MBA 290 Strategic Analysis
MBA 290 Strategic Analysis
MBA 290 Strategic Analysis
ADVANCED
STRATEGIC
MANAGEMENT
1
Course Overview: Objectives
l To acquire familiarity with the principal concepts,
frameworks and techniques of strategic
management.
l To gain expertise in applying these concepts,
frameworks and techniques in order to
- understand the reasons for good or bad
performance by an enterprise,
- generate strategy options for an enterprise,
- assess available options under conditions of
imperfect knowledge,
- select the most appropriate strategy,
- recommend the best means of implementing
the chosen strategy.
l 2
Course Overview: Objectives (cont’d)
CORPORATE CORPORATE
STRATEGY HEAD OFFICE
BUSINESS
STRATEGY Division A Division B
R&D R&D
FUNCTIONAL Personnel Personnel
STRATEGIES
Finance Finance
Production Production
Marketing/Sales Marketing/Sales
Levels of Strategy
• Corporate strategy... defines the scope of the
business in terms of the industries and markets in
which it competes.
• includes decisions about diversification, vertical
integration, acquisitions, new ventures,
divestments, allocation of scarce resources
between business units
• Business strategy... is concerned with how the firm
competes within a particular industry or market... to
win a business unit must adopt a strategy that
establishes a competitive advantage over its rivals.
• Functional strategy... the detailed deployment of
resources at the operational level
Common Elements in Successful Strategy
Successful
Strategy
EFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATION
Profound Objective
Long-term, simple
understanding of appraisal of
and agreed upon
the competitive resources
objectives
environment
$
Strategy as a Quest for Profit
• The stakeholder approach : The firm is a coalition of interest groups
—it seeks to balance their different objectives
For the purposes of strategy analysis we assume that the primary goal
of the firm is profit maximization.
Rationale:
1)Boards of directors legally obliged to pursue shareholder interest
2)To replace assets firm must earn return on capital > cost of capital
(difficult when competition strong).
3)Firms that do not max. stock-market value will be acquired
Problems:
•Estimating cash flows beyond 2-3 years is difficult
•Value of firm depends on option value as well as DCF value
Above Normal
Profits
(in Excess of the Competitive Level)
COST
COST
duct ADVANTAGE
ADVANTAGE
r pro st
ila co
Sim wer
o
COMPETITIVE at l
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE
ADVANTAGE P ri
fro ce
m pre
un mi
iq u um
ep
rod DIFFERENTIATION
DIFFERENTIATION
uc
t ADVANTAGE
ADVANTAGE
The Experience Curve
Cumulative Output
Examples of Experience Curves
Price Index
75%
70% slope
•Process innovation
PRODUCTION TECHNIQUES •Reengineering business processes
•Location advantages
INPUT COSTS •Ownership of low-cost inputs
•Non-union labor
•Bargaining power
Cost per
unit of
output
Despite the massive advertising budgets of brand leaders Coke and Pepsi, their main
brands incur lower advertising costs per unit of sales than their smaller rivals.
0.20
Advertising Expenditure ($ per case)
Schweppes
SF Dr. Pepper
0.15
Tab
Diet 7-Up Diet Pepsi
Diet Rite
0.10
Fresca
Seven Up
0.05
STAGE 4. IDENTIFY LINKAGES
PRCHSNG PARTS R&D COMPONENT ASSEM- TESTING GOODS SALES DSTRBTN DLR
INVNTRS DESIGN MFR BLY QUALITY INV MKTG CTMR
FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE
HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT
Customer technical
support. Consumer
credit. Availability of
Quality of Defect free Fast delivery. Building brand spares
components & products. Efficient order reputation
materials Wide variety processing
Identifying Differentiation Opportunities through
Linking the Value Chains of the Firm and its
Customers: Can Manufacture
1
5
2 3 4
Inventory holding
Supplies of steel
Inventory holding
Inventory holding
technical support
Manufacturing
& aluminum
Purchasing
Distribution
Processing
Engineering
Marketing
Distribution
Purchasing
Canning
Service &
Design
Sales
Household & Personal Products 22.7 Gas & Electric Utilities 10.4
Pharmaceuticals 22.3 Food and Drug Stores 10.0
Tobacco 21.6 Motor Vehicles & Parts 9.8
Food Consumer Products 19.6 Hotels, Casinos, Resorts 9.7 Securities
18.9 Railroads 9.0
Diversified financials 18.3 Insurance: Life and Health 8.6
Beverages 18.8 Packaging & Containers 8.6
Mining & crude oil 17.8 Insurance: Property & Casualty 8.3
Petroleum Refining 17.3 Building Materials, Glass 8.3
Medical Products & Equipment 17.2 Metals 8.0
Commercial Banks 15.5 Food Production 7.2
Scientific & Photographic Equipt. 15.0 Forest and Paper Products 6.6
Apparel 14.4 Semiconductors &
Computer Software 13.9 Electronic Components 5.9
Publishing, Printing 13.5 Telecommunications 4.6
Health Care 13.1 Communications Equipment 1.2
Electronics, Electrical Equipment 13.0 Entertainment 0.2
Specialty Retailers 13.0 Airlines (22.0)
Computers, Office Equipment 11.7
The Profitability of Global Industries: Return on Invested Capital, 1963-2003
Utilities 6.2
Telecomservices 6.5
Transporation 6.9
Energy 7.7
Materials 8.4
OVERALLAVERAGE 9
Retailing 9
Foodretailing 9.6
Technologyhardwareandequipment 10.3
Semiconductors 11.9
Media 14.7
Pharmaceuticals 18.4
0 5 10 15 20
Average ROIC1963-2003(%)
From Environmental Analysis
to Industry Analysis
Perfect
Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly
Competition
Perfect
Information Imperfect availability of information
Information flow
Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework
SUPPLIERS
Bargaining power of suppliers
INDUSTRY
COMPETITORS
Threat of
POTENTIAL Threat of
ENTRANTS SUBSTITUTES
new substitutes
Rivalry among
entrants existing firms
BUYER POWER
•Buyers’ price sensitivity
•Relative bargaining
power
SUPPLIER POWER
LOW
DRUG
INDUSTRY
(ROE=22%)
THREAT OF ENTRY
LOW INDUSTRY
COMPETITIVENESS
•economies of scale LOW THREAT OF
•capital requirements for SUBSTITUTES
R&D and clinical trials •high concentration LOW
•product differentiation •product differentiation
•control of distribution •patent protection No substitutes.
channels •steady demand growth (Changing as managed care
•patent protection •no cyclical fluctuations encourages generics.)
of demand
BUYER POWER
LOW
Physician as buyer:
Not price sensitive
No bargaining power.
(Changing with managed care.)
Applying Five-Forces Analysis
Time
How Typical is the Life Cycle Pattern?
Sales Sales
Color
B&W Portable
HDTV ?
1900 50 90 07 1930 50 70 90 07
MOTORCYCLES TV’s
TECHNOLOGY
Rapid product Product and Incremental Well-diffused
innovation process innovation innovation technology
PRODUCTS
Wide variety, Standardization Commoditiz- Continued
rapid design change ation commoditization
TRADE
-----Production shifts from advanced to developing countries-----
COMPETITION
Technology- Entry & exit Shakeout & Price wars,
consolidation exit
KSFs
Product innovation Process techno- Cost efficiency Overhead red-
logy. Design for uction, ration-
alization, low
cost sourcing
The Driving Forces of Industry Evolution
Customers become
Customers become
more knowledgeable more price
& experienced conscious
Quest for new
sources of
differentiation
Products become
more standardized
Diffusion of
Price competition
technology Production Production intensifies
becomes less shifts
R&D to low-wage
& skill-intensive countries
Excess capacity
increases
Demand growth Bargaining power
slows as market
of distributors
saturation Distribution
approaches increases
channels
consolidate
Changes
Changesinin the
the Population
Population of
of Firms
Firmsover
overthe
the
Industry
IndustryLife
LifeCycle:
Cycle:USUSAuto
Auto Industry
Industry1885-1961
1885-1961
250
200
150
No. of firms
100
50
0
1895 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955
Roebuck
Established
Industry
e mul ov s el a S
Emerging Industry
Time
The Industry Life Cycle as an S curve
Performance
Maturity
Discontinuity
Takeoff
Ferment
Time
The S-curve Maps Major Transitions
Maturity
Performance
Discontinuity
Takeoff
Ferment
Time
RESOURCES,
CAPABILITIES, AND
CORE COMPETENCES
Shifting
Shifting the
the Focus
Focus of
of Strategy
StrategyAnalysis:
Analysis:
From
From the
the External
External to
to the
the Internal
Internal
Environment
Environment
The The
Firm- Environment-
Strategy Strategy
Interface Interface
Rationale for the Resource-based
Approach to Strategy
INDUSTRY KEY
COMPETITIVE STRATEGY SUCCESS FACTORS
ADVANTAGE
ORGANIZATIONAL
CAPABILITIES
RESOURCES
TANGIBLE INTANGIBLE HUMAN
•Financial •Skills/know-
•Physical •Technology how
•Reputation •Capacity for
•Culture communication
& collaboration
•Motivation
Appraising Resources
RESOURCE
CHARACTERISTICS INDICATORS
Human
Training, experience, adaptability, Employee qualifications,
Resources
commitment and loyalty of employees pay rates, turnover.
The World’s Most Valuable Brands, 2006
Rank Company
Brand Rank Company Brand
value value
($bn.) ($bn.)
Defining
Defining Organizational
Organizational Capabilities
Capabilities
PROCUREMENT
PRIMARY
ACTIVITI
ES
The Rent-Earning Potential
of Resources and Capabilities
Durability
THE PROFIT
EARNING POTENTIAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE Transferability
OF A RESOURCE OR COMPETITIVE
CAPABILITY ADVANTAGE Replicability
Property rights
Relative
APPROPRIABILITY bargaining power
Embeddedness
Assessing
AssessingaaCompanies
CompaniesResources
Resources
and
and Capabilities:
Capabilities: The
TheCase
Caseof
of VW
VW
Importan VW’s VW’s
RESOURCES ce Relative
CAPABILITIES Importance
Relative
Strength Strength
C1. Product
R1. Finance 6 4 development
9 4
C8. Government
4 8
relations
Appraising VW’s Resources and Capabilities
(Hypothetical only)
10 Key Strengths
Superfluous Strengths
C3
C8 R3
Relative Strength
C4
C2
5 R2 R5
R1 R4 C1
C6 C7
C5
1)Acquire
1)Acquireand
anddevelop
developthe
theunderlying
underlyingresources.
resources.Especially
Especially
human
humanresources
resources
--Externally
--Externally(hiring)
(hiring)
--Internally
--Internallythrough
throughdeveloping
developingindividual
individualskills
skills
2)Acquire/access
2)Acquire/accesscapabilities
capabilitiesexternally
externallythrough
throughacquisition
acquisitionoror
alliance
alliance
3)Greenfield
3)Greenfielddevelopment
developmentof ofcapabilities
capabilitiesin
inseparate
separate
organizational
organizationalunit
unit(IBM
(IBM&&the
thePC,
PC,Xerox
Xerox&&PARC,
PARC,GMGM&&Saturn)
Saturn)
4)Build
4)Buildteam-based
team-basedcapabilities
capabilitiesthrough
throughtraining
trainingand
andteam
team
development
development(i.e.
(i.e.develop
developorganizational
organizationalroutines)
routines)
5)Align
5)Alignstructure
structure&&systems
systemswithwithrequired
requiredcapabilities
capabilities
6)Change
6)Changemanagement
managementto
totransform
transformvalues
valuesand
andbehaviors
behaviors(GE,
(GE,
BP)
BP)
7)Product
7)Productsequencing
sequencing(Intel
(Intel, ,Sony,
Sony,Hyundai)
Hyundai)
8)Knowledge
8)KnowledgeManagement
Management(systematic
(systematicapproaches
approachesto
toacquiring,
acquiring,
storing,
storing,replicating,
replicating,and
andaccessing
accessingknowledge)
knowledge)
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE AND THE
SCOPE OF THE FIRM
From Business Strategy to Corporate
Strategy: The Scope of the Firm
VerticalProduct Geographical
Scope Scope Scope
V
1
[A] Single
Integrated V
P P P C C C
2
Firm 1 2 3 1 2 3
V
[B] Several 3V
P P P C C C
Specialized 1
V 1 2 3 1 2 3
Firms linked 2
by Markets V
3
In situation [A] the business units are integrated within a single firm.
In situation [B] the business units are independent firms linked by markets.
Are the administrative costs of the integrated firm less than the transaction
costs of markets?
Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope
INDUSTRY
ATTRACTIVENESS
RATE OF PROFIT
> COST OF CAPITAL
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE
70
60
Single business
50
40 Dominant
business
30 Related business
20
Unrelated
10 business
0
1950 1960 1970 1983 1993
Motives for Diversification
2. The Cost of Entry Test: the cost of entry must not capitalize
all future profits.
Do the different stages have similar Greater the similarity, the
optimal scales of operation? more attractive is VI
Are the two stages strategically Greater the strategic
similar? similarity ---the more
attractive is VI
How great the need for entrepreneurship Greater the need, the greater
Canning of
Iron ore Steel Steel strip Can food, drink,
mining production production making oil, etc.
VERTICAL
VERTICAL INTEGRATI
INTEGRATI ON,
ON AND
MARKET
MARKET CONTRACT
MARKET CONTRA S
CONTRA CTS
CTS
Trading Global
Industries Industries
--aerospace --automobiles
--military hardware --oil
International Trade
Domestic Multidomestic
Industries Industries
--railroads
--laundries/dry cleaning --retail banking
--hairdressing --hotels
LO W
--milk --consulting
COMPETITION
• Increased intensity of competition
PROFITABILITY
• Other things remaining equal, internationalization tends to
reduce an industry’s margins & rate of return on capital
Competitive Advantage within an International
Context: The Basic Framework
FIRM RESOURCES
THE INDUSTRY
& CAPABILITIES
-- Financial resources
ENVIRONMENT
-- Physical resources Key Success Factors
-- Technology
-- Reputation
-- Functional capabilities
-- General management COMPETITIVE
capabilities ADVANTAGE
FACTOR CONDITIONS
RELATING AND
DEMAND SUPPORTING
CONDITIONS INDUSTRIES
STRATEGY, STRUCTURE,
AND RIVALRY
–
– National resource conditions: What are the major
resources which the product requires? Where are
these available at low cost?
Note:
1 = production of fiber (natural & synthetic) 2 = production of spun yarn
3 = production of textiles 4 = production of clothing
Determining
Determining the
theOptimal
Optimal Location
Location
of
ofValue
ValueChain
ChainActivities
Activities
Where is the optimal location
of X in terms of the cost and
The optimal location availability of inputs?
of activity X considered
independently What government incentives/ penalties
affect the location decision?
What internal
WHERE TO LOCATE resources and capabilities does the firm
ACTIVITY X? possess in particular locations?
• Benefits:
--Combining resources and capabilities of different
companies
--Learning from one another
--Reducing time-to-market for innovations
--Risk sharing
• Problems:
--Management differences between the two partners. Conflict
most likely where the partners are also competitors.
• Benefits are seldom shared equally. Distribution of benefits
determined by:
– Strategic intent of the partners- which partner has the
clearer vision of the purpose of the alliance?
– Appropriability of the contribution-- which partner’s
resources and capabilities can more easily be captured
by the other?
– Absorptive capacity of the company-- which partner is the
more receptive learner?
General
General Motors’
Motors’Alliances
Allianceswith
with Competitors
Competitors
SAAB ).
0 0 0-5 logy
AVTOVAZ n e d (2 techno FIAT
Ru ow on ents
s si 50% 20%orationmpon
an la b co
JV
t op
owned Col and
SUZUKI rod
10% uc e
ow n c ar
e d. s
C o-
pr od 20% owned; join
uctio
n
GM t production
FUJI
JV
duction 60% to p
Co-pro rod
ISUZU 49% owned. owned u ce
c ar
s in
40% investment IBC Vehicles Ch
50 prod
i na
.9 uc
Ltd. (U.K.)
% ti
50%
SAIC
ow on
owned
n e co
(Makes vans in UK)
d; lla
t e bo
New United Motor
ch ra
ni t i o
Manufacturing
ca n
TOYOTA
l&
50% owned Inc. (NUMMI)
(Makes cars in US) DAEWOO
Multinational Strategies:
Globalization vs. National Differentiation
•GLOBALIZATION
•GLOBALIZATION??
--Something
--Somethingto tododowith
withincreasing
increasinginterdependence
interdependence
between
between countries.
countries.
•GLOBAL
•GLOBALSTRATEGY
STRATEGY
--At
--Atsimplest
simplestlevel:
level: Treating
Treatingthe
theworld
worldas
asaasingle
single
market
market
E.g.
E.g.Japanese
Japanesecompanies
companiesduring
duringthe
the1970s
1970s&&1980s,
1980s,
(YKK,
(YKK,Honda)
Honda) standard
standardproducts,
products,developed
developed&&
manfactured
manfacturedwithin
withinJapan;
Japan;distributed
distributed&&marketed
marketed
worldwide
worldwide
--At
--Atmore
moresophisticated
sophisticatedlevel:level: Strategy
Strategythat
that
recognizes
recognizes
and
andexploits
exploitslinkages
linkagesbetween
betweencountries
countries(e.g.
(e.g.
exploits
exploits
global
globalscale,
scale,national
nationalresource
resourcedifferences,
differences,
strategic
strategic
World as World as inter- World as
separate
single mkt.competition)
competition) related mkts.
national mkts.
Forces
Forcesfor
for globalization
globalization Forces
Forcesforforlocalization
localization/ /national
national
differentiation
differentiation
MARKET
MARKETDRIVERS
DRIVERS
--Common
--Commoncustomer
customerneeds
needs MARKET
MARKETDRIVERS
DRIVERS
--Global customers
--Global customers --Different
--Differentlanguages
languages
--Cross-border
--Cross-bordernetwork
networkeffects --Different
effects --Differentcustomer
customerpreferences
preferences
--Cultural differences
--Cultural differences
COST
COST DRIVERS
DRIVERS COST
COSTDRIVERS
DRIVERS
--Global
--Globalscale
scaleeconomies
economies --Transportation
--Transportationcosts
costs
--Differences
--Differencesin
innational
national --Transaction
--Transactioncosts
costs
resource
resourceavailability
availability --Economic
--Economic&&political
politicalrisk
risk
--Learning
--Learning --Speed
--Speedof ofresponse
response
GOVERNMENT
GOVERNMENTDRIVERS DRIVERS
COMPETITIVE
COMPETITIVEDRIVERS
DRIVERS --Barriers
--Barrierstototrade
trade&&inward
inwardinv.
inv.
--Potential
--Potentialfor
forstrategic
strategic --Regulations
--Regulations
competition
competition (e.g.
(e.g.cross-
cross-
subsidization)
subsidization)
Jet engines
Autos
Benefits
of Consumer
global electronics Telecom
integration equipment
Steel Investment
banking
Cement Online C2C auctions Restaurant
Retail chains
Beer banking
Dry Auto Funeral
cleaning repair services
Jet engines
Autos
Benefits
of Consumer
global electronics Telecom
integration equipment
Investment
banking
Retail
Cement banking
Auto Funeral
repair services
a Ka
o Erickson
integration
integration
global
global
Philips P&G
General Electric Unilever
ITT
local responsiveness local responsiveness local responsiveness
- Global industry - Substantial national - Requires both global
- Matsushita the most differentiation, few global integration and national
successful scale economies differentiation.
- Philips the survivor - Kao has limited success - NEC only partially
- GE sold out outside Japan successful -
Unilever and P&G most - ITT sold out successful
- Ericsson most
successful
Reconciling Global Integration with National
Differentiation: The Transnational Corporation