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21 pages, 9367 KiB  
Article
Design of Low-Cost Simulation Space Micro Debris Launch Device
by Renjie Yang, Kai Tang, Xuqiang Lang, Cheng He, Yu Liu and Yue Liu
Aerospace 2024, 11(7), 577; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace11070577 - 15 Jul 2024
Viewed by 243
Abstract
The high cost and low emission frequency of microparticle launchers have resulted in a long lead time for the development of detectors for micro-debris in space. In this paper, two low-cost, high-emission-frequency, small-size, millimeter-sized particle launchers are designed using the principles of gas [...] Read more.
The high cost and low emission frequency of microparticle launchers have resulted in a long lead time for the development of detectors for micro-debris in space. In this paper, two low-cost, high-emission-frequency, small-size, millimeter-sized particle launchers are designed using the principles of gas expansion and surge propulsion by a high-speed air stream. Electrostatic detection is utilized to determine the emission velocity of the microbeads and their deviation from a specific position on the flight trajectory. The emission rate and accuracy of both methods were experimentally evaluated, along with the deviation of the detection system. Both devices emitted microbeads to simulate micro-debris, providing experimental data for the development of a space debris detector and establishing research conditions for studying the impact of micro-debris. Full article
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18 pages, 814 KiB  
Review
Overview on Space-Based Optical Orbit Determination Method Employed for Space Situational Awareness: From Theory to Application
by Zhe Zhang, Gaopeng Zhang, Jianzhong Cao, Cheng Li, Weining Chen, Xin Ning and Zheng Wang
Photonics 2024, 11(7), 610; https://doi.org/10.3390/photonics11070610 - 27 Jun 2024
Viewed by 448
Abstract
Leveraging space-based optical platforms for space debris and defunct spacecraft detection presents several advantages, including a wide detection range, immunity to cloud cover, and the ability to maintain continuous surveillance on space targets. As a result, it has become an essential approach for [...] Read more.
Leveraging space-based optical platforms for space debris and defunct spacecraft detection presents several advantages, including a wide detection range, immunity to cloud cover, and the ability to maintain continuous surveillance on space targets. As a result, it has become an essential approach for accomplishing tasks related to space situational awareness. However, the prediction of the orbits of space objects is crucial for the success of such missions, and current technologies face challenges related to accuracy, reliability, and practical efficiency. These challenges limit the performance of space-based optical space situational awareness systems. To drive progress in this field and establish a more effective and reliable space situational awareness system based on space optical platforms, this paper conducts a retrospective overview of research advancements in this area. It explores the research landscape of orbit determination methods, encompassing orbit association methods, initial orbit determination methods, and precise orbit determination methods, providing insights from international perspectives. The article concludes by highlighting key research areas, challenges, and future trends in current space situational awareness systems and orbit determination methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Optical Systems for Astronomy)
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12 pages, 2620 KiB  
Technical Note
Telescopic Network of Zhulong for Orbit Determination and Prediction of Space Objects
by Xiangxu Lei, Zhendi Lao, Lei Liu, Junyu Chen, Luyuan Wang, Shuai Jiang and Min Li
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(13), 2282; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16132282 - 22 Jun 2024
Viewed by 352
Abstract
The increasing proliferation of space debris, intermittent space incidents, and the rapid emergence of massive LEO satellite constellations pose significant threats to satellites in orbit. Ground-based optical observations play a crucial role in space surveillance and space situational awareness (SSA). The Zhulong telescopic [...] Read more.
The increasing proliferation of space debris, intermittent space incidents, and the rapid emergence of massive LEO satellite constellations pose significant threats to satellites in orbit. Ground-based optical observations play a crucial role in space surveillance and space situational awareness (SSA). The Zhulong telescopic observation network stands as a pivotal resource in the realm of space object tracking and prediction. This publicly available network plays a critical role in furnishing essential data for accurately delineating and forecasting the orbit of space objects in Earth orbit. Comprising a sophisticated array of hardware components including precise telescopes, optical sensors, and image sensors, the Zhulong network synergistically collaborates to achieve unparalleled levels of precision in tracking and observing space objects. Central to the network’s efficacy is its ability to extract positional information, referred to as angular data, from consecutive images. These angular data serve as the cornerstone for precise orbit determination and prediction. In this study, the CPF (Consolidated Prediction Format) orbit serves as the reference standard against which the accuracy of the angular data is evaluated. The findings reveal that the angular data error of the Zhulong network remains consistently below 3 arcseconds, attesting to its remarkable precision. Moreover, through the accumulation of angular data over time, coupled with the utilization of numerical integration and least squares methods, the Zhulong network facilitates highly accurate orbit determination and prediction for space objects. These methodologies leverage the wealth of data collected by the network to extrapolate trajectories with unprecedented accuracy, offering invaluable insights into the behavior and movement of celestial bodies. The results presented herein underscore the immense potential of electric optic telescopes in the realm of space surveillance. By harnessing the capabilities of the Zhulong network, researchers and astronomers can gain deeper insights into the dynamics of space objects, thereby advancing our understanding of the cosmos. Ultimately, the Zhulong telescopic observation network emerges as a pioneering tool in the quest to unravel the mysteries of the universe. Full article
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13 pages, 4351 KiB  
Article
Aerostat-Based Observation of Space Objects in the Stratosphere
by Jiang Wang, Ming Shen, Qin Wen, Rong Zhao, Zhanchao Wang, Pengqi Gao and Min Huang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(12), 5175; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14125175 - 14 Jun 2024
Viewed by 313
Abstract
For the requirements of the multi-means observation and emergency monitoring of space objects, including space debris and near-earth asteroids, this paper analyzes the astronomical observation conditions in the stratosphere, which is the region of the earth’s atmosphere between 18 km and 55 km [...] Read more.
For the requirements of the multi-means observation and emergency monitoring of space objects, including space debris and near-earth asteroids, this paper analyzes the astronomical observation conditions in the stratosphere, which is the region of the earth’s atmosphere between 18 km and 55 km of altitude. The results reveal that near space has a significantly superior sky background and observation environment than ground-based observation, with the values of transmittance in the visible band and near-infrared bands more than 0.91 and 0.988, respectively. The sky background radiance at 20 km is 2.5% of the ground in the visible band and near-infrared band, which is practical for daytime observation, and there is an advantage in the availability of observable hours without the influence of aerosols and turbulence, etc. Based on near-space aerostats, such as a high-altitude balloon, a new method of space object floating observation has been proposed, including the observation facilities and scheme. The simulation shows that it has an all-weather/all-day ability while adopting multi-band observation. Applying a telescope with 9.5 mag detective ability located on the aerostat, debris with the size of about 0.36 m can be observed at a 1000 km distance and phase angle of 100°, while the near-earth asteroid with the size of about 980 km can be observed at a 5 million km distance and phase angle of 40° during the daytime. With these advantages, the aerostat-based observation would be a beneficial supplement to the ground-based observation network. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Spectral Detection: Technologies and Applications)
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17 pages, 22841 KiB  
Article
Research on Rock-Breaking Characteristics of Cutters and Matching of Cutter Spacing and Penetration for Tunnel Boring Machine
by Huipeng Zhang, Ming Xia, Fengyuan Huang and Zhiqiang Zhang
Buildings 2024, 14(6), 1757; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings14061757 - 11 Jun 2024
Viewed by 346
Abstract
Tunnel boring machine (TBM) tunnel construction in composite strata relies heavily on understanding the rock-breaking characteristics of TBM cutters and optimizing cutter spacing and penetration. Utilizing a full-scale rock rotary cutting machine (RCM), this study conducted rock-breaking tests with disc cutters under varying [...] Read more.
Tunnel boring machine (TBM) tunnel construction in composite strata relies heavily on understanding the rock-breaking characteristics of TBM cutters and optimizing cutter spacing and penetration. Utilizing a full-scale rock rotary cutting machine (RCM), this study conducted rock-breaking tests with disc cutters under varying rolling radii. An analysis of rock debris shape and cutter behavior provided insights into rock-breaking mechanisms. Two main types of rock fragments were identified, with both shear and compression failure observed during cutter–rock interactions. The influence of the rolling radius and cutter spacing on cutter forces was analyzed, along with numerical modeling using the particle flow method. Optimal cutter selection in soft–hard composite strata should prioritize cutter force, with the greatest force required in hard rock. Cutter force increases with penetration, while the force difference between cutters decreases with reduced cutter spacing. These findings offer practical guidance for efficient rock-breaking in composite geological formations during tunnel construction. Full article
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40 pages, 4563 KiB  
Review
Considerations for Eco-LeanSat Satellite Manufacturing and Recycling
by Jeimmy Nataly Buitrago-Leiva, Adriano Camps and Alvaro Moncada Niño
Sustainability 2024, 16(12), 4933; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16124933 - 8 Jun 2024
Viewed by 855
Abstract
This research aims to contribute to the development of the Eco-LeanSat concept by focusing on a sustainable approach to satellite manufacturing and the repurposing of remaining satellite capabilities after failure. Despite satellites no longer being suitable for their original purposes, these remaining capabilities [...] Read more.
This research aims to contribute to the development of the Eco-LeanSat concept by focusing on a sustainable approach to satellite manufacturing and the repurposing of remaining satellite capabilities after failure. Despite satellites no longer being suitable for their original purposes, these remaining capabilities can find new applications. The study begins by identifying relevant innovative eco-design applications. Subsequently, it examines sustainability within the satellite lifecycle supply chain, categorizing it into four methods: (1) active debris removal, (2) transport logistics, (3) mission extension, and (4) repair and construction. Aligned with emerging trends in space activities, the study also considers future developments to maximize satellites’ potential to provide new services. Additionally, the research includes a description of a potential lean manufacturing process that encompasses logistic chains to support the development of a more sustainable space economy. Finally, the study concludes with a technological survey tracing the evolution of the development of the SmallSat and CubeSat platforms that identifies relevant innovative designs for a sustainable space environment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Engineering and Science)
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25 pages, 2095 KiB  
Article
Operational Angular Track Reconstruction in Space Surveillance Radars through an Adaptive Beamforming Approach
by Marco Felice Montaruli, Maria Alessandra De Luca, Mauro Massari, Germano Bianchi and Alessio Magro
Aerospace 2024, 11(6), 451; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace11060451 - 1 Jun 2024
Viewed by 851
Abstract
In the last few years, many space surveillance initiatives have started to consider the problem represented by resident space object overpopulation. In particular, the European Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST) consortium is in charge of providing services like collision avoidance, fragmentation analysis, and [...] Read more.
In the last few years, many space surveillance initiatives have started to consider the problem represented by resident space object overpopulation. In particular, the European Space Surveillance and Tracking (EUSST) consortium is in charge of providing services like collision avoidance, fragmentation analysis, and re-entry, which rely on measurements obtained through ground-based sensors. BIRALES is an Italian survey radar belonging to the EUSST framework and is capable of providing measurements including Doppler shift, slant range, and angular profile. In recent years, the Music Approach for Track Estimate and Refinement (MATER) algorithm has been developed to retrieve angular tracks through an adaptive beamforming technique, guaranteeing the generation of more accurate and robust measurements with respect to the previous static beamforming approach. This work presents the design of a new data processing chain to be used by BIRALES to compute the angular track. The signal acquired by the BIRALES receiver array is down-converted and the receiver bandwidth is split into multiple channels, in order to maximize the signal-to-noise ratio of the measurements. Then, the signal passes through a detection block, where an isolation procedure creates, for each epoch, signal correlation matrices (CMs) related to the channels involved in the detection and then processes them to isolate the data stream related to a single detected source. Consequently, for each epoch and for each detected source, just the CM featuring the largest signal contribution is kept, allowing deriving the Doppler shift measurement from the channel illumination sequence. The MATER algorithm is applied to each CM stream, first estimating the signal directions of arrival, then grouping them in the observation time window, and eventually returning the target angular track. Ambiguous estimates may be present due to the configuration of the receiver array, which cause spatial aliasing phenomena. This problem can be addressed by either exploiting transit prediction (in the case of cataloged objects), or by applying tailored criteria (for uncatalogued objects). The performance of the new architecture was assessed in real operational scenarios, demonstrating the enhancement represented by the implementation of the channelization strategy, as well as the angular measurement accuracy returned by MATER, in both nominal and off-nominal scenarios. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Astronautics & Space Science)
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19 pages, 3723 KiB  
Article
Orbital Pursuit–Evasion–Defense Linear-Quadratic Differential Game
by Zhen-Yu Li
Aerospace 2024, 11(6), 443; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace11060443 - 30 May 2024
Viewed by 588
Abstract
To find superior guidance strategies for preventing possible interception threats from space debris, out-of-control satellites, etc., this paper investigates an orbital pursuit–evasion–defense game problem with three players called the pursuer, the evader, and the defender, respectively. In this game, the pursuer aims to [...] Read more.
To find superior guidance strategies for preventing possible interception threats from space debris, out-of-control satellites, etc., this paper investigates an orbital pursuit–evasion–defense game problem with three players called the pursuer, the evader, and the defender, respectively. In this game, the pursuer aims to intercept the evader, while the evader tries to escape the pursuer. A defender accompanying the evader can protect the evader by actively intercepting the pursuer. For such a game, a linear-quadratic duration-adaptive (LQDA) strategy is first proposed as a basic strategy for the three players. Later, an advanced pursuit strategy is designed for the pursuer to evade the defender when they are chasing the evader. Meanwhile, a cooperative evasion–defense strategy is proposed for the evader and the defender to build their cooperation. Simulations determined that the proposed LQDA strategy has higher interception accuracy than the classic LQ strategy. Meanwhile, the proposed two-sided pursuit strategy can improve the interception performance of the pursuer against a non-cooperative defender. But if the evader and defender employ the proposed cooperation strategy, the pursuer’s interception will be much more difficult. Full article
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46 pages, 25578 KiB  
Review
Remote Sensing and Modeling of the Cryosphere in High Mountain Asia: A Multidisciplinary Review
by Qinghua Ye, Yuzhe Wang, Lin Liu, Linan Guo, Xueqin Zhang, Liyun Dai, Limin Zhai, Yafan Hu, Nauman Ali, Xinhui Ji, Youhua Ran, Yubao Qiu, Lijuan Shi, Tao Che, Ninglian Wang, Xin Li and Liping Zhu
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(10), 1709; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16101709 - 11 May 2024
Viewed by 1163
Abstract
Over the past decades, the cryosphere has changed significantly in High Mountain Asia (HMA), leading to multiple natural hazards such as rock–ice avalanches, glacier collapse, debris flows, landslides, and glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). Monitoring cryosphere change and evaluating its hydrological effects are [...] Read more.
Over the past decades, the cryosphere has changed significantly in High Mountain Asia (HMA), leading to multiple natural hazards such as rock–ice avalanches, glacier collapse, debris flows, landslides, and glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). Monitoring cryosphere change and evaluating its hydrological effects are essential for studying climate change, the hydrological cycle, water resource management, and natural disaster mitigation and prevention. However, knowledge gaps, data uncertainties, and other substantial challenges limit comprehensive research in climate–cryosphere–hydrology–hazard systems. To address this, we provide an up-to-date, comprehensive, multidisciplinary review of remote sensing techniques in cryosphere studies, demonstrating primary methodologies for delineating glaciers and measuring geodetic glacier mass balance change, glacier thickness, glacier motion or ice velocity, snow extent and water equivalent, frozen ground or frozen soil, lake ice, and glacier-related hazards. The principal results and data achievements are summarized, including URL links for available products and related data platforms. We then describe the main challenges for cryosphere monitoring using satellite-based datasets. Among these challenges, the most significant limitations in accurate data inversion from remotely sensed data are attributed to the high uncertainties and inconsistent estimations due to rough terrain, the various techniques employed, data variability across the same regions (e.g., glacier mass balance change, snow depth retrieval, and the active layer thickness of frozen ground), and poor-quality optical images due to cloudy weather. The paucity of ground observations and validations with few long-term, continuous datasets also limits the utilization of satellite-based cryosphere studies and large-scale hydrological models. Lastly, we address potential breakthroughs in future studies, i.e., (1) outlining debris-covered glacier margins explicitly involving glacier areas in rough mountain shadows, (2) developing highly accurate snow depth retrieval methods by establishing a microwave emission model of snowpack in mountainous regions, (3) advancing techniques for subsurface complex freeze–thaw process observations from space, (4) filling knowledge gaps on scattering mechanisms varying with surface features (e.g., lake ice thickness and varying snow features on lake ice), and (5) improving and cross-verifying the data retrieval accuracy by combining different remote sensing techniques and physical models using machine learning methods and assimilation of multiple high-temporal-resolution datasets from multiple platforms. This comprehensive, multidisciplinary review highlights cryospheric studies incorporating spaceborne observations and hydrological models from diversified techniques/methodologies (e.g., multi-spectral optical data with thermal bands, SAR, InSAR, passive microwave, and altimetry), providing a valuable reference for what scientists have achieved in cryosphere change research and its hydrological effects on the Third Pole. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Remote Sensing in Geology, Geomorphology and Hydrology)
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18 pages, 3856 KiB  
Article
A New Double-Step Process of Shortening Fibers without Change in Molding Equipment Followed by Electron Beam to Strengthen Short Glass Fiber Reinforced Polyester BMC
by Michael C. Faudree and Yoshitake Nishi
Materials 2024, 17(9), 2036; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17092036 - 26 Apr 2024
Viewed by 533
Abstract
It is vital to maximize the safety of outdoor constructions, airplanes, and space vehicles by protecting against the impact of airborne debris from increasing winds due to climate change, or from bird strikes or micrometeoroids. In a widely-used compression-molded short glass fiber polyester [...] Read more.
It is vital to maximize the safety of outdoor constructions, airplanes, and space vehicles by protecting against the impact of airborne debris from increasing winds due to climate change, or from bird strikes or micrometeoroids. In a widely-used compression-molded short glass fiber polyester bulk-molded compound (SGFRP-BMC) with 55% wt. CaCO3 filler, the center of the mother panel has lower impact strength than the outer sections with solidification texture angles and short glass fiber (SGF) orientations being random from 0 to 90 degrees. Therefore, a new double-step process of: (1) reducing commercial fiber length without change in molding equipment; followed by a (2) 0.86 MGy dose of homogeneous low-voltage electron beam irradiation (HLEBI) to both sides of the finished samples requiring no chemicals or additives, which is shown to increase the Charpy impact value (auc) about 50% from 6.26 to 9.59 kJm−2 at median-accumulative probability of fracture, Pf = 0.500. Shortening the SGFs results in higher fiber spacing density, Sf, as the thermal compressive stress site proliferation by action of the CTE difference between the matrix and SGF while the composite cools and shrinks. To boost impact strength further, HLEBI provides additional nano-compressive stresses by generating dangling bonds (DBs) creating repulsive forces while increasing SGF/matrix adhesion. Increased internal cracking apparently occurs, raising the auc. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Researches in Polymer and Plastic Processing)
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24 pages, 24671 KiB  
Review
Overview of High-Power and Wideband Radar Technology Development at MIT Lincoln Laboratory
by Michael MacDonald, Mohamed Abouzahra and Justin Stambaugh
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(9), 1530; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16091530 - 26 Apr 2024
Viewed by 818
Abstract
This paper summarizes over 60 years of radar system development at MIT Lincoln Laboratory, from early research on satellite tracking and planetary radar to the present ability to perform the centimeter-resolution imaging of resident space objects and future plans to extend this capability [...] Read more.
This paper summarizes over 60 years of radar system development at MIT Lincoln Laboratory, from early research on satellite tracking and planetary radar to the present ability to perform the centimeter-resolution imaging of resident space objects and future plans to extend this capability to geosynchronous range. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Radar for Space Observation: Systems, Methods and Applications)
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15 pages, 3813 KiB  
Article
Redundant Space Manipulator Autonomous Guidance for In-Orbit Servicing via Deep Reinforcement Learning
by Matteo D’Ambrosio, Lorenzo Capra, Andrea Brandonisio, Stefano Silvestrini and Michèle Lavagna
Aerospace 2024, 11(5), 341; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace11050341 - 25 Apr 2024
Viewed by 1168
Abstract
The application of space robotic manipulators and heightened autonomy for In-Orbit Servicing (IOS) represents a paramount pursuit for leading space agencies, given the substantial threat posed by space debris to operational satellites and forthcoming space endeavors. This work presents a guidance algorithm based [...] Read more.
The application of space robotic manipulators and heightened autonomy for In-Orbit Servicing (IOS) represents a paramount pursuit for leading space agencies, given the substantial threat posed by space debris to operational satellites and forthcoming space endeavors. This work presents a guidance algorithm based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to solve for space manipulator path planning during the motion-synchronization phase with the mission target. The goal is the trajectory generation and control of a spacecraft equipped with a 7-Degrees of Freedom (7-DoF) robotic manipulator, such that its end effector remains stationary with respect to the target point of capture. The Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) DRL algorithm is used to optimize the manipulator’s guidance law, and the autonomous agent generates the desired joint rates of the robotic arm, which are then integrated and passed to a model-based feedback linearization controller. The agent is first trained to optimize its guidance policy and then tested extensively to validate the results against a simulated environment representing the motion synchronization scenario of an IOS mission. Full article
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14 pages, 7738 KiB  
Article
Aerodynamic Analysis of Deorbit Drag Sail for CubeSat Using DSMC Method
by Jiaheng Chen, Song Chen, Yuhang Qin, Zeyu Zhu and Jun Zhang
Aerospace 2024, 11(4), 315; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace11040315 - 18 Apr 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1049
Abstract
Reducing space debris is a critical challenge in current space exploration. This study focuses on designing a drag sail for CubeSat models and examining their aerodynamic properties using the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method. The analysis encompasses the aerodynamic performance of intricate [...] Read more.
Reducing space debris is a critical challenge in current space exploration. This study focuses on designing a drag sail for CubeSat models and examining their aerodynamic properties using the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method. The analysis encompasses the aerodynamic performance of intricate three-dimensional shapes with varying sail dimensions at orbital altitudes of 125 km, 185 km, 300 km, and 450 km. Additionally, free molecular flow (FMF) theory is applied and compared with the DSMC findings for both a flat-plate model and the CubeSat. The results reveal that FMF accurately predicts the drag coefficient at altitudes of 185 km and above, while significant discrepancies occur at lower altitudes due to increased inter-molecular collisions. This study also suggests that the drag sail substantially enhances the CubeSat’s drag force, which effectively reduces its deorbiting time. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Astronautics & Space Science)
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16 pages, 16925 KiB  
Technical Note
Micro-Doppler Signature Analysis for Space Domain Awareness Using VHF Radar
by Emma Heading, Si Tran Nguyen, David Holdsworth and Iain M. Reid
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(8), 1354; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081354 - 12 Apr 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 758
Abstract
The large quantity of resident space objects orbiting Earth poses a threat to safety and efficient operations in space. Radar sensors are well suited to detecting objects in space including decommissioned satellites and debris, whereas the more commonly used optical sensors are limited [...] Read more.
The large quantity of resident space objects orbiting Earth poses a threat to safety and efficient operations in space. Radar sensors are well suited to detecting objects in space including decommissioned satellites and debris, whereas the more commonly used optical sensors are limited by daylight and weather conditions. Observations of three non-operational satellites using a VHF radar system are presented in this paper in the form of micro Doppler signatures associated with rotational motion. Micro Doppler signatures are particularly useful for characterising resident space objects at VHF given the limited bandwidth resulting in poor range resolution. Electromagnetic simulations of the micro Doppler signatures of the defunct satellites are also presented using simple computer-aided design (CAD) models to assist with interpretation of the radar observations. The simulated micro Doppler results are verified using the VHF radar data and provide insight into the attitude and spin axis of the three resident space objects. As future work, this approach will be extended to a larger number of resident space objects which requires a automated processing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Radar for Space Observation: Systems, Methods and Applications)
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28 pages, 4972 KiB  
Article
Preliminary Safety Analysis of Megaconstellations in Low Earth Orbit: Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Collision Risks
by Yongjing Ruan, Min Hu, Chaoming Yun and Wen Xue
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(7), 2953; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14072953 - 31 Mar 2024
Viewed by 645
Abstract
The deployment of megaconstellations in low Earth orbit (LEO) poses significant collision risks with space debris. This paper focuses on analyzing the short-term and long-term collision probabilities of megaconstellations to assess their collision risk. Firstly, a short-term collision risk evolution model is developed [...] Read more.
The deployment of megaconstellations in low Earth orbit (LEO) poses significant collision risks with space debris. This paper focuses on analyzing the short-term and long-term collision probabilities of megaconstellations to assess their collision risk. Firstly, a short-term collision risk evolution model is developed to accurately address rendezvous collisions. Secondly, a long-term collision risk evolution model is established by considering space object density, space debris attenuation, space target disintegration, and the distribution of disintegration targets. Through simulations conducted on the Starlink Phase I constellation, the results demonstrate a 30–40% increase in short-term collision probability within the constellation shell, a 70.2% probability of at least one collision during the constellation’s lifetime, and a 25.3% increase in secondary collisions following a collision event. This study provides a reference and application for analyzing the orbital safety of LEO megaconstellations and for promoting the sustainable development and utilization of space resources. Full article
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