Indian FMCG Industry, September 2012
Indian FMCG Industry, September 2012
Indian FMCG Industry, September 2012
Index
I. II. Executive Summary Market Overview
Industry Overview Evolution of the Indian FMCG Sector Porters Five Forces Model SWOT Analysis Key Challenges Trends in the Industry Growth Drivers Government Policies Major Segments
III.
Industry Analysis
V.
Major Players
Major Players Common Stock Comparison
1
Index
VI. Profiles of the Major Players
ITC HUL Nestle Dabur Godrej Consumer Colgate-Palmolive Marico GSK Consumer Britannia
Growth in the sector is led by higher urban and rural demand. Going forward , the governments growing support to agriculture will drive long-term growth in consumption from the rural sector
In our view, amongst all the FMCG segments, the food segment will outperform over the coming years
Source:
Market Overview
MARKET OVERVIEW
Industry Overview Evolution of Indian FMCG Sector Porters Five Forces Model SWOT Analysis
Industry Overview
Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) goods, popularly named as consumer packaged goods, play a vital role as a necessity and as an inelastic product
The Indian FMCG sector is the fourth largest sector the economy with a total market size of Rs. 167,100crs1
The market is estimated to grow to US$ 100 billion by 2025, according to market research firm Nielsen In the last decade the FMCG sector has grown at an average of 11% a year; in the last five years, annual growth accelerated to 17% The FMCG Industry is characterized by a well established distribution network, low penetration levels, low operating cost, lower per capita consumption and intense competition between the organized and unorganized segments FMCGs are slowly and gradually positioning and deeply penetrating in the fast growing rural market. The Rural mindset is open to consumption of newer, more contemporary food categories and as a result, drive consistent growth
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Industry Overview
Urban Vs. Rural
FMCG Industry Size (in Rs bn) 1,671
1,111 960
1,451
CY 10
CY 11
CY 10
CY 11
559 491
The FMCG sector in India continues on a strong growth path with both Urban and Rural India contributing to its growth. Rural India contributes one third of FMCG sales in India
CY 10
CY 11
Growth driven by increasing consumption led by rise in incomes, changing lifestyles and favorable demographics
Industry Overview
Rural India accounts for more than 700 Million consumers or 70% of the Indian population and accounts for 40% of the total FMCG market The Rural market is a large market space with very low organized player penetration. Across the globe, the Indian rural market is probably the single largest unit of opportunity
Also with changing lifestyle and increasing consumer demand, the Indian FMCG market is expected to cross $80 billion by 2026 in towns with population of up to 10 lakh
The sector has a tremendous opportunity for growth in India, with the growing population, the rising incomes, education and urbanization, the advent of modern retail, and a consumption-driven society
# According to Nielsen, FMCG growth was 10.7% in the rural market and 10.8% in the urban market during the quarter ended December 2011; for the quarter ended March 2012, while growth in the urban market improved to 16.5%, it rose even higher, to 17.2%, in the rural market*
Source: *Business Standard May12
Industry Overview
The following matrix shows the room for growth in various categories of the FMCG products:
There is ample room for growth in various categories of FMCG products
100% 90% 80% 70%
Rural penetration (%)
Edible oil Washing pow eders Hair oil T oilet soap Detergent bar Tea
Biscuits 60% 50% Shampoo 40% Toothpow der Talcum Pow der 20% 10% Coffee Skin cream Soft drinks Utensil clearners Insencticides Vanaspati Balms Toothpaste
Milk pow der Health Ice Cream Chocolates Mints Baby oil T oilet cleaners Noodles Floor cleaners 0% Ketchup Deodorants
Source: IBEF
Rivalry
Aggressive marketing strategies among competitors: High Due to the long term relationships with suppliers etc., FMCG companies induce customers to switch More MNCs entering the country negotiate better rates during times of between products high input cost inflation Advertising spends continue to grow and marketing budgets as well as strategies are becoming more aggressive 11
SWOT Analysis
Moderate operating costs Presence of established distribution networks in both urban and rural areas Presence of well-known brands in FMCG sector Favorable government policies
Strengths
Weaknesses
Lower scope of investing in technology and achieving economies of scale, especially in small sectors Low exports levels Counterfeit Products
Untapped rural market Rising income levels, i.e. increase in purchasing power of consumers Large domestic market- a population of over one billion Export potential High consumer goods spending
Opportunities
Threats
Removal of import restrictions resulting in replacement of domestic brands Slowdown in rural demand Tax and regulatory structure
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Industry Analysis
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
Key Challenges Trends in the Industry Growth Drivers Opportunities in the Sector Government Policies Segment Overview
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Key Challenges
Commodity prices fluctuate, which make it difficult to finalize raw material prices, affecting the final price of the product
Price of inputs
Indian consumers are very price-sensitive and value conscious, making it difficult for FMCG firms to pass on the increased costs
Private labels serve to lower the consumers price points, particularly at the mass level Conflicts of interest when a retail chain has its own label whose packaging looks like category leaders and stocks brands of other manufacturers, (in terms of display space, promotions etc) These products narrow the scope of FMCG products in rural and semi-urban market The spurious pass off products affect large, high quality brands which have actually invested money in research and development to create their products and build brand equity
Infrastructural Bottlenecks
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Industry Trends
Consolidation Indian FMCG companies are consolidating their existing business portfolios Several companies have started innovating by launching or customizing their existing product portfolios for new consumer segments Lifestyle and premium range products are the current hot target product segments among Indian FMCG players
Product innovation
Lifestyle products
Expanding horizons
A number of companies are exploring the business potential of overseas markets and several regional markets
Backward integration
Backward integration is becoming the preferred strategy for increasing profit margins
Companies are now focused on improving their distribution networks to expand their reach in rural India
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Industry Trends
Third-party manufacturing FMCG players often outsource manufacturing or processing of a certain range of products to small vendors. This approach has helped companies focus on front-end marketing Companies are increasingly introducing smaller stock keeping units at reduced prices. This helps them sustain margins, maintain volumes from price-conscious customers and expand their consumer base Small towns are emerging as significant hiring zones. FMCG companies are hiring field staff from areas such as Kalpa (Himachal Pradesh), Mangaliya (Madhya Pradesh), Kota (Rajasthan), and Shirdi (Maharashtra) to sell diverse products FMCG companies entering Africa as it helps to be close to consumption markets within Africa. Such foreign investments are encouraged by local governments, as they offer incentives to enter the markets
FMCG players in India are focusing on reducing their carbon footprint. They generate the required energy from renewable sources and earn CER credits for the same
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Growth Drivers
Large Market
Spending Pattern
FDI Support
Growth Drivers
Rise of rural consumers
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Food-Processing Industry
Penetration level as well as per capita consumption in most product categories like jams, toothpaste, skin care, hair wash etc in India is low, indicating the untapped market potential With 200 million people expected to shift to processed and packaged food, India needs around US$ 30 billion of investment in the foodprocessing industry
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Segment Overview
Market Segments
The food and beverages segment is the highest contributor to the FMCG sector
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Segment Overview
Household Care
The detergents segment dominates the household care segment and has been growing at an annual growth rate of 10-11% in the past five years Local and unorganized players account for a major share of the total volume of the detergent market The Household care segment is plagued by intense competition and high level of penetration. With rapid urbanization, emergence of small pack sizes and sachets is picking up
In the washing powder segment, HUL is the leader and other major players like Nirma, Henkel and Proctor & Gamble continue to provide stiff competition/innovation
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Segment Overview
Personal Care
The Personal care segment includes personal washing products, hair care products, oral care products, cosmetics, skin care etc
The hair care market can be segmented into hair oils, shampoos, hair colorants & conditioners, and hair gels. The coconut oil market accounts for 72% share in the hair oil market
The skin care market is at a primary stage in India. With the change in life styles, increase in disposable incomes, greater product choice and availability, people are becoming more alert about personal grooming The oral care market can be segmented into toothpaste 60%; toothpowder 23%; toothbrushes 17%
The Indian personal care segment is set to change significantly in the coming years as consumption habits, fuelled by rising disposable income and changing lifestyles, align themselves with global trends. E.g. bath soaps are likely to be replaced by shower gel or liquid soap variants and there will be growing use of hair conditioners and electronic tooth brushes
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Segment Overview
Food and Beverages
The Food and Beverages segment comprises of the food processing industry, health beverage industry, bread and biscuits, chocolates & confectionery, Mineral Water and ice creams The three largest consumed categories of packaged foods are packed tea, biscuits and soft drinks The Indian hot beverage market is dominated by tea and the major share of the tea market is dominated by unorganized players India is one of the fastest growing branded restaurants markets in the world, where the organized eating-out market is currently estimated at US$ 2 billion and growing at a CAGR of 25% Sahara India reportedly plans to enter into dairy production business by opening the world's biggest dairy on April 1, 2013 and could be a serious threat for Anand based Amul
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Target
Acquirer
Details
GCPL has acquired a 100% stake in NC and EC for an undisclosed amount in order to extend its leadership in the specialty liquid detergent category Marico bought an 85% stake in the maker of Vietnam's top malegrooming brand X-Men in a deal estimated at US$55-60mn in order to strengthen the presence in the male grooming space
Naturesse Consumer Care Products (NC) and Essence (GCPL) Consumer Care Products Ltd (EC) International Consumer Products Corporation
March 3, 2011
Soft drink and fruit based beverages business along with the brand, 'Fruitnik' from Siva's Soft Drink Pvt Ltd
Amrutanjan With the deal size of US$ Health Care 5.70mn, AHCL diversified its Ltd (AHCL) business into 2 beverages business
25
Target
Acquirer
Details
Jyothy Laboratories acquired a 14.9% stake in Henkel India for US$ 13.20mn in an all-cash deal in order to strengthen its urban distribution network, as Henkel has a strong presence in the modern retail formats
With the deal size of US$ 13.04mn, for Marico, the move was in line with its decision to focus on its flagship brand 'Saffola'
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd Jyothy Laboratories increased its stake to 50.97% in Henkel India from Henkel AG & Co for US$ 25.80mn
May 6, 2011
Henkel India
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Target
Acquirer
Details
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd acquired 51% stake in African hair care firm Darling Group Holdings in order to scale up its operations in the region and to strengthen its position in the hair care market
June 6, 2011
Wipro Consumer With the undisclosed deal size, Care Wipros move was to strengthen its position in the increasingly competitive soap market in the country
Ag- Omega Ag-Seeds (Punjab) Punjab acquired a 15% shareholding in Blue Park Sea Foods for a total consideration of US$ 1.63mn
December 1, 2011
ConAgra Foods North American food Inc giant ConAgra Foods Inc acquired 3.66% stake Agro Tech Foods US$ 11.27mn which increased its stake in the company to 51.77%
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Target
Amrit Banaspati Company Ltd edible oil business
Acquirer
Details
New York based food company Bunge Limited acquired the edible oils and fats business of Amrit Banaspati Company Limited for US$ 78mn
Marico Limited is acquiring personal care business of Paras Pharmaceuticals from Reckitt Benckiser for an undisclosed amount
Consumer goods company Jyothy Laboratories Ltd is merging Henkel India Ltd with itself to consolidate its personal care products business under a single umbrella American Furniture company HNI Corp has acquired 95% stake in office furniture company BP Egro for~ Rs.200 crores
BP Egro Ltd
HNI Corporation
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Investee
Milk Mantra Dairy Pvt Ltd Hector Beverages Pvt Ltd Bush Foods Overseas Prakash Snacks Capital Foods
Investor
Aavishkaar Venture Management services Pvt Ltd Catamaran Investment Pvt Ltd, Footprint Ventures, and four angel investors Standard Chartered PE Sequoia Capital Future Ventures India Ltd
% Stake
NA
NA
1.30
April 6, 2011 June 27, 2011 August 12, 2011 August 19, 2011 October 18, 2011
NA NA 3%
25 30 NA
Manpasand SAIF Partners India Beverages Pvt Ltd VVF Ltd Reliance Equity Advisors
NA
10
NA
29.57
29
Investee
VKS Farms Pvt Ltd Sresta Natural Bioproducts Ltd Godrej Consumer Ltd Marico Ltd Adiga'sfast food chain
Investor
Ventureast Life Fund Peepul Capital
% Stake
NA
NA
15
Temasek through Baytree Investments GIC and Baring Private Equity Partners India New Silk Route Partners
4.9%
136.45
5%
100
NA
NA NA
0.07 8.57
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Major Players
MAJOR PLAYERS
Strong FMCG Brands Common Stock Comparable Analysis
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Rs. 177,360.96 88,600.40 44,378.71 18,535.95 16,322.37 15,176.80 10,730.61 10,686.73 7,077.46
(Rs. 2,739.84) Rs. 174,621.12 (1,978.13) 798.20 629.19 924.17 (309.80) 606.92 (1,200.10) 119.57 86,622.27 45,176.91 19,165.14 17,246.54 14,867.00 11,337.53 9,486.63 7,197.03
Sales S no. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Company Name ITC (standalone) HUL (consolidated) Nestle (Consolidated)* Dabur (consolidated) Godrej (consolidated) Colgate (Standalone) Marico (consolidated) GSK Consumer* Britannia (Consolidated) 2012 Rs. 24,798.00 22,987.73 9,125.40 5,305.42 4,850.94 2,623.85 3,996.81 3,118.30 5,460.75 2013E Rs. 29,183.40 25,826.40 11,124.70 5,960.30 5,646.10 3,051.30 4,850.99 3,643.30 6,355.70 2012
EBITDA 2013E Rs. 10,621.80 3,500.40 2,311.20 1,044.90 1,010.70 691.30 642.76 580.40 412.60
Net Income 2012 Rs. 6,162.37 2,790.66 1,187.10 644.11 726.72 446.47 317.11 413.20 199.55 2013E Rs. 7,277.70 3,025.20 1,429.10 759.40 662.00 514.50 432.01 498.50 264.60
Rs. 8,474.00 3,034.96 1,871.60 890.17 840.18 509.14 474.09 477.90 286.25
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Source: As per research reports available from leading brokers like Goldman Sachs, Citi Group etc.
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Source: As per research reports available from leading brokers like Goldman Sachs, Citi Group etc.
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K N Grant A Baijal
Company Overview ITC is an outstanding market leader in its traditional businesses of Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards, Packaging and Agri-Exports It is the leading cigarette manufacturer based out of Kolkata with a 67% share of the market by volume and 83% by value The company is rapidly gaining market share even in its nascent businesses of Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Personal Care and Stationery ITC's Agri-Business is one of India's largest exporters of agricultural products ITC is one of the eight Indian companies to figure in Forbes A-List for 2004, featuring 400 of "the world's best big companies". Forbes has also named ITC among Asia's'Fab 50' and the World's Most Reputable Companies
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Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Hindustan Unilever
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1933 Household Care Cosmetics, toiletries, soaps & detergents Chairman MD & CEO Exec. Director Exec. Director Exec. Director Board of Directors Harish Manwani Nitin Paranjpe Sridhar Ramamurthy Gopal Vittal Pradeep Banerjee
Company Overview HUL, a 51% subsidiary of Unilever Plc, is the largest Indian FMCG company (excluding cigarettes) based out of Mumbai It has a portfolio of over 50 brands across categories such as soaps, detergents, foods, ice cream and water purifiers The key strengths of the company are an extensive distribution network (its products are available in over 6mn outlets), powerful brands (most of its brands are market leaders and straddle price segments), strong balance sheet, and high-quality management
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Hindustan Unilever
Product Portfolio
Company Snapshot
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Hindustan Unilever
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Hindustan Unilever
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
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Nestle India
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1959 Food & Bevrages Dairy products Chairman & MD Director Director Board of Directors Antonio Helio Waszyk Shobinder Duggal Christian Schmid
Director Director
Company Overview Nestle, a 62.8% subsidiary of its parent Nestl S.A. of Switzerland, is Indias third largest consumer goods company after HUL and ITC Nestl India manufactures products of truly international quality under internationally famous brand names such as NESCAF, MAGGI, MILKYBAR, MILO, KIT KAT, BAR-ONE, MILKMAID and NESTEA Nestle enjoys leadership position in its core categories such as baby foods, instant noodles, and instant coffee It enjoys a distinct advantage over competitors in the F&B space on account of its strong focus on developing products around the nutrition, health, and wellness platform, and a culture of renovation and innovation in its offerings, backed by strong parent support
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Nestle India
Product Portfolio
Company Snapshot Category Category
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Nestle India
Financial performance
Financial Summary
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Nestle India, a subsidiary of Nestle SA, the Swiss major in food and beverages, plans to invest nearly Rs 5 billion in a Maggie noodles and confectionerymanufacturing plant in Gujarat
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Nestle India
Financial performance
Financial Summary
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Dabur
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1975 Personal Care Diversified Chairman Vice Chairman Exec. Director Board of Directors Anand Burman (Dr.) Amit Burman Pradip Burman
Company Overview Dabur is one of Indias most trusted names and the worlds largest Ayurvedic and Natural Health Care Company and is the second largest FMCG company in India, in terms of Product portfolio Dabur has three divisions in India apart from its international operations : o First, The Consumer care division (CCD) offers a wide range of products in hair care, oral care, health supplements, digestives and candies, and baby and skin care products, based on ayurveda o Second, The consumer health division (CHD) includes overthecounter(OTC) products, Asavs, and branded ethical, and classic products. The CHD division has been merged with CCD to leverage the companies distribution networks o The third, Dabur Foods Ltd produces fruit juices, cooking pastes, sauces, and items for institutional food purchases
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Dabur
Product Portfolio
Company Snapshot
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Dabur
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Dabur
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
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Company Overview
Godrej Consumer is among the leading FMCG companies in India - second largest player in soaps and largest in hair color Godrej Consumer brands, which include Good knight, Cinthol, Godrej No. 1, Expert, Hit, Jet, Fairglow, Ezee, Protekt and Snuggy, among others, are household names across the country Major brands include Godrej Hair Dye (liquid and powder), Godrej Kesh Kala oil and Nupur hair dyes in the lower end and Renew and Coloursoft in the higher segment and give stiff competition to foreign brands in the hair colour segment In June 2009, GCPL completed the acquisition of 49% stake in Godrej Sara Lee Limited which had several leading brands such as Good Knight, JET, HIT, Brylcreem and KIWI The company employs 950 people and has three state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities at Malanpur (M.P.), Guwahati (Assam) and Baddi (H.P.)
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Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Colgate-Palmolive
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1937 Household Care Preparations for oral or dental hygiene Chairman Vice Chairman Deputy Chairman MD Director Board of Directors D Samuel R A Shah P K Ghosh M V Deoras P E Alton
Company Overview Colgate, 51% owned by Colgate USA, is the largest oral-care company in India. Supported by a wide distribution network, it derives over 96% revenue from this category The company's 51% stake is owned by the foreign promoters (colgate-palmolive group), around 26% by individuals and around 21% by institutional investors. Colgate has also driven inorganic growth through acquisitions, namely Hindustan CibaGeigy Ltd, CC Health Care Products Pvt Ltd, Professional Oral Care Products Pvt. Ltd., Advanced Oral Care Products and SS Oral Hygiene Prod Colgate Palmolive is a market leader in the toothpaste segment with a market share of ~50% in India, but is seeing increasing competition from domestic players
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Colgate-Palmolive
Product Portfolio
Company Snapshot Product Categories Oral Care
Toothpastes, Toothbrushes, Further, it provides various dental care products for Toothpowder, Whitening products, gingivitis treatment, sensitivity treatment, tooth whitening, Kids products, fluoride therapy, mouth ulcer And Mouthwashes. treatment, and specialty cleaning
Personal care
Body Wash Liquid Hand Wash Skin Care Hair Care Products
Household Care
Dish washing pastes
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Colgate-Palmolive
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Colgate-Palmolive
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
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Marico
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1988 Household Care Oils Chairman & MD Director Director Board of Directors Harsh Charandas Mariwala Rajeev Bakshi Atul Champaklal Choksey
Director Director
Company Overview Marico has evolved into one of the leading Indian FMCG companies from a coconut oil manufacturer over the past few years It has positioned itself on the beauty and wellness platform and caters to the hair care, health care, and skin care segments The company operates in India, the Middle East, SAARC countries, Egypt, Malaysia, South Africa, Singapore, and Vietnam and is headquartered in Mumbai, India Its manufacturing facilities are located at Goa, Kanjikode (Kerala), Jalgaon (Maharashtra),Saswad(Maharashtra), Pondicherry, Dehradun (UP) and Daman Marico is present in more than 25 countries across Asia and the African continent
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Marico
Product Portfolio
Company Snapshot Category Range
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Marico
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Marico
Financial Performance
Financial Summary
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Director Director
Company Overview GSK Consumer Healthcare Ltd., an Indian group company of GSK plc UK (which holds 43% in GSK), is one of the largest players in the Indian malted food drinks (MFD) industry It is Indias leading health food drinks (HFD) manufacturer (69% market share in HFD) with growing presence in categories such as biscuits, noodles, snacks, sports drinks, glucose powder etc The company has manufacturing facilities in Nabha (Punjab), Rajamundry (Andhra Pradesh) and Sonepat (Haryana) and has a strong marketing and distribution network in India with direct coverage of over 700,000 retail outlets Headquartered in the UK, GSK has over 100,000 employees worldwide, including around 35,000 employees at 85 manufacturing sites in 37 countries
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GSK is the undisputed dominant player in the fastgrowing underpenetrated domestic malted health drink segment (~70% market share) with Horlicks, Boost, Maltova and Viva
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Glaxo Smithkline Consumer Healthcare posted a net profit of Rs 1.31 billion for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 as compared to Rs 1.10 billion in the same period last year
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Britannia
Company Profile
Company Snapshot
Incorporation Year Industry Group Main Product 1918 Household Care Bisciuts Chairman MD Director Board of Directors Nusli N Wadia Vinita Bali (Ms.) K K Dadiseth
Company Overview
Director Director
Britannia Industries Limited is based in Kolkata and is famous for its Britannia and Tiger brands of biscuits, which are popular throughout the country With an estimated market share of ~38%, the company's principal activity is to manufacture and sell biscuits, bread, rusk, cakes and dairy products The Britannia brand is the trust of almost one-third of India's one billion population CRISIL has assigned a credit rating to Britannia Industries as AAA rating
The biscuit industry is the largest processed foods segment in India with size exceeding Rs.11,500crs, growing at 13-14% CAGR
Britannia has enhanced its premium cream portfolio with a launch of several differentiated products including Bourbon Cappuccino, Pure Magic Praline and a new range of creamy flavours for Treat
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Britannia
Product Portfolio
Britannia Category Range
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Britannia
Financial Performance
Britannia
Financial Highlights
(Rs. In Crs.)
Source: Annual Report * Debt includes Long term and short term borrowings
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Britannia
Financial Performance
Britannia
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CORPORATE PROFILE
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Organizational Transformation
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Turnarounds
We work closely with companies to help devise and implement a turnaround strategy by plugging the deficiencies of management, technology, capital or partnerships
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C-37,
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