Mariott Corp Analysis
Mariott Corp Analysis
Mariott Corp Analysis
Market Value-Target Leverage Ratios and Credit Spreads for Marriott and Its Divisions
Debt
Percentage in
Capital
Fraction
of Debt
at Floating
Fraction
of Debt
at Fixed
Debt Rate
Premium above
Government
Marriott
60%
40%
60%
1.30%
Lodging
Contract services
Restaurants
74%
40%
42%
50%
40%
25%
50%
60%
75%
1.10%
1.40%
1.80%
Table B
Maturity
30-year
10-year
1-year
Exhibit 1
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
Summary of Operations
Sales
Earnings before interest expense and income taxes
Interest expense
Income before income taxes
Income taxes
Income from continuing operationsa
Net income
Funds from continuing operationsb
$1,174.1
107.1
23.7
83.5
35.4
48.1
54.3
101.2
$1,426.0
133.5
27.8
105.6
43.8
61.8
71.0
117.5
$1,633.9
150.3
46.8
103.5
40.6
62.9
72.0
125.8
$1,905.7
173.3
52.0
121.3
45.2
76.1
86.1
160.8
$2,458.9
205.5
71.8
133.7
50.2
83.5
94.3
203.6
$2,950.5
247.9
62.8
185.1
76.7
108.4
115.2
272.7
$3,524.9
297.7
61.6
236.1
100.8
135.3
139.8
322.5
$4,241.7
371.3
75.6
295.7
128.3
167.4
167.4
372.3
$5,266.5
420.5
60.3
360.2
168.5
191.7
191.7
430.3
$6,522.2
489.4
90.5
398.9
175.9
223.0
223.0
472.8
$1,000.3
826.9
309.9
418.7
37.5%
$1,080.4
891.9
365.3
413.5
41.0%
$1,214.3
977.7
536.6
311.5
54.9%
$1,454.9
1,167.50
607.7
421.7
52.1%
$2,062.6
1,634.50
889.3
516.0
54.4%
$2,501.4
2,007.50
1,071.60
628.2
53.4%
$2,904.7
2,330.70
1,115.30
675.6
47.9%
$3,663.8
2,861.40
1,192.30
848.5
41.7%
$4,579.3
3,561.80
1,662.80
991.0
46.7%
$5,370.5
4,247.80
2,498.80
810.8
58.8%
$0.25
0.29
0.026
2.28
2.43
183.6
13.9%
$0.34
0.39
0.034
2.58
3.48
160.5
17.0%
$0.45
0.52
0.042
2.49
6.35
125.3
23.8%
$0.57
0.64
0.051
3.22
7.18
130.8
23.4%
$0.61
0.69
0.063
3.89
11.70
132.8
20.0%
$0.78
0.83
0.076
4.67
14.25
134.4
20.0%
$1.00
1.04
0.093
5.25
14.70
128.8
22.1%
$1.24
1.24
0.113
6.48
21.56
131.0
22.1%
$1.40
1.40
0.136
7.59
29.75
130.6
20.6%
Funds provided from continuing operations consist of income from continuing operations plus depreciation, deferred income taxes, and other items not currently affecting working capital.
$1.67
1.67
0.17
6.82
30.00
118.8
22.2%
Exhibit 2
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
Lodging
Sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
$1,091.7
132.6
909.7
22.7
371.5
$1,320.5
$1,640.8
$1,898.4
$2,233.1
$2,673.3
139.7
161.2
185.8
215.7
263.9
1,264.6
1,786.3
2,108.9
2,236.7
2,777.4
27.4
31.3
32.4
37.1
43.9
377.2
366.4
808.3
966.6
1,241.9
Contract Services
Sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
819.8
51.0
373.3
22.9
127.7
950.6
71.1
391.6
26.1
43.8
1,111.3
86.8
403.9
28.9
55.6
1,586.3
118.6
624.4
40.2
125.9
2,236.1
154.9
1,070.2
61.1
448.7
2,969.0
170.6
1,237.7
75.3
112.7
547.4
48.5
452.2
25.1
199.6
679.4
63.8
483.0
31.8
65.0
707.0
79.7
496.7
35.5
72.3
757.0
78.2
582.6
34.8
128.4
797.3
79.1
562.3
38.1
64.0
879.9
82.4
567.6
42.1
79.6
Restaurants
Sales
Operating profit
Identifiable assets
Depreciation
Capital expenditures
Exhibit 3
Geometric
Average
Returna
22.4%
21.4%
0.97
41%
$6.52
13.3
12.9
0.88
14%
0.77
Holiday Corporation
(Owns, manages, licenses hotels,
restaurants; operates casinos)
28.8
26.9
1.46
79%
1.66
-6.4
-8.6
0.38
69%
0.17
Ramada Inns
(Owns, operates hotels, restaurants)
11.7
2.8
0.95
65%
0.75
-3.2
-7.3
0.75
4%
0.39
20.3
17.7
0.60
10%
0.57
Frischs Restaurants
(Operates, franchises restaurants)
56.9
49.7
0.13
6%
0.14
Lubys Cafeterias
(Operates cafeterias)
15.1
12.8
0.64
1%
0.23
McDonalds
(Operates, franchises, services
restaurants)
22.5
21.3
1.00
23%
4.89
Wendys International
(Operates, franchises, services
restaurants)
4.6
1.08
21%
1.05
-1.4
Estimated by ordinary least-squares regression using daily data over 1986-1987 period.
Equity
Betab
Market
Leveragec
1987
Revenues
($ billions)
Book value of debt divided by the sum of the book value of debt plus the market value of equity.
Exhibit 4
Annual Holding-Period Returns for Selected Securities and Market Indexes, 1926-1987
Arithmetic
Average
Geometric
Average
Standard
Deviation
1926-1987
3.54%
3.48%
0.94%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
1.01
3.67
7.80
10.32
6.16
5.46
1.00
3.66
7.77
10.30
6.16
5.46
0.40
0.56
0.83
0.75
0.19
0.22
1926-1987
4.58%
4.27%
7.58%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
4.14
2.39
1.95
17.85
24.44
-2.69
4.04
2.22
1.69
16.82
24.44
-2.69
4.17
6.45
11.15
14.26
17.30
1926-1987
5.24%
4.93%
6.97%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
4.82
3.05
2.70
18.96
19.85
-0.27
4.76
2.86
2.39
17.83
19.85
-0.27
3.45
6.04
10.87
14.17
8.19
1926-1987
12.01%
9.90%
20.55%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
10.90
11.87
14.81
15.49
18.47
5.23
7.68
10.26
13.95
14.71
18.47
5.23
27.18
13.57
14.60
13.92
17.94
30.50
10.28
9.64
Source: Casewriters estimates based on data from the University of Chicagos Center for Research in Security Prices.
Exhibit 5
Spreads between S&P 500 Composite Returns and Bond Rates, 1926-1987
Arithmetic
Average
Geometric
Average
Standard
Deviation
1926-1987
8.47%
6.42%
20.60%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
9.89
8.20
7.01
5.17
21.31
-0.23
6.68
6.60
6.18
4.41
12.31
-0.23
1926-1987
7.43%
5.63%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
6.76
9.48
12.86
-2.36
-5.97
7.92
3.64
8.04
12.26
-2.11
-5.97
7.92
1926-1987
6.77%
4.97%
1926-1950
1951-1975
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986
1987
6.08
8.82
12.11
-3.47
-1.38
5.50
2.92
7.40
11.56
-3.12
-1.38
5.50
27.18
13.71
14.60
14.15
17.92
30.61
Spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns and LongTerm U.S. Government Bond Returns
20.78%
26.94
14.35
15.58
13.70
14.76
35.35
Spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns and LongTerm, High-Grade Corporate Bond Returns
20.31%
Source: Casewriters estimates based on data from the University of Chicagos Center for Research in Security Prices.
26.70
13.15
15.84
13.59
14.72
34.06
MARRIOT CORPORATION
Computing Cost of Debt
Debt Rate Premium
1.30%
8.95%
8.72%
8.80%
10.10%
44.10%
5.64%
9.90%
4.27%
5.63%
0.9700
41%
0.6986
1.5
1.2844
11.50%
0.60
0.40
7.99%
LODGING DIVISION
Computing Cost of Debt
Debt Rate Premium
1.10%
8.95%
8.95%
10.05%
44.10%
5.62%
9.90%
4.27%
5.63%
0.3693
2.8461538462
0.9569
9.66%
74%
26%
6.67%
1.46
79%
0.3066
0.38
69%
0.1178
Ramada Inns
Levered Beta
Market Leverage
Unlevered Beta
0.95
65%
0.6835
RESTAURANTS DIVISION
Computing Cost of Debt
Debt Rate Premium
1.80%
8.72%
8.72%
10.52%
44.10%
5.88%
9.90%
4.27%
5.63%
Unlevered Beta
Restaurants Division Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Relevered Beta
Cost of Equity
0.7253
0.724137931
1.0189
10.01%
42%
58%
8.27%
1
23%
0.7700
Wendys International
Levered Beta
Market Leverage
Unlevered Beta
1.08
21%
0.8532
0.6
10%
0.5527
1.40%
8.72%
8.72%
10.12%
44.10%
5.66%
9.90%
4.27%
5.63%
Unlevered Beta
Contract Services Division Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Relevered Beta
Cost of Equity
1.43
0.6666667
1.9566
15.29%
40%
60%
11.43%
Lodging
Contract Services
Restaurant
Marriott
Identifiable Assets
Unlevered Beta
2777.4
1237.7
567.6
4582.7
0.61
0.27
0.12
0.37
1.43
0.73
0.70