Xecutive Ummary: Background
Xecutive Ummary: Background
Xecutive Ummary: Background
Executive Summary
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Background
Value and Budget Housing Corporation Limited (hereinafter referred to as VBHC) is developing a
residential project on a plot measuring an area of about 5.95 acres located in Devkhop village, Palghar
Taluka, Thane District, Maharashtra, India (hereinafter referred to as the Project). VBHC is developing this
residential apartment complex through a Special Purpose Company (SPC)1, and the project shall consist of
1-BHK Apartments (each with carpet area of 265-412 sq. ft.; super built-up area of 351-544 sq. ft).
In this regard, VBHC has commissioned Jones Lang LaSalle Property Consultants India Private Limited2
(hereinafter referred to as Jones Lang LaSalle) to provide an independent, expert assessment of the
marketability of the Project being developed by VBHC.
The objective of the market research and assessment is to provide potential buyers of apartment with
supplementary information, which may be of assistance in making the investment decision. Notwithstanding
the foregoing, this Report should be treated as additional information only and shall not constitute formal
advice rendered directly to the prospective purchaser. The readers of this Executive Summary are
encouraged to carefully read the Disclaimer Statement (in the Final Report) to understand the purpose and
objective of this Report to the prospective buyers.
Name of the SPC is VBHC Delhi Projects Pvt Ltd (VBHC-Delhi). VBHC- Delhi has two shareholders, VBHC, which holds the
majority stake, and HDFC Portfolio Management Services, which owns the remaining equity.
2
Jones Lang LaSalle, the Indian operations of Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL), is the only real estate money management and
services firm named to FORTUNE magazine's "100 Best Companies to Work For" and Forbes magazine's "400 Best Big
Companies". It is the premiere and largest real estate Services Company in India, with an extensive geographic footprint across ten
cities (Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, Pune, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Kochi, Chandigarh and Coimbatore) and staff strength of
over 4,000. The company provides investors, developers, local corporates and multinational companies with a comprehensive range
of services including research, consultancy, transactions, project and development services, integrated facility management,
property management, capital markets, residential, hotels and retail advisory. For further information, please visit
www.joneslanglassale.co.in.
Page 1 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
Mumbai, which is the major urban centre of MMR, has a large and active private sector, skilled manpower,
availability of international sea and air port facilities, corporate headquarters of many multinationals and
large industrial houses and many leading research and training institutions. It has an active regional (80% of
total turnover of the country) and national stock exchange and leading financial institutions including the
head offices of many Central government institutes. Mumbai accounts for 50% of Import and export and 40%
of central revenue generated through excise and income tax. Nearly 40% of State Domestic Product (SDP)
originates in Mumbai. Mumbai with its port, manufacturing industries (traditional and modern), government,
financial institutions, trade and services represents one of the most diversified and vibrant local economies.
The region being a financial hub of India is well connected with all tier II & III cities in the country and also
has good connectivity within the region. Mumbai Airport, which is the only major airport in the MMR, is one of
the busiest airports in the country. Most of the international airlines have regular flights to and from the city.
By 2015, the projected passenger traffic is 82 million pax per annum, of which 40 million will be handled by
the existing Mumbai International Airport, and the balance would be handled by the proposed Navi Mumbai
Airport. Road communications with hinterlands for the MMR comprise of four National Highways converging
at Mumbai and 19 State Highways. The four National Highways provide access to Pune (NH4), Goa (NH17),
Gujarat (NH8), Nashik, Indore and Delhi (NH3). MMR is served by two zonal railways, Western and Central.
The Western Railway line connects Island city at Churchgate Terminus to the Western Suburbs uptil Virar
(60 Km) and further runs northward connecting most parts of Western and Northern India. The Central
Railway runs from Chhatrapati Shivaji Terminus (CST) of the Island and serves a large part of Central India.
Suburban services extend from Mumbai CST to Kasara to the north east (120 km) and Karjat to the south
east (100 km). The Central Railway is also responsible for services on the harbour line, which connects the
CST and Western Suburbs and Eastern Suburbs with Navi Mumbai.
Page 2 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
RESIDENTIAL: This asset class in Mumbai is fuelled by the immigrants to the city looking for better job
opportunities. The residential developments in the city range from premium and high end in areas like South
Mumbai, Bandra, Powai etc to affordable housing in Boisar, Palghar, Mira Bhayander, Virar, Vasind,
Shahapur, Karat etc. Historically, the residential sector growth in Mumbai which had started from South
Mumbai spread towards central Mumbai. Due to acute shortage of space within the Municipal limits,
increase in demand and improvement in connectivity, the suburbs also started witnessing residential activity.
Further, Extended Western Suburbs which had been dormant since a long time also witnessed increased
absorption since 2004. Although at present as compared to other residential zones, activities in Vasai, Virar
& Palghar, Boisar region is not very significant, but owing to the connectivity, availability of land and future
proposed infrastructure development initiatives, these are the upcoming residential destinations in MMR.
Increasing level of awareness of the highly educated professionals from the service sector towards larger
living space coupled with better environment & good infrastructure would improve demand of
weekend/vacation homes towards extended suburbs within easy reach (1-2 hours driving distance) of the
city. In almost all the micro markets of Mumbai except for Navi Mumbai and extended suburbs there exists a
wide range of per sqft rates as given in the table below.
Year
Prime south
South Central
Low
Low
High
High
Western
suburb 1
Low
High
Western
suburb 2
Low
High
Extended W
suburbs
Low High
2011 40,000 80,000 13,500 40,000 11,000 44,000 8,000 15,000 3,000
Eastern
suburbs
Low
High
Extended E
suburbs**
Low High
Navi Mumbai
Low
High
* Hiranandani gardens: INR 20,000 and above / Sion: INR 12,000 to 14,000
** Hiranandani Estate and Meadows: Higher than the upper range
During 2011, the fresh supply of residential units in Mumbai Region were around 30,000 units which were
approximately 21,000 units less than the supply during year 2010. There was an average absorption of
around 50% in the new launches of overall Mumbai residential market during the year 2011, which is
indication of low interest of buyers as against the year 2010 when the average absorption rate was
approximately 66%.
AFFORDABLE HOUSING: Affordable housing is a term used to describe dwelling units whose total housing
costs are deemed "affordable" to those that have a median income or less than median income. Although
the term is often applied to rental housing that is within the financial means of those in the lower income
ranges of a geographical area, the concept is applicable to both renters and purchasers in all income ranges.
It is observed in the real estate market that housing demand is generally governed by the affordability. And
affordability is driven by the income level of the households. It has been considered that affordability of a
household to buy a dwelling unit is 4 times the annual income. Demand, supply and absorption analysis of
housing units in different ticket size ranges in year 2011 in MMR has been carried out to understand the
dynamics of demand and supply in various segments of households in MMR.
The analysis indicates that there is a huge unmet demand of housing units in the ticket size range of less
than INR 20 lakh. The absorption percentages of these housing units also support the huge demand
indicators. Maximum supply is of units in ticket size of more than 1 crore however the absorption percentage
in this range is the lowest. Housing units in the ticket size range of 20 lakh to less than 40 lakh available in
the fringe areas are not affordable for their target segment, while housing units available in this ticket size
range in the suburban Mumbai are comparatively smaller in size; hence the absorption figures are lower.
Current supply of affordable housing in MMR is around 12,820 units (unsold units of projects launched in last
3 years). Neral, Karjat, Boisar, Palghar and Shahapur-Vasind are contributing maximum to the total
affordable housing supply in MMR.
Page 3 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
The immediate neighbourhood of the subject site is agriculture lands and few small industrial units. Subject
property is located in the eastern side of the railway line in Palghar. Palghar city which has majority of
settlement in the western side is now witnessing growth on the eastern side along the Palghar Manor road.
St John Institute of Engineering and Technology is a major land mark closest to the Subject property.
The Subject property can be accessed through an internal village road which is off the Manor Palghar Road.
At present the access road is not in a good condition and is narrow. But as informed by the client, necessary
approval for widening and concretization has been acquired from the local authority as well as PWD, and will
be developed once the development scheme is launched.
The Subject property is irregular in shape and does not have direct frontage on an existing public road.
Eight blocks of residential apartments is proposed in the subject property development. A School, Shopping
complex, Play court and Childrens play area are also proposed. The layout has been designed in manner
that the whole development can be carried out in phases depending upon the absorption.
Page 4 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
Primary catchment spreads to an extent of 10 km distance towards north, northeast and south, covering
major settlements of Palghar and Boisar. Of these two, Palghar town in terms spread and population is
relatively more developed in the catchment area. In last few years Boisar town has gained popularity with
respect to real estate development with the launch of TATA Housing Development Companys first
affordable housing project. The primary catchment is not an established real estate market and only the only
asset class under under development is residential specifically affordable housing - is in nascent stage, but
is expected to pick up steam. In terms of social infrastructure the primary catchment has decent social
infrastructure in terms of spread and service. The commercial, retail and hospitality asset class development
in the catchment area is negligible and is only limited to activities involved at local scale.
Palghar lies on the Western Line of the Mumbai Suburban Railway which extends up to Dahanu and lies on
the Mumbai-Ahmedabad rail route. Though there are no direct suburban rails connecting Palghar to Mumbai,
it has interstate shuttle trains (not suburban) which connect Palghar to Virar and Virar to Mumbai. To ease
commuters' troubles who commute from Dahanu to Mumbai, Western Railways has committed that the
Mumbai Suburban Rail services up to Dahanu Road shall begin before March 2013, as directed in the Union
Railway Budget. The Western Railways have already completed the works on conversion from DC to AC
traction on the existing services between Virar and Dahanu Road and at present conversion into EMU
(Electric Multiple Unit) services on this section is underway. Once this work is completed commute between
Palghar and Mumbai shall improve significantly.
SWOT analysis of Subject Property
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
Page 5 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
Page 6 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
Page 7 of 8
Market Research and Assessment of Capital Values and Rental Values for Proposed
Development near Palghar, Thane District, Maharashtra, India
Executive Summary
This achievable pricing is for a residential apartment product for affordable housing project for apartment
development. It may be noted that the above achievable pricing is as on the date of assessment (June, 2012)
and the indicated price is only the base price for the unit saleable area of the apartment. Other charges like
parking, club membership, deposits payable to civic authorities, etc. are chargeable over and above the
base price. Maintenance charges / Society formation are charged at possession as INR 1 or 2 per sq ft of
saleable area for 24 months from the possession. Properties which offer clubhouses (which include
swimming pools, gymnasiums, Indoor games centre, yoga room etc), school, health care centre and
shopping arcades charge around 5% additional on the base price for these facilities. While the projects
which are small in size and does not include in school, health care centre and in some cases clubhouse too
charge around 2-3% additional on the base price. Hence, in the subject propertys case where Clubhouse, a
play school and shopping area facilities are proposed the additional charges should be average at around 45% over and above the base price.
In the case of year wise price increase, the subject property region has seen average CAGR of around 10%15% which is high compared to other residential markets of Mumbai. The availability of land parcels in the
region, the affordable residential supply in other markets in Sub regions of Mumbai, and existing supply we
foresee the CAGR of 10% in the neighbourhood and for the subject property.
Though no notable projects are quoting the rental values, few residential units which are completed but not
within a gated community the rental varies from INR 5 per sq ft to INR 7 per sq ft on saleable area. This
value translates to rentals in the range of INR 2,500 to INR 5,250 per month for dwelling unit with area in the
range of 500 sq ft to 750 sq ft of saleable area. We have taken a small premium from this quoted figure to
arrive at the achievable rental value of the proposed apartment development assuming it to be complete as
of today. Based on the above mentioned assumptions and the expected yield in the said micro market the
following table details the achievable rentals for the proposed development mix.
Achievable Rental Value for the Proposed Apartments on the Project Site
Rental Value
(INR/month)
2,400
3,600
Capital Value
(INR/ sq ft)
2,450
2,450
Yield
Rental (INR/sqft)
3.35%
3.24%
6.84
6.62
There is no rental trend available for the apartments in the micro-market. Considering the fact that the
market typically maintains the capital value & rental value gap, average annual increase of 10% (same as
capital value) is considered for projecting the rentals for future.
Page 8 of 8