Search Results (269)

The Heifangtai Loess terrace in northwest China is frequently affected by landslides due to hydrological factors, establishing it as a significant research area for loess landslides. Advanced time-series InSAR technology facilitates the retrieval of surface deformation information, thereby aiding in the monitoring of landslide deformation status. However, existing methods that analyze deformation patterns do not fully exploit the displacement time series derived from InSAR, which hampers the exploration of potentially coexisting deformation patterns within the area. This study integrates InSAR with time-series clustering methods to reveal the surface deformation patterns and their spatial distribution characteristics in Heifangtai. Initially, utilizing the Sentinel-1 ascending and descending SAR data stack from January 2020 to June 2023, we optimize the interferometric phase based on distributed scatterer characteristics to reduce noise levels and obtain higher spatial density of measurement points. Subsequently, by combining the differential interferometric datasets from both ascending and descending orbits, the multidimensional small baseline subsets technique is employed to calculate the two-dimensional deformation time series. Finally, time-series clustering methods are utilized to extract the deformation patterns present and their spatial distribution from all measurement point time series. The results indicate that the deformation of the Heifangtai is primarily distributed around the surrounding area of the platform, with subsidence deformation being more intense than horizontal deformation. The entire terrace exhibits five deformation patterns: eastward subsidence, westward subsidence, vertical subsidence, westward movement, and eastward movement. The spatial distribution of these patterns suggests that the areas beneath the platform, namely Yanguoxia Town and Dangchuan Village, may be more susceptible to landslide threats in the future. Furthermore, wavelet analysis reveals the response relationship between rainfall and various deformation patterns, further enhancing the interpretability of these patterns. These findings hold significant implications for subsequent landslide monitoring, early warning, and risk prevention. Full article

This study systematically analyzed research trends and hot issues in the field of geological hazard prediction using bibliometric analysis methods. A total of 12,123 related articles published from 1976 to 2023 were retrieved from the Web of Science (WOS) and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases. Co-occurrence analysis and burst detection were conducted on the literature using the VOSviewer and CiteSpace tools to identify the research trends in geological hazard monitoring technologies. The results reveal that “data fusion”, “landslide identification”, “deep learning”, and “risk early warning” are currently the main research hot spots. Additionally, the combined application of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and Real-Time Kinematic (RTK) technologies, as well as GNSS and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, were identified as important directions for future research. The bibliometric perspective offers a systematic theoretical framework and technical guidance for future research, thereby facilitating the sustainable advancement of safety, security, and disaster management. Full article

The scarcity of landslide samples poses a critical challenge, impeding the broad application of machine learning techniques in landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA). To address this issue, this study introduces a novel approach leveraging a deep convolutional generative adversarial network (DCGAN) for data augmentation aimed at enhancing the efficacy of various machine learning methods in LSA, including support vector machines (SVMs), convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and residual neural networks (ResNets). Experimental results present substantial enhancements across all three models, with accuracy improved by 2.18%, 2.57%, and 5.28%, respectively. In-depth validation based on large landslide image data demonstrates the superiority of the DCGAN-ResNet, achieving a remarkable landslide prediction accuracy of 91.31%. Consequently, the generation of supplementary samples via the DCGAN is an effective strategy for enhancing the performance of machine learning models in LSA, underscoring the promise of this methodology in advancing early landslide warning systems in western Sichuan. Full article

In the current work, authors reviewed the latest research results in landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) using artificial intelligence (AI) methods. Based on an overall review of collected publications, the review was classified into four sections based on their complexity: single-model approaches, enhanced models with optimization, ensemble models, and hybrid models. Each category offers distinct advantages and is suited to specific geographic and data conditions, enabling the selection of an optimal model type based on the complexity and requirements of the mapping task. Among models, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), convolutional neural network (CNN), and multilayer perception (MLP) are used as the baseline to compare any new model introduced to develop LSM. Moreover, compared to previous review works, the number of LSM conditioning factors used in AI models are significantly increased, up to 122 factors. Their relation to the AI models is illustrated using Sankey diagram, while a radar chart is used to further visualize the dataset size per reviewed work for comparative purposes. In the main part of the current review work, the main findings are summarized into a table form, where the reader can find the overall relations between landslide conditioning factors, landslide dataset size, applied AI models, and their accuracy on predicting LSM for selected geographical locations. In terms of the regions, Asia is leading in the application of AI models to generate LSM, and in such regions with dense populations falling into higher landslide risk categories, there are more ongoing research activities, using modern AI methods. This trend underscores the increased use of AI in disaster management, with implications for improving practical applications, such as early warning systems and informing policy decisions aimed at risk reduction in vulnerable areas. Full article

Understanding the factors that contribute to slope failures, such as soil saturation, is essential for mitigating rainfall-induced landslides. Cost-effective capacitive soil moisture sensors have the potential to be widely implemented across multiple sites for landslide early warning systems. However, these sensors need to be calibrated for specific applications to ensure high accuracy in readings. In this study, a soil-specific calibration was performed in a laboratory setting to integrate the soil moisture sensor with an automatic monitoring system using the Internet of Things (IoT). This research aims to evaluate a low-cost soil moisture sensor (SKU:SEN0193) and develop calibration equations for the purpose of slope model experiment under artificial rainfall condition using silica sand. The results indicate that a polynomial function is the best fit, with a coefficient of determination (R²) ranging from 0.918 to 0.983 and a root mean square error (RMSE) ranging from 1.171 to 2.488. The calibration equation was validated through slope model experiments, with soil samples taken from the models after the experiment finished. Overall, the moisture content readings from the sensors showed approximately a 12% deviation from the actual moisture content. The findings suggest that the cost-effective capacitive soil moisture sensor has the potential to be used for the development of landslide early warning system. Full article

Landslides are common natural disasters in mountainous regions, exerting considerable influence on socioeconomic development and city construction. Landslides occur and develop rapidly, often posing a significant threat to the safety of individuals and their property. Consequently, the mapping of areas susceptible to landslides and the simulation of the development of such events are crucial for the early warning and forecasting of regional landslide occurrences, as well as for the management of associated risks. In this study, a landslide susceptibility (LS) model was developed using an ensemble machine learning (ML) approach which integrates geological and geomorphological data, hydrological data, and remote sensing data. A total of nine factors (e.g., surface deformation rates (SDF), slope, and aspect) were used to assess the susceptibility of the study area to landslides and a grading of the LS in the study area was obtained. The proposed model demonstrates high accuracy and good applicability for LS. Additionally, a simulation of the landslide process and velocity was constructed based on the principles of landslide movement and the rule-based discrete grid model. Compared with actual unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery, this simulation model has a Sørensen coefficient (SC) of 0.878, a kappa coefficient of 0.891, and a total accuracy of 94.12%. The evaluation results indicate that the model aligns well with the spatial and temporal development characteristics of landslides, thereby providing a valuable reference basis for monitoring and early warning of landslide events. Full article

Snow avalanche is one of the major natural hazards in the mountain region, yet it has received less attention compared to other mountain hazards, such as landslides, floods, and droughts. After a comprehensive overview of snow avalanche hazards in Tibet area, the spatial distribution and main driving factors of snow avalanche hazards in the high mountain region in Tibet were presented in the study first. Snow avalanche-prone areas in Tibet were then mapped based on the snow cover distribution and DEM data and were validated against in situ observations. Results show that there are the highest frequencies of avalanche occurrences in the southeastern Nyainqentanglha Mountains and the southern slope of the Himalayas. In the interior of plateau, avalanche development is constrained due to less precipitation and much flatter terrain. The perennially snow avalanche-prone areas in Tibet account for 1.6% of the total area of the plateau, while it reaches 2.9% and 4.9% of the total area of Tibet in winter and spring, respectively. Snow avalanche hazards and fatalities appear to be increasing trends under global climate warming due to more human activities at higher altitudes. In addition to the continuous implementation of engineering prevention and control measures in pivotal regions in southeastern Tibet, such as in the Sichuan–Tibet highway and railway sections, enhancing monitoring, early warning, and forecasting services are crucial to prevent and mitigate avalanche hazards in the Tibetan high mountain regions, which has significant implications for other global high mountain areas. Full article

Landslides are among the most serious and frequent environmental disasters, involving the fall of large masses of rock and soil that can significantly impact human structures and inhabited areas. Anticipating these events is crucial to reduce risks through real-time monitoring of areas at risk during extreme weather events, such as heavy rains, allowing for early warnings. This study aims to develop a methodology to enhance the prediction of landslide susceptibility, creating a more reliable system for early identification of risk areas. Our project involves creating a model capable of quickly predicting the susceptibility index of specific areas in response to extreme weather events. We represent the terrain using cellular automata and implement a random forest model to analyze and learn from weather patterns. Providing data with high spatial accuracy is vital to identify vulnerable areas and implement preventive measures. The proposed method offers an early warning mechanism by comparing the predicted susceptibility index with the current one, allowing for the issuance of alarms for the entire observed area. This early warning mechanism can be integrated into existing emergency protocols to improve the response to natural disasters. We applied this method to the area of Prunella, a small village in the municipality of Melito di Porto Salvo, known for numerous historical landslides. This approach provides an early warning mechanism, allowing for alarms to be issued for the entire observed area, and it can be integrated into existing emergency protocols to enhance disaster response. Full article

The present work explores the use of geophysical surveys as valuable tools for the study and sustainable management of landslides, with a particular focus on Ecuador. As an Andean country, Ecuador’s geomorphology and geology are dominated by volcano-sedimentary materials and processes, which confers a high susceptibility to landslides. In the last few years, a number of landslide events (such as those at La Josefina, Alausí, and Chunchi) have given rise to disasters with significant material damage and loss of life. Climatic events, affected by climate change, earthquakes, and human activity, are the main landslide triggers. Geophysical surveys, like seismic refraction, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and ground-penetrating radar (GPR), are easy and low-cost techniques that provide valuable and critical subsurface data. They can help define the failure surface, delimit the mobilized materials, describe the internal structure, and identify the hydrological and geotechnical parameters that complement any direct survey (like boreholes and laboratory tests). As a result, they can be used in assessing landslide susceptibility and integrated into early warning systems, mapping, and zoning. Some case examples of large landslide events in Ecuador (historical and recent) are analyzed, showing how geophysical surveys can be a valuable tool to monitor landslides, mitigate their effects, and/or develop solutions. Combined or isolated geophysical techniques foster sustainable management, improve hazard characterization, help protect the most vulnerable regions, promote community awareness for greater safety and resilience against landslides, and support governmental actions and policies. Full article

Accurate landslide displacement prediction is an essential prerequisite for early warning systems aimed at mitigating geological hazards. However, the inherent nonlinearity and dynamic complexity of landslide evolution often hinder forecasting performance. Previous studies have frequently combined signal decomposition techniques with individual machine learning methods to enhance prediction reliability. To address the limitations and uncertainties associated with individual models, this study presents a hybrid framework for displacement forecasting that combines variational mode decomposition (VMD) with multiple deep learning (DL) methods, including long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), gated recurrent unit neural network (GRU), and convolutional neural network (CNN), using a cloud model-based weighted strategy. Specifically, VMD decomposes cumulative displacement data into trend, periodic, and random components, thereby reducing the non-stationarity of raw data. Separate DL networks are trained to predict each component, and the forecasts are subsequently integrated through the cloud model-based combination strategy with optimally assigned weights. The proposed approach underwent thorough validation utilizing field monitoring data from the Baishuihe landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) region of China. Experimental results demonstrate the framework’s capacity to effectively leverage the strengths of individual forecasting methods, achieving RMSE, MAPE, and R values of 12.63 mm, 0.46%, and 0.987 at site ZG118, and 20.50 mm, 0.52%, and 0.990 at site XD01, respectively. This combined approach substantially enhances prediction accuracy for landslides exhibiting step-like behavior. Full article

The phenomenon of stepwise landslides, characterized by displacement exhibiting a step-like pattern, is often influenced by reservoir operations and seasonal rainfall. Traditional early warning models face challenges in accurately predicting the sudden initiation and cessation of displacement, primarily because conventional indicators such as rate or acceleration are ineffective in these scenarios. This underscores the urgent need for innovative early warning models and indicators. Viewing step-like displacement through the lens of three phases—stop, start, and acceleration—aligns with the green-yellow-red warning paradigm of the Traffic Light System (TLS). This study introduces a novel early warning model based on the TLS, incorporating jerk, the derivative of displacement acceleration, as a critical indicator. Empirical data and theoretical analysis validate jerk’s significance, demonstrating its clear pattern before and after step-like deformations and its temporal alignment with the deformation’s conclusion. A comprehensive threshold network encompassing rate, acceleration, and jerk is established for the TLS. The model’s application to the Shuiwenzhan landslide case illustrates its capability to signal in a timely manner the onset and acceleration of step-like deformations with yellow and red lights, respectively. It also uniquely determines the deformation’s end through jerk differential analysis, which is a feat seldom achieved by previous models. Furthermore, leveraging the C5.0 machine learning algorithm, a comparison between the predictive capabilities of the TLS model and a pure rate threshold model reveals that the TLS model achieves a 93% accuracy rate, outperforming the latter by 7 percentage points. Additionally, in response to the shortcomings of existing warning and emergency response strategies for this landslide, a closed-loop management framework is proposed, grounded in the TLS. This framework encompasses four critical stages: hazard monitoring, warning issuance, emergency response, and post-event analysis. We also suggest support measures to ensure implementation of the framework. Full article

Slope surface deformation monitoring plays an important role in landslide risk assessment and early warning. Currently, the mainstream GNSS, as a point-measurement technique, is expensive to deploy, resulting in information on only a few points of displacement being obtained on a target slope in practical applications. In contrast, optical images can contain more information on slope displacement at a much lower cost. Therefore, a low-cost, high-spatial-resolution and easy-to-implement landslide surface deformation monitoring system based on close-range photogrammetry is developed in this paper. The proposed system leverages multiple image processing methods and monocular visual localization, combined with machine learning, to ensure accurate monitoring under time series. The results of several laboratory landslide experiments show that the proposed system achieved millimeter-level monitoring accuracy in laboratory landslide experiments. Moreover, the proposed system could capture slow displacement precursors of 5 mm to 10 mm before significant landslide failure occurred, which provides favorable surface deformation evidence for landslide monitoring and early warning. In addition, the system was deployed on a natural slope in Lanzhou, yielding preliminary effective monitoring results. The laboratory experimental results demonstrated the system’s effectiveness and high accuracy in monitoring landslide surface deformation, particularly its significant application value in early warning. The field deployment results indicated that the system could also effectively provide data support in natural environments, offering practical evidence for landslide monitoring and warning. Full article

Landslides cause severe damage to life and property with a wide-ranging impact. Infiltration of rainfall is one of the significant factors leading to landslides. This paper reports on a phase creep landslide caused by long-term rainfall infiltration. A detailed geological survey of the landslide was conducted, and the deformation development pattern and mechanism of the landslide were analyzed in conjunction with climatic characteristics. Furthermore, reinforcement measures specific to the landslide area were proposed. To monitor the stability of the reinforced slope, a Beidou intelligent monitoring and warning system suitable for remote mountainous areas was developed. The system utilizes LoRa Internet of Things (IoT) technology to connect various monitoring components, integrating surface displacement, deep deformation, structural internal forces, and rainfall monitoring devices into a local IoT network. A data processing unit was established on site to achieve preliminary processing and automatic handling of monitoring data. The monitoring results indicate that the reinforced slope has generally stabilized, and the improved intelligent monitoring system has been able to continuously and accurately reflect the real-time working conditions of the slope. Over the two-year monitoring period, 13 early warnings were issued, with more than 90% of the warnings accurately corresponding to actual conditions, significantly improving the accuracy of early warnings. The research findings provide valuable experience and reference for the monitoring and warning of high slopes in mountainous areas. Full article

Landslides on gently inclined loess–bedrock contact surfaces are common geological hazards in the northwestern Loess Plateau region of China and pose a serious threat to the lives and property of local residents as well as sustainable regional development. Taking the Libi landslide in Shanxi Province as a case study (with dimensions of 400 m × 340 m, maximum thickness of 35.0 m, and volume of approximately 3.79 × 10⁴ m³, where the slip zone is located within the highly weathered sandy mudstone layer of the Upper Shihezi Formation of the Permian System), this study employed a combination of physical model experiments and numerical simulations to thoroughly investigate the formation mechanism of gently inclined loess landslides. Via the use of physical model experiments, a landslide model was constructed at a 1:120 geometric similarity ratio in addition to three scenarios: rainfall only, rainfall + rapid groundwater level rise, and rainfall + slow groundwater level rise. The dynamic changes in the water content, pore water pressure, and soil pressure within the slope were systematically monitored. Numerical simulations were conducted via GEO-STUDIO 2012 software to further verify and supplement the physical model experimental results. The research findings revealed that (1) under rainfall conditions alone, the landslide primarily exhibited surface saturation and localized instability, with a maximum displacement of only 0.028 m, which did not lead to overall instability; (2) under the combined effects of rainfall and rapid groundwater level rise, a “sudden translational failure mode” developed, characterized by rapid slope saturation, abrupt stress adjustment, and sudden overall instability; and (3) under conditions of rainfall and a gradual groundwater level rise, a “progressive translational failure mode” emerged, experiencing four stages: initiation, development, acceleration, and activation, ultimately resulting in translational sliding of the entire mass. Through a comparative analysis of physical model experiments, numerical simulation results, and field monitoring data, it was verified that the Libi landslide belongs to the “progressive translational failure mode”, providing important theoretical basis for the identification, early warning, and prevention of such types of landslides. Full article

This study investigates the stability of fine-grained sandy soil slopes under varying rainfall intensities, durations, and geotechnical properties using a parametric analysis within GeoStudio. A total of 4416 unique parameter combinations were analyzed, incorporating variations in unit weight, cohesion, friction angle, slope inclination, slope height, rainfall intensity, and duration. Results reveal that rainfall intensity is the most influential variable on the factor of safety (FS), with higher intensities (e.g., 360 mm/h) on steeper slopes (e.g., 45°) leading to critical FS values below 1, indicating an imminent risk of failure. Under moderate conditions (e.g., 9 mm/h rainfall on slopes of 26.6°), the FS remains above 2. This dataset provides a valuable foundation for training machine learning models to predict slope stability under diverse environmental conditions, contributing to the development of early warning systems for rainfall-induced landslides. Full article