Search Results (23)

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing renewable energy integration into the grid, necessitating accurate predictions to mitigate the inherent variability of solar energy generation. We propose a novel forecasting model that combines improved variational mode decomposition (IVMD) with the temporal convolutional network-gated recurrent unit (TCN-GRU) architecture, enriched with a multi-head attention mechanism. By focusing on four key environmental factors influencing PV output, the proposed IVMD-TCN-GRU framework targets a significant research gap in renewable energy forecasting methodologies. Initially, leveraging the sparrow search algorithm (SSA), we optimize the parameters of VMD, including the mode component K-value and penalty factor, based on the minimum envelope entropy principle. The optimized VMD then decomposes PV power, while the TCN-GRU model harnesses TCN’s proficiency in learning local temporal features and GRU’s capability in rapidly modeling sequence data, while leveraging multi-head attention to better utilize the global correlation information within sequence data. Through this design, the model adeptly captures the correlations within time series data, demonstrating superior performance in prediction tasks. Subsequently, the SSA is employed to optimize GRU parameters, and the decomposed PV power mode components and environmental feature attributes are inputted into the TCN-GRU neural network. This facilitates dynamic temporal modeling of multivariate feature sequences. Finally, the predicted values of each component are summed to realize PV power forecasting. Validation using real data from a PV station corroborates that the novel model demonstrates a substantial reduction in RMSE and MAE of up to 55.1% and 54.5%, respectively, particularly evident in instances of pronounced photovoltaic power fluctuations during inclement weather conditions. The proposed method exhibits marked improvements in accuracy compared to traditional PV power prediction methods, underscoring its significance in enhancing forecasting precision and ensuring the secure scheduling and stable operation of power systems. Full article

Solar radiation data play a pivotal role in harnessing solar energy. Unfortunately, the availability of these data is limited due to the sparse distribution of meteorological stations worldwide. This paper introduces and simulates three models designed for estimating and predicting global solar radiation at ground level. Furthermore, it conducts an in-depth analysis and comparison of the simulation results derived from these models, utilizing measured data from selected sites in Algeria where such information is accessible. The focus of our study revolves around three empirical models: Capderou, Lacis and Hansen, and Liu and Jordan. These models utilize day number and solar factor as input parameters, along with the primary site’s geographical coordinates—longitude, latitude, and altitude. Additionally, meteorological parameters such as relative humidity, temperature, and pressure are incorporated into the models. The objective is to estimate global solar radiation for any given day throughout the year at the specified location. Upon simulation, the results highlight that the Capderou model exhibits superior accuracy in approximating solar components, demonstrating negligible deviations between real and estimated values, especially under clear-sky conditions. However, these models exhibit certain limitations in adverse weather conditions. Consequently, alternative approaches, such as fuzzy logic methods or models based on satellite imagery, become essential for accurate predictions in inclement weather scenarios. Full article

Pilgrimages are an important part of our intangible heritage. These long journeys, often on foot, can be sensitive to weather, so this study sees pilgrimages as providing an opportunity to look at the way in which changes in climate affect intangible heritage. It examines two important Ethiopian pilgrimages that involve hundreds of thousands who travel each year to Dirre Sheikh Hussein, seen as the country’s Mecca, and Lalibela, its Jerusalem. These journeys in the cold season (December–February) often exceed 1000 km in length and expose pilgrims to low temperatures in mountain areas. Our analysis uses daily output data from ERA-5 and CHIRPS for rainfall and temperature across the recent past (1984–2014) and an ensemble of climate models (CMIP6) for the periods 1984–2014 and 2035–2065, to explore changes in nighttime low temperature, daytime high temperature and the potential increase in days of heavy rain in mountain areas. Additionally, we examine the increasing number of very hot days affecting travel to and from Dirre Sheikh Hussein. The pilgrims experience weather events and not long-term average conditions, so extremes and spells of inclement weather can affect their experience. Management plans for the regions have yet to address likely changes to climate at these religious sites, or consider how strategic planning might mitigate their impact on pilgrims. Full article

Adverse weather conditions impact mobility, safety, and the behavior of drivers on roads. In an average year, approximately 21% of U.S. highway crashes are weather-related. Collectively, these crashes result in over 5300 fatalities each year. As a proof-of-concept, analyzing weather information in the context of traffic mobility data can provide unique insights into driver behavior and actions transportation agencies can pursue to promote safety and efficiency. Using 2019 weather and traffic data along Colorado Highway 119 between Boulder and Longmont, this research analyzed the relationship between adverse weather and traffic conditions. The data were classified into distinct weather types, day of the week, and the direction of travel to capture commuter traffic flows. Novel traffic information crowdsourced from smartphones provided metrics such as volume, speed, trip length, trip duration, and the purpose of travel. The data showed that snow days had a smaller traffic volume than clear and rainy days, with an All Times volume of approximately 18,000 vehicles for each direction of travel, as opposed to 21,000 vehicles for both clear and wet conditions. From a trip purpose perspective, the data showed that the percentage of travel between home and work locations was 21.4% during a snow day compared to 20.6% for rain and 19.6% for clear days. The overall traffic volume reduction during snow days is likely due to drivers deciding to avoid commuting; however, the relative increase in the home–work travel percentage is likely attributable to less discretionary travel in lieu of essential work travel. In comparison, the increase in traffic volume during rainy days may be due to commuters being less likely to walk, bike, or take public transit during inclement weather. This study demonstrates the insight into human behavior by analyzing impact on traffic parameters during adverse weather travel. Full article

Traditional techniques of monitoring roadway mobility during winter weather have relied on embedded road sensors, roadside cameras, radio reports from public safety staff, or public incident reports. However, widely available connected vehicle (CV) data provides government agencies and media with a unique opportunity to monitor the mobility impact of inclement weather events in near real-time. This study presents such a use case that analyzed over 500 billion CV records characterizing the spatial and temporal impact of a winter storm that moved across the country from 21 to 26 December 2022. The analysis covered 97,000 directional miles of interstate roadway and processed over 503 billion CV records. At the storm’s peak on 22 December at 5:26 PM Eastern Time, nearly 4800 directional miles of interstate roadway were operating under 45 mph, a widely accepted indicator of degraded interstate conditions. The study presents a methodological approach to systematically assess the mobility impact of this winter event on interstate roadways at a national and regional level. The paper then looks at a case study on Interstate 70, a 4350 directional mile route passing through ten states. Statewide comparison showed Ohio was most impacted, with 9% of mile-hours operating below 45 mph on 23 December. High-Resolution Rapid Refresh weather data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was integrated into the analysis to provide a visualization of the storm’s temporal path and severity. We believe the proposed metrics and visualizations are effective tools for communicating the severity and geographic impact of extreme weather events to broad non-technical audiences. Full article

To enhance the safety and stability of lane change maneuvers for autonomous vehicles in adverse weather conditions, this paper proposes a quadratic programming−based trajectory planning algorithm for lane changing in rainy weather. Initially, in order to mitigate the risk of potential collisions on wet and slippery road surfaces, we incorporate the concept of road adhesion coefficients and delayed reaction time to refine the establishment of the minimum safety distance. This augmentation establishes constraints on lane change safety distances and delineates the boundaries of viable lane change domains within inclement weather contexts. Subsequently, adopting a hierarchical trajectory planning framework, we incorporate visibility cost functions and safety distance constraints during dynamic programming sampling to ensure the safety of vehicle operation. Furthermore, the vehicle lane change sideslip phenomenon is considered, and the optimal lane change trajectory is obtained based on the quadratic programming algorithm by introducing the maneuverability objective function. In conclusion, to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm, lateral linear quadratic regulator (LQR) and longitudinal double proportional−integral−derivative (DPID) controllers are designed for trajectory tracking. The results demonstrate the algorithm’s capability to produce continuous, stable, and collision−free trajectories. Moreover, the lateral acceleration varies within the range of ±1.5 m/s², the center of mass lateral deflection angle varies within the range of ±0.15°, and the yaw rate remains within the ±0.1°/s range. Full article

Empirical studies show that queue discharge rate is lower than pre-queue capacity in congestion. This is the the capacity drop phenomenon. All previous research about this event used data during clear weather conditions. This is the first time that empirical relationships between queue discharge rate and weather conditions have been studied. Previous studies show that the capacity drop is triggered by a critical density. Once this density is reached, a drop in the discharge rate is expected. We show that this critical density decreases during any weather condition. Previous studies also prove that the capacity drop is related to speed in congestion but that this might not be true during inclement weather. We show that queue discharge rate is correlated to the speed of congestion in any weather condition. We have also shown for the first time that the speed in congestion and the percentage of the capacity drop have a negative linear relationship. Full article

The performance of deep learning-based detection methods has made them an attractive option for robotic perception. However, their training typically requires large volumes of data containing all the various situations the robots may potentially encounter during their routine operation. Thus, the workforce required for data collection and annotation is a significant bottleneck when deploying robots in the real world. This applies especially to outdoor deployments, where robots have to face various adverse weather conditions. We present a method that allows an independent car tansporter to train its neural networks for vehicle detection without human supervision or annotation. We provide the robot with a hand-coded algorithm for detecting cars in LiDAR scans in favourable weather conditions and complement this algorithm with a tracking method and a weather simulator. As the robot traverses its environment, it can collect data samples, which can be subsequently processed into training samples for the neural networks. As the tracking method is applied offline, it can exploit the detections made both before the currently processed scan and any subsequent future detections of the current scene, meaning the quality of annotations is in excess of those of the raw detections. Along with the acquisition of the labels, the weather simulator is able to alter the raw sensory data, which are then fed into the neural network together with the labels. We show how this pipeline, being run in an offline fashion, can exploit off-the-shelf weather simulation for the auto-labelling training scheme in a simulator-in-the-loop manner. We show how such a framework produces an effective detector and how the weather simulator-in-the-loop is beneficial for the robustness of the detector. Thus, our automatic data annotation pipeline significantly reduces not only the data annotation but also the data collection effort. This allows the integration of deep learning algorithms into existing robotic systems without the need for tedious data annotation and collection in all possible situations. Moreover, the method provides annotated datasets that can be used to develop other methods. To promote the reproducibility of our research, we provide our datasets, codes and models online. Full article

Inclement weather and environmental factors impact traffic operations resulting in travel delays and a reduction in travel time reliability. Precipitation is an example of an environmental factor that affects travel conditions, including traffic speed. While Intelligent Transportation Systems services aim to proactively mitigate congestion on roadways, these services are often not sensitive to weather conditions. This paper investigates the application of high-resolution weather data in improving the performance of proactive transportation management models and proposes short-term speed prediction models that fuse real-time high-resolution weather surveillance radar data with traffic stream data to conduct spatial and temporal prediction of the speed of roadway segments. Extreme gradient boosting weather-aware speed prediction models were developed for a 7-km segment of Interstate 270 in St. Louis, MO, USA. The performance of the weather-aware models was compared with the performance of weather-insensitive speed prediction models that did not take precipitation into account. The results indicated that in the majority of instances, the weather-aware models outperformed the weather-insensitive models. The extreme gradient boosting models were compared with the K-nearest neighbors algorithm and feed-forward neural network models. The extreme gradient boosting model consistently outperformed the other two methods. In addition to speed prediction models, van Aerde speed-flow traffic stream models were developed for rain and no-rain conditions to study the impact of precipitation on the traffic stream across the corridor. Results indicated that the impact of precipitation is not identical across the corridor, which was mirrored in the results obtained from weather-aware speed prediction models. Full article

The relatively low light intensity during autumn–winter or early spring and inclement weather such as rain or fog may lead to extended production periods and decreased quality of greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings. To produce high-quality tomato seedlings rapidly, the influences of supplementary lights with different spectra on the morphological and physiological traits of tomato seedlings were measured in a greenhouse. Supplemental lighting with the same daily light integrals (DLI) of 3.6 mol m⁻²d⁻¹ was provided by white (W) light-emitting diodes (LEDs), white plus red (WR) LEDs, and red plus blue (RB) LEDs, respectively, and tomato seedlings grown under only sunlight irradiation were regarded as the control. Our results demonstrate that raised DLI by supplementary light improved the growth and development of greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings, regardless of the spectral composition. Under conditions with the equal DLI, the tomato seedlings grown under supplementary WR LEDs with a red to blue light ratio (R:B ratio) of 1.3 obtained the highest values of the shoot and root fresh weights, net photosynthetic rate, and total chlorophyll content. The best root growth and highest root activity of tomato seedlings were also found under the supplementary WR LEDs. Supplementary WR LEDs remarkably increased the stem firmness of the greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings, and increased the starch content in the leaves of greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings compared to the control. However, statistically significant differences did not occur in the sucrose, carotenoid contents, superoxide dismutase (SOD), and catalase (CAT) activities among the different supplemental lighting treatments. In conclusion, supplemental LED lighting could promote the growth and development of greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings grown under insufficient sunlight conditions. In addition, WR LEDs could obtain tomato seedlings with a higher net photosynthetic rate, higher root activity, and higher starch content compared with other treatments, which could be applied as supplementary lights in greenhouse-grown tomato seedlings grown in seasons with insufficient light. Full article

Wind energy is among the foremost vital renewable energy sources in the world. With the increase in its popularity and use, the requirement for safety measures regarding this type of energy is becoming more prevalent. The development and operation requirements that come with installing and running wind turbines have many risks that need managing and mitigation. This study implemented a risk evaluation method for the transportation, construction, operation, and maintenance of wind turbines, employing the fuzzy method. Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP), a multi-criteria higher cognitive process technique, was used to determine the weights of the risk parameters evaluated with the Fine–Kinney method. After that, the Fuzzy Technique for Order Performance by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS) was employed for ranking the hazard’s source. Using Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) consultants, this study was conducted in Bangladesh regarding its onshore turbines. Findings have revealed that the most prevalent hazards during transportation, construction, operation, and maintenance, respectively, are “Driving vehicles at night in dark weather conditions”, “Work in hot and humid conditions”, “Inclement weather”, and “Entering of unauthorized persons”. The results of this study can help the OHS department to track these risks and to control and minimize them. Full article

The performance of LiDAR sensors deteriorates under adverse weather conditions such as rainfall. However, few studies have empirically analyzed this phenomenon. Hence, we investigated differences in sensor data due to environmental changes (distance from objects (road signs), object material, vehicle (sensor) speed, and amount of rainfall) during LiDAR sensing of road facilities. The indicators used to verify the performance of LiDAR were numbers of point cloud (NPC) and intensity. Differences in the indicators were tested through a two-way ANOVA. First, both NPC and intensity increased with decreasing distance. Second, despite some exceptions, changes in speed did not affect the indicators. Third, the values of NPC do not differ depending on the materials and the intensity of each material followed the order aluminum > steel > plastic > wood, although exceptions were found. Fourth, with an increase in rainfall, both indicators decreased for all materials; specifically, under rainfall of 40 mm/h or more, a substantial reduction was observed. These results demonstrate that LiDAR must overcome the challenges posed by inclement weather to be applicable in the production of road facilities that improve the effectiveness of autonomous driving sensors. Full article

Visibility is a critical factor for drivers to perceive roadway information, and fog is an inclement weather condition that directly impacts their vision, since it reduces both overall contrast and visibility of the driving scene. Visual attention has been considered a contributing factor to traffic crashes, and fog-related accidents are prone to be more severe and involve multiple vehicles. The literature lacks studies on the influence of fog on drivers’ visual performance and environment’s infrastructure design. This article investigates the effects of fog on drivers’ performance in a Brazilian curved road segment through a driving simulator experiment – more precisely, whether the presence of fog (foggy scenario) or its absence (clear scenario) significantly affects the visual profile. In the foggy scenario, the results showed the tracked area was concentrated in a smaller region, despite an increase in the number of fixations compared with the clear scenario. The fixation duration did not change between the scenarios and the pupil dilation was shorter in the foggy one. The study shows the influence of environmental conditions on the driver’s performance and is one of the first on the use of driving simulators with realistic representations of the road infrastructure and its surrounding for the understanding of driving under fog in the Brazilian scenario. Besides roadway geometry elements, driving simulator studies enable analyses of features related to the interaction between route environment and driver’s answer, and can improve safety in places with visibility problems caused by fog, reducing their environmental impact and preserving drivers’ lives. Full article

Artificial intelligence technologies and vision systems are used in various devices, such as automotive navigation systems, object-tracking systems, and intelligent closed-circuit televisions. In particular, outdoor vision systems have been applied across numerous fields of analysis. Despite their widespread use, current systems work well under good weather conditions. They cannot account for inclement conditions, such as rain, fog, mist, and snow. Images captured under inclement conditions degrade the performance of vision systems. Vision systems need to detect, recognize, and remove noise because of rain, snow, and mist to boost the performance of the algorithms employed in image processing. Several studies have targeted the removal of noise resulting from inclement conditions. We focused on eliminating the effects of raindrops on images captured with outdoor vision systems in which the camera was exposed to rain. An attentive generative adversarial network (ATTGAN) was used to remove raindrops from the images. This network was composed of two parts: an attentive-recurrent network and a contextual autoencoder. The ATTGAN generated an attention map to detect rain droplets. A de-rained image was generated by increasing the number of attentive-recurrent network layers. We increased the number of visual attentive-recurrent network layers in order to prevent gradient sparsity so that the entire generation was more stable against the network without preventing the network from converging. The experimental results confirmed that the extended ATTGAN could effectively remove various types of raindrops from images. Full article

Automotive traffic scenes are complex due to the variety of possible scenarios, objects, and weather conditions that need to be handled. In contrast to more constrained environments, such as automated underground trains, automotive perception systems cannot be tailored to a narrow field of specific tasks but must handle an ever-changing environment with unforeseen events. As currently no single sensor is able to reliably perceive all relevant activity in the surroundings, sensor data fusion is applied to perceive as much information as possible. Data fusion of different sensors and sensor modalities on a low abstraction level enables the compensation of sensor weaknesses and misdetections among the sensors before the information-rich sensor data are compressed and thereby information is lost after a sensor-individual object detection. This paper develops a low-level sensor fusion network for 3D object detection, which fuses lidar, camera, and radar data. The fusion network is trained and evaluated on the nuScenes data set. On the test set, fusion of radar data increases the resulting AP (Average Precision) detection score by about 5.1% in comparison to the baseline lidar network. The radar sensor fusion proves especially beneficial in inclement conditions such as rain and night scenes. Fusing additional camera data contributes positively only in conjunction with the radar fusion, which shows that interdependencies of the sensors are important for the detection result. Additionally, the paper proposes a novel loss to handle the discontinuity of a simple yaw representation for object detection. Our updated loss increases the detection and orientation estimation performance for all sensor input configurations. The code for this research has been made available on GitHub. Full article