Daily I Forex Report: 11 MARCH 2013
Daily I Forex Report: 11 MARCH 2013
Daily I Forex Report: 11 MARCH 2013
11THMARCH 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO
+91 9752199966
HEADLINES
Forex: EUR/USD Given Fundamental Green Light For Reversal US Dollar, Yen to Fall if US Jobs Report Tops Expectations
TRADING TIPS
BUY EURUSD ABOVE 1.3135 tgs 1.3155/1.3175 sl 1.3105
Dollar Outlook Tarnished by ECB, NFPs Offers a Risk Reprieve US Dollar, Yen to Fall if US Jobs Report Tops Expectations
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO
+91 9752199966
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.3108 HIGH: 1.3134 LOW: 1.3080 CLOSE: 1.3132
EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD TREND : BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD =>-.000(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI => 65(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 94.90 HIGH: 95.67 LOW: 94.85 CLOSE: 95.67
USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD => -0.02( BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI =>80(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.5026 HIGH: 1.5044 LOW: 1.4982 CLOSE: 1.5039
GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD TREND: BEARISH STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE MACD => .005( BEARISH SIGNAL) RSI => 59(BEARIISH SIGNAL)
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 0.8723 HIGH: 0.8740 LOW: 0.8707 CLOSE: 0.8727
EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD =>-.003(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI =>62(BULLISH SIGNAL)
www.epicresearch.co
+ 91 9752199966
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 82.1100 HIGH: 82.3000 LOW: 82.0770 CLOSE: 82.1010
USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD =>0.79(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI =>39(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ECONOMIC CALENDER
Date
Time
Currency
Event
Importance
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Notes
Mon Mar 4
GBP BoE/GfK Inflation Next 12 Mths (FEB) 00:00 NZD ANZ Commodity Price (FEB) GBP Lloyds Business Barometer (FEB) GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) (FEB) GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (MoM) (FEB) JPY Confirmation Hearing for BoJ Governor Nominee Kuroda AUD Inventories (4Q) AUD Company Operating Profit (QoQ) (4Q) AUD Building Approvals (YoY) (JAN) AUD Building Approvals (MoM) (JAN) AUD ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (FEB) GBP Purchasing Manager Index Construction (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (MAR) EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (MoM) (JAN) EUR Euro-Area Finance Ministers Meet in Brussels USD ISM New York (FEB) AUD AiG Performance of Service Index (FEB) GBP Halifax Plc House Prices s.a. (MoM) (FEB)
Medium
3.5%
Low
1.0%
0.3%
00:01
Low
13
15
00:01
Low
-0.1%
-0.3%
00:01
Low
0.1%
0.0%
00:30
Medium
00:30
Low
0.2%
0.6%
1.2%
00:30
Low
-1.0%
-1.0%
-2.7%
00:30
Low
9.9%
8.1%
12.4%
00:30
Low
-2.4%
2.8%
-1.7%
00:30
Low
3.0%
0.6%
09:30
Medium
46.8
49
48.7
09:30
Medium
-10.6
-4.3
-3.9
10:00
High
1.9%
1.9%
2.1%
10:00
Medium
0.6%
0.5%
-0.2%
14:00
High
14:45
Low
56.7
22:30
Tue Mar 5
Medium
45.3
Low
0.2%
-0.2%
GBP Halifax House Price (3MoY) (FEB) 00:01 GBP BRC Sales Like-ForLike YoY (FEB) AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (JAN) AUD Current Account Balance (Australian Dollar) (4Q) AUD Australia Net Exports of GDP (4Q) JPY Labor Cash Earnings (YoY) (JAN) HSBC Services PMI (FEB) AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision (MAR 5) EUR Italian Purchasing Manager Index Services (FEB) EUR French Purchasing Manager Index Services (FEB F) EUR German Purchasing Manager Index Services (FEB F) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Services (FEB F) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Composite (FEB F) GBP Purchasing Manager Index Services (FEB) GBP Official Reserves (Changes) (FEB) EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (JAN) EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) (JAN) USD ISM NonManufacutring Composite (FEB) USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MAR) NZD Value of All Buildings SA (4Q) JPY Bankruptcies (YoY) (FEB) GBP New Car Registrations (YoY) (FEB)
Low
1.7%
1.3%
Low
1.0%
1.9%
00:30
Medium
0.4%
-0.2%
00:30
Medium
-15300M
-14900M
00:30
Low
0.5
0.1
01:30
Medium
-1.7%
01:45
Medium
54
03:30
High
3.00%
3.00%
08:45
Medium
43.5
43.9
08:50
Medium
42.7
42.7
08:55
Medium
54.1
54.1
09:00
Medium
47.3
47.3
09:00
Medium
47.3
47.3
09:30
Medium
51
51.5
09:30
Low
$565M
10:00
High
-2.9%
-3.6%
10:00
Medium
0.3%
-0.9%
15:00
Medium
55
55.2
15:00
Low
47.2
47.3
21:45
Wed Mar 6
Low
3.0%
9.6%
Medium
-5.2%
Low
11.5%
00:01
GBP BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (FEB) AUD Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (4Q) AUD Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (4Q) EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (4Q P) EUR Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) (4Q P) EUR Euro-Zone Household Consumption (QoQ) (4Q P) EUR Euro-Zone Gross Fixed Capital (QoQ) (4Q P) EUR Euro-Zone Government Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q P) USD MBA Mortgage Applications (MAR 1) USD ADP Employment Change (FEB) USD Fed's Plosser Speaks on Economic Outlook in Lancaster, PA CAD Bank of Canada Rate Decision (MAR 6) USD Factory Orders (JAN) Ivey Purchasing Managers Index SA (FEB) USD DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories (MAR 1) USD DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory (MAR 1) USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (MAR 1) USD DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory (MAR 1) USD U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index (FEB) NZD QV House Prices (YoY) (FEB) JPY Official Reserve Assets (FEB) JPY Japan Buying Foreign Stocks (Yen) (MAR 1)
Low
0.6%
00:30
High
3.0%
3.1%
00:30
High
0.6%
0.5%
10:00
High
-0.9%
-0.9%
10:00
High
-0.6%
-0.6%
10:00
Medium
0.0%
10:00
Medium
-0.7%
10:00
Low
-0.2%
12:00
Low
-3.8%
13:15
Medium
168K
192K
13:15
Low
15:00
High
1.00%
1.00%
15:00
Medium
-2.2%
1.8%
15:00
Medium
58.9
15:30
Low
-1857K
15:30
Low
557K
15:30
Low
1130K
15:30
Low
-75K
19:00
Medium
22:30
Medium
36.2
23:00
Low
6.2%
23:50
Low
$1267.3B
23:50
Low
-106.4B
23:50
JPY Japan Buying Foreign Bonds (Yen) (MAR 1) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Stocks (Yen) (MAR 1) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Bonds (Yen) (MAR 1) JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision (MAR 7) EUR German Wholesale Price Index (YoY) (FEB) EUR German Wholesale Price Index (MoM) (FEB)
Low
-665.4B
23:50
Low
190.4B
23:50
Thu Mar 7
Low
-82.6B
High
0.10%
0.10%
Low
2.3%
Low
0.3%
00:30
AUD Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (JAN) JPY Leading Index (JAN P) (JAN P) JPY Coincident Index (JAN P) (JAN P) AUD Foreign Reserves (Australian dollar) (FEB) EUR French Mainland Unemployment Change (4Q) EUR French ILO Unemployment Rate (4Q) EUR French ILO Mainland Unemployment Rate (4Q) CHF SNB Final Result for 2012 CHF Unemployment Rate s.a. (FEB) CHF Unemployment Rate (FEB) EUR French Trade Balance (euros) (JAN) CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (FEB) EUR Italian Producer Price Index (YoY) (JAN) EUR Italian Producer Price Index (MoM) (JAN) EUR German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (JAN) EUR German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (JAN) GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (MAR 7) GBP BOE Asset Purchase Target (MAR)
Medium
-427M
05:00
Medium
93.4
05:00
Low
92.6
05:30
Low
A$46.5B
06:30
Medium
29K
06:30
Medium
10.3%
06:30
Medium
9.9%
06:30
Medium
06:45
Medium
3.1%
3.1%
06:45
Medium
3.4%
3.4%
07:45
Low
-4700M
-5349M
08:00
Low
-4700M
427.0B
09:00
Low
2.0%
09:00
Low
-0.2%
11:00
Medium
1.6%
-1.8%
11:00
Low
0.6%
0.8%
12:00
High
0.50%
0.50%
12:00
High
375B
375B
12:30
USD RBC Consumer Outlook Index (MAR) USD Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (FEB) EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision (MAR 7) EUR ECB Deposit Facility Rate (MAR 7) USD Trade Balance (JAN) USD Initial Jobless Claims (MAR 3) USD Unit Labor Costs (4Q F) USD Non-Farm Productivity (4Q F) USD Continuing Claims (FEB 24) CAD International Merchandise Trade (Canadian dollar) (JAN) CAD Building Permits (MoM) (JAN) USD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (MAR 1) USD Household Change in Net Worth (4Q) USD Consumer Credit (JAN) NZD Manufacturing Activity (4Q) NZD Manufacturing Activity Volume SA (QoQ) (4Q) JPY Nominal Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (4Q F) JPY Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (4Q F) JPY Gross Domestic Product Annualized (4Q F) JPY Trade Balance - BOP Basis (Yen) (JAN) JPY Current Account Total (Yen) (JAN) JPY Current Account Balance (YoY) (JAN) JPY Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (FEB)
Low
49.5
12:30
Low
-24.4%
12:45
High
0.8%
0.75%
12:45
Medium
0.00%
0.0%
13:30
Medium
-$43.0B
-$38.5B
13:30
Medium
355K
344K
13:30
Low
4.3%
4.5%
13:30
Low
-1.5%
-2.0%
13:30
Low
3110K
3074K
13:30
Low
-0.55B
-0.90B
13:30
Low
-11.2%
15:30
Low
-171
17:00
Low
$1722B
20:00
Medium
$14.500B
$14.595B
21:45
Medium
1.6%
21:45
Low
2.6%
23:50
High
-0.4%
23:50
High
-0.1%
23:50
High
-0.4%
23:50
Medium
-1512.3B
-567.6B
23:50
Low
-626.0B
-264.1B
23:50
Low
34.2%
-199.4%
23:50
Low
23:50
JPY Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (FEB) JPY Adjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (JAN) JPY Gross Domestic Product Deflator (YoY) (4Q F) JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (FEB) JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current (FEB) EUR Bank of France Business Sentiment (FEB) CNY Trade Balance (USD) (FEB) CNY Imports (YoY) (FEB)
Low
1.6%
23:50
Low
112.2B
98.1B
23:50
Fri Mar 8
Low
-0.6%
Medium
56.5
Medium
49.5
Medium
96
95
Medium
-$8.85B
$29.15B
Low
-8.2%
28.8%
CNY Exports (YoY) (FEB) EUR French Central Government Balance (euros) (JAN) CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (FEB) CHF CPI - EU Harmonised (YoY) (FEB) CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (FEB) CHF CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM) (FEB) EUR German Industrial Production n.s.a. and w.d.a. (YoY) (JAN) EUR German Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (JAN) CAD Housing Starts (FEB) USD Unemployment Rate (FEB) USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls (FEB) CAD Unemployment Rate (FEB) CAD Net Change in Employment (FEB) USD Change in Private Payrolls (FEB) USD Average Hourly Earning All Employees (YoY) (FEB)
Low
7.6%
25.0%
07:45
Low
-87.2B
08:15
Medium
-0.30%
-0.3%
08:15
Medium
-0.1%
08:15
Low
0.30%
-0.3%
08:15
Low
-0.5%
11:00
Medium
-1.2%
-1.1%
11:00
Low
0.4%
0.3%
13:15
Medium
172.0K
160.6K
13:30
High
7.9%
7.9%
13:30
High
155K
157K
13:30
High
7.1%
7.0%
13:30
High
7.5K
-21.9K
13:30
Medium
167K
166K
13:30
Medium
2.1%
2.1%
13:30
CAD Participation Rate (FEB) CAD Part Time Employment Change (FEB) CAD Full Time Employment Change (FEB) Average Hourly Earning All Employees (MoM) (FEB) USD Underemployment Rate (U6) (FEB) USD Change in Manufacturing Payrolls (FEB) USD Change in Household Employment (FEB) USD Average Weekly Hours All Employees (FEB) CAD Labor Productivity (QoQ) (4Q) USD Wholesale Inventories (JAN)
Medium
66.6
13:30
Medium
-1.4
13:30
Medium
-20.6
13:30
Low
0.2%
0.20%
13:30
Low
14.4%
13:30
Low
10K
4K
13:30
Low
17
13:30
Low
3440.0%
34.4
13:30
Low
-0.5%
15:00
Low
0.3%
-0.1%
www.epicresearch.co
+ 91 9752199966
Disclaimer
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.