Indice Mundial de Felicidad 2012
Indice Mundial de Felicidad 2012
Indice Mundial de Felicidad 2012
28.5.2012 00:00
nef (the new economics foundation) is a registered charity founded in 1986 by the leaders of The Other Economic Summit (TOES), which forced issues such as international debt onto the agenda of the G8 summit meetings. It has taken a lead in helping establish new coalitions and organisations such as the Jubilee 2000 debt campaign; the Ethical Trading Initiative; the UK Social Investment Forum; and new ways to measure social and economic well-being.
Contents
Executive summary................................................... 3 1. New economy, new indicators.............................. 4 2. A measure of sustainable well-being................... 6 3. Results: An amber planet................................... 10 4. Steps towards a happy planet............................ 17 Appendix: Calculating the Happy Planet Index.... 19 Endnotes.................................................................. 22
The Happy Planet Index is a new measure of progress that focusses on what matters: sustainable well-being for all. It tells us how well nations are doing in terms of supporting their inhabitants to live good lives now, while ensuring that others can do the same in the future. In a time of uncertainty, the Index provides a clear compass pointing nations in the direction they need to travel, and helping groups around the world to advocate for a vision of progress that is truly about peoples lives.
Executive summary
There is a growing global consensus that we need new measures of progress. It is critical that these measures clearly reflect what we value something the current approach fails to do. The Happy Planet Index (HPI) measures what matters. It tells us how well nations are doing in terms of supporting their inhabitants to live good lives now, while ensuring that others can do the same in the future, i.e. sustainable well-being for all. The third global HPI report reveals that this is largely still an unhappy planet with both highand low-income countries facing many challenges on their way to meeting this same overall goal. But it also demonstrates that good lives do not have to cost the Earth that the countries where well-being is highest are not always the ones that have the biggest environmental impact. The HPI is one of the first global measures of sustainable well-being. It uses global data on experienced well-being, life expectancy, and Ecological Footprint to generate an index revealing which countries are most efficient at producing long, happy lives for their inhabitants, whilst maintaining the conditions for future generations to do the same. Happy Planet Index Experienced well-being x Life expectancy Ecological Footprint
This simple headline indicator gives a clear sense of whether a society is heading in the right direction. It provides a vital tool to ensure fundamental issues are accounted for in crucial policy decisions. At heart, the HPI is a measure of efficiency. It calculates the number of Happy Life Years (life expectancy adjusted for experienced well-being) achieved per unit of resource use. This years results: Confirm that we are still not living on a happy planet, with no country achieving high and sustainable well-being and only nine close to doing so. Highlight that eight of those nine countries are in Latin America and the Caribbean. Show the highest ranking Western European nation to be Norway in 29th place, just behind New Zealand in 28th place. Place the USA in 105th position out of 151 countries. Demonstrate how the scores of high-income countries are brought down considerably by their large Ecological Footprints. The HPI is a headline indicator that provides an overall picture, but countries which do well on the HPI can still suffer many problems. Other indicators will also be necessary to fully assess how societies are doing. nef (the new economics foundation) has developed a measurement framework of which HPI is one component; it sits alongside other measures such as economic performance and environmental pressure. In a world of dwindling resources, efficiency has to sit at the heart of our approach. For this reason we believe the HPI should be used as a headline indicator of progress. That there is a need for a new indicator like it cannot be questioned.
Across the board, two goals are consistently present achieving good lives for present generations and respecting environmental limits to allow future generations to do the same. We call this sustainable well-being. A new vision of progress calls for new indicators something that all these countries and organisations have recognised. Indeed, since the first HPI was launched in 2006, many measurement initiatives, led by governments, supra-national organisations, NGOs, and academics, have emerged. In 2011, the UN General Assembly unanimously adopted Resolution 65/309, which invites Member States to pursue the elaboration of additional measures that better capture the importance of the pursuit of happiness and well-being in development with a view to guiding their public policies.12 Deciding how to measure progress is not some arcane issue for statistics office and academics to ponder alone. Measurement influences the decisions we make as governments and as individuals. An indicator like GDP, which has gained considerable political weight, can bring governments down. Aware of the public attention given to GDP growth rates, governments will do anything to ensure that they are kept positive, with environmental consequences often seen to be of secondary importance.13 It can be easy to forget that, in reality, all of our prosperity rests fundamentally on the one planet we all share. The prominence given to certain indicators can also frame political debate in ways that are unconscious and pervasive.14 It is therefore important that what we measure tallies with what we value. And it is more important than ever today. If responses to the economic crisis are simply about returning to business as usual, this will only serve to take us closer to environmental crisis something which appears to have been forgotten by many in the last few years. But climate change is not getting any further away, and known reserves of many key resources such as oil, copper, and tin look set to run dry in the next few decades.15,16 The old, inefficient economy is no longer physically possible.17 A new economy needs to produce the conditions for good lives that dont cost the Earth and this may require a radical shift from the system we have today. Here at nef (the new economics foundation), we are busy trying to put together a picture of what this economy looks like, including a new economic model which, for the first time, attempts to explore how an economy can deliver well-being whilst staying within environmental limits. The HPI provides the standard by which such society-wide solutions to todays challenges can be assessed.
Well-being
If you want to know how well someones life is going, your best bet is to ask them. The HPI uses data from surveys which do just that, providing a measure of experienced well-being. When asking people how they themselves feel about their lives, we allow them to decide what is important to them, to assess the issues according to their own criteria, to weight each one as they choose, and to produce an overall response. This democratic, non-paternalistic approach does not rely on experts knowing what is best for people. It also measures something which is universally considered valuable everybody wants to feel good about their life. This applies across cultures and also across time. Another approach that could be adopted would be to create a list of things which we think are important to peoples well-being for example, education, income, and safety measure them, and then bring them together into some kind of index. But how do we decide what things to include in that list and how do we combine them? Should some things be given more weighting than others? And what does the number that comes out at the end actually mean?
Measuring well-being through direct measures of experience using survey data, builds on a rich vein of psychology, economics, and sociology research, and has been demonstrated to provide valid and reliable data.20,21,22 In this report, experienced well-being is assessed using a question called the Ladder of Life from the Gallup World Poll.23 This asks respondents to imagine a ladder, where 0 represents the worst possible life and 10 the best possible life, and report the step of the ladder they are currently standing on.24 Alongside experienced well-being, we also include a measure of health life expectancy. We use this measure because health is also universally considered important. For example, the OECD has recently collected data from its Better Life Index website which allows it to compare how people rate the importance of a range of different life domains. The two highest ratings are given to life satisfaction (a measure of experienced well-being), and health. Furthermore, these two domains remain the top two factors in eight out of eleven world regions.25,26 Average life expectancy is a well-established indicator that has been calculated since the nineteenth century. In fledgling Germany, Bismarck based the state retirement age of 65 on life expectancy data.27 The UNs Human Development Index has included life expectancy since its inception. We have combined life expectancy and experienced well-being in a variation of an indicator called Happy Life Years, developed by sociologist Ruut Veenhoven.28 Modelled on the indicator Quality Adjusted Life Years, this indicator is calculated by adjusting life expectancy in a country by average levels of experienced well-being.
Environmental impact
Unless you care nothing for the future neither your own, nor that of your children, nor that of future generations environmental impact matters. We live in a world of scarce resources. A society that achieves high well-being now, but consumes so much that sufficient resources are not available for future generations, can hardly be considered successful. Nor could one that depends on the extraction of resources from other countries, leaving their inhabitants with nothing. For that reason, resource consumption is central to the HPI. We use the Ecological Footprint, a metric of human demand on nature, used widely by NGOs, the UN, and several national governments.29 It measures the amount of land required to sustain a countrys consumption patterns. It includes the land required to provide the renewable resources people use (most importantly food and wood products), the area occupied by infrastructure, and the area required to absorb CO2 emissions. Crucially it includes embedded land and emissions from imports. So the CO2 associated with the manufacture of a mobile phone made in China, but then bought by someone living in Chile, will count towards Chiles Ecological Footprint, not Chinas.
The Ecological Footprint highlights that it is still the wealthiest nations that have the most to do in terms of reducing environmental impact. Emerging economies, such as India or Indonesia, have Footprints which are still at sustainable levels (though the Footprints of some sections of their population may of course be well beyond such levels).
Traffic-light scores
As well as the overall HPI score produced by this equation, this report also uses a traffic-light system whereby thresholds for good (green), middling (amber), or bad (red) performance are used for each of the three components. These thresholds are applied in acknowledgement of the fact that performance against each of the three measures is not entirely substitutable there are goals for each one. For example, with the Ecological Footprint, green is achieved if a country lives within its fair share of global biocapacity (below 1.8 g ha per capita). The overall HPI scores are also displayed with an expanded six-colour traffic light. To achieve bright green the best of the six colours a country would have to perform well on all three individual components. The second category, light green, is achieved if a country performs well on two components, and middling on the third one (see Figure 5 for further details).
A clear message
By integrating the fundamental issues into a single indicator, the HPI ensures that none are left on the sidelines in crucial policy decisions, as, for example, CO2 emissions are at the moment. Many of the initiatives for measuring progress emerging at the moment, which propose large sets of indicators, risk remaining peripheral because they are too complicated to communicate and do not provide a clear message of whether we are doing well or not.
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Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Life expectancy Japan Hong Kong Switzerland Australia Italy Iceland Israel 83.4 82.8 82.3 81.9 81.9 81.8 81.6 69.9 48.4 48.4 47.8
World Average 149 150 151 Congo, Dem. Rep. of the Central African Republic Sierra Leone
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Experienced well-being Denmark Canada Norway Switzerland Netherlands Sweden Venezuela 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 5.3 3.6 3.2 2.8
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Ecological Footprint per capita (gHa) Qatar Luxembourg Kuwait United Arab Emirates Denmark Trinidad and Tobago United States of America 11.7 10.7 9.7 8.9 8.3 7.6 7.2 2.70 1.78 0.7 0.6 0.5
Colour key: < 1.78 1.78 3.56 3.56 7.12 > 7.12
World Average Footprint World Average Biocapacity 149 150 151 Bangladesh Haiti Afghanistan
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Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Happy Planet Index Score Costa Rica Vietnam Colombia Belize El Salvador Jamaica Panama 64.0 60.4 59.8 59.3 58.9 58.5 57.8 42.5 25.2 24.7 22.6
Colour key: All three components good One component good, and two middling Any with one component poor Two components good, one middling Three components middling Two components poor or deep red footprint
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1 Costa Rica
Experienced well-being: 7.3 Life expectancy: 79.3 years Ecological Footprint: 2.5 g ha per capita HPI: 64.0 Inequality adjusted rank: 1st For the second time, Costa Rica tops the HPI, again with a substantial lead. The country has embraced sustainability in its national policies: it produces 99 per cent of its energy from renewable sources, has reversed deforestation in the country, and, in 2008, committed itself to becoming carbon neutral by 2021. 36 Costa Rica has the second highest life expectancy in the Americas, higher than the USAs; experienced well-being higher than many richer nations; and a per capita Ecological Footprint one third the size of the USAs. But Costa Ricas Footprint is larger than it would need to be for it to live within its fair share of planetary resources, and is larger than its own biocapacity (1.6 g ha per capita). This is partly due to consumption patterns - the goods consumed by many in the country will have been produced in other countries that have less sustainable energy policies. This goes to show that one country cannot achieve sustainability alone.
2 Vietnam
Experienced well-being: 5.8 Life expectancy: 75.2 years Ecological Footprint: 1.4 g ha per capita HPI: 60.4 Inequality adjusted rank: 2nd Vietnams average life expectancy is now equal to that of Slovakia, despite Slovakia having a per capita GDP seven times larger and a Footprint that is more than three times larger. Year-on-year economic growth rates have been high, but this in part reflects a very low starting base following the crippling effects of the Vietnam War. Throughout this time, the governments stance has been to favour stability over growth.37 Is Vietnams score just a product of its position on the development curve? Will further growth lead to a per capita Ecological Footprint more similar to that of its richer neighbour Malaysia (3.9 g ha) and with inequality levels to match? That depends the development path it chooses.
3 Colombia
Experienced well-being: 6.4 Life expectancy: 73.7 years Ecological Footprint: 1.8 g ha per capita HPI: 59.8 Inequality adjusted rank: 7th Colombias Footprint is almost within one-planet living, life expectancy is higher than some European countries such as Bulgaria and Latvia, and experienced well-being is relatively high. The country also takes well-being seriously. The capital, Bogotas Planning for Happiness in 2004, was one of the first examples of a government explicitly looking to improve peoples experienced well-being. Currently, the country is running a huge social project Unidos,38 which uses co-production techniques39 and community assets, with the aim of lifting 350 000 families out of extreme poverty and substantively improve the lives of 1 150 000 families. Of course instability and inequality are still problems for the country. Adjusting the HPI for inequality (Box 1) takes the country down to 7th place in the rankings.
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Colour code:
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Bearing this in mind, we do not recommend that the HPI be the only thing that countries measure. Blind pursuit of a single objective, whilst disregarding the means to achieving it, is dangerous. As we will make clear in the next chapter, other indicators will be necessary to fully assess how societies are doing. Nevertheless, the HPI does capture an overall sense of how well a nation is doing, using only three indicators, in a meaningful and interpretable sense. This is its key value.
Changes in happiness
The data we have used for experienced well-being comes from the Gallup World Poll, which began in 2007. This allows us to look at change over time in experienced well-being for a large number of countries, using the same data source. Table 3 shows some risers and fallers in experienced well-being between, roughly, 2007 and 2010. It provides strong evidence to support the idea that experienced well-being is sensitive to changes in the world with Spain and Greece, now suffering severe economic difficulties, amongst the top 10 fallers over the period.
1st wave
Experienced well-being Risers El Salvador Zimbabwe Venezuela Slovakia Chile Brazil Germany Fallers Botswana Morocco Spain Greece Tunisia Egypt China 5.5 5.4 7.3 6.6 5.4 4.6 4.9 Jul-08 Dec-07 Apr-08 May-07 Jun-08 May-08 Oct-07 3.6 4.4 6.2 5.8 4.7 3.9 4.7
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2nd wave
Date of survey Sep-07 Mar-08 Dec-06 Apr-06 Aug-07 Aug-07 Jan-09 Experienced well-being 6.7 4.8 7.5 6.1 6.6 6.8 6.7 Date of survey Aug-10 Mar-11 Aug-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Aug-10 Jun-10 Dec-10 Nov-10 May-10 Jun-10 Apr-11 Apr-11 Jul-10
Table 2. Selected risers and fallers in terms of experienced well-being in Gallup World Poll
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Table 3. Selected countries ranked according to main HPI and inequality-adjusted HPI
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Resources
Goals
Human systems
This framework, we believe, should start by distinguishing between three different spheres: our goals (in terms of well-being for all), our scarcest resources (limited ecological resources), and the processes and systems which should be designed to achieve maximal well-being outputs with minimal resource inputs. Within the latter sphere, we have separated out the economic systems as these are the ones that have been the biggest focus of policy to date and are the ones that likely require the biggest change to enable sustainable well-being for all. It is upon the human systems that governments have the most immediate influence, but it is well-being and sustainability that they must ultimately seek to enhance. For policy-making, in-depth measurement is needed within each of the spheres in the figure. But we also suggest the identification of five key headline indicators which provide an overall picture of how we are doing. The numbers within the diagram relate to these headline indicators: 1 Measure of environmental pressure per capita (for the resources sphere). 2 Measure of the percentage of the population flourishing (for the goals sphere). 3 Measure of economic performance how well the economy is doing in terms of delivering sustainability and well-being for all (for the economic half of the human systems sphere). 4 Measure or set of measures of the other (non-economic) policy-amenable drivers of wellbeing for all (for the remaining human systems). 5 Measure of well-being per unit of environmental pressure (the HPI, or an HPI-like measure; connecting the resources and goals spheres).
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We propose that this framework is linked together, so that the headline indicators connect to the more detailed ones, providing a more joined-up approach to policy-making which puts the overall goals of society at the heart of political decisions.
A charter for a happy planet A map of the world that does not include Utopia is not worth even glancing at.
Oscar Wilde In April 2012, the UN held its first High-Level Meeting on the measurement of progress, highlighting the importance of developing indicators that go Beyond GDP in the run-up to the Rio +20 summit in June 2012, and making it clear that this issue is now on the global agenda. The HPI is a clear understandable measure of sustainable well-being for all that could provide the much needed balance to the prominence currently given to GDP. Alongside this report, nef is launching a Happy Planet charter (see Box 3). Support for alternative measures has reached new levels. Six years ago, at the time of the first HPI, no one would have imagined that the UN would pass a resolution on happiness, that Nobel Prize winning economists would be strongly advocating it, or that a Prime Minister of a G8 nation would ask his national statistics office to measure it. The sense of transition in the world can be felt both in the North and in emerging economies. The developing world cannot blindly follow the path that high-income countries took over the course of the twentieth century. Progress cannot and should not be simply characterised by ever-growing GDP. In a world of dwindling resources, efficiency has to sit at the heart of our approach. At the same time, a vision of progress that is solely about using fewer resources is not a goal to motivate human endeavour. The happy in the Happy Planet Index reminds us of what we are trying to achieve and indicates that this goal is indeed possible.
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Sources of data
Life expectancy
The life expectancy figure for each country reflects the number of years an infant born in that country could expect to live if prevailing patterns of age-specific mortality rates at the time of birth in the country stay the same throughout the infants life.47 We used 2011 life expectancy data which were obtained from the 2011 UNDP Human Development Report.
Experienced well-being
The data for average levels of well-being in each country are drawn from responses to the ladder of life question in the Gallup World Poll, which used samples of around 1000 individuals aged 15 or over in each of more than 150 countries.48 The question asks: Please imagine a ladder with steps numbered from zero at the bottom to 10 at the top. Suppose we say that the top of the ladder represents the best possible life for you and the bottom of the ladder represents the worst possible life for you. On which step of the ladder would you say you personally feel you stand at this time, assuming that the higher the step the better you feel about your life, and the lower the step the worse you feel about it? Which step comes closest to the way you feel? 49 While we used the latest data available for each country as at February 2012, the period during which the Gallup World Poll was last administered varies from country to country. For a majority of countries, the poll was administered in 2010 or 2011. But there were 20 countries where the latest poll was administered in 2008 or 2009, and 7 countries where it was administered in 2006 or 2007.50 The data used to measure average levels of well-being in this HPI report differ from the previous two HPI reports. In the first HPI report, data on well-being were gathered from a wide range of disparate sources, and modelling techniques were used to estimate values for countries where no well-being data were available.51 In the HPI 2.0 report, data on well-being were obtained from responses to the satisfaction with life questions in the Gallup World Poll52 and World Values Survey, and statistical modelling techniques were applied to take into account differences between the two surveys to ensure that the well-being data used to construct the final index were comparable.53 Unlike previous waves of the Gallup World Poll, which included questions on both life satisfaction and the ladder of life, the latest wave of the Gallup World Poll did not include a satisfaction with life question. As a result, for this version of the HPI, we were faced with the choice of using a different measure of well-being such as the ladder of life, or to continue to use responses to satisfaction with life questions for a more limited number of countries by bringing together data from a number of different surveys. Recent research comparing the satisfaction with life and ladder of life question show that while the two measures have different mean scores and
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distributions of scores, they are highly correlated and tell very similar stories about the likely sources a good life.54,55 In light of this research, we chose to use responses to the ladder of life question in the Gallup World Poll as a measure of well-being. While using this measure allows us to include a large number of countries in the index and helps minimise the distortions associated with putting together data from different sources, it reduces the extent to which well-being data and HPI scores from this report are directly comparable to those in previous HPI reports.
Ecological Footprint
For 142 of the 151 countries for which we had well-being data, we used 2008 Ecological Footprint data (the latest available data) from the 2011 Edition of the Global Footprint Networks National Footprint accounts.56 For the other nine countries,57 we estimated the Ecological Footprint figures using predictive models generated by undertaking stepwise linear regressions of Ecological Footprint (for all countries where data were available) against a range of countryspecific variables (including CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, the degree of industrialisation and urbanisation, population density, and geographical dummies). Due to limited data availability for two of the countries for which we were estimating Ecological Footprint data (Palestine and Djibouti), it was necessary to use two different predictive models.58
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In the second stage, a constant () was subtracted from Happy Life Years to ensure that a country with an average ladder score of 0 or a life expectancy of 25 or lower would achieve an HPI score of 0, and a constant () was added to Ecological Footprint to ensure that its coefficient variance was equal to that of adjusted Happy Life Years. Finally, the final HPI scores were calculated by dividing adjusted Happy Life Years by adjusted Ecological Footprint, and then multiplying by a constant () to ensure that a country with an average ladder score of 10, an average life expectancy of 85 and an Ecological Footprint of 1.78 g ha per capita (equivalent to one planet living) would achieve an HPI score of 100. The formula for the HPI can be expressed as: Happy Life Year s g Happy Planet Index = (Ecological Footprint + b) where: = 7.77, g = 4.38, b = 5.67 Alternatively, using its three primary components, the formula for HPI can also be expressed as: Happy Planet Index = f ((Ladder of life + a) x Life expectancy) - p (Ecological Footprint + b)
Exploring adjustments to the Happy Planet Index to take into account inequality
The HPI score in this report is calculated using the mean ladder of life score and mean life expectancy for each country, and thus does not reflect inequality in these outcomes. As such, two countries could have the same mean scores for the two components and achieve the same HPI score, despite large differences in levels of equality in those two measures. We consider inequality to be a serious issue, and believe that it should be measured and reported in a robust and rigorous way. Further work would be required to establish how inequality could be best incorporated, if at all, into an indicator such as the HPI. Areas for further consideration include the dimensions of inequality to include (which may include income, life expectancy, experienced well-being, environmental footprint), whether inequality should be assessed on a global or national basis, the measurement methodology, and the method of incorporation into the index (for example, whether to adjust existing components or introduce an additional inequality component). In Box 1 of Chapter 4, we noted for illustrative purposes, how the rankings of certain countries might change if we were to adjust each countrys average life expectancy and ladder of life scores to take into account within-country inequality in these two dimensions. We replaced the average life expectancy for each country with the inequality adjusted average life expectancy provided in the UNDP Human Development Report 2011. This is the first time the UN has calculated such an indicator, which it does using the Atkinson technique (Atkinson, 1970) with an aversion parameter =1, where the inequality adjusted average is equal to the geometric mean.62 63 We use the same technique to calculate an inequality-adjusted mean for the ladder of life. Adjusting the ladder of life and life expectancy scores for inequality changed the cross-country variation of the individual HPI components, so new parameters needed to be calibrated for the illustrative inequality-adjusted measure to ensure that no one individual component dominates the overall index and the final score lies between 0 and 1. The formula simplifies to: Happy Planet IndexIA = fIA ((Ladder of lifeIA + aIA) x Life expectancyIA) - pIA (Ecological Footprint + bIA)
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Endnotes
1 During introductory remarks at OECD Forum 2011, first Session on Measuring Progress on 24 May 2011 in Paris, France. Downloaded from www.beyond-gdp.eu/key_quotes.html The OECD is the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development. Founded in the aftermath of World War II principally to speed recovery in Europe, it has become a powerful multinational organisation counting amongst its members 34 high-income nations. Speech made at the OECD Conference Two years after the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report: What well-being and sustainability measures? Available at www.oecd.org/document/49/0,3746, en_21571361_48428993_48874865_1_1_1_1,00.html Jackson T (2009) Prosperity without Growth? London: Sustainable Development Commission. Available at http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914 ONS (no date) Measuring national well-being. Available at www.ons.gov.uk/well-being www.bundestag.de/bundestag/ausschuesse17/gremien/enquete/wachstum/index.jsp - In German The term buen vivir originates from a Quechua phrase Sumak Kawsay which is probably better translated as living in plenitude. 2 Non-governmental organisations i.e. civil society organisations or charities. 3
5 6 8 9
7 www.misuredelbenessere.it/ in Italian
10 The World Bank (2012) China 2030: Building a modern, harmonious and creative high-income society. This report, co-written by Chinas leaders and the World Bank, argues that China will need to change its course if it is to continue to flourish. 11 BBB (no date) China lowers growth rate in sustainability drive. Available at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12589757 12 http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N11/420/70/PDF/N1142070.pdf?OpenElement 13 For example, consider a recent speech made by UK Chancellor George Osborne, which warned of slowing down growth with endless social and environmental goals. Carrington D (2012) George Osbornes attacks on the environment are costing the UK billions. Available at www.guardian.co.uk/ environment/damian-carrington-blog/2012/mar/15/george-osborne-budget-bill-uk 14 Michaelson J, Seaford C, Abdallah S and Marks N (in press). Measuring what matters in F Huppert & C Cooper (Eds.) Interventions and policies to enhance wellbeing. Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell. 15 Ragnarsdttir K, Sverdrup H and Koca D (2012). Assessing Long Term Sustainability of Global Supply of Natural Resources and Materials, Sustainable Development - Energy, Engineering and Technologies - Manufacturing and Environment. C Ghenai (Ed.), InTech, Available at http://www.intechopen.com/ books/sustainable-development-energy-engineering-and-technologies-manufacturing-andenvironment/rare-metals-burnoff-rates-versus-system-dynamics-of-metal-sustainability 16 Ragnarsdttir K (2008) Rare metals getting rarer. Nature Geoscience 1:720-721 17 Simms A, Johnson V and Chowla P (2010) Growth isnt possible. London: nef 18 Pg. 30, Submission by Brazil to the preparatory process Rio +20 Conference. Available at www.uncsd2012.org/rio20/content/documents/BRAZIL%20Submission%20%20English%20 1.11.11doc.pdf 19 Knight K and Rosa E (2011) The environmental efficiency of well-being: A cross-national analysis. Social Science Research 40: 931-949. 20 Centre for Well-Being (2011) Measuring our Progress. London: nef. 21 Diener E, Inglehart R and Tay L (in press) Theory and validity of life satisfaction scales. Social Indicators Research. 22 OECD (forthcoming) Guidelines on the Measurement of Subjective Well-being. Available at the end of 2012. 23 See Appendix for explanation of why this measure of experienced well-being was used in this report.
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Endnotes
24 See http://www.gallup.com/poll/122453/understanding-gallup-uses-cantril-scale.aspx for information on how Gallup have used this indicator. 25 Data based on the Better Life Index (http://oecdbetterlifeindex.org) and kindly provided by Guillaume Cohen of the OECD. It is important to note that this data cannot claim to be representative. 26 Diener E and Scollon C (2003) Subjective well-being is desirable, but not the summum bonum. Paper presented at the University of Minnesota Interdisciplinary Workshop on Well-Being. 27 Average life expectancy at the time was less than 50, so he knew that this, the first universal government pension, would not have to be paid out to too many people: Carlson R (2005) The new rules of retirement. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 28 Veenhoven R (1996) Happy life expectancy: A comprehensive measure of quality-of-life in nations Social Indicators Research 39:158. Veenhoven himself calls the indicator happy life expectancy. 29 Global Footprint Network (no date). Available at www.footprintnetwork.org 30 This calculation ignores the needs of other species. If this were taken into consideration, the fair share for each human individual would indeed be lower than 1.8 g ha. 31 Much of the fall in per capita biocapacity can be related to rising global population. 32 Global Footprint Network (2012) National Footprint Accounts 2011 edition. Available at www.footprintnetwork.org 33 Seaford C, Mahoney S, Wackernagel M, Larson J and Ramrez R (2011) Beyond GDP: Measuring our Progress, p12. Available at http://globaltransition2012.org/beyond-gdp/ 34 UNDP (2011) Human Development Report 2011. 35 Based on World Bank data for 2008 (purchasing power parity, current prices), downloaded from http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators on 26 March 2012. 36 Marshall C (2008) Costa Rica bids to go carbon neutral. Available at http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/ world/americas/7508107.stm 37 World Bank (no date) Taking stock: An Update of Viet Nams economic development. Available at http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTVIETNAM/Resources/TakingStockEng.pdf 38 More information can be found in Spanish at www.unidos.com.co/public/ 39 For an introduction to the philosophy behind co-production see Stephens L, Ryan-Collins J and Boyle (2008) Co-production: A manifesto for growing the core economy. London: nef. 40 Preston SH (1975) The changing relation between mortality and level of economic development. Population Studies 29: 231248. 41 Layard R, Mayraz G and Nickell S (2007) The marginal utility of income SOEP papers, DIW Berlin. 42 Diener E, Kahneman D, Tov W and Arora R (2010) Incomes association with judgements of life versus feelings in E Diener, J Helliwell and D Kahneman (eds) International Differences in Well-being. New York: Oxford University Press. 43 Oishi S, Kesebir S, and Diener E (2011) Income inequality and happiness. Psychological Science 22: 1095-1100. 44 Helliwell J and Huang HF (2008) Hows your government? International evidence linking good government and well-being. British Journal of Political Science 38: 595619. 45 Egypt and Tunisia are also interesting examples. The fall in experienced well-being seen in Table2 could already be seen before the eruption of discontent seen in these countries in 2011, a point that has been made by Gallup themselves - www.gallup.com/poll/145883/egyptians-tunisianswellbeing-plummets-despite-gdp-gains.aspx. This highlights how experienced well-being reveals important information not captured by GDP, which continued to rise in the run up to the Arab Spring. 46 Ki-Moon Ban (2012) Remarks at High Level Meeting on Happiness and Well-Being: Defining a New Economic Paradigm. Available at http://www.un.org/apps/news/infocus/sgspeeches/statments_ full.asp?statID=1493 47 UNDP (2011) Human Development Report 2011 page 130 http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr2011/
23
Endnotes
48 For 10 countries, between 500 and 1000 respondents were surveyed (Puerto Rico, Guyana, Belize, Iceland, Trinidad and Tobago, Haiti, v, Jamaica, Estonia, New Zealand and Hong Kong). 49 http://media.gallup.com/dataviz/www/WP_Questions_WHITE.pdf 50 2006: Cuba, Myanmar, Jamaica. 2007: Ethiopia, Namibia, Belize, Guyana. 2008: Mozambique, Norway, Benin, Laos, Madagascar, Togo, Angola, Congo, Trinidad and Tobago, Iceland. 2009: Cote DIvoire, Estonia, Burundi, Latvia, Rwanda, Turkmenistan, Malawi, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Zambia and Switzerland. 51 Abdallah S, Marks N, Simms A, Thompson S (2006) The(un)Happy Planet Index: An index of human well-being and environmental impact. London: nef. 52 This question asked All things considered, how satisfied are you with your life as a whole these days? On a numeric scale from 0 to 10 where 0 is dissatisfied and 10 is satisfied. 53 Abdallah S, Thompson S, Michaelson J, Marks N and Steuer N (2009) The (un)Happy Planet Index 2.0. Why good lives dont have to cost the Earth. nef: London. 54 Helliwell J and Wang S (2012) The State of World Happiness Chapter 2 in Helliwell, J. , Layard, R. and Sachs, J. (2012) World Happiness Report. 55 Helliwell J, Barrington-Leigh C, Harris A and Huang H (2010) International Evidence on the Social Context of Well-being in Diener, E., Helliwell, J., Kahneman, D. (Eds.), International differences in wellbeing. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 56 Global Footprint Network (no date) Living Planet Report. Available at www.footprintnetwork.org/en/ index.php/GFN/page/living_planet_report_2012 57 These countries are Belize, Comoros, Guyana, Iceland, Luxembourg, Malta, Hong Kong, Djibouti and Palestine. In most cases, Ecological Footprint data were not available as the Global Footprint Network does not publish such data for countries with a population lower than 1 million. Palestine has a population of over 1 million, but its unique status and economic situation mean that official trade statistics are probably not a reliable assessment of actual trade and therefore consumption. Hong Kong also has a population of over 1 million, but the relevant data for calculating the EF is not available, as it is not an independent state. 58 For the countries with limited data availability (Palestine and Djbouti), the predictive model generated by the stepwise regression included the following variables: CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, urbanisation, population density and dummy variables for the Middle East and latitude. For the other countries, the predictive model generated by stepwise regression included the following variables: CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, industrialisation, urbanisation, population density and latitude. 59 To see why this would happen, it is helpful to look to examine the variation of the numerator and the denominator. The numerator, experienced well-being multiplied by life expectancy, varies from 16 for the bottom ranked country, Togo, to 62 for the top ranked country, Canada, less than a fourfold increase. But the denominator, ecological footprint, varies from 0.5 for Afghanistan to 11.7 for Qatar, more than a twenty-fold increase. 60 To see why this is an issue, it is helpful to look at an example. Bangladesh has a ladder of life score of 5.0, a life expectancy of 68.9 and an ecological footprint of 0.66 g ha per person. Suppose Bangladesh were to increase its ecological footprint to 1.75 g ha per person, which would still be below its fair share given the worlds biocapacity of 1.78 g ha. In the absence of statistical adjustments to the individual components, Bangladesh would only be able to maintain its HPI score by increasing average experienced well-being and life expectancy to levels well beyond those achieved by developed countries (for example, by increasing its average ladder of life score to 9.5 and life expectancy to 96). 61 This methodology was recommended to Eurostat in the final report of a study on well-being indicators available at http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/gdp_and_beyond/documents/ Feasibility_study_Well-Being_Indicators.pdf. Eurostat is likely to be presenting data on this indicator (which they call SALY satisfaction-adjusted life years) at the beginning of 2013. 62 See page 169 UNDP (2011) Human Development Report 2011. Available at http://hdr.undp.org/en/ reports/global/hdr2011/ 63 Atkinson A (1970) On the measurement of economic inequality Journal of Economic Theory 2(3): 244-263.
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Region Codes
1 Latin America 2 Western World 3 Middle East and North Africa 4 Sub Saharan Africa 5 South Asia 6 East Asia 7 Transition States
1a Central America, Mexico, Carribean 1b South America 2a Australia and NZ 2b North America 2c Western Europe 2d Nordic Europe 2e Southern Europe 3a North Africa 3b Middle East / South West Asia 4a Southern and Central Africa 4b East Africa 4c West Africa 5a South Asia 6a China 6b Wealthy East Asia 6c South East Asia 7a Central Asia and Causcuses 7b Central and Eastern Europe 7c Russia, Ukraine and Belarus
Lack of comparable data has meant that we are unable to calculate an HPI for Bhutan, a nation which has achieved great deals in terms of measuring progress differently. See www.grossnationalhappiness.com for more on Bhutans approach.
The HPI is produced by the Centre for Well-being at nef (the new economics foundation). nef is an independent think-and-do tank that inspires and demonstrates real economic well-being. We aim to improve quality of life by promoting innovative solutions that challenge mainstream thinking on economic, environmental and social issues. We work in partnership and put people and the planet first.
Written by: Saamah Abdallah, Juliet Michaelson, Sagar Shah, Laura Stoll and Nic Marks With contributions, advice and support from our colleagues at nef including Carys Afoko, Ross Haig, Ricarda Hammer, Tim Jenkins, Victoria Johnson, Sorcha Mahony, Eleanor Moody, Charles Seaford, Andrew Simms and Dan Vockins HPI devised by: Nic Marks Thanks to: The AIM Foundation, Halloran Philanthropies, the Global Footprint Network (Mathis Wackernagel, Joy Larson & Nina Brooks), Gallup (Cynthia English & Joe Daly) and the OECD (Romina Boarini & Guillaume Cohen)
www.happyplanetindex.org
Edited by: Mary Murphy Design by: the Argument by Design www.tabd.co.uk new economics foundation 3 Jonathan Street London SE11 5NH United Kingdom Telephone: +44 (0)20 7820 6300 Facsimile: +44 (0)20 7820 6301 E-mail: info@neweconomics.org Website: www.neweconomics.org Registered charity number 1055254 June 2012 nef (the new economics foundation) ISBN 978 1 908506 17 7