 7:185–189
Screen JA, Simmonds I (2010) The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification. Nature 464:1334–1337
Sedlar J, Tjernström M, Mauritsen T, Shupe MD, Brooks IM, Persson POG, Birch CE, Leck C, Sirevaag A, Nicolaus M (2011) A transitioning Arctic surface energy budget: the impacts of solar zenith angle, surface albedo and cloud radiative forcing. Clim Dyn 37:1643–1660
Serreze M, Barrett A, Stroeve J, Kindig D, Holland M (2009) The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification. Cryosphere 3:11
Shell KM, Kiehl JT, Shields CA (2008) Using the radiative kernel technique to calculate climate feedbacks in NCAR’s Community Atmospheric Model. J Clim 21:2269–2282
Skific N, Francis JA (2013) Drivers of projected change in Arctic moist static energy transport. J Geophys Res 118:2748–2761
Soden BJ, Held IM (2006) An assessment of climate feedbacks in coupled ocean-atmosphere models. J Clim 19:3354–3360
Soden BJ, Held IM, Colman R, Shell KM, Kiehl JT, Shields CA (2008) Quantifying climate feedbacks using radiative kernels. J Clim 21:3504–3520
Spencer RW, Braswell WD (2011) On the misdiagnosis of surface temperature feedbacks from variations in Earth’s radiant energy balance. Remote Sens 3:1603–1613
Spielhagen RF, Werner K, Sørensen SA, Zamelczyk K, Kandiano E, Budeus G, Husum K, Marchitto TM, Hald M (2011) Enhanced modern heat transfer to the Arctic by warm Atlantic water. Science 331:450–453
Trenberth KE, Zhang Y, Fasullo JT, Taguchi S (2015) Climate variability and relationships between top-of-atmosphere radiation and temperatures on Earth. J Geophys Res 120:3642–3659
van der Linden E, Bintanja R, Hazeleger W, Katsman C (2014) The role of the mean state of Arctic Sea ice on near-surface temperature trends. J Clim 27:2819–2841
Vavrus S (2004) The impact of cloud feedbacks on Arctic climate under greenhouse forcing. J Clim 17:603–615
Wielicki BA, Barkstrom BR, Harrison EF, Lee III RB, Louis Smith G, Cooper JE (1996) Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES): an earth observing system experiment. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:853–868
Winton M (2008) Sea ice—albedo feedback and nonlinear Arctic climate change. Arctic Sea Ice Decline. American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, pp 111–131
Yamanouchi T, Kawaguchi S (1984) Longwave radiation balance under a strong surface inversion in the Katabatic Wind Zone, Antarctica. J Geophys Res 89:11771–11778
Zelinka MD, Klein SA, Hartmann DL (2012) Computing and partitioning cloud feedbacks using cloud property histograms. Part I: cloud radiative kernels. J Clim 25:3715–3735
Acknowledgements
This research was supported by the GEMS program of the Ministry of Environment, Korea and the Eco Innovation Program of KEITI (2012000160003) and the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program, under Grant KMIPA2015-6110. Authors Y.-S. Choi, J. H. Jiang, and H. Su acknowledge the support of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, sponsored by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). W. Kim acknowledges the support of the APEC Climate Center. The authors thank the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) and ERA-Interim reanalysis data production teams for providing their data.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Hwang, J., Choi, YS., Kim, W. et al. Observational estimation of radiative feedback to surface air temperature over Northern High Latitudes. Clim Dyn 50, 615–628 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3629-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3629-6