Professor, Futures Strategist & Board Advisor | Sydney Executive Plus, University of Sydney | Innovators in Future Proofing Leaders | 2025 Skills Horizon
"AI is disruptive, it will transform the economy." / "AI is over-hyped, there will be disappointment." You know, both those statements can be true. There is no contradiction between the likelihood that AI will have transformative effects across many industries, and the likelihood that we are in for disappointment because of over-blown expectations. Here are two reasons: 1) Transformation happens in workplaces, in markets, in business processes, in business models. Hype and over-blown expectations happen in the share-market, in VC funding, in the start-up sector, and most of all, in the media. The media loves a good hype, stories of super-human intelligence, and it loves a good crash even more. 2) Hype is short-term & crash is short-term. But the transformation happens slowly, steadily and in the long-term. And no, it won't be from AGI or super-human intelligence, but from us slowly figuring out how to make this new computing paradigm useful. So when, inevitably, the hype ends, and the media turns negative on AI, don't forget that your competitors might still be chipping away at that transformation, upskilling their staff, rethinking their processes and services... #ai #generativeai #hype #transformation #upskilling https://lnkd.in/ggVxmX2Y
Kai, if you have not seen, Daron Acemoglu has crucial insights: https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ai-productivity-boom-forecasts-countered-by-theory-and-data-by-daron-acemoglu-2024-05
Nothing new here. Think about the dot com boom and burst while it still is transforming organizations. Or am I getting old. 😊
Finance & FinTech Executive. Adjunct Professor. Speaker. Advisor.
4moTrue. Happened with internet aka dot com and in similar ways with get rich quick house flipping before the great financial crisis. Crypto/ blockchain… CRISPR / gene editing too. The hype is needed for mass attention and investment. And then new real business models arise after reality kicks in and there is plenty of supply. Imagine a world where AI is small and cheap enough to run on the micro edge devices… converge with quantum computing, gene biotech etc… Black Mirror cometh :)