Abstract. We consider a new solution set for majority voting tournaments recently proposed by Ban... more Abstract. We consider a new solution set for majority voting tournaments recently proposed by Banks (1985), and we examine its internal structure. In particular, we demonstrate that, in the absence of a Condorcet winner, there is always a cycle including precisely the points in the Banks set. We introduce the concept of "external stability " in order to facilitate analysis. 1.
While sophisticated voting under a number of different voting procedures has been discussed in th... more While sophisticated voting under a number of different voting procedures has been discussed in the literature, such analyses have not taken into account one central characteristic of the American legislative process: bicameralism. This paper addresses a ...
This paper pursues a number of theoretical explorations and conjectures pertaining to the uncover... more This paper pursues a number of theoretical explorations and conjectures pertaining to the uncovered set in spatial voting games. It was stimulated by the article “The Uncovered Set and the Limits of Legislative Action” by W. T. Bianco, I. Jeliazkov, and I. Sened (2004, Political Analysis 12:256—78) that employed a grid-search computational algorithm for estimating the size, shape, and location of the uncovered set, and it has been greatly facilitated by access to the CyberSenate spatial voting software being developed by Joseph Godfrey. I bring to light theoretical considerations that account for important features of the Bianco, Jeliazkov, and Sened results (e.g., the straight-line boundaries of uncovered sets displayed in some of their figures, the “unexpectedly large” uncovered sets displayed in other figures, and the apparent sensitivity of the location of uncovered sets to small shifts in the relative sizes of party caucuses) and present theoretical insights of more general rel...
A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure... more A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure—that is, getting more (first-preference) votes may result in defeat for a candidate who would otherwise have won and getting fewer votes may result in victory for a candidate who otherwise would have lost. Proponents of IRV have argued that monotonicity failure, while a mathematical possibility, is highly unlikely to occur in practice. This paper specifies the precise conditions under which this phenomenon arises in three-candidate elections and applies them to a number of large simulated data sets in order to get a sense of the likelihood of IRV's monotonicity problem in varying circumstances. The basic finding is that the problem is significant in many circumstances and very substantial when IRV elections are closely contested by three candidates.
This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote ... more This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote (STV) that is both somewhat simpler, and even more striking, than previous examples, and it offers several comments about the practical and theoretical implications of this feature of STV.
A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure... more A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure—that is, getting more (first-preference) votes may result in defeat for a candidate who would otherwise have won and getting fewer votes may result in victory for a candidate who otherwise would have lost. Proponents of IRV have argued that monotonicity failure, while a mathematical possibility, is highly unlikely to occur in practice. This paper specifies the precise conditions under which this phenomenon arises in three-candidate elections and applies them to a number of large simulated data sets in order to get a sense of the likelihood of IRV's monotonicity problem in varying circumstances. The basic finding is that the problem is significant in many circumstances and very substantial when IRV elections are closely contested by three candidates.
This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote ... more This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote (STV) that is both somewhat simpler, and even more striking, than previous examples, and it offers several comments about the practical and theoretical implications of this feature of STV.
This paper presents a social choice analysis, using simulated data based on English general elect... more This paper presents a social choice analysis, using simulated data based on English general elections from 1992 through 2010, of the properties of three voting rules: First-Past-the-Post, the Alternative Vote, and the Coombs Rule. More specifically, the paper examines (1) the plurality, anti-plurality, and Condorcet status of candidates in each election and the interrelationships among these statuses, (2) the effects of strict and partial single-peakedness of voter preferences, and (3) the identity of winners, Condorcet efficiency, and the relationship between votes and seats under the three voting rules. The analysis considers only the case of three candidates and, in the manner of basic social choice theory, the set of candidates and voter preferences over them are taken to be fixed.
Abstract. We consider a new solution set for majority voting tournaments recently proposed by Ban... more Abstract. We consider a new solution set for majority voting tournaments recently proposed by Banks (1985), and we examine its internal structure. In particular, we demonstrate that, in the absence of a Condorcet winner, there is always a cycle including precisely the points in the Banks set. We introduce the concept of "external stability " in order to facilitate analysis. 1.
While sophisticated voting under a number of different voting procedures has been discussed in th... more While sophisticated voting under a number of different voting procedures has been discussed in the literature, such analyses have not taken into account one central characteristic of the American legislative process: bicameralism. This paper addresses a ...
This paper pursues a number of theoretical explorations and conjectures pertaining to the uncover... more This paper pursues a number of theoretical explorations and conjectures pertaining to the uncovered set in spatial voting games. It was stimulated by the article “The Uncovered Set and the Limits of Legislative Action” by W. T. Bianco, I. Jeliazkov, and I. Sened (2004, Political Analysis 12:256—78) that employed a grid-search computational algorithm for estimating the size, shape, and location of the uncovered set, and it has been greatly facilitated by access to the CyberSenate spatial voting software being developed by Joseph Godfrey. I bring to light theoretical considerations that account for important features of the Bianco, Jeliazkov, and Sened results (e.g., the straight-line boundaries of uncovered sets displayed in some of their figures, the “unexpectedly large” uncovered sets displayed in other figures, and the apparent sensitivity of the location of uncovered sets to small shifts in the relative sizes of party caucuses) and present theoretical insights of more general rel...
A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure... more A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure—that is, getting more (first-preference) votes may result in defeat for a candidate who would otherwise have won and getting fewer votes may result in victory for a candidate who otherwise would have lost. Proponents of IRV have argued that monotonicity failure, while a mathematical possibility, is highly unlikely to occur in practice. This paper specifies the precise conditions under which this phenomenon arises in three-candidate elections and applies them to a number of large simulated data sets in order to get a sense of the likelihood of IRV's monotonicity problem in varying circumstances. The basic finding is that the problem is significant in many circumstances and very substantial when IRV elections are closely contested by three candidates.
This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote ... more This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote (STV) that is both somewhat simpler, and even more striking, than previous examples, and it offers several comments about the practical and theoretical implications of this feature of STV.
A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure... more A striking attribute of instant runoff voting (IRV) is that it is subject to monotonicity failure—that is, getting more (first-preference) votes may result in defeat for a candidate who would otherwise have won and getting fewer votes may result in victory for a candidate who otherwise would have lost. Proponents of IRV have argued that monotonicity failure, while a mathematical possibility, is highly unlikely to occur in practice. This paper specifies the precise conditions under which this phenomenon arises in three-candidate elections and applies them to a number of large simulated data sets in order to get a sense of the likelihood of IRV's monotonicity problem in varying circumstances. The basic finding is that the problem is significant in many circumstances and very substantial when IRV elections are closely contested by three candidates.
This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote ... more This note presents an example of the sometimes chaotic character of the single transferable vote (STV) that is both somewhat simpler, and even more striking, than previous examples, and it offers several comments about the practical and theoretical implications of this feature of STV.
This paper presents a social choice analysis, using simulated data based on English general elect... more This paper presents a social choice analysis, using simulated data based on English general elections from 1992 through 2010, of the properties of three voting rules: First-Past-the-Post, the Alternative Vote, and the Coombs Rule. More specifically, the paper examines (1) the plurality, anti-plurality, and Condorcet status of candidates in each election and the interrelationships among these statuses, (2) the effects of strict and partial single-peakedness of voter preferences, and (3) the identity of winners, Condorcet efficiency, and the relationship between votes and seats under the three voting rules. The analysis considers only the case of three candidates and, in the manner of basic social choice theory, the set of candidates and voter preferences over them are taken to be fixed.
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Papers by Nicholas R. Miller