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Kuala Lumpur
High End Condominium Market Office Market Retail Market 2 5 7
10 11
Retail
Residential
Executive Summary
Office
Kuala Lumpur In the second half of 2006, the high end condominium market performed better in the Bangsar and Mont Kiara suburbs than in the KLCC locality. Government measures to relax restrictions on foreign purchases of residential properties in the country are expected to further stimulate sales in the high end market. Strong demand for prime offices was reflected in the improvements in their occupancies and rental rates. The lack of prime office supply has seen more refurbishment exercises being undertaken by owners of existing secondary office buildings. The launch of Visit Malaysia Year (VMY) 2007 will undoubtedly spur higher spending from the projected increase in tourist arrivals and this augurs well for the retail industry. Two shopping complexes were injected into REITs in the second half of the year. Penang The luxurious condominium market is currently active with 13 new high end projects showing good sales rate. Queensbay Mall, offering a net lettable area of 1.2 million sq ft, opened in December 2006. Johor The market was subdued in the last six months of 2006 compared to the first half of the year, both in terms of the volume and pricing of transactions. The average occupancy of offices and shopping complexes remained at 64% and 65% respectively.
Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
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Several projects in the Mont Kiara and Bangsar localities are reported to have reached more than 75% sales status possibly attributed to the high quality product and reasonable pricing.
Generally, the market in second half of 2006 performed better compared to the weaker market in the first half of 2006 especially projects located in the suburbs of Mont Kiara and Bangsar
Juta Asia Properties Sdn Bhd has collaborated with CapitaLand to develop Zehn which is located at Bukit Pantai, Bangsar. The branding with CapitaLand, a well-knowned developer in South-East Asia with excellent track record, has boosted the sales of the project and Zehn recorded 65% sales rate for its first tower since its soft launch in September 2006.
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Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
Figure 1
Centrio, is a mixed commercial development located at Pantai Hillpark and developed by YTL Land. It offers 268 units of Small Office Home Office (Soho). YTLs corporate branding and good track record is the reason for Centrio recording a sales rate of 75% within two months of launch.
7,000
Number of Unit
It is anticipated that 881 units of high end residential will be launched in the first half of 2007. Kuala Lumpur City will see more launches with some new players entering the market such as Oval Residences Sdn Bhd with The Oval and Mezzon Development Sdn Bhd with Icon Kuala Lumpur. Mont Kiara, which has always been active in the high end residential sector, will possibly see only one new launch in the first half of 2007. The new launch, Radiant Kiara developed by YNH Property Bhd, which was initially scheduled for launch in the second half of 2006 as Ceriaan Kiara, will now be launched in first half of next year and re-named as Radiant Kiara.
New Supply
Source: KF Research
Cumulative Supply
Table 2: Possible High End Condominium / Serviced Apartment Projects to be Launched in 1H2007
Total Project The Oval Location Jalan Binjai Area KLCC Unit 140 Developer Oval Residences Sdn Bhd (formerly known as Kool Growth Sdn Bhd) Hampshire Place Icon Kuala Lumpur K4 Ken Bangsar Serviced Residences Sunway Sri Hartamas Jalan Sri Hartamas Sri Hartamas 160 Sunway City Berhad Persiaran Hampshire Jalan Yap Kwan Seng Changkat Duta Kiara Jalan Kapas Bangsar 80 Ken Holdings Berhad KL City KL City Mont Kiara 183 80 605 Hampshire Properties Sdn Bhd Mezzon Development Sdn Bhd Amatir Resources Sdn Bhd
Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
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Prices & Rentals Rentals in Kuala Lumpur City improved slightly during 2006 due to lack of existing good quality condominiums
Rentals in Kuala Lumpur City improved slightly during 2006 due to lack of existing good quality condominiums. Despite the high number of potential supply of high end residential, capital values for existing condominiums in Kuala Lumpur City and Ampang areas trended marginally upwards.
Outlook
The Malaysian economic climate in 2007 is expected to improve with the stabilisation of global oil prices, local interest rates and inflation. These, together with the relaxation of Government ruling allowing foreigners to purchase residential properties without seeking approval from FIC, will have a positive effect on the high end condominium market especially in the KLCC area which suffered in 2006 from the twin effects of economic uncertainties and selective demand. The existing regime of rentals in the Kuala Lumpur City area are likely to be pressured as more units are completed in 2007 and investors compete to get their units tenanted.
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Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
Figure 2
84
82
80
Occupancy (%)
attributed to the tighter availability of prime office space available in KL city centre. Economic confidence was reflected in expanding businesses taking up more space, leading to rising rents. Investment funds see this trend as an opportunity to secure good returns, contributing to the increasing capital values. Prime net yield is in the region of 6.5% to 7% which are reflected in the current office REITs. Competition for prime office space has seen more refurbishment being undertaken by owners of existing secondary office buildings. Some of the buildings that are currently under refurbishment are the Lee Rubber Building, Bangunan MOCCIS along Jalan Melaka and Bangunan Kuwasa at Jalan Raja Laut. Upgrading of these buildings is necessary to retain the existing tenants and attract new ones as facilities will be upgraded and the physical condition of the offices enhanced.
72
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Occupancy Rate
Source: KF Research
Gross Rental
2006
70
The stronger demand for prime office space is indicated by the improvement in occupancy from 84% in the first half of the year to 86% in the second half
39 million sq ft, whilst Decentralized KL (Damansara Heights, Bangsar, Mid Valley and KL Sentral) accounts for 9 million sq ft. In Decentralized KL, a few new office buildings entered the market offering a total of 1.09 million sq ft. These are Plaza Sentral Phase 2 consisting of 4 blocks of strata offices (649,500 sq ft), Wisma Perintis along Jalan Dungun (160,000 sq ft) and Plaza Cygal in Pantai Bahru (280,000 sq ft). Coming on stream in 2007 will be YNHs development on Lot 170 along Jalan Perak (190,250 sq ft), Centrepoint in Mid Valley City (450,000 sq ft) and Menara TSH in Damansara Heights (125,000 sq ft), contributing a total of 765,250 sq ft to KL Citys office supply. In KL City, occupancy was recorded at 86%, which represents an increase of 2% from the first half of the year. Demand for office space is equally strong in Decentralized KL, where overall occupancy improved to 90% from 88% in the first half of the year. The major occupations were MNI in Dataran Maybank and Maxis into the newly completed Plaza Sentral Phase 2, KL Sentral, occupying some 153,000 sq ft. Integrated commercial developments comprising office, retail and entertainment/leisure components have attracted more interest from office occupiers in recent years. This was reflected in the good occupancy rates shown by offices such as Menara IGB in Mid Valley City and Plaza Sentral in KL Sentral. The demand for prime office space is led by the expansion in the oil & gas and business outsourcing sectors
followed by the financial services sector. The second half of the year saw two good quality investment grade office buildings namely UOA Bangsar and Menara ING (major strata portion) being injected into the UOA REIT and Tower REIT respectively.
Demand for office space is equally strong in Decentralized KL, where overall occupancy improved to 90%
Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
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Figure 3
700
14.00
investment grade buildings available for sale in the market. Rentals for prime office space are trending upwards and current prime asking rentals range from RM5.50 to RM7.50 per sq ft, excluding the Petronas Twin Towers which have exceeded RM10.00 per sq ft. A total of 6 office buildings were transacted in the second half of the year, which is a testimony to investor confidence in the office market. Wisma UOA was injected into the UOA REIT in mid 2006 whilst Menara ING (major strata portion) was acquired by Tower
Gross Yield (%)
600
12.00
500
10.00
400
8.00
REIT in October last year with reported gross yields of 9.9% and 10% respectively. Office sales in KL City have registered capital values between RM466 per sq ft to RM554 per sq ft. Block 1A in Lot M of KL Sentral, completed in the second half of 2006 was sold to KWSP at RM525 per sq ft and leased to Maxis for a period of 15 years.
300
6.00
200
4.00
100
2.00
Consideration (RM) / (RM psf) 21,000,000 (480) 270,000 (466) 36,102,530 (305) 75,000,000 (495) 165,000,000 (554) 80,036,250 (525) 147,500,000 (525)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
0.00
Capital Value
Source: KF Research
Gross Yield
Prime office capital values have been driven up by investors due to the limited number of good quality investment grade buildings available for sale in the market
Outlook
Prime offices are becoming increasingly short in supply particularly in the KL city centre. As a result, rents are rising and this has encouraged more secondary buildings to embark on refurbishment exercise in order to remain competitive in todays dynamic office market. We anticipate overall office occupancy to
Petronas Twin Towers, KLCC
move up by another 2% to 3% next year contributed by better occupancy in refurbished secondary buildings following near full occupancy in prime buildings.
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Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
Figure 4
35,000
92 90 88 86
30,000
25,000
Supply ('mil sq ft)
a 9.5% growth. With consumers adjusting to the rising prices, the retail market looks promising. Major prominent shopping centres showed improvements in take up and occupancy due to aggressive expansion from retailers, particularly, large space occupiers such as hypermarkets, supermarkets and departmental stores. The launch of Visit Malaysia Year (VMY 2007) will undoubtedly spur higher spending from the increasing tourist arrivals and this augurs well for the retail industry. Domestic consumer spending is also anticipated to rise as consumer sentiments improve, as measured by MIERs Consumer Sentiments Index (CSI). The CSI is still holding up from 104.2 points in 2Q06 to 107.5 points in 3Q06. The retail investment market was also boosted with the listing of the Hektar REIT in November 2006 with the 280,000 sq ft Subang Parade and 471,400 sq ft Mahkota Parade in Selangor and Melaka respectively. Plans are abound for the injection of more retail complexes into the said REIT, including a proposed
5,000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Occupancy Rate
The launch of Visit Malaysia Year (VMY) 2007 will undoubtedly spur higher spending from the increasing tourist arrivals and this augurs well for the retail industry
2006
The completion of new complexes brings the total retail stock in Selangor to about 18.5 million sq ft. In Kuala Lumpur, no new completion was noted for the second half of the year and the supply stands at 20.4 million sq ft. Occupancy has generally improved with new take-up observed in existing prime complexes such as Berjaya Times Square, Lot 10, One Utama Phase 2 and Mid Valley Megamall.
Prime shopping complex: Suria KLCC
Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
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Figure 5
Berjaya Times Square has increased in occupancy following the entry of new tenants such as Ampang Super Bowl, Nichii Fashion City, Best Denki, Cold Storage and Metrojaya. New take-up and tenants were also noted in Lot 10, One Utama Phase 2 and Mid Valley Megamall from the franchised Gap stores by Singapore-based retailer FJ Benjamin Holdings Ltd. The average Klang Valley retail occupancy for 2006 was 85%. The occupancy in KL City was noted to be marginally better than the suburbs, at 85% and 84% respectively.
12
10
Retail Sales Growth (%)
This second half of the year also saw several prominent players announce store expansion plans. Carrefour
6
plans to open two outlets in the Klang Valley in 2007 and another outlet in Tropicana Mall in 2008. The aggressive expansion by hypermarket players was echoed by the Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs Ministry whereby an average of 15 applications are received annually from foreign hypermarket investors. Department store player, Jusco, will open another outlet in Sunway Pyramid Phase 2 and the Aeon shopping complex (currently under construction) in Bukit Tinggi, Klang, by the end of 2007. Next year will see more shopping complexes being completed and this will substantially increase the supply as most of these are large complexes. In KL City, Bangsar Village Phase 2 is due to open in the first quarter of 2007 whilst The Pavilion is scheduled for opening by third quarter of 2007. KL Pavilion is reported to have a take-up of about 70% to date. In the suburbs, Sunway Pyramid Phase 2 is targeted for opening in September 2007 whilst Aeon Bukit Tinggi will open in November.
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Source: KF Research
Faced with stiff competition from new complexes, older and dated shopping complexes are now undertaking or planning refurbishment works as part of their re-theming or repositioning exercise
2006 (e)
Faced with stiff competition from new complexes, older and dated shopping centres are now undertaking or planning refurbishment works as part of their re-theming or repositioning exercise. For instance, the 30-year old Bukit Bintang Plaza, which is located in the prime and busy retail district of Bukit Bintang, will undergo a RM15 million upgrading. In the suburbs, the retail space at Menara Bakti, Section 14, Petaling Jaya (previously occupied by Metrojaya) has undergone upgrading and re-theming exercise and launched in January 2007 as Digital Mall.
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Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
Outlook
2007 promises to be an exciting year for the retail industry with the offering of more innovative retail centres, new stores and new brands. Coupled with VMY 2007, retail growth is projected at 8%.
Prime shopping complex: Sungei Wang Plaza
However, average occupancy in the Klang Valley will dip due to the significant potential new supply over the next 12 months. Rents are projected to remain competitive but stable.
10
Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
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Infrastructure projects under the 9th Malaysian Plan (9MP) are expected to have a major impact on the Penang property market
Figure 6
80 78 76 74
Occupancy (%)
Offices
Penangs supply of office space is mainly concentrated in Georgetown which houses 7.1 million sq ft or 86% of the total stock. Better quality office buildings with good facilities have recorded occupancies of above 70%. Menara Great Eastern, an office development along Jalan Light is currently under construction and due for completion in 2007 and will increase supply by 80,000 sq ft. Market rentals for offices remain stable due to the abundance of supply in the market, with prime buildings commanding an average of RM2.30 per sq ft per month. Three purpose built office buildings changed hands in 2006 and they were Wisma John Hancock for RM4.4 million (RM114 per sq ft), Menara UMNO for RM18 million (RM221 per sq ft) and the latest Wisma PSCI which was sold to Boustead Holdings for RM54 million (RM255 per sq ft). Capital values for prime offices range from RM220 to RM260 per sq ft whilst secondary offices average around RM110 to RM150 per sq ft.
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Supply
Source: KF Research
Occupancy
Market rentals for offices remain stable due to the abundance of supply in the market, with prime buildings commanding an average of RM2.30 per sq ft per month
2006
Retail
The supply of retail space in Penang Island stands at 7 million sq ft with the latest addition of Queensbay Mall in December 2006, offering a net lettable area of 1.2 million sq ft. The current average occupancy is 81%. Gross rentals for ground floor specialty store retail space in main shopping centres are improving, ranging from RM15.00 to RM25.00 per sq ft per month. No recent sales of en-bloc shopping centre were recorded whilst strata capital values have consolidated between RM450 to RM1,450 per sq ft for ground floor shops.
Outlook
The newly opened Queensbay Mall
New launches of high end condominiums will be entering an increasingly competitive market where buyers are spoilt for choice. The office market will continue to remain neutral, though prime offices are poised to fare better. The retail market will be competitive as shoppers are becoming more discerning of the concept, tenant and trade mix of shopping centres.
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Real Estate Highlights - Kuala Lumpur | Penang | Johor Bahru 2nd Half 2006
11
The preferred residential locations are projects at Tebrau and Skudai Development Corridors
The spill over effect of the development of two Integrated Resorts (IRs) in Singapore is anticipated to boost
the earning power of Malaysian workers working in Singapore but residing in JB.
Residential
Occupancy (%)
70
The market remained subdued for 2H2006 compared to the earlier half of the year, both in terms of the volume and pricing of transactions. Sales from primary market (developers sales) are more attractive compared to secondary market (sub/re-sales) due to new contemporary design of the units and better amenities. The preferred residential locations are projects at Tebrau and Skudai Development Corridors. High-rise units are gaining acceptance by the market, especially apartments at strategic locations which offer comprehensive facilities and priced at an average of RM150,000 per unit for an average size of 900 sq ft.
68
66
64
62
60
Offices
Purpose-built office space available for occupation by the private sector totals 5.9 million sq ft with an average occupancy of 64%. Rental rates have stagnated at a two-tier level averaging RM2.30 per sq ft per month for prime space and RM1.50 per sq ft per month for older offices or those outside prime locations.
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Supply
Source: KF Research Figure 8
Occupancy
2006
58
Retail
The supply of retail space from shopping centres in Johor Bahru totals about 8.2 million sq ft with average occupancy hovering around 65%. Downtown shopping centres are faring much better with occupancy in excess of 85%. The prime City Square JB is achieving near full occupancy. No substantial movement in retail rental rates except at City Square JB where rentals have increased since the shopping complex was sold to the new owner. Prime rents at these successful centres fall in the region of RM15 to RM25 per sq ft. The trend of decentralisation for shopping centres in JB is gaining momentum with the opening of hypermarkets around the densely populated areas at the peripheral of the city with mega mall such as Aeon Tebrau City at Desa Tebrau.
66 64 62
60 58 56
2,000 1,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Occupancy (%)
6,000
54 52
Outlook
The overall property market in Johor Bahru is not expected to show any marked improvement in the short term as the economic benefits of the pump priming programmes will take some time to be translated into demand. The market for residential units will continue to be competitive. The office and retail markets will remain relatively flat.
Supply
Source: KF Research
Occupancy
Research
Malaysia Contacts Eric Y H Ooi Managing Director eric.ooi@my.knightfrank.com Chong Teck Seng Executive Director Agency Services teckseng.chong@my.knightfrank.com Zaharin Bin Ahmad Zamani Executive Director Management Services zaharin.zamani@my.knightfrank.com Sarkunan Subramaniam Executive Director Advisory Services sarky.s@my.knightfrank.com Tan Wei See Executive Director Advisory Services weisee.tan@my.knightfrank.com Leslie J H Kho Resident Director Johor Bahru Branch leslie.kho@my.knightfrank.com Tay Tam Resident Director Penang Branch tam.tay@my.knightfrank.com
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Knight Frank 2006 This report is published for general information only. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no legal responsibility can be accepted by Knight Frank Research or Knight Frank for any loss or damage resultant from the contents of this documents. As a general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank in relation to particular properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is allowed with proper reference to Knight Frank Research.