[PDF][PDF] Example of the Glicko-2 system
ME Glickman - Boston University, 2012 - glicko.net
Boston University, 2012•glicko.net
Every player in the Glicko-2 system has a rating, r, a rating deviation, RD, and a rating
volatility σ. The volatility measure indicates the degree of expected fluctuation in a player's
rating. The volatility measure is high when a player has erratic performances (eg, when the
player has had exceptionally strong results after a period of stability), and the volatility
measure is low when the player performs at a consistent level. As with the original Glicko
system, it is usually informative to summarize a player's strength in the form of an interval …
volatility σ. The volatility measure indicates the degree of expected fluctuation in a player's
rating. The volatility measure is high when a player has erratic performances (eg, when the
player has had exceptionally strong results after a period of stability), and the volatility
measure is low when the player performs at a consistent level. As with the original Glicko
system, it is usually informative to summarize a player's strength in the form of an interval …
Every player in the Glicko-2 system has a rating, r, a rating deviation, RD, and a rating volatility σ. The volatility measure indicates the degree of expected fluctuation in a player’s rating. The volatility measure is high when a player has erratic performances (eg, when the player has had exceptionally strong results after a period of stability), and the volatility measure is low when the player performs at a consistent level. As with the original Glicko system, it is usually informative to summarize a player’s strength in the form of an interval (rather than merely report a rating). One way to do this is to report a 95% confidence interval. The lowest value in the interval is the player’s rating minus twice the RD, and the highest value is the player’s rating plus twice the RD. So, for example, if a player’s rating is 1850 and the RD is 50, the interval would go from 1750 to 1950. We would then say that we’re 95% confident that the player’s actual strength is between 1750 and 1950. When a player has a low RD, the interval would be narrow, so that we would be 95% confident about a player’s strength being in a small interval of values. The volatility measure does not appear in the calculation of this interval.
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