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Real-Time Tsunami Forecasting: Challenges and Solutions

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Abstract

A new method for real-time tsunami forecasting will provide NOAA’s Tsunami Warning Centers with forecast guidance tools during an actual tsunami event. PMEL has developed the methodology of combining real-time data from tsunameters with numerical model estimates to provide site- and event-specific forecasts for tsunamis in real time. An overview of the technique and testing of this methodology is presented.

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Abbreviations

BPR:

bottom pressure recorder

DARPA:

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

MOST:

Method of Splitting Tsunamis

PMEL:

Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory

NASA:

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

NTHMP:

National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program

NOAA:

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

PDC:

Pacific Disaster Center

TWC:

Tsunami Warning Center

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of Washington, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean (JISA0), Box 354235, WA, 98195-4235, Seattle, USA

    Vasily V. Titov

  2. NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL), 7600 Sand Point Way NE, WA, 98115-6349, Seattle, USA

    Frank I. Gonzalez, E. N. Bernard, Marie C. Eble & Harold O. Mofjeld

  3. University of Washington, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean (JISA0) , Box 354235, WA, 98115-6349, Seattle, USA

    Jean C. Newman & Angie J. Venturato

Authors
  1. Vasily V. Titov
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  2. Frank I. Gonzalez
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  3. E. N. Bernard
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  4. Marie C. Eble
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  5. Harold O. Mofjeld
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  6. Jean C. Newman
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  7. Angie J. Venturato
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Correspondence to Vasily V. Titov.

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Titov, V.V., Gonzalez, F.I., Bernard, E.N. et al. Real-Time Tsunami Forecasting: Challenges and Solutions. Nat Hazards 35, 35–41 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-2403-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-2403-3

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