This paper investigates potential Chinese Yuan real effective exchange rate misalignment employin... more This paper investigates potential Chinese Yuan real effective exchange rate misalignment employing a behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model. Quarterly data from 1986I to 2002III are employed to estimate an ARIMA model of the real effective exchange rate using feasible GLS. After initial cointegration analysis, and Beveridge-Nelson decomposition a vector error correction model (VECM) is estimated. Macroeconomic fundamentals which influence
ABSTRACT The role of foreign capital inflow, foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfoli... more ABSTRACT The role of foreign capital inflow, foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI), on export behavior of both recipients and non-recipient competing firms in the same sector often guides economic development policy. By using panel data of Indian IT firms over 2000-2006, we show that FDI reduces the sunk costs of entering foreign markets and therefore positively effects both the decision to export and the export propensity of recipient firms. Foreign portfolio investment has no effect on the decision to export, but it does marginally increase the volume of exports. Further, these positive FDI and FPI recipient effects do not spill-over to non-recipients.
This paper investigates potential Chinese Yuan real effective exchange rate misalignment employin... more This paper investigates potential Chinese Yuan real effective exchange rate misalignment employing a behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model. Quarterly data from 1986I to 2002III are employed to estimate an ARIMA model of the real effective exchange rate using feasible GLS. After initial cointegration analysis, and Beveridge-Nelson decomposition a vector error correction model (VECM) is estimated. Macroeconomic fundamentals which influence
ABSTRACT The role of foreign capital inflow, foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfoli... more ABSTRACT The role of foreign capital inflow, foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI), on export behavior of both recipients and non-recipient competing firms in the same sector often guides economic development policy. By using panel data of Indian IT firms over 2000-2006, we show that FDI reduces the sunk costs of entering foreign markets and therefore positively effects both the decision to export and the export propensity of recipient firms. Foreign portfolio investment has no effect on the decision to export, but it does marginally increase the volume of exports. Further, these positive FDI and FPI recipient effects do not spill-over to non-recipients.
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Papers by David Kemme