NAVIGATING SECURITY IN FLUX COUNTERING THE PKK IN 2023, 2024
This data-driven report analyzes the evolving landscape of Turkish counterterrorism (CT) operatio... more This data-driven report analyzes the evolving landscape of Turkish counterterrorism (CT) operations in 2023, highlighting significant shifts in tactics, regional focus, and strategic impacts. Turkish CT efforts have notably pushed terrorist threats away from its soil into Syria and Iraq, leading to a decreased intensity of military operations within Türkiye. A total of 1,983 operations were conducted, predominantly targeting PKK/YPG elements. Key strategies included the use of unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) and comprehensive airstrikes, which were particularly effective in disrupting PKK/YPG leadership and infrastructure. Domestically, Türkiye shifted towards policing operations, addressing organized crime and gangs, reflecting a decrease in armed terrorist activities. In Syria, operations focused on strategic strikes in the Aleppo governorate, while in Iraq, efforts centered around Operation Claw-Lock to prevent PKK resurgence in the Duhok governorate. The use of advanced military technologies and intelligence, such as MIT’s decapitation operations, significantly disrupted terrorist command structures and capabilities. Despite these successes, the PKK/YPG remains a persistent threat, adapting by employing smaller tactical formations, increased secrecy, and underground tactics. Emerging threats, including the use of off-the-shelf drones by the PKK/YPG, highlight future challenges for Turkish security forces. The report underscores the necessity of ongoing vigilance, adaptive strategies, and regional cooperation to maintain security and stability amidst shifting geopolitical dynamics and continued U.S. support for PKK/YPG under the guise of combating DAESH.
Türkiye'nin Geleceği Milli Muharip Uçak KAAN, 2024
• Milli Muharip Uçak Projesi’nin geliştirme süreci nasıl başladı?
• Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik öze... more • Milli Muharip Uçak Projesi’nin geliştirme süreci nasıl başladı? • Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik özellikleri nelerdir? • KAAN, Türkiye’nin muharebe kapasitesini nasıl artıracak?
THE ASCENSION OF TURKEY AS A DRONE POWER HISTORY, STRATEGY, AND GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS, 2020
This paper investigates the trajectories of Turkey’s drone program, its historical origins, strat... more This paper investigates the trajectories of Turkey’s drone program, its historical origins, strategical rationality, and geopolitical implications. The paper historically contextualizes and empirically analyzes Turkey’s “drone strategy” by focusing on industrial, military, and geopolitical dimensions. In the first part, it examines the historical evolution of Turkey’s drone program. The second part, assesses Turkish companies’ successful initiatives and their impacts on Turkey’s boosting drone industry. In the third and final part, the paper seeks to unpack the question of how Turkey’s robust unmanned aerial systems development program serves Turkey’s geopolitical interests and military power projection in conflict zones such as Syria and Libya.
Turkey has made tremendous strides in developing indigenous unmanned aerial vehicles and smart mu... more Turkey has made tremendous strides in developing indigenous unmanned aerial vehicles and smart munitions in the last decade. This report will unpack the debates over Turkey’s drone industry through the contribution of distinguished experts’ comments and assessments.In this report in the first section, the emerging unmanned military platforms and smart systems produced by Turkey and their impact on military norms and practices in several conflict areas will be discussed. In the second section, the questions of how these technologies are shaping Turkey’s ties with buyer countries, trends, and competition in the drone market will be answered.
REMOTE CONTROL AERIAL ELIMINATION OF THE PKK’S TERRORIST LEADERS AND OPERATIVES, 2023
In this meticulous inquiry, we undertake an exhaustive assessment of the extant and conceivable r... more In this meticulous inquiry, we undertake an exhaustive assessment of the extant and conceivable role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles also known as UAVs, in the efficacy of counterterrorism operations. Our scrutiny revolves around their application in military and operational spheres, while conscientiously considering the inherent advantages and plausible risks they entail. Of particular interest is Türkiye’s invaluable experience in combating the notorious PKK terrorist organization, as we attribute significant importance to comprehending the operational and strategic implications of employing UAVs in this context. Delving into the core of this study, we leverage data derived from two distinguished repositories—the Terrorism Analysis Platform and Türkiye’s Enemy Killed in Action Dataset—to compose an authoritative report. Our focus lies on the profound examination of the intricate effects of UAV deployment in counterterrorism endeavors, particularly pertaining to the PKK’s organizational structure, command hierarchy, recruitment of skilled human resources, access to essential material resources, and the dynamic tactical metamorphosis undergone by the terrorist organization. Through this rigorous analysis, we aim to shed illuminating light on the multifaceted role of UAVs and their profound impact on the protracted battle against terrorism.
Bu analiz Türkiye’nin “insansız hava araçları” (İHA) programının tarihsel dönüm noktalarını, stra... more Bu analiz Türkiye’nin “insansız hava araçları” (İHA) programının tarihsel dönüm noktalarını, stratejik etki ve jeopolitik sonuçlarını araştırmaktadır. Türkiye’nin İHA stratejisini savunma sanayii, askeri ve jeopolitik boyutlara odaklanmak suretiyle tarihsel bir bağlamda ele almakta ve tahlil etmektedir. Birinci bölümde Türkiye’nin İHA programının tarihsel serüveni incelenmektedir. İkinci bölümde Türk şirketlerinin başarılı girişimleri ve bu girişimlerin Türkiye’nin giderek yükselen İHA programı üzerindeki etkileri değerlendirilmektedir. Üçüncü ve son bölümde ise Türkiye’nin etkin İHA sistemleri geliştirme programının ülkenin jeopolitik çıkarlarına ve Suriye ile Libya gibi çatışma bölgelerinde askeri gücüne nasıl hizmet ettiği sorusuna cevap aranmaktadır.
This article investigates the trajectories of Turkey's drone program, its historical origins, str... more This article investigates the trajectories of Turkey's drone program, its historical origins, strategical rationality, and geopolitical implications. The article historically contextualizes and empirically analyzes Turkey's "drone strategy" by focusing on industrial, military, and geopolitical dimensions. The first part examines the historical evolution of Turkey's drone program. The second part assesses Turkish companies' successful initiatives and their impacts on Turkey's boosting drone industry. In the third and final part, the paper seeks to unpack the question of how Turkey's robust unmanned aerial systems development program serves Turkey's geopolitical interests and military power projection in conflict zones such as Syria, Libya, and Azerbaijan.
TÜRKİYE’NİN S/İHA ENDÜSTRISİ ÜZERINE TARTIŞMALAR, 2022
Türkiye yerli ve milli insansız hava araçlarının (İHA) ve akıllı mühimmatların geliştirilmesi kon... more Türkiye yerli ve milli insansız hava araçlarının (İHA) ve akıllı mühimmatların geliştirilmesi konusunda son on yılda ciddi ilerleme kaydetmiştir. Bu rapor Türk dron sektörüne dair tartışmaları seçkin uzmanların yorum ve değerlendirmeleri üzerinden masaya yatırmaktadır. Bu raporun ilk bölümünde Türkiye’nin ürettiği yeni insansız askeri platformlar ve akıllı sistemler ile bunların bazı çatışma bölgelerinde askeri norm ve uygulamalara nasıl etkide bulunduğu tartışılmaktadır. İkinci bölümde ise bu teknolojilerin bir yandan Türkiye’nin alıcı ülkelerle ilişkileri diğer yandan dron pazarındaki trendler ve rekabet üzerindeki etkileri açıklanmaktadır.
Terörle Mücadelede İHA’ların Rolü ve Etkileri | Üst Düzey PKK’lı Terörist Liderlerin ve Operatiflerin Tasfiyesi, 2023
Bu rapor İHA’ların terörle mücadele operasyonlarının etkinliğindeki mevcut ve olası rolünü askeri... more Bu rapor İHA’ların terörle mücadele operasyonlarının etkinliğindeki mevcut ve olası rolünü askeri ve operasyonel kullanım alanları, avantajları ve muhtemel riskler çerçevesinde değerlendirmekte; Türkiye’nin PKK terör örgütü ile mücadele deneyimini göz önünde bulundurarak operasyonel ve stratejik etkilerine önem atfetmektedir.
دور الطائرات المسيَّرة وتأثيراتها في مكافحة الإرهاب, 2023
In this comprehensive investigation, we thoroughly assess the role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (U... more In this comprehensive investigation, we thoroughly assess the role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in counterterrorism operations, considering their advantages and potential risks. Special attention is given to Turkey's experience in combating the PKK terrorist organization, focusing on the strategic impact of UAV use. By analyzing data from two renowned databases, the Terrorism Analysis Platform and Turkey's Enemy Killed in Action Dataset, our authoritative report examines the effects of UAVs on the PKK's structure, command, resources, and tactics in counterterrorism operations. The goal is to gain valuable insights into the multifaceted role of UAVs in the ongoing fight against terrorism.
NAVIGATING SECURITY IN FLUX COUNTERING THE PKK IN 2023, 2024
This data-driven report analyzes the evolving landscape of Turkish counterterrorism (CT) operatio... more This data-driven report analyzes the evolving landscape of Turkish counterterrorism (CT) operations in 2023, highlighting significant shifts in tactics, regional focus, and strategic impacts. Turkish CT efforts have notably pushed terrorist threats away from its soil into Syria and Iraq, leading to a decreased intensity of military operations within Türkiye. A total of 1,983 operations were conducted, predominantly targeting PKK/YPG elements. Key strategies included the use of unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs) and comprehensive airstrikes, which were particularly effective in disrupting PKK/YPG leadership and infrastructure. Domestically, Türkiye shifted towards policing operations, addressing organized crime and gangs, reflecting a decrease in armed terrorist activities. In Syria, operations focused on strategic strikes in the Aleppo governorate, while in Iraq, efforts centered around Operation Claw-Lock to prevent PKK resurgence in the Duhok governorate. The use of advanced military technologies and intelligence, such as MIT’s decapitation operations, significantly disrupted terrorist command structures and capabilities. Despite these successes, the PKK/YPG remains a persistent threat, adapting by employing smaller tactical formations, increased secrecy, and underground tactics. Emerging threats, including the use of off-the-shelf drones by the PKK/YPG, highlight future challenges for Turkish security forces. The report underscores the necessity of ongoing vigilance, adaptive strategies, and regional cooperation to maintain security and stability amidst shifting geopolitical dynamics and continued U.S. support for PKK/YPG under the guise of combating DAESH.
Türkiye'nin Geleceği Milli Muharip Uçak KAAN, 2024
• Milli Muharip Uçak Projesi’nin geliştirme süreci nasıl başladı?
• Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik öze... more • Milli Muharip Uçak Projesi’nin geliştirme süreci nasıl başladı? • Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik özellikleri nelerdir? • KAAN, Türkiye’nin muharebe kapasitesini nasıl artıracak?
THE ASCENSION OF TURKEY AS A DRONE POWER HISTORY, STRATEGY, AND GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS, 2020
This paper investigates the trajectories of Turkey’s drone program, its historical origins, strat... more This paper investigates the trajectories of Turkey’s drone program, its historical origins, strategical rationality, and geopolitical implications. The paper historically contextualizes and empirically analyzes Turkey’s “drone strategy” by focusing on industrial, military, and geopolitical dimensions. In the first part, it examines the historical evolution of Turkey’s drone program. The second part, assesses Turkish companies’ successful initiatives and their impacts on Turkey’s boosting drone industry. In the third and final part, the paper seeks to unpack the question of how Turkey’s robust unmanned aerial systems development program serves Turkey’s geopolitical interests and military power projection in conflict zones such as Syria and Libya.
Turkey has made tremendous strides in developing indigenous unmanned aerial vehicles and smart mu... more Turkey has made tremendous strides in developing indigenous unmanned aerial vehicles and smart munitions in the last decade. This report will unpack the debates over Turkey’s drone industry through the contribution of distinguished experts’ comments and assessments.In this report in the first section, the emerging unmanned military platforms and smart systems produced by Turkey and their impact on military norms and practices in several conflict areas will be discussed. In the second section, the questions of how these technologies are shaping Turkey’s ties with buyer countries, trends, and competition in the drone market will be answered.
REMOTE CONTROL AERIAL ELIMINATION OF THE PKK’S TERRORIST LEADERS AND OPERATIVES, 2023
In this meticulous inquiry, we undertake an exhaustive assessment of the extant and conceivable r... more In this meticulous inquiry, we undertake an exhaustive assessment of the extant and conceivable role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles also known as UAVs, in the efficacy of counterterrorism operations. Our scrutiny revolves around their application in military and operational spheres, while conscientiously considering the inherent advantages and plausible risks they entail. Of particular interest is Türkiye’s invaluable experience in combating the notorious PKK terrorist organization, as we attribute significant importance to comprehending the operational and strategic implications of employing UAVs in this context. Delving into the core of this study, we leverage data derived from two distinguished repositories—the Terrorism Analysis Platform and Türkiye’s Enemy Killed in Action Dataset—to compose an authoritative report. Our focus lies on the profound examination of the intricate effects of UAV deployment in counterterrorism endeavors, particularly pertaining to the PKK’s organizational structure, command hierarchy, recruitment of skilled human resources, access to essential material resources, and the dynamic tactical metamorphosis undergone by the terrorist organization. Through this rigorous analysis, we aim to shed illuminating light on the multifaceted role of UAVs and their profound impact on the protracted battle against terrorism.
Bu analiz Türkiye’nin “insansız hava araçları” (İHA) programının tarihsel dönüm noktalarını, stra... more Bu analiz Türkiye’nin “insansız hava araçları” (İHA) programının tarihsel dönüm noktalarını, stratejik etki ve jeopolitik sonuçlarını araştırmaktadır. Türkiye’nin İHA stratejisini savunma sanayii, askeri ve jeopolitik boyutlara odaklanmak suretiyle tarihsel bir bağlamda ele almakta ve tahlil etmektedir. Birinci bölümde Türkiye’nin İHA programının tarihsel serüveni incelenmektedir. İkinci bölümde Türk şirketlerinin başarılı girişimleri ve bu girişimlerin Türkiye’nin giderek yükselen İHA programı üzerindeki etkileri değerlendirilmektedir. Üçüncü ve son bölümde ise Türkiye’nin etkin İHA sistemleri geliştirme programının ülkenin jeopolitik çıkarlarına ve Suriye ile Libya gibi çatışma bölgelerinde askeri gücüne nasıl hizmet ettiği sorusuna cevap aranmaktadır.
This article investigates the trajectories of Turkey's drone program, its historical origins, str... more This article investigates the trajectories of Turkey's drone program, its historical origins, strategical rationality, and geopolitical implications. The article historically contextualizes and empirically analyzes Turkey's "drone strategy" by focusing on industrial, military, and geopolitical dimensions. The first part examines the historical evolution of Turkey's drone program. The second part assesses Turkish companies' successful initiatives and their impacts on Turkey's boosting drone industry. In the third and final part, the paper seeks to unpack the question of how Turkey's robust unmanned aerial systems development program serves Turkey's geopolitical interests and military power projection in conflict zones such as Syria, Libya, and Azerbaijan.
TÜRKİYE’NİN S/İHA ENDÜSTRISİ ÜZERINE TARTIŞMALAR, 2022
Türkiye yerli ve milli insansız hava araçlarının (İHA) ve akıllı mühimmatların geliştirilmesi kon... more Türkiye yerli ve milli insansız hava araçlarının (İHA) ve akıllı mühimmatların geliştirilmesi konusunda son on yılda ciddi ilerleme kaydetmiştir. Bu rapor Türk dron sektörüne dair tartışmaları seçkin uzmanların yorum ve değerlendirmeleri üzerinden masaya yatırmaktadır. Bu raporun ilk bölümünde Türkiye’nin ürettiği yeni insansız askeri platformlar ve akıllı sistemler ile bunların bazı çatışma bölgelerinde askeri norm ve uygulamalara nasıl etkide bulunduğu tartışılmaktadır. İkinci bölümde ise bu teknolojilerin bir yandan Türkiye’nin alıcı ülkelerle ilişkileri diğer yandan dron pazarındaki trendler ve rekabet üzerindeki etkileri açıklanmaktadır.
Terörle Mücadelede İHA’ların Rolü ve Etkileri | Üst Düzey PKK’lı Terörist Liderlerin ve Operatiflerin Tasfiyesi, 2023
Bu rapor İHA’ların terörle mücadele operasyonlarının etkinliğindeki mevcut ve olası rolünü askeri... more Bu rapor İHA’ların terörle mücadele operasyonlarının etkinliğindeki mevcut ve olası rolünü askeri ve operasyonel kullanım alanları, avantajları ve muhtemel riskler çerçevesinde değerlendirmekte; Türkiye’nin PKK terör örgütü ile mücadele deneyimini göz önünde bulundurarak operasyonel ve stratejik etkilerine önem atfetmektedir.
دور الطائرات المسيَّرة وتأثيراتها في مكافحة الإرهاب, 2023
In this comprehensive investigation, we thoroughly assess the role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (U... more In this comprehensive investigation, we thoroughly assess the role of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in counterterrorism operations, considering their advantages and potential risks. Special attention is given to Turkey's experience in combating the PKK terrorist organization, focusing on the strategic impact of UAV use. By analyzing data from two renowned databases, the Terrorism Analysis Platform and Turkey's Enemy Killed in Action Dataset, our authoritative report examines the effects of UAVs on the PKK's structure, command, resources, and tactics in counterterrorism operations. The goal is to gain valuable insights into the multifaceted role of UAVs in the ongoing fight against terrorism.
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Papers by sibel düz
Domestically, Türkiye shifted towards policing operations, addressing organized crime and gangs, reflecting a decrease in armed terrorist activities. In Syria, operations focused on strategic strikes in the Aleppo governorate, while in Iraq, efforts centered around Operation Claw-Lock to prevent PKK resurgence in the Duhok governorate. The use of advanced military technologies and intelligence, such as MIT’s decapitation operations, significantly disrupted terrorist command structures and capabilities.
Despite these successes, the PKK/YPG remains a persistent threat, adapting by employing smaller tactical formations, increased secrecy, and underground tactics. Emerging threats, including the use of off-the-shelf drones by the PKK/YPG, highlight future challenges for Turkish security forces. The report underscores the necessity of ongoing vigilance, adaptive strategies, and regional cooperation to maintain security and stability amidst shifting geopolitical dynamics and continued U.S. support for PKK/YPG under the guise of combating DAESH.
• Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik özellikleri nelerdir?
• KAAN, Türkiye’nin muharebe kapasitesini nasıl artıracak?
Domestically, Türkiye shifted towards policing operations, addressing organized crime and gangs, reflecting a decrease in armed terrorist activities. In Syria, operations focused on strategic strikes in the Aleppo governorate, while in Iraq, efforts centered around Operation Claw-Lock to prevent PKK resurgence in the Duhok governorate. The use of advanced military technologies and intelligence, such as MIT’s decapitation operations, significantly disrupted terrorist command structures and capabilities.
Despite these successes, the PKK/YPG remains a persistent threat, adapting by employing smaller tactical formations, increased secrecy, and underground tactics. Emerging threats, including the use of off-the-shelf drones by the PKK/YPG, highlight future challenges for Turkish security forces. The report underscores the necessity of ongoing vigilance, adaptive strategies, and regional cooperation to maintain security and stability amidst shifting geopolitical dynamics and continued U.S. support for PKK/YPG under the guise of combating DAESH.
• Milli uçak KAAN’ın teknik özellikleri nelerdir?
• KAAN, Türkiye’nin muharebe kapasitesini nasıl artıracak?