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Determinants of technical inefficiency on farm production: Tobit analysis approach to the NDE farmers in Ondo state, Nigeria

International Journal of Agriculture & …, 2004
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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE & BIOLOGY 1560–8530/2004/06–2–355–358 http://www.ijab.org Determinants of Technical Inefficiency on Farm Production: Tobit Analysis Approach to the NDE Farmers in Ondo State, Nigeria * EBENEZER O. OGUNYINKA AND IGBEKELE A. AJIBEFUN 1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University, USA Federal University of Technology, Nigeria 1 Corresponding author`s current address: Institute for Landscape Systems Analysis, Center for Agricultural Landscape and Land Use Research (ZALF), Eberswalder Str. 84, D-15374 Muncheberg, Germany E-mail: Igbekele.Ajibefun@zalf.de ABSTRACT The study estimates the determinants of technical inefficiency among the farmers that are participating in the Ondo State chapter of the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) program in Nigeria. Data were collected from farmers under the NDE programme in Ondo State, Nigeria. Using a tobit analysis, it was found that extension visits and higher education were significant factors influencing technical efficiency. This suggests that sound education, efficient inputs supply strategy and public awareness of efficient technology are key factors necessary for policy consideration. Key Words: Technical Inefficiency; Determinants; Farm production; Tobit analysis; Nigeria *A Revised Version of Paper presented at the Western Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting at The Denver Adam’s Mark Hotel, Den- ver, Colorado, July 11-15, 2003. The authors would like to thank participants of WAEA for their comments and contribution during presentation. They however assume responsibility for any error in the paper. INTRODUCTION Many studies that have examined technical efficiency among farmers have generally reported gross inefficiency in farm production. In a recent parametric investigation of technical inefficiency among the farmers that are participating in the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) program in Ondo State of Nigeria in which the stochastic frontier approach was used it was found that technical efficiencies vary widely across farms ranging between 21.7 and 87.8% with an average of 67% (Ajibefun & Abdulkadri, 1999). This indicates an average technical inefficiency of 33%. The NDE, among others was introduced in 1987 as a part of the modified Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) adopted by Nigeria, which was less severe in its initial effects on welfare than the full scale SAP originally suggested by the World Bank during the economic downturn of the early 1980s. The general objective of the NDE is to generate self-employment among the high school leavers and the graduates from colleges and universities especially that have been affected by the pervasive unemployment and underemployment problems. In the farm sector, the goal is to simultaneously reverse the declining trend of local food supplies and save foreign exchange on food imports. A number of the empirical analyses that have been conducted in the area of technical efficiency in Nigeria do not extend beyond the computation of the degree of efficiency. In order to effectively improve productivity a detailed study of the factors that contribute to the inefficiencies across farms is indispensable. Education is usually suggested as an important ingredient to productivity enhancement. The fact that inefficiencies of such magnitude as above were discovered among college and university graduates necessitates a detailed investigation of the factors causing them. The objectives of the study are therefore to (1) identify the factors contributing to technical inefficiency among crop farmers that are participating in the NDE program (2) quantify the effects of such factors identified above on technical efficiency and (3) suggest ways of enhancing the efficiency measures. Other factors aside from education could also have
TECHNICAL INEFFICIENCY ON FARM PRODUCTION / Int. J. Agri. Biol., Vol. 6, No. 2, 2004 356 significant effects on technical efficiency. Unavailability of yield enhancing technology (fertilizer, pesticides, etc.) inadequate funding and other logistic problems could be possible culprits. Time consciousness in the supply of inputs, adequate commitment on part of the parties involved in ensuring good performance of the NDE farm business and adopting the recommendations suggested from this study would boost the effectiveness and success of the production plans and policy. Efficiency Concepts and Literature Review Technical efficiency. Technical efficiency otherwise known as pure technical efficiency (PTE) like its counterparts (allocative, scale & scope efficiencies) according to Färe et al. (1985) and Farrell (1957) is a major component of productivity which itself is a measure of farm performance. PTE indicates whether a farm uses the best available technology. It reflects the ability of a farm to obtain maximum output from a given set of inputs (Coelli et al., 1998). A technically efficient farm operates on the production frontier. A technically inefficient farm, i.e., one that operates below the frontier could operate on the frontier either by increasing output with the same input bundle or using less input to produce the same output. The closer a farm gets to the frontier, the more technically efficient it becomes. Fig.1 shows a graphical illustration of a production efficiency frontier, put forward by Farrell (1957). A farm for example, at point X refers to the inefficient farm, while points Y and Z are both efficient because they are on the frontier. The farm at point X should therefore move upward to point Y or backward to point Z in order to be efficient. If its movement is toward Y, more output is obtained with the same amount of inputs or if it is toward Z, fewer amounts of inputs yield the same output. Both cases depict more technical efficiency than the initial position X. The position of individual farms relative to the frontier, whether on the frontier or below the frontier, would be influenced by factors such as environmental, structural and farm characteristics. These characteristics include the share of production, size of farms, tenure, specialization, degree of mechanization, operator’s characteristics, geographical location, management practices and strategies as well as business organization and arrangement of farms (Hoppe et al., 1996; Sall, 1997; Hoppe et al., 2001). Literature Review. On average, the farms have not been behaving badly in terms of technically efficiency unlike other efficiency measures like allocative and scale efficiencies especially in the developing countries. Despite the rampant use of traditional or less advanced agricultural technology in some low and middle income countries like Argentina, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Philippines, Zaire and Malaysia, the mean technical efficiency indices between 1964 and 1993 have been 1.00, meaning that they are technically efficient but others like China, Iran, Ireland, South Africa, Zimbabwe etc. experience very low levels of efficiency. The United States, Japan, Israel and The Netherlands are examples of technologically advanced countries that are efficient over the same period (Arnade, 1998). Although the technical efficiency indices are of great importance in examining farm performance, a determination of the factors influencing those indices is equally important. A part of the study conducted by Featherstone et al. (1997) on Kansas beef cow farms focused on the determinants of technical inefficiency. Using a tobit regression model, they found that seed, labor, utilities and fuel, veterinary services and miscellaneous costs are significant factors that are associated with technical inefficiency with feed cost being the most important among them. A similar study by Sall (1997) on Senegal found significance only on the ratio of on-farm income to total income. In his work on international agricultural efficiency and productivity, Arnade (1998) found that fertilizer/land and tractor/labor ratios - both depicting movements away from traditional endowments, the impact of international research institutes such as the Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) especially in seed variety improvement agricultural research expenditure/agricultural output ratio extension agents/farmers ratio, and average level of education are significant factors that jointly affect efficiency and productivity. Other authors that have attempted the regression of the efficiency and productivity indices from nonparametric methods on explanatory variables (Schuh & Norton, 1991; Schimmelpfennig & Thirtle, 1994; Thirtle et al., 1997). METHODOLOGY In this paper the data used include measures of technical efficiency and farm characteristics. The estimated measures of technical efficiency were obtained from Ajibefun and Abdulkadri (1999). Others including observations on inputs used (hectares of land, man-days of labor, tractor hours, fertilizer per kilogram and amount of credit) and farm characteristics (such as age of farmers, years of education and experience, number of extension visits, and membership of farm management association) Fig. 1. Production Frontier Output Y Z X Input Bundle
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURE & BIOLOGY 1560–8530/2004/06–2–355–358 http://www.ijab.org Determinants of Technical Inefficiency on Farm Production: Tobit Analysis Approach to the NDE Farmers in Ondo State, Nigeria* EBENEZER O. OGUNYINKA AND IGBEKELE A. AJIBEFUN†1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University, USA †Federal University of Technology, Nigeria 1 Corresponding author`s current address: Institute for Landscape Systems Analysis, Center for Agricultural Landscape and Land Use Research (ZALF), Eberswalder Str. 84, D-15374 Muncheberg, Germany E-mail: Igbekele.Ajibefun@zalf.de ABSTRACT The study estimates the determinants of technical inefficiency among the farmers that are participating in the Ondo State chapter of the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) program in Nigeria. Data were collected from farmers under the NDE programme in Ondo State, Nigeria. Using a tobit analysis, it was found that extension visits and higher education were significant factors influencing technical efficiency. This suggests that sound education, efficient inputs supply strategy and public awareness of efficient technology are key factors necessary for policy consideration. Key Words: Technical Inefficiency; Determinants; Farm production; Tobit analysis; Nigeria INTRODUCTION Many studies that have examined technical efficiency among farmers have generally reported gross inefficiency in farm production. In a recent parametric investigation of technical inefficiency among the farmers that are participating in the National Directorate of Employment (NDE) program in Ondo State of Nigeria in which the stochastic frontier approach was used it was found that technical efficiencies vary widely across farms ranging between 21.7 and 87.8% with an average of 67% (Ajibefun & Abdulkadri, 1999). This indicates an average technical inefficiency of 33%. The NDE, among others was introduced in 1987 as a part of the modified Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) adopted by Nigeria, which was less severe in its initial effects on welfare than the full scale SAP originally suggested by the World Bank during the economic downturn of the early 1980s. The general objective of the NDE is to generate self-employment among the high school leavers and the graduates from colleges and universities especially that have been affected by the pervasive unemployment and underemployment problems. In the farm sector, the goal is to simultaneously reverse the declining trend of local food supplies and save foreign exchange on food imports. A number of the empirical analyses that have been conducted in the area of technical efficiency in Nigeria do not extend beyond the computation of the degree of efficiency. In order to effectively improve productivity a detailed study of the factors that contribute to the inefficiencies across farms is indispensable. Education is usually suggested as an important ingredient to productivity enhancement. The fact that inefficiencies of such magnitude as above were discovered among college and university graduates necessitates a detailed investigation of the factors causing them. The objectives of the study are therefore to (1) identify the factors contributing to technical inefficiency among crop farmers that are participating in the NDE program (2) quantify the effects of such factors identified above on technical efficiency and (3) suggest ways of enhancing the efficiency measures. Other factors aside from education could also have *A Revised Version of Paper presented at the Western Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting at The Denver Adam’s Mark Hotel, Denver, Colorado, July 11-15, 2003. The authors would like to thank participants of WAEA for their comments and contribution during presentation. They however assume responsibility for any error in the paper. TECHNICAL INEFFICIENCY ON FARM PRODUCTION / Int. J. Agri. Biol., Vol. 6, No. 2, 2004 location, management practices and strategies as well as business organization and arrangement of farms (Hoppe et al., 1996; Sall, 1997; Hoppe et al., 2001). Literature Review. On average, the farms have not been behaving badly in terms of technically efficiency unlike other efficiency measures like allocative and scale efficiencies especially in the developing countries. Despite the rampant use of traditional or less advanced agricultural technology in some low and middle income countries like Argentina, Bangladesh, Nigeria, Philippines, Zaire and Malaysia, the mean technical efficiency indices between 1964 and 1993 have been 1.00, meaning that they are technically efficient but others like China, Iran, Ireland, South Africa, Zimbabwe etc. experience very low levels of efficiency. The United States, Japan, Israel and The Netherlands are examples of technologically advanced countries that are efficient over the same period (Arnade, 1998). Although the technical efficiency indices are of great importance in examining farm performance, a determination of the factors influencing those indices is equally important. A part of the study conducted by Featherstone et al. (1997) on Kansas beef cow farms focused on the determinants of technical inefficiency. Using a tobit regression model, they found that seed, labor, utilities and fuel, veterinary services and miscellaneous costs are significant factors that are associated with technical inefficiency with feed cost being the most important among them. A similar study by Sall (1997) on Senegal found significance only on the ratio of on-farm income to total income. In his work on international agricultural efficiency and productivity, Arnade (1998) found that fertilizer/land and tractor/labor ratios - both depicting movements away from traditional endowments, the impact of international research institutes such as the Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) especially in seed variety improvement agricultural research expenditure/agricultural output ratio extension agents/farmers ratio, and average level of education are significant factors that jointly affect efficiency and productivity. Other authors that have attempted the regression of the efficiency and productivity indices from nonparametric methods on explanatory variables (Schuh & Norton, 1991; Schimmelpfennig & Thirtle, 1994; Thirtle et al., 1997). significant effects on technical efficiency. Unavailability of yield enhancing technology (fertilizer, pesticides, etc.) inadequate funding and other logistic problems could be possible culprits. Time consciousness in the supply of inputs, adequate commitment on part of the parties involved in ensuring good performance of the NDE farm business and adopting the recommendations suggested from this study would boost the effectiveness and success of the production plans and policy. Efficiency Concepts and Literature Review Technical efficiency. Technical efficiency otherwise known as pure technical efficiency (PTE) like its counterparts (allocative, scale & scope efficiencies) according to Färe et al. (1985) and Farrell (1957) is a major component of productivity which itself is a measure of farm performance. PTE indicates whether a farm uses the best available technology. It reflects the ability of a farm to obtain maximum output from a given set of inputs (Coelli et al., 1998). A technically efficient farm operates on the production frontier. A technically inefficient farm, i.e., one that operates below the frontier could operate on the frontier either by increasing output with the same input bundle or using less input to produce the same output. The closer a farm gets to the frontier, the more technically efficient it becomes. Fig.1 shows a graphical illustration of a production efficiency frontier, put forward by Farrell (1957). A farm for example, at point X refers to the inefficient farm, while points Y and Z are both efficient because they are on the frontier. The farm at point X should therefore move upward to point Y or backward to point Z in order to be efficient. If its movement is toward Y, more output is obtained with the same amount of inputs or if it is toward Z, fewer amounts of inputs yield the same output. Both cases depict more technical efficiency than the initial position X. The position of individual farms relative to the frontier, whether on the frontier or below the frontier, would be influenced by factors such as environmental, structural and farm characteristics. These characteristics include the share of production, size of farms, tenure, specialization, degree of mechanization, operator’s characteristics, geographical Fig. 1. Production Frontier METHODOLOGY In this paper the data used include measures of technical efficiency and farm characteristics. The estimated measures of technical efficiency were obtained from Ajibefun and Abdulkadri (1999). Others including observations on inputs used (hectares of land, man-days of labor, tractor hours, fertilizer per kilogram and amount of credit) and farm characteristics (such as age of farmers, years of education and experience, number of extension visits, and membership of farm management association) •Y Output Z• •X Input Bundle 356 OGUNYINKA AND AJIBEFUN / Int. J. Agri. Biol., Vol. 6, No. 2, 2004 were sourced directly from the farmers in 1997 by the use of questionnaire as well as from the databank of the Ondo State Ministry of Agriculture, Akure, Nigeria. The method of Featherstone et al. (1997) was followed to compute the technical inefficiency indices by subtracting the technical efficiency estimates from 1 after converting them from percentages to decimals and we model the technical inefficiency in a tobit regression (Tobin, 1958; Greene, 1995) stated as follows: n TIEi = ∑ i =1 =0 Variables ∑β X +u <U , ⎪⎪⎬ i i i =1 otherwise , i Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Maximum Inefficiency 0.39 0.11 0.21 0.68 Land (hectares) 2.36 0.85 0.80 4.10 Labor (man-days) 165.94 71.14 69.00 400.00 Tractor Hours 8.69 4.10 1.00 20.00 Fertilizer (kg) 791.19 1364.38 0.00 8000.00 Extension Visits (#) 3.30 1.23 1.00 6.00 Age of Farmer (years) 45.12 7.31 25.00 57.00 Education (years) 8.16 3.72 0.00 15.00 Experience (years) 8.87 3.97 2.00 20.00 Membership (dummy) 0.61 0.49 0.00 1.00 Note: Statistics constructed from the data mentioned in section 3. ⎫ n βi Xi + ui if Li < Table I. Summary statistics for a sample of NDE farms i ⎪ ⎭⎪ No. of Observations 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 Table II. Relationship among technical inefficiency, inputs and farm characteristics where TIEi is the technical inefficiency measure for each farm, Xi is a k x 1 vector of explanatory variable for the ith farm, βi is a k x 1 vector of unknown parameters to be estimated, ui are residuals that are independently and normally distributed, with mean zero and a common variance σ2, and Li and Ui are the distribution’s lower and upper censoring points, respectively. The explanatory variables are the ratios of inputs (proxy for the degree of mechanization) and farm characteristics discussed above. Observations on labor were converted from man-days to hours of labor before calculating the tractor / labor ratio. Education was categorized into years of high school, college and university attendance by the operators. Profession of operator, i.e., whether agricultural and non-agricultural, would have been a vital variable but was not available. We chose the tobit analysis by assuming that the concentration of the dependent variable clusters toward the left limit (i.e., zero) and because it does not only explain the value of the dependent variable or the probability of limit (e.g. point of technical efficiency) and non-limit (e.g. points of technical inefficiency) responses, but also the size (i.e., value) of non-limit responses (Tobin, 1958). These reasons give the tobit model added advantage over probit or multiple regression analyses which disregard some important information. In addition, we regard the sample as truncatedcensured since NDE focuses mainly on relatively large farms with carefully mapped-out strategy in terms of farm characteristics like size, credit, type of farms as well as categories of farmers. The coefficients obtained from using tobit have been decomposed by McDonald and Moffitt (1980) into two parts: effects on the probability of being above the limit and effects conditional upon being above the limit. In this paper, all observations have positive (nonzero) technical inefficiency estimates. The cumulative distribution function is presumed to be evaluated at the mean of the explanatory variables and hence facilitates the computation of percentage of the total change in technical inefficiency resulting from a change in the explanatory variables that would be generated by marginal changes in the value of technical inefficiency. Deducting this from one will result in Independent Variable Constant Age in years Extension Visits High School Education (1-5 years) College Education (6-9 years) University Education (> 9 years) Years of Farming Experience Fertilizer / Land Ratio Tractor / Labor Ratio Membership of Association Likelihood Ratio Test Marginal Effects 0.3901*** 0.0021 0.0206* -0.0722 Std. Error 0.0796 0.0016 0.0111 0.0504 T-Ratio P-Value 4.9027 1.2673 1.8520 -1.4313 0.0000 0.2050 0.0640 0.1523 -0.0872* 0.0470 -1.8525 0.0640 0.0486 -2.4297 0.0151 -0.0054 0.0039 -1.3887 0.1649 0.0000 -0.6864 -0.0184 0.0000 2.6568 0.0223 -0.6382 -0.2584 -0.8266 0.5233 0.7961 0.4085 -0.1181** 28.5379*** Notes: Single, double and triple asterisks (*) denote significance at 10%, 5% and 1% level, respectively. the percentage that would be generated by changes in the probability of being technically efficient. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Summary statistics for a sample of NDE farms. The summary statistics of all the variables used are presented in Table I. The average inefficiency is 39% by which the farmers should increase output in order to produce on the frontier. The average size of land is 2.36 h. This is an indication that NDE members are large-scale producers although the minimum land size of 0.85 h would have been influenced by the amount of credit allowed for that particular farmer. The large difference between labor and tractor inputs’ averages indicates that the farmers have either relied more on abundant labor resource than the use of tractors, which is relatively expensive or engaged in minimum tillage practice proposed by experts in recent years. The averages for fertilizer, credit and number of extension visits are 791 kg, N6326.87 and three visits, 357 TECHNICAL INEFFICIENCY ON FARM PRODUCTION / Int. J. Agri. Biol., Vol. 6, No. 2, 2004 suggests that education and awareness are vital variables to be considered seriously when policy-makers deliberate on ways to reduce inefficiency among farmers. Most important are the extension services and the existing technological packages that need to be critically examined. respectively. The low level of credit could mean that most of the farmers under investigation have high school education, upon which the minimum amount of credit is usually based. Others are age, education and experience in years which are 45.1, 8.2 and 8.9, respectively. Relationship among technical efficiency, inputs used and farm characteristics. The estimates of marginal effects of the explanatory variables on technical inefficiency, shown in Table II were derived after correcting for heteroscedasticity before which none of the estimated marginal effects apart from the constant, is significant. The final results show that the extension visit, college and university education (with values of 2.06, 8.72 & 11.81%, respectively) are significant factors influencing technical efficiency, with only extension visit having a negative influence, while others have the expected positive influence. It might be surprising that extension visits have negative impact on efficiency. This result could be explained by the fact that extension services in Nigeria in general has not been effective, especially after the withdrawal of World Bank funding from the Agricultural Development project (ADP), which is the main agency responsible for extension services. Given the problem of inadequate funding of the extension outfit, dissemination of agricultural innovation to farmers are done in most cases at wrong periods and more importantly, farmers do not have access to yield improving inputs at the right time. Hence, extension visits might not have expected impact on efficiency. College and university education that are the most important among the significant marginal effects would reduce inefficiency by 8.72 and 11.81% if they increase 100%, respectively. The years of farming experience, tractor labor ratio and association membership could also reduce inefficiency while inefficiency could increases with age of farmers. We however do not have sufficient statistical evidence to show that they and other classes of education are relevant in this analysis. The likelihood ratio test, however, shows that all the explanatory variables are jointly significant. REFERENCES Ajibefun, I.A. and O.A. Abdulkadri, 1999. An Investigation of Technical Inefficiency of Production of Farmers under the National Directorate of Employmentin Ondo State, Nigeria. Applied Econ. Letters, 6: 111–4 Arnade, C., 1998. Using a Programming Approach to Measure International Agricultural Efficiency and Productivity. American J. Agri. Econ., 49: 67–84 Coelli, T., D.S. Rao and G.E. Battese, 1998. An Introduction to Efficiency and Productivity Analysis, Kluver Academic Publishers, Norwell, MC Färe, R., S. Grosskopf and C.A.K. Lovell, 1985. The Measurement of Efficiency of Production, Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishers Farrell, J.J., 1957. The Measurement of Productivity Efficiency. J. Royal Statistical Soc., Series A, 120: 253–90 Featherstone, M., M. Allen, R. Langemeier, and M. Ismet, 1997. A Nonparametric Analysis of Efficiency for a Sample of Kansas Beef Cow Farms. J. Agri. and Appl. Econ., 29, 1: 175–84 Greene, H.W., 1995. Limdep User’s Manual, Version 7.0. Econometric Software, Inc., Maple Av, Bellport, NY: 583–636 Hoppe, R.A., J. Tames, J.E. Perry, K. Penni, E.J. Sommer, T.J. Ryan, C.R. Greene, D. Ron and J. Monke, 2001. Structural and Financial Characteristics of U.S. Farms, Family Farm Report. ERS, USDA, AIB No. 768 Hoppe, R.A., R.C.R. Green, D. Banker, J.Z. Kalbacher and S.E. Bentley, 1996. Structural and Financial Characteristics of U.S. Farms. 18th Ann. Family Farm Report to Congress. AIB-728. USDA ERS McDonald, J.F. and R.A. Moffitt, 1980. The Uses of Tobit Analysis. The Review of Eco. Stat., 62: 318–21 Sall, S., 1997. A Characteristic-Approach to Adoption: The Case of Improved Rice Varieties in Southern Senegal. Ph.D Dissertation, Department of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University, Manhattan KS, 20–30 Schuh, E. and V. Norton, 1991. Agricultural Research in an International Policy Context in Transforming Traditional Agriculture. In: Agricultural Research Policy. Pardey, P., J. Roseboom and J. Anderson (eds.). Cambridge University Press, New York, USA Schimmelpfennig, D. and C. Thirtle, 1994. Cointegration and Causality: Exploring the Relation-ship Between Agricultural R & D and Productivity. J. Agri. Econ., 45: 220–31 Thirtle, C., D. Hadley and R. Townsend, 1997. Policy Induced Innovation in Sub-Saharan Agriculture a Multilateral Malmquist Productivity Index Approach. Working Paper, Department of Agricultural and Food Economics, The University of Reading, England Tobin, J., 1958. Estimation of Relationships for Limited Dependent Variables. Econometrica, 26: 24–36 CONCLUSION Within the limitations of the data availability, we have been able to identify and estimate the factors determining technical efficiency among the farmers that participate in the National Directorate of Employment program. Among those factors that have significant impacts on technical efficiency are extension visit and education. This outcome thus (Received 15 January 2004; Accepted 26 February 2004) 358
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