Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Skip to main content

Response of rangeland vegetation to snow cover dynamics in Nepal Trans Himalaya

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Global climate change is expected to result in greater variation in snow cover and subsequent impacts on land surface hydrology and vegetation production in the high Trans Himalayan region (THR). This paper examines how the changes in timing and duration of snow cover affect the spatio-temporal pattern of rangeland phenology and production in the region. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) 16-day normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from 2000 to 2009 and concurrent snow cover, precipitation and temperature data were analyzed. In contrast to numerous studies which have suggested that an earlier start of the season and an extension of the length of the growing season in mid and higher latitude areas due to global warming, this study shows a delay in the beginning of the growing season and the peak time of production, and a decline in the length of growing season in the drier part of THR following a decline and a delay in snow cover. Soil moisture in the beginning of the growing season and consequent rangeland vegetation production in drier areas of the THR was found to be strongly dependent upon the timing and duration of snow cover. However, in the wetter part of the THR, an earlier start of season, a delay in end of season and hence a longer growing season was observed, which could be attributed to warming in winter and early spring and cooling in summer and late spring and changes in timing of snow melt. The study shows a linear positive relationship between rangeland vegetation production and snow cover in the drier parts of THR, a quadratic relationship near to permanent snow line, and a negative linear relationship in wetter highlands. These findings suggest that, while temperature is important, changes in snow cover and precipitation pattern play more important roles in snow-fed, drier regions for rangeland vegetation dynamics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Barnett TP, Adam JC, Lettenmaier DP (2005) Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 438:303–309

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beck P, Atzberger C, Høgda K, Johansen B, Skidmore A (2006) Improved monitoring of vegetation dynamics at very high latitudes: a new method using MODIS NDVI. Remote Sens Environ 100:321–334

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beck P, Jönsson P, Høgda KA, Karlsen SR, Eklundh L, Skidmore AK (2007) A ground-validated NDVI dataset for monitoring vegetation dynamics and mapping phenology in Fennoscandia and the Kola peninsula. Int J Remote Sens 28:4311–4330

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bhattarai KR, Vetaas OR, Grytnes JA (2004) Fern species richness along a central Himalayan elevational gradient, Nepal. J Biogeogr 31:389–400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradley NL, Leopold AC, Ross J, Huffaker W (1999) Phenological changes reflect climate change in Wisconsin. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 96:9701–9704

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell JL, Mitchell MJ, Groffman PM, Christenson LM, Hardy JP (2005) Winter in northeastern North America: a critical period for ecological processes. Front Ecol Environ 3:314–322

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen X, Hu B, Yu R (2005) Spatial and temporal variation of phenological growing season and climate change impacts in temperate eastern China. Glob Chang Biol 11:1118–1130

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cleland EE, Chuine I, Menzel A, Mooney HA, Schwartz MD (2007) Shifting plant phenology in response to global change. Trends Ecol Evol 22:357–365

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dyurgerov MB, Meier MF (2005) Glaciers and the changing Earth system: a 2004 snapshot. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder

  • Edwards AC, Scalenghe R, Freppaz M (2007) Changes in the seasonal snow cover of alpine regions and its effect on soil processes: a review. Quat Int 162:172–181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Füssel HM (2009) An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Clim Chang 97:469–482

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Galen C, Stanton ML (1993) Short-term responses of alpine buttercups to experimental manipulations of growing season length. Ecology 74:1052–1058

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gautam R, Hsu NC, Lau KM (2010) Premonsoon aerosol characterization and radiative effects over the Indo-Gangetic plains: implications for regional climate warming. J Geophys Res 115:D17208

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grippa M, Kergoat L, Le Toan T, Mognard NM, Delbart N, L’Hermitte J, Vicente-Serrano SM (2005) The impact of snow depth and snowmelt on the vegetation variability over central Siberia. Geophys Res Lett 32:L21412

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gurung D, Amarnath G, Khun S, Shrestha B, Kulkarni A (eds) (2011) Snow-cover mapping and monitoring in the Hindu Kush-Himalayas. ICIMOD, Kathmandu, Nepal, 44 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Held IM, Soden BJ (2006) Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J Clim 19:5686–5699

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huntington TG (2006) Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: review and synthesis. J Hydrol 319:83–95

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Inouye DW (2008) Effects of climate change on phenology, frost damage, and floral abundance of montane wildflowers. Ecology 89:353–362

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Julien Y, Sobrino JA (2010) Comparison of cloud-reconstruction methods for time series of composite NDVI data. Remote Sens Environ 114:618–625

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Le Houérou HN, Hoste CH (1977) Rangeland production and annual rainfall relations in the Mediterranean Basin and in the African Sahelo-Sudanian zone. J Range Manage 30:181–189

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Leith H (1974) Purposes of a phenology book. In: Leith H (ed) Phenology and seasonality modeling. Springer, New York, pp 3–19

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu X, Yin ZY, Shao X, Qin N (2006) Temporal trends and variability of daily maximum and minimum, extreme temperature events, and growing season length over the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau during 1961–2003. J Geophys Res 111, D19109, 19 pp

  • Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N, Koch E, Aasa A, Ahas R, Alm-KÜBler K, Bissolli P, BraslavskÁ OG, Briede A (2006) European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Glob Chang Biol 12:1969–1976

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miehe G (1988) Vegetation patterns on Mount Everest as influenced by monsoon and föhn. Plant Ecol 79:21–32

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Myneni RB, Keeling CD, Tucker CJ, Asrar G, Nemani RR (1997) Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991. Nature 386:698–702

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nicholson SE, Davenport ML, Malo AR (1990) A comparison of the vegetation response to rainfall in the Sahel and East Africa, using normalized difference vegetation index from NOAA AVHRR. Clim Chang 17:209–241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Noy-Meir I (1973) Desert ecosystems: environment and producers. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 4:25–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NTNC (2008) Sustainable development plan of manang. NTNC/GoN/UNEP, Kathmandu, Nepal

    Google Scholar 

  • Olsson PQ, Sturm M, Racine CH, Romanovsky V, Liston GE (2003) Five stages of the Alaskan Arctic cold season with ecosystem implications. Arct Antarct Alp Res 35:74–81

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421:37–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (2007) Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK 976 pp

  • Paudel KP, Andersen P (2010) Assessing rangeland degradation using multi temporal satellite images and grazing pressure surface model in Upper Mustang, Trans Himalaya, Nepal. Remote Sens Environ 114:1845–1855

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paudel KP, Andersen P (2011) Monitoring snow cover variability in an agropastoral area in the Trans Himalayan region of Nepal using MODIS data with improved cloud removal methodology. Remote Sens Environ 115:1234–1246

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ram J, Singh SP, Singh JS (1988) Community level phenology of grassland above treeline in central Himalaya, India. Arctic Alpine Res 20(3):325–332

    Google Scholar 

  • Reed BC, Brown JF, VanderZee D, Loveland TR, Merchant JW, Ohlen DO (1994) Measuring phenological variability from satellite imagery. J Veg Sci 5:703–714

    Google Scholar 

  • Reed BC, Budde M, Spencer P, Miller AE (2009) Integration of MODIS-derived metrics to assess interannual variability in snowpack, lake ice, and NDVI in southwest Alaska. Remote Sens Environ 113:1443–1452

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

    Google Scholar 

  • Sternberg M, Gutman M, Perevolotsky A, Ungar ED, Kigel J (2000) Vegetation response to grazing management in a Mediterranean herbaceous community: a functional group approach. J Appl Ecol 37:224–237

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Studer S, Stöckli R, Appenzeller C, Vidale PL (2007) A comparative study of satellite and ground-based phenology. Int J Biometeorol 51:405–414

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth KE, Jones PD, Ambenje P, Bojariu R, Easterling D (2007) Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp 235–336

    Google Scholar 

  • Tucker CJ (1979) Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation. Remote Sens Environ 8:127–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walker DA, Halfpenny JC, Walker MD, Wessman CA (1993) Long-term studies of snow-vegetation interactions. BioScience 43:287–301

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJC, Fromentin JM, Hoegh-Guldberg O, Bairlein F (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416:389–395

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang J, Price KP, Rich PM (2001) Spatial patterns of NDVI in response to precipitation and temperature in the central Great Plains. Int J Remote Sens 22:3827–3844

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White MA, Thornton PE, Running SW (1997) A continental phenology model for monitoring vegetation responses to interannual climatic variability. Global Biogeochem Cycles 11:217–234

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White MA, de Beurs KM, Didan K, Inouye DW, Richardson AD, Jensen OP, O'Keefe J, Zhang G, Nemani RR, van Leeuwen WJD (2009) Intercomparison, interpretation, and assessment of spring phenology in North America estimated from remote sensing for 1982–2006. Glob Chang Biol 15:2335–2359

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wipf S, Stoeckli V, Bebi P (2009) Winter climate change in alpine tundra: plant responses to changes in snow depth and snowmelt timing. Clim Chang 94:105–121

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Worrall J (1999) Phenology and the changing seasons. Nature 399:101

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang X, Friedl MA, Schaaf CB, Strahler AH (2004) Climate controls on vegetation phenological patterns in northern mid-and high latitudes inferred from MODIS data. Glob Chang Biol 10:1133–1145

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Thanks to the Norwegian State Education Loan Fund (Lånekassen) and the Meltzer foundation for funding the first author. We especially thank three anonymous reviewers and the editor for their critical reviews, valuable comments and suggestions that greatly helped to improve the manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Keshav Prasad Paudel.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

ESM 1

(PDF 1.10 MB)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Paudel, K.P., Andersen, P. Response of rangeland vegetation to snow cover dynamics in Nepal Trans Himalaya. Climatic Change 117, 149–162 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0562-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0562-x

Keywords