Gastos en

investigacio utilidad
año 45
ny anual
desarrollo 40

2016 5 30 35
2017 11 42 30

utilidad anual
2018 4 28 25
2019 5 30
20
2020 3 26
15
2021 2 24
10
5
n 6 0
1 2 3 4

xi yi xi.yi xi^2
5 30 150 25
11 42 462 121
4 28 112 16
5 30 150 25
3 26 78 9
2 24 48 4
30 180 1000 200

numerador 600 promedio y

deniminador 300 promediox
total 2
intercepto
pendiente: b1 2 𝑏𝑜=Ў−b1
 utilidad anual
45
40
35
30
utilidad anual

25
20
15
10
5
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gastos en investigacion

Y=bo+b1x
30
42
28
30
26
24

30
5

bo= 20
 Salario Inicial
CP
Anual

X Yobservado XY X^2 Y^2

3.95 70,300 277,685 15.60 4,942,090,000

4.20 76,000 319,200 17.64 5,776,000,000
4.40 80,180 352,792 19.36 6,428,832,400
4.60 85,120 391,552 21.16 7,245,414,400
4.20 80,560 338,352 17.64 6,489,913,600
3.85 57,000 219,450 14.82 3,249,000,000
4.10 68,400 280,440 16.81 4,678,560,000
3.85 71,440 275,044 14.82 5,103,673,600
4.05 59,660 241,623 16.40 3,559,315,600
3.70 54,720 202,464 13.69 2,994,278,400
3.75 58,900 220,875 14.06 3,469,210,000
4.10 65,360 267,976 16.81 4,271,929,600
4.15 72,200 299,630 17.22 5,212,840,000
3.95 65,360 258,172 15.60 4,271,929,600
3.75 63,840 239,400 14.06 4,075,545,600
Totales 60.60 1,029,040.00 4,184,655.00 245.71 71,768,532,800

pendiente b1 30,850 410001

formula excel 13.29

∑XiYi 4,184,655
∑Xi 60.60
∑Yi 1,029,040
n 15
∑Xi² 245.71
( ∑Xi)² 3,672

Intercepto bo

Ymedia ∑Yi /n 68,603

Xmedia ∑Xi/n 4.04
b1 30,850

La recta de regresión estimada

Y estimada -56,033 + 30.850 X

Proyectar salario inicial anual con base en una CP = 4,5

Yestimado para un X=( 4,5)=

Proyectar salario inicial anual con base en una CP = 3

Yestimado para un X=( 3,0)=

Proyectar la calificación promedio para un salario inicial anual de $50.000

Y estimada = -56,033 +

50,000 -56,033

106,033

3.44

S² = ∑(Yi - Ŷi)² /(n-2) = ∑ e²i / (n -2) estimador de la varianza σ²

S²

Coeficiente de Correlación 84.76%

excel

Coeficiente de determinación

R² = 71.85%
R² = 71.85%

R² = 1 330,400,048
1,173,644,693

R² = 1 0.28151624602 71.85%
 -56,033 + 30.850 X
Salario Inicial
Anual
estimado

Error = Yobservado - (Y^i-

Y estimado Error² = ∑Ei² = (Yi - Yˆi)² (Yi- Ymedia)²
Yestimado Ymedia)²

65,826 4,474 20,015,457 2,880,940 7,709,121

73,539 2,461 6,057,895 54,720,540 24,364,631
79,709 471 222,040 134,034,647 123,345,944
85,879 -759 575,863 272,822,300 298,466,728
73,539 7,021 49,298,361 142,977,820 24,364,631
62,741 -5,741 32,960,256 134,621,874 34,357,936
70,454 -2,054 4,217,630 41,074 3,426,276
62,741 8,699 75,670,821 8,050,460 34,357,936
68,911 -9,251 85,584,147 79,971,287 95,174
58,114 -3,394 11,516,192 192,728,434 110,021,536
59,656 -756 571,640 94,141,740 80,041,619
70,454 -5,094 25,945,647 10,514,887 3,426,276
71,996 204 41,533 12,940,807 11,516,095
65,826 -466 217,283 10,514,887 7,709,121
59,656 4,184 17,505,283 22,682,994 80,041,619
-0.000000005 330,400,048 1,173,644,693 843,244,645
b1 = n∑XiYi - ∑Xi∑Yi
30,850 n∑Xi² - (∑Xi)²
formula

-56,033 b1 = n∑XiYi - ∑Xi∑Yi

formula n∑Xi² - (∑Xi)²

-56,033
Excel
 82,794
82,794

36,518

30.850 X

30.850 X

30.850 X

330,400,048 25,415,388 S² = ∑(Yi - Ŷi)² /(n-2

13

18,177

410,001
formula
13.29 17,604,670,400

410,001 84.76%
483,700 formulación
 Califi cacion- Salario
Yobservado Y estimado
95,000

85,000
ӯ
75,000
regresió
65,000 n
= (Ῠi-ӯ)
Total =
55,000 (Yi- ӯ)
error
= Yi -
45,000 Ῠi

35,000
3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60 4.80

1 = n∑XiYi - ∑Xi∑Yi bo = Ymedia – b1Xmedia Ymedia = ∑Yi/n Xmedia =∑Xi/n

n∑Xi² - (∑Xi)²

1 = n∑XiYi - ∑Xi∑Yi bo = Ymedia – b1Xmedia Ymedia = ∑Yi/n Xmedia =∑Xi/n

n∑Xi² - (∑Xi)²
S² = ∑(Yi - Ŷi)² /(n-2) = ∑ e²i / (n -2) estimador de la varianza σ²
 salario inicial
cp anual
3.95 70,300
4.20 90,000 sal
76,000
4.40 80,180 80,000
4.60 85,120 70,000
4.20 80,560 60,000
3.85 57,000 50,000
4.10 68,400
40,000
3.85 71,440
4.05 30,000
59,660
3.70 54,720 20,000
3.75 58,900 10,000
4.10 65,360 0
0.50 1.00 1.50 2.0
4.15 72,200
3.95 65,360
3.75 63,840

n 15 xi
3.95
numerador 410001 4.20
denominador 13.29 4.40
total 30850 4.60
4.20
pendiente 30850 3.85
4.10
3.85
𝑏𝑜=Ў−𝑏1𝑋 -56033 4.05
3.70
prom y= 68,603 3.75
prom x= 4.04 4.10
4.15
Y=bo+b1x 3.95
3.75
60.60
90,000 salario inicial anual
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00

yi xi.yi xi^2 Y=bo+b1x

70,300 277685 15.60 65826
76,000 319200 17.64 73539
80,180 352792 19.36 79709
85,120 391552 21.16 85879
80,560 338352 17.64 73539
57,000 219450 14.82 62741
68,400 280440 16.81 70454
71,440 275044 14.82 62741
59,660 241623 16.40 68911
54,720 202464 13.69 58114
58,900 220875 14.06 59656
65,360 267976 16.81 70454
72,200 299630 17.22 71996
65,360 258172 15.60 65826
63,840 239400 14.06 59656
### ### 245.71