NAIAX Information Memorandum 2012 - Final - July 31 2012
NAIAX Information Memorandum 2012 - Final - July 31 2012
NAIAX Information Memorandum 2012 - Final - July 31 2012
July 2012
Transaction Advisors
July 2012
DISCLAIMER
This Information Memorandum (IM) has been prepared by the Development Bank of the Philippines (DBP) and the International Finance Corporation (IFC) on behalf of their client, the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH), in line with their mandate as Transaction Advisors to the DPWH in the development, structuring and tendering of the NAIA Expressway Project as a Solicited Transaction under the Philippine Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Law (or RA 6957 as amended by RA 7718). This IM does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information that a prospective participant may consider material or desirable in making its decision to participate in the tender. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made, or responsibility of any kind is or will be accepted by the DBP, IFC, the DPWH, or the Republic of the Philippines (ROP) or any of its agencies or advisors, with respect to the accuracy and completeness of this information memorandum. The DPWH or the DBP/IFC may amend or replace any of the information contained in this booklet at any time, without giving any prior notice or providing any reason. In furnishing this IM, the DBP, IFC, the DPWH, or the ROP or any of its agencies undertakes no obligation to provide recipients with access to any additional information, or to update, or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent in this IM or any other information made available in connection with the Project. Additional information shall be provided at appropriate times during the formal tender process. No person has been authorized to give any information or make any representation not contained in this IM and, if given or made, any such information or representation may not be relied upon as having been authorized by DBP, IFC, the DPWH, or the ROP or any of its agencies. THIS MEMORANDUM DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A SOLICITATION OF BIDS FOR ANY ASPECT OF THE NAIA EXPRESSWAY PROJECT. SOLICITATIONS OF BIDS AND BIDDING GUIDELINES WILL BE DISTRIBUTED SEPARATELY.
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ACRONYMS
BOT BTO CED DBP DED DENR DOF DPWH DTI EO ICC IFC IRR ITB JICA NAIA NEDA PAGCOR PPP RA RFP ROP ROW SBAC TCA TOC TRB VOT Build-Operate-Transfer Build-Transfer-Operate Conceptual Engineering Design Development Bank of the Philippines Detailed Engineering Design Department of Environment and Natural Resources Department of Finance Department of Public Works and Highways Department of Trade and Industry Executive Order Investment Coordination Committee International Finance Corporation Implementing Rules and Regulations Instructions to Bidders Japan International Cooperation Agency Ninoy Aquino International Airport National Economic and Development Authority Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corporation Public-Private Partnership Republic Act Request for Proposals Republic of the Philippines Right-of-Way DPWH Special Pre-Qualification, Bids and Awards Committee Toll Concession Agreement Toll Operation Certificate Toll Regulatory Board Value-of-Time
UNITS
Km AADT Kilometer Average annual daily traffic
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CONTENTS
I. II. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 3 Project Description .......................................................................................................... 4 A. Type of Toll System ............................................................................................. 8 B. Traffic Management ............................................................................................. 9 C. Project Standards and Specifications................................................................. 10 Minimum Performance Standards and Specifications ........................................ 10 Scope of Design ................................................................................................ 11 Outputs of the Detailed Engineering Design by the Concessionaire .................. 11 D. Construction Cost .............................................................................................. 12 Project Implementing Agency ........................................................................................ 13 Traffic Analysis .............................................................................................................. 15 Right-of-Way and Resettlement .................................................................................... 20 A. Right-of-Way (ROW) Acquisition........................................................................ 20 B. Resettlement of Informal Settlers and the Resettlement Action Plan ................. 20 Concession Structure .................................................................................................... 21 A. Legal Framework for Concession ...................................................................... 21 B. Project Structure ................................................................................................ 21 Key Commercial Features of the Draft TCA .................................................................. 22 Procurement Process .................................................................................................... 25 A. Legal Basis of Procurement ............................................................................... 25 B. Outline of the Bidding Process ........................................................................... 25 Pre-Qualification ................................................................................................ 25 Preparation of Bid Proposals ............................................................................. 25 Pre-Bid Conference ........................................................................................... 26 Submission of Bid Proposals ............................................................................. 26 Bid Evaluation and Post Qualification ................................................................ 26 Awarding of Bidder and Issuance of Notice of Award ......................................... 27 Signing of Concession Agreement ..................................................................... 27 C. Information Available to Bidders ........................................................................ 27 Investment Framework .................................................................................................. 28 A. Taxation............................................................................................................. 28 Corporate Tax.................................................................................................... 28 Income Tax ........................................................................................................ 29 Value-Added Tax (VAT) ..................................................................................... 29 Tax Treaties....................................................................................................... 30 Tax Incentives ................................................................................................... 31 Local Tax ........................................................................................................... 31 B. Foreign Exchange.............................................................................................. 32 C. Foreign Ownership and Management ................................................................ 33 Regulatory Framework .................................................................................................. 34 A. National Economic and Development Authority ................................................. 34 B. Toll Regulatory Board ........................................................................................ 34 The Philippine Toll Road System................................................................................... 35 Ninoy Aquino International Airport ................................................................................. 39 PAGCOR Entertainment City ........................................................................................ 42 Indicative Timetable ...................................................................................................... 44
III. IV. V.
VI.
VII. VIII.
IX.
X.
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: NAIA Expressway Project Description ............................................................................... 7 Table 2: Vehicle Class and Toll Rate Multiplier ............................................................................... 9 Table 3: Number of Traffic Lanes of At-Grade Roads ..................................................................... 9 Table 4: Risk Allocation Matrix ...................................................................................................... 24 Table 5: Corporate Income Taxation ............................................................................................. 28 Table 6: Individual Taxation .......................................................................................................... 29 Table 7: Effective Philippine Tax Treaties ..................................................................................... 30 Table 8: Amount of Tax Per Annum .............................................................................................. 32 Table 9: Other Transport Costs in Manila...................................................................................... 35 Table 10: Philippine Toll Road System Toll Rate (2011 Pesos per Km) ........................................ 36 Table 11: High Standard Highway Master Plan 200km Sphere of Metro Manila ......................... 38 Table 12: Passenger Traffic at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (1994-2010) ...................... 39 Table 13: Passengers at NAIA, DMIA and the Region (2002-2010) .............................................. 41
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: NAIA Expressway Road Alignment .................................................................................. 5 Figure 2: At-Grade Entertainment City Works Road General Layout Plan....................................... 6 Figure 3: Traffic Volumes on Roads Surrounding NAIA ................................................................ 16 Figure 4: Hourly Variation of Traffic In NAIA Expressway Study Area (Weekdays) ....................... 17 Figure 5: Traffic Composition at the NAIA Terminal Main Gates ................................................... 18 Figure 6: Travel Speed from Roxas Blvd. to Skyway Expressway (From 5 to 6pm) ...................... 19 Figure 7: High Standard Highway Master Plan ............................................................................. 37 Figure 8: Total A/D Passengers at NAIA (1994-2010) ................................................................... 40 Figure 9: Aerial Shot of Entertainment City ................................................................................... 43
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Robust Legal and Regulatory Framework The Philippine Constitution recognizes the critical role of the private sector as the governments main partner in development. This recognition was further reinforced with the landmark passage of Republic Act No. 6957, otherwise known as the Philippine BuildOperate-Transfer (BOT) Law in 1990, which is the first of its kind in Asia, that declared the indispensable role of the private sector as the main engine for national growth and development and provided a stable framework for private sector involvement in the financing, construction, operation and maintenance of infrastructure and development projects. The BOT Law opened to private sector participation various infrastructure sectors and defined contractual arrangements under which such participation may be undertaken. The BOT Law was amended in 1994, further expanding the allowed contractual variants, strengthening the process for government approvals, allowing private sector initiatives through the unsolicited track and prescribing additional incentivizes for projects undertaken through this legal framework. To date, over US$45 billion investments have been mobilized under the BOT Law covering some 70 infrastructure projects. Government Support The ROP, represented by DPWH, will be the direct counterparty in the Toll Concession Agreement (TCA) to be implemented under the Philippine BOT Law (Republic Act (RA) 6957 as amended by RA 7718).
July 2012
The Government will provide the Right-of-Way (ROW) required for the Project by a preagreed timeline, which will be specified in the TCA. The Government is facilitating the arrangement of debt financing on concessional terms from a reputable financing institution of up to Php6.5 billion. This debt facility the Infrastructure Support Facility (ISF) will be made available to the winning bidder. The terms of this debt facility will be circulated to Pre-Qualified Bidders separately once these are firmed up and finalized. The amount to be availed under the ISF shall be the criteria for the financial proposal.
Competitive and transparent pre-qualification and bidding process The Project will be procured strictly following the rules and procedures of the BOT Law and its Implementing Rules and Regulations, which adhere to the principles of competition, transparency, and a leveled playing field, and will therefore be fair and open to all interested parties. The bid process is expected to take approximately seven (7) months from the publication of the Invitation to Pre-Qualify to Bid to the signing of the Toll Concession Agreement. Prospective Bidders are given around three (3) months from the Notice of Pre-Qualification to the Bid Submission Date to provide them sufficient time to conduct due diligence, review and comment on the transaction documents, and meet with DPWH representatives. A data room will be set up by DPWH to aid the conduct of such due diligence.
Pre-defined requirement and process for TOC issuance, and a toll rate structure that promotes bankability The complete requirements and process for the issuance of the Toll Operation Certificate (TOC) by the Toll Regulatory Board (TRB) will be provided to bidders and incorporated in the TCA. Upon compliance with these requirements, DPWH will ensure the issuance by the TRB of the TOC to the Concessionaire or its duly appointed Facility Operator within a prescribed period to be stipulated in the TCA. The Project will have a toll rate structure that is affordable and competitive, with levels set that are comparable with those charged in existing toll roads serving Metro Manila. A toll adjustment formula will be prescribed in the TCA and its application over the concession period will be guaranteed by the DPWH. Environment and Social Considerations The project will comply with environmental standards and safeguards required by local laws as well as international standards required by multilateral and bilateral financing institutions.
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The NAIA Expressway is composed of two phases. Construction of Phase I of the NAIA Expressway and its related roads project started in 2003 and was completed in 2010. The NAIA Expressway Phase I is a fully elevated expressway that runs from the Metro Manila Skyway to Sales Road near NAIA Terminal 3 with on and down ramps beside the Resorts World complex. In order to ensure the safety and interest of the public, an Interim Operation Agreement covering Phase I was entered into by the DPWH, the TRB and the Skyway O&M Corporation (SOMCO) last 28 October 2011. The Interim Operation Agreement shall expire the day after the issuance by the TRB of the Toll Operation Certificate for the whole NAIA Expressway (Phase I and II).
July 2012
The Project is composed of the following components: Phase I Adjustment Works: Adjustments to the 0.6 km Phase I viaduct, starting from Skyway Stage 1 at km 0+810 to km 1+398.27 including ramps, to achieve operations and maintenance standards comparable with standards to be set for Phase II that would enable seamless operations. Phase II Works: Design and construction of approximately 4.83 km 4-lane viaduct extension from the existing Phase I near NAIA Terminal 3 to Roxas Boulevard and Diosdado Macapagal Boulevard, over the existing roads of Sales Road, Andrews Avenue, Domestic Airport Road and NAIA Road. Design and construction of Minimum of 6 on and 6 off ramps to Terminals 1, 2 and 3 and other strategic locations. Design and construction of two connection ramps to link Roxas Boulevard, Macapagal Boulevard and Entertainment City on-off ramps to and from Terminals 1 and 2 on-off ramps. Design, construction and provision of toll plazas, plus additional toll operating equipment and safety facilities for the DPWH-constructed Phase I to standards compatible with those of Phase II.
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Reconstruction and widening of affected at-grade public roads (Sales Road, Andrews Ave., Domestic Airport Road, and NAIA Road) due to Phase II construction; these roads shall remain public and maintenance thereof shall be the responsibility of Government. At-Grade Entertainment City Works:
Construction of approximately 2.22 km 6 to 8-lane at-grade roads and a 300 meter 2-lane service road within the Entertainment City, and a 4-lane access road connecting New Seaside Drive to Macapagal Boulevard, based on the detailed design specifications to be provided; the maintenance and operations of this section shall be turned over to the Government upon completion.
Source: Entertainment City Manila, Master Development Plan Updating, Edwin E. Aguiling + Associates
July 2012
Operation and Maintenance of the entire NAIA Expressway (Phase I and Phase II, but not including the At-Grade Entertainment City Works) as a tolled expressway.
Phase I (existing, for adjustments) Phase II - Main Expressway, four-lane - 12 Ramps, 6.34 km single-lane equivalent to four-lane Total Length (Phase I & II) No. of Lanes (Phase 1 & II) Ramps At-Grade Entertainment City Works - New Seaside Drive - Bay Boulevard - access road - service road Total Length (At-Grade Works) No. of Lanes (At-Grade Works) - New Seaside Drive - Bay Boulevard - access road - service road Concession period Construction period Preparation of the Detailed Engineering Design
0.6 km 4.83 kms 2.32 kms 7.75 kms 4 lanes (2-lane x 2-direction); 1 lane for ramps 6 on-ramps, 6 off-ramps, 2 connection ramps 0.72 kms 1.0km 0.5km 0.3km 2.52 kms 6 lanes (3-lane x 2-direction) 8 lanes (4-lane x 2-direction) 4 lanes (2-lane x 2-direction) 2 lanes (1-lane x 2-direction) 30 years Approximately 2 years Approximately 10 months; partial delivery and approval allowed At-Grade Entertainment City Works turnover by Dec.2013; Partial operations by April 2015 (Terminals 1 and 2 to/from Roxas Blvd. / Macapagal Blvd. / Entertainment City); Full operations by 2016
The six new on-ramps, six new off-ramps and one existing off-ramp shall be provided as follows: One on-ramp for NAIA Terminal 3 exit traffic and one existing off-ramp from Skyway for access to NAIA Terminal 3; One off-ramp for traffic from Paranaque bound for Terminal 3;
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One on-ramp along Andrews Ave. to collect traffic from NAIA Terminal 3 and Andrews Ave; One off-ramp access to NAIA Terminal 1; One off-ramp access to NAIA Terminal 2; One on-ramp to collect traffic from NAIA Terminal 1 and Terminal 2; One on-ramp and one off-ramp from/to Roxas Boulevard towards the Manila-Cavite Coastal Expressway; One on-ramp and one off-ramp at Macapagal Boulevard towards Manila; and One on-ramp and one off-ramp at Entertainment City.
Two connection ramps will also be constructed to link Roxas Boulevard, Macapagal Boulevard and Entertainment City on-off ramps to and from Terminals 1 and 2 on-off ramps. Furthermore, one existing on-ramp (entry to the Skyway) of Phase I should be removed. Should the Concessionaire propose to provide any additional on and off ramps, aside for the minimum of twelve ramps in the abovementioned locations, the Concessionaire shall bear the costs of construction, operation and maintenance thereof, as well as the cost of the additional right-of-way needed. The number of traffic lanes of the main expressway shall be four (4) lanes (2-lane x 2directions) meanwhile the number of traffic lanes of all ramps shall be one (1). Upon issuance of the Toll Operation Certificate for the NAIA Expressway, the TRB may then require the Concessionaire to enter into interconnection agreements with the Skyway operator for connection with the Skyway and with the Cavite Expressway operator for connection with the Cavite Expressway. These agreements are necessary for the seamless integration of these expressway systems.
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Vehicle Class Class I: Class II: Light Vehicles - Car, Jeep, Passenger Van/ Pickup, Taxi, Mega-Taxi, Jeepney, Mini-Bus Medium Weight Vehicles - Aircon& Non Aircon Bus, Goods Van/Pickup, 2-Axle Truck, Dump Truck, Tanker, Mixer
2.0x
Class III: Heavy Vehicles Rigid Truck with 3 or more Axles, Trailer (Articulated)
3.0x
Currently, to ensure the proper upkeep of NAIA Expressway Phase I, TRB has granted an Interim Operations Agreement to SOMCO to operate and maintain the facility, including the collection of tolls (Php20/vehicle) until the issuance of the Toll Operation Certificate for the NAIA Expressway by the TRB to the Concessionare.
B. TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT
To ensure the continuous use of the existing roads and to minimize the impact of traffic during the construction of NAIA Expressway on traffic, during construction, at-grade roads will be required to be opened at all time with the following number of operable lanes:
TABLE 3: Number of Traffic Lanes of At-Grade Roads At-grade Road Existing No. of Traffic Lanes East Bound Sales Road West Bound Andrews Avenue (Sales Ave Roundabout) Andrews Avenue (Roundabout Domestic Rd) Domestic Road South Bound NAIA (MIA) Road (Domestic Rd Quirino Ave) NAIA (MIA) Road (Quirino Ave Roxas Blvd) East Bound West Bound East Bound West Bound 3 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 East Bound West Bound East Bound West Bound North Bound 3 (Under off-ramp) 2 (Under off-ramp) 3-4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3-4 3 3 3 3 3 (Before on-ramp) 2 (After on-ramp) No. of Traffic Lanes During Construction 2 No. of Traffic Lanes After Construction 3
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A detailed traffic management plan will be required as part of the Technical Proposal to be submitted by the Bidders for the evaluation and approval of DPWH.
Number of Lanes For the main expressway, the number of traffic lanes shall be four (4). The number of traffic lanes of each ramp shall be at least one (1). For the At-Grade Entertainment City Works, the following shall be the number of traffic lanes: six-lane New Seaside Drive eight-lane Bay Boulevard four-lane access road two-lane service road
Vertical Clearance The desirable vertical clearance for the expressway and at-grade roads shall be 5.00 m. The absolute minimum vertical clearance is 4.88 m applicable to the section controlled by the NAIA Navigational Height Limitations.
NAIA Navigational Height Limitations The NAIA Expressway Project shall comply with the Maximum Allowable Top Elevation (MATE) or Height Limitation at critical points of the Project stated in the letter dated May 30, 2011 of the Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines (CAAP).
Basic Right-of-Way
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The Maps of the Basic Right of Way, to be delivered by the DPWH, corresponding to the Minimum Configuration described above are given in the MPSS. The Concessionaire may locate the Expressway center line within the Basic Right of Way.
Environmental Compliance Certificate (ECC) Requirements The requirements of the ECC/s for the Project shall be complied with. The Environmental Management Bureau (EMB), DENR, in a letter dated 17 June 2011, informed the DPWH that the ECC, which covers both Phases I and II, is still valid. The ECC for the at-grade roads within Entertainment City was issued on [*] which also covers other developments within Entertainment City.
Indicative Minimum Requirements for Phase I Adjustments Works These consist of the replacement of longitudinal expansion joints between the Skyway and Phase I, replacement of expansion joints between spans of Phase I, repair of 10% of the pavement, and miscellaneous repairs.
SCOPE OF DESIGN
The Concessionaire shall prepare the Detailed Engineering Design (DED) covering the construction of the Phase II Works, and the Phase I Adjustment Works, and submit it for review and certification by the Independent Consultant. The Concessionaire shall prepare the DED (a) based on its Conceptual Engineering Design (CED) submitted in the Technical Proposal, and (b) in accordance with the MPSS. The certified DED, together with the MPSS for Construction, shall govern the Phase I Construction and the Phase I Adjustment Works.
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DPWH NAIA Expressway Project: Information Memorandum d) Plans, elevations, and typical cross-sections.
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e) Supporting data for a), b), and c) above, including topographic, geotechnical, and hydrologic, geometric and pavement design reports, structural analysis and calculations, detailed specifications of materials, safety audit, and value engineering. f) Updated/detailed Construction Plan, including Schedule, including milestones, and Scurve, and Traffic Management Plan.
D. CONSTRUCTION COST
The construction cost was estimated based on several factors, as follows: a) Unit price was used for similar ROP and BOT projects implemented or tendered from 2010-2011; and b) Procedures and composition for the derivation of base construction cost, used in similar projects. The civil works cost was divided into four components: a) General requirement such as facilities for the engineer, construction health & safety requirements, activities relating to mobilisation and demobilization, implementation of environmental monitoring and traffic management plans during construction b) Expressway Ramp and Viaduct; c) Construction of At-Grade Entertainment City Works; and d) Toll Plaza. The estimated civil works cost for NAIA Expressway is approximately Php11 billion. This does not include any contingencies or consultancy costs nor does it include costs related to financing or insurance.
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g) Maintain or cause to be maintained all highways, flood control, and other public works throughout the country except those that are the responsibility of other agencies as directed by the President of the Philippines or as provided by law; h) Provide an integrated planning for highways, flood control and water resource development systems, and other public works; i) Classify road and highways into national, regional, provincial, city, municipal, and barangay roads and highways, based on objective criteria it shall adopt; provide or authorize the conversion of roads and highways from one category to another; Delegate, to any agency it determines to have the adequate technical capability, any of the foregoing powers and functions; and,
j)
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In addition to its charter, EO 686, which was issued in 2007, provides that the DPWH also has the powers to: a. Determine the kind, type and nature of roads and highways; b. Enter into construction, operation and maintenance contracts for roads and highways; and, c. Condemn private property for roads and highways.
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Traffic volumes (expressed as AADT) on roads surrounding NAIA are discussed below: As seen in the Figure below, there is a high number of vehicles in the corridor where the future expressway will run 48,373 on Sales Road, 65,229 on Andrews Avenue, 78,405 on NAIA Road (Seaside Drive); Recorded traffic at NAIA Expressway (Phase I) in 2010 is 18,332 vehicles in both directions. This number increases to 36,391 at beginning of 2011 with 60% of traffic moving in the direction of the Skyway; Most of these vehicles entering Skyway are exiting at the Makati exits of Skyway (Magallanes exit and Osmena exit). At present, use of the entire stretch of NAIA Expressway Phase I is free of charge as well as use of the portion of the Skyway from NAIA Expressway to the Skyway Makati exits; The number of vehicles recorded at the main entrance of terminals of the airport is also significant at 16,578 a day at Terminal 1, 16,839 at Terminal 2 and 11,375 at Terminal 3. Traffic recorded at the gate of the Cargo Terminal is 1,149 vehicles a day; and Observed traffic volume at the major corridors in vicinity of the airport is also high at 95,669 in Roxas Boulevard and 95,675 in EDSA.
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95,675 82,705
95,669 85,890
33,895 31,609 49,664 64,698 879 11,375 61,069 65,229 18,332 44,958 51,284 16,856 36,391 (4) 41,899 48,373 44,476
71,445
(1)
78,405 90,485 13,071 12,985 (2) 96,883 (3) 69,174 65,876 61,652 16,839 3,668 16,578 2,049 1,149 4,542 61,579 44,476
LEGEND April 2011 (JICA Study Team) Feb. 2010 (ERIA) Intersection Count Feb. 2010 (ERIA) Jan. 2011 (JICA)
Source: Review and Update of Feasibility Study of NAIAX Phase II Final Report 2011_06 Chapter 4
Observations of hourly variation of traffic are as follows: Traffic accessing the terminals of the NAIA has peak period at noon time (11:00AM to 3:00PM) and dramatically decreases around midnight (1:00AM to 3:00AM). The highest number of vehicles recorded in one hour is 1,283 at Terminal 2. There is no observed difference of traffic characteristics between weekday and weekend day. The peak hours of traffic on Sales Road are between 8:00AM and 11:00AM during the weekday. On weekend days however there is also a high volume of vehicles from 5:00PM onwards moving in the direction of Andrews Avenue. At Andrews Avenue (near Aurora Road), both on weekday and weekend day, there is a constant high volume of vehicles from 6:00AM to 7:00PM, with each direction having more than 1000 vehicles per hour. The highest recorded number of vehicles in an hour is 2,119 on a weekday and 2,862 on the weekend. Traffic volume at Andrews Avenue near Domestic Road is also very high and the number of vehicles recorded constantly exceeded 1,000 vehicles an hour from 6:00AM to 9:00PM on weekdays. On weekend days however, the traffic characteristics change and there is a very high peak of traffic at noon time in the direction of Roxas Boulevard, and then again at 9:00PM to 10:00PM in the same direction. This peak hour may be correlated with airline flight schedules.
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DPWH NAIA Expressway Project: Information Memorandum The highest traffic volume is observed on the NAIA Road (Seaside Drive) where both weekday and weekend day have the same traffic characteristics. The flow in the direction of coastal road is higher than the opposite direction and traffic volumes substantially decrease from 6:00PM onwards. Peak hours of traffic however are different, with peak hours on weekday from 11:00AM to 5:00PM and on the weekend from 9:00AM to 5:00PM.
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The following figures show observed traffic condition at NAIA Expressway study area.
FIGURE 4: Hourly Variation of Traffic In NAIA Expressway Study Area (Weekdays) AIRPORT TERMINALS
Terminal 1 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Cargo Terminal Terminal 2 Domestic Terminal 3
SALES ROAD
1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 -
6-7AM
7-8AM
8-9AM
1-2PM
2-3PM
3-4PM
4-5PM
5-6PM
6-7PM
7-8PM
9-10PM
9-10AM
10-11AM
11-12AM
12-1PM
8-9PM
6-7AM 7-8AM 8-9AM 9-10AM 10-11AM 11-12AM 12-1PM 1-2PM 2-3PM 3-4PM 4-5PM 5-6PM 6-7PM 7-8PM 8-9PM 9-10PM 10-11PM 11-12PM 12-1AM 1-2AM 2-3AM 3-4AM 4-5AM 5-6AM
6-7AM 7-8AM 8-9AM 9-10AM 10-11AM 11-12AM 12-1PM 1-2PM 2-3PM 3-4PM 4-5PM 5-6PM 6-7PM 7-8PM 8-9PM 9-10PM 10-11PM 11-12PM 12-1AM 1-2AM 2-3AM 3-4AM 4-5AM 5-6AM
12-1PM 1-2PM
6-7AM
7-8AM 8-9AM
2-3PM 3-4PM
Source: "Review and Update of Feasibility Study of NAIAX Phase II Final Report 2011_06 Chapter 4
6-7AM 7-8AM 8-9AM 9-10AM 10-11AM 11-12AM 12-1PM 1-2PM 2-3PM 3-4PM 4-5PM 5-6PM 6-7PM 7-8PM 8-9PM 9-10PM 10-11PM 11-12PM 12-1AM 1-2AM 2-3AM 3-4AM 4-5AM 5-6AM
7-8PM 8-9PM
9-10PM
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Regarding vehicle composition, most of the vehicles recorded at the main gates of airport terminals are private cars. For example: At Terminal 1, 99% are cars and the remaining 1% are buses. At Terminal 2, share of cars is 86%; jeepneys, 7%; buses at 4%; and trucks, 3%. At Domestic Airport, 99% of the traffic is cars. At Terminal 3, share of cars is about 98% and the remaining 2% is shared by buses and trucks. At Cargo Terminal, cars share is 70% and trucks share is 30%.
Terminal 1
Terminal 2
Source: Review and Update of Feasibility Study of NAIAX Phase II Final Report 2011_06 Chapter 4
The main users of the corridor where the future NAIA Expressway will run are cars. The share of cars at Sales Road is 69%, at Andrews Avenue near Aurora Street 67%, at Andrews Avenue near Domestic Road 58%, and at NAIA Road (Seaside Drive) 66%. A travel time survey was conducted by JICA on 15 April 2011 (Friday) from 7:00AM to 9:00PM where a single run every hour was carried out to determine the most congested period. The survey shows that: The longest travel time spent in the section is around 40 minutes (5:00 PM) and the direction is from Skyway to Roxas Boulevard. This means travel speed is below 10 km/hr for the entire 5.8 km stretch. The shortest travel time is 11 minutes (12:00AM) in the direction of Roxas Boulevard to Skyway. Average travel speed is around 30 km/hr.
Terminal 3
Domestic
Cargo
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If NAIA Expressway Phase II is built the expected travel time is around 8 minutes (excluding any stop time at a toll plaza) from Roxas Boulevard to Skyway. The travel speed is about 45 km/hr for the entire 5.6 km expressway stretch.
The Figure below shows speeds in the most congested hour (5 to 6PM).
FIGURE 6: Travel Speed from Roxas Blvd. to Skyway Expressway (From 5 to 6pm)
EDSA
Roxas Boulevard
Skyway / SLEX
Terminal 3
Terminal 2 Terminal 1
Source: Review and Update of Feasibility Study of NAIAX Phase II Final Report 2011_06 Chapter 4
Road congestion can be observed on many of the existing roads in the area, and the volume of traffic has almost reached the roads theoretical capacity: Sales Street at 84%. Andrews Avenue at 91%. Domestic Road at 86%. NAIA Road at 82%. Imelda Avenue at 81%. Ninoy Aquino Road at 81%. EDSA at 100%. Roxas Boulevard at 100%.
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B. PROJECT STRUCTURE
The Project was approved to be implemented as a variant of the Build-Transfer-Operate (BTO) contractual arrangement, which is one of the PPP variants specifically authorized under the BOT Law. In a BTO scheme, the private sector party or concessionaire will be required to construct the infrastructure facility and assume construction-related risks arising from cost overruns, delays and other performance risks connected to construction. Once the facility is commissioned satisfactorily, title over the facility is transferred to the implementing agency, but the private sector party operates the facility on behalf of the implementing agency pursuant to the terms of the TCA. As a form of repayment for financing, constructing, operating and maintaining the facility, the private sector party is authorized to charge and collect tolls, fees and charges from the end users. The approved BTO variation entails the turnover and retrofitting of the existing NAIA Expressway Phase I to allow seamless operation with Phase II; and, the immediate transfer, after completion, of the ownership, operation and maintenance of the At-Grade Entertainment City Works to Government. The principal terms and conditions governing the transaction are set out in the TCA, which provides for the obligations of the DPWH and the Concessionaire in respect of the development and operation of the facility, and other mutual undertakings, covenants and conditions to be performed or fulfilled by each of the parties.
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o o o
DPWH obligations: o o o o procure and deliver in a timely manner the required ROW; subject to Concessionaire compliance with pre-defined obligations, ensure the grant of the TOC from the TRB assist the Concessionaire in securing necessary national government consents for the Project; ensure the application of the toll adjustment formula prescribed in the TCA and provide compensation in the event of disallowances of authorized computed tolls.
Refers to the land or land rights required for the Project based on the conceptual designed prepared by DPWH.
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Other major commercial points include: o o The bid parameter will be the lowest amount required for the Infrastructure Support Facility. The selection of the Independent Consultant (IC) will be done by DPWH from a shortlist of firms to be approved by the Concessionaire. The cost of the IC shall be borne equally by DPWH and the Concessionaire. There will be two (2) sets of tolls for the Expressway, one applied on the main expressway (the Full-route rate) and the other for the shorter segments between Terminal 3 and the Skyway and Terminals 1 and 2 and Roxas Boulevard/Macapagal Boulevard/Entertainment City (the Short-segment rate) Opening tolls will be set by DPWH and approved by TRB. The approved toll rate will be disclosed after Pre-Qualification. Periodic toll adjustments shall be made bi-annually and based only on a domestic inflationary index based on the following formula: TRn= TRo [(CPIn/CPIo)] where: TRn TRo CPIn CPIo o = = = = new Toll Rate as adjusted old Toll Rate as of the last adjustment Consumer Price Index for month of the new review date issued by the National Statistics Office Consumer Price Index for the month of the last review date issued by the National Statistics Office
o o
A performance regime related to efficient flow of traffic, ride quality, safety, security and cleanliness will be defined in the TCA and payment obligations will be imposed on failure to meet Key Performance Indicators. Force majeure shall be a risk that will be shared by both the Concessionaire and DPWH.
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DPWH NAIA Expressway Project: Information Memorandum Below is the risk allocation matrix for the Project.
TABLE 3: Risk Allocation Matrix Risk/Responsibility Traffic Toll & Adjustment Implementation Allocation Concessionaire DPWH Remarks No minimum traffic guarantee
July 2012
Compensation provided for disallowance of adjustment based on agreed formula Private financing; Infrastructure Support Facility: Terms and Conditions for the subordinated financing facility shall be disclosed during the Bid Process; the ISF shall be managed by a reputable Financial Institution Relief provided for domestic inflation through Toll Adjust formula Free and clear, delivered by pre-agreed timeline Performance Security for Construction posted in favor of DPWH KPIs set with corresponding penalties for non-compliance, Performance Security for Operations posted in favor of DPWH Limited events Relief provided to Concessionaire on O&M performance of obligations, procedure and mechanism for addressing impact of FM events to be provided in the TCA At pre-agreed conditions, testing & acceptance regime included in TCA
Project Financing
Concessionaire
Inflation & Foreign Exchange Basic ROW Acquisition & Delivery Design/Construction
Operation/ Maintenance
Concessionaire
Political Risks
DPWH
Force Majeure
Concessionaire
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PRE-QUALIFICATION
1. The first stage is the pre-qualification Process, which will be governed by the
Instructions to Prospective Bidders. Prospective Bidders may be partnerships, corporations or unincorporated consortiums of two or more partnerships and/or corporations. During the Pre-Qualification stage, Prospective Bidders will have to submit documents that establish that they meet the legal, technical, and financial requirements set by the DPWH to bid for the Project. 2. Prospective Bidders will be asked to apply to pre-qualify to bid by submitting their Qualification Documents on the Qualification Documents Submission Date. After reviewing the documents, the SBAC will determine which Prospective Bidders fulfill the requirements to pre-qualify, and inform all Prospective Bidders who are pre-qualified within ten (10) days of the Qualification Documents Submission Date. Only PreQualified Bidders will be invited and allowed to submit a Bid for the Project.
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Agreement between the DPWH and the Winning Bidder or the corporation to be formed by the Winning Bidder. 5. Pre-Qualified Bidders will be allowed to send any comments and inquiries on any of the Bidding Documents, including the Draft Concession Agreement and the Minimum Performance Standards and Specifications.
PRE-BID CONFERENCE
6. During the Pre-Bid Conference, Pre-Qualified Bidders will be invited to raise any questions and issues regarding the Project, the Bidding Process, and the Bidding Documents. In addition, DPWH will make arrangements for Pre-Qualified Bidders which wish to have one-on-one discussions with it on any topic relating to the Bid 7. No later than 30 days before the Bid Proposal Submission Date, the DPWH will release to Pre-Qualified Bidders the final drafts of the Concession Agreement, and if there are any changes to them, the Minimum Performance Standards and Specifications.
9. Pre-Qualified Bidders will be asked to bid for the Project by submitting their Bid Proposals on the Bid Proposal Submission Date.
See XIII. PAGCOR Entertainment City section on description of the Entertainment City Road Network Masterplan
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Proposals and evaluate them on a pass/fail basis. Bidders will be informed as to whether their Technical Proposals were passed. The SBAC will return the Financial Proposals of Prospective Bidders whose Technical Proposals did not pass. 11. Financial proposals of Bidders whose Technical Proposals were passed will be opened and evaluated. The Pre-Qualified Bidder whose Technical Proposal is passed and who submits a Bid with the highest amount of Government Payment will be subject to a postqualification process to verify the accuracy of the statements it made in its Qualification Documents and Bid Proposal. 12. Post-qualification will be done to verify and validate whether the Pre-Qualified Bidder whose Technical Proposal is passed and who submits a Bid with the highest amount of Government Payment passed all the requirements and conditions as specified in the Bidding Documents. Should the Bidder fails to meet any of the requirements or conditions, he will be post-disqualified and the SBAC will conduct the post-qualification on the Bidder with the next highest amount of Government Payment.
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CORPORATE TAX
Corporate tax is a tax to be paid by a corporation based on the amount of profit generated. Below is a table showing the various tax rates applicable:
TABLE 4: CORPORATE INCOME TAXATION
Sources
Taxable income not subject to special tax rates Interest on foreign loans Interest income derived by a domestic corporation from a depository bank under the expanded foreign currency deposit system Dividends from domestic corporations Gains on sales of shares of stock not traded in the Stock Exchange Not over PhP100,000.00 On any amount in excess of PhP100,000.00 Source: Board of Investments
N/A
20%
7.5%
N/A
5% 10%
5% 10%
A Minimum Corporate Income Tax (MCIT) was also established under the Tax Reform Act. A minimum of 2% MCIT on gross income on an annual basis is imposed on corporations whose regular corporate income tax liability is less than the MCIT beginning
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the fourth taxable year following the year they commenced business operation. Any excess of the MCIT over the normal tax will be carried forward and credited against the normal tax for the succeeding three (3) taxable years. Aside from that, there is Improperly Accumulated Earnings Tax, which is a 10% tax imposed on the improperly accumulated earnings of a corporation, except in the case of publicly held corporations, banks, and other non-bank financial intermediaries and insurance companies. When a corporation allows its earnings or profit to accumulate beyond its reasonable needs, it is assumed that the purpose is to avoid tax on stockholders, unless proven to the contrary.
INCOME TAX
Income Tax is a tax on a person's income, emoluments, profits arising from property, practice of profession, conduct of trade or business or on the pertinent items of gross income specified in the Tax Code of 1997 less the deductions and/or personal and additional exemptions, if any, authorized for such types of income, by the Tax Code or other special laws.
TABLE 5: INDIVIDUAL TAXATION
Sources
Non-resident aliens not engage in trade and business flat income tax rate Resident citizens/aliens (gainfully employed) Graduated income tax rates Source: Bureau of Internal Revenue
Rates
25% 0-35%
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TAX TREATIES
The Philippines has tax treaties with various countries like the United States, UK, Canada and Singapore, which provide for tax relief on income derived by foreign or local residents of the Philippines and the foreign country from sources within their respective territories. The tax relief includes tax exemption or entitlement to preferential tax rates on certain types of income such as interest, royalties and dividends. The business profits of a resident of another country with whom the Philippines has a tax treaty are taxable in the Philippines only if the resident has a permanent establishment in the Philippines to which the profits are attributable. As of June 2010, the Philippines have a total of 37 effective tax treaties. Following is the list of countries and their dates of effectivity:
TABLE 6: EFFECTIVE PHILIPPINE TAX TREATIES
Country
1. Australia 2. Austria 3. Bahrain 4. Bangladesh 5. Belgium 6. Brazil 7. Canada 8. China 9. Czech 10. Denmark (Renegotiated) 11. Finland 12. France 13. Germany 14. Hungary 15. India 16. Indonesia 17. Israel 18. Italy 19. Japan 20. Korea 21. Malaysia 22. Netherlands 23. New Zealand 24. Norway 25. Pakistan 26. Poland 27. Romania 28. Russia 29. Singapore 30. Spain
Date of Effectivity
January 1, 1980 January 1, 1983 January 1, 2004 January 1, 2004 January 1, 1981 January 1, 1992 January 1, 1977 January 1, 2002 January 1, 2004 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1982 January 1, 1978 January 1, 1985 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1995 January 1, 1983 January 1, 1997 January 1, 1990 January 1, 1981 January 1, 1987 January 1, 1985 January 1, 1992 January 1, 1981 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1979 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1998 January 1, 1977 January 1, 1994
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June 10, 1976, London, United Kingdom October 1, 1976, Manila, Philippines November 14, 2001, Manila, Philippines
TAX INCENTIVES
The Omnibus Investments Code grants tax holidays of either four or six years to Board of Investments-registered enterprises, provided qualifies under the annual Investments Priority Plan entitlements. Tax credits are also granted for purchase of Philippine-made capital equipment and raw materials. Under the BOT Law and its IRR, projects costing more than Php1 billion are entitled to incentives, upon registration with the Board of Investments (BOI), as provided under the Omnibus Investment Code. Other incentives may be provided through P.D. 535 (1974), otherwise known as the Tourism Incentives Program of 1974. LGUs may also provide additional tax incentives, exemptions or reliefs, subject to the provisions of the Local Government Code (LGC) of 1991.
LOCAL TAX
The LGC of 1991 provides for the fiscal autonomy of cities or local governments from the national government, and allows them to impose local and real property taxes. The local governments of Pasay City and Paraaque City, where the Project will be operated, are allowed to impose business taxes, based on their respective revenue ordinances or enacted resolutions/ordinances. Local contractors tax under which the Concessionaire could be subject is a graduated tax with a maximum of between 0.5% to 0.75% of gross receipts under the Local Government Code. Below is a table showing the schedule of taxes that municipalities may levy on contractors, per gross receipts for the preceding calendar year. However, the rates of taxes that cities may levy may exceed the maximum rates allowed for the province or municipality by not more than 50%.
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at a rate not exceeding fifty percent (50%) of one percent (1%) Source: Local Government Code of 1991, Book II Local Taxation and Fiscal Matters
B. FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Foreign exchange may be bought and sold freely by foreign corporations operating in the Philippines and may be brought into or sent out of the country with few restrictions. Foreign investments and profits can also be repatriated in foreign exchange with minimal control from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP or Central Bank of the Philippines). Registration of foreign investments with the BSP requires proof of inward remittance of the foreign exchange used to fund the investment and has now become essentially an automatic process after the necessary corporate registration has been completed by the Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission. Should the banking system be also used for the payment of royalties, the related royalty contract should be registered with the Technology Transfer Registry of the Bureau of Patents, Trademarks, and Technology Transfer.
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X. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
A. NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY
The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) is the countrys independent economic development and planning agency. The NEDA is primarily responsible for formulating the countrys social and economic policies, plans and programs, including the formulation of annual and medium-term public investment programs. National projects implemented through the BOT Law and costing more than PhP300 million must be submitted to the NEDA Board for approval upon the recommendation of the Investment Coordination Committee (ICC). The NEDA Board is headed by the President, with the Secretary of Socio-Economic Planning, concurrently NEDA Director-General, as vice-chairman. The other members of the NEDA Board are the Executive Secretary and the (a) Secretary of Finance, (b) Secretary of Trade and Industry, (c) Secretary of Agriculture, (d) Secretary of Environment and Natural Resources, (e) Secretary of Budget and Management, (f) Secretary of Labor and Employment, and (g) Secretary of Local Government.
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TABLE 8: Other Transport Costs in Manila Good 1 liter of gas (unleaded) 1 liter of diesel Airport Taxi Taxi Jeepney Local bus (air con) Shared Taxi / Shuttle LRT fare (current) Makati on street parking Day flat rate airport parking fee (for cars and jeeps) Overnight airport parking Park N Fly Cost Php52.60-57.67 Php42.80-54.35 Php70 boarding and Php4.00 per 300m Php40 boarding and Php3.50 per 300m Php8.00 for first 4kms then Php1.40/km Php12 for first 5kms then Php2.20/km Php12 minimum; Php2.00/km Between Php12 to Php20 35 for 2 hours 35 50 per night 300 per full day (including overnight)
Source: Dept. of Energy, Oil Price Monitor as of April 2012; TRB as of October 2011 October
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TABLE 9: Philippine Toll Road System Toll Rate (2011 Pesos per Km) Class 1 Toll Road Car, Jeep, Pick-up 35 6.84 11.92 7.85 2.38 3.02 3.33 8.96 1.43 2.68 Class 2 Light Truck 70 13.68 23.84 15.70 5.92 6.04 6.82 17.92 2.86 5.36 Class 3 Heavy Truck, Trailer 20.53 35.76 23.56 7.08 9.10 9.85 26.87 4.26 8.04 Alabang Sto. Tomas, Batangas R-1 Extension to Bacoor (6.6km) Bacoor Bay to Kawit, Cavite (6.475km) Remarks
NAIA Ex. Phase I Elevated Phase I Elevated Phase II At grade North Luzon Expressway (NLEX) Alabang-Calamba-Sto. Tomas Expressway (ACTEX) Manila Cavite Toll Expressway (MCTE) Phase I Phase II
Per entry fixed fee** Skyway/Buendia Bicutan (9.5km) Alabang-Bicutan (6.88km) Magallanes-Alabang (13.50km)
Source: TRB, 2011 May Note: Skyway, Manila Cavite Expressway, part of NLEX are open systems **Discounted toll of Php20 for Class 1 and Php40 for Class 2 self-imposed by operator as of March 2012.
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NAIA Expressway
Source: DPWH
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TABLE 10: High Standard Highway Master Plan 200km Sphere of Metro Manila
Existing
Subic-Clark-Tarlac Expressway* North Luzon Tollway* C-5 Expressway (Segment 8.1) Metro Manila Skyway, Stage 1* SLEX (Magallanes-Alabang)* Manila Cavite Toll Expressway* South Luzon Tollway* Manila-Cavite Toll Expressway (R-1 Extension)* Metro Manila Skyway, Stage 2* Southern Tagalog Arterial Road (Star)* Total
Length (Km)
93.77 82.62 2.34 9.30 13.43 6.75 36.03 7.00 6.86 42.00 300
Planned/On-Going
Tarlac-Pangasinan-La Union Toll Expressway C-5 Expressway (Segment 8.2, 9 & 10) NLEX-SLEX Connector* Total
Source: DPWH
Length (Km)
88.58 19.92 13.34 122 *Toll Road
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Transit 96,715 74,094 63,185 38,356 29,880 22,440 16,791 36,693 33,494 26,622 n.a. n.a.
International passenger traffic at NAIA accounts for 44% of total traffic in the airport. On the other hand, domestic passenger traffic has been growing faster than international passenger traffic and now accounts for 56% of total passenger traffic at NAIA. International passenger traffic grew strongly between 2003 and 2008 while the recession in 2009 caused a small downturn. However, growth in 2010 was very strong at 10.51% and was grew by 4.76% in 2011. Since 2000, the average annual growth rate of international passengers has been 5.75%. For domestic passenger traffic, growth has been fairly steady as it averaged 10.75% since 2000 and has even accelerated in the past 5 years averaging 15.58% over that period. This is likely attributed to the emergence of budget carriers such as CebuPacific Air, ZestAir, and AirPhilippines which has made domestic air travel more competitive, affordable and accessible. The total number of arriving/departing (A/D) passengers at NAIA in 2011 was 29.55 million, the highest recorded in history. This was up by around 9% over 2010 totals. Growth in total A/D passengers has averaged 10.75% per year over the past 5 years and 8.14% per year since 2000.
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The lack of adequate terminal facilities at the airport has likely constrained growth to some extent prior to the opening of Terminal 3 in 2008. Terminal 3 handled 9.5 million passengers in 2010 and has a capacity of 10 million passengers with expansion possible to 15 million. Growth in traffic could also be restricted by the capacity of the runway system and property developments close to the airport at the end of runway 06/24 (3750m) that negatively impact operation of this runway. Terminal 1 has already been operating at overcapacity for years and is currently undergoing renovations. The Government also intends to fully utilize Terminal 3 within the next few years after necessary repairs are made to ensure passenger safety and world-class service. Furthermore, Government has earmarked Php1.16 billion for the renovation of the NAIA Terminal 1 and for the construction of two rapid exit taxiways which will help alleviate congestion at the runways and also avoid flight delays due to congestion problems. Apart from NAIA, the closest domestic and international airport to Metro Manila is the Diosdado Macapagal International Airport (DMIA) which is located in Angeles City, Pampanga, approximately 85 km from NAIA. An airport strategy study for the greater capital region is now being undertaken by the Department of Transportation and Communications (DOTC) with support from JICA for the Project for the Study on Airport Strategies for the Greater Capital Region in the Republic of the Philippines to look at longterm options to develop DMIA but more as a complementary alternate international airport
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given the aforementioned capacity limitations at NAIA. DMIAs current capacity is 2 million passengers and the airport serviced 725,023 international passengers in 2011. One major consideration in the development of DMIA is its location. Based on common experience, the trip from Clark to downtown Manila takes over 2 hours. The travel time is too long and would be unacceptable to many passengers. It should be noted that 80% of the main airports of big cities are 30 km or less from downtown. Traffic at DMIA and total traffic at the two airports is summarized in Error! Reference source not found.. Traffic at DMIA currently accounts for only 2% of the regions traffic and after initial strong growth in traffic, there has been almost no growth over the past 3 years from 2007 to 2010. Published seat capacity for 2011 at DMIA is 4% below the 2010 level.
TABLE 12: Passengers at NAIA, DMIA and the Region (2002-2010)
NAIA
DMIA
A/D Pass. 12,925,333 15,215,629 16,425,904 18,414,430 20,964,553 22,558,230 24,519,179 27,656,340
NAIA + DMIA
% Change 1.4% 17.7% 8.0% 12.1% 13.8% 7.6% 8.7% 12.8% 11.0% % NAIA 99.9% 99.6% 98.6% 97.3% 97.5% 97.5% 97.6% 98.1%
A/D Pass. A/D Pass. % Change Year 12,917,453 7,880 2003 15,156,641 58,988 649% 2004 16,193,591 232,313 294% 2005 17,925,674 488,756 110% 2006 20,430,934 533,619 9% 2007 21,992,990 565,240 6% 2008 600,000 23,919,179 6% 2009 27,119,899 536,441 -11% 2010 Compound Average Annual Growth Rates 2005-2010 10.9% 18.2%
Source: DMIA: various web sites
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) releases five-year forecasts of passenger traffic by country. Their 2010 forecasts for the Philippines are summarized as follows: International Domestic 2010 11.0% 12.1% 2011 7.6% 11.3% 2012 7.3% 9.7% 2013 6.5% 9.5% 2014 5.5% 8.6% 2010-2014 7.6% 10.2% Given broad forecasts of GDP growth between 4-5% for 2012 and 2013, it may be expected that airport passenger traffic will grow at approximately 5% per year in the early years possibly slowing in the medium to longer term (10-20 years). The IATA forecasts indicate very strong growth in the short-term.
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Source: http://i268.photobucket.com/albums/jj23/SNL_oRbz/Manilaaerial5_PP_sized.jpg
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October December 2013 January December 2015 April 2016 January 2043 January
Publication of Invitation to Participate and Bid Pre-qualification Conference Submission of Pre-Qualification Documents Notice of Pre-qualification Release of Draft TCA to Pre-qualified Bidders Bid Conference Bid Submission
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