Search Results (61)

The Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) economic cooperation program is an effective and fruitful regional cooperation initiative for socioeconomic development in Asia; however, the vegetation change trends and directions in the GMS caused by rapid development remain unknown. In particular, there is a current lack of comparative studies on vegetation changes in various countries in the GMS. Based on the MODIS normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series data, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of vegetation coverage and their trends in the GMS from 2000 to 2022 using the Theil–Sen slope estimation, the Mann–Kendall mutation test, and the gravity center migration model. The key findings were as follows: (1) the NDVI in the GMS showed an overall upward fluctuating trend over the past 23 years, with an annual growth rate of 0.11%. The NDVI changes varied slightly between seasons, with the greatest increases recorded in summer and winter. (2) The spatial distribution of NDVI in the GMS varied greatly, with higher NDVI values in the north–central region and lower NDVI values in the south. (3) A total of 66.03% of the GMS area showed increments in vegetation during the studied period, mainly in south–central Myanmar, northeastern Thailand, Vietnam, and China. (4) From 2000 to 2022, the gravity center of vegetation greenness shifted northward in the GMS, especially from 2000 to 2005, indicating that the growth rates of vegetation in the north–central part of the GMS were higher than those in the south. Furthermore, the vegetation coverage in all countries, except Cambodia, increased, with the most pronounced growth recorded in China. Overall, these findings can provide scientific evidence for the GMS to enhance ecological protection and sustainable development. Full article

Ecological environment quality reflects the overall condition and health of the environment. Analyzing the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of ecological environment quality across large regions is crucial for environmental protection and policy-making. This study utilized the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to efficiently process large-scale remote sensing data and construct a multi-scale Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI) based on Landsat and Sentinel data. This approach overcomes the limitations of traditional single-scale analyses, enabling a comprehensive assessment of ecological environment quality changes across provincial, municipal, and county levels in Fujian Province. Through the Mann–Kendall mutation test and Sen + Mann–Kendall trend analysis, the study identified significant change points in the RSEI for Fujian Province and revealed the temporal dynamics of ecological quality from 1987 to 2023. Additionally, Moran’s I statistic and Geodetector were employed to explore the spatial correlation and driving factors of ecological quality, with a particular focus on the complex interactions between natural factors. The results indicated that: (1) the integration of Landsat and Sentinel data significantly improved the accuracy of RSEI construction; (2) the RSEI showed a consistent upward trend across different scales, validating the effectiveness of the multi-scale analysis approach; (3) the ecological environment quality in Fujian Province experienced significant changes over the past 37 years, showing a trend of initial decline followed by recovery; (4) Moran’s I analysis demonstrated strong spatial clustering of ecological environment quality in Fujian Province, closely linked to human activities; and (5) the interaction between topography and natural factors had a significant impact on the spatial patterns of RSEI, especially in areas with complex terrain. This study not only provides new insights into the dynamic changes in ecological environment quality in Fujian Province over the past 37 years, but also offers a scientific basis for future environmental restoration and management strategies in coastal areas. By leveraging the efficient data processing capabilities of the GEE platform and constructing multi-scale RSEIs, this study significantly enhances the precision and depth of ecological quality assessment, providing robust technical support for long-term monitoring and policy-making in complex ecosystems. Full article

Assessing the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of habitat quality, human footprint, and coupling coordination between two systems in continuous cycles and on national scales is of great significance to maintaining biodiversity and sustainable development. This study took China as an example, based on land-use data from 2000 to 2020, using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs—Habitat Quality (InVEST-HQ) model and the human footprint framework, coupling trend analysis methods such as Theil–Sen Median Analysis, Mann–Kendall Test, and Grid Transition Matrix (GTM) Method and combining the four-quadrant model and the coupling coordination degree model (CCDM) to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of habitat quality, human footprint, and CCDM in China for 21 consecutive years and the response relationship between the two systems of habitat quality and human footprint. The results show that the land cover change area from 2000 to 2020 accounted for 4.2% of the total area. Both habitat quality and human footprints exhibit apparent spatial heterogeneity along the “Hu Line” and generally fall into two evolutionary stages: “degradation–improvement”. The proportions of degradation and improvement were 14.37% and 8.36%, respectively, and the mutation point was in the year 2013; the average human footprint increased by 16.75%, and the increased and decreased area proportions were 63.40% and 21.53%, respectively. The mutation occurred in 2014. The right side of the “Hu Line” primarily hosts areas with high values of the coordinated coupling index of human footprints and habitat quality systems. The four quadrants generally have the following characteristics: “quadrant IV on the right is dominant, quadrants II and III on the left are dominant, and quadrant I is located in the transition zone of the ‘Hu Line’”. The coupling coordination degree (CCD) and human footprints have a weak, nonlinear “inverted U-shaped” relationship. This study provides compelling evidence for the spatiotemporal evolution and coupling relationship between habitat quality and human footprint in China, provides scientific decision-making support for biodiversity protection and sustainable economic development, and maintains the bottom line of ecological security for a beautiful China. Full article

Hydrological processes and the sustainable use of water resources in a river basin are altered by climate change and changes in human variables. This study examined the significant effects of vegetation and hydrological, climatic, and human activity changes on the basin’s biological environment and usage of water resources. The Min River Basin (MRB) in the upper Yangtze River served as the study location. Mann–Kendall and Pettitt mutation test techniques were used to examine the features of runoff changes in the basin. The effects of meteorological and anthropogenic factors on runoff and vegetation changes in the MRB from 1982 to 2020 were quantitatively evaluated using the expanded Budyko equation. Following this, spatial and temporal variations in land use and the NDVI in the basin were studied. The results of the research demonstrated the following: (1) The MRB yearly runoff trended downward and that an abrupt change in runoff happened in 1994. (2) Precipitation (Pr) showed a decreasing tendency from the base period (S1) to the change period (S2), but potential evapotranspiration (ET₀) showed an increasing trend. (3) From 1985 to 2020, the land use area of the MRB changed rapidly, and the construction land and water area increased by 322% and 58.85%, respectively, while the cultivated land area decreased by 11.72%. (4) From S1 to S2, there was a rising trend in both the NDVI and the Budyko parameter n. The contributions of Pr, ET₀, NDVI, and n to the runoff change were 32.41%, 9.43%, 27.51%, and 30.65%, respectively. Full article

Climate change and human activities affect regional sediment transport and ecological environment construction. Investigating sediment transport and its influencing factors in the Yihe River Basin (YHRB) will provide guidance for regional soil and water conservation and sustainable development. We analyzed the chronological changes, cycles, spatial distribution and influencing factors using Mann–Kendall (M-K) trend analysis, wavelet analysis, and the Pettitt mutation point (PMP) test, then quantified the role of precipitation and human activities in sediment transport changes. The results showed that annual precipitation decreased marginally, whereas sediment load has noticeably declined. Four precipitation cycles were observed: 4–8a, 9–14a, 16–19a, and 20–28a, where 9–14a was dominant; sediment transport cycles were tracked: 3–5a, 9–15a, and 30a, where 30a was dominant with a decreasing trend. The sediment load was higher in the central, northern, and southwestern sub-basins of the YHRB, while it was lower in the southeast. The contribution of human activities and precipitation changes to sediment transport was 73.14% and 26.86% in transitional phase I (1965–1980) and 71.97% and 28.03% in transitional phase II (1981–2020), respectively. Hydraulic engineering construction, water resource development, land-use changes, and soil and water conservation measures intercepted precipitation and sediment, making them the primary factor affecting sediment transport changes in the YHRB. Full article

To investigate the spatial and temporal changes in fractional vegetation coverage (FVC) and their driving forces in different regions of the Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River Basin, this paper observed the spatial trends and stability of FVC in these regions based on the MOD13Q1 information regarding the 2000–2020 period as a data source. It used the dimidiate pixel model to invert FVC, and based on the centre of gravity migration model, the coefficient of variation and the Mann–Kendall and Sen’s slope estimator test, it studied the spatial variation trend and stability of FVC in the four relevant areas of the Inner Mongolia section; an attribution analysis using a geodetector was also conducted. The following results were found: (1) in terms of temporal FVC change in the relevant areas, from 2000 to 2020, the overall FVC showed an increasing trend, indicating an obvious hierarchy of change as per different seasonal scales (summer > growing season > fall > spring). There is a mutation point in FVC in different areas, and the FVC sequence is random. (2) Regarding spatial change, the overall FVC showed a trend of being high in the eastern regions and low in the western regions and low–high–low from the north to the south; the stability of the Hetao Irrigation District–Wuliangsuhai Area changed more significantly with the successive seasons, and the degraded areas of FVC were mainly distributed in the city centre of the Kundulun River–Daheihe River Area and in the Hetao Irrigation District in the summer. (3) In terms of driving factors, soil type had a relatively higher explanatory power regarding the Hetao Irrigation District–Wuliangsuhai Area, rainfall had a relatively higher explanatory power regarding the Morin River–Wuding River Area and the Kundulun River–Daheihe River Area, and land use had a relatively higher explanatory power regarding the Ten Kongtui–Heidaigou Area. Full article

Alpine grasslands, a crucial component of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, play a vital role in maintaining ecological barriers and facilitating sustainable development, and the exact stability change is also the key to coping with climate change and implementing ecological protection projects. The purpose of this study was to identify the spatial and temporal distribution of multi-stage alpine grassland and explore its inter-annual distribution and growth stability. The Guoluo Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, China (hereinafter referred to as Guoluo), where alpine grassland is widely distributed, was selected as the research area. Long-term stable grassland samples constructed using the Mann–Kendall–Sneyers mutation test method were analyzed alongside random forest classification to identify multi-stage grassland distribution trends from 1990 to 2020. Based on the Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) and coefficient of variation (C_v), spatial and temporal changes in grassland quality and their driving factors were discussed. The results show the following: (1) Remote sensing grassland extraction, based on the establishment of long-term stable grassland samples and random forest classification, demonstrated high accuracy and reliability, with OA and Kappa coefficients consistently above 0.89 and 0.77, and PA and UA maintained consistently at approximately 0.9. (2) The distribution of grassland in Guoluo corresponded to the spatial patterns determined by the natural geographical environment, showing a gradual trend from high-cover grassland in the southeast to low-cover grassland in the northwest. The proportion of medium and high-cover grasslands slightly increased, indicating an improvement in grassland quality. However, the encroachment and degradation caused by human activities and climate change resulted in a slight decrease in the proportion of grassland area compared with 1990. (3) Despite the overall grassland ecosystem still having relative stability, local grassland quality changes dramatically, mainly in the north of Maduo County. And significant fluctuations in the area of grassland quality were noted over the last two decades, suggesting potential degradation in ecosystem stability. Climate change and human activities were identified as primary drivers of these changes. Climate change is dominant in the alpine region. The low-warming region is dominated by human activities. These findings offer essential insights for the planning and implementation of alpine grassland ecosystem protection and restoration initiatives and also have important value for exploring the evolution law of alpine grassland ecosystems. Full article

Surface runoff is a major component of the hydrological cycle, and it is essential for supporting the ecosystem services provided by grassland and forest ecosystems. It is of practical importance to understand the mechanisms and the dynamic processes of runoff in a river’s basin, and in this study, we focused on the restored montane Pailugou Basin in the Qilian Mountains, Gansu Province, China, since its water status is extremely important for the large arid area and local economies therein. Our purpose was to determine the annual variation in the surface runoff in the Pailugou Basin because it is important to understand the influence of climate fluctuations on surface water resources and the economy of the basin. In addition, little is known about the annual variations in precipitation and runoff in this region of the world. Daily atmospheric precipitation, air temperature and runoff data from 2000 to 2019 were analyzed by the calculation of the uneven annual distribution of surface runoff, the calculation of the complete adjustment coefficient, and the vector accumulation expressed by the concentration degree. We also used the cumulative anomaly approach to determine the interannual variation trend of runoff, while the change trend was quantified by the sliding average method. Finally, we used the Mann–Kendall mutation test method and regression analysis to establish the time-series trend for precipitation and runoff and to determine the period of abrupt runoff changes. The results indicated concentrated and positive distributions of surface runoff on an annual basis, with a small degree of dispersion, and an explicit concentration of extreme flows. The relative variation ranges exhibited a decreasing trend, and the distribution of the surface runoff gradually was uniform over the year. The runoff was highest from July to September (85% of the annual total). We also determined that annual surface runoff in the basin fluctuated over the 20-year period but showed an overall increasing trend, increasing by 3.94 × 10⁵ m³, with an average increase rate of 0.42 × 10⁵ m³ every ten years. From 2005 to 2014, the annual runoff and the proportion of runoff in the flood season (July to September) to the annual runoff fluctuated greatly. The correlation between the runoff and precipitation was significant (r = 0.839, p < 0.05), whereas the correlation between air temperature and surface runoff was low (r = 0.421, p < 0.05). Full article

Based on the data of 2254 daily meteorological stations in China from 1961 to 2021, this study calculated the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) of the national multi-time scale by using the FAO Penman–Monteith model to quantify the changes in dry and wet conditions. The Mann–Kendall mutation test, wavelet analysis, and other methods were used to study the spatial pattern and temporal evolution of drought. The results showed: (1) In the past 61 years, there were obvious spatial and temporal differences in drought in China, and the interannual variation in drought severity in SPEI-1, SPEI-3, and SPEI-12 gradually decreased at a rate of 0.005/10a, 0.021/10a, and 0.092/10a, respectively. (2) The time point of dry and wet mutation was 1989 according to the MK mutagenicity test. (3) Wavelet analysis showed that the drought cycle on the annual scale and the seasonal scale was consistent, and the main period was about 30 years. (4) In the past 61 years, the drought intensity of different degrees in China has shown a weakening trend, and the drought intensity reached the highest value in 61 years in 1978, at 1836.42. In 2020, the drought intensity was the lowest, at 261.55. (5) The proportion of drought stations has shown a decreasing trend. The proportion of drought-free stations has fluctuated greatly, ranging from 42.12% to 89.25%, with 2020 being the highest. This study provides a scientific basis for further research on the causes and coping strategies of drought and is of great significance for strengthening China’s drought monitoring, early warning ,and adaptation capabilities. Full article

Under global climate warming, the global water cycle is further accelerating, the risk of drought is increasing, and the instability and sustainability of agricultural production are seriously threatened. Northeast China, as the “granary” of China, located in the mid-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, is one of the regions strongly influenced by droughts. Thus, studying the spatial and temporal distribution of drought is helpful for the development of methods for forecasting potential drought hazards in Northeast China. This study used observed data from 86 meteorological stations in Northeast China from 1961 to 2020 to calculate the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at different time scales for the past 60 years and analyzed the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought in Northeast China based on the run theory and the Mann-Kendall test. The SPEI at the annual scale showed decreasing trends with no significant mutation point. Seasonally, there was a decreasing trend of the SPEI in summer and autumn and an increasing trend in spring and winter, which indicates that drought in Northeast China has decreased in winter and spring. The annual drought frequency ranged from 25.5% to 37.6%, and the spatial characteristics of the frequency of moderate drought, severe drought, and extreme drought, respectively, showed the following distribution patterns from the western region to the central region and then to the eastern region of Northeast China: “high-low-high”, “low-high-low”, and “gradually decreasing”. Full article

Wildfires, a recurring and persistent natural disaster, present direct threats to both ecological balance and human safety. Despite the northeastern region of China boasting abundant forest resources, it grapples with a significant wildfire issue. This study, focused on China’s northeastern region, employs sophisticated methodologies, including the Mann–Kendall (MK) mutation test, sliding t-test, and geographical heat maps, to unveil the spatial distribution and temporal trends of wildfires. Furthermore, a random forest model is utilized to develop a wildfire susceptibility map, enabling an in-depth analysis of the relationships between various potential factors and wildfires, along with an assessment of the significance of these driving factors. The research findings indicate that wildfires in the northeastern region exhibit distinct seasonality, with the highest occurrences in the autumn and spring and fewer incidents in the summer and winter. Apart from the spring season, historical wildfires show a decreasing trend during other seasons. Geographically, wildfires tend to cluster, with over half of the high-risk areas concentrated at the junction of the Greater Khingan Mountains and Lesser Khingan Mountains in the northeastern region. The random forest model assumes a pivotal role in the analysis, accurately identifying both natural and human-induced factors, including topography, climate, vegetation, and anthropogenic elements. This research further discloses that climate factors predominantly influence wildfires in the northeastern region, with sunshine duration being the most influential factor. In summary, this study highlights the variation in various wildfire-driving factors, providing the basis for tailored management strategies and region-specific fire prevention. Through a comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal patterns of wildfires and associated risk factors, this research offers valuable insights for mitigating wildfire risks and preserving the region’s ecological integrity. Full article

Heilongjiang Province, as the largest production and supply base for high-quality soybeans in China, plays a vital role in optimizing the layout of soybean production and promoting the revitalization of the soybean industry. Soybean yield is used as a key indicator of soybean production. This study integrated soybean yield data from agricultural reclamation systems and local authorities. A variety of statistical analysis methods, such as barycenter analysis, the Mann–Kendall test, the space–time cube, and grey relational analysis, were used to research the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of soybean production in Heilongjiang Province from 2011 to 2021. This paper revealed the spatiotemporal evolution mechanism and explored the reasons for the differences in the effects of influencing factors. The results were as follows. (1) During the period between 2011 and 2021, the center of gravity of county-level soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province moved towards the northwest over a distance of 16.82 km. The soybean yield in the province experienced a mutation in approximately 2018, from a downward trend to an upward trend. (2) The spatiotemporal hot spots of county-level soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province were concentrated along the line from Hailun to Aihui. The types of hot spots included consecutive hot spots, intensifying hot spots, sporadic hot spots, and new hot spots. (3) The spatiotemporal agglomeration patterns of county-level soybean yield in Heilongjiang Province included only high-high clusters, only low-low clusters, only high-low outliers and multiple types. (4) The temporal changes in soybean yield in various counties of Heilongjiang Province had obvious regional characteristics. (5) Socioeconomic factors had aftereffects on soybean planting decisions. (6) Sunlight hours, the price ratio of local soybeans to local maize, average temperature, the number of soybean patents, the price ratio of imported soybeans to local soybeans, soybean cultivation income, local soybean prices, and the number of newly established soybean enterprises were primary influencing factors. Precipitation and soybean import volume were secondary influencing factors. The income difference between maize and soybeans, crops-hitting disaster area, and maize yield were general influencing factors. This study aims to offer new pathways for alleviating the structural contradiction between soybean supply and demand and to provide a reference for the formulation of national soybean industry policies and food security strategies. Full article

Secondary perched rivers are extensively distributed in the lower section of the Yellow River, and their condition is grave, representing a significant peril to the flood control safety of this region. Consequently, conducting an analysis of their evolution characteristics holds immense engineering importance for ensuring the flood control safety of the lower reaches of the Yellow River. This study focuses on the downstream section of the Yellow River, specifically from Dongbatou-Taochengpu. This research is based on extensive data, including topographic measurements of large cross-sections and water and sand data from Huayuankou spanning from 1960 to 2022. The transverse slope of the beach, which indicates the level of development of the secondary perched rivers, was chosen as the calculation index. To analyze the trend and mutation of the transverse slope, statistical methods such as the Theil–Sen slope estimation, Mann–Kendall test, Pettitt test, and double cumulative curve method were employed. The findings indicate that the average transverse slope along the wandering section (Dongbatou-Gaocun) is 5.81‱, is significantly lower compared to the transitional section (Gaocun-Taochengpu), with an average transverse slope of 8.89‱. Furthermore, the range of fluctuation in the variation in the transverse slope along the wandering section (3.19–8.18‱) is considerably narrower than that observed in the transitional section (2.94–19.51‱). Prior to the implementation of Xiaolangdi, there was a significant increase in the transverse slope. Notably, the transitional section experienced a sudden change in 1975, while the wandering section experienced a sudden change in 1990. The abrupt alteration in the transitional section can be attributed to the substantial variation in the water and sand conditions. Conversely, the sudden change in the wandering section resulted from the insufficient flow rate of the flat beach. However, following the implementation of Xiaolangdi, the rapid increase in the transverse slope was effectively mitigated. Full article

Rapid climate variability and intense human activities generate obvious impacts on the Qilian Mountains ecosystem. The time series of fractional vegetation coverage (FVC) from 1986 to 2021 were used to quantify the impact of climate variability and human activities on vegetation variations in the Qilian Mountain National Nature Reserve (QMNNR), using 3147 land satellite images based on the Google Earth Engine cloud platform. The contributions of climate variability and human activities to FVC were quantified using multiple regression residual analysis. Partial correlation and correlation methods were used to quantify the impact of temperature, precipitation, and human activity footprints on FVC. The results showed that from 1986 to 2021, the increase rate of FVC was 1.7 × 10⁻³ y⁻¹, and the high vegetation coverage of the FVC was mainly distributed in the southeastern part of the reserve. In contrast, the low vegetation coverage was mainly distributed in the northwest part of the reserve. The Mann–Kendall mutation test found that the year of 2009 was the year of the mutation. The growth rate of FVC from 2010 to 2021 was greater than that from 1986 to 2009. In addition, climate variability and human activities exhibited a remarkable spatial heterogeneity in FVC changes. Climate variability and human activities contributed 49% and 51% to the increase in FVC in the reserve, respectively, and the contribution of human activities was greater than that of climate variability. The warming and humidification phenomena in the reserve were obvious. However, precipitation was the dominant factor affecting the dynamic changes in FVC. This study improves our understanding of the response of vegetation dynamics to the climate and human activities in the QMNNR. Full article

This study analyzed frost formation data provided by the Harbin Meteorological Bureau and considered geographic factors, temperature, and population density. Various analytical methods, including linear fitting, the Mann–Kendall mutation test, the Pettitt method, and the sliding t-test, were employed to identify the temporal and spatial changes as well as the effects of these factors on frost dates in Harbin. The study shows that the first FSD occurred on 18 August, in both 1966 and 1967, which was the 255th day. The latest FSD was observed on 10 October 2006, which was the 283rd day. The earliest occurrence of an FED was on 24 April 2015, which was the 114th day, and the latest was on 21 April 1974, which was the 141st day. The highest number of frost days occurred in 2012, with 161 days, whereas the shortest year was 1966, with only 123 frost days. Throughout the study period, the FSD increased by 7.8 days at a rate of −1.27d/10a, the FED increased by 10.9 days at a rate of 1.77d/10a, and the FFS increased by 18.9 days at a rate of 3.05d/10a. The propensity rates of the FSD and FFS at each location in Harbin indicate an upward trend, while for the FED, certain locations display an upward trend. In general, the FSD has exhibited a delayed trend, the FED has shown an earlier trend, and the FFS has experienced an extended trend. With one-way linear regression, the FSD exhibited an increasing trend at each site, while the FFS also indicated a similar trend, and the FED showed an overall decreasing trend. Throughout the study period, a change was observed in the FSD in 2000, resulting in an average arrival time of the 265th day, or 22 September, of that year. Subsequently, post mutation, the average arrival time of the FSD in the study area was the 272nd day, or 29 September, of that year. In 2006, the FED also underwent a change, with the average arrival time in the study area being the 128th day, or 4 April, of that year. After the change, the average arrival time of the FED in the study area was the 121st day, i.e., 8 April. In 1 April 2004 of that year saw a change in the FFS. Prior to the change, the FFS in the study area averaged the 137th day, whilst following the change, the FFS in the study area averaged the 150th day. The FSD and FFS within Harbin exhibit a negative correlation with latitude and a positive correlation with temperature. Additionally, the FED displays a positive correlation with latitude and a negative correlation with temperature. As the FSD, FED, and FFS in central Harbin are the earliest, latest, and longest, the Pearson correlation coefficient method and multiple regression cannot adequately reflect the effect of longitude. Full article