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A Method for Mining Granger Causality Relationship on Atmospheric Visibility

Published: 29 May 2021 Publication History

Abstract

Atmospheric visibility is an indicator of atmospheric transparency and its range directly reflects the quality of the atmospheric environment. With the acceleration of industrialization and urbanization, the natural environment has suffered some damages. In recent decades, the level of atmospheric visibility shows an overall downward trend. A decrease in atmospheric visibility will lead to a higher frequency of haze, which will seriously affect people's normal life, and also have a significant negative economic impact. The causal relationship mining of atmospheric visibility can reveal the potential relation between visibility and other influencing factors, which is very important in environmental management, air pollution control and haze control. However, causality mining based on statistical methods and traditional machine learning techniques usually achieve qualitative results that are hard to measure the degree of causality accurately. This article proposed the seq2seq-LSTM Granger causality analysis method for mining the causality relationship between atmospheric visibility and its influencing factors. In the experimental part, by comparing with methods such as linear regression, random forest, gradient boosting decision tree, light gradient boosting machine, and extreme gradient boosting, it turns out that the visibility prediction accuracy based on the seq2seq-LSTM model is about 10% higher than traditional machine learning methods. Therefore, the causal relationship mining based on this method can deeply reveal the implicit relationship between them and provide theoretical support for air pollution control.

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Published In

cover image ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data
ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data  Volume 15, Issue 5
October 2021
508 pages
ISSN:1556-4681
EISSN:1556-472X
DOI:10.1145/3461317
Issue’s Table of Contents
Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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Association for Computing Machinery

New York, NY, United States

Publication History

Published: 29 May 2021
Accepted: 01 January 2021
Revised: 01 December 2020
Received: 01 July 2019
Published in TKDD Volume 15, Issue 5

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Author Tags

  1. Atmospheric visibility
  2. deep learning
  3. granger causality
  4. multidimensional time series

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  • Research-article
  • Research
  • Refereed

Funding Sources

  • Natural Science Foundation of China
  • Grant of China Scholarship Council
  • Beijing Natural Science Foundation

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