Abstract
This chapter presents the profile and trends of the academic discipline of Future-oriented Technology Assessment (FTA) and its approaches. This chapter presents the profile and trends of the academic discipline of FTA and its approaches. This is achieved through analyses of the development, focus and scientific impact of FTA. As such, this chapter contributes to the discussion on the conceptual development and academic positioning of FTA (or Foresight). The chapter is based on bibliometric analyses of the special issues of five international journals published after the FTA conferences in 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2011: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Futures, Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, Science and Public Policy, and Foresight. Methodologically, the paper draws on the principles of Elsevier’s Scopus and Thompson Reuter’s Web of Science. The chapter concludes that the field of FTA seems to have remained remarkably stable over the last decade. As an academic field, FTA has targeted a small number of journals for its publications, which has helped to further define and focus the field. Finally, the chapter concludes that publications in special issues of international journals resulting from the FTA conferences have a similar level of quality and scientific impact as articles published in standard issues of these journals.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
- 1.
Organizations such as World Futures Studies Federation are focused on Futures Studies, which we consider somewhat distinct from FTA and Foresight.
References
Abadie, F., Friedewald, M., & Weber, K. M. (2010). Adaptive Foresight in the creative content industries: anticipating value chain transformations and need for policy action. Science and Public Policy, 37(1), 19–30.
Abbott, A. (2001). Chaos of disciplines. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Andersen, A. D., & Andersen, P. D. (2014). Innovation system foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 88, 276–286.
Asheim, B. T., & Gertler, M. (2005). The geography of innovation: Regional innovation systems. In J. Fagerberg, D. Mowery, & R. Nelson. (Eds.), The Oxford handbook of innovation. Oxford, USA: Oxford University Press.
Barré, R., & Keenan, M. (2008). Revisiting foresight rationales: What lessons from the social sciences and humanities? In C. Cagnin, et al. (Eds.), Future-oriented technology analysis—Strategic intelligence for an innovative economy. Berlin: Springer.
Butter, M., et al. (2008). Editors’ introduction to the European Foresight Monitoring Network. Foresight, 10(6), 3–15.
Cooke, P. (2012). Complex adaptive innovation systems: Relatedness and transversality in the evolving region (Regions and Cities) (1st ed.). London: Routledge.
Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1962). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Santa Monica, CA: INFORMS.
Fuller, T., & Loogma, K. (2009). Constructing futures: A social constructionist perspective on foresight methodology. Futures, 41(2), 71–79.
Georghiou, L. (2001). Third generation foresight—Integrating the socio-economic dimension. NISTEP Study Material.
Georghiou, L., & Cassingena Harper, J. (2011). From priority-setting to articulation of demand: Foresight for research and innovation policy and strategy. Futures, 43(3), 243–251.
Georghiou, L., Harper, J. C., & Scapolo, F. (2011). From priority-setting to societal challenges in future-oriented technology analysis. Futures, 43(3), 229–231.
Georghiou, L., et al. (2008). The handbook of technology foresight. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing.
Hideg, É. (2007). Theory and practice in the field of Foresight. Foresight, 9(6), 36–46.
Irvine, J., & Martin, B. R. (1984). Foresight in science: Picking the winners. London: Pinter Publishers.
Jantsch, E. (1967). Technology forecasting in perspective. Paris: OECD.
Könnölä, T., Smith, J., & Eerola, A. (2009). Introduction: Future-oriented technology analysis—Impacts and implications for policy and decision making. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76(9), 1135–1137.
Martin, B. R. (2014). R&D policy instruments—A critical review of what we do and don’t know, Aalborg.
Miles, I. (2008). From futures to foresight. In The handbook of technology foresight: Concepts and practice.
Miles, I. (2010). The development of technology foresight: A review. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1448–1456.
Norwegian Research Council. (2010). Foresight i Norge 2009. Mot et nytt kunnskapsfelt, Norwegian Research Council.
Öner, M. A. (2010). On theory building in foresight and futures studies: A discussion note. Futures, 42(9), 1019–1030.
Oner, M. A., & Saritas, O. (2005). A systems approach to policy analysis and development planning. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72(7), 886–911.
Roveda, C., & Vecchiato, R. (2008). Foresight and innovation in the context of industrial clusters: The case of some Italian districts. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 75(6), 817–833.
Saritas, O. (2011). Systemic foresight methodology. In Forth International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) FTA and Grand Societal Challenges—Shaping and Driving Structural and Systemic Transformations SEVILLE, May 12–13, 2011.
Weber, M., Schaper-Rinkel, P., & Butter, M. (2009). Sectoral innovation foresight. Introduction/Interim Report, Brussels.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Andersen, P.D., Alkærsig, L. (2016). Profile and Trends of FTA and Foresight. In: Daim, T., Chiavetta, D., Porter, A., Saritas, O. (eds) Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39056-7_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39056-7_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-39054-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-39056-7
eBook Packages: Business and ManagementBusiness and Management (R0)