Abstract
In landslide susceptibility studies, the type of mapping unit adopted affects the obtained models and maps in terms of accuracy, robustness, spatial resolution and geomorphological adequacy. To evaluate the optimal selection of these units, a test has been carried out in an important catchment of northern Sicily (the Imera River basin), where the spatial relationships between a set of predictors and an inventory of 1608 rotational/translational landslides were analysed using the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) method. In particular, landslide susceptibility models were prepared and compared by adopting four different types of mapping units: the largely adopted grid cells (PX), the typical contributing area–controlled slope units (5000_SLU), the recently optimized parameter-free multiscale slope units (PF_SLU) and a new type (LCL_SLU) of slope unit obtained by crossing classic hydrological partitioning with landform classification. At the same time, once a pixel-based model was prepared, four different SLU modelling strategies were applied to each of the obtained slope unit layers, including two different types of pixel score zoning, a pixel score re-modelling and a factor-based SLU re-modelling. According to the achieved results, LCL_SLUs produced the highest performance and reliability, offering an optimal compromise between the high-performing but scattered and the smoothed but lower-performing prediction images that were obtained from pixel-based and hydrologic SLU–based modelling, respectively. Additionally, among the four adopted SLU modelling strategies, the new proposed procedure, which uses the zoned pixel–based score deciles as the LCL_SLU predictors for a new regression, resulted in the best outstanding performance (ROC_AUC = 0.95).
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Agnesi V, Macaluso T, Monteleone S, Pipitone G (1984) Mass-movements in Western Sicily, Italy. Documents Du BRGM 83:471–476
Agnesi V, Macaluso T (1997) Mass movements in Sicily and their role in slope evolution. Studia Universitatis Babes-Bolyai. Mathematica 42(1–2):51–61
Agnesi V, Cosentino P, Di Maggio C, Macaluso T, Rotigliano E (1997) The great landslide at Portella Colla (Madonie, Sicily). Geogr Fis Din Quat 19(2):273–280
Agnesi V, De Cristofaro D, Di Maggio C, Macaluso T, Madonia G, Messana V (2000) Morphotectonic setting of the Madonie area (central northern Sicily). Mem Soc Geol Ital 55:373–379
Agnesi V, Camarda M, Conoscenti C, Di Maggio C, Serena Diliberto I, Madonia P, Rotigliano E (2005) A multidisciplinary approach to the evaluation of the mechanism that triggered the Cerda landslide (Sicily, Italy). Geomorphology 65:101–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2004.08.003
Alvioli M, Guzzetti F, Marchesini I (2020) Parameter-free delineation of slope units and terrain subdivision of Italy. Geomorphology 358:107124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107124
Alvioli M, Marchesini I, Reichenbach P, Rossi M, Ardizzone F, Fiorucci F, Guzzetti F (2016) Automatic delineation of geomorphological slope units with r.slopeunits v1.0 and their optimization for landslide susceptibility modeling. Geosci Model Dev 9:3975–3991. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3975-2016
Amato G, Eisank C, Castro-Camilo D, Lombardo L (2019) Accounting for covariate distributions in slope-unit-based landslide susceptibility models. A case study in the alpine environment. Eng Geol 260:105237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2019.105237
Ba Q, Chen Y, Deng S, Yang J, Li H (2018) A comparison of slope units and grid cells as mapping units for landslide susceptibility assessment. Earth Sci Informatics 11:373–388. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-018-0335-9
Bordoni M, Galanti Y, Bartelletti C, Persichillo MG, Barsanti M, Giannecchini R, Avanzi GDA, Cevasco A, Brandolini P, Galve JP, Meisina C (2020) The influence of the inventory on the determination of the rainfall-induced shallow landslides susceptibility using generalized additive models. CATENA 193:104630. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2020.104630
Brandolini P, Pepe G, Capolongo D, Cappadonia C, Cevasco A, Conoscenti C, Marsico A, Vergari F, Del Monte M (2018) Hillslope degradation in representative Italian areas: Just soil erosion risk or opportunity for development? L Degrad Dev 29:3050–3068. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2999
Buccolini M, Coco L, Cappadonia C, Rotigliano E (2012) Relationships between a new slope morphometric index and calanchi erosion in northern Sicily, Italy. Geomorphology 149–150:41–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2012.01.012
Cama M, Conoscenti C, Lombardo L, Rotigliano E (2016) Exploring relationships between grid cell size and accuracy for debris-flow susceptibility models: a test in the Giampilieri catchment (Sicily, Italy). Environ Earth Sci 75:1–21. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-5047-6
Cama M, Lombardo L, Conoscenti C, Agnesi V, Rotigliano E (2015) Predicting storm-triggered debris flow events: application to the 2009 Ionian Peloritan disaster (Sicily, Italy). Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 15:1785–1806. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1785-2015
Cama M, Lombardo L, Conoscenti C, Rotigliano E (2017) Improving transferability strategies for debris flow susceptibility assessment: application to the Saponara and Itala catchments (Messina, Italy). Geomorphology 288:52–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.03.025
Camilo DC, Lombardo L, Mai PM, Dou J, Huser R (2017) Handling high predictor dimensionality in slope-unit-based landslide susceptibility models through LASSO-penalized generalized linear model. Environ Model Softw. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.08.003
Cappadonia C, Coco L, Buccolini M, Rotigliano E (2016) From slope morphometry to morphogenetic processes: an integrated approach of field survey, geographic information system morphometric analysis and statistics in Italian badlands. L Degrad Dev 27:851–862. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2449
Cappadonia C, Conoscenti C, Rotigliano E (2011) Monitoring of erosion on two calanchi fronts-Northern Sicily (Italy). Landf Anal 17:21–25
Carrara A, Crosta G, Frattini P (2008) Comparing models of debris-flow susceptibility in the alpine environment. Geomorphology 94:353–378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.10.033
Chen W, Pourghasemi HR, Naghibi SA (2018) Prioritization of landslide conditioning factors and its spatial modeling in Shangnan County, China using GIS-based data mining algorithms. Bull Eng Geol Environ 77:611–629. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-017-1004-9
Chen W, Pourghasemi HR, Panahi M, Kornejady A, Wang J, Xie X, Cao S (2017) Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system combined with frequency ratio, generalized additive model, and support vector machine techniques. Geomorphology 297:69–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2017.09.007
Cheng L, Zhou B (2018) A new slope unit extraction method based on improved marked watershed. MATEC Web Conf 232:04070. https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201823204070
Conoscenti C, Ciaccio M, Caraballo-Arias NA, Gómez-Gutiérrez Á, Rotigliano E, Agnesi V (2015) Assessment of susceptibility to earth-flow landslide using logistic regression and multivariate adaptive regression splines: a case of the Belice River basin (western Sicily, Italy). Geomorphology 242:49–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2014.09.020
Conoscenti C, Rotigliano E (2020) Predicting gully occurrence at watershed scale: comparing topographic indices and multivariate statistical models. Geomorphology 359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107123
Conoscenti C, Rotigliano E, Cama M, Caraballo-Arias NA, Lombardo L, Agnesi V (2016) Exploring the effect of absence selection on landslide susceptibility models: a case study in Sicily, Italy. Geomorphology 261:222–235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2016.03.006
Costanzo D, Cappadonia C, Conoscenti C, Rotigliano E (2012) Exporting a Google EarthTM aided earth-flow susceptibility model: a test in central Sicily. Nat Hazards 61:103–114. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-011-9870-0
Costanzo D, Chacón J, Conoscenti C, Irigaray C, Rotigliano E (2014) Forward logistic regression for earth-flow landslide susceptibility assessment in the Platani river basin (southern Sicily, Italy). Landslides 11:639–653. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-013-0415-3
Di Maggio C, Madonia G, Vattano M (2014) Deep-seated gravitational slope deformations in western Sicily: controlling factors, triggering mechanisms, and morphoevolutionary models. Geomorphology 208:173–189. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.11.023
Di Maggio C, Madonia G, Vattano M, Agnesi V, Monteleone S (2017) Geomorphological evolution of western Sicily, Italy. Geol Carpath 68(1):80–93. https://doi.org/10.1515/geoca-2017-0007
Domènech G, Alvioli M, Corominas J (2019) Preparing first-time slope failures hazard maps: from pixel-based to slope unit-based. Landslides 249–265. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-019-01279-4
Ehlschlaeger C (1989) Using the AT search algorithm to develop hydrologic models from digital elevation data. Proceedings of International Geographic Information Systems (IGIS) Symposium 89:275–281
Erener A, Düzgün HSB (2012) Landslide susceptibility assessment: what are the effects of mapping unit and mapping method? Environ Earth Sci 66:859–877. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-011-1297-0
Fawcett T (2006) An introduction to ROC analysis. Pattern Recognit Lett 27:861–874. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2005.10.010
Friedman JH (1991) Multivariate adaptive regression splines. Ann Stat 19:1–67
Goodenough DJ, Rossmann K, Lusted LB (1974) Radiographic applications of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Radiology 110:89–95
Gugliotta C, Agate M, Sulli A (2013) Sedimentology and sequence stratigraphy of wedge-top clastic successions: insights and open questions from the upper Tortonian Terravecchia Formation of the Scillato Basin (central-northern Sicily, Italy). Mar Pet Geol 43:239–259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpetgeo.2013.02.004
Guisan A, Weiss SB, Weiss AD (1999) GLM versus CCA spatial modeling of plant species distribution. Author ( s ): Reviewed work ( s ): GLM versus CCA spatial modeling of plant species distribution. Plant Ecol 143:107–122
Guzzetti F, Carrara A, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P (1999) Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, Central Italy. Geomorphology 31:181–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-555X(99)00078-1
Hanley JA, McNeil BJ (1982) The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 143:29–36
Hosmer DW, Lemeshow S (2000) Applied logistic regression. Wiley series in probability and statistics. Wiley, New York
Hua Y, Wang X, Li Y, Xu P, Xia W (2020) Dynamic development of landslide susceptibility based on slope unit and deep neural networks. Landslides. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01444-0
Hungr O, Leroueil S, Picarelli L (2014) The Varnes classification of landslide types, an update. Landslides 11:167–194. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-013-0436-y
Jacobs L, Kervyn M, Reichenbach P, Rossi M, Marchesini I, Alvioli M, Dewitte O (2020) Regional susceptibility assessments with heterogeneous landslide information: slope unit- vs. pixel-based approach. Geomorphology 356:107084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107084
Lasko TA, Bhagwat JG, Zou KH, Ohno-Machado L (2005) The use of receiver operating characteristic curves in biomedical informatics. J Biomed Inform 38:404–415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2005.02.008
Lay US, Pradhan B, Yusoff ZBM, Abdallah AFB, Aryal J, Park HJ (2019) Data mining and statistical approaches in debris-flow susceptibility modelling using airborne LiDAR data. Sensors 19:3451. https://doi.org/10.3390/s19163451
Lombardo L, Bachofer F, Cama M, Märker M, Rotigliano E (2016) Exploiting maximum entropy method and ASTER data for assessing debris flow and debris slide susceptibility for the Giampilieri catchment (north-eastern Sicily, Italy). Earth Surf Process Landforms 41:1776–1789. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3998
Lombardo L, Cama M, Conoscenti C, Märker M, Rotigliano E (2015) Binary logistic regression versus stochastic gradient boosted decision trees in assessing landslide susceptibility for multiple-occurring landslide events: application to the 2009 storm event in Messina (Sicily, southern Italy). Nat Hazards 79:1621–1648. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1915-3
Lombardo L, Cama M, Maerker M, Rotigliano E (2014) A test of transferability for landslides susceptibility models under extreme climatic events: application to the Messina 2009 disaster. Nat Hazards 74:1951–1989. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1285-2
Martinello C, Cappadonia C, Conoscenti C, Agnesi V, Rotigliano E (2020) Optimal slope units partitioning in landslide susceptibility mapping. J Maps 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1080/17445647.2020.1805807
Metz M, Mitasova H, Harmon RS (2011) Efficient extraction of drainage networks from massive, radar-based elevation models with least cost path search. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15:667–678. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-667-2011
Milborrow S (2014) Notes on the Earth Package. Available online: http://www.milbo.org/doc/earth-notes.pdf. Accessed 29 Oct 2021
Morticelli MG, Valenti V, Catalano R, Sulli A, Agate M, Avellone G, Albanese C, Basilone L, Gugliotta C (2015) Deep controls on foreland basin system evolution along the Sicilian fold and thrust belt. Bull La Soc Geol Fr 186:273–290. https://doi.org/10.2113/gssgfbull.186.4-5.273
Naimi B (2017) Package “usdm”. Uncertainty analysis for species distribution models. R- Cran 18.
Nhu VH, Shirzadi A, Shahabi H, Chen W, Clague JJ, Geertsema M, Jaafari A, Avand M, Miraki S, Asl DT, Pham BT, Ahmad BB, Lee S (2020) Shallow landslide susceptibility mapping by random forest base classifier and its ensembles in a semi-arid region of Iran. Forests. https://doi.org/10.3390/F11040421
Ohlmacher GC (2007) Plan curvature and landslide probability in regions dominated by earth flows and earth slides. Eng Geol 91:117–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2007.01.005
Persichillo MG, Bordoni M, Meisina C, Bartelletti C, Barsanti M, Giannecchini R, D’Amato Avanzi G, Galanti Y, Cevasco A, Brandolini P, Galve JP (2017) Shallow landslides susceptibility assessment in different environments. Geomatics, Nat Hazards Risk 8:748–771. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1265011
Pourghasemi HR, Gayen A, Edalat M, Zarafshar M, Tiefenbacher JP (2020) Is multi-hazard mapping effective in assessing natural hazards and integrated watershed management? Geosci Front 11:1203–1217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2019.10.008
Pourghasemi HR, Rossi M (2017) Landslide susceptibility modeling in a landslide prone area in Mazandarn Province, north of Iran: a comparison between GLM, GAM, MARS, and M-AHP methods. Theor Appl Climatol 130:609–633. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1919-2
Pulice I, Cappadonia C, Scarciglia F, Robustelli G, Conoscenti C, De Rose R, Rotigliano E, Agnesi V (2012) Geomorphological, chemical and physical study of “calanchi” landforms in NW Sicily (southern Italy). Geomorphology 153–154:219–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2012.02.026
Qin S, Lv J, Cao C, Ma Z, Hu X, Liu F, Qiao S, Dou Q (2019) Mapping debris flow susceptibility based on watershed unit and grid cell unit: a comparison study. Geomatics, Nat Hazards Risk 10:1648–1666. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2019.1604572
Reichenbach P, Rossi M, Malamud BD, Mihir M, Guzzetti F (2018) A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models. Earth-Science Rev 180:60–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.03.001
Rotigliano E, Agnesi V, Cappadonia C, Conoscenti C (2011) The role of the diagnostic areas in the assessment of landslide susceptibility models: a test in the sicilian chain. Nat Hazards 58:981–999. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-010-9708-1
Rotigliano E, Cappadonia C, Conoscenti C, Costanzo D, Agnesi V (2012) Slope units-based flow susceptibility model: using validation tests to select controlling factors. Nat Hazards 61:143–153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-011-9846-0
Rotigliano E, Martinello C, Agnesi V, Conoscenti C (2018) Evaluation of debris flow susceptibility in El Salvador (CA): a comparison between multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and binary logistic regression (BLR). Hungarian Geogr Bull 67:361–373. https://doi.org/10.15201/hungeobull.67.4.5
Rotigliano E, Martinello C, Hernandéz MAA, Agnesi V, Conoscenti C (2019) Predicting the landslides triggered by the 2009 96E/Ida tropical storms in the Ilopango caldera area (El Salvador, CA): optimizing MARS-based model building and validation strategies. Environ Earth Sci. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-019-8214-3
Sorriso Valvo M , Agnesi V, Merenda L, Antronico L, Di Maggio C, Filice E, Petrucci O, Tansi C (1994) Temporal and spatial occurrence of landsliding and correlation with precipitation time series in Montalto Uffugo (Calabria) and Imera (Sicilia) areas. In: Temporal occurrence and forecasting of landslides in the European Community., vol. 1. Brussels:Eur 15805 EN, pp 825–869
Sun X, Chen J, Han X, Bao Y, Zhan J, Peng W (2020) Application of a GIS-based slope unit method for landslide susceptibility mapping along the rapidly uplifting section of the upper Jinsha River, South-Western China. Bull Eng Geol Environ 79:533–549. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-019-01572-5
Van Den Eeckhaut M, Reichenbach P, Guzzetti F, Rossi M, Poesen J (2009) Combined landslide inventory and susceptibility assessment based on different mapping units: an example from the Flemish Ardennes, Belgium. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 9:507–521. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-9-507-2009
Vargas-Cuervo G, Rotigliano E, Conoscenti C (2019) Prediction of debris-avalanches and -flows triggered by a tropical storm by using a stochastic approach: an application to the events occurred in Mocoa (Colombia) on 1 April 2017. Geomorphology 339:31–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2019.04.023
Wang LJ, Guo M, Sawada K, Lin J, Zhang J (2015) Landslide susceptibility mapping in Mizunami City, Japan: a comparison between logistic regression, bivariate statistical analysis and multivariate adaptive regression spline models. CATENA 135:271–282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.08.007
Wilson JP, Gallant GC (2000) Digital terrain analysis. In: Wilson JP, Gallant JC (eds) Terrain analysis: principles and applications. Wiley, New York, pp 1–27
Youden WJ (1950) Index for rating diagnostic tests. Cancer 3:32–35. https://doi.org/10.1002/1097-0142(1950)3:1%3c32::AID-CNCR2820030106%3e3.0.CO;2-3
Zêzere JL, Pereira S, Melo R, Oliveira SC, Garcia RAC (2017) Mapping landslide susceptibility using data-driven methods. Sci Total Environ 589:250–267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.188
Zhang T, Han L, Han J, Li X, Zhang H, Wang H (2019) Assessment of landslide susceptibility using integrated ensemble fractal dimension with Kernel logistic regression model. Entropy. https://doi.org/10.3390/e21020218
Acknowledgements
The research whose results are here presented and discussed was carried out in the framework of the SUFRA (SUscetibilità da FRAna) project, funded by the Basin Authority of the Hydrographic District of Sicily (Scient. Coord. Prof. E. Rotigliano). The authors wish to thank the anonymous reviewers for comments and suggestions which helped in increasing the quality of this paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Martinello, C., Cappadonia, C., Conoscenti, C. et al. Landform classification: a high-performing mapping unit partitioning tool for landslide susceptibility assessment—a test in the Imera River basin (northern Sicily, Italy). Landslides 19, 539–553 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-021-01781-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-021-01781-8