Effects of The Syrian Refugees On Turkey
Effects of The Syrian Refugees On Turkey
Effects of The Syrian Refugees On Turkey
ORSAM
Sleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B ankaya / Ankara
Tel: 0 (312) 430 26 09 Fax: 0 (312) 430 39 48
www.orsam.org.tr, orsam@orsam.org.tr
ISBN: 978-605-4615-95-7
Prepared by:
Oytun Orhan, ORSAM Researcher
Sabiha Senycel Gndoar, TESEV Director for the Foreign Policy Program
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Report No: 195, January 2015
Contents
Preface..................................................................................................................................................................5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..............................................................................................................................7
INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................................... 10
I. GENERAL SITUATION OF THE SYRIAN REFUGEES IN TURKEY ......................................... 12
II. EFFECTS OF THE SYRIAN REFUGEES ON TURKEY ................................................................ 16
a. Social Effects ....................................................................................................................................... 16
b. Economical Effects ............................................................................................................................. 17
c. Political and Security Effects ............................................................................................................ 19
d. Effects on Public Services ................................................................................................................ 20
III. ANALYSES OF CITIES ....................................................................................................................... 21
a. Gaziantep ............................................................................................................................................. 21
b. anlurfa ............................................................................................................................................... 22
c. Kilis ...................................................................................................................................................... 24
d. Hatay .................................................................................................................................................... 25
e. Adana .................................................................................................................................................... 27
f. Osmaniye ............................................................................................................................................. 29
g. Kahramanmara ................................................................................................................................... 30
h. Mersin ................................................................................................................................................... 32
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ..................................................................................... 34
APPENDIX I- Institutions Interviewed .................................................................................................... 40
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Charts
Chart 1. Basic Data About The Refugee Camps Hosting Syrian Refugees ..........................................14
Chart 2. Syrian Refugees Living Outside the Refugee Camps.................................................................15
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PREFACE
We believe that NGOs are responsible for attracting attention to the refugee issue and
should take the lead in contributing to solutions. ORSAM (The Center for Middle Eastern
Strategic Studies) released a report in 2014 that examined the refugee situation in a comparative manner, drawing on extensive field research. TESEV (The Turkish Economic and
Social Studies Foundation) has also contributed to the process of public awareness about the
Syrian refugee crisis by organizing meetings and hosting workshops related to the issue. As
part of our ongoing research to understand this problem, we have jointly conducted a threemonth-long study based on visits to the cities bordering Syria. Interviews were held with
local authorities, NGOs, businessmen, academics, local communities and Syrians living in
Turkey. This joint research prepared by ORSAM and TESEV investigates the effects of
Syrian refugees on the countrys social structure, economy, politics and security. Findings
on these topics can be found in the study. Besides general classifications, each city hosting
Syrian refugees have a unique condition according to its demography, economy and political atmosphere. Thus, there are individual city analyses investigating the unique situation
in every city. The study is based on three main observations. First, a considerable number
of Syrian refugees in Turkey will either stay in the country for an extended period of time
or will live the remainder of their lives in Turkey. Second, based on the first observation, it
is crucial that Turkey prepare a comprehensive policy that includes preventative measures
to deal with possible negative reaction from the local communities. This issue is predominantly about social integration, and recommendations for decision makers are provided in
the conclusion. The third evaluation is related to diversity. If the integration process works
effectively, the Syrian refugee situation might contribute to an enhancement of the multicultural makeup of Turkey.
Although the report was written by Oytun Orhan and Sabiha Senycel Gndoar, many
people contributed to the study during fieldwork and preparation stages. We would like to
thank Ferhat Pirini, a faculty member of Uluda University and an ORSAM advisor, for
his help with the field research in Gaziantep and anlurfa and for drafting the framework
of the report in an academic perspective. Also, we would like to thank Mustafa Ald, a doctoral student at Bilkent Universitys International Relations Department, who worked in
the team conducting field research in Adana, Osmaniye, and Hatay, for his preparation of
the notes for the interviews and for translating the complete report into English. We also
thank Tun Demirta, a research assistant at Uluda Universitys International Relations
Department, for conducting the field research and interviews in Mersin. We would also like
to extend our gratitude to two TESEV program assistants, Zerrin Cengiz Ceren Zeytinolu,
and to the programs intern, Esra imek, for their help in setting up appointments for the
research. We would like to especially send our gratitude to the NGOs, local authorities and
communities for helping us bring this report together by accepting our interview requests
and by sharing their information. The list of the institutions interviewed can be found at
the end of the report. We hope that the study attracts attention to the living conditions
and problems of the Syrian refugees while also generating solutions for the problems in the
area. The burden of the refugee situation falls mostly on the shoulders of the border cities
in Turkey. We hope that this report can be an effective tool to convey the issues to decision
makers. Thank you to all who contributed to the study and to those who attended the
interviews. In the end, we hope readers better understand the refugee situation and realize
the steps needed to ameliorate it.
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will minimize the negative consequences and maximize the benefits need to be
introduced.
If the integration process works effectively, the Syrian refugee situation might
contribute to the diversity and the development of a multicultural structure
in Turkey in the long run. In addition,
the presence of Syrians can strengthen
bonds with neighboring countries and
help provide a better environment for
economic and political cooperation in
the future.
With the above realities in mind, many
points of action need to be taken into
consideration: officially registering all
Syrians, increasing the capacity of local
hospitals and educational facilities, facilitating work permits, providing more
authority to local administrations, coordinating between local and central
authorities, generating extra capacity
and budget for municipalities, creating
community leader groups among Syrians, preparing booklets and webpages in
Arabic, opening up new living areas in
the border cities, increasing international aid, increasing border security, fairly
sharing or distributing the refugee burden, developing programs for Turkish
people to accept Syrian refugees, correcting the Syrian stereotype, creating
a database to understand refugee movements, looking at the issue objectively
without political concerns, preventing
begging, bolstering the efficiency in law
and order, building a capacity for Syrian
refugees are the main points of action
that should be considered carefully by
the authorities.
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INTRODUCTION
The humanitarian factor is one of the crucial aspects of the Syria conflict that has
lasted now for nearly four years. According to the UNs official numbers, 191,000
people lost their lives. On the other hand,
according to the Syrian NGOs unofficial
numbers, 283,000 people lost their lives
so far. Approximately four million people
had to flee from Syria and around 6 million have left their homes in order to settle
in secure areas in the country. More than
half of the refugees outside the country
consist of children and youth under the age
of eighteen. A majority of these refugees
struggle to survive under challenging conditions outside the refugee camps. Syrian
refugees have been struggling to find basic
necessities such as security, food, shelter
and health services, let alone basic modes
of comfort. In addition, the refugee influx
has caused problems for host countries.
Tension caused by economic hardships,
social problems and changing ethnic and
sectarian balances have resulted in conflicts between the host country nationals
and the Syrian refugees.
Turkey hosts the largest population of
Syrian refugees among the countries
neighboring Syria. According to the latest official numbers, Turkey hosts over
1.6 million Syrian refugees as of November 2014. However, the actual number
of refugees could be around 2 million. In
many cities, chiefly those along the border, there are many Syrians who have entered the country through illegal ways and
have not been registered yet. The issue of
refugees in Turkey should be investigated
under two headings, namely Syrians living in the camps and those living outside
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on Turkey was prepared with observations and data collected from field studies. First, an overview of the situation of
Syrian refugees in Turkey is presented. In
the second chapter, the effects of the Syrian refugees on Turkey will be examined
in relation to the economy, social life, security and politics. Because of the unique
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comes from the UN and European countries amounts to only 246 million dollars.
Even though the conditions in camps are
satisfactory, life is challenging for those
who live outside the camps in the cities.
Because Turkey accepted the 1951 Geneva Convection on the legal status of
refugees with geographical limitations, it
cannot accept Syrians as legal refugees.
Even though the individuals inside and
outside the camps can get their temporary
protection identification cards, because of
that reservation, they encounter the geographical limitations. Because of the geographical limitation, only people coming
from Europe with the fear that they will
be prosecuted for their nationality, ideas,
religion, political views or membership to
certain groups can get refugee status in
Turkey. The situation of those who apply
for refugee status in Turkey is negotiated
with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and if these
individuals are eligible, they are transferred to a third country. Thus, Syrians
in Turkey do not have refugee status and
they are considered guests in the formal
terminology.
With the decision of the Ministry of Interior Affairs in October 2011, Syrians registered in Turkey get temporary protection
status. Under the temporary protection
regime protection and aid is provided to
Syrians, covering regulations on indefinite residence, protection against being
sent back under coercion, and meeting
emergency needs. In addition, those living
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Chart- 1 Basic Data About The Refugee Camps Hosting Syrian Refugees (November 2014)
City
Camps
Altnz1 Tent City
Opening
Dates
09.06.2011
10.06.2011
622
30.04.2011
2,816
12.07.2011
510
3,004
Total
Number of Container
and Tents
263 (divided)
Camp
Population
1,372
2,578
1,181Containers
4,965
Changes according to
daily data.
573 Divided+1.368
14,735
Tents +1.181 Containers
2,065
13,414
3,589
24,164
Kilis
Total
Ceylanpnar Tent City 01.03.201
Akakale Tent City
06.07.2012
Viranehir
Harran Tent City
13.01.2013
5,654
4,771
5,000
4,100
2,000
37,578
19.199
26,416
19.986
14,064
anlurfa
Total
79,665
10,674
17.03.2012
28.08.2012
03.10.2012
1,858
11.02.2012
1,000 (Containers)
5,029
33.070
17,215
3,318
17,215
2,012
7,597
2,012
7,597
2,292
9,854
2,292
9,854
2,162
11,124
2,162
11,124
1,300
2,858
1,300
2,858
2,083
7,493
2,083
7,493
Gaziantep
Total
01.09.2012
Kahramanmara
Kahramanmara Tent
City
Total
Cevdediye Tent City
09.09.2012
Osmaniye
Total
Adyaman Tent City
Adyaman
22.09.2012
Total
28.01.2013
Total
Midyat Tent City
19.06.2013
Under
Construction
Mardin
Total
Malatya
Beyda Container
City
Total
12.06.2013
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9,984
7,641
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Chart- 2: Syrian Refugees Living Outside the Refugee Camps (November 2014)
(Cities with 1000 or more Syrians are listed. These numbers only include registered Syrian
refugees. Numbers in the report include unregistered Syrians based on estimates by local
authorities and NGOs).
City
stanbul
330.000
Gaziantep
220.000
Hatay
190.000
anlurfa
170.000
Mardin
70.000
Adana
50.000
Kilis
49.000
Mersin
45.000
Konya
45.000
Kahramanmara
44.000
Ankara
30.000
Bursa
20.000
Batman
20.000
rnak
19.000
Kocaeli
15.000
zmir
13.000
Osmaniye
12.000
Antalya
10.000
Kayseri
9.500
Diyarbakr
5.000
Adyaman
2.500
Samsun
1.230
Nide
1.100
Aydn
1.000
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twined, and it can be observed that Syrians contribute in an important way to the
local and national economy. The most visible and common effect of the new population in all cities is an increase in rental
prices. The increase is an advantage and a
gain for the landlords, whereas it is yet another burden for those low income people
who rent. With an increasing demand and
higher rental prices, it is becoming difficult for renters to find affordable accommodation. Landlords prefer to rent their
properties to Syrians in some cases, because they can offer higher rent payments.
There are even rumors that some of the
landlords were forcing Turkish tenants to
leave so they can rent their houses to Syrians for a higher price. It is apparent that
landlords use the demand created by Syrian refugees as an opportunity. Another
effect created by the influx of Syrian refugees is the increase in the living costs. The
prices for basic food products and houses
for rent have increased, as there is more
demand. Therefore, statistics show above
average inflation rates in cities such as Kilis and Gaziantep.
The second complaint frequently mentioned is the use of Syrian workers in the
industry, agriculture and small business
sectors as illegal, cheap labor. According
to the survey findings of a report investigating the economic effects of Syrians on
Turkey by ORSAM, 40% to 100% of the
people who lost their jobs in border cities
believe that they lost their jobs because of
the Syrians. This perception causes strong
reactions from the local community because they think that Syrians are stealing
job opportunities. In reality, however,
there seem to be both positive and negative effects of the Syrians entering into
the domestic work force. In most cases,
a large part of those locals losing jobs do
so because of normal economic developments.
Employers want the Syrians to enter the
job market, but they want regulations to
be able to hire them legally. Given the possibility of accidents in the work place, unORSAM
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This situation creates opportunities especially in textile and agriculture. This development helps increase the production
and recover exports from the sharp drops
due to the Syrian conflict. For example,
exports from Gaziantep to Syria amounted to 133 million dollars in 2011, and it
increased to 278 million dollars in 2013.
Although a majority of the Syrian refugees come from rural areas and belong to
lower income groups, some business owners and investors, especially from Aleppo,
have also come to Turkey. These groups
of high-income business people primarily prefer Mersin to settle in because the
commercial opportunities offered by the
harbor in the town have attracted these
groups. Another city, which had its business increase with the influx of refugees,
is Gaziantep. There has been a visible increase in the number of Syrian firms registered to Gazianteps Chamber of Commerce since 2011.
Despite the increase in capital flows in the
Turkish border cities, bigger opportunities have been missed in terms of attracting Syrian investments in Turkey. The Gaziantep Chamber of Commerce, though
speculative, maintained that around 25
billion dollars have been transferred to
Europe through Greek Cyprus banks. Although there is great opportunity, there
have not been a considerable amount of
investments by Syrians as of 2014. Conversely, another economic impact has
been the significant commerce generated
in Turkey by the businesspeople from
Aleppo who had great networks and relationships with the Middle East. These
merchants have been distributing Turkish products around the Middle East. Finally, Syrians businesses have had another
positive effect on the Turkish economy in
terms of creating an environment that attracts investors thanks to the flow of labor
force from Syria.
Syrians are also starting to contribute to
the manufacturing, though at a small scale.
Syrian shops, bakeries and shoe manufac-
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that it is very possible that there are individuals among the Syrian refugees who
are closely associated with Assad, ISIS
or the PKK. These beliefs are especially
widespread in the border cities such as
Kilis and anlurfa. Any judicial reprisal
or terrorist attack perceivably committed
by Syrians could affect the Turkish perception of all Syrians in a critical manner.
An event of that kind has the possibility of
turning into a bigger security issue. Thus,
it is crucial that local tensions be observed
very carefully.
Refuges living in cities continue their lives
in the ghettos of these urban areas. This
situation causes a serious challenge for
the integration process, but it also creates an environment that might produce
security issues in the long term. Also,
living under harsh conditions makes Syrians open to the possibility of getting involved in criminal and violent acts. It can
be said that youth growing up in poverty,
who have a sense of being outcasts or who
have identity crises, could be a source of
crime in the future. The locals state that if
precautions are not taken soon, these lost
generations might be the reason for an increase in criminal acts in the future. This
possibility means that even if it is not felt
yet, there may be more serious security issues in the near future.
d. Effects on Public Services
Syrian refugees living in the camps have
no difficulty in accessing basic services
such as health and education. If registered,
refugees in the camps can also have free
health services in public hospitals. Public
hospitals around the border cities serve
the refugees, which may take up around
30% to 40 % of their capacities. Because
of the high rate of service to the refugees,
hospitals in these areas have significant
capacity problems. In these hospitals, not
only the locals and refugees, but also people who are injured in clashes across the
border are treated. Because of the high
number of patients, hospitals are suffering from insufficient capacity in terms of
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c. Kilis
Kilis has also been struggling with the issues caused by its proximity to the border. The local community fears that there
might be criminals or escaped convicts
among the Syrians who might commit
crimes such as kidnapping. They think
that in the case of an event like kidnapping
they will not be capable of doing anything.
So far, there has not been any kidnapping
of a local. However, other refugees kidnapped some Syrians for ransom. Therefore, Kilis feels the negative effects of the
uncontrolled border between Syria and
Turkey in the most apparent way. In addition, locals believe that Kilis has turned
into a hinterland and a buffer zone for the
Syrian opposition. The fear of provocation and having people from the PKK or
ISIS around them is widespread in Kilis.
The biggest threat is the fact that the city
is vulnerable to mass protests that could
occur with little provocation.
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The economy of the town has been negatively affected by the refugee influx. First
of all, exports, which reached 30 million
dollars previously, fell to 10 million before
rising again to 20 million dollars. Howev-
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Besides all these limitations, street begging, problems with unregistered Syrian
vehicles, and security issues cause panic
in the city. There are also more serious
social problems caused by prostitution,
polygamy, and Turkish men marrying Syrian women. These occurrences contradict
the traditional conservative structure of
the community. Other issues such as unplanned settlements, culture clash and
increasing rental prices also exist in Kilis.
Therefore, it is possible to say that Kilis is
one of the most vulnerable cities observed
in our study. There are signs of this vulnerability such as disagreements between
Syrians and locals turning into negative
reaction towards the Syrian community as
a whole. Although the Syrians in the town
form the numerical majority, they still carry with them the psychology of a minority
and feel the need to organize in order to
protect themselves.
Overall, Kiliss citizens feel that they cannot handle more refugees. Thus, community leaders have suggested that if Syrians
are to remain for an extended period of
time, they must be resettled to other cities
in order to share the burden.
d. Hatay
One of the most affected cities is Hatay.
The city has not come to know Syrians
only after the crisis. The border between
Hatay and Syria was practically non-existent before the crisis given the deep crossborder ties. Almost every family in Hatay
has or had relatives across the border. As a
result, Hatay not only faces economic and
social problems because of the Syrian situation but humanitarian concerns, as well.
According to the United Nations data
from October 2014, there were 15,504 refugees in five different camps in Hatay region. The official number of Syrians living
in the city at the time was around 60,000.
However, the number is doubled when the
estimated number of unregistered refugees living in Reyhanl, Antakya and the
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The historical family relationships between Syrians and locals keep the social
environment stable and prevent any mass
disturbance in the community. Locals
maintain that 20% of the Syrians living in
city center stay with their relatives, where
they also receive emotional and physical support. Still, there are reports that
Hatay is like a ticking time bomb. Different groups have the common view that if
there is a spark of unrest, this could lead
to major problems. The fear of losing the
peace is a predominant sentiment around
the city. This fear actually prevents many
issues from being resolved.
In addition, the economic effect of Syrian crisis on Hatay is more severe than
in many other cities. Many citizens in the
city mentioned that Hatay has suffered
from the crisis more than any other city
in Turkey. Every branch of business has
expressed the fact that they have suffered
from the early stages of the crisis in Syria.
It is possible to categorize the economic
effects of Syrian crisis on Hatay in four
categories:
Direct trade: Hatays exports to Syria,
which amounted to nearly 118 million
dollars in 2010, fell to 56 million dollars
in 2012. Even if this number is expected to
increase in 2014, it does not seem possible
for exports to reach pre-war levels.
Transportation/transit crossings: Before
2011, Hatay housed the biggest logistics
companies after Istanbul because of the
citys trade with Syria. The logistics firms
provided countless jobs for the region directly and indirectly. Problems starting
after the crisis reached their peak when
the border was officially closed on July 20,
2012. Only a few logistics companies went
bankrupt, but if a solution is not provided
or alternative routes opened, this sector
might face dire problems.
Frontier trade/Informal economy: The war
economy was initiated in Hatay as it has
everywhere, with the advent of the war. In
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the refugee population living in Osmaniye are of Turkmen origin while a limited
number are of Arab origin.
Since the refugee influx that came to Osmaniye is relatively low, there has been no
serious social disturbance in the city. Although there are some verbal complaints,
there are no serious issues revolving
around the refugees. It can be said that the
fact that majority of the refugees are Turkmen is helping to keep the peace. The biggest concern for the public is an increase
of refugees from different ethnicities. Another concern, as in other cities, is the increase in unofficial marriages.
Even if the Turkmen refugees provide a
positive dimension, there are still complaints from conservative and nationalist
groups. The individuals and initiatives
that organize and collect aid state that the
majority of the donations come from conservative people. However, the willingness
to help is decreasing among them. Another factor initiating and perpetuating dissatisfaction is the fact that refugees have a
different way of life.
Communication between the refugees
and the locals is very limited. The local
community believes that the situation is
temporary and does not want to consider
it a long process. It is frequently stated
that if the refugee number increases by
50%, there will be more serious problems
in the city.
The economic effect of the Syrians is very
limited in Osmaniye. Still, illegal employment of refuges might be an issue. It is
estimated that 2-3% of the refugees are
wealthy, and the rest belong to low-income groups. Most of the illegal workers
can find jobs in construction. According
to reports from locals, there are some
refugees who cross the border to go work
on their fields and who later come back to
Turkey. As an economic effect, the rents
are increasing. The 250-300 TL increase
in the rental prices makes landlords hap-
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In spite of the reactions from small business owners, big businesses do not show
any signs of contention with Syrian refugees. It can even be said that they need
and depend on the Syrian work force. The
public has made suggestions that Syrians
are stealing local jobs, but no real data
shows any indication of that. The unemployment in Kahramanmara is lower
than the national average. The work force
is needed to work in factories and in the
regions agricultural sector. In addition,
there is a new industrial district being
built which will need workers. Business
people in the city think that Syrians could
be a good resource for the new work force,
and that their legal issues regarding work
permits should be resolved immediately.
Consequently, it can be said that Syrians
contribute to the citys economy. Another
small contribution is that a few Syrians
made investment through local businesses. There are two Syrian textile factories,
but their contribution to the overall economy is not crucial. These two companies
employ only Syrians.
Another reason for negative reaction towards Syrians is the economy. Many Syrians have opened their own stores in the
city, and often these entrepreneurs do not
pay taxes, something that causes unfair
competition with local stores. In addition,
the increasing numbers of small businesses such as shops and bakeries have affect-
A staggering 150% increase in rental prices, a lack of available housing, and the fact
that landlords attempt to get rid of Turkish tenants to rent places to Syrians are
common problems in Kahramanmara. It
can be stated that Syrians cause less issues
in terms of security and social problems
in Kahramanmara than in other cities.
There has been no considerable increase
in the crime rates either. The citys homogenous demography has played a role
in keeping the peace, as well. However, in
the long term, an inclusion of an additional 10% Arab population to the city might
cause problems. Thus, business sector
participants, who are not concerned but,
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Approaching the refugee crisis independent of the political arguments: Discussions about Syrians are mainly politically charged. People who are responsible
for bringing attention to the refugee
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the eyes of their Turkish neighbors. Precautions by the local authorities could
be very effective in this case. For example, in Kahramanmara, the authorities
picked up beggars after the July protests
and took them to refugee camps. These
actions helped ease tension in the city.
Preventing the abuse of women and children: The negative effects in the family
and the abuse of women and children
have played a great role in creating a
negative perception towards Syrians in
the Turkish community. This type of
abuse is also a serious problem for the
Syrian community. Awareness activities
and suggestions from community leaders to denounce this kind of abuse, along
with formation of response teams for issues related to abuse, can prevent many
cases from occurring. In addition, swift
action against abusers by local authorities and judicial authorities can prevent
offenders from repeating their actions.
Opening up shelters for Syrian women
or allowing them to use existing shelters
can be a temporary but effective solution to this acute problem.
Providing effective solutions for issues of
public order: In spite of the high number
of refugees, there has not been a serious
public order issue caused by members
of the Syrian community. The involvement rate of Syrians in criminal activities is very low. Actually, in most of the
cases, Syrians are the victims in lawsuits.
In spite of the problems, there is a selfrestraining mechanism among the refugees and the locals in order to keep the
peace. Still, it is important to mention
that a risk of disturbance could occur in
public order. Some groups feel the need
to replace the authorities when they
think that there are not enough precautions in terms of order and security.
Therefore, the judicial system and security forces should be efficient in solving
and resolving problems between locals
and refugees. The authorities must do
this in a fair and judicial manner by act-
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Building overall capacity for Syrian refugees: Building a better capacity platform
to serve Syrians can help in multiple
ways. If programs can be geared towards
this goal, creating a group of community
leaders, ameliorating the Syrian stereotype and integrating refugees into social
and economic life will be easier to realize. The international community is also
reconsidering their insufficient support
and has decided to provide more aid.
Directing international aid towards improving capacity for Syrian communities is a crucial step, as well.
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Governorship of Adana
anlurfa IHH
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SURYEL SIINMACILARIN
TRKYEYE ETKLER
ORSAM
Sleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B ankaya / Ankara
Tel: 0 (312) 430 26 09 Fax: 0 (312) 430 39 48
www.orsam.org.tr, orsam@orsam.org.tr