An Empirical Study On Performance of Mutual Funds in India
An Empirical Study On Performance of Mutual Funds in India
An Empirical Study On Performance of Mutual Funds in India
Vol. 2 No. 6
Abstract
Stock market plays a very vital role in developing economy in India. It is also attracting the rural people in recent years. Investors usually perceive that all capital market investment avenues are risky. Based on objectives and risk bearing capacities, investors go for different investment alternatives. Among the various investment possibilities, mutual fund seems to be viable for all kind of investors as it is considered to be a safer mode of investment. This study is an attempt to understand the performance of share market and to analyze the correlation of performance of mutual funds with market indices like Sensex and Nifty. As a part of this study, data is collected regarding performance of mutual funds and stock market for the last year 2007-08, 2008-09, 2009-10, 2009-10, and 2010-11, 20011-12. Top five mutual (growth) and ten index funds are taken as sampling. Thus it is analyzed by using statistical tools such as arithmetic Mean, Standard Deviation, Correlation and Testing Hypotheses. The study shows that, investors have made quite good returns in mutual funds like Reliance Vision Fund, HDFC Top 200 Fund etc. Keywords: Capital Market, Market Indices, Growth Funds
1. Introduction
Many of the investors across the world become billionaire within a short span of time by investing in share market, at the same time some investors lost amount in the same market also. In the year 1992, 2001 and 2008 report reveals, few investors lost their wealth and some of them committed suicide because of share market scandals. The famous investor Mr. Warren Buffet became the richest person because of his wise investment strategies; however it is not an alternative way to make money as it has huge amount of risk. An investor has ISSN: 2249-9962 June|2012 www.ijbmt.com Page | 1
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various investment options like debentures, shares, bank deposits, real estates etc. but choice of option is very essential. Mutual funds give higher returns because of professional management of fund. When we look at the risk and return pattern of investment, mutual funds have yielded good return over the past years compared to direct capital market. The investment in stock market is increasing at a faster rate in the recent years because of FIIs, FDIs, Stock market awareness etc. investment in Debentures, Bank Deposits, are not so attractive because of less amount of interest, as in real terms the value of money decreases over a period of time. The other option is to invest money in stock market, but a common man is not much aware of market and he is not much component enough to understand the functions of stock market and also it is an expansive proposal. The question to be answered is: what investment alternative should a small investor adopt? So obviously, mutual funds come to rescue. A mutual fund is a very simple concept which is combination of savings of investors. Mutual funds are highly cost efficient and very easy to invest in. considering the state of mind of the general investor, the research figures out to know how mutual fund is better than stock market, identify the most popular mutual fund among individual investors and analyze how far the mutual fund schemes are able to win the confidence of the investors.
1.1 Hypothesis
Investment in mutual fund yields higher return than direct capital market. There is a direct correlation between NAV of mutual fund and market indices- Sensex and Nifty.
1.2 Objectives
To understand the correlation between the performance of mutual fund and share market. To study the return on investment in share market. To understand the fund sponsor qualities influencing the selection on MFs schemes. To know how far the mutual fund schemes are able to win the confidence of the investors.
2. Research Methodology
For this study purpose data is collected through index funds, growth funds, and Market Indices-Sensex and Nifty. Five Top performing growth funds and ten index funds are selected for the financial year 2007-08, 200809, 2009-10, 2009-10, and 2010-11, 2011-12. The period stated above is particularly significant because of the economic cycles like boom, recession and recovery in respective years. The various tools, like arithmetic mean, correlation, standard deviation, are used to analyze the data. Following are the mutual fund schemes used for analysis in the study HDFC Top 200 Fund- Growth Option. Reliance Vision Fund- Growth Plan- Growth Option Franklin India Prima Fund- Growth Birla Sun Life Tax Plan Growth Option. UTI-G-Sec Fund- Growth.
3. Review of Literature
Dr.K.Ravichandran in his Research article titled A study on Investors preference towards various Derivatives market, published in the Journal of Contemporary Research in Management a Quarterly Journal, Vol3, September 2008. The objective of the study was to know the various investment avenues and the investors risk preference towards it and to find out the preference level of investors on various capital market instruments. The research article found few things like; 445 of investors are between age group of 31-40, and they are influenced by their friend and relatives. It is concluded with the point that, though the stock market is subjected to high risk, by using derivatives the loss can be minimized to an extent. Rajeswari Krishnan in her research article titled, Stock Market Investments in 2009- Can the Threats be Transformed into Opportunities? published in ICFAI Publications PORTFOLOI ORGANISER Of February, 2009 magazine opined as; the year 2008 was painful to the investors as stock markets collapsed across the globe. She concluded with, a stock market crash world-wide is considered to be an after effect of the global financial crises. The investors should reframe his strategies keeping in mind his long term goals rather than short term benefits and attaches more importance to fundamentals to make his investment decisions.
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4. Analysis
4.1 Why should one choose to invest in a mutual fund?
Mutual funds are considered to be safer mode of investment; these are investment companies that pool money from investors at large and offer to sell and buy back its shares/ units on a continuous basis and thus rose to invest in various securities in different companies. If you are considering investment in stock market and are scared of unpredictable market volatility, you can definitely consider investing in mutual funds because of professional management. Some of the reasons that go strongly in favor of mutual funds are like it lowers risk factors. For the retail investor who doesnt have time the time and experience to analyze and invest in stocks and bonds, mutual funds offer a feasible investment alternative. This is because: Normally investment in mutual fund is financially viable for all the investors, as it provides the benefit of economical access to expensive stocks. Mutual Funds diversify the risk by investing in a basket of assets. An expert team of specialized fund managers managing the fund, each scheme has a separate professional fund manager. As mutual fund is an institutional investor, which may have enough bargaining power in markets, and has access to decisive corporate information which individual investor dont access.
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When we compare the investment in mutual fund and stock market, generally risk and return will be kept in mind. Investment in stock market has enormous risk and expected return is also more. However, the mutual fund overcomes the negative aspects of stock market like risk and uncertainty of return. Market over performed in some cases and in other cases mutual fund performance is quite more than market performance. So overall conclusion can be drawn based as on the above exhibits and diagram, investment in mutual fund is quite good compared to direct capital market as it gives higher return at moderate risk.
4.6 Findings
The study shows the performance of top five growth funds and 10 index funds along with their correlation with Sensex and Nifty, thus correlation is almost perfect positive in many of the cases, but the percentage change in the schemes for years is different with market indices. This is happened because of fund allocation with different sources. So it shows clearly that, mutual funds are performing better than stock market. It is observed from exhibit 6 that, mutual funds have yielded higher returns and grown at faster rate than market indices. ICICI Prudential Discovery, Tax Plan, Principal Funds have given around 150% return/change whereas market indices or benchmark has not been changed at the same rate. Reliance Vision, HDFC Top-200 and most of the growth funds have given around 100% return. So it shows clearly that, investment in mutual fund is quite better.
5. Conclusion
Mutual fund towers over the other investment alternatives. Investors usually get confusion while investing as he has plenty of opportunities like stock market, mutual fund, provident fund, real estates, etc. the mutual fund is proved to be a safer mode of investment and has been giving good returns compared to other investments and it is highly cost efficient and very easy to invest in, however it has got same kind of risk like direct capital market. Therefore investors have to think and choose the best alternative of investment. In case of mutual funds, the scheme which matches the need and objective of investors is very much essential to think. Longer the term of investment in mutual fund will give higher the return.
References
Mr. Sandeep Srivatsv of Ernst and Young, Dubai-Derivative Trading in Indian Stock Market; Brokers perception published in IIMB Management Review Journal for September 2009 Is investment- Uncertainty Relationship Monotonic? By Amaresh Das, Indian Journal of Finance, Volume IV http://www.amfiindia.com/spages/ http://www.finance.indidmart.com/india http://www.mutualfundsnavindia.com/getfundsmajor.php?key
Exhibits Exhibit-1- Comparative Returns Bank Deposits Debt Markets Share Markets Mutual fund 8%-10% 8%-125 0%->100%* 105-5-5 Rate varies as per the term Depending on securities Depends on Market Subject to Market Risk Source: calculated values compiled from the market observation *return on investment in share market and mutual fund varies beyond the 5 mentioned and subject to market risk. Exhibit-2: Correlation with Nifty Year HDFC Franklin UTI Birla 2007-2008 0.92 0.97 0.81 0.98 2008-2009 0.99 0.99 -0.96 0.99 2009-2010 0.90 0.82 0.75 0.62 2010-2011 0.92 0.90 0.79 0.74 2011-2012 0.95 0.94 0.84 0.96 Source: Calculated values compiled from AMFI and Nifty
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Exhibit-4: Comparison on Index funds with Market Indices AMC Scheme Returns 1 HDFC Index Sensex Plus Plan HDFC Mutual Fund 10.81 ICICI Prudential Mutual 2 ICICI Prudential Index-Nifty Plan 9.15 Fund ICICI Prudential Mutual 3 ICICI Prudential Index Plan 9.15 Fund ICICI Prudential Mutual 4 ICICI Prudential Spice Fund(S) 7.57 Fund 5 Birla Sun Life Index Fund Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund 7.92 ICICI Prudential Mutual 6 ICICI Prudential Spice Fund(N) 7.57 Fund 7 ING Vysya Nifty Plus Fund ING Vysya Mutual Fund 7.06 8 SBI Magnum Index Fund SBI Mutual Fund 5.61 9 HDFC Index Sensex Plan HDFC Mutual Fund 3.81 LICMF Index Fund-Sensex Advantage 10 LICMF Mutual Fund 2.26 Plan Source: http://www.myris.com//mutual/topgainers/index.php *Percentage change in schemes over market indices ** Return of schemes for period corresponding No Scheme
Index Returns** 7.84 7.22 7.84 7.22 7.84 7.84 7.84 7.84 7.84 7.84
Difference in %* 37.88265 26.7313 16.70918 4.847654 1.020408 -3.44388 -9.94898 -28.4439 -51.4031 -71.1735
Exhibit-6: Performance of Funds as on 01.04.2012 Equity Diversified Growth Funds CRISIL Rank AUM (Rs. Cr) Returns(%) as on May 18, 2012 I year II Year III Year V Year Quantum Long-Term Equity 1 105.66 -4.5 4.0 18.2 9.9 Reliance Equity Opportunity 1 3325.34 0.4 6.5 23.6 9.4 HDFC Growth fund 2 1261.95 -6.6 2.9 13.7 9.0 UTI Dividend Yield Fund 2 3599.88 -8.3 1.8 14.2 10.7 ICICI Pru-Dynamic Plan 2 4092.27 -5.7 3.4 15.5 7.4 HDFC Equity Fund 2 9916.37 -12.2 0.8 15.0 8.9 Reliance Growth Fund 3 5769.98 -8.9 -3.6 10.3 6.7 SBI Magnum Contra Fund 4 2702.94 -9.7 -1.8 8.4 3.9 Source: http://www.moneycontrol.com/mutual-funds/performance-tracker/returns/diversified-equity-3.html Figure-1: Comparative Returns of Index and NAVs 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
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