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Probabilistic time series forecasting has played critical role in decision-making pro- cesses due to its capability to quantify uncer- tainties.
Feb 24, 2022 · In this work, we propose a framework for robust probabilistic time series forecasting. First, we generalize the concept of adversarial input perturbations.
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People also ask
What is an example of a probabilistic forecast?
For example, "tonight's low will be 31 degrees Fahrenheit," or "0.46 inches of rain will fall tomorrow." A probabilistic forecast is one in which forecasters convey uncertainties by expressing forecasts as probabilities of various outcomes.
What is probabilistic time series forecasting?
Probabilistic forecasting, i. e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes.
What is an example of time series forecasting?
Examples of time series forecasting Forecasting the closing price of a stock each day. Forecasting product sales in units sold each day for a store. Forecasting unemployment for a state each quarter. Forecasting the average price of gasoline each day.
What is the probabilistic forecasting model?
A probabilistic forecast contains a set of probabilities associated with all possible future outcomes instead of just one particular outcome being pinpointed across the forecast.
This is the public repo for the paper "Robust Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting" (AISTATS '22). Requirements Recent versions of GluonTS, PyTorch, and ...
In this work, we propose a framework for robust probabilistic time series forecasting. First, we generalize the concept of adversarial input perturbations, ...
Feb 24, 2022 · In this work, we propose a framework for robust probabilistic time series forecasting. First, we generalize the concept of adversarial input ...
This work generalizes the concept of adversarial input perturbations, based on which the idea of robustness is formulated in terms of bounded Wasserstein ...
In this work, we propose a framework for robust probabilistic time series forecasting. First, we generalize the concept of adversarial input perturbations, ...
Sep 28, 2023 · In this post, we train a robust time series forecasting model capable of capturing such extreme events using Amazon SageMaker.
Dec 12, 2022 · NeuralProphet now includes state-of-the-art innovation in probabilistic forecasting, including probabilistic time-series forecasting using Conformal Prediction.
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We present STRIPE, a probabilistic time series forecasting method that introduces structured shape and temporal diversity based on determinantal point processes ...