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ARMemNet: autoregressive memory networks for multivariate time series forecasting

Published: 22 April 2021 Publication History

Abstract

Recently, several studies show the powerful capability of neural networks to capture non-linear features from time series which have multiple seasonal patterns. However, existing methods rely on convolution kernels implicitly, hence neglect to capture strong long-term patterns and lack interpretability. In this paper, we propose a memory-augmented neural network named AutoRegressive Memory Network (ARMemNet) for multivariate time series forecasting. ARMemNet utilizes memory components to explicitly encode intense long-term patterns. Furthermore, each encoder is designed to leverage inherently essential autoregressive property to represent short-term patterns. In experiments on real-world dataset, ARMemNet outperforms existing baselines and validates effectiveness of memory components for complex seasonality which is prevalent in time series datasets.

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  1. ARMemNet: autoregressive memory networks for multivariate time series forecasting

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    SAC '21: Proceedings of the 36th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing
    March 2021
    2075 pages
    ISBN:9781450381048
    DOI:10.1145/3412841
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for third-party components of this work must be honored. For all other uses, contact the Owner/Author.

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    Published: 22 April 2021

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    Author Tags

    1. memory augmented neural networks
    2. multiple seasonal patterns
    3. multivariate time series forecasting

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    SAC '21
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    SAC '21: The 36th ACM/SIGAPP Symposium on Applied Computing
    March 22 - 26, 2021
    Virtual Event, Republic of Korea

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    Overall Acceptance Rate 1,650 of 6,669 submissions, 25%

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