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Early Anakinra Treatment for COVID-19 Guided by Urokinase Plasminogen
Receptor
Evdoxia Kyriazopoulou, MD, MSc, PhD1, Garyfallia Poulakou MD, PhD2,
Haralampos Milionis3, Simeon Metallidis, MD, PhD4, Georgios Adamis, MD, PhD5,
Konstantinos Tsiakos, MD6, Archontoula Fragkou, MD7, Aggeliki Rapti, MD6,
Christina Damoulari, MD1, Massimo Fantoni, MD, PhD8,
Ioannis Kalomenidis, MD, PhD9, Georgios Chrysos, MD, PhD10,
Andrea Angheben, MD11, Ilias Kainis, MD12, Zoi Alexiou, MD, PhD13,
Francesco Castelli, MD14, Francesco Saverio Serino, MD15,
Petros Bakakos, MD, PhD16, Emanuele Nicastri, MD, PhD17,
Vassiliki Tzavara, MD, PhD18, Evangelos Kostis19, Lorenzo Dagna, MD20,
Panagiotis Koufargyris1, Katerina Dimakou, MD, PhD21,
Glykeria Tzatzagou, MD, PhD22, Maria Chini, MD, PhD23,
Matteo Bassetti, MD, PhD24, Konstantina Katrini1, Vasileios Kotsis, MD, PhD25,
George Tsoukalas, MD26, Carlo Selmi, MD, PhD27, Ioannis Bliziotis, MD, PhD28,
Michael Samarkos, MD, PhD29, Michael Doumas, MD, PhD30, Sofia Ktena, MD1,
Aikaterini Masgala, MD, PhD31, Ilias Papanikolaou, MD, PhD32,
Aikaterini Argyraki, MD, PhD33, Chiara Simona Cardellino, MD,11,
Eleni-Ioanna Katsigianni34, Efthymia Giannitsioti, MD, PhD10,
Antonella Cingolani, MD8, Karolina Akinosoglou, MD, PhD35,
Orestis Liatsis-Douvitsas34, Styliani Symbardi, MD, PhD35,
Maria Mouktaroudi, MD, PhD1, 34, Giuseppe Ippolito, MD, PhD17, Eleni Florou34,
Antigone Kotsaki, MD, PhD1, Mihai G. Netea, MD, PhD37,38, Jesper Eugen-Olsen,
PhD39, Miltiades Kyprianou34, Periklis Panagopoulos, MD, PhD40,
1
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.16.21257283; this version posted May 18, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
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All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
George N. Dalekos, MD, PhD41, Evangelos J. Giamarellos-Bourboulis MD, PhD1, 34
1 th
4 Department of Internal Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Medical School, Athens, Greece;
2 rd
3 Department of Internal Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Medical School, Athens, Greece;
3
1st Department of Internal Medicine, University of Ioannina, Medical School,
Ioannina, Greece;
4
1st Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Medical
School, Thessaloniki, Greece;
5 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, G. Gennimatas General Hospital of Athens,
Athens, Greece;
6 nd
2
Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Sotiria General Hospital of Chest Diseases,
Athens, Greece;
7
Department of Internal Medicine, Elpis General Hospital, Athens, Greece;
8
Dipartimento Scienze di Laboratorio e Infettivologiche - Fondazione Policlinico
Gemelli IRCCS, Roma Italy
9 st
1 Department of Critical Care and Pulmonary Medicine, Medical School, National
and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Evangelismos General Hospital, Athens,
Greece;
10 nd
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Tzaneio General Hospital of Piraeus, Athens,
Greece;
11
Department of Infectious – Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCSS Sacro
Cuore Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy;
2
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All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
12
10th Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Sotiria General Hospital of Chest
Diseases of Athens, Greece;
13 nd
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Thriasio General Hospital of Eleusis, Athens,
Greece;
14
Spedali Civili, Brescia ASST Spedali Civili Hospital, University of Brescia, Italy;
15
Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital of Jesolo, Italy;
16 st
1 Department of Chest Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Medical School, Athens, Greece;
17
Department of Internal Medicine, Spallanzani Institute of Rome, Italy;
18 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, Korgialeneion-Benakeion General Hospital,
Athens, Greece;
19
Department of Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Medical School, Athens, Greece;
20
Unit of Immunology, Rheumatology, Allergy and Rare Diseases (UnIRAR), IRCCS
Ospedale San Raffaele & Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy;
21 th
5 Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Sotiria General Hospital of Chest Diseases,
Athens, Greece;
22 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, PAPAGEORGIOU General Hospital of
Thessaloniki (PI: Glykeria Tzatzagou, Director of NHS
23
3rd Dpt of Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases Unit, Korgialeneion-Benakeion
General Hospital, Athens, Greece;
24
Infectious Diseases Clinic, Ospedale Policlinico San Martino IRCCS and
Department of Health Sciences, University of Genova, Genoa, Italy;
25 rd
3 Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Medical
School, Thessaloniki, Greece;
3
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26 th
4 Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Sotiria General Hospital of Chest Diseases,
Athens, Greece;
27
Humanitas Research Hospital, Milan, Italy;
28 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, Asklipieio General Hospital of Voula, Greece;
29 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,
Medical School, Athens, Greece;
30 nd
2
Department of Propedeutic Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki,
Medical School, Thessaloniki, Greece;
31 nd
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Konstantopouleio General Hospital, Athens,
Greece;
32
Department of Pulmonary Medicine, General Hospital of Kerkyra, Greece;
33
Department of Internal Medicine, Sotiria General Hospital of Chest Diseases,
Greece;
34
Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis, Athens, Greece;
35
Department of Internal Medicine, University of Patras, Rion, Greece;
36 st
1 Department of Internal Medicine, Thriasio General Hospital of Eleusis, Athens,
Greece;
37
Department of Internal Medicine and Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboud
University, 6500 Nijmegen, The Netherlands;
38
Department of Immunology and Metabolism, Life and Medical Sciences Institute,
University of Bonn, Germany
39
Department of Clinical Research, Copenhagen University Hospital, Amager and
Hvidovre, Denmark;
40 nd
2
Department of Internal Medicine, Democritus University of Thrace, Medical
School, 681 00 Alexandroupolis, Greece;
4
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41
Department of Medicine and Research Laboratory of Internal Medicine, National
Expertise Center of Greece in Autoimmune Liver Diseases, General University
Hospital of Larissa, 41110 Larissa, Greece
Corresponding author:
E. J. Giamarellos-Bourboulis, MD, PhD
4th Department of Internal Medicine
ATTIKON University Hospital
1 Rimini Street; 124 62 Athens; Greece
Tel: +30 210 58 31 994; Fax: +30 210 53 26446
e-mail: egiamarel@med.uoa.gr
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ABSTRACT
Background In a previous open-label trial, early anakinra treatment guided by
elevated soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) prevented
progression of COVID-19 pneumonia into respiratory failure.
Methods In the SAVE-MORE multicenter trial, 594 hospitalized patients with
moderate and severe COVID-19 pneumonia and plasma suPAR 6 ng/ml or more and
receiving standard-of-care were 1:2 randomized to subcutaneous treatment with
placebo or 100 mg anakinra once daily for 10 days. The primary endpoint was the
overall clinical status of the 11-point World Health Organization ordinal Clinical
Progression Scale (WHO-CPS) at day 28. The changes of the WHO-CPS and of the
sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score were the main secondary
endpoints.
Results Anakinra-treated patients were distributed to lower strata of WHO-CPS by
day 28 (adjusted odds ratio-OR 0.36; 95%CI 0.26-0.50; P<0.001); anakinra protected
from severe disease or death (6 or more points of WHO-CPS) (OR: 0.46; P: 0.010).
The median absolute decrease of WHO-CPS in the placebo and anakinra groups
from baseline was 3 and 4 points respectively at day 28 (OR 0.40; P<0.0001); and 2
and 3 points at day 14 (OR 0.63; P: 0.003); the absolute decrease of SOFA score
was 0 and 1 points (OR 0.63; P: 0.004). 28-day mortality decreased (hazard ratio:
0.45; P: 0.045). Hospital stay was shorter.
Conclusions Early start of anakinra treatment guided by suPAR provides 2.78 times
better improvement of overall clinical status in moderate and severe COVID-19
pneumonia.
(Sponsored by the Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis ClinicalTrials.gov
identifier, NCT04680949)
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Key-words: anakinra; suPAR; pneumonia; COVID-19; WHO Clinical Progression
Scale
7
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INTRODUCTION
COronaVIrus Disease-19 (COVID-19) pneumonia can have an unpredictable
clinical course. Patients may suddenly deteriorate into severe respiratory failure
(SRF), so that early recognition of the turning point and timely onset of targeted
treatment appear of outmost importance.
Our group and others have shown that soluble urokinase plasminogen
activator (suPAR) can early prognosticate unfavorable outcome1, 2. Early suPAR
increase is an indicator of the release of danger-associated molecular patterns
(DAMPs), namely calprotectin (S100A8/A9) and interleukin (IL)-1 α3,4. Calprotectin in
turn stimulates the aberrant production of interleukin (IL)-1β by the circulating
monocytes4 whereas knock-outing of IL-1α is protective for the host3. These
observations frame the hypothesis that early detection of increased suPAR may
guide targeted therapeutics against IL-1α and IL-1β. Indeed, in the open-label phase
II study SAVE, early administration of anakinra guided by suPAR decreased the
relative risk for progression into SRF by 70% compared to standard-of-care
treatment; significant reduction of 28-day mortality was also found. The recombinant
IL-1 receptor antagonist anakinra blocks both IL-1α and IL-1β5.
Despite the important information provided by the SAVE trial, one prospective
randomized clinical trial (RCT) is necessary to prove the effectiveness of this
approach. SAVE-MORE (suPAR-guided Anakinra treatment for Validation of the risk
and Early Management Of seveRE respiratory failure by COVID-19) is a pivotal,
confirmatory, phase III RCT aiming to evaluate the efficacy and safety of early start of
anakinra guided by suPAR in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. The primary
objective was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of early targeting of IL-1α/β on the
clinical state of patients with COVID-19 pneumonia and elevated suPAR levels, over
8
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28 days, as measured by the 11-point ordinal WHO (World Health Organization)
Clinical Progression scale (CPS).
METHODS
Trial oversight
SAVE-MORE is a prospective double-blind RCT conducted in 37 study sites
(29 in Greece and 8 in Italy). The protocol (available with the full text of this article)
was finalized after advice by the Emergency Task Force (ETF) of the European
Medicines Agency (EMA) for COVID-19 (document EMA/659928/2020). The protocol
was approved by the National Ethics Committee of Greece (approval 161/20) and by
the Ethics Committee of the National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro
Spallanzani, IRCCS in Rome (01.02.2021) (EudraCT number, 2020-005828-11;
ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04680949). The trial was sponsored by the Hellenic Institute
for the Study of Sepsis (HISS) and funded in part by HISS and in part by Swedish
Orphan Biovitrum AB (Sobi). HISS was responsible for the design, conduct, analysis
and interpretation of data, and decision to publish. The laboratory of Immunology of
Infectious Diseases of the 4th Department of Internal Medicine at ATTIKON University
General Hospital served as central laboratory. The data lock for all events until day
28 was done on April 29th 2021.
Patients
Enrolled patients were adults of either gender; with molecular diagnosis of
infection by SARS-CoV-2; with involvement of the lower respiratory tract as
confirmed by chest computed tomography or X-ray; in need for hospitalization; and
with plasma suPAR 6 ng/ml or more. Main exclusion criteria were: ratio or partial
9
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oxygen pressure to fraction of inspired oxygen less than 150; need of non-invasive
ventilation (CPAP or BPAP) or mechanical ventilation; neutropenia; stage IV
malignancy; end-stage renal disease; severe hepatic failure; immunodeficiencies;
and chronic intake of corticosteroids and biological anti-cytokine drugs. All patients or
their legal representatives provided written informed consent before enrollment.
Trial interventions
Patients meeting all inclusion criteria and not meeting any exclusion criterion
were subject to blood draw. suPAR was measured in plasma using the suPARnostic®
Quick Triage kit (Virogates S/A, Birkerød, Denmark) and a point-of care reader.
Patients with suPAR 6 ng/ml or more were electronically 1:2 randomized into
treatment with placebo or anakinra using four randomization strata: classification into
moderate or severe disease using the WHO definition6; need for dexamethasone
intake; body mass index (BMI) more than 30 kg/m2; and country. The study drug was
administered subcutaneously once daily in the thigh or in the abdomen for seven to
10 days. Patients allocated to placebo treatment were daily injected 0.67 ml of 0.9%
sodium chloride; and those allocated to active drug 100 mg of anakinra at a final
volume of 0.67 ml. Study drug was prepared by an unblinded pharmacist with access
to the electronic study system using a separate username and a password.
Administration was done by a blind study nurse. All patients were receiving predefined standard-of-care (SoC) which consisted of regular monitoring of physical
signs, oximetry and anti-coagulation. Patients with severe disease by the WHO
definition6 were also receiving intravenous 6 mg daily dexamethasone for 10 days.
Remdesivir treatment was left at the discretion of the attending physicians; other
biologicals targeting cytokines and kinase inhibitors were not allowed.
10
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Study visits were done daily for 10 days; on day 14; and on day 28. At each
study-visit the following were recorded: non-serious and serious treatment-emergent
adverse events (TEAEs); WHO-CPS; sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA)
score; and co-administered treatment. Visits were done by phone for patients
discharged by day 7. Data were captured after review of all medical and nursing
charts by a physicians’ team blinded to the allocation group. Blood samples and
nasopharyngeal swabs were collected before start of the study drug and at days 4
and 7 for the measurements of biomarkers.
All serious and non-serious TEAEs were graded according to the Common
Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (version 5.0).
Outcomes
The primary study endpoint was the overall comparison of the distribution of
frequencies of the scores from the 11-point WHO Clinical Progression ordinal Scale
(CPS) between the two arms of treatment at Day 28. Secondary endpoints included
the changes of WHO-CPS by days 14 and 28 from the baseline (before start of the
study drug); the change of SOFA score by day 7 from baseline; the time until hospital
discharge; the time of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) for patients eventually
admitted to the ICU; and the comparison of biomarkers.
Statistical analysis
The sample size was calculated based on the finding from the phase II SAVE
trial5 that 42% of comparators and 16.3% of anakinra-treated patients by day 28 were
presented with 6 or more points of the WHO-CPS. To achieve such a difference in
the WHO-CPS scores with 90% power at the 5% level of significance, allocation of
11
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200 patients to SoC and placebo treatment and 400 patients to SoC and anakinra
treatment were planned. Data were analyzed for the intention-to-treat (ITT)
population. Missing data were imputed by last observation carried forward (LOCF).
WHO-CPS is an ordinal 11-point variable ranging from 0 to 10 and comparisons were
done by univariate and multivariate ordinal regression analysis using logit function.
Results were expressed as the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).
The two basic assumptions of the model, i.e., proportional odds and the goodness-offit test were checked. According to EMA’s COVID-ETF advice the variables used for
stratified randomization entered as co-variates in the multivariate model, i.e., disease
severity, intake of dexamethasone, BMI more than 30, and country. According to the
same advice, the analysis of the primary endpoint should have been supported by
three analyses: comparison of the WHO-CPS by day 14; logistic regression analysis
separately for patients at the two spectra of WHO-CPS at day 28; and time
progression to respiratory failure by day 14. The first spectrum of the WHO-CPS was
defined as patients fully recovered with negative viral load (WHO-CPS 0 points)
contrary to patients with persistent disease (WHO-CPS between points 1 to 10). The
second spectrum was defined as patients pointed 6 or more in the WHO-CPS
(severe hospitalized and dead) contrary to patients pointed 5 or less. Five sensitivity
analyses were conducted to assess robustness: exclusion of population deviating
from the SoC; population receiving at least 7 doses of the study drug; complete
analysis set; responder analysis treating missing values as non-responders; and
comparison of the unadjusted and the adjusted treatment effects. Analysis was
conducted using IBM SPSS Statistics v. 26.0. All P values were two-sided and any P
value <0.05 was considered as statistically significant. The complete statistical
analysis plan is provided in the Supplementary Appendix.
12
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RESULTS
Patients
From December 2020 through March 2021, 1060 patients were screened and
606 were randomized. 12 patients withdrew consent and requested removal of all
data, leaving a final ITT analysis cohort of 594 patients; 189 patients were allocated
to the SoC and placebo arm, and 405 patients were allocated to the SoC and
anakinra arm. Only one patient was lost to follow-up (Figure 1). Baseline
characteristics and co-administered treatments were similar between the two arms
(Table 1).
Primary and secondary outcomes
The unadjusted OR of the WHO-CPS by day 28 was 0.36 (95%CI 0.26-0.49;
P<0.001) (Figure 2A and Table 2) corresponding to 2.78 times better improvement of
the clinical status. The testing of the assumptions of the ordinal regression analysis
i.e. the Goodness-of-fit test and the parallel lines test were not statistically significant
denoting an even distribution of the treatment effect size for all 11-points of the
WHO-CPS. At the univariate analysis treatment with anakinra and dexamethasone
and disease severity were significantly associated with the final outcome. However,
in the multivariate analysis, treatment with anakinra was the only variable that was
significantly associated with final outcome (OR 0.36; 95%CI 0.26-0.50; P<0.001)
(Figure 2B).
The three confirmatory analyses fully supported the clinical benefit of anakinra
treatment. More precisely, the unadjusted OR of the ordinal regression analysis of
the WHO-CPS by day 14 was 0.57 (95% CI 0.42-0.77; P<0.001) (Figure S1); after
multivariate adjustment this was 0.58 (0.42-0.79; P: 0.001) (Table S1) showing also
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that anakinra treatment was the only variable affecting the outcome of patients by
day 14. Regarding the second confirmatory analysis the multivariate logistic
regression model for the first spectrum of the WHO-CPS showed that anakinra
treatment and baseline severity were associated with persistence of the disease by
day 28; anakinra was protective from disease persistence (OR: 0.36; 95% CI 0.250.53; P<0.001) (Table S2). The multivariate logistic regression model for the second
spectrum of the WHO-CPS showed that anakinra treatment was the only variable
that was associated with severe disease or death; anakinra was protective (OR: 0.46;
95% CI 0.26-0.83; P: 0.010) (Table S2). 28-day mortality was also lower among
patients allocated to SoC and anakinra treatment (6.9% versus 3.2% respectively)
(Figure S2). The third confirmatory analysis validated the results of the phase 2
SAVE trial. In this analysis, anakinra treatment prevented the progression to
respiratory failure by day 14 (Figure S3 and Table S3) (31.7% in the SoC and
placebo arm versus 20.7% in the SoC and anakinra arm).
The rate of protocol deviations from the SoC treatment was significantly
greater among patients allocated to the placebo arm than patients allocated to the
anakinra arm (14.3% versus 3.2% respectively; P<0.001). These protocol deviations
in the SoC and placebo arm were mainly related to increasing the dose and/or
duration of dexamethasone administration (Table S4). All five sensitivity analyses
confirmed further the analysis of the primary endpoint (Table S5).
Analysis of the five clinical secondary endpoints showed a significant benefit
from anakinra treatment on all of these endpoints. More precisely, the decreases of
the WHO-CPS score from baseline by days 28 and 14 and of the SOFA score from
baseline by day 7 were significantly greater in the SoC and anakinra arm (Table 2
and Tables S6 to S8). Moreover, in the anakinra group, the average time until
14
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hospital discharge was one 1 day shorter and the time until ICU discharge was 4
days shorter (Table 2 and Figures S4 and S5).
Over-time follow-up of laboratory values showed that among patients treated
with anakinra: a) the absolute lymphocyte count was increased by day 7; b)
circulating IL-6 was decreased by days 4 and 7; and c) plasma C-reactive protein
(CRP) was decreased by day 7 (Figure S6).
Adverse events
Overall, the incidence of serious TEAEs through day 28 was lower in patients
in the anakinra and SoC group (16.5%) compared to the placebo and SoC group
(21.2%). The non-serious TEAEs were similar in both treatment groups (Table 3 and
Tables S9 and S10).
DISCUSSION
The SAVE-MORE trial showed an impressive efficacy of 10 days
subcutaneous administration of anakinra in patients with COVID-19 and plasma
suPAR 6 ng/ml or more. The global improvement of the overall clinical status was
2.78 times and it was evenly distributed in all scales of the day 28 WHO-CPS. The
benefit was already apparent from day 14 and this is of major clinical importance
since the first 14 days is the period during which a patient is expected to worsen;
anakinra benefit was expanded until day 28. The magnitude of the efficacy of
anakinra was shown in all multivariate analyses where in the presence of anakinra
treatment the effect of disease severity on the final outcome was lost. The proportion
of patients fully recovered exceeded 50% and those who remained under severe
disease were reduced by 54%; the significant relative decrease of 28-day mortality
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was 55%. The large majority of the study population had severe COVID-19 and
81.8% were receiving SoC treatment containing dexamethasone. The remarkable
improvement of patients under anakinra is also indirectly evidenced by the lack of
changes in the SoC regimen. On the contrary, in 17% of patients receiving placebo,
treating physicians changed the dexamethasone regimen and they administered
either higher doses or even anti-cytokine biologicals.
The results fully validate the findings of the previous SAVE open-label phase II
trial. In SAVE, the incidence of respiratory failure after 14 days with anakinra
treatment was 22.3%5; in the SAVE-MORE trial it was 20.7%. For those who were
eventually admitted to the ICU, time until discharge was significantly shorter in the
anakinra and SoC treated group than in the placebo and SoC group; this was also
observed in the previous SAVE trial5.
Early since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, immunomodulators
were suggested as one main strategy to attenuate the exaggerated immune
response of the host. The most common administered drugs are anakinra and
tocilizumab targeting the IL-1 and the IL-6 pathways respectively. However, the
results of RCTs were heterogeneous and provided varying clinical benefit. There are
nine published studies on the clinical efficacy of anakinra5,7-14; four have retrospective
design, another four have prospective design using parallel comparators and only
one is an RCT. Although most of these studies report mortality benefit, it is difficult to
compare the findings to the results of the SAVE-MORE trial. The studies differ with
regard to selection of patients, severity of illness and stage of the disease. Also
duration of treatment, dose and route of administration was variable. So far, WHOCPS was not studied as primary endpoint. Indeed, four of the studies were done in
16
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patients with critical illness with plasma levels of CRP and ferritin strongly exceeding
the levels of the SAVE-MORE study population7-10.
What makes the difference between SAVE-MORE and the rest of RCTs and
can explain the overwhelming efficacy of treatment? The reason is very likely patient
stratification using suPAR as a biomarker of inflammation and diseases severity to
select the patients most likely to benefit from anakinra treatment. Based on
experimental studies and clinical evidence, early increase of suPAR is pointing
towards excess release of DAMPs3. Predominant DAMPs are IL-1α that is released
from the lung epithelium and calprotectin, which is subsequently exerting systemic
effects through the production of IL-1β, designating suPAR as an important
biomarker for excessive IL-1 bioactivity. Anakinra blocks both IL-1α and IL-1β by
blocking their common receptor. The attenuation of the inflammatory responses by
anakinra was shown by the decrease of IL-6 and of CRP circulating concentrations
and by the increase of the absolute lymphocyte counts.
The clinical benefit of tocilizumab has been studied in six RCTs. In four of
these RCTs, the patient populations were much similar to the population of the
SAVE-MORE trial15-18. Clinical benefit from tocilizumab treatment was shown in only
one of these four trials. On the opposite, most of clinical benefit from tocilizumab
treatment was found in the other two trials, namely RECOVERY19 and REMAPCAP20, with participants suffering from critical illness. Mortality was decreased from
35% with usual care to 31% in the RECOVERY trial19 whilst the median number of
organ support-free days were increased from 0 days with usual care to 10 days with
tocilizumab treatment in the REMAP-CAP trial20. The benefit of the more severe
patients by tocilizumab may be explained by the biology of the critical illness. We
have previously shown that circulating monocytes in critical COVID-19 present with
17
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complex immune dysregulation characterized by decreased efficiency for antigenpresentation and inappropriate maintenance of the potential for excess cytokine
production: this dysregulation was restored upon exposure to tocilizumab21.
In conclusion, the SAVE-MORE trial showed that early start of treatment with
anakinra and SoC guided by the biomarker suPAR in patients hospitalized with
moderate and severe COVID-19 is leading to 2.78 times better improvement of the
overall clinical status as expressed by the WHO-CPS. The frequency for full recovery
is increased and the incidence of respiratory failure or death is decreased. This leads
to shorter hospital stay. This finding is of outmost clinical importance and carries a
major public health dimension, given the ICU overload during the COVID-19
pandemic, especially in countries with limited ICU capacity.
18
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All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
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19. RECOVERY collaborative group. Tocilizumab in patients admitted to hospital with
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(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Funding and disclosure
Declaration of interests
G. Poulakou has received independent educational grants from Pfizer, MSD,
Angelini, and Biorad.
H. Milionis reports receiving honoraria, consulting fees and non-financial support
from healthcare companies, including Amgen, Angelini, Bayer, Mylan, MSD, Pfizer,
and Servier.
L. Dagna had received consultation honoraria from SOBI.
M. Bassetti has received funds for research grants and/or advisor/consultant and/or
speaker/chairman from Angelini, Astellas, Bayer, Biomerieux, Cidara, Cipla, Gilead,
Menarini, MSD, Pfizer, Roche, Shionogi and Nabriva.
M. G. Netea is supported by an ERC Advanced Grant (#833247) and a Spinoza
grant of the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research. He has also received
independent educational grants from TTxD, GSK and ViiV HealthCare.
J. Eugen-Olsen is a co-founder, shareholder and CSO of ViroGates, Denmark, and
named inventor on patients on suPAR owned by Copenhagen University Hospital
Hvidovre, Denmark.
P. Panagopoulos has received honoraria from GILEAD Sciences, Janssen, and
MSD.
G. N. Dalekos is an advisor or lecturer for Ipsen, Pfizer, Genkyotex, Novartis, Sobi,
received research grants from Abbvie, Gilead and has served as PI in studies for
Abbvie, Novartis, Gilead, Novo Nordisk, Genkyotex, Regulus Therapeutics Inc,
Tiziana Life Sciences, Bayer, Astellas, Pfizer, Amyndas Pharmaceuticals, CymaBay
Therapeutics Inc., Sobi and Intercept Pharmaceuticals.
22
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.16.21257283; this version posted May 18, 2021. The copyright holder for this preprint
(which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
E. J. Giamarellos-Bourboulis has received honoraria from Abbott CH, bioMérieux,
Brahms GmbH, GSK, InflaRx GmbH, and XBiotech Inc; independent educational
grants from Abbott CH, AxisShield, bioMérieux Inc, InflaRx GmbH, Johnson &
Johnson and XBiotech Inc.; and funding from the Horizon2020 Marie-Curie Project
European Sepsis Academy (granted to the National and Kapodistrian University of
Athens), and the Horizon 2020 European Grants ImmunoSep and RISKinCOVID
(granted to the Hellenic Institute for the Study of Sepsis).
The other authors do not have any competing interest to declare.
Acknowledgment
The authors wish to express their gratitude to the members of the Data Monitoring
and Safety Committee Professors Michael Niederman, Jos WM van der Meer and
Konrad Reinhart for their valuable contribution and for their critical review of the
submitted manuscript.
23
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All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
Figure legends
Figure 1. Study flow chart
Abbreviations: FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen; ITT: intention-to-treat; IV:
intravenous; pO2: partial oxygen pressure; suPAR: soluble urokinase plasminogen
activator receptor
Figure 2. Study Primary Outcome.
A) Distribution of the World Health Organization (WHO) Clinical Progression Scale
(CPS) at day 28 of patients allocated to treatment with standard-of-care (SoC) and
placebo and to treatment with SoC and anakinra. The odds ratio (OR) of the
unadjusted ordinal regression analysis and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are
shown. The two tests of the assumptions of the ordinal regression analysis are also
provided. B) Univariate and multivariate ordinal regression analysis of the WHO-CPS
at day 28. Co-variates entered in the multivariate model were those used for stratified
randomization according to the received advice by the COVID-ETF of the EMA.
Abbreviations CI: confidence interval; ECMO: extracorporeal membrane oxygenation;
HFO: high flow oxygen; MV: mechanical ventilation; NIV: non-invasive ventilation;
OR: odds ratio; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; P/F: respiratory failure; SoC;
standard-of-care
24
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Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of Enrolled Patients.
SoC + Placebo
SoC + Anakinra
All patients
(N=189)
(N=405)
(N=594)
Age, years, mean (SD)
61.5 (11.3)
62.0 (11.4)
61.9 (12.1)
Male sex, n (%)
108 (57.1)
236 (58.3)
344 (57.9)
Mean body mass index (SD)
29.8 (5.6)
29.4 (5.5)
29.5 (5.5)
Charlson’s comorbidity index, mean (SD)
2.2 (1.5)
2.3 (1.6)
2.2 (1.6)
SOFA score, mean (SD)
2.5 (1.2)
2.4 (1.1)
2.4 (1.1)
Moderate pneumonia
27 (14.3)
82 (20.2)
109 (18.4)
Severe pneumonia
162 (85.7)
323 (79.8)
485 (81.6)
From symptom onset
9 (7-11)
9 (7-12)
9 (7-11)
From hospital admission
2 (2-3)
2 (2-3)
2 (2-3)
WHO classification for COVID-19, n (%)
Days to start of study drug, median (Q1-Q3)
Laboratory values, median (Q1-Q3)
White blood cell count, cells per mm3
5910 (4280-8300) 5980 (4320-8180) 5950 (4310-8200)
Lymphocyte count, cells per mm3
730 (560-1090)
815 (570-1110)
800 (565-1100)
C-reactive protein, mg/l
51.4 (25.2-98.5)
50.5 (25.2-100.2)
50.6 (25.3-99.7)
Interleukin-6, pg/ml
20.1 (7.4-45.0)
15.5 (6.7-39.3)
16.8 (7.0-39.8)
Ferritin, ng/ml
628.6
558.9
585.2
(293.5-1062.3)
(294.1-1047.0)
(294.5-1047.0)
Serum soluble uPAR, ng/ml
7.5 (6.9-9.3)
7.6 (7.0-9.1)
7.6 (6.9-9.1)
PaO2: FiO2
215 (161-293)
235 (178-304)
230 (172-300)
28 (14.8)
66 (16.3)
94 (15.8)
Comorbidities, no. (%)
Type 2 diabetes mellitus
25
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Chronic heart failure
5 (2.6)
13 (3.2)
18 (3.0)
Chronic renal disease
1 (0.5)
9 (2.2)
10 (1.7)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
9 (4.8)
15 (3.7)
24 (4.0)
Coronary heart disease
13 (6.9)
28 (6.9)
41 (6.9)
Atrial fibrillation
8 (4.2)
20 (4.9)
28 (4.7)
Depression
9 (4.8)
25 (6.2)
34 (5.7)
8.7 (2.0)
8.4 (2.1)
8.6 (1.8)
Remdesivir
133 (70.4)
294 (72.6)
427 (71.9)
Dexamethasone at enrolment
160 (84.7)
326 (80.5)
486 (81.8)
Dexamethasone over follow-up due to
8 (4.2)
16 (4.4)
26 (4.4)
Low molecular weight heparin
175 (92.6)
385 (95.1)
560 (94.3)
β-lactamases
10 (5.3)
23 (5.7)
33 (5.6)
Piperacillin/tazobactam
36 (119.0)
64 (15.8)
100 (16.8)
Ceftriaxone
85 (45.0)
155 (38.3)
240 (40.4)
Ceftaroline
32 (16.9)
75 (18.5)
107 (18.0)
Respiratory fluoroquinolone
24 (12.7)
53 (13.1)
77 (13.0)
Azithromycin
35 (18.5)
76 (18.8)
111 (18.7)
Any glycopeptide
19 (10.1)
24 (5.9)
43 (7.2)
Linezolid
22 (11.6)
45 (11.1)
67 (11.3)
Administered doses of study drug, mean (SD)
Co-administered medications, n (%)
progression from moderate to severe
disease
Abbreviations: FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen; PaO2: partial oxygen pressure; SD
standard deviation; SOFA sequential organ failure assessment.; Q quartile; WHO
World Health Organization
26
SoC + Placebo
SoC + Anakinra
Odds Ratio
(N=189)
(N=405)
(95% CI)
WHO-CPS by day 28
0.36 (0.26-0.49)
Fully recovered PCR(-), n (%)
50 (26.5)
204 (50.4)
Asymptomatic PCR (+), n (%)
6 (3.2)
40 (9.9)
Symptomatic independent, n (%)
74 (39.2)
93 (23.0)
Symptomatic assistance needed, n (%)
21 (11.1)
25 (6.2)
Hospitalized no need for oxygen, n (%)
3 (1.6)
9 (2.2)
Hospitalized with nasal/mask oxygen, n (%)
10 (5.3)
8 (2.0)
Need for HFO or NIV, n (%)
1 (0.5)
1 (0.2)
Mechanical ventilation with P/F >150, n (%)
1 (0.5)
1 (0.2)
Mechanical ventilation with P/F <150 or vasopressors, n (%)
4 (2.1)
5 (1.2)
Mechanical ventilation with P/F <150 and vasopressors or
6 (3.2)
6 (1.5)
13 (6.9)
13 (3.2)
P Value
<0.001
hemodialysis or ECMO, n (%)
Dead, n (%)
27
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Table 2. Primary and Secondary Study Outcomes.
3 (2.5)
4 (2.0)
0.40 (0.29-0.55)
<0.001
2 (3.0)
3 (2.0)
0.63 (0.46-0.85)
0.003
0 (1)
1 (2)
0.63 (0.46-0.86)
0.004
Median (IQR) time to hospital discharge, days
12 (8.5)
11 (7.8)
1.22 (1.02-1.47)**
0.033
Median (IQ) time of ICU stay, days*
14 (22)
10 (21)
2.33 (1.11-4.92)**
0.026
median (IQR)
Absolute decrease of WHO-CPS at day 14 from baseline day 1,
median (IQR)
Absolute decrease of SOFA score at day 7 from baseline day 1,
median (IQR)
*only for patients admitted in the ICU
**Hazard ratio
Abbreviations CI: confidence interval; ECMO: extra corporeal membrane oxygenation; HFO: high-flow oxygen; ICU: intensive care
unit; IQR: interquartile range; MV: mechanical ventilation; NIV: non-invasive ventilation; PCR: polymerase chain reaction; P/F:
respiratory ratio; SOFA: sequential organ failure assessment; WHO-CPS; World Health Organization Clinical Progression Scale
28
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Absolute decrease of WHO-CPS at day 28 from baseline day 1,
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Table 3. Most common (>2%) Serious and non-Serious TreatmentEmergent Adverse Events (TEAE)
SoC+ Placebo SoC+ Anakinra
P-value
(n=189)
(n=405)
41 (21.2)
68 (16.5)
0.17
25 (13.0)
31 (7.5)
0.035
Ventilator-associated pneumonia
14 (7.4)
14 (3.5)
0.039
Bloodstream infection
6 (3.2)
12 (3.0)
1.00
Probable nosocomial infections
4 (2.1)
10 (2.5)
1.00
4 (2.1)
7 (1.7)
0.75
170 (90.4)
352 (87.8)
0.40
Neutropenia
1 (0.5)
12 (3.0)
0.07
Anemia
37 (19.6)
58 (14.3)
<0.001
Thrombocytopenia
4 (2.1)
9 (2.2)
>0.99
Rash at the injection site
3 (1.5)
15 (3.7)
0.20
Constipation
16 (8.5)
39 (9.6)
0.76
Diarrhea
8 (4.2)
14 (3.5)
0.82
Increase of liver function tests
63 (33.3)
145 (35.8)
0.58
Bradycardia
19 (10.1)
36 (8.9)
0.76
Headache
8 (4.2)
16 (4.0)
>0.99
Anxiety
11 (5.8)
33 (8.2)
0.40
Creatinine increase
9 (4.8)
17 (4.2)
0.83
Hyperglycemia
76 (40.2)
148 (36.5)
0.41
At least one serious TEAE, n (%)
Type of serious TEAE, n (%)
Infections and infestations, total
Pulmonary embolism
At least one non-serious TEAE, n (%)
Type of adverse event — no. (%)
29
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Hyponatremia
23 (12.2)
32 (7.9)
0.13
Hypernatremia
17 (9.0)
46 (11.4)
0.40
Hypokalemia
12 (6.3)
11 (2.7)
0.04
Hyperkalemia
13 (6.9)
36 (8.9)
0.43
Hypocalcemia
20 (10.6)
32 (7.9)
0.35
Abbreviations: SoC: standard-of-care
30