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Evaluation of the trend uncertainty in summer ozone valley over the Tibetan Plateau in three reanalysis datasets

  • Special Collection on Climate System Research in China
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Abstract

Trend uncertainty in the ozone valley over the Tibetan Plateau (OVTP) and the South Asian high (SAH) during 1979–2009 in ERA-Interim (interim reanalysis data from the ECMWF), JRA-55 (55-yr reanalysis data from the Japan Meteorological Agency), and NCEP-CFSR (Climate Forecast System Reanalysis) datasets was evaluated. The results showed that the NCEP-CFSR OVTP became strong in the summers of 1979–2009, whereas it became weak according to ERA-Interim and JRA-55. Satellite data merged with TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) and OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) agreed with the OVTP trend of NCEP-CFSR. The OVTP strengthening in NCEP-CFSR may have been caused by SAH intensification, a rising tropopause, and increasing ozone over non-TP (non-Tibetan Plateau) areas (27°–37°N, < 75°E and > 105°E). Analogously, the OVTP weakening in ERA-Interim and JRA-55 may have been affected by weakening SAH, descending tropopause, and decreasing non-TP ozone.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China

    Dong Guo, Yucheng Su & Chunhua Shi

  2. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081, China

    Xiuji Zhou, Yu Liu & Weiliang Li

  3. Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang, 520488, China

    Jianjun Xu

  4. Shanghai Climate Center, Shanghai, 200030, China

    Zhenkun Li

Authors
  1. Dong Guo
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  2. Yucheng Su
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  3. Xiuji Zhou
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  4. Jianjun Xu
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  5. Chunhua Shi
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  6. Yu Liu
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  7. Weiliang Li
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  8. Zhenkun Li
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jianjun Xu.

Additional information

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41305039, 41675039, 91537213, 41375047, 41375092, 41475140, 41641042, and 41575057) and Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (PAPD).

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Guo, D., Su, Y., Zhou, X. et al. Evaluation of the trend uncertainty in summer ozone valley over the Tibetan Plateau in three reanalysis datasets. J Meteorol Res 31, 431–437 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-017-6058-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-017-6058-x

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