Preterm Infants: Effect Modification by Risk For Chronic Lung Disease Impact of Postnatal Systemic Corticosteroids On Mortality and Cerebral Palsy in
Preterm Infants: Effect Modification by Risk For Chronic Lung Disease Impact of Postnatal Systemic Corticosteroids On Mortality and Cerebral Palsy in
Preterm Infants: Effect Modification by Risk For Chronic Lung Disease Impact of Postnatal Systemic Corticosteroids On Mortality and Cerebral Palsy in
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Lex W. Doyle, MD*‡; Henry L. Halliday, MD§; Richard A. Ehrenkranz, MD㛳; Peter G. Davis, MD*‡; and
John C. Sinclair, MD#¶
ABSTRACT. Objective. In preterm infants, chronic ABBREVIATIONS. CLD, chronic lung disease; CP, cerebral palsy;
lung disease (CLD) is associated with an increased risk RCT, randomized, controlled trial; RR, relative risk; RD, risk dif-
for cerebral palsy (CP). However, systemic postnatal cor- ference; CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range.
ticosteroid therapy to prevent or treat CLD, although
effective in improving lung function, may cause CP. The
I
objective of this study was to determine the effect of mproved survival of preterm infants has been
systemic postnatal corticosteroid treatment on death and accompanied by an increased rate of chronic lung
CP and to assess any modification of effect arising from disease (CLD),1 most often defined as a depen-
risk for CLD. dence on supplemental oxygen beyond 36 weeks’
Methods. Randomized, controlled trials of postnatal postmenstrual age. From the mid-1980s, postnatal
corticosteroid therapy for prevention or treatment of corticosteroids were increasingly prescribed for pre-
CLD in preterm infants that reported rates of both mor- vention or treatment of CLD, supported by evidence
tality and CP were reviewed and their data were synthe- of benefit on some short-term outcomes, including
sized. Twenty studies with data on 1721 randomized earlier weaning from mechanical ventilation and a
infants met eligibility criteria. The relationship between reduction in CLD.2–4 In the era before postnatal cor-
the corticosteroid effect on the combined outcome, death ticosteroid treatment, the long-term neurodevelop-
or CP, and the risk for CLD in control groups was ana- mental outcome for survivors with CLD was worse
lyzed by weighted meta-regression.
than that in similar infants without CLD.5,6 There-
Results. Among all infants who were randomized, a
significantly higher rate of CP after corticosteroid treat-
fore, a reduction in CLD might be expected to reduce
ment (typical risk difference [RD]: 0.05; 95% confidence the rate of adverse long-term sequelae. However,
interval [CI]: 0.02, 0.08) was partly offset by a nonsignif- corticosteroids can have direct toxic effects on the
icant reduction in mortality (typical RD: ⴚ0.02; 95% CI: developing brain, including neuronal necrosis, inter-
ⴚ0.06 to 0.02). Consequently, there was no significant ference with healing, and inhibition of brain
effect of corticosteroid treatment on the combined rate of growth.7,8 There is currently concern about possible
mortality or CP (typical RD: 0.03; 95% CI: ⴚ0.01 to 0.08). adverse long-term effects of postnatal corticoste-
However, on meta-regression, there was a significant roids, cerebral palsy (CP) having been reported to
negative relationship between the treatment effect on occur more frequently in some randomized, con-
death or CP and the risk for CLD in control groups. With trolled trials (RCTs)9–11 and meta-analyses of
risks for CLD below 35%, corticosteroid treatment signif- RCTs.2,12 Recently, the European Association of Peri-
icantly increased the chance of death or CP, whereas with natal Medicine issued a warning about postnatal
risks for CLD exceeding 65%, it reduced this chance. corticosteroids,13 and the American Academy of Pe-
Conclusions. The effect of postnatal corticosteroids diatrics and the Canadian Pediatric Society stated
on the combined outcome of death or CP varies with the
that routine postnatal use of systemic dexametha-
level of risk for CLD. Pediatrics 2005;115:655–661; infant,
preterm, survival, cerebral palsy, corticosteroids.
sone (the most commonly prescribed corticosteroid)
for prevention or treatment of CLD is not recom-
mended.14
Clinicians currently have a dilemma when faced
From the *Division of Paediatrics, Royal Women’s Hospital, Melbourne, with an infant who is increasingly ventilator depen-
Australia; ‡Departments of Obstetrics and Gynaecology and of Paediatrics,
University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; §Department of Child
dent: should they start corticosteroids in an attempt
Health, Queen’s University, Belfast, Northern Ireland; 㛳Department of Pe- to reduce ventilator and oxygen dependence and
diatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; possibly to improve long-term outcome, or should
¶Department of Pediatrics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Can- they avoid corticosteroids because they may be in-
ada; and #Department of Pediatrics, Center for Clinical Research and Evi-
dependently harmful? Interpreting the RCTs of post-
dence-Based Medicine, University of Texas Medical School, Houston, Texas.
Accepted for publication Aug 5, 2004. natal corticosteroids is difficult as there are differ-
doi:10.1542/peds.2004-1238 ences in the baseline risks for CLD, the timing and
No conflict of interest declared. the dose of corticosteroids according to the protocol,
Reprint requests to (L.W.D.) Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, and the rate of open-label corticosteroids given to
Royal Women’s Hospital, 132 Grattan St, Carlton 3053, Australia. E-mail:
lwd@unimelb.edu.au
infants in the placebo group (the “contamination”
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 2005 by the American Acad- rate). The follow-up data also differ regarding the
emy of Pediatrics. age of children at follow-up, the follow-up rate, and
lute risk increase was 5% [95% CI: 2% to 8%]), and in significant increase in the combined outcome death
the early treatment subgroup of trials. For the com- or CP in the corticosteroid group. In all studies com-
bined outcome, death before follow-up or CP, the bined and in the early treatment subgroup, there was
meta-analyses found no significant benefit of postna- a nonsignificant increase in the combined outcome
tal corticosteroid treatment. In 1 trial,11 there was a death or CP associated with corticosteroid treatment.
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TABLE 3. Effects on Death and CP: Results of Meta-analyses
No. of Steroids, % Controls, % RR* RD†
Studies (n/N) (n/N) (95% CI) (95% CI)
Death before follow-up among
all randomized in trials
assessing CP
All trials 20 24.7 (216/876) 25.9 (219/845) 0.94 (0.80–1.10) ⫺0.02 (⫺0.06 to 0.02)
Early treatment 9 29.0 (147/507) 29.8 (144/484) 0.98 (0.81–1.18) ⫺0.01 (⫺0.06 to 0.05)
Later treatment 11 18.7 (69/369) 20.8 (75/361) 0.87 (0.65–1.16) ⫺0.03 (⫺0.09 to 0.03)
CP among all randomized
All trials 20 15.2 (133/876) 10.3 (87/845) 1.45 (1.13–1.87) 0.05 (0.02 to 0.08)
Early treatment 9 15.4 (78/507) 8.9 (43/484) 1.70 (1.20–2.42) 0.06 (0.02 to 0.10)‡
Later treatment 11 14.9 (55/369) 12.2 (44/361) 1.20 (0.83–1.74) 0.02 (⫺0.02 to 0.07)
Death or CP among all
randomized
All trials 20 39.8 (349/876) 36.2 (306/845) 1.09 (0.96–1.22) 0.03 (⫺0.01 to 0.08)
Early treatment 9 44.4 (225/507) 38.6 (187/484) 1.15 (0.99–1.33) 0.06 (0.00 to 0.12)
Later treatment 11 33.6 (124/369) 33.0 (119/361) 0.99 (0.81–1.21) 0.00 (⫺0.07 to 0.06)
CP among survivors assessed
All trials 20 22.7 (133/586) 15.4 (87/565) 1.46 (1.14–1.86) 0.07 (0.03 to 0.12)§
Early treatment 9 24.3 (78/321) 14.0 (43/308) 1.75 (1.25–2.44) 0.11 (0.05 to 0.17)储
Later treatment 11 20.8 (55/265) 17.1 (44/257) 1.16 (0.81–1.66) 0.03 (⫺0.04 to 0.09)
* Typical RR: value ⬍1 favors steroid group; value ⬎1 favors controls.
† Typical RD: negative value favors steroid group; positive value favors controls. Where 95% CI excludes 1 for RR or excludes 0 for RD,
P ⬍ .05.
Statistically significant heterogeneity of treatment effect with fixed effects model: ‡ P ⫽ .03; § P ⫽ .01; 储P ⫽ .001.
For CP among survivors examined, 1 trial11 found a of these 14 studies found no significant effect on the
significant increase in CP in the corticosteroid group. combined rate of death or CP among children who
Corticosteroid treatment was associated with a sig- were randomized (typical RD: 0.04; 95% CI: ⫺0.02 to
nificant increase in CP among survivors examined in 0.09). However, there was a significant negative re-
the meta-analysis of all trials and in the early treat- lationship between the RD for death or CP and the
ment subgroup. rate of CLD in the control group in these studies (Fig
1): for every 10% that the rate of CLD increased in the
Subgroups by Contamination Rate control group, the RD for death or CP fell by 3.8%
In 2 studies,10,18 which randomized 154 infants, (95% CI: 1.4% to 6.2%; P ⫽ .002). The regression line
there was no contamination. Combining the results crossed 0 (no effect on death or CP) at a rate of CLD
from these 2 studies, there was a significant reduc- of ⬃50%. At control rates of CLD below ⬃35%, the
tion in mortality (typical RD: ⫺0.17; 95% CI: ⫺0.30 to lower bound of the 95% CI for the regression line
⫺0.03; P ⫽ .02), a significant increase in CP among all was ⬎0, indicating a significantly increased rate of
randomized (typical RD: 0.12; 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.23; P death or CP with corticosteroid treatment. At control
⫽ .04), and no significant effect on the combined rates of CLD above ⬃65%, the upper bound of the
outcome of death or CP (typical RD: ⫺0.05; 95% CI: 95% CI for the regression line was ⬍0, indicating a
⫺0.20 to 0.10; P ⫽ .55). significant treatment benefit for this outcome.
In the subgroup analysis that was restricted to the None of the potential confounders (time of starting
studies that had a contamination rate from ⬎0% to treatment, dose, contamination, follow-up rate, age
⬍35% (7 studies, 658 infants), there was no signifi- at follow-up, and assessment by experts), either in-
cant effect on mortality (typical RD: ⫺0.01; 95% CI: dividually or in combination, significantly affected
⫺0.08 to 0.06; P ⫽ .75), a significant increase in CP the relationship between the corticosteroid effect on
among all randomized (typical RD: 0.09; 95% CI: 0.04 death or CP and the control risk for CLD. In an
to 0.14; P ⬍ .001), and a significant increase in the adjusted weighted meta-regression based on 13 stud-
combined outcome of death or CP (typical RD: 0.08; ies for which the required data were available, after
95% CI: 0.01 to 0.16; P ⫽ .03). In the subgroup anal- simultaneously adjusting for each of the candidate
ysis that was restricted to studies that had a contam- confounding variables, a statistically significant rela-
ination rate ⱖ35% (8 studies, 767 infants), there was tionship persisted between the corticosteroid treat-
no significant effect on either mortality (typical RD: ment effect on the combined rate of death or CP and
0.02; 95% CI: ⫺0.04 to 0.08; P ⫽ .50) or CP among all the control rate of CLD. Indeed, in the adjusted meta-
randomized (typical RD: ⫺0.01; 95% CI: ⫺0.05 to regression, the absolute size of the regression coeffi-
0.04; P ⫽ .76) or the combined outcome of death or cient was increased, although the CIs were wider: for
CP (typical RD: 0.01; 95% CI: ⫺0.05 to 0.08; P ⫽ .69). every 10% that the rate of CLD increased in the
control group, the RD for death or CP fell by 9.1%
Meta-Regression Analysis: Relation of Treatment Effect (95% CI: 1.0% to 17.2%; P ⫽ .028).
to Control Risk for CLD Meta-regression of RD for death alone against the
Fourteen studies reported the rate of CLD at 36 rate of CLD in the control group showed a nonsig-
weeks’ postmenstrual age in the control group; this nificant negative relationship (Y ⫽ 3.7 ⫺ 0.17X; P ⫽
ranged from 9.5% to 73.8% (Table 1). Meta-analysis .11). For every 10% increase in the rate of CLD in the
ARTICLES 659
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potential confounding variables that we examined come of study participants at 1-year adjusted age. Pediatrics. 1999;104:15–21
was limited by the data available and does not in- 11. Shinwell ES, Karplus M, Reich D, et al. Early postnatal dexamethasone
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14. American Academy of Pediatrics, Committee on Fetus and Newborn,
come of death. Data on the effects of steroids on and Canadian Paediatric Society, Fetus and Newborn Committee. Post-
other neurologic outcomes are also important but are natal corticosteroids to treat or prevent chronic lung disease in preterm
much more limited and are discussed in the existing infants. Pediatrics. 2002;109:330 –338
Cochrane reviews.2–4 There were too few studies that 15. Intercooled Stata 7.0 for Windows. College Station, TX: Stata Corp; 2000
16. Baden M, Bauer CR, Colle E, Klein G, Taeusch HW Jr, Stern L. A
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18. Cummings JJ, D’Eugenio DB, Gross SJ. A controlled trial of dexameth-
to prevent CLD and hence the need for corticoste- asone in preterm infants at high risk for bronchopulmonary dysplasia.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 23. Kari MA, Heinonen K, Ikonen RS, Koivisto M, Raivio KO. Dexameth-
This study was supported in part by Project Grant No. 108700 asone treatment in preterm infants at risk for bronchopulmonary dys-
from the National Health and Medical Research Council plasia. Arch Dis Child. 1993;68:566 –569
(NHMRC) of Australia and Contract N01-HD-6-3252 from the 24. Mieskonen S, Eronen M, Malmberg LP, Turpeinen M, Kari MA, Hall-
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Pe- man M. Controlled trial of dexamethasone in neonatal chronic lung
ter Davis is supported in part by a Practitioner Fellowship from disease: an 8-year follow-up of cardiopulmonary function and growth.
the NHMRC. Acta Paediatr. 2003;92:896 –904
25. Brozanski BS, Jones JG, Gilmour CH, et al. Effect of pulse dexametha-
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do not have the ability to comprehend, however dimly, how other people live.“
DeSoto H. The Mystery of Capital. New York, NY: Basic Books; 2000
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Impact of Postnatal Systemic Corticosteroids on Mortality and Cerebral Palsy in
Preterm Infants: Effect Modification by Risk for Chronic Lung Disease
Lex W. Doyle, Henry L. Halliday, Richard A. Ehrenkranz, Peter G. Davis and John C.
Sinclair
Pediatrics 2005;115;655-661
DOI: 10.1542/peds.2004-1238
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