Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                

Modelo DinamicaPoblacional

Descargar como xls, pdf o txt
Descargar como xls, pdf o txt
Está en la página 1de 15

Una población se halla formada inicialmente por 1000

individuos, su tasa de natalidad es del 5% semanal, y su


esperanza media de vida es de 100 semanas.
No hay migraciones y la distribución de edades de la población
es uniforme. Si se mantienen constantes la tasa de natalidad y
la esperanza de vida, obtendremos una determinada evolución
temporal del número de individuos.
Crecimiento poblacional
Población inicial 30
Esperanzan de vida 15
Tasa de natalidad 20%
Población final despues de 50 años
crecimiento poblacional estudiantil
Población estudiantil 500
tasa de ingreso 0.05
tiempo de graduacion 7 años
Población de conejos
Población inic 1000
tasa de natal 20%
tasa de morta 30%
Crecimiento poblacional de Cajamarca
tasa de natalidad 33,8/1000 0.0338
esperanza de vida 69,8 años 69.8
poblacion 2007 316152 habitantes

PERIODO PO N M PF
2007 316152 10685.9376 4529.39828 322308.539
2008 322308.539 10894.0286 4617.60085 328584.967
2009 328584.967 11106.1719 4707.52102 334983.618
2010 334983.618 11322.4463 4799.19223 341506.872
2011 341506.872 11542.9323 4892.6486 348157.156
2012 348157.156 11767.7119 4987.92487 354936.943
2013 354936.943 11996.8687 5085.05649 361848.755
2014 361848.755 12230.4879 5184.07958 368895.163
2015 368895.163 12468.6565 5285.03099 376078.789
2016 376078.789 12711.4631 5387.94826 383402.304
2017 383402.304 12958.9979 5492.86968 390868.432
2018 390868.432 13211.353 5599.83427 398479.95
2019 398479.95 13468.6223 5708.88181 406239.691
2020 406239.691 13730.9016 5820.05288 414150.54
2021 414150.54 13998.2882 5933.38882 422215.439
2022 422215.439 14270.8818 6048.93179 430437.389
2023 430437.389 14548.7838 6166.72477 438819.448
2024 438819.448 14832.0973 6286.81158 447364.734
2025 447364.734 15120.928 6409.23687 456076.425
2026 456076.425 15415.3832 6534.0462 464957.762
2027 464957.762 15715.5724 6661.28599 474012.048
2028 474012.048 16021.6072 6791.00356 483242.652
2029 483242.652 16333.6016 6923.24716 492653.006
2030 492653.006 16651.6716 7058.06599 502246.612
2031 502246.612 16975.9355 7195.5102 512027.037
2032 512027.037 17306.5139 7335.63091 521997.92
2033 521997.92 17643.5297 7478.48023 532162.97
2034 532162.97 17987.1084 7624.11131 542525.967
2035 542525.967 18337.3777 7772.57832 553090.766
2036 553090.766 18694.4679 7923.93648 563861.298
2037 563861.298 19058.5119 8078.24209 574841.567
2038 574841.567 19429.645 8235.55254 586035.66
2039 586035.66 19808.0053 8395.92636 597447.739
2040 597447.739 20193.7336 8559.42319 609082.049
2041 609082.049 20586.9733 8726.10386 620942.919
2042 620942.919 20987.8706 8896.03035 633034.759
2043 633034.759 21396.5748 9069.26589 645362.068
2044 645362.068 21813.2379 9245.8749 657929.431
2045 657929.431 22238.0148 9425.92308 670741.522
2046 670741.522 22671.0635 9609.4774 683803.109
2047 683803.109 23112.5451 9796.60614 697119.047
2048 697119.047 23562.6238 9987.3789 710694.292
2049 710694.292 24021.4671 10181.8667 724533.893
2050 724533.893 24489.2456 10380.1417 738642.997
2051 738642.997 24966.1333 10582.2779 753026.852
2052 753026.852 25452.3076 10788.3503 767690.809
2053 767690.809 25947.9494 10998.4357 782640.323
Tiempo Presa Depredador
t H(t) P(t) dH/dt = rH - aPH Parametros
0 50 15 dP/dt = bPH - mP r 0.1
1 47.5 15 a 0.01
2 45.125 14.9625 b 0.001
3 42.8856719 14.8895578 m 0.05
4 40.7887522 14.7836286
5 38.8375697 14.6474529
6 37.032612 14.4839518
7 35.3720875 14.2961328
8 33.8524557 14.0870102
9 32.4689024 13.8595395
10 31.2157522 13.6165666
11 30.0868138 13.3607896
12 29.0756592 13.0947338
13 28.175845 12.8207351
14 27.381079 12.5409334
15 26.6853441 12.257271
16 26.0829835 11.9714969
17 25.5687583 11.6851744
18 25.1378801 11.3996911
19 24.7860275 11.1162706
20 24.5093483 10.8359853
21 24.3044538 10.559769
22 24.168405 10.2884299
23 24.0986961 10.0226634
24 24.0932345 9.76306333
25 24.1503202 9.51013394
26 24.2686244 9.26430002
27 24.4471687 9.02591684
28 24.6853044 8.79527911
29 24.9826934 8.5726293
30 25.3392891 8.3581652
31 25.7553184 8.1520469
32 26.2312646 7.95440312
33 26.7678505 7.76533702
34 27.3660217 7.58493155
35 28.0269299 7.41325437
36 28.7519153 7.25036241
37 29.5424887 7.0963061
38 30.4003122 6.95113334
39 31.3271772 6.81489329
40 32.3249812 6.68764
41 33.3957009 6.56943584
42 34.5413619 6.46035496
43 35.7640035 6.36048667
44 37.0656392 6.2699388
45 38.4482102 6.18884115
46 39.9135326 6.11734896
47 41.4632357 6.05564652
48 43.0986923 6.00395089
49 44.8209372 5.96251578
50 46.6305755 5.93163554
51 48.5276773 5.91164934
52 50.5116589 5.90294548
53 52.5811491 5.90596578
54 54.7338393 5.92120996
55 56.9663177 5.94924001
56 59.2738865 5.99068431
57 61.6503637 6.04624123
58 64.0878704 6.11668214
59 66.5766061 6.20285317
60 69.1046176 6.30567542
61 71.6575665 6.42614294
62 74.2185055 6.56531756
63 76.7676754 6.72431974
64 79.282339 6.90431415
65 81.7366712 7.10648861
66 84.1017311 7.33202491
67 86.3455443 7.58205965
68 88.4333281 7.85763373
69 90.3278939 8.15962875
70 91.9902625 8.48868939
71 93.3805211 8.84513169
72 94.4589431 9.22883811
73 95.1873745 9.6391425
74 95.5308653 10.07471
75 95.4594941 10.5334203
76 94.9502938 11.0122643
77 93.9891459 11.5072688
78 92.5724769 12.0134637
79 90.7085636 12.5249066
80 88.4182571 13.0347776
81 85.7349597 13.535551
82 82.7037565 14.0192434
83 79.3796912 14.4777253
84 75.8252867 14.9030764
85 72.107515 15.2879526
86 68.2945038 15.6259312
87 64.4523019 15.9117999
88 60.6420108 16.141762
89 56.9175228 16.3135429
90 53.3240106 16.4263922
91 49.8972006 16.4809937
92 46.6633662 16.4792994
93 43.639907 16.424314
94 40.8363423 16.3198539
95 38.2555451 16.1703043
96 35.8950616 15.9803929
97 33.7483959 15.7549904
98 31.8061789 15.4989466
99 30.0571741 15.2169615
100 28.4891029 14.9134923
101 27.089293 14.5926897
102 25.8451659 14.2583609
103 24.7445854 13.9139525
104 23.7760941 13.5625499
105 22.9290589 13.2068869
106 22.1937499 12.849364
107 21.5613692 12.4920714
108 21.0240445 12.136814
109 20.5747998 11.7851382
110 20.2075112 11.4383581
111 19.9168548 11.097581
112 19.6982512 10.7637308
113 19.5478096 10.437571
114 19.462274 10.1197241
115 19.438973 9.81069071
116 19.4757728 9.51086592
117 19.5710354 9.22055409
118 19.7235811 8.93998218
119 19.9326545 8.66931153
120 20.1978961 8.40864835
121 20.5193156 8.15805293
122 20.8972705 7.91754795
123 21.3324462 7.6871257
124 21.8258389 7.46675461
125 22.3787409 7.25638506
126 22.9927274 7.05595457
127 23.6696437 6.86539248
128 24.4115942 6.68462425
129 25.2209302 6.51357537
130 26.100239 6.35217503
131 27.05233 6.20035957
132 28.0802213 6.05807576
133 29.1871223 5.92528408
134 30.3764146 5.80196187
135 31.6516281 5.68810657
136 33.0164126 5.58373908
137 34.4745035 5.48890716
138 36.0296804 5.40368915
139 37.6857165 5.32819788
140 39.4463186 5.26258494
141 41.3150544 5.2070453
142 43.2952662 5.16182239
143 45.3899681 5.12721375
144 47.6017242 5.10357713
145 49.932506 5.09133735
146 52.3835242 5.09099371
147 54.9550347 5.10312822
148 57.6461123 5.12841439
149 60.454392 5.16762683
150 63.3757738 5.22165122
151 66.4040894 5.29149485
152 69.5307293 5.378297
153 72.7442331 5.48333907
154 76.0298435 5.60805341
155 79.3690336 5.75403016
156 82.7390188 5.92302047
157 86.1122717 6.11693435
158 89.4560677 6.33783074
159 92.7321004 6.58789662
160 95.8962155 6.86941128
161 98.8983316 7.18469126
162 101.682625 7.53601067
163 104.188074 7.92549149
164 106.349464 8.35495861
165 108.098957 8.82575605
166 109.368303 9.33852327
167 110.091748 9.89293555
168 110.209618 10.4874193
169 109.672435 11.1188629
170 108.44535 11.7823525
171 106.512472 12.4709762
172 103.880574 13.1757419
173 100.581595 13.8856584
174 96.6733382 14.5880172
175 92.2379488 15.2688886
176 87.378034 15.9138152
177 82.2106586 16.5086423
178 76.8598609 17.0403965
179 71.4486219 17.4980992
180 66.0913333 17.8734093
181 60.8876921 18.1610163
182 55.9186376 18.3587479
183 51.2445397 18.4674066
184 46.9054561 18.4903901
185 42.9229999 18.4331707
186 39.3032301 18.3027192
187 36.0399932 18.1069392
188 33.1182529 17.8541662
189 30.5170903 17.5527567
190 28.2122087 17.2107779 Chart Title
120
191 26.177889 16.8357931
192 24.3884226 16.434729 100
193 22.8190937 16.0138096
194 21.4467969 15.5785398 80
195 20.2503788 15.1337226
60
196 19.2107805 14.6835
197 18.3110436 14.2314065 40
198 17.5362289 13.7804281
199 16.8732844 13.3330635 20
200 16.3108871 12.8913829
0
0 50 100 150
H(t) P(t)
0.8
0.05
0.001
0.05
P(t)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Chart Title

100 150 200 250


H(t) P(t)

También podría gustarte