Six Sigma Green Belt Handbook PDF
Six Sigma Green Belt Handbook PDF
Six Sigma Green Belt Handbook PDF
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Statistical Quality
Control for the Six
Sigma Green Belt
Bhisham C. Gupta
H. Fred Walker
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Contents
List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiii
List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xix
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxi
Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii
Chapter 1 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control . . . . . . . . . .
1.1 Identifying the Tools of SQC. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.2 Relating SQC to Applied Statistics and to DOE . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.3 Understanding the Role of Statistics in SQC . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.4 Making Decisions Based on Quantitative Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.5 Practical versus Theoretical or Statistical Significance . . . . . . .
1.6 Why We Cannot Measure Everything . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
1.7 A Word on the Risks Associated with Making Bad
Decisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Chapter 2 Elements of a Sample Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.1 Basic Concepts of Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Sampling Designs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2 Simple Random Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2.1 Estimation of a Population Mean and Population Total
2.2.2 Confidence Interval for a Population Mean and
Population Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.2.3 Determination of Sample Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3 Stratified Random Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3.1 Estimation of a Population Mean and
Population Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3.2 Confidence Interval for a Population Mean and
Population Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.3.3 Determination of Sample Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.4 Systematic Random Sampling. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2.4.1 Estimation of a Population Mean and
Population Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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Contents
2.5
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Chapter 3
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
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Chapter 4
4.1
4.2
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4.3
4.4
4.5
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Chapter 5
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
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Contents
Chapter 8 PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.1 PRE-control Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.1.1 What Are We Trying to Accomplish with
PRE-control?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.1.2 The Conditions Necessary for PRE-control
to Be Valid. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.2 Global Perspective on the Use of PRE-control
(Understanding the Color-Coding Scheme) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.3 The Mechanics of PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Step 1: Ensure the Process Is Sufficiently Capable . . . . . . . . .
Step 2: Establish the PRE-control Zones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Step 3: Verify That the Process Is Ready to Begin
PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Step 4: Begin Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Step 5: Apply the PRE-control Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.4 The Statistical Basis for PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.5 Advantages and Disadvantages of PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.5.1 Advantages of PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.5.2 Disadvantages of PRE-control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8.6 What Comes After PRE-control? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Chapter 9 Acceptance Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.1 The Intent of Acceptance Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.2 Sampling Inspection versus 100 Percent Inspection . . . . . . . . .
9.3 Sampling Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.1 Lot-by-Lot versus Average Quality Protection. . . . . .
9.3.2 The OC Curve. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.3 Plotting the OC Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.4 Acceptance Sampling by Attributes . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.5 Acceptable Quality Limit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.6 Lot Tolerance Percent Defective. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.7 Producers and Consumers Risks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.8 Average Outgoing Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.9 Average Outgoing Quality Limit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.3.10 Lot Size, Sample Size, and Acceptance Number . . . .
9.4 Types of Attribute Sampling Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.4.1 Single Sampling Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.4.2 Double Sampling Plans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.4.3 OC Curve for a Double Sampling Plan. . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.4.4 Multiple Sampling Plans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.4.5 AOQ and AOQL for Double and Multiple Plans . . . . .
9.4.6 Average Sample Number . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.5 Sampling Standards and Plans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.5.1 ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.5.2 Levels of Inspection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.5.3 Types of Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
9.5.4 Dodge-Romig Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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9.8
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Contents
11.2
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.6
11.7
11.8
11.9
11.10
11.11
11.12
11.13
11.14
11.15
11.16
Appendix
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293
Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331
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List of Figures
Figure 1.1
Figure 1.2
Figure 1.3
Figure 1.4
Figure 1.5
Figure 1.6
Figure 3.1
Figure 3.2
Figure 3.3
Figure 3.4
Figure 3.5
Figure 3.6
Figure 3.7
Figure 3.8
Figure 3.9
Figure 3.10
Figure 3.11
Figure 3.12
Figure 3.13
Figure 3.14
Figure 4.1
Figure 4.2
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xiv
List of Figures
Figure 4.3
Figure 4.4
Figure 4.5
Figure 4.6
Figure 5.1
Figure 5.2
Figure 5.3
Figure 5.4
Figure 5.5
Figure 5.6
Figure 5.7
Figure 5.8
Figure 6.1
Figure 7.1
Figure 7.2
Figure 7.3
Figure 7.4
Figure 7.5
Figure 7.6
Figure 7.7
Figure 7.8
Figure 7.9
Figure 8.1
Figure 8.2
Figure 8.3
Figure 8.4
Figure 9.1
Figure 9.2
Figure 9.3
Figure 9.4
Figure 9.5
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List of Figures
Figure 9.6
Figure 9.7
Figure 9.8
Figure 9.9
Figure 9.10
Figure 9.11
Figure 9.12
Figure 9.13
Figure 9.14
Figure 9.15
Figure 9.16
Figure 9.17
Figure 9.18
Figure 9.19
Figure 9.20
Figure 9.21
Figure 10.1
Figure 10.2
Figure 10.3
Figure 10.4
Figure 10.5
Figure 10.6
Figure 10.7
Figure 10.8
Figure 10.9
Figure 10.10
Figure 10.11
Figure 10.12
Figure 10.13
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List of Figures
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List of Figures
Figure 11.36
Figure 11.37
Figure 11.38
Figure 11.39
Figure 11.40
Figure 11.41
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List of Tables
Table 3.1
Table 3.2
Table 3.3
Table 3.4
Table 3.5
Table 3.6
Table 4.1
Table 4.2
Table 4.3
Table 4.4
Table 4.5
Table 4.6
Table 5.1
Table 5.2
Table 5.3
Table 5.4
Table 5.5
Table 5.6
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List of Tables
Table 5.7
Table 5.8
Table 5.9
Table 6.1
Table 6.2
Table 6.3
Table 6.4
Table 6.5
Table 7.1
Table 8.1
Table 10.1
Table 10.2
Table 11.1
Table 11.2
Table A.1
Table A.2
Table A.3
Table A.4
Table A.5
Table A.6
Table A.7
Table A.8
Table A.9
Table A.10
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Preface
tatistical Quality Control for the Six Sigma Green Belt was written as
a desk reference and instructional aid for those individuals currently
involved with, or preparing for involvement with, Six Sigma project
teams. As Six Sigma team members, Green Belts help select, collect data for,
and assist with the interpretation of a variety of statistical or quantitative tools
within the context of the Six Sigma methodology.
Composed of steps or phases titled Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve,
and Control (DMAIC), the Six Sigma methodology calls for the use of many
more statistical tools than is reasonable to address in one book. Accordingly,
the intent of this book is to provide for Green Belts and Six Sigma team members a thorough discussion of the statistical quality control tools addressing
both the underlying statistical concepts and the application. More advanced
topics of a statistical or quantitative nature will be discussed in two additional
books that, together with the first book in this series, Applied Statistics for the
Six Sigma Green Belt, and this book, will comprise a four-book series.
While it is beyond the scope of this book and series to cover the DMAIC
methodology specifically, this book and series focus on concepts, applications, and interpretations of the statistical tools used during, and as part of,
the DMAIC methodology. Of particular interest in the books in this series is
an applied approach to the topics covered while providing a detailed discussion of the underlying concepts.
In fact, one very controversial aspect of Six Sigma training is that, in
many cases, this training is targeted at the Six Sigma Black Belt and is all
too commonly delivered to large groups of people with the assumption that
all trainees have a fluent command of the statistically based tools and techniques. In practice this commonly leads to a good deal of concern and discomfort on behalf of trainees, as it quickly becomes difficult to keep up with
and successfully complete Black Beltlevel training without the benefit of
truly understanding these tools and techniques.
So let us take a look together at Statistical Quality Control for the Six
Sigma Green Belt. What you will learn is that these statistically based tools
and techniques arent mysterious, they arent scary, and they arent overly
difficult to understand. As in learning any topic, once you learn the basics, it
is easy to build on that knowledgetrying to start without a knowledge of the
basics, however, is generally the beginning of a difficult situation.
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Acknowledgments
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1
Introduction to Statistical
Quality Control
Defined in this manner, a process is associated with production and service delivery operations. Because Six Sigma applies to both production and
service delivery/transactional operations, understanding and mastering the
topics related to SQC is important to the Six Sigma Green Belt.
In this book, SQC tools are introduced and discussed from the perspective of application rather than theoretical development. From this perspective,
you can consider the SQC tools as statistical alarm bells that send signals
when there are one or more problems with a particular process. As you learn
more about the application of SQC tools, it will be helpful to understand that
these tools have general guidelines and rules of thumb for both design and
interpretation; however, these tools are intended to be tailored to each company for use in a specific application. This means that when preparing to use
SQC tools, choices must be made that impact how certain parameters within
the tools are calculated, as well as how individual stakeholders involved with
these tools actually interpret statistical data and results. Accordingly, choices
related to the types of tools used, sample size and frequency, rules of interpretation, and acceptable levels of risk have a substantial impact on what comes
out of these tools as far as usable information.
Critical to your understanding of SQC as a Six Sigma Green Belt is that
SQC and statistical process control (SPC) are different. As noted earlier, SQC
refers to a set of interrelated tools. SPC is but one of the tools that make up
SQC. Many quality professionals continue to use the term SPC incorrectly
by implying that SPC is used for process monitoring as a stand-alone tool.
Prior to using SPC, we need to ensure that our process is set up correctly and,
as much as possible, is in a state of statistical control. Likewise, once the
process is in a state of statistical control, we need valid SPC data to facilitate
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Chapter One
SPC
Capability
analysis
Process
Phase I
Large shifts
Figure 1.1
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PREcontrol
Measurement
systems
Acceptance
sampling
Variables
DOE
Attributes
Phase II
Small shifts
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SPC
Capability
analysis
Process
Phase I
Large shifts
PREcontrol
Measurement
systems
Acceptance
sampling
Variables
DOE
Attributes
Phase II
Small shifts
Applied statistics
Figure 1.2
book, and in most statistical and engineering texts and literature, to reflect
the increasing level of computational difficulty. You should also know that
in practice these tools would be used in a different order, which is applied
statistics, DOE, and then SQC. There are three reasons, all quite logical, for
changing the order of presentation: (1) moving from applied statistics to DOE
is generally considered to be too rapid an increase in computational complexity for many people to easily grasp, (2) moving from applied statistics to
DOE removes the opportunity for development of process knowledge, which
provides the context for a study of experimental factors that come from product and process designs, and (3) it is generally necessary for us to determine
which process parameters need to be monitored with DOE prior to using the
process monitoring tools of SQC.
Figure 1.1 and Figure 1.2, then, represent maps of the topics addressed
in SQC and provide the order of presentation of those topics in this book as
well as in the greater statistical and engineering communities. Figure 1.3
represents an order in which those topics would be applied in process or
transactional Six Sigma, assuming all the tools were to be applied.
The intent of Figure 1.3 is to illustrate that Six Sigma Green Belts would,
where applicable, begin with DOE followed by the SQC tools. Further, Figure 1.3 illustrates that there is a cycle of iteration wherein DOE leads us to
identify appropriate process parameters to monitor. We then use SQC tools
to monitor those parameters, which may lead us to continue with additional
experimentation and process monitoring as we refine our processes to better
meet customer expectations.
Figure 1.3 also shows that once we identify with DOE the characteristics
to monitor in our process, we then use SPC and capability analysis simultaneously to ensure that our process is in a state of statistical control and that our
process variability and mean are consistent with our specifications. Another
important point shown in Figure 1.3 is that we may or may not use a tool
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Chapter One
DOE
Capability
analysis
SPC
Acceptance
sampling
PRE-control
Applied statistics
Figure 1.3
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Each group using SQC tools has different roles and responsibilities relative to the use and implementation of the tools. For example, people in group
1 are commonly expected to collect data for, generate, and react to SQC
tools. People in group 2 are commonly expected to design and implement
SQC tools. They are also expected to critically analyze data from these tools
and make decisions based on information gained from them.
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Chapter One
A
Figure 1.4
A
test, and the more expensive it will be to make process improvement changes.
While making any decisions related to has financial implications, to understand practical differences we need to look at Figure 1.5.
In Figure 1.5 our comparison point changes from the shaded regions
under the distribution tails of Figure 1.4 to the center of the distribution.
Practical decisions then require that we consider how far off the intended
target the observed process behavior is as compared with the statistical difference identified in Figure 1.4. It should be noted that differentiating between a
practical and a statistical difference is a business or financial decision. When
making a practical versus a statistical decision, we may very well be able to
detect a statistical difference; however, it may not be cost effective or financially worth making the process improvements being considered.
Statistically different
A
Statistically different
A
A
Practical difference
Observed
Figure 1.5
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Practical difference
Target
Observed
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Population
Sample
Figure 1.6
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Chapter One
risks exist and that people from different functional areas within an organization may use different terms to describe the same thing. Lastly, we must
realize that choices made during the design of SQC tools, choices related to
selection of consumer and producer risk levels, quite dramatically impact
performance of the tools and the subsequent information they produce for
decision making.
It is not enough to simply identify the risks associated with making
bad decisions; the Six Sigma Green Belt must also know the following key
points:
Sooner or later, a bad decision will be made
The risks associated with making bad decisions are quantified in
probabilistic terms
and risks added together do not equal one
Even though and go in opposite directions (that is, if increases,
decreases), there is no direct relationship between and
The values of and can be kept as low as we want by increasing
the sample size
Definition 1.4 Probability is the chance that an event or outcome
will or will not occur. Probability is quantified as a number between
zero and one where the chance that an event or outcome will not
occur in perfect certainty is zero and the chance that it will occur
with perfect certainty is one. The chance that an event or outcome
will not occur added to the chance that it will occur add up to one.
Definition 1.5 Producer risk is the risk of failing to pass a product or service delivery transaction on to a customer when, in fact,
the product or service delivery transaction meets the customer quality expectations. The probability of making a producer risk error is
quantified in terms of .
Definition 1.6 Consumer risk is the risk of passing a product or
service delivery transaction on to a customer under the assumption that the product or service delivery transaction meets customer
quality expectations when, in fact, the product or service delivery is
defective or unsatisfactory. The probability of making a consumer
risk error is quantified in terms of .
A critically important point, and a point that many people struggle to understand, is the difference between the probability that an event will or will not
occur and the probabilities associated with consumer and producer risk
they simply are not the same thing. As noted earlier, probability is the percent
chance that an event will or will not occur, wherein the percent chances of
an event occurring or not occurring add up to one. The probability associated
with making an error for the consumer, quantified as , is a value ranging
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between zero and one. The probability associated with making an error for
the producer, quantified as , is also a value between zero and one. The key
here is that and do not add up to one. In practice, one sets an acceptable
level of and then applies some form of test procedure (some application of an
SQC tool in this case) so that the probability of committing a error is acceptably small. So defining a level of does not automatically set the level of .
In closing, the chapters that follow discuss the collection of data and the
design, application, and interpretation of each of the various SQC tools. You
should have the following two goals while learning about SQC: (1) to master
these tools at a conceptual level, and (2) to keep in perspective that the use of
these tools requires tailoring them to your specific application while balancing practical and statistical differences.
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2
Elements of a
Sample Survey
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12
Chapter Two
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14
Chapter Two
samplingare given in the following text. Later in this chapter we will see
some results pertaining to these sample designs.
Sampling Designs
The most commonly used sample design is simple random sampling. This
design consists of selecting n (sample size) sampling units in such a way that
each unit has the same chance of being selected. If the population is finite of
size N, however, then the simple random sampling design may be defined as
selecting n (sample size) sampling units in such a way that each sample of
size n, out of N possible samples, has the same chance of being selected.
n
Example 2.1 Suppose a Six Sigma Green Belt wants to take a sample of
some machine parts manufactured during a shift at a given plant. Because
the parts from which the Six Sigma Green Belt wants to take the sample
are manufactured during the same shift at the same plant, it is quite safe
to assume that all parts are similar. Therefore, a simple random sampling
design is the most appropriate.
The second sampling design is stratified random sampling, which at the
same cost as simple random sampling may give improved results. However,
the stratified random sampling design is most appropriate when a population
can be divided into various nonoverlapping groups, called strata, such that
the sampling units in each stratum are similar but may vary stratum to stratum. Each stratum is treated as a population by itself, and a simple random
sample is taken from each of these subpopulations or strata.
In the manufacturing world, this type of situation can arise often. For
instance, in Example 2.1, if the sample is taken from a population of parts
that were manufactured either in different plants or in different shifts, then
stratified random sampling would be more appropriate than simple random
sampling across all the shifts or plants. In addition, there is the advantage of
administrative convenience. For example, if the machine parts in the example are manufactured in plants located in different parts of the country, then
stratified random sampling would be beneficial. Each plant may have a quality department, which can conduct the sampling within each plant. To obtain
better results in this case, the quality departments in all the plants should
communicate with each other before sampling to ensure that the same sampling norms will be followed. Another example of stratified random sampling
in manufacturing is when samples are taken of products manufactured in
different batches. In this case, products manufactured in different batches
constitute different strata.
A third kind of sampling design is systematic random sampling. This
procedure is the easiest one, and it is particularly useful in manufacturing
processes where the sampling is done on line. Under this scheme, the first
item is randomly selected, and thereafter every mth item manufactured is
selected until we have a sample of desired size. Systematic random sampling
is not only easy to select, but under certain conditions it is also more precise
than simple random sampling.
H1277 ch02.indd 14
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The fourth and last sampling design we will consider here is cluster random sampling. In cluster random sampling, each sampling unit is a group
or cluster of smaller units. In the manufacturing environment, this sampling
scheme is particularly useful because it is not very easy to prepare a list of
each part that constitutes a frame. On the other hand, it may be much easier to
prepare a list of boxes, where each box contains many parts. Hence, a cluster
random sample is merely a simple random sample of these boxes. Another
advantage of cluster random sampling is that by selecting a simple random
sample of only a few clusters, we can, in fact, have quite a large sample of
smaller units, which clearly has been achieved at a minimum cost.
As mentioned earlier, the primary objective of sampling is to make inferences about population parameters using information contained in a sample
taken from such a population. In the rest of this chapter, certain results pertaining to each sample design discussed earlier will be presented. However,
some basic definitions, which will be useful in studying the estimation problems, will first be given.
Definition 2.6 The value assigned to a population parameter based
on the information contained in a sample is called a point estimate or
simply an estimate of the population parameter. The sample statistic
used to calculate such an estimate is called an estimator.
Definition 2.7 An interval formed by a pair of values obtained by
using the information contained in a sample such that the interval
contains the true value of an unknown population parameter with
certain probability is called a confidence interval. The probability
with which it contains the true value of the unknown parameter is
called the confidence coefficient.
Definition 2.8 The difference between an estimate and the true
value of the estimated parameter is called the error of estimation.
The maximum value of the error of estimation with a given probability is called the margin of error.
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16
Chapter Two
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For a simple random sample, the sample mean y and the sample variance s2
are defined as
n
yi
y1 + y2 + ... + yn
y=
= i ,
n
n
(2.1)
1 n
1
2
2
s =
(
y
y
)
n 1 yi
n 1 i i
1
2
( y )
i
(2.2)
respectively. For estimating the population mean we use the sample mean
defined in equation (2.1), that is,
(2.3)
= y.
(2.4)
n
2 N n 2
1 .
n N 1 n N
(2.5)
s
V ( y ) =
n
n
1 N .
(2.6)
2
,
n
(2.7)
s
V ( y ) = .
n
(2.8)
If either the population is normal or the sample size is large (n 30), then
the margin of error for the estimation of the population mean with probability
(1 ) is given by
z / 2 V ( y ).
(2.9)
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18
Chapter Two
Example 2.2 Suppose we are interested in estimating the mean yield point
of steel castings produced by a large manufacturer. The following data give
the yield point in units of 1000 pounds per square inch (psi) of a simple random sample of size 10.
83.37 86.21 83.44 86.29 82.80 85.29 84.86 84.20 86.04 89.60
Solution: The sample mean for the data given in this example is
y=
=
1
83.37 + 86.21 + 83.44 + 86.29 + 82.80 + 85.29 + 84.86 + 84.20 + 86.04 + 89.60
10
1
(852.1) = 85.21.
10
1
(83.37 + 86.21 + ... + 89.60)2
2
2
2
83
37
+
86
21
+
+
89
60
.
.
...
.
10
(10 1)
1
= (35.595) = 3.955.
9
Thus, an estimate for the population mean is
= 85.21.
1.989
= 1.96
= 1.233.
10
n
(2.10)
(2.11)
(2.12)
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y=
.
.
...
.
8
90
8
25
7
70
(15 1)
15
1/ 2
= 0.900.
Using equation (2.9) we can see that the margin of error for estimating the
population mean with 95 percent probability is
z0.025
s
0.900
= 1.96
= 0.455.
15
n
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20
Chapter Two
(2.14)
And a confidence interval with confidence coefficient (1 ) for the population total is
T p margin of error for estimating T
or
T p N s z / 2 V ( y ).
(2.15)
Example 2.4 Reconsider the problem in Example 2.3 and find a 95 percent
confidence interval for the population mean and the population total T.
Solution: Using the results of Example 2.3 and equations (2.14) and (2.15),
we get the following:
A 95 percent confidence for population mean is
p margin of error for estimating y 8.033 p 0.455 (7.578, 8.488),
y
and a 95 percent confidence interval for the population total T is
T p margin of error for estimating T 200, 8255 p 11, 375 (189, 459, 212, 200).
2.2.3 Determination of Sample Size
The sample size needed to estimate the population mean with margin of error
E with probability (1 ) is given by
n=
z 2 / 2 N 2
( N 1) E 2 + 2 z 2 / 2
(2.16)
H1277 ch02.indd 20
z 2 / 2 Ns 2
( N 1) E 2 + s 2 z 2 / 2
(2.17)
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86.
Note that the sample size for estimating the population total with margin
of error 6250 (= 25,000 0.25) is again equal to 86. To attain a sample of
size 86, we take another simple random sample of size 71, which is usually
known as a supplemental sample, and then combine this sample with the one
that we had already taken, which was of size 15.
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22
Chapter Two
i =1
i =1
T = Ti = N i i ,
=T N =
1 K
N .
N i =1 i i
(2.18)
(2.19)
Let yi be the sample mean of the simple random sample from the ith stratum.
From the previous section we know that yi is an unbiased estimator of the
mean i of the ith stratum. An unbiased estimator of the population mean ,
which we denote as yst, is given by
= yst =
H1277 ch02.indd 22
1 K
N y ,
N i =1 i i
(2.20)
3/8/07 5:31:12 PM
where
n
1 i
y .
ni j =1 ij
yi =
(2.21)
i =1
i =1
i =1
i = N i yi = N yst .
T = Ti = N i
(2.22)
V ( yi ) =
(2.23)
From equations (2.20) and (2.23), it follows that the variance of the estimator
y of the population mean is given by
st
V ( yst ) =
=
N 2V ( yi )
2 i
N
i =1
2
1
2 i
N
i
ni
N 2 i =1
K
(2.24)
N i ni
N 1 .
i
(2.25)
From equations (2.22) and (2.25), it follows that the variance of the estimator
of the population total T is given by
V (T ) = N 2V ( yst )
K
=
i =1
N i2
i2 N i ni
.
ni N i 1
(2.26)
= N i2
i =1
si2
n
1 i .
ni N i
(2.27)
If either the population is normal or the sample size is large (n 30), then
the margin of error for the estimation of the population mean with probability
(1 ) is given by
z / 2 V ( yst ) = z / 2
H1277 ch02.indd 23
1
N
Ni2
i =1
i2 N i ni
.
ni N i 1
(2.28)
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24
Chapter Two
When the strata variances are unknown, which is usually the case, the stratum variance i2 in equation (2.28) is replaced by its estimator si2 . Then the
margin of error for the estimation of the population mean with probability
(1 ) is given by
z / 2
1
N
Ni2
i =1
si2
ni
1
.
ni N i
(2.29)
The margin of error for the estimation of the population total with probability
(1 ) is given by
K
Ni2
z /2
i =1
i2 N i ni
.
ni N i 1
(2.30)
Again, when the strata variances are unknown, the stratum variance i2 in
equation (2.30) is replaced by its estimator si2 . Then the margin of error for
the estimation of the population total with probability (1 ) is given by
s2
ni
1 N
Ni2 ni
z / 2
i =1
(2.31)
1
N
s2
ni
1 N
i
i
Ni2 ni
i =1
(2.32)
and
T z / 2
s2
ni
1 N
Ni2 ni
i =1
(2.33)
respectively.
Notes
1. An estimate y of the population mean obtained from a simple
random sample coincides with estimate y st obtained from a
stratified random sample if in every stratum ni /Ni is equal to n/N.
2. If the sample size in every stratum relative to the stratum size
is small (ni /Ni < 5%), then the factor ni /Ni in equations (2.25)
through (2.33) is usually ignored.
H1277 ch02.indd 24
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s12 =
(
6
.
48
+
6
.
69
+
...
+
6
.
= 0.1823,
12
12 1
s1 = 0.1823 = 0.427,
H1277 ch02.indd 25
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26
Chapter Two
s22 =
(
10
.
06
+
10
.
25
+
...
11
45
= 0.4277,
12 1
12
s2 = 0.4277 = 0.654,
s32 =
(
.
+
4
77
26
38
24
72
2
= 0.874,
16
16 1
s3 = 0.874 = 0.935.
Using equations (2.20) and (2.22), the estimates of the population mean and
population total are
1
= yst =
1
0.1833
0.4277
0.874
8900 2
+ 10, 600 2
+ 15, 500 2
= $0.225
12
35, 000
12
16
and
1.96 8900 2
0.1833
0.4277
0.874
+ 10, 600 2
+ 15, 500 2
= $7895.07,
12
12
16
respectively.
Using equations (2.32) and (2.33), confidence intervals for the population mean and population total with confidence coefficient 95 percent are
16.00 0.225 = ($15.775, $16.22500)
and
560,000 7895.07 = ($552,104.93, $567,895.07),
respectively.
2.3.3 Determination of Sample Size
The sample size needed to estimate the population mean with margin of error
E with probability (1 ) is given by
K
n=
z 2 / 2 N i2 i2 / wi
i =1
N E
H1277 ch02.indd 26
+ z 2 / 2
i =1
(2.34)
N i i2
3/8/07 5:31:12 PM
where wi is the fraction of the total sample size allocated to the ith stratum.
In the case of proportional allocation, wi = Ni /N. Also, note that if the stratum
population variance i2 is not known, then it is replaced with the corresponding
sample variance si2 , which can be found from either a pilot study or historical
data from a similar study.
Example 2.7 Extending our work in Example 2.6, determine an appropriate sample size if a Six Sigma Green Belt engineer of the company is interested in attaining a margin of error of $0.10 with probability 95 percent.
Solution: From Example 2.6, we have
w1 = 8900/35,000 = 0.254, w2 = 106,000/35,000 = 0.303, w3 =
15,500/35,000 = 0.443.
Because strata variances are unknown, plugging the values of E = 0.1, the
sample variance si2 , N, Ni, and wi; i = 1, 2, 3 into equation (2.34), we get
n 214.
In Example 2.6, in order to achieve the margin of error of 10 cents with probability 95 percent, the company must take samples of sizes 55, 65, and 95
from stratum one, two, and three, respectively (these sizes are obtained by
using the formula ni = n wi). This means we will need supplemental samples of sizes 43, 53, and 79 from stratum one, two, and three, respectively.
Notes
1. The sample size needed to estimate the population total with
margin of error E with probability (1 ) can be found by
using equation (2.34) simply by replacing E with (E/N).
2. An optimal allocation of sample size to each stratum depends
on three factors: the total number of sampling units in each
stratum, the variability of observations within each stratum, and
the cost of taking an observation from each stratum. The details
on this topic are beyond the scope of this book. For more
information, see Cochran (1977), Govindarajulu (1999), Lohr
(1999), and Scheaffer et al. (2006).
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28
Chapter Two
if the sampled population has some kind of natural ordering. Systematic sampling is very easy to implement when the sample is taken directly from the
production or assembly line. Another advantage of systematic sampling is
that the workers collecting the samples do not need any special training, and
sampled units are evenly spread over the population of interest.
If the population is in random order, a systematic random sample provides
results comparable with those of a simple random sample. Moreover, a systematic sample usually covers the whole sampled population uniformly, which may
provide more information about the population than that provided by a simple
random sample. However, if the sampling units of a population are in some kind
of periodic or cyclical order, the systematic sample may not be a representative
sample. For instance, if every fifth part produced by a machine is defective and
if k = 5, then the systematic random sample will contain either all defective or
all nondefective parts depending on whether the first part selected was defective. Therefore, a systematic sample in this case will not be a representative
sample. Similarly, suppose we want to estimate a workers productivity and
we decide to take samples of his or her productivity every Friday afternoon.
We might be underestimating the true productivity. On the other hand, if we
pick the same day in the middle of the week, we might be overestimating the
true productivity. So, to have better results using systematic sampling, we must
keep in mind that it includes the days when the productivity tends to be higher
as well as lower. If there is a linear trend, the systematic sample mean provides
a more precise estimate of the population mean than that of a simple random
sample but less precision than the stratified random sample.
2.4.1 Estimation of a Population Mean and Population Total
If our sample is an every kth systematic random sample, then clearly there
are k possible systematic samples from a population of size N (kn = N), which
we write as
y11, y12, . . . , y1n; y21, y22, . . . , y2n; y31, y32, . . . , y3n; yk1, yk2, . . . , ykn,
where yij denotes the jth ( j = 1, 2, . . . , n) element of the ith (i = 1, 2, . . . , k)
systematic sample. We denote the mean of the ith sample described earlier by
y and the mean of a randomly selected systematic sample by y , where the
i
sy
subscript sy means that the systematic sample was used. The y sy is equal to y i
(i = 1, 2, . . . , k) with probability 1/k, where
n
yi =
yij
j =1
(2.35)
H1277 ch02.indd 28
3/8/07 5:31:13 PM
(2.36)
where
2
Swsy
=
S2 =
k n
1
( y y ),
k (n 1) i =1 j =1 ij i
(2.37)
1 k n
( y Y ),
N 1 i =1 j =1 ij
(2.38)
1 k n
y .
N i =1 j =1 ij
(2.39)
and
Y=
ssy2
n
1 ,
n N
(2.40)
where
ssy2 =
1 n
( yi ysy )2 .
n 1 i =1
(2.41)
(2.42)
V (T ) = N V ( ysy ) = N 1
n N
= N ( N n)
ssy2
n
(2.43)
Sometimes the manufacturing scenario may warrant first stratifying the population and then taking a systematic sample within each stratum. For example,
if there are several plants and we want to collect samples on line from each
of these plants, then clearly we are first stratifying the population and then
taking a systematic sample within each stratum. In such cases, the formulas
for estimating the population mean and total are the same as given in the
previous section except that y i is replaced by y sy.
The margins of error with probability (1 ) for estimating the population mean and total are given by
z / 2 V ( ysy ) = z / 2
ssy2
n
1
n N
(2.44)
and
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30
Chapter Two
z / 2 V (T ) = z / 2 N ( N n)
ssy2
n
(2.45)
respectively.
2.4.2 Confidence Interval for a Population
Mean and Population Total
Using equations (2.44) and (2.45), the confidence intervals for the population
mean and population total with confidence (1 ) are given by
z /2
ssy2
n
1
n N
(2.46)
and
T z / 2 N 2
ssy2
n
1 ,
n N
(2.47)
respectively.
2.4.3 Determination of Sample Size
The sample size needed to estimate the population mean with margin of error
E with probability (1 ) is given by
n=
z 2 / 2 Nssy2
( N 1) E 2 + ssy2 z 2 / 2
(2.48)
The sample size needed to estimate the population total with margin of error
E with probability (1 ) can be found from equation (2.48) by replacing
E with (E/N).
Example 2.8 A pulp and paper mill plans to buy 1000 acres of timberland
for wood chips. However, before closing the deal, the company is interested
in determining the mean timber volume per lot of one-fourth an acre. To
achieve its goal, the company conducted an every 100th systematic random sample and obtained the data given in the following table. Estimate the
mean timber volume per lot and the total timber volume T in one thousand
acres. Determine the 95 percent margin of error of estimation for estimating
the mean and the total T and then find 95 percent confidence intervals for
the mean and the total T.
H1277 ch02.indd 30
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Lot Sampled
57
157
257
357
457
557
657
757
Volume
Cu. Feet
850
935
780
1150
940
898
956
865
Lot Sampled
857
957
1057
1157
1257
1357
1457
1557
Volume
Cu. Feet
1180
1240
1150
980
960
1470
950
860
Lot Sampled
1657
1757
1857
1957
2057
2157
2257
2357
Volume
Cu. Feet
1080
1186
1090
869
870
870
960
1058
Lot Sampled
2457
2557
2657
2757
2857
2957
3057
3157
Volume
Cu. Feet
1080
980
960
880
1030
1150
1200
1070
Lot Sampled
3257
3357
3457
3557
3657
3757
3857
3957
Volume
Cu. Feet
980
950
780
930
650
700
910
1300
1
1
(850 + 935 + 780 + ... + 1300) = (39, 697)) = 992.425 cubic feet
40
40
1
(850 + 935 + 780 + ... + 1300)2
2
2
2
2
(
850
+
935
+
780
+
...
+
1300
)
40 1
40
1
1
( 40, 446, 211.0 39, 396, 295.225) = (1, 049, 915.775) = 26, 920.9173
39
39
40
40000
n
N
V (T ) = N 2V ( ysy ) = 4000 2 666.293 = 10,660,688,000.0.
Using equations (2.44) and (2.45), the margins of error of estimation for the
population mean and population total with probability 95 percent are
z / 2 V ( ysy ) = 1.96 666.293 = 50.59 cubic feet
and
z / 2 V (T ) = 1.96 10, 660, 688, 000 = 202, 360 cubiic feet,
respectively.
H1277 ch02.indd 31
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32
Chapter Two
Using equations (2.32) and (2.33), confidence intervals for the population mean and population total with confidence coefficient 95 percent are
992.425 50.59 = (941.835, 1043.015)
and
3,969,700 202,360 = (4,172,060, 3,767,340),
respectively.
Example 2.9 Extending our work in Example 2.8, determine an appropriate sample size if the manager of the pulp and paper company, estimating the
mean timber per lot, is interested in attaining the margin of error of 25 cubic
feet with probability 0.95.
2
Solution: Substituting the values of ssy , N, E, and z/2 in equation (2.48),
we get
n=
z 2 / 2 Nssy2
( N 1) E 2 + ssy2 z 2 / 2
159.
Note that in Example 2.8, the sample size was 40 and the margin of error for
estimating the mean timber per lot was 50.59 cubic feet with probability 95
percent. In order to attain the margin of error of 25 cubic feet, we will have to
take a sample of at least size 159.
Note: In systematic sampling it is normally not possible to take only a
supplemental sample to achieve a sample of full size, which in Example 2.8 is
159. However, it can be possible if we choose the values of n and k as n1 and
k1 such that N = n1k1 and k = rk1, where r is an integer. Furthermore, we must
keep the first randomly selected unit the same. For instance, in Example 2.8
we take a sample of size 160, k1 = 25 and keep the first randomly selected lot
as lot number 57. Our new sample will then consist of lot numbers 7, 32, 57,
82, 107, 132, 157, and so on. Obviously, the original sample is part of the new
sample, which means in this case we can take only a supplemental sample of
size 120 instead of taking a full sample of size 160.
H1277 ch02.indd 32
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1 n
m
mi =
n i =1
n
N
H1277 ch02.indd 33
1 N
M
mi =
N i =1
N
3/8/07 5:31:14 PM
34
Chapter Two
Then, an estimator of the population mean (average value of the characteristic of interest per subunit) is given by
n
c = y =
yi
i =1
(2.49)
N n 1 n
c ) = V ( y ) =
V (
( yi mi y )2 .
2
NnM n 1 i =1
(2.50)
N n 1 n
2
c ) = V ( y ) =
V (
(
)
y
m
y
i
i
Nnm 2 n 1 i =1
(2.51)
M
T = M y = yi ,
m i =1
(2.52)
N 1 n
V (T ) = N 1
( yi mi y )2 .
n n 1 i =1
(2.53)
N n 1 n
2
z / 2 V ( y ) = z / 2
(
)
y
m
y
i
i
Nnm 2 n 1 i =1
(2.54)
N 1 n
z / 2 V (T ) = z / 2 N 1
( yi mi y )2 ,
n n 1 i =1
(2.55)
and
respectively.
2.5.2 Confidence Interval for a Population
Mean and Population Total
Using equations (2.54) and (2.55), the confidence intervals for the population
mean and population total with confidence (1 ) are given by
H1277 ch02.indd 34
3/8/07 5:31:14 PM
N n 1 n
y z / 2
( yi mi y )2
2
Nnm n 1 i =1
(2.56)
N 1 n
M n
1
( yi mi y )2 ,
y
z
N
i
/ 2
m i =1
n n 1 i =1
(2.57)
and
respectively.
Example 2.10 The quality manager of a company that manufactures hydraulic pumps is investigating the cost of warranty claims per year for one specific
pump model. The pump model being investigated is typically installed in six
applications, which include food service operations (for example, pressurized
drink dispensers), dairy operations, soft-drink bottling operations, brewery
operations, wastewater treatment, and light commercial sump water removal.
The quality manager cannot determine the exact warranty repair cost for
each pump; however, through company warranty claims data, she can determine
the total repair cost and the number of pumps used by each industry in the six
applications. In this case, the quality manager decides to use cluster sampling,
using each industry as a cluster. She selects a random sample of n = 15 from the
N = 120 industries that use the pump. The data on total repair cost per industry
and the number of pumps owned by each industry are provided in the following
table. Estimate the average repair cost per pump and the total cost incurred by
the 120 industries over a period of one year. Determine a 95 percent confidence
interval for the population mean and population total.
H1277 ch02.indd 35
Sample #
Number of
Pumps
250
338
290
160
390
11
460
275
358
285
10
215
11
220
12
10
310
13
320
14
275
15
280
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36
Chapter Two
4426.00
= $42.97.
103
Because we do not have information about the sizes of all the clusters, we
need to estimate the total number of subunits in the population, that is,
M = N M = N m = 120 6.867 = 824.
An estimate of the total number of pumps owned by the 120 industries is 824.
Therefore, an estimator of the population total T (total repair cost for the
manufacturer during one year of warranty period [in dollars]) is given by
= 824 42.97 = $35, 407.28.
T = M
To determine a 95 percent confidence interval for the population mean and
population total, we first need to evaluate s2, which is given by
2
1 n
yi mi y ,
n 1 i =1
that is,
1
( 250 5 42.97 )2 + ( 338 7 42.97 )2 + ... + ( 280 5 42.97 )2
15 1
1
= (38,185.3464) = 2727.5247.
14
s2 =
Similarly, using equation (2.56), a 95 percent confidence interval for the population total is
H1277 ch02.indd 36
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z 2 / 2 Ns 2
NM 2 E 2 + z 2 / 2 s 2
(2.58)
where
s2 =
1 n
( y mi y )2 .
n 1 i =1 i
The sample size needed to estimate the population total with margin of error
E with probability (1 ) can be found from equation (2.58) by replacing E
with (E/M).
Example 2.11 In Example 2.10, determine the sample size if the quality
manager wants to estimate the repair cost per pump with a margin of error
$2.00 with 95 percent probability.
Solution: Using equation (2.58), the desired sample size is
n
(1.96)2 (120)(2727.5247)
(120)(6.867)2 (2)2 + (1.96)2 (2727.5247)
= 37.97.
The sample size should be n = 38. Note that in order to determine the
, for which we need to have a sample and
sample size, we needed s2 and m
thus the sample size, which in fact we want to determine. The solution for
this problem, as discussed in details in Applied Statistics for the Six Sigma
Green Belt, is to evaluate these quantities either by using some similar data
if already available or by taking a smaller sample, as we did in this example.
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3
Phase I (Detecting Large
Shifts)SPC: Control
Charts for Variables
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40
Chapter Three
and happier people on the job, jobs and more jobs. Deming describes this
chain reaction as follows:
Improve quality cost decreases because of less work, fewer mistakes,
fewer delays or snags, better use of machine time and materials productivity improves capture the market with better quality and lower
price stay in business provide jobs and more jobs. (3)
After Demings visit in 1950, this message of a chain reaction appeared on
blackboards in every meeting room of top management in the industrial world
of Japan. Once the management in Japan adopted the philosophy of this chain
reaction, everyone had one common goal of achieving quality.
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3.2 SPC
What is a process? A process may be defined as a series of actions or operations performed in producing manufactured or nonmanufactured products. A
process may also be defined as a combination of workforce, equipment, raw
materials, methods, and environment that works together to produce output.
The flowchart in Figure 3.1 shows where each component of a process fits.
Figure 3.1
H1277 ch03.indd 41
Planning
department
Top
management
Testing in
service
Design
department
Shipped to
consumer
Management
Final product
Training of
workers
On-line
testing of
production
Procurement
of raw
materials
Start of
production
Flowchart of a process.
3/8/07 5:38:58 PM
42
Chapter Three
The quality of the final product depends on how the process is designed
and executed. However, no matter how perfectly a process is designed and
how well it is executed, no two items produced by the process are identical. The difference between two items is called the variation. Such variation
occurs because of two causes:
1. Common causes or random causes
2. Special causes or assignable causes
As mentioned earlier, the first attempt to understand and remove variation in
any scientific way was made by Walter A. Shewhart. Shewhart recognized
that special or assignable causes are due to identifiable sources, which can be
systematically identified and eliminated, whereas common or random causes
are not due to identifiable sources and therefore cannot be eliminated without
very expensive measures. These measures include redesigning the process,
replacing old machines with new machines, and renovating part of or the
whole system. A process is considered in statistical control when only common causes are present. Deming (1975, 5) states, But a state of statistical
control is not a natural state for a manufacturing process. It is instead an
achievement, arrived at by elimination, one by one, by determined efforts, of
special causes of excessive variation.
Because the process variation cannot be fully eliminated, controlling it
is key. If process variation is controlled, the process becomes predictable.
Otherwise the process is unpredictable. To achieve this goal, Shewhart introduced the quality control chart. Shewhart control charts are normally used in
phase I implementation of SPC, when a process is particularly susceptible to
the influence of special causes and, consequently, is experiencing excessive
variation or large shifts.
Quality control charts can be divided into two major categories: control
charts for variables and control charts for attributes. In this chapter we will
study control charts for variables.
Definition 3.1 A quality characteristic that can be expressed
numerically or measured on a numerical scale is called a variable.
Examples of a variable include the length of a tie-rod, the tread depth of
a tire, the compressive strength of a concrete block, the tensile strength of a
wire, the shearing strength of paper, the concentration of a chemical, the diameter of a ball bearing, and the amount of liquid in a 16-ounce can, and so on.
In general, in any process there are some quality characteristics that
define the quality of the process. If all such characteristics are behaving in
a desired manner, then the process is considered stable and it will produce
products of good quality. If, however, any of these characteristics are not
behaving in a desired manner, then the process is considered unstable and it is
not capable of producing products of good quality. A characteristic is usually
determined by two parameters: its mean and its standard deviation. In order
to verify whether a characteristic is behaving in a desired manner, one needs
to verify that these two parameters are in statistical control, which can be
done by using quality control charts. In addition, there are several other such
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tools that are valuable in achieving process stability. These tools, including
the control charts, constitute an integral part of SPC. SPC is very useful in
any process related to manufacturing, service, or retail industries. This set of
tools consists of the following:
1. Histogram
2. Stem-and-leaf diagram
3. Scatter diagram
4. Run chart (also known as a line graph or a time series graph)
5. Check sheet
6. Pareto chart
7. Cause-and-effect diagram (also known as a fishbone or
Ishikawa diagram)
8. Defect concentration diagram
9. Control charts
These tools of SPC form a simple but very powerful structure for quality
improvement. Once workers become fully familiar with these tools, management must get involved to implement SPC for an ongoing quality-improvement
process. Management must create an environment where these tools become
part of the day-to-day production or service process. The implementation of
SPC without managements involvement and cooperation is bound to fail. In
addition to discussing these tools, we will also explore here some of the questions that arise while implementing SPC.
Every job, whether in a manufacturing company or in a service company,
involves a process. As described earlier, each process consists of a certain
number of steps. No matter how well the process is planned, designed, and
executed, there is always some potential for variability. In some cases this
variability may be very little, while in other cases it may be very high. If the
variability is very little, it is usually due to some common causes that are
unavoidable and cannot be controlled. If the variability is too high, we expect
that in addition to the common causes there are some other causes, usually
known as assignable causes, present in the process. Any process working
under only common causes or chance causes is considered to be in statistical
control. If a process is working under both common and assignable causes, it
is considered unstable, or not in statistical control.
The first four tools in the SPC tools list are discussed in the first volume
of this series, Applied Statistics for the Six Sigma Green Belt. In this chapter
and the two that follow, we will discuss the rest of these tools.
Check Sheet
In order to improve the quality of a product, management must try to reduce the
variation of all the quality characteristics; that is, the process must be brought
to a stable condition. In any SPC procedure used to stabilize a process, it is
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H1277 ch03.indd 44
Other
Total
Blistering
Dirt
Pinholes
Corrugation
Streaks
Date
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Table 3.1 Check sheet summarizing the data of a study over a period of four weeks.
Defect type
44
Chapter Three
3/8/07 5:38:58 PM
essential to know precisely what types of defects are affecting the quality of
the final product. The check sheet is an important tool to achieve this goal. We
discuss this tool using a real-life example.
Example 3.1 In a paper mill, a high percentage of paper rolls are discarded due to various types of defects. In order to identify these defects and
their frequency, a study is launched. This study is done over a period of four
weeks. The data are collected daily and summarized in the following form
(see Table 3.1), called the check sheet.
The summary data not only give the total number of different types of
defects but also provide a very meaningful source of trends and patterns of
defects. These trends and patterns can help find possible causes for any particular defect or defects. Note that the column totals in Table 3.1 show the
number of defects (rolls of paper rejected) occurring daily, whereas the row
totals (not shown in Table 3.1 but shown in Figure 3.2) show the number of
defects by type that occur over the total period (four weeks) of study. It is
important to remark here that these types of data become more meaningful
if a logbook of all changes, such as a change in raw materials, calibration of
machines, or training of workers or new workers hired, is well kept.
Pareto Chart
The Pareto chart is a useful tool for learning more about attribute data quickly
and visually. The Pareto chartnamed after its inventor, Vilfredo Pareto, an
Italian economist who died in 1923is simply a bar graph of attribute data in
a descending order of frequency by, say, defect type. For example, consider
the data on defective rolls in Example 3.1 and as shown in Figure 3.2, which
plots the frequency totals (row totals) of each defect, starting from highest to
lowest.
The chart allows the user to quickly identify those defects that occur more
frequently and those that occur less frequently. This allows the user to priori-
30
28
Frequency
25
20
15
11
10
10
9
7
5
5
0
Corrugation
Blistering
Streaks
Pinholes
Dirt
Other
Defect type
Figure 3.2
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46
Chapter Three
tize his or her resources to eliminate first those defects that have the greatest
effect on the quality of the product. For instance, the Pareto chart in Figure 3.2
indicates that 40 percent of the paper rolls are rejected because of corrugation. Corrugation and blistering together are responsible for 55.7 percent of
the rejected paper. Corrugation, blistering, and streaks are responsible for 70
percent. To reduce the overall rejection, one should first attempt to eliminate
or at least reduce the defects due to corrugation, then blistering, streaks, and
so on. By eliminating these three types of defects, one would dramatically
change the percentage of rejected paper and reduce the losses. It is important
to note that if one can eliminate more than one defect simultaneously, then
one should consider eliminating them even though some of them are occurring less frequently. Furthermore, after one or more defects are either eliminated or reduced, one should again collect the data and reconstruct the Pareto
chart to determine whether the priority has changed. If another defect is now
occurring more frequently, one may divert the resources to eliminate such
a defect first. Note that in this example, the category Other may include
several defects such as porosity, grainy edges, wrinkles, or brightness that are
not occurring very frequently. So, if one has limited resources, one should not
expend them on this category until all other defects are eliminated.
Sometimes the defects are not equally important. This is true particularly
when some defects are life threatening while other defects are merely a nuisance or an inconvenience. It is quite common to allocate weights to each
defect and then plot the weighted frequencies versus the defects to construct
the Pareto chart. For example, suppose a product has five types of defects,
which are denoted by A, B, C, D, and E, where A is life threatening, B is not
life threatening but very serious, C is serious, D is somewhat serious, and E
is not serious but merely a nuisance. Suppose we assign a weight of 100 to
A, 75 to B, 50 to C, 20 to D, and 5 to E. The data collected over a period of
study are shown in Table 3.2.
In Figure 3.3 the Pareto chart presents a completely different picture.
That is, by using weighted frequencies, the order of priority of removing the
defects is C, A, B, D, and E, whereas without using the weighted frequencies,
this order would have been E, C, D, B, and A.
Table 3.2
H1277 ch03.indd 46
Defect Type
Frequency
Weighted Frequency
500
450
15
750
12
240
25
125
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750
Weighted frequency
800
700
600
500
450
500
400
240
300
200
125
100
0
Defect type
Figure 3.3
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48
Chapter Three
Once all the ideas are presented using the brainstorming technique, the next
step is to analyze them. The cause-and-effect diagram is a graphical technique used to analyze these ideas. Figure 3.4 shows an initial structure of a
cause-and-effect diagram.
The five spines in Figure 3.4 indicate the five major factors or categories
that could be the cause, or causes, of defect(s). In most workplaces, whether
they are manufacturing or nonmanufacturing, the causes of all problems usually fall into one or more of these categories.
Using a brainstorming session, the team brings up all possible causes
under each category. For example, under the environment category, a cause
could be the managements attitude. Management might not be willing to
release any funds for research or to change suppliers; there might not be
much cooperation among middle and top management; or something similar.
Under the personnel category, a cause could be lack of proper training for
workers, supervisors who are not helpful in solving problems, lack of communication between workers and supervisors, and workers who are afraid
of asking their supervisors questions for fear of repercussions in their jobs,
promotions, or raises. Once all possible causes under each major category are
listed in the cause-and-effect diagram, the next step is to isolate one or more
common causes and eliminate them. A complete cause-and-effect diagram
may appear as shown in Figure 3.5.
Defect Concentration Diagram
A defect concentration diagram is a visual representation of the product under
study that depicts all the defects. This diagram helps the workers determine
if there are any patterns or particular locations where the defects occur and
what kinds of defects, minor or major, are occurring. The patterns or particuEnvironment
Personnel
Equipment
Techniques or methods
Figure 3.4
H1277 ch03.indd 48
Materials
3/8/07 5:38:59 PM
Environment
Personnel
Workers underpaid
No funds for research
Not enough workers
Lack of management
cooperation
Equipment
No proper maintenance
Lack of proper
supervision
Lack of communication
Mishandling of shipment
Design not well planned
Lack of SPC on line
Techniques or methods
Figure 3.5
Improper inspection
Improper distribution
Mishandling of raw
materials
Too many suppliers
Materials
lar locations may help the workers find the specific causes for such defects.
It is important that the diagram show the product from different angles. For
example, if the product is in the shape of a rectangular prism and defects are
found on the surface, then the diagram should show all six faces, very clearly
indicating the location of the defects. In Figure 3.6 the two diagonally opposite edges are damaged, which could have happened in transportation or in
moving this item from the production area to the storage area.
Top
Bottom
Front
Figure 3.6
Back
Left
Right
The defect concentration diagram was useful when the daughter of one of the authors
made a claim with a transportation company. In 2001, the author shipped a car from
Boston, Massachusetts, to his daughter in San Jose, California. After receiving the car,
she found that the front bumpers paint was damaged. She filed a claim with the transportation company for the damage, but the company turned it down, simply stating that
the damage was not caused by the company. Fortunately, a couple days later, she
found similar damage under the back bumper, symmetrically opposite the front bumper. She again called the company and explained that this damage had clearly been
done by the belts used to hold the car during transportation. This time the company
could not turn down her claim, because by using a defect concentration diagram, she
could prove that the damage was caused by the transportation company.
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50
Chapter Three
Run Chart
In any SPC procedure it is very important to detect any trends that may be
present in the data. Run charts help identify such trends by plotting data over
a certain period of time. For example, if the proportion of nonconforming
parts produced from shift to shift is perceived to be a problem, we may plot
the number of nonconforming parts against the shifts for a certain period of
time to determine whether there are any trends. Trends usually help us identify the causes of nonconformities. This chart is particularly useful when the
data are collected from a production process over a certain period of time.
A run chart for data in Table 3.3 is shown in Figure 3.7, in which we
have plotted the percentage of nonconforming units in different shifts over a
period of 10 days, starting with the morning shift.
From this run chart we can easily see that the percentage of nonconforming units is the lowest in the morning shift (shifts 1, 4, 7, . . . , 28) and the
highest in the night shift (shifts 3, 6, 9, . . . , 30). There are also some problems in the evening shift, but they are not as severe as those in the night shift.
Because such trends or patterns are usually created by special or assignable
Table 3.3
Shift Number
10
% Nonconforming
12
12
11
15
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Shift Number
% Nonconforming
Shift Number
% Nonconforming
16
% nonconforming
15
15
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
10
15
10
13
14
15
14
12
12
15
15
15
10
10
14
13
11
12
5
21
7
5
10
8
6
7
6
5 5
2
3
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
Shift number
Figure 3.7
H1277 ch03.indd 50
A run chart.
3/8/07 5:38:59 PM
causes, the run chart will certainly prompt the management to explore how
the various shifts differ. Does the quality of the raw materials differ from
shift to shift? Is there inadequate training of workers in the later shifts? Are
evening- and late-shift workers more susceptible to fatigue? Are there environmental problems that increase in severity as the day wears on?
Deming (1986, 313) points out that sometimes the frequency distribution
of a set of data does not give a true picture of the data, whereas a run chart can
bring out the real problems of the data. The frequency distribution gives us
the overall picture of the data, but it does not show us any trends or patterns
that may be present in the process on a short-term basis.
Control charts make up perhaps the most important part of SPC. We will
study some of the basic concepts of control charts in the following section,
and then in the rest of this chapter and the next two chapters we will study the
various kinds of control charts.
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52
Chapter Three
that some people believe action on output consists of sampling plans and discarding the out-of-specification product, which has already been produced.
Obviously, such an action on the output is futile and expensive. We are interested in correcting the output before it is produced. This goal can be achieved
through the use of control charts.
Any process with a lot of variation is bad and is bound to produce products of inferior quality. Control charts can help detect variation in any process. As described earlier, in any process there are two causes of variation:
common causes or random causes, and special causes or assignable causes.
Variation
No process can produce two products that are exactly alike or possess exactly
the same characteristics. Any process is bound to contain some sources of
variation. The difference between two products may be very large, moderate,
very small, or even undetectable, depending on the source of variation, but
certainly there is always some difference. For example, the moisture content
in any two rolls of paper, the opacity in any two spools of paper, and the
brightness of two lots of pulp will always vary. Our aim is to trace back as far
as possible the sources of such variation and eliminate them. The first step is
to separate the common and special causes of such sources of variation.
Common Causes or Random Causes
Common causes or random causes are the sources of variation within a process that is in statistical control. The causes behave like a constant system of
chance. While individual measured values may all be different, as a group
they tend to form a pattern that can be explained by a statistical distribution
that can generally be characterized by:
1. Location parameter
2. Dispersion parameter
3. Shape (the pattern of variation, whether it is symmetrical, right
skewed, left skewed, and so on)
Special Causes or Assignable Causes
Special causes or assignable causes refer to any source of variation that cannot be adequately explained by any single distribution of the process output, as otherwise would be the case if the process were in statistical control.
Unless all the special causes of variation are identified and corrected, they
will continue to affect the process output in an unpredictable way. Any process with assignable causes is considered unstable and hence not in statistical
control. However, any process free of assignable causes is considered stable
and therefore in statistical control. Assignable causes can be corrected by
local actions, while common causes or random causes can be corrected only
by actions on the system.
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54
Chapter Three
Control Charts
1. Are used to describe in concrete terms what a state of statistical
control is
2. Are used to judge whether control has been attained and thus
detect whether assignable causes are present
3. Are used to attain a stable process
Suppose we take a sample of size n from a process at approximately
regular intervals, and for each sample we compute a sample statistic, say
X. This statistic may be the sample mean, a fraction of nonconforming
product, or any other appropriate measure. Now, because X is a statistic,
it is subject to some fluctuation or variation. If no special causes are
present, the variation in X will have characteristics that can be described
by some statistical distribution. By taking enough samples, we can estimate the desired characteristics of such a distribution. For instance, we
now suppose that the statistic X is distributed as normal, and we divide
the vertical scale of a graph in units of X, and the horizontal scale in units
of time or any other such characteristic. Then we draw horizontal lines
through the mean, called the center line (CL), and the extreme values
of X, called the upper control limit (UCL) and the lower control limit
(LCL). This results in the device shown in Figure 3.8, also known as a
control chart.
The main goal of using control charts is to reduce the variation in the
process and bring the process target value to the desired level. In other words,
the process should be brought into a state of statistical control.
If we plot data pertaining to a process on a control chart and the data
conform to a pattern of random variation that falls within the upper and lower
control limits, then we say that the process is in statistical control. If, however, the data fall outside these control limits and do not conform to a pattern
of random variation, then the process is considered to be out of control. In the
latter case, an investigation is launched to find and correct the special causes
responsible for the process being out of control.
If any special cause of variation is present, an effort is made to eliminate
it. In this manner, the process can eventually be brought into a state of statistical control.
Figure 3.8
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56
Chapter Three
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(3.1)
where p is the probability that any point will fall outside the control limits. It
is quite common to use ARL as a benchmark for checking the performance
of a control chart.
To illustrate, consider
a process quality characteristic that is normally
distributed. For an X control chart with 3 control limits, the probability that
a point will fall outside the control limits when the process is stable is p =
0.0027, which is the probability that a normal
random variable deviates from
the mean by at least 3. The ARL for the X control chart when the process
is stable is
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58
Chapter Three
ARL 0 =
1
= 370.
0.0027
In other words, when the process is stable, we should expect that, on the
average, an out-of-control signal or false alarm will occur once in every 370
samples. The ARL can also be used to determine how often a false alarm will
occur, simply by multiplying the ARL0 by the time t between the samples.
For example, if samples are taken every 30 minutes, a false alarm will occur
on the average once every 185 hours. On the other hand, ARL can be used
in the same manner to find out how long it will take before a given shift in
the process mean is detected. This concept, which we are going to discuss
in
1
= 2.
0.5
Therefore, it will take an average of two hours to detect a shift of 1.5 in the
process mean.
In practice, the decision of how large the samples should be and how
frequently they should be taken is based on the cost of taking samples and
how quickly one would like to detect the shift. Large samples taken more
frequently would certainly give better protection against shifts because it will
take less time to detect any given shift. For instance, in Example 3.2, if the
samples are taken every half hour instead of every hour, then it will take
only one hour instead of two to detect the shift of 1.5, and the process will
produce fewer nonconforming units. So, when calculating the cost of taking
samples, one must consider how much money will be saved by detecting the
shift more quickly and producing fewer nonconforming units.
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OC Curve
Definition 3.4 The operating characteristic curve is a graph of the
probability ( ) of a point falling within the control limits versus the
process shift.
A set of OC curves for the X chart with 3 limits for different sample
sizes n is shown in Figure 3.9. Note that the scale on the horizontal axis is in
process standard deviation .
By carefully studying the OC curves in Figure 3.9, we see that:
1. For a given sample size n and , where is the probability of a
point exceeding the control limits when the process is stable, a
larger shift corresponds to a smaller probability .
2. With a larger sample size, there is a smaller probability ( ) for
a given process shift.
For a detailed discussion of the construction of the OC curve, refer to the first
volume of this series, Applied Statistics for the Six Sigma Green Belt.
As mentioned earlier, OC curves are very helpful in determining the sample size needed to detect a shift of size d with a given probability (1 ). For
example, if we want to determine the sample size required to detect a shift of
1.0
0.9
0.8
n = 20
n = 10
0.7
0.6
n=5
n=4
n=3
n=2
n=1
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Process shift
Figure 3.9
H1277 ch03.indd 59
OC curves for the x chart with 3 limits for different sample sizes n.
3/8/07 5:39:01 PM
60
Chapter Three
Certain rules are widely followed in preparing Shewhart X and R control charts:
1. Take a series of samples from the process under investigation.
Samples consisting of four or five items taken frequently are
usually good, for the following reasons:
a. Samples of size four or five are more cost effective.
b. If samples are larger than 10, the estimate of process
standard deviation obtained using the range is not very
efficient. Moreover, the R chart is also not very effective.
c. With samples of size four or five, there are fewer chances
for any special causes occurring during the collection of a
sample. It is commonly known that if the type of variation
is changing (special cause vs. common cause variation), the
sample size should be as small as possible so that the average
of samples does not mask the changes.
2. Enough samples should be collected so that the major source
of variation has an opportunity to occur. Generally, at least 25
samples of size four or five is considered sufficient to give a
good test for process stability.
3. During the collection of data, a complete log of any changes
in the process, such as changes in raw materials, operators, or
tools or any calibration of tools, machines, and so on, must be
maintained. Keeping a log is important for finding the special
causes in a process.
Calculation of Sample Statistics
The
sample statistics that need to be determined in order to prepare Shewhart
X and R control charts are the sample mean (x) and the sample range (R). For
example, let x1, x2, . . . , xn be a random sample from a process that is under
investigation. We have
x1 + x 2 + ... + x n
,
n
(3.2)
R = max ( xi ) min ( xi ).
(3.3)
x=
H1277 ch03.indd 60
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R1 + R2 + ... + Rm
,
m
(3.4)
x1 + x 2 + ... + x m
.
m
(3.5)
x=
(3.6)
R
d2 n
= x + A2 R ,
(3.7)
CL = x ,
LCL = x 3 x
= x 3
= x 3
R
d2 n
(3.8)
= x A2 R ,
where the values of A2 and d2 for various sample sizes are given in Table A.2.
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62
Chapter Three
n
R
d2 n
(3.9)
,
n
R
d2 n
(3.10)
.
R
d2
(3.11)
d3
)R
d2
= D4 R ,
(3.12)
CL = R,
LCL = R 3 R
= R 3d3
R
d2
(3.13)
d
= (1 3 3 ) R
d2
= D3 R ,
where the values of D3 and D4 for various sample sizes are given in Table A.2.
The first implementation of control charts is referred to as phase I. In phase I
it is important that we calculate the preliminary control limits, which allows us
to find the extent of variation in sample means and sample ranges if the process is stable. In other words, at this point only common causes would affect
the process. If all the plotted points fall within the control limits and there is
no evidence of any pattern, then the control limits are suitable for a current or
future process. However, if some points exceed the control limits, then such
points are ignored and every effort is made to eliminate any evident special
causes present in the process. Fresh control limits are then calculated by using
the remaining data, and the whole process is repeated again. Remember that
H1277 ch03.indd 62
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ignoring the points that exceed the control limits without eliminating the special causes may result in unnecessarily narrow control limits, which may lead
to putting the points beyond the control limits when, in fact, they should not
be. Furthermore, it is highly recommended that for preliminary control limits,
25 samples of size four or five should be used. Otherwise, the control limits
may not be suitable for the current and future process.
Example 3.4 Table 3.4 provides data on the diameter measurements of
ball bearings used in the wheels of heavy construction equipment. Twentyfive samples, each of size four, are taken directly from the production line.
Samples come from all three shifts, and no sample contains data from more
than one shift. Use these data to construct X and R charts and to verify that
the process is stable.
Table 3.4 Diameter measurements (in mm) of ball bearings used in the wheels of
heavy construction equipment.
R
Sample
Observations
x
i
H1277 ch03.indd 63
15.155
15.195
15.145
15.125
15.155
0.070
15.095
15.162
15.168
15.163
15.147
0.073
15.115
15.126
15.176
15.183
15.150
0.068
15.122
15.135
15.148
15.155
15.140
0.033
15.148
15.152
15.192
15.148
15.160
0.044
15.169
15.159
15.173
15.175
15.169
0.016
15.163
15.147
15.137
15.145
15.148
0.026
15.150
15.164
15.156
15.170
15.160
0.020
15.148
15.162
15.163
15.147
15.155
0.016
10
15.152
15.138
15.167
15.155
15.153
0.029
11
15.147
15.158
15.175
15.160
15.160
0.028
12
15.158
15.172
15.142
15.120
15.148
0.052
13
15.133
15.177
15.145
15.165
15.155
0.044
14
15.148
15.174
15.155
15.175
15.155
0.027
15
15.143
15.137
15.164
15.156
15.150
0.027
16
15.142
15.150
15.168
15.152
15.153
0.026
17
15.132
15.168
15.154
15.146
15.150
0.036
18
15.172
15.188
15.178
15.194
15.183
0.022
19
15.174
15.166
15.186
15.194
15.180
0.028
20
15.166
15.178
15.192
15.184
15.180
0.026
21
15.172
15.187
15.193
15.180
15.183
0.021
22
15.182
15.198
15.185
15.195
15.190
0.016
23
15.170
15.150
15.192
15.180
15.173
0.042
24
15.186
15.194
15.175
15.185
15.185
0.019
25
15.178
15.192
15.168
15.182
15.180
x = 15.1628
0.024
R = 0.03479
3/8/07 5:39:02 PM
64
Chapter Three
The X chart for these data is given in Figure 3.10, which shows that point 22
exceeds the UCL. Moreover, there are too many consecutive points that fall
below the CL. This indicates that the process is not under control and that
there are some special causes present that are affecting the process average.
A thorough investigation should be launched to find the special causes, and
appropriate action should be taken to eliminate them before recalculating the
control limits for an ongoing process.
A process is considered out of control not only when the points exceed
the control limits, but also when the points show patterns of nonrandomness.
The Western Electric Statistical Quality Control Handbook (1956, 27) gives
a set of decision rules for determining nonrandom patterns on control charts.
In particular, it suggests the patterns are nonrandom if:
1. Two out of three successive points exceed the 2 warning limits
2. Four out of five successive points fall at a distance of 1 or
beyond from the CL
3. Eight successive points fall on one side of the CL
4. Seven successive points run either upward or downward
interpreting the X chart. As discussed earlier, the reason for doing this is simple. It is not possible to bring the average under control without first bringing
H1277 ch03.indd 64
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Xbar Chart
UCL = 15.18814
Sample Mean
15.18
X = 15.1628
15.16
15.14
LCL = 15.13746
2
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
R Chart
UCL = 0.07936
Sample Range
0.08
0.06
0.04
R = 0.03479
0.02
LCL = 0
0.00
2
Figure 3.10
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
The X and R control charts, constructed using MINITAB, for the ball bearing data in Table 3.4.
the variability under control. Normally the X chart is placed above the R chart,
and they are aligned with each other in such a manner that the average and the
range for any sample are plotted on the same vertical line. Examine whether
one, both, or neither chart indicates that the process is out of control for any
given sample. If any point exceeds the control limits in either or both charts,
then the sample did not come from a stable process. In other words, there are
some special or assignable causes present in the system. More precisely, if
the plotted point exceeds the control limits in the R chart, it is evident that the
variability of the process has changed. But before a full-blown investigation
is launched, some preliminary checks should be made:
1. Check that all calculations are correct or that the data are
entered in the computer correctly.
2. Check whether there is any change in workers, machines, or the
supplier of raw materials.
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66
Chapter Three
If the points exceed the control limits in the X chart, then the process mean
has changed. Again, follow the preliminary checks before launching an
investigation.
If points exceed the limits in both the X chart and the R chart, this usually
indicates that a sudden shift has occurred in the lot from which the samples
were taken. In such cases, after making the preliminary checks, there should
be an investigation concentrating on the period during which that lot was
produced. Depending on the process, stopping production until the special
causes are detected should be considered.
In addition to points exceeding the control limits, nonrandom patterns
such as a run of seven points moving upward or downward, or a run of eight
successive points falling above or below the CL should be checked.
An upward run or a run above the CL in an R chart indicates:
1. A greater variability or a tendency of perpetuating a greater
variability in the output of the process is occurring. This may be
due to new material of undesirable low quality or a difference
between the shifts. Immediate attention to detect special causes
is warranted.
2. The measurement system has changed.
A downward run or a run below the CL in an R chart indicates:
1. A smaller variability or a tendency of perpetuating a smaller
variability in the output of the process is occurring. This is
usually a good sign for the process. A thorough investigation
should be made so that similar conditions are maintained as
long as possible. Similar conditions should be implemented
elsewhere in the process.
2. The measurement system has changed.
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change in sample size, new control limits should be recalculated. This situation may arise if it is decided to take smaller samples more frequently, which
usually is the case when one wants to catch larger shifts (larger than 1.5)
without increasing the total number of parts sampled over the whole sampling period. Another scenario is when it is decided to increase the sample
size but sample less frequently, which usually is the case when one wants to
catch smaller shifts (shifts of 1.5 or smaller). To recalculate the new control
limits, proceed as follows:
1. Estimate the process standard deviation using the existing
sample size
=
R
,
d2
(3.14)
where R is the sample range average for the period with ranges
in control, and the value of d2 is found in Table A.2 for the
existing sample size.
2. Using the values for d2, D3, D4, and A2 from Table A.2 for the
new sample size, calculate the new range and control limits as
follows:
Estimate the new sample range average, that is,
Rnew = d 2 .
Then the new control limits for the X control chart are
(3.15)
LCL = x A2 Rnew ,
CL = x ,
(3.16)
UCL = x + A2 Rnew ,
and the new control limits for the R control chart are
LCL = D3 Rnew ,
CL = Rnew ,
(3.17)
UCL = D4 Rnew .
Example 3.5 To illustrate the technique of calculating the new control limits, consider the X and R control charts developed for the ball bearing data
in Example 3.4. The chartsin Figure 3.10 are based on a sample size of four.
Because one point in the X chart exceeded the control limit, there may be
a small shift in the process mean. Thus, the Six Sigma Green Belt wants to
increase the sample size to six. Determine
the control limits required for the
new samples of size six for both the X chart and the R chart.
Solution: From Table A.2 for n = 4, d2 = 2.059. From Example 3.4 and
using equation (3.14), we have
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68
Chapter Three
R 0.03479
=
= 0.0169.
2.059
d2
Again, from Table A.2 for n = 6, d2 = 2.534. Using equation (3.15), we have
Rnew = 2.534 0.0169 = 0.0428246.
The new control limits for the X control chart for samples of size six are
LCL = 15.1628 0.483 0.0428246 = 15.1421,
CL = 15.1628,
UCL = 15.1628 + 0.483 0.0428246 = 15.18348.
The new control limits for the R control chart for samples of size six are
LCL = 0 0.0428246 = 0,
CL = 0.0428246,
UCL = 2.004 0.00428246 = 0.08582.
Note that the net result of increasing the sample size is to narrow the control
limits for the X chart and to move the CL and the control limits for the R chart
higher. This is because the expected range value for the larger sample increases.
In this example, however, the LCL for the R chart remains the same because the
value of D3 for sample sizes four and six is zero.
,
n
CL = ,
LCL = 3
(3.18)
(3.19)
.
n
(3.20)
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(3.21)
= D2 ,
CL = ,
(3.22)
LCL = d 2 3 R
= d 2 3d3
= (d 2 3d3 )
(3.23)
= D1 ,
where the values of D1 and D2 for various sample sizes are given in Table A.2.
3.3.3 Shewhart Control Chart for Individual Observations
Sometimes it is necessary to study SPC using individual observations only
because it may not be feasible to form rational subgroups of size greater than
one. This scenario, for example, would arise when:
1. Sampling is very expensive and it is not economical to take
samples of size greater than one.
2. Observations are collected through experimentation and it may
take several days or weeks to take one observation.
3. The circumstances warrant that each unit must be inspected or
the process is completely automated, so that the measurement
on each observation can be taken without much extra expense.
4. Only a few units are produced each day and the difference is
between the units and not within the units, so one observation
from each unit is sufficient.
5. Sampling is destructive and the units are very expensive. For
example, certain bulbs for projectors are very expensive. If we
want to study the life of such bulbs, then collecting the data will
cause the bulbs to be destroyed.
The control charts for individual observations are very similar to X and R control charts. However, in the case of individual observations, because the sample contains only one observation, it is not possible to find the sample range in
the usual manner. Instead, we find the sample range as the absolute difference
between the two successive observations. This type of sample range is usually
known as the moving range (MR), that is,
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70
Chapter Three
MR k = x k x k 1 ,
(3.24)
H1277 ch03.indd 70
Observation
15.155
15.095
0.060
15.115
0.020
MRk
15.122
0.007
15.148
0.026
15.169
0.021
15.163
0.006
15.150
0.013
15.148
0.002
10
15.152
0.004
11
15.147
0.005
12
15.158
0.011
13
15.133
0.025
14
15.148
0.015
15
15.143
0.005
16
15.142
0.001
17
15.132
0.010
18
15.172
0.040
19
15.174
0.002
20
15.166
0.008
21
15.172
0.006
22
15.182
0.010
23
15.170
0.012
24
15.186
0.016
25
15.178
x = 15.1528
0.008
R = 0.01387
3/8/07 5:39:03 PM
As in the case of the X and R charts, it is customary to prepare the R chart first
and verify that all the plotted points fall within the control limits, and only
then proceed to construct the X chart.
The R chart for the preceding data is given in Figure 3.11, which shows
that process variability is not under control, because the first point exceeds
the UCL, and point 16 is almost on the LCL. As a matter of principle, we
should investigate the special causes of this variability and eliminate such
causes before we construct the X chart. We assume here, for illustration, that
these special causes have been detected and eliminated, and therefore we proceed to calculate the control limits for the X chart. Note that in practice, these
MR-Control Chart
UCL = 15.1897
Individual Value
15.18
15.16
X = 15.1528
15.14
15.12
LCL = 15.1159
15.10
2
10
12
14
Observation
16
18
20
22
24
Moving Range
0.060
UCL = 0.04533
0.045
0.030
0.015
R = 0.01387
0.000
LCL = 0
2
Figure 3.11
H1277 ch03.indd 71
10
12
14
Observation
16
18
20
22
24
The MR control chart, constructed using MINITAB, for the ball bearing data in Table 3.5.
3/8/07 5:39:03 PM
72
Chapter Three
R
0.01387
= 15.1528 3
= 15.1159,
d2
1.128
UCL = x + 3 = x + 3
R
0.01387
= 15.1528 + 3
= 15.1897.
d2
1.128
Notice, however,
there is little difference in how we compute the control
limits for the X chart and the X chart. For calculating the control limits of the
X chart, we always use sample size n = 1. In other words, we do not use the
sample size n = 2 or the control limits as x 3 2 ; rather, we simply use
the control limits as x 3 because n = 2 is used only for determining the
control limits of the R chart and for estimating . The X chart for the preceding data is given in Figure 3.11, which shows that points 2 and 3 fall below
the LCL. Moreover, there are too many consecutive points that fall above
the CL. This indicates that the process is not under control and that there are
some special causes present that are affecting the process average. Therefore,
a thorough investigation should be launched to find the special causes, and
appropriate action should be taken to eliminate them.
Note: There are some limitations of using Shewhart charts for individual
observations.
If the process characteristic is nonnormal, the rules applicable
to the X chart may not hold for the X chart, because x usually behaves like normal as a result of the central limit theorem, even if the process distribution is
not normal. This would not be true for individual observations. Therefore, in
such cases the X charts may give signals of special causes when they are not
actually present. Also, note that the ranges are not independent, because the
two adjacent ranges have a common point. Hence a run of successive points
falling near or beyond the control limits does not have the same significance
as in an ordinary control chart. For more detailed discussion on this topic, we
recommend Montgomery (2005b), an excellent source.
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The control limits for the X and S control charts are determined as shown in
the following section.
s1 + s2 + ... + sm
,
m
x1 + x 2 + ... + x m
.
m
UCL = x + 3
= x +3
(3.26)
(3.27)
n
s
(3.28)
c4 n
= x + A3 s ,
(3.29)
CL = x ,
LCL = x 3
= x 3
n
s
(3.30)
c4 n
= x A3 s ,
where the values of A3 and c4 for various sample sizes are given in Table A.2.
Note: Instead of calculating 3 limits, we can also calculate the probability limits at the desired level of significance simply by replacing 3 with z/2
in equations (3.24) and (3.25). Thus, the control limits will be
UCL = x + z / 2
n
(3.31)
s
= x + z/2
,
c4 n
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74
Chapter Three
(3.32)
CL = x ,
LCL = x z / 2
= x z/2
n
s
c4 n
(3.33)
.
s
1 c42
c4
= 1 + 3
1 c42 s
c4
(3.34)
= B4 s ,
CL = s ,
(3.35)
LCL = s 3 s
= s 3
s
1 c42
c4
= 1 3
1 c42 s
c4
(3.36)
= B3 s .
Example 3.7 Use the ball bearing data in Table 3.4 to construct the X and
S control charts.
Solution: From Table A.2 for a sample of size n = 4, we have B3 = 0 and B4
= 2.266. Thus, the control limits for the S control chart are
LCL = B3 s = 0 0.01557 = 0,
UCL = B4 s = 2.266 0.01557 = 0.03527.
It is customary to prepare the S control chart first and verify that all the plotted
points fall within the control limits, and only then do we construct the
X control chart. As described earlier, the concept of first bringing the process variability under control and then proceeding to control the average does
make a lot of sense because without controlling the process variability, it is
impossible to bring the process average under control.
The S chart for the preceding data is given in Figure 3.12, which shows
that points 2 and 3 almost coincide with the UCL. Moreover, point 17 is
H1277 ch03.indd 74
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Xbar Chart
UCL = 15.18814
Sample Mean
15.18
X = 15.1628
15.16
15.14
LCL = 15.13746
2
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
S Chart
0.04
Sample StDev
UCL = 0.03572
0.03
0.02
S = 0.01557
0.01
LCL = 0
0.00
2
Figure 3.12
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
The X and S control charts, constructed using MINITAB, for the ball bearing data in Table 3.4.
almost on the CL. If this point were clearly below the CL, we would have
had a run of nine points below the CL. These observations indicate that the
process variability is marginally under control, and therefore, the process
should be carefully monitored. Because the process variability is under control,
albeit marginally, we can proceed to calculate the control limits for the
X chart. From Table A.2 for a sample of size n = 4, we get A3 = 1.628. Thus,
we have
LCL = x A3 s = 15.1628 1.628 0.01557 = 15.13746,
UCL = x + A3 s = 15.1628 + 1.628 0.01557 = 15.13746.
The X chart for the data in Table 3.4 is given in Figure 3.12, which shows
that point 22 exceeds the UCL. Moreover, there are too many consecutive
points that fall below the CL. This indicates that the process is not under
control and that there are some special causes present that are affecting the
process average. Thus, a thorough investigation should be launched to find
the special causes, and appropriate action should be taken to eliminate them
before we proceed to recalculate the control limits for an ongoing process.
H1277 ch03.indd 75
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76
Chapter Three
square root of the pooled estimator s2 of 2 as the CLs for the X and S charts,
respectively. The upper and lower control limits are calculated for individual
samples. For example, if the sample sizes are n1, n2, n3, . . . , nm, then the
ni xi
i =1
m
x=
ni
ni xi
i =1
(3.37)
i =1
s = s2 =
(ni 1)si2
i =1
m
(ni 1)
(ni 1)si2
i =1
N m
(3.38)
i =1
(3.39)
LCL x = x A3si ,
(3.40)
UCL s = s + B4 si ,
(3.41)
LCL s = s B3si ,
(3.42)
and
respectively. The values A3, B3, and B4 depend on the individual sample sizes.
To illustrate the development of these charts, we use the data presented in
Example 3.8.
Example 3.8 A manufacturing process produces piston rings with a finished inside diameter of 9 centimeters and a standard deviation of 0.03 centimeter. From this process, 30 samples of variable sizes are carefully selected
so that no sample comes from two machines or two shifts. In other words,
every effort is made to ensure that no sample
masks any special causes. The
data are shown in Table 3.6. Construct X and S control charts for these data
H1277 ch03.indd 76
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and plot all the points in the X and S charts to determine whether the process
is stable.
Solution: Using equations (3.37) and (3.38) and the data given in Table
3.6, we get
x = 9.0002, s = 0.02812.
Now using equations (3.39)(3.42), the control limits for both X and S control charts, shown in Figure 3.13, are calculated. From Figure 3.13
we see
that process variability is under control; however, point 19 in the X chart falls
below the LCL, which implies that some special causes affecting the process
mean are present in the process.
Xbar Chart
Sample Mean
9.050
UCL = 9.0276
9.025
9.000
X = 9.0002
8.975
LCL = 8.9728
8.950
2
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
S Chart
Sample StDev
0.060
0.045
UCL = 0.04826
0.030
S = 0.02812
0.015
LCL = 0.00798
0.000
2
Figure 3.13
H1277 ch03.indd 77
10
12
14
Sample
16
18
20
22
24
The X and S control charts for variable sample sizes, constructed using MINITAB, for the
piston ring data in Table 3.6.
3/8/07 5:39:05 PM
H1277 ch03.indd 78
9.01759
9.00974
8.97809
9.04504
9.04544
8.98229
9.02982
9.01322
8.99775
8.98140
8.94018
8.96117
9.02374
8.94363
8.99341
9.02781
8.96783
8.98993
8.95677
9.01965
8.97892
8.99523
9.05596
9.03412
9.00277
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
9.00651
8.97335
9.02182
9.00044
8.98553
9.00524
9.00000
8.97726
8.94662
9.02093
9.02318
9.00214
8.99673
9.00420
9.06380
8.99443
9.02773
8.99716
9.00707
9.02346
8.95615
8.99329
8.98972
8.95902
8.97730
9.02906
9.00136
8.94953
9.02239
9.01042
9.02506
8.98083
8.97231
9.02595
8.97963
8.96106
8.97526
8.96257
9.02410
8.97868
8.99374
8.99505
8.98482
9.00735
8.98103
9.00747
8.99112
8.97877
9.02650
9.02472
8.97863
9.08037
9.03914
8.93990
8.97291
8.99299
8.97502
8.93709
9.07156
8.98019
9.00023
8.98661
8.99945
9.06514
9.01246
9.05063
9.00820
8.92890
8.96042
8.97341
8.99861
9.01239
9.01464
8.97163
9.03616
8.99956
9.04301
8.97235
8.96644
9.01599
8.95167
8.93080
8.97035
9.02688
9.01428
9.01309
9.02040
9.01848
8.97921
8.96870
9.00155
9.03221
9.03727
8.97471
8.96475
8.99077
8.97850
9.00623
9.04754
9.05257
8.99291
8.97701
9.00869
8.99666
8.98578
8.94690
8.96499
8.96584
9.03871
8.95582
9.02238
9.02770
9.02223
8.99593
9.03501
8.94485
8.96801
8.94890
9.00518
9.03892
8.97543
8.98055
9.05096
9.00121
Observations
Sample #
Table 3.6
8.97211
9.02727
9.01031
8.96103
9.03979
8.98951
8.99007
9.03058
8.96735
9.02901
8.98201
9.04670
8.98242
9.02173
8.99009
8.99561
8.98887
8.97958
9.00877
9.00361
9.02725
9.03449
9.01371
9.00742
8.96032
9.01304
8.99283
9.00383
9.02577
9.03164
8.98401
9.02050
8.98418
9.02115
9.03749
8.98826
8.97847
8.99326
8.99202
9.06247
9.02029
8.94999
9.04678
8.95438
9.01795
8.96140
9.05866
9.03710
9.03646
9.01492
9.00215
9.01754
9.00865
9.01016
9.00595
9.05982
78
Chapter Three
3/8/07 5:39:05 PM
Note: If the sample sizes do not vary too much, then it is quite common to
use the average sample size n ( n = (n1 + n2 + n3 + ... + nm ) / m) instead of using
the variable sample sizes. As a rule of thumb, if all the samples are within 20
percent of the average sample size n, then it is quite reasonable to use the average
sample size instead of variable sample sizes. However, if any point(s) in the
X or S charts fall on or very close to the control limits, then it is prudent to recalculate the control limits, at least for that sample using the actual sample size,
and determine whether that point falls within the control limits. If the point falls
on or exceeds the recalculated control limits using the actual sample size, then
the process is deemed unstable; otherwise, the process is considered stable.
limit (LSL), respectively. The upper and lower control limits used in X and R
charts for individual values are usually known as the upper natural tolerance
limit (UNTL) and the lower natural tolerance limit (LNTL), respectively. It
is important to note that there is no direct relationship between the control
limits and the specification limits.
It is very common to examine the capability of a process only after it is
stable. However, it is also important to note that a stable process is not necessarily a capable process. A visual presentation of this scenario is given in
Figure 3.14.
To further illustrate the concept of process capability, we use the following example.
Example 3.9 Consider a quality characteristic of a process that is normally distributed, and suppose that the process is stable with respect to the
3 control limits. Furthermore, suppose that 30 samples of size five from this
process provide the following summary statistics:
x = 0.740, R = 0.175, n = 5.
H1277 ch03.indd 79
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80
Chapter Three
(a)
LNTL
LSL
USL
UNTL
(b)
LNTL
LSL
UNTL
USL
(c)
LSL
LNTL
Figure 3.14
H1277 ch03.indd 80
UNTL
USL
3/8/07 5:39:05 PM
Also, we are given that LSL = 0.520 and USL = 0.950. Determine whether
the process is capable.
Solution: From the given information, we have
=
R 0.175
=
= 0.075,
d 2 2.326
0.520 0.740
= 2.93,
0.075
0.950 0.740
= 2.80.
zUSL =
0.075
Therefore, the percentage of nonconforming is
P ( z 2.93) + P ( z 2.80) = 0.0017 + 0.0026
zLSL =
= 0.0043.
That is, less than 0.5 percent of the product is outside the specification limits.
In other words, the process is almost capable.
From Example 3.9, it can be seen that if the specification limits are narrower, then the percentage of nonconforming will increase. On the other hand,
if the specification limits remain the same but the process standard deviation
becomes smaller, then the percentage of nonconforming will further reduce;
that is, the percentage of a conforming product will be higher. So, to make
the process more capable and continuously improve it, one should not only
eliminate the special causes but also make full effort to eliminate the common causes and consequently reduce the process standard deviation. In order
to eliminate the common causes, one must make use of the statistical techniques available in DOE, which we will discuss in our next volume.
H1277 ch03.indd 81
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H1277 ch03.indd 82
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4
Phase I (Detecting Large
Shifts)SPC: Control
Charts for Attributes
83
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84
Chapter Four
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Table 4.1
Sample Size
p chart
Varying or
constant
np chart
Constant
c chart
u chart
Varying or
constant
x = 0,1, . . . , n.
(4.1)
The mean and the standard deviation of the random variable X are given by
np and np(1 p) , respectively. For more details on binomial distribution,
refer to Applied Statistics for the Six Sigma Green Belt.
Control Limits for the p Chart
The following steps detail how to develop a p control chart:
1. Select m (m 25) samples of size n (n 50) units from the
process under investigation. Note, however, that if we have
some prior information or any clue that the process is producing
a very small fraction of nonconforming units, then the sample
size should be large enough so that the probability that it
contains some nonconforming units is relatively high.
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86
Chapter Four
(4.2)
p1 + p2 + ... + pm
.
m
(4.3)
UCL = p + 3
p(1 p)
,
n
CL = p,
LCL = p 3
(4.4)
(4.5)
p(1 p)
.
n
(4.6)
p(1 p)
p(1 p)
is
an
estimator
of
In equations (4.4) and (4.5),
n
n , the standard deviation of p. Furthermore, if the control charts are being implemented
for the first time, then the control limits given by equations (4.4)(4.6) should
be treated as the trial limits. In other words, before using these control limits
any further, the points corresponding to all the samples used to determine
these limits should be plotted and verified, and it should be established that
all the points fall within these control limits and that there is no evident pattern present. If any sample points exceed the control limits or if there is any
pattern, then the possible special causes should be detected and eliminated
before recalculating the control limits for future use. When recalculating the
control limits, points that exceeded the trial control limits should be ignored,
provided any special causes related to such points have been detected and
eliminated.
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Note: Sometimes for small values of p, n, or both, the value of the LCL
may be negative. In such cases, we always set the LCL at zero because the
fraction of nonconforming units can never go below zero.
Interpreting the Control Chart for Fraction Nonconforming
1. If any point or points exceed the upper or lower control limit,
we conclude that the process is not stable and that some special
causes are present in the process.
2. The presence of special causes, which may be favorable or
unfavorable, must be investigated, and appropriate action(s)
should be taken.
3. A point above the UCL is generally an indication that:
The control limit or the plotted point is in error.
The process performance has deteriorated or is deteriorating.
The measurement system has changed.
4. A point below the LCL is generally an indication that:
The control limit or the plotted point is in error.
The process performance has improved or is improving. This
condition of the process should be investigated very carefully
so that such conditions of improvement are implemented on a
permanent basis at this location and elsewhere in the industry.
The measurement system has changed.
H1277 ch04.indd 87
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88
Chapter Four
Number of
Nonconforming x
Sample Fraction
Nonconforming pi
Day
Number of
Nonconforming x
Sample Fraction
Nonconforming pi
0.009
16
12
0.012
0.005
17
0.005
0.006
18
0.006
11
0.011
19
12
0.012
11
0.011
20
10
0.010
12
0.012
21
0.006
0.007
22
0.007
11
0.011
23
11
0.011
0.006
24
11
0.011
10
0.006
24
11
0.011
11
0.008
26
0.005
12
0.005
27
12
0.012
13
0.008
28
11
0.011
14
0.005
29
0.007
15
0.008
30
0.009
H1277 ch04.indd 88
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UCL = 0.01701,
CL = 0.00837,
LCL = 0.0.
The p control chart for the data in Table 4.2 is shown in Figure 4.1.
From the p control chart in Figure 4.1 we observe that all the points are
well within the control limits. We should note, however, that starting from
point number 9, seven successive points fall below the CL. This indicates
that from day 9 through 15, the number of nonconforming chips was relatively low. An investigation to determine the process conditions on these days
should be made so that similar conditions could be implemented for future
use. Otherwise, because all the points of the current data fall within the control limits and no patterns exist, the trial control limits can be extended for use
over the next 30 days, when the control chart should again be reevaluated.
4.2.1 The p Chart: Control Chart for Fraction
Nonconforming with Variable Samples
There are times when, for various reasons, it is not possible to select samples
of equal sizes. This is particularly true when the samples consist of 100 percent inspection during a fixed period of time on each day of the study. The
procedure to develop a p chart with variable sample sizes is very similar to
the procedure for a p chart with constant sample size.
For example, suppose we have m samples of sizes n1, n2, n3, . . . , nm. To
develop a p chart for variable sample sizes, we proceed as follows:
1. From the process under investigation, select m (m 25)
samples of sizes n1, n2, n3, . . . , nm (ni 50) units.
2. Find the number of nonconforming units in each sample.
3. Find the fraction pi of nonconforming units for each sample
Proportion
UCL = 0.01701
P = 0.00837
LCL = 0
3
Figure 4.1
H1277 ch04.indd 89
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
MINITAB printout of the p chart for nonconforming computer chips, using trial control
limits from the data in Table 4.2.
3/8/07 5:50:07 PM
90
Chapter Four
pi =
x
,
ni
(4.7)
n1 p1 + n2 p2 + ... + nm pm
.
n1 + n2 + n3 + ... + nm
(4.8)
p(1 p)
,
ni
CL = p,
LCL = p 3
(4.9)
(4.10)
p(1 p)
.
ni
(4.11)
Note that the CL is the same for all samples, whereas the control limits will
be different.
To illustrate construction of a p chart with variable sample size, we consider the data in Table 4.3 of Example 4.2.
Example 4.2 Suppose in Example 4.1 that all the chips manufactured during a fixed period of time are inspected each day. However, the number of
computer chips manufactured varies during that fixed period on each day.
The data collected for the study period of 30 days are shown in Table 4.3.
Construct a p chart for these data and determine whether the process is
stable.
Solution: Using the data in Table 4.3 and equations (4.8)(4.11), we get
the trial control limits as
UCL = 0.01675,
CL = 0.00813,
LCL = 0.0.
The p chart for the data in Table 4.3 is as shown in Figure 4.2.
From Figure 4.2 we see that all the points are well within the control limits and that there is no apparent pattern or trend in the chart, which means the
process is stable. Also, recall that in Figure 4.1 we had a run of seven points
that fell below the CL. In Figure 4.2 there is no such run, even though we are
dealing with the same process. Such differences are normal when samples are
taken at different times.
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Table 4.3 Number of nonconforming computer chips with different size samples
inspected each day during the study period.
Day
Number of
Nonconforming x
Sample
Size ni
Day
Number of
Nonconforming x
Sample
Size ni
908
16
962
11
986
17
11
926
976
18
917
991
19
978
944
20
961
906
21
970
11
928
22
905
948
23
962
10
994
24
900
10
960
25
11
998
11
982
26
935
12
921
29
970
13
938
28
967
14
10
1000
29
983
15
982
30
976
Proportion
UCL = 0.01675
P = 0.00813
LCL = 0
3
Figure 4.2
H1277 ch04.indd 91
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
MINITAB printout of the p chart for nonconforming chips with variable sample sizes, using
trial control limits for the data in Table 4.3.
3/8/07 5:50:07 PM
92
Chapter Four
x1 + x 2 + x3 + ... + x m
.
m
(4.12)
Then the 3 control limits and the CL for the np control chart are given by
UCL = np + 3 np(1 p),
CL = np,
LCL = np 3 np(1 p).
(4.13)
(4.14)
(4.15)
H1277 ch04.indd 92
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Sample Count
UCL = 17.01
np = 8.37
LCL = 0
3
Figure 4.3
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
MINITAB printout of the np chart for nonconforming computer chips, using trial control
limits for the data in Table 4.2.
that similar conditions could be extended for future use. Otherwise, because
all the points of the current data fall within the control limits and no patterns
are present, the trial control limits can be extended for use over the next 30
days, when the control chart should again be reevaluated.
H1277 ch04.indd 93
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94
Chapter Four
each sample would be considered as one inspection unit or several inspection units, depending on how the inspection units are defined. Note that the
size of an inspection unit is purely a matter of convenience, but the c control
charts are constructed with sample sizes or the number of inspection units in
a sample being equal. It can be shown that under certain conditions (conditions of a Poisson process, which are briefly discussed in Applied Statistics
for the Six Sigma Green Belt), the number of nonconformities c is distributed
according to a Poisson probability distribution with parameter , where
is the average number of nonconformities per inspection unit. The Poisson
probability distribution is defined as
p( x ) =
e x
x!
x = 0,1, 2, 3, . . . ,
(4.16)
where the mean and the variance of the Poisson distribution are given by .
Now suppose that we select m samples, with each sample being one inspection unit, and let the number of nonconformities in these samples be c1, c2,
c3, . . . , cm, respectively. Then the parameter , which is usually unknown, is
estimated by
c + c + c + ... + cm
= c = 1 2 3
.
m
(4.17)
The 3 control limits for the c control chart are defined as follows:
UCL = c + 3 c ,
CL = c ,
(4.18)
(4.19)
(4.20)
LCL = c 3 c .
Note that for small values of c ( 5), the Poisson distribution is asymmetric:
the value of a Type I error () above the UCL and below the LCL is usually
not the same. For small values of c it may be more prudent to use probability
control limits rather than the 3 control limits. The probability control limits
can be found by using Poisson distribution tables.
To illustrate construction of a c control chart using 3 control limits, we
consider the data in Table 4.4 of Example 4.4.
Example 4.4 A paper mill has detected that almost 90 percent of rejected
paper rolls is due to nonconformities of two types: holes and wrinkles in the
paper. The Six Sigma Green Belt team in the mill decides to set up control
charts to reduce or eliminate the number of these nonconformities. To set
up the control charts, the team collected data by taking random samples of
five rolls each day for 30 days and counting the number of nonconformities
(holes and wrinkles) in each sample. The data are shown in Table 4.4. Set up
a c control chart using these data.
Solution: Using the data in Table 4.4, the estimate of the population parameter is given by
H1277 ch04.indd 94
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30
ci
i =1
= c =
30
222
= 7.4.
30
Total Number of
Nonconformities
Day
Total Number of
Nonconformities
Day
Total Number of
Nonconformities
11
21
12
22
13
23
14
24
15
25
16
26
17
27
18
28
19
29
10
20
30
C-Chart of Nonconformities
16
UCL = 15.56
Sample Count
14
12
10
8
C = 7.4
6
4
2
LCL = 0
0
3
Figure 4.4
H1277 ch04.indd 95
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
3/8/07 5:50:08 PM
96
Chapter Four
From Figure 4.4, we can see that the process is stable. In other words,
there are no special causes present, and the only causes that are affecting the
process are the common causes. To eliminate the imperfections in the paper,
the management must take action on the system, such as examining the quality of the wood chips and pulp, replacing old equipment, and providing more
training for the workers. Also, to further enhance the process and eliminate
the nonconformities, the quality engineers should use the techniques available in DOE, which we will discuss in our next volume, Design of Experiments for the Six Sigma Green Belt.
Notes
1. If the economic factors and time allow, one should take
samples or inspection units large enough so that the LCL is
positive. The LCL can be positive only if c > 9. This means
that the sample size should be such that it can catch nine or
more nonconformities with high probability. An advantage
of having a positive LCL is that it will allow us to see the
conditions under which the nonconformities are very low,
and consequently it will give us the opportunity to perpetuate
these conditions on-site and implement them elsewhere in the
industry.
2. As noted earlier, the size of the inspection unit is usually
determined based on what is convenient. However, to determine
the actual inspection unit size, one should also take into
consideration the statistical characteristics of the process, such
as the ARL, the state of the process (that is, whether the process
has deteriorated or improved), and other factors that may
require us to increase or decrease the sample size. So, while
using control charts for nonconformities, particularly in phase I,
situations may arise when the sample size may vary. In these
situations, we use the u control chart instead of the c control
chart. We will discuss the u control chart in the following
section.
If the samples consist of n inspection units, then the control
limits for the c control chart are given by
UCL = nc + 3 nc ,
CL = nc ,
LCL = nc 3 nc .
(4.21)
(4.22)
(4.23)
H1277 ch04.indd 96
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unit. In other words, the actual sample size may not be equal to one, or may
vary, but the control limits of the u chart are always determined based on one
inspection unit. If n is constant, one can use either a c chart or a u chart. For a
u chart the CL is determined by u = c/n, and the 3 control limit is given by
UCL = u + 3 u / n ,
(4.24)
LCL = u 3 u / n .
If the sample size varies, then we define u as
(4.25)
u=
c1 + c2 + ... + cm c
= ,
n1 + n2 + ... + nm n
(4.26)
where m is the number of samples selected during the study period; c1, c2,
c3, . . . , cm are the number of nonconformities in the m samples; and n is the
average sample size, which is given by
n=
n1 + n2 + ... + nm
.
m
(4.27)
In this case the CL is fixed, but the control limits are different; that is, the CL
and the 3 control limits for the ith sample are given by
UCL = u + 3 u / ni ,
CL = u,
LCL = u 3 u / ni .
(4.28)
(4.29)
(4.30)
Sometimes, if the samples do not vary too much, the nis in equations (4.28)
and (4.30) are replaced by n so that the control limits are
UCL = u + 3 u / n ,
CL = u,
(4.31)
(4.32)
(4.33)
LCL = u 3 u / n .
To illustrate construction of a u chart, we consider the data in Table 4.5 of
Example 4.5.
Example 4.5 A Six Sigma Green Belt team in a semiconductor industry
found that the printed boards for laptops have nonconformities of several
types, such as shorted trace, cold solder joint, and solder short, and the number of nonconformities is unacceptable. In order to reduce the number of
nonconformities in the printed boards for laptops, the Six Sigma Green Belt
team wants to set up a u chart. They collect data by selecting samples of five
inspection units, where each inspection unit consists of 30 boards. The data,
which are shown in Table 4.5, were collected over a period of 30 days.
H1277 ch04.indd 97
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98
Chapter Four
Table 4.5
Day
Number of Nonconformities
Number of Nonconformities
per Sample
Day
per Sample
48
16
42
49
17
34
38
18
30
49
19
49
43
20
44
37
21
47
45
22
33
48
23
37
39
24
33
10
46
25
34
11
40
26
49
12
44
27
50
13
43
28
49
14
35
29
35
15
31
30
39
c 41.333
=
= 8.2667.
5
5
H1277 ch04.indd 98
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U-Chart of Nonconformities
13
UCL = 12.124
12
11
10
9
U = 8.267
8
7
6
5
LCL = 4.409
4
3
Figure 4.5
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
The u chart of nonconformities for the data in Table 4.5, constructed using MINITAB.
Day
Sample
Size
Number of
Nonconformities
per Sample
Day
Sample
Size
Number of
Nonconformities
per Sample
33
16
40
40
17
40
38
18
37
43
19
40
45
20
37
35
21
39
35
22
48
41
23
39
40
24
36
10
30
25
39
11
36
26
36
12
40
27
43
13
33
28
36
14
36
29
49
15
38
30
40
H1277 ch04.indd 99
c1 + c2 + ... + cm
n1 + n2 + ... + nm
33 + 40 + 38 + ... + 40 1162
=
= 9.22.
126
3 + 5 + 3 + ... + 3
3/8/07 5:50:09 PM
100
Chapter Four
U Chart
15.0
UCL = 14.48
12.5
10.0
U = 9.22
7.5
5.0
LCL = 3.96
3
12
15
18
Sample
21
24
27
30
Figure 4.6
The u chart of nonconformities for the data in Table 4.6, constructed using MINITAB.
The control limits are calculated for each individual sample. For example, the
control limits for sample one are given by
UCL = u + 3 u / n1 = 9.22 + 3 9.22 / 3 = 14.48,
CL = u = 9.22,
UCL = u 3 u / n1 = 9.22 3 9.22 / 3 = 3.96.
The control limits for the rest of the samples are calculated in the same manner. The CL, however, remains the same. The u chart for the data in Table 4.6
is as shown in Figure 4.6.
The u chart in Figure 4.6 shows that all the points are within the control
limits. However, there are several points that fall beyond the warning control
limits. Moreover, points 8 and 9 in particular fall very close to the UCLs. All
these observations about the process indicate that there may be some special
causes present in the process. In other words, the process may be on the verge
of being unstable. Therefore, precautions should be taken to avoid the process becoming unstable, but certainly without overcontrolling it.
3/8/07 5:50:09 PM
5
Phase II (Detecting Small
Shifts)SPC: Cumulative
Sum, Moving Average,
and Exponentially
Weighted Moving
Average Control Charts
101
3/8/07 12:35:02 PM
102
Chapter Five
If one point falls outside the 3 control limits or if any conditions from
this list occur, the process is considered to be out of control. Subsequently,
an appropriate action is taken, such as increasing the sampling frequency,
increasing the sample size, or both. However, even though these actions do
increase the sensitivity, as Champ and Woodall (1987) point out, using these
rules, the in-control ARL is only 91.75. Under normality, the false-alarm rate
is little more than four times the false-alarm rate of a Shewhart chart when the
criteria from Western Electric are not used. Moreover, the advantage of the
simplicity of Shewhart charts, which is an important feature, is lost. Keeping
all this in mind, it is fair to say that when the shifts are small, the Shewhart
chart with these modifications is not a viable alternative to the CUSUM control chart. Also, the CUSUM control chart has another major advantage over
the Shewhart control chart. In the CUSUM control chart, the ith point uses
the information contained in all the samples collected at time i and before,
whereas the Shewhart control chart uses only the information contained in
the ith sample. In other words, the Shewhart control chart ignores all information provided by the samples collected before the ith sample. But at the
same time, we must note that this feature of the CUSUM control chart makes
the plotted points dependent, and therefore it is difficult to interpret any pattern other than when the point exceeds the decision interval for an upward or
downward shift.
Other control charts that are very effective in detecting small shifts are
the MA and EWMA control charts. CUSUM, MA, and EWMA control
charts are excellent alternatives to the Shewhart control chart for controlling
processes in phase II. Relatively speaking, the MA chart is not as effective
as CUSUM and EWMA charts. The CUSUM and EWMA control charts can
be used to monitor not only the process mean but also the process variance
and the fraction nonconforming and nonconformities. However, our major
focus of discussion of these control charts is on the process mean. An excellent reference for a detailed study of CUSUM control charts is Hawkins and
Olwell (1998).
3/8/07 12:35:03 PM
in Table 5.1. Then comment on the outcomes of the X-R control chart and the
CUSUM chart.
Table 5.1 Data from a manufacturing process of auto parts before and after its mean
experienced a shift of 1 (sample size four).
Sample
(i )
Sample
Xi
Zi =
X i 20
Si = Z i + Si 1
19.35
20.05
18.92
15.70
18.5050
1.4950
1.4950
17.50
19.37
17.03
19.35
18.3125
1.6875
3.1825
22.99
18.61
18.35
17.77
19.4300
0.5700
3.7525
22.83
19.56
21.14
23.50
21.7575
1.7575
1.9950
18.70
21.26
19.71
19.07
19.6850
0.3150
2.3100
20.70
17.90
22.05
20.62
20.3175
0.3175
1.9925
22.80
19.80
20.15
21.01
20.9400
0.9400
1.0525
20.28
17.15
24.81
19.68
20.4800
0.4800
0.5725
16.87
22.37
18.91
18.43
19.1450
0.8550
1.4275
10
18.96
21.16
19.74
20.56
20.1050
0.1050
1.3225
11
23.96
18.75
22.48
25.85
22.7600
2.7600
1.4375
12
19.20
23.18
24.17
20.77
21.8300
1.8300
3.2675
13
21.18
24.33
19.78
26.46
22.9375
2.9375
6.2050
14
20.42
20.74
24.66
21.70
21.8800
1.8800
8.0850
15
22.76
21.47
20.36
22.84
21.8575
1.8575
9.9425
16
23.01
21.48
21.86
17.99
21.0850
1.0850
11.0275
17
23.12
23.82
21.42
21.96
22.5800
2.5800
13.6075
18
21.37
22.05
25.24
22.70
22.8400
2.8400
16.4474
19
21.84
23.89
15.97
22.67
21.0925
1.0925
17.5400
20
18.49
21.65
22.88
24.67
21.9225
1.9225
19.4625
3/8/07 12:35:03 PM
104
Chapter Five
Si =
j =1
( X j 0 )
( X i 0 )
+ Si 1
(5.1)
= Zi + Si 1 ,
where Z1 , Z 2 , . . . , Zi are the standardized values of X1 , X 2 , . . . , X i , respectively. In Example 5.1, the target value is 20 and the accumulated sum of
deviations of the sample means from the target value at time i, when measured in standard deviation units, is given in column 5 of Table 5.1. From
equation (5.1) one can see that if the samples come from a stable process with
mean 1, the points (i, Si) when plotted on a chart will:
a. Randomly scatter around the zero line
b. Clearly show an upward trend
c. Clearly show a downward trend
The result depends on whether 1 = 0, 1 > 0, or 1 < 0.
The X-R control
chart and the CUSUM chart are as shown in Figures 5.1
and 5.2. The X-R control chart shows that the process is clearly stable and
showing no abnormality other than sample number 13, which comes close
to the UCL. In other words, the chart is not detecting that the samples starting with the 11th sample came from the process after it had experienced an
upward shift of one standard deviation. However, the CUSUM chart shows
an upward trend, which started at the 11th sample. Furthermore, as noted by
Lucas (1982), CUSUM control charts give tighter process control than classical control charts such as Shewhart control charts. With the tighter control
provided by CUSUM control charts, more emphasis is placed on keeping the
process on target rather than allowing it to drift within the limits. Moreover,
the sensitivity of the CUSUM control chart would not be seriously affected if
we took samples of size n = 1 instead of n > 1. In fact, CUSUM control charts
more frequently use n = 1 or individual
values. In CUSUM control charts for
individual values, the quantities Xi, Zi, and / n in Table 5.1 are replaced by
Xi, Zi, and , respectively. We will look at developing the CUSUM control
chart in the next section.
3/8/07 12:35:03 PM
Sample Mean
22.5
21.0
X = 20
19.5
18.0
LCL = 17
2
10
Sample
12
14
16
18
20
UCL = 9.39
Sample Range
8
6
R = 4.12
4
2
LCL = 0
0
2
Figure 5.1
10
Sample
12
14
16
18
20
18
20
Si
10
5
0
-5
2
Figure 5.2
10
12
Index
14
16
3/8/07 12:35:03 PM
106
Chapter Five
one-sided CUSUM control charts. In both one-sided CUSUM charts, one can
use the same or different reference values, depending on whether the upward
and downward shifts are equally important or one is more important than the
other. Furthermore, in designing a CUSUM control chart, the ARL usually
plays an important role. The ARL of a two-sided control chart is obtained
by combining the ARLs of two one-sided control charts, where the ARLs of
one-sided control charts for upward and downward shifts are not necessarily
the same. Again, note that the value of the two ARLs depends solely on the
sensitivity of the shifts. Sometimes the size of the shift on one side may be
more serious than on the other. For example, consider tensile strength of a
copper wire as the quality characteristic. Any upward shift in mean tensile
strength may not be as serious as a downward shift. It can be seen from Van
Dobben de Bruyn (1968) that
1
1
1
,
=
+ +
ARL(two - sided) ARL
ARL
(5.2)
where ARL+ and ARL are the average run lengths of two one-sided control
charts when the shift is upward and downward, respectively. In this section,
we focus on the two-sided control chart.
CUSUM control charts can be implemented by using either a numerical procedure or a graphical procedure. The numerical procedure consists of
constructing a table known as a tabular CUSUM, whereas a graphical procedure consists of preparing a graph known as a V-mask. Practitioners usually prefer to use numerical procedure. For visual observation, however, the
tabular CUSUM can be plotted in a graph. The tabular CUSUM in Table 5.3
is plotted in Figure 5.3. In this book we will discuss only the construction of
a tabular CUSUM.
5.2.1 Two-Sided CUSUM Control Chart Using Numerical Procedure
The tabular CUSUM control charts are defined by the two parameters k and
h, previously referred to as the reference value and decision interval. The
parameter k is defined as
k=
1 0
2
(5.3)
where 0 is the target value or the process mean when the process is under
control, 1 is the process mean after it has experienced a shift, and is the
process standard deviation. Note that if we are using the standardized values
Zi, then is replaced by 1. In Example 5.1 it can be verified that k = 0.5. As
a rule of thumb, the parameter h is usually equal to 4 or 5 (if the observations are not standardized, then h is equal to 4 or 5, where is the process
standard deviation). In practice, however, h should be chosen so that the value
of the ARL is neither too small nor too large. This is because small values
of ARL cause too many false alarms, whereas large values of ARL allow
the process to continue running even when it has experienced a shift and is
producing nonconforming products. Preferably, h should be such that when
3/8/07 12:35:04 PM
Table 5.2
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
8.01
4.77
3.34
2.52
1.99
1.61
1 = 0, that is, when the process has experienced no shift, the value of ARL,
which we denote by ARL0, is approximately equal to 370. The value 370 of
ARL0 is purposely chosen because it matches the ARL0 of the Shewhart control chart under normal distribution with control limits equal to 3. Hawkins
(1993) gives a table of k values and the corresponding values of h such that
ARL0 for a two-sided CUSUM control chart is equal to 370. Table 5.2 provides certain values of h and k so that ARL0 = 370. Clearly, h = 5 with k = 0.5
will produce ARL0, which will be slightly higher than 370.
Hawkins and Olwell (1998, 4849) have given very extensive tables for
ARL as a function of k and h, and for h as a function of k and ARL, for a
one-sided CUSUM for mean shift of standardized normal data. Hawkins and
Olwell also provide some computer programs that can be used to generate
values of ARL and h that are not encountered in these tables. Having defined
the parameters k and h, we are now ready to define the statistics needed to
implement one-sided CUSUM control charts using a numerical procedure.
Thus, we define here
Si+ = max [0, zi k + Si+1 ],
(5.4)
(5.5)
where the initial values of S0+ and S0 are zero. The statistics S+i and Si, respectively, are used to implement one-sided CUSUM control charts when the
shifts are upward and downward. For a two-sided CUSUM control chart, the
statistics Si+ and Si are used simultaneously. We illustrate the implementation
of the numerical procedure for the CUSUM control chart by using the data
in Example 5.1.
Example 5.2 Columns 1, 3, and 4 of Table 5.1 have been reproduced in
Table 5.3, and two new columns have been appended, one for S+i and another
for S i , where S+i and S i are defined in equations (5.4) and (5.5), respectively,
and with k = 0.5 and h = 5.
Solution: Using column 3 of Table 5.3, we have
S1+ = max [0, Z1 k + S0+ ]
= max [0, 1.4950 0.50 + 0] = 0.00,
S1 = min [0, Z1 + k + S0 ]
= min [0, 1.4950 + 0.50 + 0] = 0.9950,
3/8/07 12:35:04 PM
108
Chapter Five
Table 5.3
Tabular CUSUM control chart for the data given in Table 5.1.
Sample
(i )
Xi
18.5050
Zi
X i
20
n
1.4950
0.0000
Si = min((0, Z i + k + Si 1 )
0.9950
18.3125
1.6875
0.0000
2.1825
19.4300
0.5700
0.0000
2.2525
21.7575
1.7575
1.2575
0.0000
19.6850
0.3150
0.4425
0.0000
20.3175
0.3175
0.2600
0.0000
20.9400
0.9400
0.7000
0.0000
20.4800
0.4800
0.6800
0.0000
19.1450
0.8550
0.0000
0.3550
10
20.1050
0.1050
0.0000
0.0000
11
22.7600
2.7600
2.2600
0.0000
12
21.8300
1.8300
3.5900
0.0000
13
22.9375
2.9375
6.0275
0.0000
14
21.8800
1.8800
7.4075
0.0000
15
21.8575
1.8575
8.7650
0.0000
16
21.0850
1.0850
9.3500
0.0000
17
22.5800
2.5800
11.4300
0.0000
18
22.8400
2.8400
13.7700
0.0000
19
21.0925
1.0925
14.3625
0.0000
20
21.9225
1.9225
15.7850
0.0000
3/8/07 12:35:05 PM
Cumulative Sum
15
10
5
UCL = 5
-5
LCL = -5
2
Figure 5.3
10
12
Sample
14
16
18
20
MINITAB printout of a two-sided CUSUM control chart for the data in Table 5.1.
taken. These conclusions are also confirmed by the CUSUM control chart
shown in Figure 5.3.
Once we conclude that the process is out of control, it is pertinent to
estimate the new process mean, or the shifted mean 1. Without having found
such an estimate, it is difficult to make any appropriate changes or adjustments in the process to bring it back to its target value 0. This estimate can
be found simply by determining the average of the observations taken during
the periods when the shift occurred and when it was concluded that the process was out of control. In this example, because the sample size n is greater
than 1, we have
1 = X = X i m = (22.76 + 21.83 + 22.94) 3 = 22.51,
where m is the number of periods between the time when the shift occurred
and when it was concluded that the process was out of control.
Example 5.3 Reconsider the data presented in Example 5.1. Now we will
take random samples of size one to see if our conclusions change significantly. These data are given in Table 5.4. The first 10 observations were taken
when the process was stable and manufacturing products with mean value 20
and standard deviation 2. The last 10 observations were taken from the same
process after its mean experienced an upward shift of one standard deviation,
resulting in a new process with mean 22.
of the X control
chart and the CUSUM control chart are shown in Figures 5.4
and 5.5. The X control chart again shows no abnormalities in the process. In
other words, it has not detected the one standard deviation shift in the process
mean, whereas the CUSUM control chart, as we can see from Figure 5.5,
has detected this shift. We will first discuss the construction of the CUSUM
control chart for individual values.
3/8/07 12:35:05 PM
110
Chapter Five
Following the same steps as shown in Example 5.2 and using the data
in Table 5.4, the entries in the other columns of Table 5.4 are obtained as
follows:
S1+ = max [0, Z1 k + S0+ ]
= max [0, 0.33 0.50 + 0] = 0.00,
S1 = min [0, Z1 + k + S0 ]
= min [0, 0.33 + 0.50 + 0] = 0.00,
S2+ = max [0, Z 2 k + S1+ ]
= max [0, 0.33 0.50 + 0] = 0.00,
S2 = min [0, Z 2 + k + S1 ]
= min [0, 0.33 + 0.50 + 0] = 0.000.
Table 5.4
Data from a manufacturing process of auto parts before and after its mean
experienced a shift of 1 (sample size one).
Si+ = max((0, Z i k + Si+ 1 ) Si = min((0, Z i + k + Si 1 )
Sample #
Xi
19.35
0.33
0.00
0.00
20.05
0.03
0.00
0.00
18.92
0.54
0.00
0.04
15.70
2.15
0.00
1.69
17.50
1.25
0.00
2.44
19.37
0.32
0.00
2.26
17.03
1.48
0.00
3.24
19.35
0.33
0.00
3.07
22.99
1.50
1.00
1.07
10
18.61
0.70
0.00
1.27
11
23.92
1.96
1.46
0.00
12
18.75
1.13
0.00
0.63
13
22.48
1.24
0.74
0.00
14
25.85
2.93
3.17
0.00
15
19.20
0.60
2.07
0.10
16
23.18
1.59
3.16
0.00
17
24.17
2.09
4.75
0.00
18
20.77
0.39
4.64
0.00
19
21.18
1.09
5.23
0.00
20
24.33
2.17
6.90
0.00
Z i (X i )
3/8/07 12:35:05 PM
Individual Value
30
UCL = 28.69
25
X = 20.64
20
15
LCL = 12.58
1
Figure 5.4
9
11
Observation
13
15
17
19
MINITAB printout of the X control chart for individual values in Table 5.4.
Cumulative Sum
7.5
UCL = 5
5.0
2.5
0.0
-2.5
LCL = -5
-5.0
2
Figure 5.5
10
12
Sample
14
16
18
20
MINITAB printout of the CUSUM control chart for individual values in Table 5.4.
3/8/07 12:35:06 PM
112
Chapter Five
Once again, we have concluded that the process is out of control. Therefore,
we should now find the estimate of the new process mean 1, which is given by
1 = X = X i m = (22.48 + 25.85 + 19.20 + 23.18 + 24.17 + 20.77 + 21.18) 7
= 22.404, where m is the number of periods between the time when the shift
occurred and when it was concluded that the process is out of control.
Summarizing the results of Examples 5.2 and 5.3, we have the following:
3/8/07 12:35:06 PM
Table 5.5 Tabular CUSUM control chart using FIR for data in Table 5.4.
Si+ = max((0, Z i k + Si+ 1 ) Si = min((0, Z i + k + Si 1 )
Sample #
Xi
19.35
0.33
1.67
2.33
20.05
0.03
1.20
1.80
18.92
0.54
0.16
1.84
15.70
2.15
0.00
3.49
17.50
1.25
0.00
4.24
19.37
0.32
0.00
4.06
17.03
1.48
0.00
5.04
19.35
0.33
0.00
4.87
Z i (X i )
22.99
1.50
1.00
2.87
10
18.61
0.70
0.00
3.07
11
23.92
1.96
1.46
0.61
12
18.75
1.13
0.00
1.24
13
22.48
1.24
0.74
0.00
14
25.85
2.93
3.17
0.00
15
19.20
0.60
2.07
0.10
16
23.18
1.59
3.16
0.00
17
24.17
2.09
4.75
0.00
18
20.77
0.39
4.64
0.00
19
21.18
1.09
5.23
0.00
20
24.33
2.17
6.90
0.00
Cumulative Sum
7.5
UCL = 5
5.0
2.5
0.0
-2.5
LCL = -5
-5.0
2
10
12
Sample
14
16
18
20
Figure 5.6 MINITAB printout of the two-sided CUSUM control chart for the data in Table 5.5 using FIR.
3/8/07 12:35:06 PM
114
Chapter Five
In Example 5.3, the CUSUM chart parameters were k = 0.5 and h = 5, and the
starting CUSUM value was S0+ = S0 = 0. In this example, we used S0+ = h/2
= 2.5 S0 = h/2 = 2.5. Note that by using FIR, the CUSUM for downward
shift in column 5 showed that at period i = 7, there was a downward shift.
However, before an upward shift occurred, the CUSUM for the upward shift
in column 4 had very little effect. The CUSUM values quickly changed to
zero, and after the zero value, the starting value of 2.5 had no effect. This
happened because these observations came from the process that had not
experienced any upward shift. However, if these observations had come from
a process that had experienced an upward shift, then perhaps the result would
have been altogether different.
To see the effect of FIR when the process is out of control, we construct a
CUSUM chart for the previous process after it experienced an upward shift of
1. For comparative purposes, we use the observations starting from the 11th
observation in Table 5.4, as they were taken after the process experienced an
upward shift of 1. These observations and the corresponding CUSUM with
S0+ = h/2 = 2.5 S0 = h/2 = 2.5 are shown in Table 5.6.
Example 5.5 Reproduce observations 11 through 20 from Table 5.4 in
Table 5.6 and construct the tabular CUSUM control chart for these data
using the FIR feature. Compare the effects of the FIR feature in this example
with the effects of the FIR feature in Example 5.4.
Solution: Table 5.6 gives the complete tabular CUSUM control chart for
the data in Table 5.4. Note that in this example, these data come from a process after it had experienced an upward shift of 1. Clearly, the FIR feature
has quite a significant effect on the CUSUM chart. In this case, the 14th
sample identifies that the process is out of control, whereas in Example 5.4
we had made this conclusion only after the 19th sample. However, because
the shift was only upward, the CUSUM chart for the downward shift had no
effect. In summary, we can say that the FIR feature for the CUSUM chart is
Table 5.6
Tabular CUSUM control chart using FIR for the process in Table 5.4, after it
had experienced an upward shift of 1.
Si+ = max((0, Z i k + Si+ 1 ) Si = min((0, Z i + k + Si 1 )
Sample #
Xi
11
23.92
1.96
3.96
0.64
12
18.75
1.13
2.33
0.67
Z i (X i )
13
22.48
1.24
3.07
0.00
14
25.85
2.93
5.50
0.00
15
19.20
0.60
4.40
0.10
16
23.18
1.59
5.49
0.00
17
24.17
2.09
7.08
0.00
18
20.77
0.39
6.97
0.00
19
21.18
1.09
7.56
0.00
20
24.33
2.17
9.23
0.00
3/8/07 12:35:07 PM
very valuable whenever there is some change in the process; otherwise, the
FIR feature has no significant effect.
One-Sided CUSUM Control Chart
In our previous discussion we noted that a situation can arise where one may
be interested in detecting a shift in one direction only, that is, in either the
upward or downward direction instead of both directions simultaneously. In
applications, situations do arise where the shift in one direction is more serious than a shift in the other direction, as, for example, in the case of tensile
strength of a copper wire. In such cases, to construct the CUSUM control
chart, one needs to calculate only S+ or S depending on whether we are interested in detecting an upward or downward shift. However, to construct a onesided CUSUM, one must note that the values of k and h are not the same as
for a two-sided CUSUM control chart with the same value of ARL. In other
words, if we keep the same values of k and h for a one-sided CUSUM as for
a two-sided CUSUM, then the value of ARL will be much higher. For more
discussion on this topic, see Hawkins and Olwell (1998).
5.2.3 Combined Shewhart-CUSUM Control Chart
As Hawkins and Olwell (1998, 71) put it, CUSUMs are excellent diagnostics for detecting and diagnosing step changes in process parameters. However, these are not the only changes that can occur. Transient special causes
are also an important reality, and an important source of quality problems.
They cannot be ignored, and relying solely on CUSUM charts for SPC is
shortsighted. Just as Shewhart charts are not particularly effective in detecting less-than-massive persistent changes in a process parameter, the CUSUM
charts are not particularly effective in detecting massive transient changes in
process parameters. In fact, the CUSUMs are meant to detect persistent but
small changes in process parameters. Proper SPC requires the use of both
types of controls: CUSUMs for persistent but small changes and Shewhart
charts for large transient problems.
Lucas (1982) introduced a combined Shewhart-CUSUM quality control
scheme. The combined Shewhart-CUSUM control chart gives an out-of-control signal if the most recent sample is either outside the Shewhart control
limits or beyond the CUSUM decision interval value. Lucas recommends
using the standardized values zi for the combined Shewhart-CUSUM control
chart, which is
zi =
( xi 0 )
,
where 0 is the target mean value and is the process standard deviation.
Note that if rational subgroups of size n > 1 are used, then zi, xi, and are
replaced by zi , xi, and / n , respectively.
In the combined Shewhart-CUSUM control chart, an out-of-control signal at time i is given not only when Si+ or Si exceeds the decision interval
value h, but also when the zi or zi falls outside the Shewhart control limits.
3/8/07 12:35:07 PM
116
Chapter Five
It can be seen from Lucas (1982) that ARL0 for the combined
Shewhart-CUSUM chart with h = 5, k = 0.5, and Shewhart control limits
3 is 223.9 without the FIR feature and 206.5 with the FIR feature (S0
= 2.5). Both these values are much smaller than 370, the ARL0 for an incontrol Shewhart control chart. This would cause the process to have more
frequent false alarms. For example, if samples are taken every hour, the
Shewhart control chart would cause a false alarm every 15.4 days, whereas
combined, a Shewhart-CUSUM chart without the FIR feature would cause
a false alarm every 9.3 days, and with the FIR feature every 8.5 days. In
order to avoid this scenario, Lucas recommends taking Shewhart control
limits 3.5, which results in ARL0 being approximately equal to 392.7
without the FIR feature and 359.7 with the FIR feature, again with S0 =
2.5. These values of ARL0 are certainly more comparable to 370. Thus,
the combined Shewhart-CUSUM chart can be implemented just by using
the basic CUSUM chart so that an out-of-control signal occurs whenever
either the CUSUM value exceeds the decision interval value or the absolute value of zi or zi becomes greater than 3.5.
5.2.4 CUSUM Control Chart for Controlling Process Variability
No process is immune to changes in variability. Consequently, any unnoticed changes in process variability can adversely affect the conclusion made
about the process mean using CUSUM charts. Hence, while using CUSUM
charts, controlling process variability is as important as controlling the process mean.
Consider a process with its quality characteristic Xi distributed as normal
with mean and variance 2. Then the standardized random variable
Zi =
Xi
Zi 0.822
0.349
(5.6)
Vi = min [0, vi + k + Vi 1 ],
(5.7)
where V+0 = V0 = 0 and k and h are the reference value and the decision interval. As Hawkins and Olwell (1998) point out, we can use the FIR feature in
3/8/07 12:35:07 PM
the same manner as in the basic CUSUM chart, that is, by taking V+0 = V0 =
h/2. The interpretation of this CUSUM chart is very much parallel to the
CUSUM chart in section 5.2.1. Thus, if either of the CUSUM values Vi+ or
Vi exceeds the decision interval, an out-of-control signal for the variance
occurs.
x1 + x 2 + ... + xi
,
i
i = 1, 2, ..., m 1
xi m +1 + xi m + 2 + ... + xi
,
m
i = m, m + 1, ..., n
(5.8)
(5.9)
Example 5.6 Suppose in the manufacturing process of auto parts we collect five observations on the quality characteristic under investigation. Find
the moving averages Mi, i = 1, 2, . . . , 5 of span 3.
Solution: Because n = 5 and m = 3, we have
M1 = x1 , M 2 =
x +x +x
x +x +x
x +x +x
x1 + x 2
, M3 = 1 2 3 , M 4 = 2 3 4 , annd M5 = 3 4 5
2
3
3
3
V ( Mi ) = (
x1 + x 2 + ... + xi
)
i
2
= 2 V (x j ) = ,
i
i j =1
1
For i m
V ( Mi ) = (
i
j>0
2
= 2 V (x j ) = ,
m
m j =1m+1
1
(5.10)
(5.11)
2
2
2
2
, V ( M3 ) = , V ( M 4 ) =
and, V ( M5 ) = .
2
3
3
3
3/8/07 12:35:07 PM
118
Chapter Five
,
i
(5.12)
LCL = 0 z 2
,
i
(5.13)
(5.14)
.
m
(5.15)
and for i m
UCL = 0 + z 2
,
in
(5.16)
LCL = 0 z 2
,
in
(5.17)
UCL = 0 + z 2
mn
(5.18)
LCL = 0 z 2
mn
(5.19)
Example 5.7 Consider the data in Table 5.4, the manufacturing process of
auto parts from Example 5.1. Design an MA control chart for these data with
span m = 4 and interpret the results.
3/8/07 12:35:08 PM
Table 5.7 MA chart (Mis) for data in Table 5.4 with = 20, = 2.
Sample #
10
Xi
19.35
20.05
18.92
15.70
17.50
19.37
17.03
19.35
22.99
18.61
Mi
19.35
19.70
19.44
18.51
18.04
17.87
17.40
18.31
19.69
19.50
Sample #
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Xi
23.92
18.75
22.48
25.85
19.20
23.18
24.17
20.77
21.18
24.33
Mi
21.22
21.07
20.94
22.75
21.57
22.68
23.10
21.83
22.33
22.61
Solution: The data from Table 5.4 are reproduced in Table 5.7. The Mi values are determined as shown in the following equations, and these values are
then entered in Table 5.7.
M1 = X1 = 19.35,
M2 = (X1 + X2)/2 = (19.35 + 20.05)/2 = 19.70,
M3 = (X1 + X2 + X3)/3 = (19.35 + 20.05 + 18.92)/3 = 19.44,
M4 = (X1 + X2 + X3 + X4)/4 = (19.35 + 20.05 + 18.92 + 15.70)/4 = 18.51,
M5 = (X2 + X3 + X4 + X5)/4 = (20.05 + 18.92 + 15.70 + 17.50)/4 = 18.04,
.
.
.
M20 = (X17 + X18 + X19 + X20)/4 = (24.17 + 20.77 + 21.18 + 24.33)/4 = 22.61.
Now the points (i, Mi) from Table 5.7 are plotted in the MA control chart.
The MA control chart for the data in Table 5.4 is as shown in Figure 5.7. The
17th point falls outside the control limits. The process is out of control at
time i = 17. Note that the control limits for i < m are wider and varying, but
from i = m onward the control limits become narrower and steady. The 3
control limits in Figure 5.7 are determined using equations (5.12) and (5.13),
as shown here.
For time period i = 1, these limits are
UCL = 20 + 3
2
= 26,
1
LCL = 20 3
2
= 14.
1
UCL = 20 + 3
2
= 24.24,
2
LCL = 20 3
2
= 15.76.
2
3/8/07 12:35:08 PM
120
Chapter Five
25.0
UCL = 23
22.5
20.0
X = 20
17.5
LCL = 17
15.0
2
Figure 5.7
10
12
Sample
14
16
18
20
MINITAB printout of the MA control chart for the data in Table 5.4.
2
= 21.34,
20
LCL = 20 3
2
= 18.66.
20
(5.20)
where 0 < 1 is a constant, the initial value z0 is set at the process target
mean value 0 (if 0 is not given, then we set z0 at x), and is the weight.
The statistics zi, zi1 in equation (5.20) are the exponentially weighted moving
averages at time i, i 1, respectively, and xi is the value of the observation
at time i. Furthermore, note that zi is the weighted average of all the previous observations. This can easily be shown by using iterative method, as
follows:
3/8/07 12:35:08 PM
zi = xi + (1 ) zi 1
= xi + (1 )[ xi 1 + (1 ) zi 2 ]
= xi + (1 ) xi 1 + (1 )2 zi 2
.
(5.21)
.
.
i 1
= (1 ) j xi j + (1 )i z0 .
j =0
At any time i, the most recent observation xi is assigned the weight , while at
any earlier time (i j), j = 1, 2, . . . , i 1, the corresponding observation xij is
assigned the weight (1 ) j, which decreases geometrically as j increases.
For example, if = 0.3, then the current observation is assigned the weight of
0.3, and the preceding observations are assigned the weights of 0.21, 0.147,
0.1029, 0.072, 0.0504, and so on. We can see that the older observations carry
a lesser weight. This makes a lot of sense, particularly when the process mean
is changing slowly but continuously. Moreover, it is also interesting to note
that because EWMA uses the weighted average of all past and present observations, it is not very sensitive to the normality assumption.
If we assume the observations xi are independent with process mean
and variance 2, then from equation (5.21) the mean of the statistic zi is
given by
i 1
E ( zi ) = (1 ) j + (1 )i E ( z0 )
j =0
= [1 + (1 ) + (1 )2 + ... + (1 )i 1 ] + (1 )i E ( z0 ).
The quantity inside the brackets is a geometric series with the ratio equal to
(1 ). Recall that the sum of a finite geometric series is [1 + r + ri 2 + . . . +
r n1 = (1 r n)/(1 r)]. The quantity in the bracket equals 1 (1 ) .
Therefore, we have
E ( zi ) = + (1 )i ( 0 ).
(5.22)
(5.23)
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122
Chapter Five
V ( zi ) = ( 2 + 2 (1 )2 + 2 (1 )4 + ... + 2 (1 )2i ) 2
= 2 [1 + (1 )2 + (1 )4 + ... + (1 )2i ] 2 .
Again, the quantity inside the brackets is a geometric series with the ratio
equal to (1 )2. We have
V ( zi ) = 2
= 2
[1 (1 )2i ]
[1 (1 )2 ]
[1 (1 )2i ]
[2 2 ]
2
2
(5.24)
[1 (1 )2i ] 2 .
=
2
From equations (5.23) and (5.24) it follows that the CL and the control limits
for the EWMA control charts are given by
UCL = 0 + 3
[1 (1 )2i ],
2
(5.25)
CL = 0,
(5.26)
LCL = 0 3
[1 (1 )2i ].
2
(5.27)
Note that the control limits in equations (5.25) and (5.27) are variable. However, when i becomes very large, the quantity [1 (1 )2i] approaches unity,
and consequently, the EWMA control limits become constant, which are
given by
UCL = 0 + 3
,
2
(5.28)
CL = 0,
(5.29)
.
LCL = 0 3
2
(5.30)
(5.31)
3/8/07 12:35:09 PM
CL = 0,
(5.32)
LCL = 0 L
[1 (1 )2i ],
2
(5.33)
(5.34)
CL = 0,
(5.35)
.
LCL = 0 L
2
(5.36)
Several authors, including Crowder (1987, 1989) and Lucas and Saccucci
(1990), have studied the problem of determining the ARL for different values
of the parameters and L. Quesenberry (1997) has discussed in detail some
of their results. Lucas and Saccucci (1990) have provided tables of ARL as
a function of , L, and , where is a shift in the process mean, measured
in units of the process standard deviation. Some of their results are shown in
Table 5.8.
Example 5.8 Consider the data in Table 5.4 on the manufacturing process
of auto parts in Example 5.1. Design an EWMA control chart for these data
with = 0.20, L = 2.962, 0 = 20, and = 2 and interpret the results.
Solution: The data from Table 5.4 are reproduced in Table 5.9. The zi values
are determined as shown in the following equations, which are then entered
in Table 5.9. Thus, using equation (5.20), we have
= 500.
Table 5.8 A selection of EWMA charts with ARL0 ~
= 0.05
L = 2.615
= 0.10
L = 2.814
106
= 0.20
L = 2.962
150
= 0.25
L = 2.998
170
= 0.40
L = 3.054
0.25
84.1
224
0.50
28.8
31.3
41.8
48.8
71.2
0.75
16.4
15.9
18.2
20.1
28.4
1.00
11.4
10.3
10.5
11.1
14.3
1.50
7.1
6.1
5.5
5.5
5.9
2.00
5.2
4.4
3.7
3.6
3.5
2.50
4.2
3.4
2.9
2.7
2.5
3.00
3.5
2.9
2.4
2.3
2.0
4.00
2.7
2.2
1.9
1.7
1.4
3/8/07 12:35:09 PM
124
Chapter Five
Table 5.9
Sample #
EWMA control chart (zis) for data in Table 5.4 with = 0.20, L = 2.962.
1
10
xi
19.35 20.05 18.92 15.70 17.50 19.37 17.03 19.35 22.99 18.61
zi
19.87 19.91 19.71 18.91 18.63 18.78 18.43 18.61 19.49 19.31
Sample #
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
xi
23.92 18.75 22.48 25.85 19.20 23.18 24.17 20.77 21.18 24.33
zi
20.23 19.93 20.44 21.52 21.06 21.48 22.02 21.77 21.65 22.19
z1 = x1 + (1 ) z0
= 0.20 19.35 + (1 0.20) 20
= 19.87,
z2 = x 2 + (1 ) z1
= 0.20 20.05 + (1 0.20) 19.87
= 19.91,
z3 = x3 + (1 ) z2
= 0.20 18.92 + (1 0.20) 19.91
= 19.71.
.
.
.
z20 = x 20 + (1 ) z19
= 0.20 24.33 + (1 0.20) 21.65
= 22.19.
The control limits in Figure 5.6 with = 0.20, L = 2.962, 0 = 20, and = 2
are determined using equations (5.31)(5.36).
For time period i = 1, these limits are
0.2
UCL = 20 + 2.962 2
[1 (1 0.2)2 ]
2 0.2
= 21.1848,
0.2
LCL = 20 2.962 2
[1 (1 0.2)2 ]
2 0.2
= 18.8152.
For time period i = 2, these limits are
3/8/07 12:35:09 PM
0.2
UCL = 20 + 2.962 2
[1 (1 0.2)4 ]
2 0.2
= 21.5173,
0.2
LCL = 20 2.962 2
[1 (1 0.2)4 ]
2 0.2
= 18.4827.
.
.
.
Similarly, for period i = 20 (because i is fairly large) these limits are
0.2
UCL = 20 + 2.962 2
2 0.2
= 21.9746,
0.2
LCL = 20 2.962 2
2 0.2
= 18.0254.
Now the points (i, zi) from Table 5.9 are plotted in the EWMA control chart.
The EWMA control chart for the data in Table 5.4 is as shown in Figure 5.8.
The 17th point falls outside the control limits. This means the process is out
of control at time i = 17.
Note that in this example, both the MA chart and the EWMA chart showed
that the process was out of control at time i = 17, whereas the CUSUM control chart indicated that the process was out of control at period i = 19.
EWMA Chart of a Quality Characteristic
+2.962SL = 21.975
22
EWMA
21
20
X = 20
19
18
-2.962SL = 18.025
2
Figure 5.8
10
12
Sample
14
16
18
20
MINITAB printout of the EWMA control chart for the data in Table 5.4.
3/8/07 12:35:09 PM
3/8/07 12:35:10 PM
6
Process Capability Indices
127
3/8/07 12:36:31 PM
128
Chapter Six
Figure 6.1
Planning
department
Top
management
Testing in
service
Design
department
Shipped to
consumer
Management
Final product
Training of
workers
On-line
testing of
production
Procurement
of raw
materials
Start of
production
Flowchart of a process.
3/8/07 12:36:31 PM
developed a list of the 13 most common ways of using the results of process
capability analysis:
1. As a basis in the improvement process.
2. As an alarm clock.
3. As specifications for investments. By giving specifications for
levels of PCIs expected to be reached by new machines, the
purchasing process is facilitated.
4. As a certificate for customers. The supplier is able to attach
with the delivery the results from the process capability studies
conducted when the actual products were produced.
5. As a basis for new constructions. By knowing the capability
of the production processes, the designer knows how to
set reasonable specifications in order to make the product
manufacturable.
6. For control of maintenance efforts. By continuously conducting
process capability studies, it is possible to see if some machines
are gradually deteriorating.
7. As specifications for introducing new products.
8. For assessing reasonableness of customer demands.
9. For motivation of coworkers.
10. For deciding priorities in the improvement process.
11. As a base for inspection activities.
12. As a receipt for improvement.
13. For formulating quality improvement programs.
To implement a process capability analysis, one needs to consider the
following:
1. The target value specification, which is usually defined by the
customer.
2. The specification limits, which should be defined by the
customer or the customers technical staff and agreed upon by
the manufacturer. Furthermore, the specification limits should
be such that they allow manufacturing variability without
jeopardizing proper function of the product.
3. An analysis of the process that would allow the manufacturer
to determine whether the product can meet the customers
specifications.
Once production starts, the manufacturer conducts capability studies to compare the measures of the quality characteristic of the manufactured product
with the specification limits. This is where PCIs are used.
3/8/07 12:36:32 PM
130
Chapter Six
6.2 PCI Cp
Let X be the process quality characteristic we want to monitor. Let USL and
LSL be the upper specification limit and lower specification limit, respectively. The performance of the process with respect to these limits is defined
as follows:
Percentage of nonconforming produced
by the process at the upper end = P(X > USL),
Percentage of nonconforming produced
by the process at the lower end = P(X < LSL).
The total percentage of nonconforming products produced by the process is
defined as
P(X < LSL or X > USL) = 1 P(LSL < X < USL).
In the preceding paragraph we saw the performance of the process with
respect to the specification limits. Now we will look at the performance of
the process with respect to the natural tolerance limits (NTLs), that is, the
UNTL and the LNTL.
The performance of the process with respect to the NTLs is the percentage of the product produced by the process with its quality characteristic
falling within the interval ( 3, + 3), where and , respectively, are
the mean and the standard deviation of the process quality characteristic.
Assuming that the process quality characteristic is normally distributed and
that the process is under control, the percentage of the product produced by
the process with its quality characteristic falling within the interval ( 3,
+ 3) is approximately 99.74 percent. As noted earlier, a PCI is the comparison between what a process is expected to produce and what it is actually
3/8/07 12:36:32 PM
producing. We now define the PCI Cp, one of the first five indices used in
Japan and proposed by Juran et al. (1974) as follows:
USL LSL
UNTL LNTL
USL LSL
=
( + 3 ) ( 3 )
Cp =
(6.1)
USL LSL
.
6
Note that the numerator in equation (6.1) is the desired range of the process
quality characteristic, whereas the denominator is the actual range of the process quality characteristic. From this definition, we see that a process can
produce a product of desired quality and that the process is capable only if
the range in the numerator is at least as large as that in the denominator. In
other words, the process is capable only if Cp 1 and larger values of Cp are
indicative of a process. For a 6 process (3.4 defects per million opportunities
[DPMO]), Cp = 2. A predictable processwhich is normally distributed with
Cp = 1 and its mean located at the center of the specification limits, usually
known as the target value of the process characteristicis expected to produce 0.27 percent nonconforming units. Montgomery (2005b) gives a comprehensive list of values of the PCI Cp and associated process nonconforming
for one-sided specifications and two-sided specifications.
Because Cp is very easy to calculate, it is widely used in the industry.
However, the fact that it does not take into consideration the position of the
process mean is a major drawback. A process could be incapable even if the
value of Cp is large (>1). For example, a process could produce 100 percent
defectives if the process mean falls outside the specification limits and is far
from the target value. Furthermore, the value of Cp will become even larger
if the value of the process standard deviation decreases, while the process
mean moves away from the target value.
Note that the numerator in equation (6.1) is always known, but the denominator is usually unknown. This is because in almost all practical applications,
the process standard deviation is unknown. To calculate Cp we must replace
in equation (6.1) by its estimator . From Chapter 4 we know
that can
be estimated either by the sample
standard
deviation
S
or
by
R
/d2. However,
remember that the estimate R /d2 is normally used only when the process is
under control and the sample size is fewer than 10. An estimated value of Cp
is given by
USL LSL
C p =
.
6
We illustrate the computation of C with the following example.
(6.2)
Example 6.1 The following table gives the summary statistics on X and R
for 25 samples of size n = 5 collected from a process producing tie rods for
certain types of cars. The measurement data are the lengths of the tie rods,
and the measurement scale is in millimeters.
3/8/07 12:36:32 PM
132
Chapter Six
Sample Number
Sample Number
274
14
268
265
15
271
269
16
275
273
17
274
270
18
272
275
19
270
271
20
274
275
21
273
272
22
270
10
273
23
274
11
269
24
273
12
273
25
273
13
274
The target value and the specification limits for the lengths of the rods
are 272 and 272 8, respectively. Calculate the value of Cp assuming that the
tie rod lengths are normally distributed, and find the percentage of nonconforming tie rods produced by the process.
Solution: To find the value of Cp and the percentage of nonconforming tie
rods produced by the process, we first need to estimate the process mean
and the process standard deviation . These estimates may be found by using
X and R /d2, respectively. We get
X
y
1 m
Xi
m i 1
1
(274 265 269 . . . 273)
25
272,
R d 2
1 m
Ri d2
m i 1
1
(6 8 . . . 5 6 ) 2.326
25
6 2.3226 2.58,
where the value of d2 for different samples of size five is found from Table A.2.
Substituting the values of USL, LSL, and in equation (6.2), we get
280 284
= 1.03,
C p =
6(2.58)
3/8/07 12:36:32 PM
which indicates that the process is capable. To find the percentage of nonconforming tie rods produced by the process, we proceed as follows:
Percentage of nonconforming = (1 P(264 X 280)) 100%
= (1 P(3.1 Z 3.1)) 100%
= (1 0.9980) 100% = 0.2%.
In this example, the percentage of nonconforming tie rods is as expected
when we consider the value of Cp. But as noted earlier, this may not always be
the case, because Cp does not take into consideration where the process mean
is located. To better explain this, we use the following example.
Example 6.2 Suppose that the process in Example 6.1 had a special cause
variation, and as a result, the process had an upward shift. Furthermore, suppose that after the process experienced this shift, we took
another set
of 25 random samples of size n =
5
and
these
samples
produced
X
=
276
and
R
= 6. In this
example the value of X changed from 272 to 276 while R remained the same.
Because the process standard deviation did not change, the value of Cp
remained the same, that is, Cp = 1.03. However, the percentage of nonconforming tie rods produced by the process will be
Percentage of nonconforming = (1 P(264 X 280))100%
264 276 X 276 280 276
))100%
2.58
2.58
2.58
= (1 P ( 4.65 Z 1.55))100%
= (1 P (
6.06%.
Even though the value of Cp did not change after the process mean experienced a shift, the process is producing nonconforming units, which are 30
times more nonconforming than in the previous example. In other words,
Cp did not measure the effect that the upward or downward shift had on the
ability of the process to produce products within the specification limits. This
major drawback of Cp makes it less reliable than many other PCIs. We will
study several of these indices here, but first we will look at an alternative but
equivalent interpretation of Cp, which is given by finding the percentage of
specification band used, that is,
Percentage of specification band used =
1
100 .
Cp
3/8/07 12:36:33 PM
134
Chapter Six
The other two PCIs first used by Japanese manufacturers are Cpl and
Cpu. These indices are related to the LSL and the USL, respectively, and are
defined as follows:
C pl =
LSL
,
3
(6.3)
C pu =
USL
.
3
(6.4)
(6.5)
USL X
(6.6)
C pu =
.
3
To illustrate the computation of Cpl and Cpu, we use the information in Examples 6.1 and 6.2.
Example 6.3 Using the information given in Example 6.1, compute Cpl and
Cpu.
Solution:
X LSL 272 264
C pl =
=
= 1.03
3
3(2.58)
USL X 280 272
=
= 1.03
C pu =
3
3(2.58)
Note that both Cpl and Cpu are equal to Cp, which is always the case when the
process mean is centered between the specification limits. Moreover, when
both Cpl and Cpu are equal, the percentage of nonconforming units below
the LSL and the percentage of nonconforming units above the USL are the
same.
Example 6.4 Using the information in Example 6.2, compute C and C .
pl
pu
Solution:
X LSL 276 264
C pl =
=
= 1.55
3
3(2.58)
USL X 280 276
C pu =
=
= 0.52
3
3(2.58)
In this case, the value of Cpl is much larger than 1, whereas the value of Cpu is
much smaller than 1, which indicates that most of the nonconforming units
produced by the process are falling above the USL. Finally, note that both Cpl
and Cpu are sensitive to where the process mean is located.
3/8/07 12:36:33 PM
(6.7)
(6.8)
(USL + LSL ) / 2
.
(USL LSL ) / 2
(6.9)
where
k=
LSL
USL
Center
12
36
24
24
1.00
12
36
24
22
3.33
1.00
12
36
24
20
2.67
1.00
12
36
24
18
2.00
1.00
Cpk
3/8/07 12:36:33 PM
136
Chapter Six
Table 6.2
Cpk
1.00
1.33
1.67
2.00
ppm
1350
30
.001
3/8/07 12:36:34 PM
USL LSL
,
6
(6.11)
where
2 = E(X T)2 = 2 + ( T)2.
(6.12)
USL LSL
6 s 2 + ( x T )2
(6.13)
where
s2 =
1 n
( x x )2
n 1 i =1 i
(6.14)
.
Taguchi (1985) proposed a slightly different estimator for Cpm, that is,
C pm
=
(6.15)
3 [ fs + n( x T )2 ] / ( f + 1)
2
f = n1, d = (USLLSL)/2.
Kotz and Lovelace (1998) prefer this estimator over the one given in equation
(6.13) due to some statistical properties.
Table 6.3 The values of Cpk and Cpm as deviates from the target.
16
15
14
13
12
Cpk
2.00
1.67
1.33
1.00
0.67
Cpm
2.00
1.41
0.89
0.63
0.49
3/8/07 12:36:34 PM
138
Chapter Six
Example 6.5 Consider a stable process that has lower and upper specification limits of 24 and 44, respectively, and the target value at T = 34. Suppose a random sample of size 25 from this process produced a sample mean
of x = 36 and standard deviation of s = 2.5. Determine the point estimates
for Cp, Cpk, and Cpm.
Solution: Using the information given in this example and the formulas
presented earlier, we obtain the following point estimates:
USL LSL 44 24
= 1.33,
C p =
=
6s
6 2.5
x LSL USL x
C pk = min
,
= min(1.6, 1.06) = 1.06,
3s
3s
C pm =
C pm
=
=
USL LSL
6 s 2 + ( x T )2
44 24
6 (2.5)2 + (36 34)2
= 1.04,
d
3 [ fs 2 + n( x T )2 ] / ( f + 1)
(44 24) / 2
3 [24(2.5)2 + 25(36 34)2 ] / 25
= 1.054.
(6.16)
LSL
USL
,
C pmk = min
3 2 + ( x T )2 3 2 + ( x T )2 .
(6.17)
The relationship between Cpmk and Cpm is similar to that between Cpk and Cp.
In other words,
C pmk = (1 k )C pm ,
(6.18)
3/8/07 12:36:34 PM
(USL LSL ) / 2 + x T
C pmk =
,
3
(6.19)
= s 2 + ( x T )2 .
(6.20)
where
Example 6.6 Find an estimator Cpmk of Cpmk for the process in Example 6.5.
Solution: Substituting the values of LSL, USL, T, s, and x in equation
(6.19) we get
C pmk =
=
(44 24) / 2 + 36 34
3 2.52 + (36 34)2
12
3 10.25
= 1.25.
Chen and Hsu (1995) show that the preceding estimator is asymptotically
normal. Wallgren (1996) emphasizes that Cpmk is more sensitive than Cpk
or Cpm to the deviation of the process mean from the target value. Later in
this chapter we will use numerical data to see this characteristic of Cpmk,
Cpm, Cpk, and some other indices. Pearn and Kotz (1994) and Vnnman
(1995) rank the four indices in terms of their sensitivity to differences
between the process mean and the target value as (1) Cpmk, (2) Cpm, (3)
Cpk, and (4) Cp.
3/8/07 12:36:34 PM
140
Chapter Six
by the position of the mean , it is the distance between the NTLs and the
specification limits that is more important than the distance between and
the specification limits.
The capability index Cpnst is defined as
LNTL LSL USL UNTL
C pnst = min
,
,
3
3
(6.21)
where LNTL and UNTL are the lower and the upper natural tolerance limits
and is as defined in equation (6.12). Furthermore, using the customary definition of LNTL and UNTL, that is,
LNTL = 3, UNTL = + 3,
Cpnst can be expressed as
3 LSL
USL 3
,
C pnst = min
2
2
2
2
3 + ( T) 3 + ( T)
LSL
USL
1
1
3
3
,
= min
2
2
T
T
1+
1+
(6.22)
USL
LSL
min
1,
1 .
3
3
T
1+
1
USL
LSL
min
1,
1
3
3
1 + 2
1
1
1 + 2
(6.23)
(C pk 1),
where
T
.
=
A point estimator of Cpnst is given by
C pnst =
1
1+
(C pk 1),
(6.24)
where
3/8/07 12:36:34 PM
= =
(6.25)
and
2
xi
1 n 2 i =1
= x , = s =
x n
n 1 i =1 i
(6.26)
or
= x , =
R
d2
s
c4
(6.27)
.
Values of d2 and c4 for various sample sizes are given in Table A.2. Note that
the second set of estimates is used only if the process is in a state of control
and the estimate based on the sample range is used for sample sizes fewer
than 10. Also, note that Cpnst has an asymptotic normal distribution.
or
B = 0.0
A = 1.143
B = 2.66.
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142
Chapter Six
A = 12
B = 15
A = 2
B = 0.667.
d
d
d
1
, B = T + , A = B = , T = (3(USL ) + LSL ),
2
2
3
4
3/8/07 12:36:35 PM
Cp
Cpk
Cpm
Cpmk
Cpnst
20
1.333
0.894
0.596
0.149
22
1.667
1.414
1.179
0.471
24*
2.000
2.000
2.000
1.000
26
1.667
1.414
1.179
0.471
28
1.333
0.894
0.596
0.149
*Target value
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144
Chapter Six
Table 6.5
Values of Cp, Cpk, Cpm, Cpmk, and Cpnst for = 2, 2.5, 3.0, 3.5, 4.0, 4.5; T =
24, LSL = 12, and USL = 36 ( = 20).
Cp
Cpk
Cpm
Cpmk
Cpnst
2.000
1.333
0.894
0.596
0.149
2.5
1.600
1.067
0.848
0.565
0.035
3.0
1.333
0.889
0.800
0.533
0.067
3.5
1.143
0.762
0.753
0.502
0.157
4.0
1.000
0.663
0.707
0.471
0.236
4.5
0.889
0.593
0.664
0.443
0.305
and the value of the index Cpnst are changing (for example, see
Table 6.5)again, at a much faster rate than the values of any
other indices.
(6.28)
USL LSL
C p =
,
6 R / d2
(6.29)
USL X X LSL
Ppk = min
,
,
3 s
3 s
(6.30)
USL X X LSL
C pk = min
,
.
3 R / d2 3 R / d2
(6.31)
and
3/8/07 12:36:35 PM
In other words, they differ only in the method in which one estimates
the standard deviation. The estimate s is the usual standard deviation
s=
3/8/07 12:36:35 PM
3/8/07 12:36:35 PM
7
Measurement Systems
Analysis
147
3/8/07 5:58:27 PM
148
Chapter Seven
** *
**
Figure 7.1
** *
**
** * * *
**
** *
** *
**
3/8/07 5:58:28 PM
=
Total variation
Figure 7.2
149
+
Part variation
there are two sources or components of variation present in each measurement we take, as is shown in Figure 7.2.
It is important to ensure that the component of variability associated with
the measurement system does not consume an excessive amount of variability as is allowed in the process specification. The purpose of MSA, then, is to
quantify measurement system variability.
3/8/07 5:58:28 PM
150
Chapter Seven
of trials within the same operator, and R is defined as the average of the R s
between the operators.
Definition 7.3 The measurement capability index (MCI) is a measurement that quantifies our belief that the gage is reliable enough to
support decisions made under the existing circumstances.
The MCI relates to four characteristics of a measurement system, which are
the key to any measurement system. These characteristics are:
1. Precision
2. Accuracy
3. Stability
4. Linearity
The characteristic precision is further subdivided into two categories: repeatability and reproducibility.
Definition 7.4 Repeatability measures the preciseness (consistency) of the observations taken under the same conditions, which is
achieved by computing the variance of such observations.
3/8/07 5:58:28 PM
151
(b)
Target
Figure 7.3
(c)
Target
(d)
Target
Target
The distinction between accurate and precise, where (a) is accurate and precise, (b) is
accurate but not precise, (c) is not accurate but precise, and (d) is neither accurate nor precise.
3/8/07 5:58:28 PM
152
Chapter Seven
Observed value
60
50
40
30
20
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Actual value
Figure 7.4
The linear relationship between the actual and the observed values.
a very pertinent factor in improving any process. The total variability due to
the measurement system itself consists of three components: variability due
to operators, variability due to the measurement instrument, and variability
due to the interaction between the operators and the measurement instrument.
Statistically, these relationships can be expressed as follows:
2
2total = 2parts + meas
.,
(7.1)
2
2meas. = 2inst . + operator
+ 2
parts operator
(7.2)
The total variability due to the measurement (2meas.) is also known as the
total Gage R&R variability. The instrument variability is represented by the
variability in the repeated measurements by the same operator, and for this
reason it is also known as repeatability. In the ANOVA method, the repeatability variance component is the error variance (that is, 2inst. = 2EV = 2).
The remainder of the variability in the measurement system comes from various operators who use the instrument and from the interaction between the
instruments and the operators. Note that the interaction appears when any
operator can measure one type of part better than another. This total variability from the operators and from the interaction between the operators and
the instruments is also known as reproducibility. Equation (7.2) can also be
expressed as
2
2
2meas. = repeatability
+ reproducibility
.
(7.3)
R
= K1 R ,
d2
where K1 =
5.15
(7.4)
d2
3/8/07 5:58:28 PM
153
and where the factor 5.15 represents the 99 percent range of the standard
normal distribution, which follows from the fact that
P(2.575 Z 2.575) = 0.99.
(7.5)
Note that the AIAG recommends using the factor 6 instead of 5.15 because it
covers almost 100 percentor to be exact, 99.74 percentof the range. Values of K1 for various sample sizes (that is, the number of trials or the number
of measurements taken on the same part by the same operator) are given in
Table A.3. Duncan (1986) points out that this estimation procedure should be
slightly modified if N = r n = (# operators) (# parts) is less than 16. If N
is less than 16, then K1 is defined as
K1 =
5.15
d 2*
(7.6)
The values of d2* are listed in Duncan (1986), Table D3. The values of K1
listed in Table A.3 are determined according to the value of N. Again, using
Barrentines notation (2003, 57), the Reproducibility = AV, ignoring the interaction term, is defined as
Reproducibility = AV = ( K 2 Rx )2
( EV )2
,
( r n)
(7.7)
5.15
d 2*
(7.8)
5.15
= 2.077 .
2.48
We now illustrate the range-based method and then the ANOVA method with
the following example.
Example 7.1 A manufacturer of bolts (parts) used in automotive applications has installed a new measuring gage. In order to perform the MSA on
the new gage, the quality manager randomly selects three Six Sigma Green
Belts from the quality control department, who decide to conduct the MSA by
taking a random sample of 10 bolts. Each Six Sigma Green Belt takes three
measurements on each bolt, which is randomly selected. The data obtained are
as shown in Table 7.1.
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154
Chapter Seven
Table 7.1
Bolt
(Part)
Number
Operator 1
Operator 2
Operator 3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
26
22
26
21
23
21
24
22
26
28
26
28
24
29
26
24
25
24
28
31
28
28
27
28
32
30
27
35
33
31
35
31
30
34
35
31
37
35
38
36
38
35
35
34
35
40
38
40
40
38
40
36
37
38
39
42
41
40
39
43
43
41
43
42
43
46
42
46
42
43
44
45
50
52
50
53
52
53
49
53
49
10
28
3
28
R 1 = 3.0, x 1 = 35.33
28
27
28
R 2 = 2.5, x 2 = 34.67
32
30
27
R 3 = 3.0, x 3 = 34.93
3/8/07 5:58:29 PM
155
R=
EV 8.63
=
= 1.67.
5.15 5.15
0.83
= 0.16.
5.15
3/8/07 5:58:29 PM
156
Chapter Seven
8.67
= 1.68.
5.15
DF
SS
6135.73
MS
681.748 165.532
P
0.000
6.76
3.378
0.820
0.456
Part Numbers*Operators
18
74.13
4.119
1.477
0.131
Repeatability
60
167.33
2.789
Total
89
6383.95
3/8/07 5:58:29 PM
157
an acceptable value of the level of significance is 0.05). Finally, the interactions are not negligible at a significance level greater than 0.131. Because the
chosen value of alpha is 0.25, the interaction term is not removed from the
ANOVA.
Two-Way ANOVA Table without Interaction
Source
DF
SS
MS
6135.73
681.748
220.222
0.000
1.091
0.341
Part Numbers
Operators
6.76
3.378
Repeatability
78
241.46
3.096
Total
89
6383.95
Because in this case the value of alpha is less than 0.131, the interaction term
is removed from the Two-Way ANOVA Table without Interaction. In this case,
the SS (sum of squares) and DF (degrees of freedom) are merged with corresponding terms of repeatability, which act as an error due to uncontrollable
factors. The interpretation for parts and operators is the same as in the Two-Way
ANOVA Table with Interaction. However, it is important to note that the p values
can change from one ANOVA table to another. For example, the p values for
operators are different in the two tables. We will not discuss here the reason for
these changes in the p values, as it is beyond the scope of this book.
Gage R&R
%Contribution
Source
Total Gage R&R
VarComp
(of VarComp)
3.2321
4.12
Repeatability
2.7889
3.55
Reproducibility
0.4432
0.56
Operators
0.0000
0.00
Operators*Part Numbers
0.4432
0.56
Part-to-Part
75.2922
95.88
Total Variation
78.5243
100.00
Process tolerance = 60
The first column in the Gage R&R MINITAB printout provides the breakdown
of the variance components (estimates of variances). The second column provides percent contribution of the variance components, which becomes the
basis of a Gage R&R study using the ANOVA method. For example, the
total variation due to gage is 4.12 percent, of which 3.55 percent variation is
contributed by the repeatability and the remaining 0.56 percent is contributed
by the reproducibility. The variation due to parts is 95.88 percent of the total
variation. This implies that the measurement system is very capable.
3/8/07 5:58:29 PM
158
Chapter Seven
Note that the percent contributions are calculated simply by dividing the
variance components by the total variation and then multiplying by 100. The
percent contribution due to repeatability, for example, is given by
2.7889
100 = 3.55%.
78.5243
StdDev
Study Var
%Study Var
%Tolerance
(SD)
(6 * SD)
(%SV)
(SV/Toler)
1.79780
10.7868
20.29
17.98
Repeatability
1.67000
10.0200
18.85
16.70
Reproducibility
0.66574
3.9944
7.51
6.66
Operators
0.00000
0.0000
0.00
0.00
Operators*Part Numbers
0.66574
3.9944
7.51
6.66
Part-to-Part
8.67711
52.0626
97.92
86.77
Total Variation
8.86139
53.1684
100.00
88.61
Source
Total Gage R&R
3/8/07 5:58:29 PM
159
part-to-part SD
8.67711
= Integral part of
1.4142
1.79780
= 6.
Under AIAGs recommendations, a measurement system is capable if the
number of categories is greater than or equal to five. In this example, the
measurement system is capable of separating the parts into the different
categories in which they belong. This quantity is equivalent to the one
defined in Montgomery (2005b) and is referred to as signal-to-noise ratio
(SNR), that is,
SNR =
2 p
1 p
(7.9)
where
p =
2p
1 2p
(7.10)
Figure 7.5
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160
Chapter Seven
As usual, in Figure 7.6 we first interpret the R chart. All the data points
are within the control limits, which indicates that the operators are measuring consistently. The X chart shows many points beyond the control limits,
but this does not mean the measurement system is out of control. Rather,
this indicates the narrower control limits because the variation due to repeatability is small and the measurement system is capable of distinguishing the
different parts.
Figure 7.7 plots the average of each part by any single operator. In this
graph we have three lines because we have three operators. These lines intersect one another, but they are also very close to one another. This implies
that there is some interaction between the operators and the parts, which is
significant only at significance level 0.131 or greater.
In Figure 7.8, the clear circles represent the measurements by each operator, and the dark circles represent the means. The spread of measurements for
each operator is almost the same. The means fall on a horizontal line, which
indicates that the average measurement for each operator is also the same.
In this example, the operators are measuring the parts consistently. In other
words, the variation due to reproducibility is low.
In Figure 7.9, the clear circles represent the measurements on each part,
and the dark circles represent the mean for each part. In this case, the spread
of measurements for each part is not exactly the same, but is nonetheless very
small. This means that each part is measured with the same precision and
accuracy. Greater variability among the means indicates that the measurement system is quite capable of distinguishing the parts belonging to different categories. Combining the outcomes of Figures 7.8 and 7.9, we can say
that, overall, the Gage R&R variability is not very significant.
Figure 7.6
3/8/07 5:58:30 PM
Figure 7.7
Interaction between operators and parts for the data in Example 7.1.
Figure 7.8
161
3/8/07 5:58:30 PM
162
Chapter Seven
Figure 7.9
7.3 MCIs
As the PCI quantifies the ability of a process to produce products of desired
quality, likewise the MCI quantifies the ability of a measurement system to
provide accurate measurements. In other words, the MCI evaluates the adequacy of the measurement system. Various MCIs are in use, and one such
MCI was defined in equation (7.9). We discuss here the other two most commonly used MCIs: percentage of process variation and percentage of process
specification. The MCI should always be used in conjunction with the PCI
(Barrentine 2003).
MCI as a Percentage of Process Variation (MCIpv)
Gage
R&R
(7.11)
total
The criteria for assessment of this index are usually as follows (Barrentine
2003):
MCI pv = 100
20 percent: good
> 20 percent, 30 percent: marginal
> 30 percent: unacceptable
Using the preceding ANOVA table for the data in Example 7.1, we have
3/8/07 5:58:30 PM
163
1.79780
= 20%.
8.86139
This MCI indicates that the measurement system is good.
MCI pv = 100
6 Gage
R&R
USL LSL
(7.12)
The criteria for assessment of this index are the same as MCIpv (Barrentine
2003):
20 percent: good
> 20 percent, 30 percent: marginal
> 30 percent: unacceptable
Again, using the preceding ANOVA table for the data in Example 7.1 and
with process tolerance 60, we have
6 1.79780
= 18%.
60
Thus, this MCI indicates that the measurement system is good.
MCI ps = 100
3/8/07 5:58:31 PM
3/8/07 5:58:31 PM
8
PRE-control
n Chapter 1, Figure 1.1 clarified how the SQC tools are related primarily
to applied statistics and DOE. Figure 1.1 has been revised and is given
here as Figure 8.1 to clarify relationships among the SQC tools.
As can be seen in Figure 8.1, PRE-control, if it is used at all, is used after
a process is determined to be capable and operating in a state of statistical
control.
DOE
Capability
analysis
SPC
Acceptance
sampling
PRE-control
Figure 8.1
165
3/8/07 12:37:39 PM
166
Chapter Eight
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
PRE-control 167
LSL
LNTL
Figure 8.2
Target
USL
UNTL
We see in Figure 8.2 that any process drift or shift will result in the production of products or services outside customer specifications or tolerances.
So for PRE-control to be a valid SQC tool, the process capability ratio must
be something greater than one, which means there is some room for the process to vary and yet still produce products or services that meet customer
expectations. How high the PCI Cpk should be to make PRE-control valid is
commonly defined in professional literature as 1.5, which equates to six standard deviations of variability consuming only 0.88 of the tolerance. Process
capability ratios at or above two are commonly considered to be economically unjustified. And because PRE-control is valid only on processes with
capability ratios at or above 1.5, and processes with capability ratios above 2
are not particularly common, PRE-control has a fairly limited range of use.
Lastly, what constitutes a low defect rate as a condition validating the use
of PRE-control is a matter of debate. There are no guidelines, heuristics, or
rules of thumb to qualify a process as having a low defect rate. Several publications cited in the bibliography identify the term near zero defect rate to
describe the conditions necessary to validate the use of PRE-control. It is clear
that whatever value is selected for a low defect rate standard, the process must
be inherently stable and capable, and it must have been through enough iterations of process improvement that defects are extremely unlikely to occur.
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
168
Chapter Eight
Red
Yellow
LSL
1.5S
app. 7%
Figure 8.3
Green
Yellow
Red
USL
3S
app. 86%
1.5S
app. 7%
PRE-control zones.
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
PRE-control 169
PRE-control
Zone
Green
Run process,
step 4
1
2
Yellow
Green
Measure piece 2
Run process,
step 4
1
2
Yellow
Yellow
Measure piece 2
Reset process
Pieces 1 and 2 in same
yellow zone
Pieces 1 and 2 in
opposite yellow zones
Step 3
Red
Reset process
Step 1
Measurement
Requirement
PRE-control Step
to Follow
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
170
Chapter Eight
99.74%
LSL
LNTL
Figure 8.4
Target
USL
UNTL
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
PRE-control 171
mined to be capable and operating in a state of statistical control. Additionally, PRE-control has its supporters and critics. Therefore, one must consider
and balance these advantages and disadvantages prior to using PRE-control.
8.5.1 Advantages of PRE-control
Conditions may warrant the use of PRE-control, as has been discussed
throughout this chapter. The following list provides the advantages of using
this SQC tool:
It is much easier for shop-floor operators to use than SPC
There is a cost savings from reduced measurement, as compared
with SPC
The measurement devices needed to support PRE-control (go/no-go
gages) are less expensive than measurement devices for continuous
variables
PRE-control does not require computation and charting, as does
SPC
PRE-control provides process performance data faster than SPC does
(remember that SPC requires 25 subgroups/samples to be drawn,
control limits to be calculated, and charting to be completed before
any conclusions can be made about process performance)
PRE-control is designed to ensure that defective products and services do not reach the customer (as compared with SPC, which is
designed to detect assignable cause variation)
8.5.2 Disadvantages of PRE-control
PRE-control also presents certain disadvantages when compared with
other SQC tools such as SPC. Montgomery (2005a, 475) summarizes these
disadvantages:
Because SPC is commonly discontinued when PRE-control begins,
diagnostic information contained as patterns of assignable cause
variation in control charts is lost
Historical records of process performance (that is, records of why
assignable cause variation occurred) over time are lost
Small sample sizes with PRE-control reduce the ability to detect
even moderate-to-large shifts
PRE-control provides no information helpful in establishing statistical control or in reducing variability
PRE-control is extremely sensitive to deviations from being in statistical control and being capable
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
172
Chapter Eight
3/8/07 12:37:40 PM
9
Acceptance Sampling
9.1 The Intent of Acceptance Sampling1
Acceptance sampling is a method for inspecting a product. Inspection can
be done with screening (also called sorting, or 100 percent inspection), in
which all units are inspected, or with sampling. Acceptance sampling is the
process of inspecting a portion of the product in a lot for the purpose of making a decision regarding classification of the entire lot as either conforming
or nonconforming to quality specifications.
Whether inspection is done with screening or with sampling, the results
can be used for different purposes, as follows:
1. To distinguish between good lots and bad lots using acceptance
sampling plans (as in incoming material inspection and final
product inspection).
2. To distinguish between good products and bad products.
3. To determine the status of process control and whether the
process is changing. This is usually done in conjunction with
control charts.
4. To evaluate process capability. In this case, inspection is used to
determine whether the process exhibits excessive variation and
whether it is approaching or exceeding the specification limits.
5. To determine process adjustment. Based on inspection results
of process output, as depicted by a histogram, for example, the
process mean may require adjustment and/or process variation
may need to be reduced. A process might require adjustment
even though all the units produced to date conform to the
quality standards agreed upon with the customer.
Originally published in a slightly different form in R. W. Berger, D. W. Benbow, A. K. Elshennawy, and H. F. Walker, eds., The Certified Quality Engineer Handbook, 2nd ed. (Milwaukee,
WI: ASQ Quality Press, 2007), 190242. Reprinted with permission.
173
3/8/07 12:38:07 PM
174
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:07 PM
lots would be rejected under acceptance sampling, and those accepted would
be so as a result of statistical variations rather than better quality. Screening
is also appropriate when the fraction nonconforming is not known and an
estimate based on a large sample is needed.
3/8/07 12:38:07 PM
176
Chapter Nine
1.00
0.90
0.80
n = 50
c= 3
0.70
Pa
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
1
9 10
15
20
p (percent nonconforming)
Figure 9.1
An OC curve.
3/8/07 12:38:08 PM
where x is the index of the summation, n is the sample size, p is the lot fraction nonconforming, and r is the number of nonconformances in the sample,
for every fraction nonconforming for which a point is to be plotted. The letter
c in Figure 9.1 is equivalent to r in the preceding equation.
Example 9.1 For a sampling plan with n = 50 and the acceptable number of nonconformances c is three or fewer, the following table may be
constructed.
p
np
Pa
0.01
0.50
0.998
0.02
1.00
0.981
0.03
1.50
0.934
0.05
2.50
0.758
0.07
3.50
0.537
0.08
4.00
0.433
0.09
4.50
0.342
0.10
5.00
0.265
For example, to calculate the first point, one should access Table A.6,
Poisson probabilities, in the appendix, for np = (50) (0.01) = 0.50 and
three or fewer nonconformances c and find a value of 0.99P (Pa). Other points
are calculated in the same way. These points can then be plotted, and a curve
such as the one shown in Figure 9.1 can be drawn.
Values for p (fraction defective) are chosen arbitrarily and are selected
to result in a product of np that has a corresponding table value. Table A.6
lists values of 0, 1, 2, 3, . . . , n. These are the cumulative number of nonconformances. For example, the value under 0 for a given value of np is the
probability of exactly zero nonconformances in the sample. This is Pa at c = 0
for a given value of np. The value listed under 1 is the probability of one or
fewer nonconformances, the value under 2 is the probability of two or fewer
nonconformances, and so on.
9.3.4 Acceptance Sampling by Attributes
Acceptance sampling by attributes is generally used for two purposes: (1) protection against accepting lots from a continuing process whose average quality deteriorates beyond an acceptable quality level, and (2) protection against
isolated lots that may have levels of nonconformances greater than what can
be considered acceptable. The most commonly used form of acceptance sampling plan is sampling by attributes. The most widely used standard of all attribute plans, although not necessarily the best, is ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003. The
following sections provide more details on the characteristics of acceptance
sampling and a discussion of military standards in acceptance sampling.
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178
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:08 PM
Probability of
Acceptance (Pa)
Fraction Defective
(p)
AOQ
0.998
0.01
0.00998
0.982
0.02
0.01964
0.937
0.03
0.02811
0.861
0.04
0.03444
0.760
0.05
0.03800
0.647
0.06
0.03882
0.533
0.07
0.03731
0.425
0.08
0.03400
0.330
0.09
0.02970
0.250
0.10
0.02500
3/8/07 12:38:08 PM
AOQ (%)
180
Chapter Nine
4.0
3.6
3.2
2.8
2.4
2.0
1.6
1.2
0.8
0.4
0
0.0388
0.0367
N=
0.0367
n = 50
0.0312
0.0258
c=3
0.0220
0.0134
0.0077
1
10
15
20
p (percent nonconforming)
Figure 9.2
As can be seen, the AOQ rises until the incoming quality level of 0.06
nonconforming is reached. The maximum AOQ point is 0.03882, which is
called the AOQL. This is the AOQL for an infinite lot size, sample size = 50,
accept on three or fewer nonconformances.
9.3.10 Lot Size, Sample Size, and Acceptance Number
For any single sampling plan, the plan is completely described by the lot size,
sample size, and acceptance number. In this section, the effect of changing the
sample size, acceptance number, and lot size on the behavior of the sampling
plan will be explored, along with the risks of constant percentage plans.
The effect on the OC curve caused by changing the sample size while
holding all other parameters constant is shown in Figure 9.3. The probability
of acceptance changes considerably as sample size changes. The Pa for the
given sample sizes for a 10 percent nonconforming lot and an acceptance
number of zero are shown in the following table.
Sample Size (n)
Probability of
Acceptance (Pa%)
10
35
68
82
90
The effect of changing the acceptance number on a sampling plan while holding all other parameters constant is shown in Figure 9.4. Another point of interest
is that for c = 0, the OC curve is concave in shape, while plans with larger acceptance numbers have a reverse s shape. Figure 9.4 and the following table show
the effect of changing the acceptance number of a sampling plan on the indifference quality level (IQL: 50-50 chance of accepting a given percent defective).
3/8/07 12:38:08 PM
1.00
n=1
n=2
0.90
0.80
n=4
0.70
n = 10
Pa
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
p (percent nonconforming)
Figure 9.3
1.00
n = 10
c=0
0.90
0.80
c=1
0.70
c=2
Pa
0.60
Indifference quality level
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
p (percent nonconforming)
Figure 9.4
Effect of changing acceptance number (c) when sample size (n) is held
constant.
3/8/07 12:38:08 PM
182
Chapter Nine
Acceptance
Number (c)
Percent Defective
at IQL
10
27
10
17
10
The parameter having the least effect on the OC curve is the lot size N.
Figure 9.5 shows the changes in the OC curve for a sample size of 10, acceptance number of 0, and lot sizes of 100, 200, and 1000. For this reason, using
the binomial and Poisson approximations, even when lot sizes are known
(and are large compared with sample size), results in little error in accuracy.
Some key probabilities of acceptance points for the three lot sizes follow. As
can be seen, the differences due to lot size are minimal.
Fraction
Defective (p)
Probability of
Acceptance (Pa)
0.10
0.330
100
0.30
0.023
100
0.50
0.001
100
0.10
0.340
200
0.30
0.026
200
0.50
0.001
200
0.10
0.347
1000
0.30
0.028
1000
0.50
0.001
1000
Computing the sample size as a percentage of the lot size has a large effect
on risks and protection, as shown in Figure 9.6. In this case, plans having a
sample size totaling 10 percent of the lot size are shown. As can be seen, the
degree of protection changes dramatically with changes in lot size, which
results in low protection for small lot sizes and gives excessively large sample
requirements for large lot sizes.
3/8/07 12:38:09 PM
1.00
0.90
n = 10
0.80
c=0
0.70
N = 1000
Pa
0.60
N = 200
0.50
N = 100
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
10
Figure 9.5
20
30
40 50 60 70 80 90
p (percent nonconforming)
100
Effect of changing lot size (N) when acceptance number (c) and sample
size (n) are held constant.
1.00
0.90
N = 250, n = 25, c = 0
0.80
N = 100, n = 10, c = 0
0.70
Pa
0.60
N = 50, n = 5, c = 0
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
10
Figure 9.6
20
30
40
p (percent nonconforming)
50
OC curves for sampling plans having the sample size equal to 10 percent
of the lot size.
3/8/07 12:38:09 PM
184
Chapter Nine
from a submitted lot. In the example shown earlier, the OC curve and the
AOQ curve were calculated for a single sampling plan where n = 50 and
c = 3. Single sampling plans have the advantage of ease of administration,
but due to the unchanging sample size, they do not take advantage of the
potential cost savings of reduced inspection when incoming quality is either
excellent or poor.
9.4.2 Double Sampling Plans
When using double sampling plans, a smaller first sample is taken from the
submitted lot, and one of three decisions is made: (1) accept the lot, (2) reject
the lot, or (3) draw another sample. If a second sample is to be drawn, the lot
will either be accepted or rejected after the second sample. Double sampling
plans have the advantage of a lower total sample size when the incoming
quality is either excellent or poor because the lot is either accepted or rejected
on the first sample.
Example 9.3 A double sampling plan is to be executed as follows: Take a
first sample (n1) of 75 units and set c1 (the acceptance number for the first
sample) = 0. The lot will be accepted based on the first sample results if no
nonconformances are found in the first sample. If three nonconformances are
found in the first sample, the lot will be rejected based on the first sample
results. If, after analyzing the results of the first sample, one or two nonconformances are found, take a second sample (n2 = 75). The acceptance
number for the second sample (c2) is set to three. If the combined number of
nonconformances in the first and second samples is three or fewer, the lot will
be accepted; if the combined number of nonconformances is four or more, the
lot will be rejected. The plan is represented in the following table.
Sample Size
Acceptance
Number (c)
Rejection
Number (r )
n1 = 75
c1 = 0
r1 = 3
n2 = 75
c2 = 3
r2 = 4
3/8/07 12:38:09 PM
where
p0 = probability of zero nonconformances in first sample
p1p2 = probability of one nonconformance in first sample
times the probability of two nonconformances in the
second sample, and so on.
Example 9.4 For a double sampling plan where n1 = 75, c1 = 0, r1 = 3,
n2 = 75, c2 = 3, and r2 = 4, show the computations for the OC curve.
To determine the technique of plotting the OC curve, three points for p may
be used (0.01, 0.04, and 0.08), although in practice, 6 to 10 should be used.
The points for the OC curve are calculated using the generalized equation for
each fraction nonconforming, selected as shown in the following table.
Generalized
Equation Values
p = 0.01
p = 0.04
p = 0.08
p0
0.4720
0.050
0.002
p1p0
0.1676
0.0075
0.00003
p1p1
0.1260
0.0222
0.000225
p1p2
0.0433
0.0334
0.000675
p2 p0
0.0623
0.0112
0.00009
p2 p1
0.0433
0.0334
0.000675
Totals for Pa
0.9145
0.1577
0.003695
These points are used to construct the OC curve for the double sampling
plan, as shown in Figure 9.7.
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
Pa
0.60
n1 = 75, c1 = 0, r1 = 3
0.50
n2 = 75, c2 = 3, r2 = 4
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
1
Figure 9.7
4
5
6
7
8
p (percent nonconforming)
10
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186
Chapter Nine
AOQ (%)
n1 = 75, c1 = 0, r1 = 3
n2 = 75, c2 = 3, r2 = 4
2.0
1.0
0
1
10
p (percent nonconforming)
Figure 9.8
3/8/07 12:38:09 PM
Example 9.5
c1 = 0,
r1 = 3,
n2 = 75,
c2 = 3,
r2 = 4.
A second sample is required if, on the first sample, one or two nonconformances are noted
If zero nonconformances are found in the first sample, the lot is
accepted
If three or more nonconformances are found in the first sample, the
lot is rejected
Denote the probability of making a decision, accept or reject, on the first
sample as P(D1). Then,
P(D1) = P(0) + P (3 or more),
P(0) = The probability of 0 nonconformances on the first sample,
P (3 or more) = The probability of 3 or more nonconformances
on the first sample,
P2 = 1 P(D1), then ASN = n1 + n2(P2).
When using Table A.6 to calculate the probability of three or more nonconformances, remember that the probability is given by
(1 probability of 2 or fewer nonconformances) in the sample.
The ASN will be plotted for several values of fraction nonconforming p,
and an ASN curve will be plotted. An example of the ASN calculation for the
fraction nonconforming p = 0.01 is shown in the following equation. Several
other points need to be plotted for other values of p. Figure 9.9 shows an ASN
curve for the example.
When p = 0.01:
P(0) = Probability of 0 nonconformances in sample = 0.4724,
P (3 or more) = Probability of 3 or more nonconformances
in sample = 0.0410,
P(D1) = Probability of a decision on the first sample
(using the preceding equation) = 0.4724 + 0.0410 =
0.5134,
Then P2 = Probability of requiring a second sample
= 1 0.5134 = 0.4866.
Thus, the ASN is:
ASN(0.01) = Average sample number for a lot quality p = 0.01
= n1 + n2 (P2)
= 75 + 75 (0.4866) = 111.50 or 112.
3/8/07 12:38:09 PM
188
Chapter Nine
130
n1 = 75, c1 = 0, R1 = 3
120
n2 = 75, c2 = 3, R2 = 4
110
100
ASN
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
.01
Figure 9.9
.02
.03
.04
.05
.06
.07
.08
Fraction nonconforming
.09
.10
.11
ASN(0.06) = 87
ASN(0.02) = 120
ASN(0.07) = 82
ASN(0.03) = 113
ASN(0.08) = 79
ASN(0.04) = 103
ASN(0.09) = 78
ASN(0.05) = 94
ASN(0.1) = 77
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
190
Chapter Nine
Reduced
Normal
Tightened
Five consecutive
lots accepted
Five consecutive
lots remain on
tightened
Discontinue
inspection
under Z1.4
Figure 9.10
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
192
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
Sample(s)
Size
Ac
Re
125
6
5
Double
sampling
First
80
Second
80
Multiple
sampling
First
32
Second
32
Third
32
Fourth
32
Fifth
32
Sixth
32
Seventh
32
10
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
194
Chapter Nine
Sample Size
(percent)
100
60
40
known
15
3/8/07 12:38:10 PM
values for each specification limit. The AQL values are designated ML for
the LSL and MU for the USL.
There are two forms used for every specification limit ANSI/ASQ
Z1.9-2003 plan: Form 1 and Form 2. Form 1 provides only acceptance or
rejection criteria, whereas Form 2 estimates the percent below the LSL and
the percent above the USL. These percentages are compared with the AQL
for acceptance/rejection criteria. Figure 9.11 summarizes the structure and
organization of ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003.
There are 14 AQL levels used in ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 that are consistent
with the AQL levels used in ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003. Section A of ANSI/ASQ
Z1.9-2003 contains both an AQL conversion table and a table for selecting the
desired inspection level. Inspection Level II should be used unless otherwise
specified. See Section A7.1 of the standard for further information about levels.
Table A-3 on page 7 of ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 contains the OC curves for
the sampling plans in Sections B, C, and D.
Section B contains sampling plans used when the variability is unknown
and the standard deviation method is used. Part I is used for a single specification limit, Part II is used for a double specification limit, and Part III is used for
estimation of process average and criteria for reduced and tightened inspection.
Section C contains sampling plans used when the variability is unknown
and the range method is used. Parts I, II, and III are the same as Parts I, II,
and III in Section B.
Section A
AQL conversion
and inspection
levels
Variability unknown
Standard deviation
method
Variability known
Single specification
limits
k-method
Procedure 1
Figure 9.11
M-method
Procedure 2
Double
specification limits
Variability unknown
Range method
Process average
estimation and criteria
for reduced and
tightened inspection
M-method
Procedure 2
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
196
Chapter Nine
( U X ) or ( X L ) ,
R
where
U = upper specification limit
L = lower specification limit
X = sample average
R = average range of the sample
The
criterion is a comparison of the quality (U X)/R or
acceptance
Value
Sample size: n
10
2.
Sum of measurement: X
6472
3.
4.
5.
6.
Information Needed
1.
Explanation
647.2
6472/10
36
(37 + 35)/2
(647.2 620)/36
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
7.
Acceptability constant: k
.811
8.
Acceptability criterion:
.756 .811
The lot does not meet the acceptability criterion, because (X L)/R is
less than k.
UX
X L
and QL =
,
s
s
where
U = upper specification limit
L
= lower specification limit
X = sample mean
s = estimate of lot standard deviation
The quality level of the lot is in terms of the lot percent defective. Three values are calculated: PU, PL, and p. PU is an estimate of conformance with the
USL; PL is an estimate of conformance with the LSL; and p is the sum of PU
and PL.
The value of p is then compared with the maximum allowable percent
defective. If p is less than or equal to M (ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 Table B-5,
shown as Figure 9.20 at the end of this chapter), or if either QU or QL is
negative, the lot is rejected. The following example illustrates the preceding
procedure.
Example 9.8 The minimum temperature of operation for a certain device
is specified as 180F. The maximum temperature is 209F. A lot of 40 items
is submitted for inspection. Inspection Level IV, normal inspection with
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
198
Chapter Nine
Value Obtained
Explanation
1.
Sample size: n
2.
Sum of measurements:
X
975
3.
Sum of squared
measurements: X 2
190,435
4.
190,125
9752/5
5.
310
190,435 190,125
6.
Variance (V ): SS/(n 1)
77.5
310/4
8.81
7.
8.
Standard deviation s:
77.5
v
195
975/5
9.
209
10.
180
11.
Quality index: QU =
(U X )/s
1.59
(209 195)/8.81
12.
Quality index: QL =
(X L)/s
1.7
(195 180)/8.81
13.
2.19%
14.
0.66%
15.
2.85%
2.19 + 0.66
16.
Maximum allowable
percent defective: M
3.32%
17.
Acceptability criterion:
compare p = PU + PL
with M.
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
sn + h2
Reject zone
Continue testing
Accept zone
sn h1
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
200
Chapter Nine
where
n = sample size,
h1 =
h2 =
s=
b
,
p2 (1 p1 )
log
p1 (1 p2 )
a
,
p2 (1 p1 )
loog
p1 (1 p2 )
log [ (1 p1 ) / (1 p2 ) ]
,
p (1 p1 )
log 2
p1 (1 p2 )
a = log
(1 )
,
b = log
(1 )
.
Example 9.9 Assume that the following values are desired for a sequential
sampling plan:
= 0.05, p1 (AQL) = 0.05,
= 0.1, p2 (RQL) = 0.2.
Then:
a = log
1 0.10
= 1.2553,
0.05
b = log
1 0.05
= 0.97777,
0.10
s = log
h1 =
0.9777
= 1.4448,
0.20(1 0.05)
log
0.05(1 0.20)
h2 =
1.2553
= 1.855.
0.20(1 0.05)
log
0.05(1 0.20)
3/8/07 12:38:11 PM
Acceptance
Number
Rejection
Number
Acceptance
Number
Rejection
Number
14
20
24
40
50
As can be seen by the preceding plan, rejecting the lot is not possible
until the 3rd sample unit, and accepting the lot is withheld until the 14th
sample unit.
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
202
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
X
/ n
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
204
Chapter Nine
The and risks and unacceptable process levels must be set prior to designing the test. The next example illustrates the procedure.
Example 9.10 A pressure-sensing gage has a tensile strength requirement
after staking of 30,000 pounds psi. The lot will be acceptable if no more than
2.5 percent of the units are below 29,000 pounds psi ( risk). The vendor also
wants a high probability of acceptance of a lot that has a tensile strength of
31,000 pounds psi ( risk). The process standard deviation is known to be
4200 pounds psi. What sample size and sample mean are required to meet
these given levels and risks?
Utilizing the previous equation, then
X
/ n
= Z and
X
/ n
= Z.
= 1.282 and
X 31, 000
4200 / n
= 1.645
Subtracting the second equation from the first results in the following:
2000
= 2.927, which gives a value for n = 37.78 or n = 38
4200 / n
Substituting this value of n into either equation will provide a solution
for X. If the known value for n is substituted into the first equation, the consumers risk () will be maintained at the required level. If the known value
for n is substituted into the second equation, the producers risk () will be
maintained at the required level. One or the other, but not both, will be at the
average given level. To maintain the risk:
X = 29, 879.21
Then Z =
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
*
*
*
*
*
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
0
0
20,00031,499
40
67
22
38
14
24
14
2
4
24
13
7
14
1
3
111
68
40
24
14
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
186
115
69
42
25
14
*
*
*
*
*
181
110
68
40
24
14
*
*
*
*
*
*
1.0
169
105
63
38
22
13
*
*
*
1.5
181
110
67
40
24
14
*
*
*
2.5
181
111
68
49
24
14
*
*
4.0
AQL
186
115
69
42
25
14
6.5
105 181
68
181
169
181
63
110
113
68
110
39
189
471
277
181
115
68
40
22
14
40
490
301
177
72
42
25
24
297
181
105
68
115
42
24
14
7
13
301
181
110
63
40
25
14
277
178
63
36
22
181
115
68
105
40
22
14
650 1000
13
400
250
150
100
65
40
25
15
10
Figure 9.13
may be used for the calculation, provided that the lots or batches used are the most recent ones in sequence, that they have all been on normal inspection, and that none have
been rejected while on original inspection.
* = Denotes that the number of sample units from the last 10 lots or batches is not sufficient for reduced inspection for this AQL. In this instance, more than 10 lots or batches
12,50019,999
800012,499
50007999
31504999
20003149
12501999
8001249
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
500799
320499
200319
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
130199
80129
5079
*
*
*
*
*
*
3049
2029
*
*
*
Number of
Sample Units
from Last 10
Lots or Batches 0.010 0.015 0.025 0.040 0.065 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.40 0.65
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
to
to
to
to
to
to
151
281
501
1201
3201
10,001
3200
10,000
35,000
280
500
1200
50
90
150
8
15
25
D
D
D
C
C
C
B
B
C
A
B
B
A
A
A
S-1
E
E
E
D
D
D
C
C
C
B
B
B
A
A
A
S-2
G
G
H
E
F
F
D
D
E
B
C
C
A
A
B
S-3
to 150,000
to 500,000
and
over
to
to
to
26
51
91
35,001
150,001
500,001
to
to
to
2
9
16
J
J
K
G
G
H
E
E
F
C
C
D
A
A
B
S-4
L
M
N
H
J
K
E
F
G
C
C
D
A
A
B
N
P
Q
K
L
M
G
H
J
D
E
F
A
B
C
II
P
Q
R
L
M
N
H
J
K
E
F
G
B
C
D
III
206
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
8
13
20
32
50
80
125
200
315
500
800
1250
2000
D
E
F
G
H
J
K
L
M
N
P
Q
Figure 9.15
2
3
5
A
B
C
0 1
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22 30 31
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22 30 31 44 45
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22 30 31 44 45
2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22 30 31 44 45
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22 30 31 44 45
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
0 1
= Use first sampling plan below arrow. If sample size equals or exceeds lot size, carry out 100 percent inspection.
2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 14 15 21 22
1 2
1 2
0 1
1 2
1 2 2 3
1 2 2 3 3 4
1 2 2 3
1 2 2 3 3 4
1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6
0 1
0 1
0 1
ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 Table II-A: Single sampling plans for normal inspection.
Re = Rejection number.
Ac = Acceptance number.
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
0 1
AQLs in Percent Nonconforming Items and Nonconformities per 100 Items (normal inspection)
Sample
Size Sample 0.010 0.015 0.025 0.040 0.065 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.40 0.65 1.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 6.5 10
15
25
40
65 100 150 250 400 650 1000
Code
Size
Letter
Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
Sample Size
Code Letter
Sample Size
2.5
4.0
6.5
10
15
25
40
65
0
1
0
1
2 0
2 3
2
2
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
2
3
4
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
0 2
1 2
0 3
3 4
1 4
4 5
2 5
6 7
3 7
8 9
5 9
12 13
8
0 2
1 2
0 2 0 3
1 2 3 4
0 3 1 4
3 4 4 5
1 4 2 5
4 5 6 7
2 5 3 7
6 7 8 9
3 7 5 9
8 9 12 13
5 9 7 11
12 13 18 19
7 11 11 16
18 19 26 27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
1
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
2
2
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
0
3
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
3
4
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
+
1
4
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
4
5
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
+
2
6
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
5
7
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
= Use first sampling plan below arrow. If sample size equals or exceeds lot or batch size, do 100 percent inspection.
2
4
3
6
5
10
8
16
13
26
20
40
32
64
50
100
80
160
125
250
200
400
315
630
500
1000
800
1600
1250
2500
Cumulative
Sample Size
ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 Table III-A: Double sampling plans for normal inspection.
+ = Use corresponding single sampling plan or double sampling plan for code letter B.
Re = Rejection number.
Ac = Acceptance number.
2
First
2
Second
3
First
3
Second
5
First
5
Second
8
First
8
Second
13
First
13
Second
20
First
20
Second
32
First
32
Second
50
First
50
Second
80
First
80
Second
125
First
Second 125
200
First
Second 200
315
First
Second 315
500
First
Second 500
800
First
Second 800
1250
First
Second 1250
Sample
Figure 9.16
1.5
100
150
250
400
650 1000
3
8
5
12
7
18
11
26
7
9
9
13
11
19
16
27
+
5
12
7
18
11
26
17
37
9
13
11
19
16
27
22
38
+
7
18
11
26
17
37
25
56
11
19
16
27
22
38
31
57
11
26
17
37
25
56
16
27
22
38
31
57
17
37
25
56
+
22 25 31
38 56 57
31
57
Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re
0.010 0.015 0.025 0.040 0.065 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.40 0.65
208
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:12 PM
Sample Size
Code Letter
Sample
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
8
16
24
32
40
48
56
13
26
39
52
65
78
91
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Sample Size
1.5
2.5
4.0
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
# 2
# 2
0 2
0 3
1 3
1 3
2 3
# 2
0 3
0 3
1 4
2 4
3 5
4 5
# 3
0 3
1 4
2 5
3 6
4 6
6 7
# 4
1 5
2 6
3 7
5 8
7 9
9 10
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
++ = Use corresponding double sampling plan or multiple sampling plan for code letter D.
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
Cumulative
Sample Size
6.5
10
15
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
++
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
++
++
Figure 9.17 ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 Table IV-A: Multiple sampling plans for normal inspection.
A
B
C
1.0
25
40
65
100
150
250
400
650 1000
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
++
++
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
++
++
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
++
++
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
4
11
19
27
36
45
53
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
12
19
27
34
40
47
54
++
++
4
11
19
27
36
45
53
6
17
29
40
53
65
77
12
19
27
34
40
47
54
16
27
39
49
58
68
78
++
++
6
17
29
40
53
65
77
16
27
39
49
58
68
78
++
++
##
##
##
(continued)
Re = Rejection number.
Ac = Acceptance number.
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
++
++
Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re
0.010 0.015 0.025 0.040 0.065 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.40 0.65
3/8/07 12:38:13 PM
Sample Size
Code Letter
Sample
32
64
96
128
160
192
224
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
80
160
240
320
400
480
560
125
250
375
500
625
750
875
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
315
630
945
1260
1575
1890
2205
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1.0
1.5
2.5
4.0
6.5
10
25
40
65
100
150
250
400
650 1000
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
2
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
Ac = Acceptance number.
Re = Rejection number.
#
#
0
0
1
1
2
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
9
14
19
25
29
33
38
#
0
0
1
2
3
4
#
0
1
2
3
4
6
#
1
2
3
5
7
9
0
1
3
5
7
10
13
0
3
6
8
11
14
18
1
4
8
12
17
21
25
2
7
13
19
25
31
37
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
4
6
8
10
11
12
14
5
8
10
13
15
17
19
7
10
13
17
20
23
26
(continued)
Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re Ac Re
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
125
125
125
125
125
125
125
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
315
315
315
315
315
315
315
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
Cumulative
Sample Size
Figure 9.17 ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 Table IV-A: Multiple sampling plans for normal inspection.
Sample Size
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
First
Second
Third
Fourth
Fifth
Sixth
Seventh
0.010 0.015 0.025 0.040 0.065 0.10 0.15 0.25 0.40 0.65
(continued)
210
Chapter Nine
3/8/07 12:38:13 PM
Inspection Levels
Lot Size
General
I II III
to
to
15
16
to
25
26
to
50
51
to
90
91
to
150
151
to
280
281
to
400
401
to
500
501
to
1200
1201
to
3200
3201
to
10,000
10,001
to
35,000
35,001
to
150,000
150,001
to
500,000
over
500,001 and
Figure 9.18
Special
S3 S4
The theory governing inspection by variables depends on the properties of the normal
distribution; therefore, this method of inspection is applicable only when there is reason to believe
that the frequency distribution is normal.
**
Sample size code letters given in body of table are applicable when the indicated inspection
levels are to be used.
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
212
Chapter Nine
Sample
Size
Code
Letter
.10
.15
.25
.40
.65
1.00
1.50
2.50
4.00
6.50 10.00
.587
.502
.401 .296
.598
.525
.450
.364 .276
.663 .614
.565
.498
.431
.352 .272
.651
.702 .659
.613 .569
.525
.465
.405
.336 .266
10
.755 .703
.650
.579
.507
.424 .341
15
1.04
.792 .738
.684
.610
.536
.452 .368
25
1.10
1.05
1.01
.951 .896
.835 .779
.723
.647
.571
.484 .398
30
1.10
1.06
1.02
.959 .904
.843 .787
.730
.654
.577
.490 .403
40
1.13
1.08
1.04
.978 .921
.860 .803
.746
.668
.591
.503 .415
60
1.16
1.11
1.06 1.00
.948
.885 .826
.768
.689
.610
.521 .432
85
1.17
1.13
1.08 1.02
.962
.899 .839
.780
.701
.621
.530 .441
115
1.19
1.14
1.09 1.03
.975
.911 .851
.791
.711
.631
.539 .449
175
1.21
1.16
1.11 1.05
.994
.929 .868
.807
.726
.644
.552 .460
230
1.21
1.16
1.12 1.06
.996
.931 .870
.809
.728
.646
.553 .462
.10
.15
.40
.65
1.00 1.50
2.50
4.00
6.50 10.00
.999
.25
Figure 9.19
ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 Table C-1: Master table for normal and tightened inspection
for plans based on variability unknown (single specification limitForm 1).
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
QU
or
QL
Sample size
3
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
.1
.2
.3
.31
.32
.33
.34
.35
.36
.37
.38
.39
50.00
47.24
44.46
41.63
41.35
41.06
40.77
40.49
40.20
39.91
39.62
39.33
39.03
50.00
46.67
43.33
40.00
39.67
39.33
39.00
38.67
38.33
38.00
37.67
37.33
37.00
50.00
46.44
42.90
39.37
39.02
38.67
38.32
37.97
37.62
37.28
36.93
36.58
36.23
50.00
46.26
42.54
38.87
38.50
38.14
37.78
37.42
37.06
36.69
36.33
35.98
35.62
50.00
46.16
42.35
38.60
38.23
37.86
37.49
37.12
36.75
36.38
36.02
35.65
35.29
50.00
46.10
42.24
38.44
38.06
37.69
37.31
36.94
36.57
36.20
35.83
35.46
35.10
50.00
46.08
42.19
38.37
37.99
37.62
37.24
36.87
36.49
36.12
35.75
35.38
35.02
50.00
46.06
42.16
38.33
37.95
37.58
37.20
36.83
36.45
36.08
35.71
35.34
34.97
50.00
46.05
42.15
38.31
37.93
37.55
37.18
36.80
36.43
36.05
35.68
35.31
34.94
50.00
46.05
42.13
38.29
37.91
37.54
37.16
36.78
36.41
36.04
35.66
35.29
34.93
50.00
46.04
42.11
38.27
37.89
37.51
37.13
36.75
36.38
36.01
35.63
35.26
34.89
50.00
46.03
42.10
38.25
37.87
37.49
37.11
36.73
36.36
35.98
35.61
35.24
34.87
50.00
46.03
42.09
38.24
37.86
37.48
37.10
36.72
36.35
35.97
35.60
35.23
34.86
50.00
46.02
42.09
38.23
37.85
37.47
37.09
36.71
36.34
35.96
35.59
35.22
34.85
50.00
46.02
42.08
38.22
37.84
37.46
37.08
36.71
36.33
35.96
35.58
35.21
34.84
.40
.41
.42
.43
.44
.45
.46
.47
.48
.49
38.74
38.45
38.15
37.85
37.56
37.26
36.96
36.66
36.35
36.05
36.67
36.33
36.00
35.67
35.33
35.00
34.67
34.33
34.00
33.67
35.88
35.54
35.19
34.85
34.50
34.16
33.81
33.47
33.12
32.78
35.26
34.90
34.55
34.19
33.84
33.49
33.13
32.78
32.43
32.08
34.93
34.57
34.21
33.85
33.49
33.13
32.78
32.42
32.07
31.72
34.73
34.37
34.00
33.64
33.28
32.92
32.57
32.21
31.85
31.50
34.65
34.28
33.92
33.56
33.20
32.84
32.48
32.12
31.77
31.41
34.60
34.24
33.87
33.51
33.15
32.79
32.43
32.07
31.72
31.36
34.58
34.21
33.85
33.48
33.12
32.76
32.40
32.04
31.69
31.33
34.56
34.19
33.83
33.46
33.10
32.74
32.38
32.02
31.67
31.31
34.53
34.16
33.79
33.43
33.07
32.71
32.35
31.99
31.63
31.28
34.50
34.13
33.77
33.40
33.04
32.68
32.32
31.96
31.61
31.25
34.49
34.12
33.76
33.39
33.03
32.67
32.31
31.95
31.60
31.24
34.48
34.11
33.75
33.38
33.02
32.66
32.30
31.94
31.58
31.23
34.47
34.11
33.74
33.38
33.01
32.65
32.29
31.93
31.58
31.22
.50
.51
.52
.53
.54
.55
.56
.57
.58
.59
35.75
35.44
35.13
34.82
34.51
34.20
33.88
33.57
33.25
32.93
33.33
33.00
32.67
32.33
32.00
31.67
31.33
31.00
30.67
30.33
32.44
32.10
31.76
31.42
31.08
30.74
30.40
30.06
29.73
29.39
31.74
31.39
31.04
30.70
30.36
30.01
29.67
29.33
28.99
28.66
31.37
31.02
30.67
30.32
29.98
29.64
29.29
28.95
28.61
28.28
31.15
30.80
30.45
30.10
29.76
29.41
29.07
28.73
28.39
28.05
31.06
30.71
30.36
30.01
29.67
29.32
28.98
28.64
28.30
27.96
31.01
30.66
30.31
29.96
29.62
29.27
28.93
28.59
28.25
27.92
30.98
30.63
30.28
29.93
29.59
29.24
28.90
28.56
28.22
27.89
30.96
30.61
30.26
29.91
29.57
29.22
28.88
28.54
28.20
27.87
30.93
30.57
30.23
29.88
29.53
29.19
28.85
28.51
28.17
27.83
30.90
30.55
30.20
29.85
29.51
29.16
28.82
28.48
28.14
27.81
30.89
30.54
30.19
29.84
29.49
29.15
28.81
28.47
28.13
27.79
30.88
30.53
30.18
29.83
29.48
29.14
28.80
28.46
28.12
27.78
30.87
30.52
30.17
29.82
29.48
29.13
28.79
28.45
28.11
27.78
.60
.61
.62
.63
.64
.65
.66
.67
.68
.69
32.61
32.28
31.96
31.63
31.30
30.97
30.63
30.30
29.96
29.61
30.00
29.67
29.33
29.00
28.67
28.33
28.00
27.67
27.33
27.00
29.05
28.72
28.39
28.05
27.72
27.39
27.06
26.73
26.40
26.07
28.32
27.98
27.65
27.32
26.99
26.66
26.33
26.00
25.68
25.35
27.94
27.60
27.27
26.94
26.61
26.28
25.96
25.63
25.31
24.99
27.72
27.39
27.05
26.72
26.39
26.07
25.74
25.42
25.10
24.78
27.63
27.30
26.96
26.63
26.31
25.98
25.66
25.33
25.01
24.70
27.58
27.25
26.92
26.59
26.26
25.93
25.61
25.29
24.97
24.65
27.55
27.22
26.89
26.56
26.23
25.90
25.58
25.26
24.94
24.62
27.53
27.20
26.87
26.54
26.21
25.88
25.56
25.24
24.92
24.60
27.50
27.16
26.83
26.50
26.18
25.85
25.53
25.21
24.89
24.57
27.47
27.14
26.81
26.48
26.15
25.83
25.51
25.19
24.87
24.55
27.46
27.13
26.80
26.47
26.14
25.82
25.49
25.17
24.86
24.54
27.45
27.11
26.78
26.46
26.13
25.81
25.48
25.16
24.85
24.53
27.44
27.11
26.78
26.45
26.12
25.80
25.48
25.16
24.84
24.52
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
214
Chapter Nine
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
.70
.71
.72
.73
.74
.75
.76
.77
.78
.79
29.27
28.92
28.57
28.22
27.86
27.50
27.13
26.76
26.39
26.02
26.67
26.33
26.00
25.67
25.33
25.00
24.67
24.33
24.00
23.67
25.74
25.41
25.09
24.76
24.44
24.11
23.79
23.47
23.15
22.83
25.03
24.71
24.39
24.07
23.75
23.44
23.12
22.81
22.50
22.19
24.67
24.35
24.03
23.72
23.41
23.10
22.79
22.48
22.18
21.87
24.46
24.15
23.83
23.52
23.21
22.90
22.60
22.30
21.99
21.70
24.38
24.06
23.75
23.44
23.13
22.83
22.52
22.22
21.92
21.63
24.33
24.02
23.71
23.40
23.09
22.79
22.48
22.18
21.89
21.59
24.31
23.99
23.68
23.37
23.07
22.76
22.46
22.16
21.86
21.57
24.29
23.98
23.67
23.36
23.05
22.75
22.44
22.14
21.85
21.55
24.26
23.95
23.64
23.33
23.02
22.72
22.42
22.12
21.82
21.53
24.24
23.92
23.61
23.31
23.00
22.70
22.40
22.10
21.80
21.51
24.23
23.91
23.60
23.30
22.99
22.69
22.39
22.09
21.78
21.50
24.22
23.90
23.59
23.29
22.98
22.68
22.38
22.08
21.79
21.49
24.21
23.90
23.59
23.28
22.98
22.68
22.38
22.08
21.78
21.49
.80
.81
.82
.83
.84
.85
.86
.87
.88
.89
25.64
25.25
24.86
24.47
24.07
23.67
23.26
22.84
22.42
21.99
23.33
23.00
22.67
22.33
22.00
21.67
21.33
21.00
20.67
20.33
22.51
22.19
21.87
21.56
21.24
20.93
20.62
20.31
20.00
19.69
21.88
21.58
21.27
29.97
20.67
20.37
20.07
19.78
19.48
19.19
21.57
21.27
20.98
29.68
20.39
20.10
19.81
19.52
19.23
18.95
21.40
21.10
20.81
20.52
20.23
19.94
19.66
19.38
19.10
18.82
21.33
21.04
20.75
20.46
20.17
19.89
19.60
19.32
19.05
18.77
21.29
21.00
20.71
20.42
20.14
19.86
19.57
19.30
19.02
18.74
21.27
20.98
20.69
20.40
20.12
19.84
19.56
19.28
19.00
18.73
21.26
20.97
20.68
20.39
20.11
19.82
19.54
19.27
18.99
18.72
21.23
20.94
20.65
20.37
20.09
19.80
19.53
19.25
18.98
18.70
21.22
20.93
20.64
20.35
20.07
19.79
19.51
19.24
18.96
18.69
21.21
20.92
20.63
20.35
20.06
19.78
19.51
19.23
18.96
18.69
21.20
20.91
20.62
20.34
20.06
19.78
19.50
19.23
18.95
18.68
21.20
20.91
20.62
20.34
20.05
19.77
19.50
19.22
18.95
18.68
.90
.91
.92
.93
.94
.95
.96
.97
.98
.99
21.55
21.11
20.66
20.19
19.73
19.25
18.75
18.25
17.74
17.21
20.00
19.67
19.33
19.00
18.67
18.33
18.00
17.67
17.33
17.00
19.38
19.07
18.77
18.46
18.16
17.86
17.55
17.25
16.96
16.66
18.90
18.61
18.33
18.04
17.76
17.48
17.20
16.92
16.65
16.37
18.67
18.39
18.11
17.84
17.56
17.29
17.03
16.76
16.49
16.23
18.54
18.27
18.00
17.73
17.46
17.20
16.94
16.68
16.42
16.16
18.50
18.23
17.96
17.69
17.43
17.17
16.90
16.65
16.39
16.14
18.47
18.20
17.94
17.67
17.41
17.16
16.89
16.63
16.38
16.13
18.46
18.19
17.92
17.66
17.40
17.14
16.88
16.62
16.37
16.12
18.45
18.18
17.92
17.65
17.39
17.13
16.88
16.62
16.37
16.12
18.43
18.17
17.90
17.64
17.38
17.12
16.87
16.61
16.36
16.12
18.42
18.16
17.89
17.63
17.37
17.12
16.86
16.61
16.36
16.11
18.42
18.15
17.89
17.63
17.37
17.11
16.86
16.61
16.36
16.11
18.41
18.15
17.89
17.62
17.37
17.11
16.86
16.61
16.36
16.11
18.41
18.15
17.88
17.62
17.36
17.11
16.86
16.60
16.36
16.11
1.00
1.01
1.02
1.03
1.04
1.05
1.06
1.07
1.08
1.09
16.67
16.11
15.53
14.93
14.31
13.66
12.98
12.27
11.51
10.71
16.67
16.33
16.00
15.67
15.33
15.00
14.67
14.33
14.00
13.67
16.36
16.07
15.78
15.48
15.19
14.91
14.62
14.33
14.05
13.76
16.10
15.83
15.56
15.30
15.03
14.77
14.51
14.26
14.00
13.75
15.97
15.72
15.46
15.21
14.96
14.71
14.46
14.22
13.97
13.73
15.91
15.66
15.41
15.17
14.92
14.68
14.44
14.20
13.97
13.74
15.89
15.64
15.40
15.15
14.91
14.67
14.44
14.20
13.97
13.74
15.88
15.63
15.39
15.15
14.91
14.67
14.44
14.21
13.98
13.75
15.88
15.63
15.39
15.15
14.91
14.67
14.44
14.21
13.98
13.75
15.87
15.63
15.38
15.15
14.91
14.67
14.44
14.21
13.98
13.76
15.87
15.63
15.38
15.15
14.91
14.68
14.45
14.22
13.99
13.77
15.87
15.62
15.38
15.15
14.91
14.68
14.45
14.22
13.99
13.77
15.87
15.62
15.38
15.15
14.91
14.68
14.45
14.22
14.00
13.77
15.87
15.62
15.39
15.15
14.91
14.68
14.45
14.23
14.00
13.78
15.87
15.62
15.39
15.15
14.91
14.68
14.45
14.22
14.00
13.78
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
1.10
1.11
1.12
1.13
1.14
1.15
1.16
1.17
1.18
1.19
9.84
8.89
7.82
6.60
5.08
2.87
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
13.33
13.00
12.67
12.33
12.00
11.67
11.33
11.00
10.67
10.33
13.48
13.20
12.93
12.65
12.37
12.10
11.83
11.56
11.29
11.02
13.49
13.25
13.00
12.75
12.51
12.27
12.03
11.79
11.56
11.33
13.50
13.26
13.03
12.80
12.57
12.34
12.12
11.90
11.68
11.46
13.51
13.28
13.05
12.83
12.61
12.39
12.18
11.96
11.75
11.54
13.52
13.29
13.07
12.85
12.63
12.42
12.21
12.00
11.79
11.58
13.52
13.30
13.08
12.86
12.65
12.44
12.22
12.02
11.81
11.61
13.53
13.31
13.09
12.87
12.66
12.45
12.24
12.03
11.82
11.62
13.54
13.31
13.10
12.88
12.67
12.46
12.25
12.04
11.84
11.63
13.54
13.32
13.11
12.89
12.68
12.47
12.26
12.06
11.85
11.65
13.55
13.33
13.12
12.90
12.69
12.48
12.28
12.07
11.87
11.67
13.55
13.34
13.12
12.91
12.70
12.49
12.28
12.08
11.88
11.68
13.56
13.34
13.13
12.91
12.70
12.49
12.29
12.09
11.88
11.69
13.56
13.34
13.13
12.92
12.71
12.50
12.29
12.09
11.89
11.69
1.20
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.26
1.27
1.28
1.29
11.43
11.24
11.04
10.85
10.66
10.47
10.29
10.10
9.92
9.74
11.46
11.26
11.07
10.88
10.69
10.50
10.32
10.13
9.95
9.78
11.47
11.28
11.09
10.90
10.71
10.52
10.34
10.16
9.98
9.80
11.48
11.29
11.09
10.91
10.72
10.53
10.35
10.17
9.99
9.82
11.49
11.30
11.10
10.92
10.73
10.54
10.36
10.18
10.00
9.83
11.49
11.30
11.11
10.92
10.73
10.55
10.37
10.19
10.01
9.83
1.30
1.31
1.32
1.33
1.34
1.35
1.36
1.37
1.38
1.39
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
6.67
6.33
6.00
5.67
5.33
5.00
4.67
4.33
4.00
3.67
8.21
7.97
7.73
7.49
7.25
7.02
6.79
6.56
6.33
6.10
8.93
8.72
8.52
8.32
8.12
7.92
7.73
7.54
7.35
7.17
9.22
9.03
8.85
8.66
8.48
8.30
8.12
7.95
7.77
7.60
9.40
9.22
9.04
8.86
8.69
8.52
8.35
8.18
8.01
7.85
9.48
9.30
9.12
8.95
8.78
8.61
8.44
8.28
8.12
7.96
9.52
9.34
9.17
9.00
8.83
8.66
8.50
8.33
8.17
8.01
9.55
9.37
9.20
9.03
8.86
8.69
8.53
8.37
8.21
8.05
9.57
9.39
9.22
9.05
8.88
8.72
8.55
8.39
8.24
8.08
9.60
9.43
9.26
9.09
8.92
8.76
8.60
8.44
8.28
8.12
9.63
9.46
9.29
9.12
8.95
8.79
8.63
8.47
8.31
8.16
9.64
9.47
9.30
9.13
8.97
8.81
8.65
8.49
8.33
8.18
9.65
9.48
9.31
9.15
8.98
8.82
8.66
8.50
8.35
8.19
9.66
9.49
9.32
9.15
8.99
8.83
8.67
8.51
8.36
8.20
1.40
1.41
1.42
1.43
1.44
1.45
1.46
1.47
1.48
1.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.33
3.00
2.67
2.33
2.00
1.67
1.33
1.00
.67
.33
5.88
5.66
5.44
5.23
5.02
4.81
4.60
4,39
4.19
3.99
6.98
6.80
6.62
6.45
6.27
6.10
5.93
5.77
5.60
5.44
7.44
7.27
7.10
6.94
6.78
6.63
6.47
6.32
6.17
6.02
7.69
7.53
7.37
7.22
7.07
6.92
6.77
6.63
6.48
6.34
7.80
7.64
7.49
7.34
7.19
7.04
6.90
6.75
6.61
6.48
7.86
7.70
7.55
7.40
7.26
7.11
6.97
6.83
6.69
6.55
7.90
7.74
7.59
7.44
7.30
7.15
7.01
6.87
6.73
6.60
7.92
7.77
7.62
7.47
7.33
7.18
7.04
6.90
6.77
6.63
7.97
7.82
7.67
7.52
7.38
7.24
7.10
6.96
6.82
6.69
8.01
7.86
7.71
7.56
7.42
7.28
7.14
7.00
6.86
6.73
8.02
7.87
7.73
7.58
7.44
7.30
7.16
7.02
6.88
6.75
8.04
7.89
7.74
7.60
7.46
7.32
7.18
7.04
6.90
6.77
8.05
7.90
7.75
7.61
7.47
7.32
7.19
7.05
6.91
6.78
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
216
Chapter Nine
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
1.50
1.51
1.52
1.53
1.54
1.55
1.56
1.57
1.58
1.59
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.80
3.61
3.42
3.23
3.05
2.87
2.69
2.52
2.35
2.19
5.28
5.13
4.97
4.82
4.67
4.52
4.38
4.24
4.10
3.96
5.87
5.73
5.59
5.45
5.31
5.18
5.05
4.92
4.79
4.66
6.20
6.06
5.93
5.80
5.67
5.54
5.41
5.29
5.16
5.04
6.34
6.20
6.07
5.94
5.81
5.69
5.56
5.44
5.32
5.20
6.41
6.28
6.15
6.02
5.89
5.77
5.65
5.53
5.41
5.29
6.46
6.33
6.20
6.07
5.95
5.82
5.70
5.58
5.46
5.34
6.50
6.36
6.23
6.11
5.98
5.86
5.74
5.62
5.50
5.38
6.55
6.42
6.29
6.17
6.04
5.92
5.80
5.68
5.56
5.45
6.60
6.47
6.34
6.21
6.09
5.97
5.85
5.73
5.61
5.50
6.62
6.49
6.36
6.24
6.11
5.99
5.87
5.75
5.64
5.52
6.64
6.51
6.38
6.26
6.13
6.01
5.89
5.78
5.66
5.55
6.65
6.52
6.39
6.27
6.15
6.02
5.90
5.79
5.67
5.56
1.60
1.61
1.62
1.63
1.64
1.65
1.66
1.67
1.68
1.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.03
1.87
1.72
1.57
1.42
1.28
1.15
1.02
0.89
0.77
3.83
3.69
3.57
3.44
3.31
3.19
3.07
2.95
2.84
2.73
4.54
4.41
4.30
4.18
4.06
3.95
3.84
3.73
3.62
3.52
4.92
4.81
4.69
4.58
4.47
4.36
4.25
4.15
4.05
3.94
5.08
4.97
4.86
4.75
4.64
4.53
4.43
4.32
4.22
4.12
5.17
5.06
4.95
4.84
4.73
4.62
4.52
4.42
4.32
4.22
5.23
5.12
5.01
4.90
4.79
4.68
4.58
4.48
4.38
4.28
5.27
5.16
5.04
4.94
4.83
4.72
4.62
4.52
4.42
4.32
5.33
5.22
5.11
5.01
4.90
4.79
4.69
4.59
4.49
4.39
5.38
5.27
5.16
5.06
4.95
4.85
4.74
4.64
4.55
4.45
5.41
5.30
5.19
5.08
4.98
4.87
4.77
4.67
4.57
4.47
5.43
5.32
5.21
5.11
5.00
4.90
4.80
4.70
4.60
4.50
5.44
5.33
5.23
5.12
5.01
4.91
4.81
4.71
4.61
4.51
1.70
1.71
1.72
1.73
1.74
1.75
1.76
1.77
1.78
1.79
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.66
0.55
0.45
0.36
0.27
0.19
0.12
0.06
0.02
0.00
2.62
2.51
2.41
2.30
2.20
2.11
2.01
1.92
1.83
1.74
3.41
3.31
3.21
3.11
3.02
2.93
2.83
2.74
2.66
2.57
3.84
3.75
3.65
3.56
3.46
3.37
3.28
3.20
3.11
3.03
4.02
3.93
3.83
3.74
3.65
3.56
3.47
3.38
3.30
3.21
4.12
4.02
3.93
3.84
3.75
3.66
3.57
3.48
3.40
3.32
4.18
4.09
3.99
3.90
3.81
3.72
3.63
3.55
3.47
3.38
4.22
4.13
4.04
3.94
3.85
3.77
3.68
3.59
3.51
3.43
4.30
4.20
4.11
4.02
3.93
3.84
3.76
3.67
3.59
3.51
4.35
4.26
4.17
4.08
3.99
3.90
3.81
3.73
3.64
3.56
4.38
4.29
4.19
4.10
4.01
3.93
3.84
3.76
3.67
3.59
4.41
4.31
4.22
4.13
4.04
3.95
3.87
3.78
3.70
3.62
4.42
4.32
4.23
4.14
4.05
3.97
3.88
3.80
3.71
3.63
1.80
1.81
1.82
1.83
1.84
1.85
1.86
1.87
1.88
1.89
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.65
1.57
1.49
1.41
1.34
1.26
1.19
1.12
1.06
0.99
2.49
2.40
2.32
2.25
2.17
2.09
2.02
1.95
1.88
1.81
2.94
2.86
2.79
2.71
2.63
2.56
2.48
2.41
2.34
2.28
3.13
3.05
2.98
2.90
2.82
2.75
2.68
2.61
2.54
2.47
3.24
31.6
3.08
3.00
2.93
2.85
2.78
2.71
2.64
2.57
3.30
3.22
3.15
3.07
2.99
2.92
2.85
2.78
2.71
2.64
3.35
3.27
3.19
3.11
3.04
2.97
2.89
2.82
2.75
2.69
3.43
3.35
3.27
3.19
3.12
3.05
2.97
2.90
2.83
2.77
3.48
3.40
3.33
3.25
3.18
3.10
3.03
2.96
2.89
2.83
3.51
3.43
3.36
3.28
3.21
3.13
3.06
2.99
2.92
2.85
3.54
3.46
3.38
3.31
3.23
3.16
3.09
3.02
2.95
2.88
3.55
3.47
3.40
3.32
3.25
3.17
3.10
3.03
2.96
2.90
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
QU
or
QL
Sample size
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
1.90
1.91
1.92
1.93
1.94
1.95
1.96
1.97
1.98
1.99
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.93
0.87
0.81
0.76
0.70
0.65
0.60
0.56
0.51
0.47
1.75
1.68
1.62
1.56
1.50
1.44
1.38
1.33
1.27
1.22
2.21
2.14
2.08
2.02
1.96
1.90
1.84
1.78
1.73
1.67
2.40
2.34
2.27
2.21
2.15
2.09
2.03
1.97
1.92
1.86
2.51
2.44
2.38
2.32
2.25
2.19
2.14
2.08
2.02
1.97
2.57
2.51
2.45
2.38
2.32
2.26
2.20
2.14
2.09
2.03
2.62
2.56
2.49
2.43
2.37
2.31
2.25
2.19
2.13
2.08
2.70
2.63
2.57
2.51
2.45
2.39
2.33
2.27
2.21
2.16
2.76
2.69
2.63
2.57
2.51
2.45
2.39
2.33
2.27
2.22
2.79
2.72
2.66
2.60
2.54
2.48
2.42
2.36
2.30
2.25
2.82
2.75
2.69
2.63
2.56
2.50
2.44
2.39
2.33
2.27
2.83
2.77
2.70
2.64
2.58
2.52
2.46
2.40
2.34
2.29
2.00
2.01
2.02
2.03
2.04
2.05
2.06
2.07
2.08
2.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.43
0.39
0.36
0.32
0.29
0.26
0.23
0.21
0.18
0.16
1.17
1.12
1.07
1.03
0.98
0.94
0.90
0.86
0.82
0.78
1.62
1.57
1.52
1.47
1.42
1.37
1.33
1.28
1.24
1.20
1.81
1.76
1.71
1.66
1.61
1.56
1.51
1.47
1.42
1.38
1.91
1.86
1.81
1.76
1.71
1.66
1.61
1.57
1.52
1.48
1.98
1.93
1.87
1.82
1.77
1.73
1.68
1.63
1.59
1.54
2.03
1.97
1.92
1.87
1.82
1.77
1.72
1.68
1.63
1.59
2.10
2.05
2.00
1.95
1.90
1.85
1.80
1.76
1.71
1.66
2.16
2.11
2.06
2.01
1.96
1.91
1.86
1.81
1.77
1.72
2.19
2.14
2.09
2.04
1.99
1.94
1.89
1.84
1.79
1.75
2.22
2.17
2.11
2.06
2.01
1.96
1.92
1.87
1.82
1.78
2.23
2.18
2.13
2.08
2.03
1.98
1.93
1.88
1.84
1.79
2.10
2.11
2.12
2.13
2.14
2.15
2.16
2.17
2.18
2.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.74
0.71
0.67
0.64
0.61
0.58
0.55
0.52
0.49
0.46
1.16
1.12
1.08
1.04
1.00
0.97
0.93
0.90
0.87
0.83
1.34
1.30
1.26
1.22
1.18
1.14
1.10
1.07
1.03
1.00
1.44
1.39
1.35
1.31
1.28
1.24
1.20
1.16
1.13
1.09
1.50
1.46
1.42
1.38
1.34
1.30
1.26
1.22
1.19
1.15
1.54
1.50
1.46
1.42
1.38
1.34
1.30
1.27
1.23
1.20
1.62
1.58
1.54
1.50
1.46
1.42
1.38
1.34
1.30
1.27
1.68
1.63
1.59
1.55
1.51
1.47
1.43
1.40
1.36
1.32
1.71
1.66
1.62
1.58
1.54
1.50
1.46
1.42
1.39
1.35
1.73
1.69
1.65
1.61
1.57
1.53
1.49
1.45
1.41
1.38
1.75
1.70
1.66
1.62
1.58
1.54
1.50
1.46
1.42
1.39
2.20
2.21
2.22
2.23
2.24
2.25
2.26
2.27
2.28
2.29
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.015
0.010
0.006
0.003
0.002
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.437
0.413
0.389
0.366
0.345
0.324
0.304
0.285
0.267
0.250
0.803
0.772
0.734
0.715
0.687
0.660
0.634
0.609
0.585
0.561
0.968
0.936
0.905
0.874
0.845
0.816
0.789
0.762
0.735
0.710
1.160
1.028
0.996
0.965
0.935
0.905
0.876
0.848
0.821
0.794
1.120
1.087
1.054
1.023
0.992
0.962
0.933
0.904
0.876
0.849
1.160
1.128
1.095
1.063
1.032
1.002
0.972
0.943
0.915
0.887
1.233
1.199
1.166
1.134
1.102
1.071
1.041
1.011
0.982
0.954
1.287
1.253
1.219
1.186
1.154
1.123
1.092
1.062
1.033
1.004
1.314
1.279
1.245
1.212
1.180
1.148
1.117
1.087
1.058
1.029
1.340
1.305
1.271
1.238
1.205
1.173
1.142
1.112
1.082
1.053
1.352
1.318
1.284
1.250
1.218
1.186
1.155
1.124
1.095
1.065
Figure 9.20
10
15
20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
218
Chapter Nine
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
2.30
2.31
2.32
2.33
2.34
2.35
2.36
2.37
2.38
2.39
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.233
0.218
0.203
0.189
0.175
0.163
0.151
0.139
0.128
0.118
0.538
0.516
0.495
0.474
0.454
0.435
0.416
0.398
0.381
0.364
0.685
0.661
0.637
0.614
0.592
0.571
0.550
0.530
0.510
0.491
0.769
0.743
0.719
0.695
0.672
0.650
0.628
0.606
0.586
0.566
0.823
0.797
0.772
0.748
0.724
0.701
0.678
0.656
0.635
0.614
0.861
0.834
0.809
0.784
0.760
0.736
0.714
0.691
0.670
0.648
0.927
0.900
0.874
0.848
0.824
0.799
0.776
0.753
0.730
0.709
0.977
0.949
0.923
0.897
0.872
0.847
0.823
0.799
0.777
0.754
1.001
0.974
0.947
0.921
0.895
0.870
0.846
0.822
0.799
0.777
1.025
0.998
0.971
0.944
0.919
0.893
0.869
0.845
0.822
0.799
1.037
1.009
0.982
0.956
0.930
0.905
0.880
0.856
0.833
0.810
2.40
2.41
2.42
2.43
2.44
2.45
2.46
2.47
2.48
2.49
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.109
0.100
0.091
0.083
0.076
0.069
0.063
0.057
0.051
0.046
0.348
0.332
0.317
0.302
0.288
0.275
0.262
0.249
0.237
0.226
0.473
0.455
0.437
0.421
0.404
0.389
0.373
0.359
0.345
0.331
0.546
0.527
0.509
0.491
0.474
0.457
0.440
0.425
0.409
0.394
0.594
0.575
0.555
0.537
0.519
0.501
0.484
0.468
0.452
0.436
0.628
0.608
0.588
0.569
0.551
0.533
0.516
0.499
0.482
0.466
0.687
0.667
0.646
0.627
0.608
0.589
0.571
0.553
0.536
0.519
0.732
0.711
0.691
0.670
0.651
0.632
0.613
0.595
0.577
0.560
0.755
0.733
0.712
0.692
0.672
0.653
0.634
0.615
0.597
0.580
0.777
0.755
0.734
0.713
0.693
0.673
0.654
0.636
0.617
0.600
0.787
0.766
0.744
0.724
0.703
0.684
0.664
0.646
0.627
0.609
2.50
2.51
2.52
2.53
2.54
2.55
2.56
2.57
2.58
2.59
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.041
0.037
0.033
0.029
0.026
0.023
0.020
0.017
0.015
0.013
0.214
0.204
0.193
0.184
0.174
0.165
0.156
0.148
0.140
0.133
0.317
0.305
0.292
0.280
0.268
0.257
0.246
0.236
0.226
0.216
0.380
0.366
0.352
0.339
0.326
0.314
0.302
0.291
0.279
0.269
0.421
0.407
0.392
0.379
0.365
0.352
0.340
0.327
0.316
0.304
0.451
0.436
0.421
0.407
0.393
0.379
0.366
0.354
0.341
0.330
0.503
0.487
0.472
0.457
0.442
0.428
0.414
0.401
0.388
0.375
0.543
0.527
0.511
0.495
0.480
0.465
0.451
0.437
0.424
0.410
0.563
0.546
0.530
0.514
0.499
0.484
0.469
0.455
0.441
0.428
0.582
0.565
0.549
0.533
0.517
0.502
0.487
0.473
0.459
0.445
0.592
0.575
0.559
0.542
0.527
0.511
0.496
0.482
0.468
0.454
2.60
2.61
2.62
2.63
2.64
2.65
2.66
2.67
2.68
2.69
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.011
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.125
0.118
0.112
0.105
0.099
0.094
0.088
0.083
0.078
0.073
0.207
0.198
0.189
0.181
0.172
0.165
0.157
0.150
0.143
0.136
0.258
0.248
0.238
0.229
0.220
0.211
0.202
0.194
0.186
0.179
0.293
0.282
0.272
0.262
0.252
0.242
0.233
0.224
0.216
0.208
0.318
0.307
0.296
0.285
0.275
0.265
0.256
0.246
0.237
0.229
0.363
0.351
0.339
0.328
0.317
0.307
0.296
0.286
0.277
0.267
0.398
0.385
0.373
0.361
0.350
0.339
0.328
0.317
0.307
0.297
0.415
0.402
0.390
0.378
0.366
0.355
0.344
0.333
0.322
0.312
0.432
0.419
0.406
0.394
0.382
0.371
0.359
0.348
0.338
0.327
0.441
0.428
0.415
0.402
0.390
0.379
0.367
0.356
0.345
0.335
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:14 PM
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
2.70
2.71
2.72
2.73
2.74
2.75
2.76
2.77
2.78
2.79
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.069
0.064
0.060
0.057
0.053
0.049
0.046
0.043
0.040
0.037
0.130
0.124
0.118
0.112
0.107
0.102
0.097
0.092
0.087
0.083
0.171
0.164
0.157
0.151
0.144
0.138
0.132
0.126
0.121
0.115
0.200
0.192
0.184
0.177
0.170
0.163
0.157
0.151
0.145
0.139
0.220
0.212
0.204
0.197
0.189
0.182
0.175
0.168
0.162
0.156
0.258
0.249
0.241
0.232
0.224
0.216
0.209
0.201
0.194
0.187
0.288
0.278
0.269
0.260
0.252
0.243
0.235
0.227
0.220
0.212
0.302
0.293
0.283
0.274
0.266
0.257
0.249
0.241
0.223
0.220
0.317
0.307
0.298
0.288
0.279
0.271
0.262
0.254
0.246
0.238
0.325
0.315
0.305
0.296
0.286
0.277
0.269
0.260
0.252
0.244
2.80
2.81
2.82
2.83
2.84
2.85
2.86
2.87
2.88
2.89
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.035
0.032
0.030
0.028
0.026
0.024
0.022
0.020
0.019
0.017
0.079
0.075
0.071
0.067
0.064
0.060
0.057
0.054
0.051
0.048
0.110
0.105
0.101
0.096
0.092
0.088
0.084
0.080
0.076
0.073
0.133
0.128
0.122
0.117
0.112
0.108
0.103
0.099
0.094
0.090
0.150
0.144
0.138
0.133
0.128
0.122
0.118
0.113
0.108
0.104
0.181
0.174
0.168
0.162
0.156
0.150
0.145
0.139
0.134
0.129
0.205
0.198
0.192
0.185
0.179
0.173
0.167
0.161
0.155
0.150
0.218
0.211
0.204
0.197
0.190
0.184
0.178
0.172
0.166
0.160
0.230
0.223
0.216
0.209
0.202
0.195
0.189
0.183
0.177
0.171
0.237
0.229
0.222
0.215
0.208
0.201
0.195
0.188
0.182
0.176
2.90
2.91
2.92
2.93
2.94
2.95
2.96
2.97
2.98
2.99
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.016
0.015
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.046
0.043
0.041
0.038
0.036
0.034
0.032
0.030
0.028
0.027
0.069
0.066
0.063
0.060
0.057
0.054
0.051
0.049
0.046
0.044
0.087
0.083
0.079
0.076
0.072
0.069
0.066
0.063
0.060
0.057
0.100
0.096
0.092
0.088
0.084
0.081
0.077
0.074
0.071
0.068
0.125
0.120
0.115
0.111
0.107
0.103
0.099
0.095
0.091
0.088
0.145
0.140
0.135
0.130
0.125
0.121
0.117
0.112
0.108
0.104
0.155
0.150
0.145
0.140
0.135
0.130
0.126
0.121
0.117
0.113
0.165
0.160
0.155
0.149
0.144
0.140
0.135
0.130
0.126
0.122
0.171
0.165
0.160
0.154
0.149
0.144
0.140
0.135
0.130
0.126
3.00
3.01
3.02
3.03
3.04
3.05
3.06
3.07
3.08
3.09
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.025
0.024
0.022
0.021
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.042
0.040
0.038
0.036
0.034
0.032
0.030
0.029
0.027
0.026
0.055
0.052
0.050
0.048
0.045
0.043
0.041
0.039
0.037
0.036
0.065
0.062
0.059
0.057
0.054
0.052
0.050
0.047
0.045
0.043
0.084
0.081
0.078
0.075
0.072
0.069
0.066
0.064
0.061
0.059
0.101
0.097
0.093
0.090
0.087
0.083
0.080
0.077
0.074
0.072
0.109
0.105
0.101
0.098
0.094
0.091
0.088
0.085
0.081
0.079
0.118
0.113
0.110
0.106
0.102
0.099
0.095
0.092
0.089
0.086
0.122
0.118
0.114
0.110
0.106
0.103
0.099
0.096
0.092
0.089
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
220
Chapter Nine
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
3.10
3.11
3.12
3.13
3.14
3.15
3.16
3.17
3.18
3.19
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.015
0.015
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.029
0.028
0.026
0.025
0.024
0.022
0.021
0.041
0.039
0.038
0.036
0.034
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.028
0.027
0.056
0.054
0.052
0.050
0.048
0.046
0.044
0.042
0.040
0.038
0.069
0.066
0.064
0.061
0.059
0.057
0.055
0.053
0.050
0.049
0.076
0.073
0.070
0.068
0.065
0.063
0.060
0.058
0.056
0.054
0.083
0.080
0.077
0.074
0.071
0.069
0.066
0.064
0.062
0.059
0.086
0.083
0.080
0.077
0.075
0.072
0.069
0.067
0.065
0.062
3.20
3.21
3.22
3.23
3.24
3.25
3.26
3.27
3.28
3.29
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.014
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.015
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.012
0.026
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.037
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.030
0.028
0.027
0.026
0.025
0.047
0.045
0.043
0.041
0.040
0.038
0.037
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.052
0.050
0.048
0.046
0.044
0.043
0.042
0.040
0.038
0.037
0.057
0.055
0.053
0.051
0.049
0.048
0.046
0.044
0.042
0.041
0.060
0.058
0.056
0.054
0.052
0.050
0.048
0.046
0.045
0.043
3.30
3.31
3.32
3.33
3.34
3.35
3.36
3.37
3.38
3.39
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.012
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.015
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.016
0.031
0.030
0.029
0.027
0.026
0.025
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.030
0.029
0.028
0.026
0.025
0.024
0.039
0.038
0.036
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.030
0.029
0.028
0.042
0.040
0.038
0.037
0.036
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.029
3.40
3.41
3.42
3.43
3.44
3.45
3.46
3.47
3.48
3.49
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.015
0.014
0.014
0.013
0.012
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.020
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.014
0.023
0.022
0.022
0.021
0.020
0.019
0.018
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.027
0.026
0.025
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.021
0.020
0.019
0.019
0.028
0.027
0.026
0.025
0.024
0.023
0.022
0.022
0.021
0.020
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
QU
or
QL
10
15
20
25
30
35
50
75
100
150
200
3.50
3.51
3.52
3.53
3.54
3.55
3.56
3.57
3.58
3.59
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.013
0.013
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.015
0.015
0.014
0.014
0.013
0.012
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.016
0.015
0.015
0.014
0.013
0.013
0.012
0.019
0.018
0.018
0.017
0.016
0.016
0.015
0.014
0.014
0.013
3.60
3.61
3.62
3.63
3.64
3.65
3.66
3.67
3.68
3.69
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.008
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
0.008
0.008
0.013
0.012
0.012
0.011
0.011
0.010
0.010
0.010
0.009
0.009
3.70
3.71
3.72
3.73
3.74
3.75
3.76
3.77
3.78
3.79
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.008
0.008
0.008
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.007
0.006
0.006
0.006
3.80
3.81
3.82
3.83
3.84
3.85
3.86
3.87
3.88
3.89
3.90
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.001
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.003
0.003
0.003
0.006
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
0.004
Sample size
Figure 9.20
(continued)
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
222
Chapter Nine
Sample
Size
Code
Letter
10
.10
.15
.25
.40
.65
1.00
1.50
2.50
4.00
6.50 10.00
M
5.82
2.13 3.54
5.34
0.077
2.14 3.27
4.72
15
0.186
2.09 3.06
4.32
6.55
20
0.228
2.03 2.93
4.10
6.18
25
0.250
2.00 2.86
3.97
5.98
35
0.253
1.87 2.66
3.70
5.58
50
0.243
1.73 2.47
3.44
5.21
75
0.225
1.59 2.27
3.17
4.83
100
0.218
1.52 2.18
3.06
4.67
150
0.202
2.88
4.42
6.56
9.86 14.18
200
0.204
2.86
4.39
6.52
9.80 14.11
1.00 1.50
2.50
4.00
6.50 10.00
.10
.15
.25
.40
.65
Figure 9.21
ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 Table B-3: Master table for normal and tightened inspection
for plans based on variability unknown (double specification limit and Form 2
single specification limit).
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
Notes
1. W. E. Deming, Out of the Crisis (Cambridge, MA: MIT Center for Advanced Engineering, 1986).
2. J. M. Juran and F. N. Gryna Jr., Quality Planning and Analysis (New York: McGrawHill, 1980).
3. ASQ Statistics Division, Glossary and Tables for Statistical Quality Control, 4th ed.
(Milwaukee, WI: ASQ Quality Press, 2004).
4. Ibid.
5. ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003, Sampling Procedures and Tables for Inspection by Attributes
(Milwaukee, WI: ASQ Quality Press, 2003).
6. Deming, Crisis.
7. A. Wald, Sequential Analysis (New York: Dover, 1973).
8. W. Burr, Statistical Quality Control Methods (New York: Marcel Dekker, 1976).
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
3/8/07 12:38:15 PM
10
Computer Resources
to Support SQC: MINITAB
225
3/8/07 6:07:44 PM
226
Chapter Ten
Edit
Graph Editor
Tools
Window
Help
Figure 10.1
3/8/07 6:07:44 PM
Figure 10.2
is one cell that is not labeled, whereas the rest of the cells are labeled 1, 2,
3, and so on. In the unlabeled cell, you can enter the variable name, such as
part name, shift, lot number, and so on. Data are then entered in the labeled
cells, using one cell for each data point. If a numerical observation is missing,
MINITAB will automatically replace the missing value with a star (*).
Saving a Data File
Using the command File > Save Current Worksheet As allows saving the
current data file. When you enter this command, a dialog box titled Save
Worksheet As appears. Type the file name in the box next to File Name,
select the drive location for the file, and then click Save.
Retrieving a Saved MINITAB Data File
Using the command File > Open Worksheet prompts the dialog box Open
Worksheet to appear. Select the drive and directory where the file was saved
by clicking the down arrow next to the Look in box, enter the file name in the
box next to FILE NAME, and then click Open. The data will appear in the
same format you had entered earlier.
Saving a MINITAB Project
Using the command File > Save Project saves the ongoing project in a
MINITAB Project (MPJ) file to the designated directory with the name you
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228
Chapter Ten
choose. Saving the project saves all windows opened in the project, along
with the contents of each window.
Print Options
To print the contents in any specific window, you need to make the window
active by clicking on it, and then use the command File > Print Session
Window. . .(Graph. . ., Worksheet. . .).
If you want to print multiple graphs on a single page, highlight the graphs
in the Graph folder in the Project Manager window by right-clicking on
each and choose Print. The Print Multiple Graphs dialog box appears. To
change the page orientation of the multiple graphs, use File > Page Setup to
adjust the printing options.
The construction of several main tools of SPC using MINITAB is discussed
in Applied Statistics for the Six Sigma Green Belt. In this book, however, we
will discuss only the construction of various control charts using MINITAB
and JMP.
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Figure 10.3
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230
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.4
3/8/07 6:07:45 PM
Figure 10.5 MINITAB window showing the Individuals-Moving Range Chart dialog box.
Solution:
1. Enter all the data in column C1 of the data (Worksheet)
window. Click Stat from the Menu Command.
2. Select Control Charts from the pull-down menu in the Stat
command menu.
3. Select Variable Charts for Individuals from the Control
Charts command menu.
4. Click I-MR from the Variable Charts for Individuals
command menu. The dialog box Individuals-Moving Range
Chart, shown in Figure 10.5, immediately appears.
5. Enter C1 in the box next to Variables.
Select the other options from the dialog box Individuals-Moving Range
Chart in the same manner as discussed in step 9 of Example 10.1. Then click
OK. The output of the Shewhart control chart for individual observations will
appear in the Session window. The control chart for our example is shown in
Figure 3.11 of Chapter 3.
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232
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.6
3/8/07 6:07:45 PM
8. Enter the sample size in the box next to the Subgroup sizes.
9. In the dialog box Xbar-S Chart, options such as Scale and
Labels are available. If you select Labels, a new dialog box
will appear and you can enter the title of an Xbar-S chart and
any footnotes you would like to see on the output of the Xbar-S
chart. Then click OK. By default, the title will be Xbar-S Chart
for C1 or Xbar-S Chart for name of the variable if you have
given such a name in column C1 of the data window. Use Xbar-S
Options. . . if you want to specify the values of the population
mean and population standard deviation instead of estimating
them by using the given data. Then click OK in the Xbar-S
Chart dialog box. The desired Xbar-S control chart will appear
in the Session window. In our example, the Xbar-S Chart dialog
box will look as shown in Figure 10.6, and the output of the
Xbar-S chart is as shown in Figure 3.12 in Chapter 3.
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234
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.7
3/8/07 6:07:45 PM
7. Enter C1-C10 in the next box, because the largest sample size
is 10.
8. In the dialog box Xbar-S Chart, options such as Scale and
Labels are available. If you select Labels, a new dialog box
will appear and you can enter the title of an Xbar-S chart and
any footnotes you would like to see on the output of the Xbar-S
chart. Then click OK. By default, the title will be Xbar-S Chart
for C1-C10 or Xbar-S Chart for name of the variable if you
have entered the data in one column, say C1, and have given
such a name in column C1 of the data window. Use Xbar-S
Options. . . if you want to specify the values of the population
mean and population standard deviation instead of estimating
them by using the given data as, for example, in the present
example. Then click OK in the Xbar-S chart dialog box. The
desired Xbar-S control chart will appear in the Session window.
In our example, the Xbar-S chart and Xbar-S Options dialog
boxes will look as shown in Figure 10.7, and the output of the
Xbar-S chart is as shown in Figure 3.13 in Chapter 3.
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236
Chapter Ten
Table 10.1
Sample Number
Observations
0.97076
0.98518
1.01204
0.97892
0.99094
0.99455
0.96904
0.99770
0.97502
0.98483
0.99538
0.99765
0.96011
1.03059
0.98048
1.00332
0.98891
0.98018
1.01699
1.00391
1.03023
0.98663
1.01498
0.97483
0.99836
0.98491
1.00487
0.96951
0.99613
1.03365
0.98894
1.00631
0.98630
0.98115
0.96755
0.93771
0.99017
1.03221
1.01045
1.01297
1.00103
1.01641
0.97683
1.00149
1.03012
10
1.01493
1.02220
1.00179
1.01556
1.01080
11
1.01606
0.96502
1.00546
0.99259
0.96857
12
0.98266
0.99031
0.99349
1.00499
1.03806
13
0.95560
1.00033
1.01098
0.99380
1.04496
14
0.97406
1.01305
0.97556
0.98493
1.00347
15
1.03027
0.97009
1.00151
0.99929
0.98366
16
1.02527
1.01652
1.02743
0.99951
0.99565
17
1.02837
1.01676
0.97056
0.95207
1.03254
18
0.98646
0.99434
1.00163
0.98811
1.01234
19
0.96072
1.02716
1.01030
1.04141
0.96355
20
1.03511
0.94637
1.00852
0.99454
1.00620
21
0.99550
0.98307
1.00948
1.00793
1.04035
22
0.98397
1.03082
0.98643
1.00540
0.97880
23
0.99934
0.99544
1.00959
1.00664
1.02905
24
1.00286
1.00777
1.01661
0.99793
1.03805
25
0.96557
0.98535
0.99911
1.03566
1.00453
3/8/07 6:07:46 PM
Figure 10.8
Figure 10.9
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238
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.10
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3/8/07 6:07:46 PM
240
Chapter Ten
3/8/07 6:07:46 PM
Figure 10.11
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242
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.12
3/8/07 6:07:47 PM
next to the Subgroup sizes, we enter C2. For an example of a u chart, see
Figure 4.6 in Chapter 4.
CUSUM charts are very effective in detecting small shifts. Unlike the X
Shewhart control charts, CUSUM control charts can be designed to detect
one-sided or two-sided shifts. These charts are defined by two parameters, k
and h, which are called the reference value and the decision interval, respectively, and are defined in section 5.2.1. The two-sided process control by
using a CUSUM control chart is achieved by concurrently using two onesided CUSUM control charts. In both one-sided CUSUM charts one can
use the same or different reference values depending on whether the upward
and downward shifts are equally important. We discuss the construction of
CUSUM control charts with the following example.
Example 10.9 Consider a manufacturing process of auto parts. We are
interested in studying a quality characteristic of the parts manufactured by
the process. Let the quality characteristic when the process is under control
be normally distributed with mean 20 and standard deviation 2. The data
shown in Table 5.1 of Example 5.1 in Chapter 5 give the first 10 random
samples of size four, which are taken when the process is stable and producing the parts with mean value 20 and standard deviation 2. The last 10
random samples, again of size four, were taken from that process after its
mean experienced an upward shift of one standard deviation, resulting in a
new process with mean 22. Construct a Shewhart CUSUM control chart for
the data in Table 5.1.
Solution:
1. Enter all the data in Table 5.1 of Chapter 5 in columns C1 through
C4 (observations for each subgroup are entered in one row of
columns) of the Worksheet window. Click Stat from the Menu
Command.
2. Select Control Charts from the pull-down menu in the Stat
command menu.
3. Select Time Weighted Charts from the Control Charts
command menu.
4. Click CUSUM from the Control Charts command menu. The
dialog box CUSUM Chart, shown in Figure 10.13, appears.
5. From the dialog box CUSUM Chart, choose the option
Observations for a subgroup are in one row of columns.
6. Enter C1-C4 in the next box, because the sample size is four.
7. Enter the target value in the box next to Target, which in our
example is 20.
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244
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.13
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Figure 10.14
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246
Chapter Ten
Example 10.10 Consider the data in Table 5.4 of Example 5.3 in Chapter 5
on the manufacturing process of auto parts. Design an MA control chart for
these data with span m = 4 and interpret the results.
Solution:
1. Enter all the data in Table 5.4 in column C1 of the Worksheet
window. Click Stat from the Menu Command.
2. Select Control Charts from the pull-down menu in the Stat
command menu.
3. Select Time Weighted Charts from the Control Charts
command menu.
4. Click Moving Average. . . from the Control Charts command
menu. The dialog box Moving Average Chart, shown in
Figure 10.15, appears.
5. From the dialog box Moving Average Chart, choose the option
All observations for a chart are in one column.
6. Enter C1 in the next box. (If the sample size is n > 1, then
enter the data in columns C1 through Cn and in step 5 choose
the option Observations for a subgroup are in one row of
columns.)
7. In the box next to Subgroup sizes, enter 1, or the appropriate
value of n if the sample size is greater than 1.
8. In the box next to Length of MA, enter 4, or any other specified
value of span.
9. In the dialog box Moving Average Chart, options such as
Scale and Labels are available. If you select Labels, a new
Figure 10.15
3/8/07 6:07:47 PM
dialog box will appear and you can enter the title of a Moving
Average chart and any footnotes that you would like to see on
the output of the Moving Average chart. Then click OK. By
default, the title will be Moving Average Chart for C1.
10. Select MA Options . . . and the dialog box Moving Average
Chart Options will appear. In this dialog box are various
options, but we will be using only a few of them, namely,
Parameters, Estimate, S Limits, and Storage.
a. Parameters: This option is used to specify a value of
the mean and a value of the standard deviation. Enter the
specified values in the boxes next to Mean and Standard
deviation. MINITAB will use this value instead of
estimating it from the data.
b. Estimate: This option presents various methods for
estimating the mean and the standard deviation. For
example, you may choose moving range, Rbar, Sbar, and
others.
c. S Limits: Under this option you choose, for example,
control limits, bounds on control limits, and sample size.
d. Storage: Under this option, check the boxes next to point
plotted, center line value, and control limit and then
click OK. Finally, click OK in the Moving Average Chart
dialog box.
Using these steps, the MA control chart for the data in Table 5.4 is constructed. It is presented in Table 5.7, and its graph is shown in Figure 5.7. The
center line value and control limits are shown in Figure 5.7.
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248
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.16
3/8/07 6:07:48 PM
(10.1)
Assume now that the true value of the quality characteristic and the measurement error are normally distributed with mean and 0 and variances 2p and
2m , respectively. Then it can be shown that
2t = 2p + m2 ,
(10.2)
where 2t is the variance of the total observed values. Furthermore, the error
variance 2m usually consists of two components: one due to gage variation
(repeatability) and the other due to operator variation (reproducibility). The
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250
Chapter Ten
purpose of measurement system capability analysis is to separate these components and analyze them. In other words, we have
2measurement
error
2
2
= reproducibilty
+ repeat
ability .
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Table 10.2
Bolt
(Parts)
Number
Operator 1
Operator 2
Operator 3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
26
22
26
21
23
21
24
22
26
28
26
28
24
29
26
24
25
24
28
31
28
28
27
28
32
30
27
35
33
31
35
31
30
34
35
31
37
35
38
36
38
35
35
34
35
40
38
40
40
38
40
36
37
38
39
42
41
40
39
43
43
41
43
42
43
46
42
46
42
43
44
45
50
52
50
53
52
53
49
53
49
10
28
31
28
R 1 = 3.0 x 1 = 35.33
28
27
28
R 2 = 2.5 x 2 = 34.67
32
30
27
R 3 = 3.0 x 3 = 34.93
2. Enter the data using column C1 for the part numbers, column
C2 for the operators, and column C3 for the observed values of
the parts.
3. Select from the bar menu of the screen MINITAB
UNTITLED, Stat > Quality Tools > Gage Study >
Gage R&R Study (Crossed) . . . and the screen MINITAB
UNTITLED with these selections is shown in Figure 10.17.
4. Click once on Gage R&R Study (Crossed). . . . The dialog
box Gage R&R Study (Crossed), shown in Figure 10.18,
appears.
Double-click on C1, C2, and C3 in the square box within the dialog box
Gage R&R Study (Crossed), and the entries from the square box will move
to the boxes next to Part numbers, Operators, and Measurement data, respectively. Check the circle next to ANOVA. Then click on Options. . .. The
dialog box Gage R&R Study (Crossed) Options, shown in Figure 10.19,
appears. Enter 6 in the box next to Study variation (some authors use 5.15,
for instance, Barrentine [2003]) .
Check the circle next to Upper spec Lower spec, and in the box next
to it enter the value of the specification band. Enter the value of alpha of
your choice next to Alpha to remove interaction term (for example, we
entered 0.25). Note that the interaction term (part*operator) will appear in
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252
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.17
Screen showing the selections Stat > Quality Tools > Gage Study > Gage R&R Study
(Crossed). . .
Figure 10.18
3/8/07 6:07:49 PM
Figure 10.19
the analysis only if the p value is less than or equal to the value you enter in
the box next to Alpha to remove interaction term. If you wish, check the
box next to Draw figures on separate graphs, one figure per graph. Otherwise, all the figures will appear on one graph. Finally, if you wish, you can
enter the title of your project next to Title, and click OK. Then click OK in
the dialog box Gage R&R Study (Crossed). The output, including ANOVA
tables and all the following graphs, will appear in the Session Window. We
discussed this example earlier, in Chapter 7. However, for the sake of continuation of our discussion, we represent it here.
Gage R&R StudyANOVA Method
Two-Way ANOVA Table with Interaction
Source
Part Numbers
Operators
DF
SS
6135.73
MS
681.748 165.532
P
0.000
6.76
3.378
0.820
0.456
Part Numbers*Operators
18
74.13
4.119
1.477
0.131
Repeatability
60
167.33
2.789
Total
89
6383.95
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254
Chapter Ten
DF
SS
MS
Part Numbers
6135.73
681.748
220.222
0.000
Operators
6.76
3.378
1.091
0.341
3.096
Repeatability
78
241.47
Total
89
6383.96
Because in this case the value of is less than 0.131, the interaction term is
removed from the Two-Way ANOVA Table without Interaction. In this case,
the SS (sum of squares) and DF (degrees of freedom) are merged with corresponding terms of repeatability, which act as an error due to uncontrollable
factors. The interpretation for parts and operators is the same as in the TwoWay ANOVA Table with Interaction. However, it is important to note that the
p values can change from one ANOVA table to another. For example, the p
values for operators are different in the two tables. We will not discuss here
the reason for these changes in the p values, as it is beyond the scope of this
book.
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Gage R&R
%Contribution
Source
Total Gage R&R
VarComp
(of VarComp)
3.2321
4.12
Repeatability
2.7889
3.55
Reproducibility
0.4432
0.56
Operators
0.0000
0.00
Operators*Part Numbers
0.4432
0.56
Part-to-Part
75.2922
95.88
Total Variation
78.5243
100.00
Process tolerance = 60
The first column in the Gage R&R MINITAB printout provides the breakdown
of the variance components (estimates of variances). The second column provides percent contribution of the variance components, which becomes the
basis of a Gage R&R study using the ANOVA method. For example, the
total variation due to gage is 4.12 percent, of which 3.55 percent variation is
contributed by the repeatability and the remaining 0.56 percent is contributed
by the reproducibility. The variation due to parts is 95.88 percent of the total
variation. This implies that the measurement system is very capable.
Note that the percent contributions are calculated simply by dividing
the variance components by the total variation and then multiplying by 100.
Thus, the percent contribution due to repeatability, for example, is given by
2.7889
100 = 3.55%.
78.5243
StdDev
Study Var
%Study Var
%Tolerance
Source
(SD)
(6 * SD)
(%SV)
(SV/Toler)
1.79780
10.7868
20.29
17.98
Repeatability
1.67000
10.0200
18.85
16.70
Reproducibility
0.66574
3.9944
7.51
6.66
Operators
0.00000
0.0000
0.00
0.00
Operators*Part Numbers
0.66574
3.9944
7.51
6.66
Part-to-Part
8.67711
52.0626
97.92
86.77
Total Variation
8.86139
53.1684
100.00
88.61
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Chapter Ten
part-to-part SD
Number of distinct categories = Integral parrt of
1.4142
total Gage R&R SD
8.67711
= Integral part of
1.4142
1.79780
= 6.
Under AIAGs recommendations, a measurement system is capable if the
number of categories is greater than or equal to five. In this example, the
measurement system is capable of separating the parts into the different
categories in which they belong. This quantity is equivalent to the one
defined in Montgomery (2005b) and is referred to as signal-to-noise ratio
(SNR), that is,
2 p
SNR =
,
1 p
2p
where p =
.
1 2p
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Figure 10.20
As usual, in Figure 10.21 we first interpret the R chart. All the data points
are within the control limits, which indicates that the operators are measuring consistently. The X chart shows many points beyond the control limits,
but this does not mean the measurement system is out of control. Rather,
this indicates the narrower control limits because the variation due to repeatability is small and the measurement system is capable distinguishing the
different parts.
Figure 10.22 plots the average of each part by any single operator. In this
graph we have three lines because we have three operators. These lines intersect one another, but they are also very close to one another. This implies
that there is some interaction between the operators and the parts, which is
significant only at 0.131 or greater.
In Figure 10.23 the clear circles represent the measurements by each
operator, and the dark circles represent the means. The spread of measurements for each operator is almost the same. The means fall on a horizontal
line, which indicates that the average measurement for each operator is also
the same. Thus, in this example, the operators are measuring the parts consistently. In other words, the variation due to reproducibility is low.
In Figure 10.23, the clear circles represent the measurements on each
part, and the dark circles represent the mean for each part. In this case, the
spread of measurements for each part is not exactly the same but is nonetheless very small. This means that each part is measured with the same precision
and accuracy. Greater variability among the means indicates that the measurement system is quite capable of distinguishing the parts belonging to different
categories. Combining the outcomes of Figures 10.23 and 10.24, we can say
that, overall, the Gage R&R variability is not very significant.
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258
Chapter Ten
Figure 10.21
Figure 10.22
Interaction between operators and parts for the data in Example 10.12.
3/8/07 6:07:50 PM
Figure 10.23
Figure 10.24
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3/8/07 6:07:50 PM
11
Computer Resources
to Support SQC: JMP
se of all the SQC tools discussed in this book began with hand calculation. Aside from the tediousness of the calculations, data transcription, and calculation errors, the amount of time required to complete
the calculations and related graphing drove the need for computer support of
SQC applications. Now there are many desktop statistical application software packages available to support SQC, and the focus of this chapter is on
one of those software packages: JMP. In this chapter we will limit our discussion of topics to demonstrating the use of JMP for the tools and techniques
discussed throughout this book, and we will emphasize the use of JMP for
phase I and II SPC charts, process capability, and MSA. We will not discuss
the use of JMP for acceptance sampling or PRE-control, as JMP is not specifically designed in Version 6.0 to support these SQC tools and techniques.
It is not our intent as authors to endorse any one software package, as
each package has particular strengths and areas for improvement. We do,
however, feel the need to introduce JMP as a software package that is very
popular, that is statistically very powerful, and that supports the statistical
content discussed in each of the four books in the Six Sigma Green Belt
series. In order to gain the most benefit from the material in this chapter,
readers should have basic computing literacy.
261
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262
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.1
the remainder of the dialog box. Each category displays a different set of
functions.
In addition to the JMP Starter, JMP functions can be used by accessing
the drop-down menus located at the top of the initial display, as can be seen
in Figure 11.1 and Figure 11.2.
Clicking on any of the drop-down menu commands reveals a set of functions associated with that command. Examples of drop-down menu commands and associated functions are shown in Figures 11.3 and 11.4.
As can be seen in Figure 11.3, the File, Edit, and Tables commands
have many functions that, for purposes of this chapter, are focused on file
processing.
If you are familiar with Microsoft Windows products, the drop-down
menus will appear quite familiar. As you gain familiarity with JMP, you may
wish to disable the JMP Starter, which you can do by accessing File > Preferences and then deselecting the JMP Starter box.
Figure 11.2
3/8/07 12:39:48 PM
Figure 11.3
As can be seen in Figure 11.4, the DOE, Analyze, and Graph commands have many functions that, for the purposes of this chapter, are focused
on statistical analysis.
Getting Started with JMP
To begin a JMP session, you will need to complete one of the following three
steps:
1. Create a new data table
2. Open an existing JMP file
3. Create a new journal
As the intent of this chapter is to introduce readers to the use of JMP for
SQC applications, creating new data tables and opening existing JMP files
will be discussed. Creating journals is considered to be an advanced feature beyond the scope of this chapter. For more information on the many
3/8/07 12:39:48 PM
264
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.4
advanced features of JMP, refer to the online help options within JMP, the
JMP system documentation, or the book JMP Start Statistics (3rd edition;
Thompson-Brooks/Cole Publishers).
Creating a New Data Table
Creating a new data table establishes a workspace empty of data, formatting, or labels. The steps required to create a new data table are identified in
Figure 11.5.
As can be seen in Figure 11.5, to create a new data table, select the File
drop-down menu, select the New command, and select Data Table. A new
data table, which looks much like a Microsoft Excel worksheet, appears, as
is shown in Figure 11.6.
Within the data table, column headings may be changed by doubleclicking the heading and retyping the desired heading. New columns
may be added by right-clicking in the workspace and selecting the option
New column. Descriptive statistics about the rows and columns defined are
presented on the left of the display.
Lastly, it should be noted that blue arrows on any JMP display indicate
the presence of a toggle switch, whereby clicking on the switch turns the
display on or off. Red arrows on any JMP display indicate the presence of
additional features or functions that may be selected. Selecting a red arrow
reveals a drop-down menu of additional features or functions.
Figure 11.5
3/8/07 12:39:49 PM
Figure 11.6
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266
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.7
There are two ways to save a JMP file. If a file has not been previously
saved, as would be the case with a new data file, select File from the dropdown menu and then select Save As. Once Save As has been selected, you
will be prompted for a file name and storage location.
If a file has been previously saved, as would be the case with an existing
data file, select File from the drop-down menu and then select Save, as shown
in Figure 11.9. Once Save has been selected, the file will automatically be
saved with the existing file name and in the existing storage location.
Print Options
To print any portion of a JMP data file or graphical display, select the entire
table or graphical display with a single click of the mouse. If only certain portions of a data table or graphical display are desired, select the desired items
by pressing and holding the SHIFT key and then selecting each of the desired
items to print. The steps needed to print JMP data or graphs are identified in
Figure 11.10. Select File from the drop-down menu and then select Print.
Assuming that a printer is connected, configured, and on line, the output will
print. If you want to view the output prior to printing, select Print Preview
from the File menu.
Figure 11.8
3/8/07 12:39:50 PM
Figure 11.9
Figure 11.10
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268
Chapter Eleven
then open your document and paste the images. This powerful feature eliminates the need for import/export functions.
Figure 11.11
3/8/07 12:39:50 PM
Figure 11.12
chart type here. Second, the KSigma parameter is automatically set to three.
KSigma refers to the selection of scaling factors based on +/ three standard
deviationswhich is the most common scaling factor used. Third, the sample size is automatically set to five. It is critically important that we ensure
that the sample size defined in this block matches the sample size defined in
the data table. It is common to collect sample sizes other than five, which are
then recorded in the data table. If the actual sample size recorded in the data
table does not match the sample size selected in the dialog box, JMP will calculate a control chart based on the sample sizes defined in the dialog box.
Once we complete our interaction with the dialog box, we select the OK
function in the Action block, located in the upper right corner of the dialog
box, and the control chart is generated and displayed.
Example 11.1 Consider the data on the diameter measurements of ball
bearings used in the wheels of heavy construction equipment shown in
Table 3.4 of Example 3.4 in Chapter 3. Use the following steps to construct
the XBar and R control chart.
Solution:
1. Enter the data in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
3. Select the Control Chart function.
4. Select the XBar chart option. The dialog box XBar Control
Chart shown in Figure 11.12 appears.
3/8/07 12:39:51 PM
270
Chapter Eleven
3/8/07 12:39:51 PM
Figure 11.13
Figure 11.14
3/8/07 12:39:51 PM
272
Chapter Eleven
Solution:
1. Enter the data in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
3. Select the Control Chart function.
4. Select the XBar chart option. The dialog box XBar Control
Chart shown in Figure 11.14 appears.
5. Check the S option.
6. Choose the KSigma option in the Parameters box, and make
sure 3 is entered as the parameter.
7. Set the sample size to be consistent with the sample size
entered in the data table.
8. Assign a variable to be modeled in the Process field.
9. Select OK in the Action box.
3/8/07 12:39:52 PM
Figure 11.15
4. Select the XBar chart option. The dialog box XBar Control
Chart shown in Figure 11.15 appears.
5. Check the S option.
6. Choose the KSigma option in the Parameters box, and make
sure 3 is entered as the parameter.
7. Assign the variable to be modeled in the Process box.
8. Assign the label in the Sample Label field (the Sample Grouped
by Sample Label button will automatically be enabled).
9. Select OK in the Action box.
3/8/07 12:39:52 PM
274
Chapter Eleven
Column 1 in the Select Columns box, located in the upper left section of
the dialog box. At this point, we would select the variable (click with the
mouse) and assign it to the Process field, located in the upper center section
of the dialog box, which indicates that a numeric variable is required.
As default settings, JMP enables Individual Measurement and Moving
Range charts to be generated via the check boxes located on the left side of
the dialog box. JMP also defaults to a moving range of two, which can be
changed at the discretion of the user.
An additional point about the dialog box is that the KSigma parameter is automatically set to three. KSigma refers to the selection of scaling factors based on
+/ three standard deviationswhich is the most common scaling factor used.
Once we complete our interaction with the dialog box, we click OK in
the Action block, located in the upper right corner of the dialog box, and the
control chart is generated and displayed.
Example 11.4 Consider the data on the diameter measurements of ball
bearings used in the wheels of heavy construction equipment shown in
Table 3.5 of Example 3.6 in Chapter 3. Then use the following steps to construct the Shewhart control chart for individual observations.
Solution:
1. Enter the data in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
Figure 11.16
3/8/07 12:39:52 PM
Figure 11.17
3/8/07 12:39:53 PM
276
Chapter Eleven
Solution:
1. Enter the data in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
3. Select the Control Chart function.
4. Select any of the control chart options. A dialog box associated
with the type of control chart selected appears. For the data in
this example, an XBar and S chart was selected and the process
capability analysis was enabled, as is seen in Figure 11.18.
5. Complete the interaction with the dialog box as has been
explained for each of the control chart types.
Table 11.1
Sample Number
Observations
0.97076
0.98518
1.01104
0.97892
0.99094
0.99455
0.96904
0.99770
0.97502
0.98483
0.99538
0.99765
0.96011
1.03059
0.98048
1.00332
0.98891
0.98018
1.01699
1.00391
1.03023
0.98663
1.01498
0.97483
0.99836
0.98491
1.00487
0.96951
0.99613
1.03365
0.98894
1.00631
0.98630
0.98115
0.96755
0.93771
0.99017
1.03221
1.01045
1.01197
1.00103
1.01641
0.97683
1.00149
1.03011
10
1.01493
1.02220
1.00179
1.01556
1.01080
11
1.01606
0.96502
1.00546
0.99259
0.96857
12
0.98266
0.99031
0.99349
1.00499
1.03806
13
0.95560
1.00033
1.01098
0.99380
1.04496
14
0.97406
1.01305
0.97556
0.98493
1.00347
15
1.03027
0.97009
1.00151
0.99929
0.98366
16
1.02527
1.01652
1.02743
0.99951
0.99565
17
1.02837
1.01676
0.97056
0.95207
1.03254
18
0.98646
0.99434
1.00163
0.98811
1.01134
19
0.96072
1.02716
1.01030
1.04141
0.96355
20
1.03511
0.94637
1.00852
0.99454
1.00620
21
0.99550
0.98307
1.00948
1.00793
1.04035
22
0.98397
1.03082
0.98643
1.00540
0.97880
23
0.99934
0.99544
1.00959
1.00664
1.02905
24
1.00286
1.00777
1.01661
0.99793
1.03805
25
0.96557
0.98535
0.99911
1.03566
1.00453
3/8/07 6:25:04 PM
6. Check the Capability option on the right side of the dialog box.
7. Select OK in the Action box. A process capability analysis
dialog box appears, as is presented in Figure 11.19.
8. Define the specification limits and target value in accordance
with the example instructions.
9. Check the Long Term Sigma box for Cp and Cpk.
10. Select OK, and the analysis output appears, as shown in
Figure 11.20.
Figure 11.18
3/8/07 12:39:53 PM
278
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.19
The dialog box in Figure 11.22 requires us to select a variable. The data
table in this case contains three variables, which are identified as Lot,
Lot Size, and # defects in the Select Columns box, located in the upper
left section of the dialog box. At this point, we would select the variable #
defects (click with the mouse) and assign it to the Process field, located in
the upper center section of the dialog box, which indicates that a numeric
variable is required.
Two additional points about the dialog box should be noted at this
time. First, the KSigma parameter is automatically set to three. KSigma
refers to the selection of scaling factors based on +/ three standard deviationswhich is the most common scaling factor used. Second, the sample
size is automatically set to 100. It is critically important that we ensure
that the sample size defined in this block matches the sample size defined
in the data table. It is common to collect sample sizes other than 100 for a
p chart, which are then recorded in the data table. If the actual sample size
recorded in the data table does not match the sample size selected in the
dialog box, JMP will calculate a control chart based on the sample sizes
defined in the dialog box.
Once we complete our interaction with the dialog box, we select the OK
function in the Action block, located in the upper right corner of the dialog
box, and the control chart is generated and displayed.
Example 11.6 A semiconductor industry tracks the number of nonconforming computer chips produced each day. A team of Six Sigma Green Belts
wants to improve the overall quality by reducing the fraction of nonconforming computer chips. To achieve this goal, the team decides to set up a p chart,
and in order to do so, the team members inspect a sample of 1000 chips each
day over a period of 30 days. Table 4.2 of Example 4.1 in Chapter 4 gives the
number of nonconforming chips out of 1000 inspected chips each day during
the study period.
3/8/07 12:39:54 PM
Figure 11.20
3/8/07 12:39:54 PM
280
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.21
Generating a p chart.
Figure 11.22
3/8/07 12:39:55 PM
Solution:
1. Enter the data (number of nonconforming units given in
Table 4.2 in Chapter 4) in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
3. Select the Control Chart function.
4. Select the P chart option. The dialog box titled P Control
Chart, shown in Figure 11.22, appears.
5. Choose the KSigma option in the Parameters box, and make
sure 3 is entered as the parameter.
6. Set the sample size to be consistent with the sample size
entered in the data table.
7. Assign a variable to be modeled in the Process field.
8. Select OK in the Action field.
3/8/07 12:39:56 PM
282
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.23
Generating a c chart.
3/8/07 12:39:56 PM
Figure 11.24
Example 11.7 A paper mill has detected that almost 90 percent of rejected
paper rolls are due to nonconformities of two types: holes and wrinkles in the
paper. The Six Sigma Green Belt team in the mill decides to set up control
charts to reduce or eliminate the number of these nonconformities. To set up
the control charts the team collects data by taking random sample of five rolls
each day for 30 days and counting the number of nonconformities (holes and
wrinkles) in each sample. The data are shown in Table 4.4 of Example 4.4 in
Chapter 4. Set up a c control chart using these data.
Solution:
1. Enter the data (number of nonconformities given in Table 4.4 in
Chapter 4) in column 1 of the data table.
2. Select Graph from the drop-down menu.
3. Select the Control Chart function.
4. Select the C chart option. The dialog box C Control Chart,
shown in Figure 11.24, appears.
5. Choose the KSigma option in the Parameters box, and make
sure 3 is entered as the parameter.
6. Set the sample size to be consistent with the sample size
entered in the data table.
7. Assign a variable to be modeled in the Process field.
8. Select OK in the Action box.
3/8/07 12:39:56 PM
284
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.25
Generating a u chart.
3/8/07 12:39:57 PM
Figure 11.26
3/8/07 12:39:57 PM
286
Chapter Eleven
CUSUM charts are very effective in detecting small shifts. Unlike the X
Shewhart control charts, CUSUM control charts can be designed to detect
one-sided or two-sided shifts. These charts are defined by two parameters,
k and h, which are called the reference value and the decision interval,
respectively, and are defined in section 5.2.1. The two-sided process control by using a CUSUM control chart is achieved by concurrently using two
one-sided CUSUM control charts. In both one-sided CUSUM charts we can
use the same or different reference values depending on whether the upward
and downward shifts are equally important.
To create a CUSUM chart we begin by entering sample numbers in column
1 and process data in column 2 of a new data table. Once the data have been
entered, we generate the chart by following the steps identified in Figure 11.27.
As can be seen in Figure 11.27, we select Graph from the drop-down
menu, then select the Control Chart function, and then select CUSUM.
Once the CUSUM chart has been selected, a dialog box will be presented, as
shown in Figure 11.28.
The dialog box in Figure 11.28 requires us to select a variable. The data table
in this case contains two variables, which are identified as hour and weight, in
the Select Columns box, located in the upper left section of the dialog box. At this
point, we select the variable weight (click with the mouse) and assign it to the
Process field, located in the upper center section of the dialog box, which indicates
that a numeric variable is required. We then select the variable hour and assign
it to the Sample Label field. We specify a one-sided or two-sided chart by selecting or deselecting the Two-Sided check box on the left side of the dialog box. We
could then click the Specify Stats button at the bottom center of the dialog box,
which would generate an additional dialog box, as is presented in Figure 11.29.
As can be seen in Figure 11.29, the Specify Stats dialog box allows us to
specify a Target, Delta (difference to detect), Shift, process variable Sigma,
and a Head Start. Once the desired parameters have been inserted, we select
OK to generate the chart. We illustrate how to create a CUSUM chart with
the following example.
Example 11.9 Consider a manufacturing process of auto parts. We are
interested in studying a quality characteristic of the parts manufactured by
the process. Let the quality characteristic when the process is under control be
3/8/07 12:39:57 PM
Figure 11.27
Figure 11.28
3/8/07 12:39:58 PM
288
Chapter Eleven
normally distributed with mean 20 and standard deviation 2. The data shown
in Table 5.1 of Example 5.1 in Chapter 5 give the first 10 random samples of
size four, which are taken when the process is stable and producing the parts
with mean value 20 and standard deviation 2. The last 10 random samples,
again of size four, were taken from that process after its mean experienced an
upward shift of one standard deviation, resulting in a new process with mean
22. Construct a Shewhart CUSUM control chart for the data in Table 5.1.
Solution:
1. Enter the sample number and data in Table 5.1 in columns 1
and 2, respectively, of the data table.
2. Select Control Chart from the Graph drop-down menu.
3. Select the CUSUM option. The dialog box CUSUM Control
Chart, shown in Figure 11.28, immediately appears.
4. Select the Two Sided check box.
5. Click the Specify Stats button.
6. Enter the target value = 20, standard deviation = 2, and Delta = 1.
7. Select OK and the CUSUM control chart consistent with the
data from Table 5.1 will be generated.
Figure 11.29
3/8/07 12:39:58 PM
Figure 11.30
3/8/07 12:39:58 PM
290
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.31
3/8/07 12:39:59 PM
Figure 11.32
we can click Specify Stats if we want to specify a mean and standard deviation for the process variable. We then select OK to generate the chart. We
illustrate how to create an EWMA chart with the following example.
Example 11.11 Consider the data in Table 5.4 of Example 5.3 in Chapter 5 on
the manufacturing process of auto parts. Design an EWMA control chart for these
data with = 0.20, L = 2.962, 0 = 20, and = 2 and interpret the results.
Solution:
1. Enter the sample number and data in Table 5.4 in columns 1
and 2, respectively, of the data table.
2. Select Control Chart from the Graph drop-down menu.
3. Select the EWMA option. The dialog box EWMA Control
Chart, shown in Figure 11.33, immediately appears.
4. Assign the process and sample variables.
5. Enter the desired weighting factor (0.2 in this case).
6. Click the Specify Stats button.
7. Assign the process mean and standard deviation.
8. Select OK and the EWMA control chart consistent with the
data from Table 5.4 will be generated.
3/8/07 12:39:59 PM
292
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.33
(11.1)
Assume now that the true value of the quality characteristic and the measurement error are normally distributed with mean and 0 and variances 2p and
2m , respectively. Then it can easily be shown that
2t = 2p + m2 ,
(11.2)
2t
where
is the variance of the total observed values. Furthermore, the error
variance 2m usually consists of two components: one due to gage variation
3/8/07 12:40:00 PM
3/8/07 12:40:00 PM
294
Chapter Eleven
Bolt
(Parts)
Number
Operator 2
Operator 3
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
Trial
1
Trial
2
Trial
3
26
22
26
21
23
21
24
22
26
28
26
28
24
29
26
24
25
24
28
31
28
28
27
28
32
30
27
35
33
31
35
31
30
34
35
31
37
35
38
36
38
35
35
34
35
40
38
40
40
38
40
36
37
38
39
42
41
40
39
43
43
41
43
42
43
46
42
46
42
43
44
45
50
52
50
53
52
53
49
53
49
10
Operator 1
Trial
1
28
31
28
R 1 = 3.0 x 1 = 35.33
28
27
28
R 2 = 2.5 x 2 = 34.67
32
30
27
R 3 = 3.0 x 3 = 34.93
3/8/07 6:25:14 PM
Figure 11.34
Figure 11.35
3/8/07 12:40:00 PM
296
Chapter Eleven
Figure 11.36
Figure 11.37
3/8/07 12:40:01 PM
Figure 11.38
Variance Components
Component
Var Component
Operator
0.000000
Bolt
Operator*Bolt
Within
Total
Figure 11.39
Variance components.
Figure 11.40
% of Total Plot%
Sqrt(Var Comp)
0.0
0.0000
75.935665
95.9
8.7141
0.322222
0.4069
0.5676
2.922222
3.7
1.7095
79.180110
100.0
8.8983
3/8/07 12:40:02 PM
298
Chapter Eleven
Gage R&R
Measurement
Variation
which is k*sqrt of
Repeatability
V(Within)
Operator*Bolt
(IV)
V(Operator*Bolt)
V(Operator) + V(Operator*Bolt)
Reproducibility (AV)
Gage R&R
Part Variation
V(Bolt)
Total Variation
6 K
20.2424 % Gage R&R = 100*(RR/TV)
0.2067 Precision to Part Variation = RR/PV
6 Number of Distinct Categories = 1.41(PV/RR)
Using column Operator for Operator, and column Bolt for Part.
Var Component
Gage R&R
Repeatability
Reproducibility
Part-to-Part
Figure 11.41
% of Total Plot%
3.244444
4.10
2.922222
3.69
0.322222
0.41
75.935665
95.90
3/8/07 12:40:03 PM
Appendix
Statistical Factors and Tables
299
3/8/07 12:57:06 PM
300
Appendix
Table A.1
Random numbers.
051407
989018
492019
104768
575186
245627
286990
734378
453966
057822
269053
276922
626639
672429
195157
261315
654257
422375
431234
118589
367431
749277
842766
168999
210133
816278
847625
664969
065701
024018
124630
013237
179229
435437
550763
752891
089084
292255
199266
557418
235703
291002
385271
207907
360800
276579
676139
769805
783328
436849
690077
456559
436334
395621
700837
781531
186054
821361
983046
055051
064522
297716
600883
381178
169364
100801
596694
928310
703015
277547
764938
805569
604184
977595
363240
078850
996467
690208
334904
842078
875941
644067
510442
811601
829395
040948
746376
609475
676581
258998
758163
303864
360595
406956
613170
659663
165049
285017
508337
823585
805127
590014
144389
672585
094987
111625
331838
818612
481421
401552
525959
799809
141968
625825
297508
334761
860898
960450
785312
746866
351524
456015
143766
420487
368857
730553
815900
317512
047606
283084
940666
599608
558502
853032
057656
056246
479494
975590
713502
116101
557125
106544
069601
752609
897074
240681
209045
145960
683943
437854
190980
359006
623535
763922
122217
220988
416186
312541
738818
490698
992339
518042
207523
781965
792693
594357
758633
193427
143471
502953
915848
881688
291695
447687
462282
802405
706686
055756
580658
814693
197116
180139
716829
291097
056602
424613
236547
415732
423617
644397
118122
936037
305685
509440
108748
215414
684961
684762
362416
133571
283321
359369
900968
211269
865878
952056
233151
978019
775520
968944
474018
149319
582300
362831
346320
692174
547654
948322
384851
801187
809947
466717
020564
975865
223465
112251
403475
222629
379671
270475
224102
479858
549809
622585
751051
468493
018852
493268
146506
178368
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:06 PM
Table A.1
(continued)
Random numbers.
366694
104709
967459
251556
079166
652152
505645
639175
028598
404765
734814
311724
026072
962867
814804
190999
740559
023023
327014
811488
319937
808873
539157
307523
098627
909137
770359
114529
881772
145209
036430
039847
167620
072545
428240
600695
003392
565195
332140
503965
894345
168655
706409
748967
876037
365212
660673
571480
558421
426590
227929
567801
552407
365578
580152
897712
858336
400702
406915
830437
720918
315830
269847
043686
006433
277134
378624
907969
762816
959970
291797
701820
728789
699785
715058
750720
536696
611293
544362
402326
564482
758563
645279
943094
588786
125794
749337
615120
568039
899783
236422
473016
993530
507143
335475
436568
798873
027549
940155
530141
689701
926465
003731
242454
058491
385395
519231
042314
955428
238312
857239
581295
661440
496859
529204
410573
528164
003660
587030
270332
209684
798568
429214
353484
193667
287780
342053
706113
193544
818766
780527
198360
307604
179501
891015
513358
300694
204837
681840
231955
753734
619631
790026
637123
101453
454308
147441
686401
027541
945805
823316
720549
567136
213060
266102
621525
708377
251598
278505
802855
967448
479578
890643
687587
046236
580267
798545
062865
752600
335860
582204
247423
235450
566691
086168
455891
197764
140909
747406
253775
801682
781300
754834
224141
068082
893656
002893
039025
414661
882745
386489
999069
053767
557623
688263
306146
836909
609168
823938
499821
242456
974476
979505
641408
240580
428127
532147
666926
018437
291907
935535
398184
874762
563669
548471
998446
436267
489528
430501
311211
838423
749391
911628
800272
143947
918833
130208
783122
827365
308491
821829
694139
038590
889019
212883
739878
121333
242205
312241
777086
589642
722828
677276
169636
465933
525376
836387
969518
231291
330460
634530
779956
167305
517950
851658
764485
341043
689067
402153
061227
3/8/07 12:57:06 PM
2.12130
1.73205
1.50000
1.34164
1.22474
1.13389
1.06066
1.00000
0.94868
0.90453
0.86603
0.83205
0.80178
0.77460
0.75000
0.72761
0.70711
0.68825
0.67082
0.65465
0.63960
0.62554
0.61237
0.60000
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
0.15263
0.15869
0.16214
0.16748
0.17328
0.17960
0.18657
0.19426
0.20279
0.21234
0.22310
0.23533
0.24942
0.26582
0.28507
0.30821
0.33670
0.37255
0.41934
0.48332
0.57680
0.72851
1.02307
1.88060
A2
0.60628
0.61906
0.63269
0.64726
0.66289
0.67970
0.69787
0.71758
0.73905
0.76260
0.78854
0.81734
0.84954
0.88591
0.92739
0.97535
1.03166
1.09910
1.18191
1.28713
1.42729
1.62810
1.95440
2.65870
A3
0.98964
0.98919
0.98870
0.98817
0.98758
0.98693
0.98621
0.98541
0.98451
0.98348
0.98232
0.98097
0.97941
0.97756
0.97535
0.97266
0.96931
0.96503
0.95937
0.95153
0.93999
0.92132
0.88623
0.79788
C4
1.01047
1.01093
1.01143
1.01197
1.01258
1.01324
1.01398
1.01481
1.01573
1.01680
1.01800
1.01940
1.02102
1.02296
1.02527
1.02811
1.03166
1.03624
1.04235
1.05094
1.06384
1.08540
1.12838
1.25332
1/C4
0.56478
0.55527
0.54514
0.53440
0.52272
0.51015
0.49656
0.48185
0.46574
0.44783
0.42826
0.40622
0.38162
0.35352
0.32128
0.28372
0.23912
0.18508
0.11770
0.03033
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
B3
B4
1.43522
1.44473
1.45486
1.46560
1.47728
1.48985
1.50344
1.51815
1.53426
1.55217
1.57174
1.59378
1.61838
1.64648
1.67872
1.71628
1.76088
1.81492
1.88230
1.96967
2.08895
2.26603
2.56814
3.26657
Table A.2
B5
0.55893
0.54927
0.53898
0.52808
0.51623
0.50348
0.48971
0.47482
0.45852
0.44043
0.42069
0.39849
0.37377
0.34559
0.31336
0.27596
0.23179
0.17861
0.11292
0.02886
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
0.00000
B6
1.42035
1.42911
1.43842
1.44826
1.45893
1.47038
1.48271
1.49600
1.51050
1.52653
1.54395
1.56345
1.58505
1.60953
1.63734
1.66936
1.70683
1.75145
1.80582
1.87420
1.96360
2.08774
2.27597
2.60633
d2
3.931
3.859
3.858
3.819
3.778
3.735
3.689
3.640
3.588
3.532
3.472
3.407
3.336
3.258
3.173
3.078
2.970
2.847
2.704
2.534
2.326
2.059
1.693
1.128
1/d2
0.25439
0.25913
0.25920
0.26185
0.26469
0.26774
0.27108
0.27473
0.27871
0.28313
0.28802
0.29351
0.29976
0.30694
0.31516
0.32489
0.33670
0.35125
0.36982
0.39463
0.42992
0.48567
0.59067
0.88652
d3
0.708
0.712
0.716
0.720
0.724
0.729
0.734
0.739
0.744
0.750
0.756
0.763
0.770
0.778
0.787
0.797
0.808
0.820
0.833
0.848
0.864
0.880
0.888
0.853
D1
1.807
1.723
1.710
1.659
1.606
1.548
1.487
1.423
1.356
1.282
1.204
1.118
1.026
0.924
0.812
0.687
0.546
0.387
0.205
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
D2
6.055
5.995
6.006
5.979
5.950
5.922
5.891
5.857
5.820
5.782
5.740
5.696
5.646
5.592
5.534
5.469
5.394
5.307
5.203
5.078
4.918
4.699
4.357
3.687
D3
0.4597
0.4465
0.4432
0.4344
0.4251
0.4145
0.4031
0.3909
0.3779
0.3630
0.3468
0.3282
0.3076
0.2836
0.2559
0.2232
0.1838
0.1359
0.0758
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
D4
1.54032
1.55351
1.55677
1.56559
1.57491
1.58554
1.59691
1.60907
1.62207
1.63703
1.65323
1.67185
1.69245
1.71639
1.74409
1.77680
1.81616
1.86407
1.92419
2.00395
2.11436
2.28218
2.57354
3.26862
302
Appendix
3/8/07 12:57:07 PM
3.01
3.01
4.02
4.19
4.26
4.33
4.36
4.40
4.44
4.44
4.44
4.44
4.48
4.48
4.48
4.48
4.56
10
11
12
13
14
15
n 16
2.50
2.49
2.49
2.49
2.49
2.48
2.48
2.48
2.48
2.46
2.46
2.45
2.44
2.43
2.40
2.30
3.05
3.01
3.01
3.01
2.99
2.99
2.99
2.98
2.98
2.96
2.94
2.91
2.85
2.70
3.65
2.21
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.19
2.19
2.19
2.18
2.17
2.16
2.15
2.08
2.04
2.03
2.03
2.02
2.02
2.02
2.02
2.02
2.02
2.02
2.01
2.01
2.00
2.00
1.98
1.93
1.91
1.90
1.90
1.90
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.88
1.87
1.86
1.82
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.80
1.80
1.80
1.79
1.79
1.79
1.79
1.79
1.78
1.77
1.74
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.73
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.71
1.71
1.67
Number of Trials
Table A.3
10
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.66
1.66
1.66
1.66
1.66
1.65
1.62
11
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.61
1.61
1.61
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.60
1.57
12
1.58
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.56
1.54
13
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.54
1.53
1.53
1.52
1.51
14
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.51
1.50
1.50
1.49
1.48
15
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.47
1.47
1.47
3/8/07 12:57:08 PM
304
Appendix
Table A.4
10
11
12
13
14
15
2.70 2.30 2.08 1.93 1.82 1.74 1.67 1.62 1.57 1.54 1.51 1.48 1.47
Table A.5
Binomial probabilities.
n
p
n
.05
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
.95
.950
.900
.800
.700
.600
.500
.400
.300
.200
.100
.050
.050
.100
.200
.300
.400
.500
.600
.700
.800
.900
.950
.902
.810
.640
.490
.360
.250
.160
.090
.040
.010
.003
.095
.180
.320
.420
.480
.500
.480
.420
.320
.180
.095
.003
.010
.040
.090
.160
.250
.360
.490
.640
.810
.902
.857
.729
.512
.343
.216
.125
.064
.027
.008
.001
.000
.136
.243
.384
.441
.432
.375
.288
.189
.096
.027
.007
.007
.027
.096
.189
.288
.375
.432
.441
.384
.243
.135
.000
.001
.008
.027
.064
.125
.216
.343
.512
.729
.857
.815
.656
.410
.240
.130
.062
.025
.008
.002
.000
.000
.171
.292
.410
.412
.346
.250
.154
.076
.026
.004
.001
.014
.048
.154
.265
.345
.375
.346
.264
.154
.048
.014
.000
.004
.025
.075
.154
.250
.346
.412
.409
.292
.171
.000
.000
.001
.008
.025
.063
.129
.240
.409
.656
.815
.774
.591
.328
.168
.078
.031
.010
.002
.000
.000
.000
.204
.328
.410
.360
.259
.156
.077
.028
.006
.001
.000
.021
.073
.205
.309
.346
.312
.230
.132
.051
.008
.001
.001
.008
.051
.132
.230
.312
.346
.308
.205
.073
.021
.000
.000
.006
.028
.077
.156
.259
.360
.410
.328
.204
.000
.000
.000
.003
.010
.031
.078
.168
.328
.590
.774
.735
.531
.262
.118
.047
.016
.004
.001
.000
.000
.000
.232
.354
.393
.302
.187
.094
.037
.010
.002
.000
.000
.031
.098
.246
.324
.311
.234
.138
.059
.015
.001
.000
.002
.015
.082
.185
.276
.313
.277
.185
.082
.015
.002
.000
.001
.015
.059
.138
.234
.311
.324
.246
.098
.031
.000
.000
.002
.010
.037
.094
.186
.302
.393
.354
.232
.000
.000
.000
.001
.004
.015
.047
.118
.262
.531
.735
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:08 PM
Table A.5
Binomial probabilities.
(continued)
p
n
.05
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
.95
.698
.478
.210
.082
.028
.008
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.257
.372
.367
.247
.131
.055
.017
.004
.000
.000
.000
.041
.124
.275
.318
.261
.164
.077
.025
.004
.000
.000
.004
.023
.115
.227
.290
.273
.194
.097
.029
.003
.000
.000
.003
.029
.097
.194
.273
.290
.227
.115
.023
.004
.000
.000
.004
.025
.077
.164
.261
.318
.275
.124
.041
.000
.000
.000
.004
.017
.055
.131
.247
.367
.372
.257
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.008
.028
.082
.210
.478
.698
10
.663
.430
.168
.058
.017
.004
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.279
.383
.335
.198
.089
.031
.008
.001
.000
.000
.000
.052
.149
.294
.296
.209
.109
.041
.010
.001
.000
.000
.005
.033
.147
.254
.279
.219
.124
.048
.009
.000
.000
.000
.005
.046
.136
.232
.273
.232
.136
.046
.005
.000
.000
.000
.009
.047
.124
.219
.279
.254
.147
.033
.005
.000
.000
.001
.010
.041
.110
.209
.296
.294
.149
.052
.000
.000
.000
.001
.008
.031
.089
.198
.335
.383
.279
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.004
.017
.057
.168
.430
.664
.630
.387
.134
.040
.010
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.298
.387
.302
.156
.061
.018
.004
.000
.000
.000
.000
.063
.172
.302
.267
.161
.070
.021
.004
.000
.000
.000
.008
.045
.176
.267
.251
.164
.074
.021
.003
.000
.000
.001
.007
.066
.172
.251
.246
.167
.073
.017
.001
.000
.000
.001
.017
.073
.167
.246
.251
.172
.066
.007
.001
.000
.000
.003
.021
.074
.164
.251
.267
.176
.045
.008
.000
.000
.000
.004
.021
.070
.161
.267
.302
.172
.063
.000
.000
.000
.000
.004
.018
.060
.156
.302
.387
.298
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.010
.040
.134
.387
.630
.599
.349
.107
.028
.006
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.315
.387
.268
.121
.040
.010
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.075
.194
.302
.234
.121
.044
.011
.001
.000
.000
.000
.010
.057
.201
.267
.215
.117
.042
.009
.001
.000
.000
.001
.011
.088
.200
.251
.205
.111
.037
.006
.000
.000
(continued)
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:09 PM
306
Appendix
Table A.5
Binomial probabilities.
(continued)
p
n
.05
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
.95
.000
.002
.026
.103
.201
.246
.201
.103
.026
.002
.000
.000
.000
.006
.037
.111
.205
.251
.200
.088
.011
.001
.000
.000
.001
.009
.042
.117
.215
.267
.201
.057
.011
.000
.000
.000
.001
.011
.044
.121
.234
.302
.194
.075
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.010
.040
.121
.268
.387
.315
10
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.006
.028
.107
.349
.599
.569
.314
.086
.020
.004
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.329
.384
.236
.093
.027
.005
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.087
.213
.295
.200
.089
.027
.005
.001
.000
.000
.000
.014
.071
.222
.257
.177
.081
.023
.004
.000
.000
.000
.001
.016
.111
.220
.237
.161
.070
.017
.002
.000
.000
.000
.003
.039
.132
.221
.226
.147
.057
.010
.000
.000
.000
.000
.010
.057
.147
.226
.221
.132
.039
.003
.000
.000
.000
.002
.017
.070
.161
.237
.220
.111
.016
.001
.000
.000
.000
.004
.023
.081
.177
.257
.222
.071
.014
.000
.000
.000
.001
.005
.027
.089
.200
.295
.213
.087
10
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.005
.027
.093
.236
.384
.329
11
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.004
.020
.086
.314
.569
.540
.282
.069
.014
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.341
.377
.206
.071
.017
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.099
.230
.283
.168
.064
.016
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
:017
.085
.236
.240
.142
.054
.012
.002
.000
.000
.000
.002
.021
.133
.231
.213
.121
.042
.008
.001
.000
.000
.000
.004
.053
.159
.227
.193
.101
.030
.003
.000
.000
.000
.001
.016
.079
.177
.226
.177
.079
.016
.001
.000
.000
.000
.003
.029
.101
.193
.227
.159
.053
.004
.000
.000
.000
.001
.008
.042
.121
.213
.231
.133
.021
.002
.000
.000
.000
.001
.013
.054
.142
.240
.236
.085
.017
10
.000
.000
.000
.000
.003
.016
.064
.168
.283
.230
.099
11
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.003
.017
.071
.206
.377
.341
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.014
.069
.282 .540
(continued)
11
12
3/8/07 12:57:09 PM
Table A.5
Binomial probabilities.
(continued)
p
n
.05
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
.95
13
.513
.254
.055
.010
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.351
.367
.179
.054
.011
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.111
.245
.268
.139
.045
.010
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.021
.010
.246
.218
.111
.035
.007
.001
.000
.000
.000
.003
.028
.154
.234
.185
.087
.024
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.006
.069
.180
.221
.157
.066
.014
.001
.000
.000
.000
.001
.023
.103
.197
.210
.131
.044
.006
.000
.000
.000
.000
.006
.044
.131
.210
.197
.103
.023
.001
.000
.000
.000
.001
.014
.066
.157
.221
.180
.069
.006
.000
.000
.000
.000
.003
.024
.087
.184
.234
.154
.028
.003
10
.000
.000
.000
.001
.007
.035
.111
.218
.246
.100
.021
11
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.010
.045
.139
.268
.245
.111
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.011
.054
.179
.367
.351
13
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.0100
.055
.254
.513
.488
.229
.044
.007
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.359
.356
.154
.041
.007
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.123
.257
.250
.113
.032
.006
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.026
.114
.250
.194
.085
.022
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.004
.035
.172
.229
.155
.061
.014
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.008
.086
.196
.207
.122
.041
.007
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.032
.126
.207
.183
.092
.023
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.009
.062
.157
.210
.157
.062
.010
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.023
.092
.183
.207
.126
.032
.001
.000
14
.000
.000
.0003
.0066
.0408
.1222
.2066
.1963
.0860
.0078 .000
10
.000
.000
.000
.001
.014
.061
.155
.229
.172
.035
.004
11
.000
.000
.000
.000
.003
.022
.085
.194
.250
.114
.026
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.006
.032
.113
.250
.257
.123
13
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.007
.041
.154
.356
.359
14
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.007
.044
.229
.488
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:10 PM
308
Appendix
Table A.5
Binomial probabilities.
(continued)
p
n
.05
.10
.20
.30
.40
.50
.60
.70
.80
.90
.95
15
.463
.206
.035
.005
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.366
.343
.132
.031
.005
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.135
.267
.231
.092
.022
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.031
.129
.250
.170
.063
.014
.002
.000
.000
.000
.000
.005
.043
.188
.219
.127
.042
.007
.001
.000
.000
.000
.001
.011
.103
.206
.186
.092
.025
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.043
.147
.207
.153
.061
.012
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.014
.081
.177
.196
.118
.035
.004
.000
.000
.000
.000
.004
.035
.118
.196
.177
.081
.014
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.012
.061
.153
.207
.147
.043
.002
.000
10
.000
.000
.000
.003
.025
.092
.186
.206
.103
.011
.001
11
.000
.000
.000
.001
.007
.042
.127
.219
.188
.043
.005
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.014
.063
.170
.250
.129
.031
13
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.003
.022
.092
.231
.267
.135
14
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.005
.031
.132
.343
.366
15
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.005
.035
.206
.463
3/8/07 12:57:11 PM
Table A.6
Poisson probabilities.
e x
.
x!
k
x
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
.905
.819
.741
.670
.607
.549
.497
.449
.407
.368
.091
.164
.222
.268
.303
.329
.348
.360
.366
.368
.005
.016
.033
.054
.076
.099
.122
.144
.165
.184
.000
.001
.003
.007
.013
.020
.028
.038
.049
.061
.000
.000
.000
.000
.002
.003
.005
.008
.011
.015
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.002
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
k
x
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
.333
.301
.273
.247
.223
.202
.183
.165
.150
.135
.366
.361
.354
.345
.335
.323
.311
.298
.284
.271
.201
.217
.230
.242
.251
.258
.264
.268
.270
.271
.074
.087
.100
.113
.126
.138
.150
.161
.171
.180
.020
.026
.032
.040
.047
.055
.064
.072
.081
.090
.005
.006
.008
.011
.014
.018
.022
.026
.031
.036
.001
.001
.002
.003
.004
.005
.006
.008
.010
.012
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
.003
.003
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
k
x
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
.123
.111
.100
.091
.082
.074
.067
.061
.055
.050
.257
.244
.231
.218
.205
.193
.182
.170
.160
.149
.270
.268
.265
.261
.257
.251
.245
.238
.231
.224
.189
.197
.203
.209
.214
.218
.221
.223
.224
.224
.099
.108
.117
.125
.134
.141
.149
.156
.162
.168
.042
.048
.054
.060
.067
.074
.080
.087
.094
.101
.015
.017
.021
.024
.028
.032
.036
.041
.046
.050
.004
.006
.007
.008
.010
.012
.014
.016
.019
.022
.001
.002
.002
.003
.003
.004
.005
.006
.007
.008
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:11 PM
310
Appendix
Table A.6
(continued)
Poisson probabilities.
e x
.
x!
k
x
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
.003
10
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
11
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
.045
.041
.037
.033
.030
.027
.025
.022
.020
.018
.140
.130
.122
.114
.106
.098
.092
.085
.079
.073
.217
.209
.201
.193
.185
.177
.169
.162
.154
.147
.224
.223
.221
.219
.213
.209
.205
.200
.195
.195
.173
.178
.182
.186
.191
.193
.194
.195
.195
.195
.107
.114
.120
.132
.138
.143
.148
.152
.156
.156
.056
.061
.066
.077
.083
.088
.094
.099
.104
.104
.025
.028
.031
.039
.043
.047
.051
.055
.060
.060
.010
.011
.013
.017
.019
.022
.024
.027
.030
.030
.003
.004
.005
.007
.008
.009
.010
.012
.013
.013
10
.001
.001
.002
.002
.002
.003
.003
.004
.005
.005
11
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
12
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
13
.000
.000
.0000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
14
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
.017
.015
.014
.012
.011
.010
.009
.008
.007
.007
.068
.063
.058
.054
.050
.046
.043
.040
.037
.034
.139
.132
.125
.119
.113
.106
.101
.095
.089
.084
.190
.185
.180
.174
.169
.163
.157
.152
.146
.140
.195
.194
.193
.192
.190
.188
.185
.182
.179
.176
.160
.163
.166
.169
.171
.173
.174
.175
.175
.176
.109
.114
.119
.124
.128
.132
.136
.140
.143
.146
.064
.069
.073
.078
.082
.087
.091
.096
.100
.104
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:12 PM
Table A.6
(continued)
Poisson probabilities.
e x
.
x!
k
x
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
.033
.036
.039
.043
.046
.050
.054
.058
.061
.065
.015
.017
.019
.021
.023
.026
.028
.031
.033
.036
10
.006
.007
.008
.009
.010
.012
.013
.015
.016
.018
11
.002
.003
.003
.004
.004
.005
.006
.006
.007
.008
12
.009
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
.002
.003
.003
.003
13
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
14
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
15
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
k
x
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
5.9
6.0
.006
.006
.005
.005
.004
.004
.003
.003
.003
.002
.031
.029
.027
.024
.022
.021
.019
.018
.016
.015
.079
.075
.070
.066
.062
.058
.054
.051
.048
.045
.135
.129
.124
.119
.113
.108
.103
.099
.094
.089
.172
.168
.164
.160
.156
.152
.147
.143
.138
.134
.175
.175
.174
.173
.171
.170
.168
.166
.163
.161
.149
.151
.154
.156
.157
.158
.159
.160
.161
.161
.109
.113
.116
.120
.123
.127
.130
.133
.135
.138
.069
.073
.077
.081
.085
.089
.093
.096
.100
.103
.039
.042
.045
.049
.052
.055
.059
.062
.065
.069
10
.020
.022
.024
.026
.029
.031
.033
.036
.039
.041
11
.009
.010
.012
.013
.014
.016
.017
.019
.021
.023
12
.004
.005
.005
.006
.007
.007
.008
.009
.010
.011
13
.002
.002
.002
.002
.003
.003
.004
.004
.005
.005
14
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
.002
.002
15
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
.001
.001
16
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
17
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:12 PM
312
Appendix
Table A.6
Poisson probabilities.
(continued)
e x
.
x!
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
7.0
.002
.002
.002
.002
.002
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.014
.013
.012
.011
.010
.010
.008
.008
.007
.007
.042
.040
.036
.034
.032
.029
.028
.026
.024
.022
.085
.081
.077
.073
.069
.065
.062
.058
.055
.052
.129
.125
.121
.116
.112
.108
.103
.099
.095
.091
.158
.155
.152
.149
.145
.142
.139
.135
.131
.128
.160
.160
.159
.159
.158
.156
.155
.153
.151
.149
.140
.142
.144
.145
.146
.147
.148
.149
.149
.149
.107
.110
.113
.116
.119
.122
.124
.126
.128
.130
.072
.076
.079
.083
.086
.089
.092
.095
.098
.101
10
.044
.047
.050
.053
.056
.059
.062
.065
.068
.071
11
.024
.026
.029
.031
.033
.035
.038
.040
.043
.045
12
.012
.014
.015
.016
.018
.019
.021
.023
.025
.026
13
.006
.007
.007
.008
.009
.010
.011
.012
.013
.014
14
.003
.003
.003
.004
.004
.005
.005
.006
.006
.007
15
.001
.001
.001
.002
.002
.002
.002
.003
.003
.003
16
.000
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
17
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.001
.001
18
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
19
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
3/8/07 12:57:13 PM
Table A.7
Tabulated values are P(0 Z z) = shaded area under the standard normal
curve.
.00
.01
.02
.03
.04
.05
.06
.07
.08
.09
0.0
.0000 .0040 .0080 .0120 .0160 .0199 .0239 .0279 .0319 .0359
0.1
.0398 .0438 .0478 .0517 .0557 .0596 .0636 .0675 .0714 .0753
0.2
.0793 .0832 .0871 .0910 .0948 .0987 .1026 .1064 .1103 .1141
0.3
.1179 .1217 .1255 .1293 .1331 .1368 .1406 .1443 .1480 .1517
0.4
.1554 .1591 .1628 .1664 .1700 .1736 .1772 .1808 .1844 .1879
0.5
.1915 .1950 .1985 .2019 .2054 .2088 .2123 .2157 .2190 .2224
0.6
.2257 .2291 .2324 .2357 .2389 .2422 .2454 .2486 .2517 .2549
0.7
.2580 .2611 .2642 .2673 .2704 .2734 .2764 .2794 .2823 .2852
0.8
.2881 .2910 .2939 .2967 .2995 .3023 .3051 .3078 .3106 .3133
0.9
.3159 .3186 .3212 .3238 .3264 .3289 .3315 .3340 .3365 .3389
1.0
.3413 .3438 .3461 .3485 .3508 .3531 .3554 .3577 .3599 .3621
1.1
.3643 .3665 .3686 .3708 .3729 .3749 .3770 .3790 .3810 .3830
1.2
.3849 .3869 .3888 .3907 .3925 .3944 .3962 .3980 .3997 .4015
1.3
.4032 .4049 .4066 .4082 .4099 .4115 .4131 .4147 .4162 .4177
1.4
.4192 .4207 .4222 .4236 .4251 .4265 .4279 .4292 .4306 .4319
1.5
.4332 .4345 .4357 .4370 .4382 .4394 .4406 .4418 .4429 .4441
1.6
.4452 .4463 .4474 .4484 .4495 .4505 .4515 .4525 .4535 .4545
1.7
.4554 .4564 .4573 .4582 .4591 .4599 .4608 .4616 .4625 .4633
1.8
.4641 .4649 .4656 .4664 .4671 .4678 .4686 .4693 .4699 .4706
1.9
.4713 .4719 .4726 .4732 .4738 .4744 .4750 .4756 .4761 .4767
2.0
.4772 .4778 .4783 .4788 .4793 .4798 .4803 .4808 .4812 .4817
2.1
.4821 .4826 .4830 .4834 .4838 .4842 .4846 .4850 .4854 .4857
2.2
.4861 .4864 .4868 .4871 .4875 .4878 .4881 .4884 .4887 .4890
2.3
.4893 .4896 .4898 .4901 .4904 .4906 .4909 .4911 .4913 .4916
2.4
.4918 .4920 .4922 .4925 .4927 .4929 .4931 .4932 .4934 .4936
2.5
.4938 .4940 .4941 .4943 .4945 .4946 .4948 .4949 .4951 .4952
2.6
.4953 .4955 .4956 .4957 .4959 .4960 .4961 .4962 .4963 .4964
2.7
.4965 .4966 .4967 .4968 .4969 .4970 .4971 .4972 .4973 .4974
2.8
.4974 .4975 .4976 .4977 .4977 .4978 .4979 .4979 .4980 .4981
2.9
.4981 .4982 .4982 .4983 .4984 .4984 .4985 .4985 .4986 .4986
3.0
.4987 .4987 .4987 .4988 .4988 .4989 .4989 .4989 .4990 .4990
For negative values of z, the probabilities are found by using the symmetric
property.
3/8/07 12:57:13 PM
314
Appendix
Table A.8
2
G
20.995
20.990
20.975
20.950
20.900
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
50
60
0.00004
0.0100
0.0717
0.2070
0.4117
0.6757
0.9893
1.3444
1.7349
2.1559
2.6032
3.0738
3.5650
4.0747
4.6009
5.1422
5.6972
6.2648
6.8440
7.4339
8.0337
8.6427
9.2604
9.8862
10.5197
11.1603
11.8076
12.4613
13.1211
13.7867
20.7065
27.9907
35.5346
0.00016
0.0201
0.1148
0.2971
0.5543
0.8720
1.2390
1.6465
2.0879
2.5582
3.0535
3.5706
4.1069
4.6604
5.2294
5.8122
6.4078
7.0149
7.6327
8.2604
8.8972
9.5425
10.1957
10.8564
11.5240
12.1981
12.8786
13.5648
14.2565
14.9535
22.1643
29.7067
37.4848
0.00098
0.0506
0.2158
0.4844
0.8312
1.2373
1.6899
2.1797
2.7004
3.2470
3.8158
4.4038
5.0087
5.6287
6.2621
6.9077
7.5642
8.2308
8.9066
9.5908
10.2829
10.9823
11.6885
12.4011
13.1197
13.8439
14.5733
15.3079
16.0471
16.7908
24.4331
32.3574
40.4817
0.00393
0.1026
0.3518
0.7107
1.1455
1.6354
2.1674
2.7326
3.3251
3.9403
4.5748
5.2260
5.8919
6.5706
7.2609
7.9616
8.6718
9.3905
10.1170
10.8508
11.5913
12.3380
13.0905
13.8484
14.6114
15.3791
16.1513
16.9279
17.7083
18.4926
26.5093
34.7642
43.1879
0.01589
0.2107
0.5844
1.0636
1.6103
2.2041
2.8331
3.4895
4.1682
4.8652
5.5778
6.3038
7.0415
7.7895
8.5468
9.3122
10.085
10.865
11.6509
12.4426
13.2396
14.0415
14.8479
15.6587
16.4734
17.2919
18.1138
18.9392
19.7677
20.5992
29.0505
37.6886
46.4589
70
80
90
100
43.2752
51.1720
59.1963
67.3276
45.4418
53.5400
61.7541
70.0648
48.7576
57.1532
65.6466
74.2219
51.7393
60.3915
69.1260
77.9295
55.3290
64.2778
73.2912
82.3581
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:14 PM
Table A.8
(continued)
2
G
20.100
2
0.050
2
0.025
2
0.010
2
0.005
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2.7055
4.6052
6.2514
7.7794
9.2364
10.6446
12.0170
13.3616
14.6837
15.9871
17.2750
18.5494
19.8119
21.0642
22.3072
23.5418
24.7690
25.9894
27.2036
28.4120
29.6151
30.8133
32.0069
33.1963
34.3816
35.5631
36.7412
37.9159
39.0875
40.2560
51.8050
63.1671
74.3970
85.5271
96.5782
107.5650
118.4980
3.8415
5.9915
7.8147
9.4877
11.0705
12.5916
14.0671
15.5073
16.9190
18.3070
19.6751
21.0261
22.3621
23.6848
24.9958
26.2962
27.5871
28.8693
30.1435
31.4104
32.6705
33.9244
35.1725
36.4151
37.6525
38.8852
40.1133
41.3372
42.5569
43.7729
55.7585
67.5048
79.0819
90.5312
101.8795
113.1452
124.3421
5.0239
7.3778
9.3484
11.1433
12.8325
14.4494
16.0128
17.5346
19.0228
20.4831
21.9200
23.3367
24.7356
26.1190
27.4884
28.8454
30.1910
31.5264
32.8523
34.1696
35.4789
36.7807
38.0757
39.3641
40.6465
41.9232
43.1944
44.4607
45.7222
46.9792
59.3417
71.4202
83.2976
95.0231
106.6285
118.1360
129.5613
6.6349
9.2103
11.3449
13.2767
15.0863
16.8119
18.4753
20.0902
21.6660
23.2093
24.7250
26.2170
27.6883
29.1413
30.5779
31.9999
33.4087
34.8053
36.1908
37.5662
38.9321
40.2894
41.6384
42.9798
44.3141
45.6417
46.9630
48.2782
49.5879
50.8922
63.6907
76.1539
88.3794
100.4251
112.3288
124.1162
135.8070
7.8794
10.5966
12.8381
14.8602
16.7496
18.5476
20.2777
21.9550
23.5893
25.1882
26.7569
28.2995
29.8194
31.3193
32.8013
34.2672
35.7185
37.1564
38.5822
39.9968
41.4010
42.7956
44.1813
45.5585
46.9278
48.2899
49.6449
50.9933
52.3356
53.6720
66.7659
79.4900
91.9517
104.2148
116.3210
128.2290
140.1697
3/8/07 12:57:14 PM
316
Appendix
Table A.9
t ,A
t.100
t.050
t.025
t.010
t.005
t.0005
3.078
6.314
12.706
31.821
63.657
636.619
1.886
2.920
4.303
6.965
9.925
31.599
1.638
2.353
3.182
4.541
5.841
12.924
1.533
2.132
2.776
3.747
4.604
8.610
1.476
2.015
2.571
3.365
4.032
6.869
1.440
1.943
2.447
3.143
3.707
5.959
1.415
1.895
2.365
2.998
3.499
5.408
1.397
1.860
2.306
2.896
3.355
5.041
1.383
1.833
2.262
2.821
3.250
4.781
10
1.372
1.812
2.228
2.764
3.169
4.587
11
1.363
1.796
2.201
2.718
3.106
4.437
12
1.356
1.782
2.179
2.681
3.055
4.318
13
1.350
1.771
2.160
2.650
3.012
4.221
14
1.345
1.761
2.145
2.624
2.977
4.140
15
1.341
1.753
2.131
2.602
2.947
4.073
16
1.337
1.746
2.120
2.583
2.921
4.015
17
1.333
1.740
2.110
2.567
2.898
3.965
18
1.330
1.734
2.101
2.552
2.878
3.922
19
1.328
1.729
2.093
2.539
2.861
3.883
20
1.325
1.725
2.086
2.528
2.845
3.850
21
1.323
1.721
2.080
2.518
2.831
3.819
22
1.321
1.717
2.074
2.508
2.819
3.792
23
1.319
1.714
2.069
2.500
2.807
3.768
24
1.318
1.711
2.064
2.492
2.797
3.745
25
1.316
1.708
2.060
2.485
2.787
3.725
26
1.315
1.706
2.056
2.479
2.779
3.707
27
1.314
1.703
2.052
2.473
2.771
3.690
28
1.313
1.701
2.048
2.467
2.763
3.674
29
1.311
1.699
2.045
2.462
2.756
3.659
30
1.310
1.697
2.042
2.457
2.750
3.646
40
1.303
1.684
2.021
2.423
2.704
3.551
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:15 PM
Table A.9
(continued)
t ,A
t.100
t.050
t.025
t.010
t.005
t.0005
60
1.296
1.671
2.000
2.390
2.660
3.460
80
1.292
1.664
1.990
2.374
2.639
3.416
100
1.290
1.660
1.984
2.364
2.626
3.390
120
1.289
1.658
1.980
2.358
2.617
3.373
1.282
1.645
1.960
2.326
2.576
3.291
Critical points of t for lower tail areas are found by using the symmetric property.
3/8/07 12:57:16 PM
318
Appendix
Table A.10
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
10
39.86 49.50 53.59 55.83 57.24 58.20 58.91 59.44 59.86 60.19
8.53 9.00 9.16 9.24 9.29 9.33 9.35 9.37 9.38 9.39
5.54 5.46 5.39 5.34 5.31 5.28 5.27 5.25 5.24 5.23
4.54 4.32 4.19 4.11 4.05 4.01 3.98 3.95 3.94 3.92
4.06 3.78 3.62 3.52 3.45 3.40 3.37 3.34 3.32 3.30
3.78 3.46 3.29 3.18 3.11 3.05 3.01 2.98 2.96 2.94
3.59 3.26 3.07 2.96 2.88 2.83 2.78 2.75 2.72 2.70
3.46 3.11 2.92 2.81 2.73 2.67 2.62 2.59 2.56 2.54
3.36 3.01 2.81 2.69 2.61 2.55 2.51 2.47 2.44 2.42
3.29 2.92 2.73 2.61 2.52 2.46 2.41 2.38 2.35 2.32
3.23 2.86 2.66 2.54 2.45 2.39 2.34 2.30 2.27 2.25
3.18 2.81 2.61 2.48 2.39 2.33 2.28 2.24 2.21 2.19
3.14 2.76 2.56 2.43 2.35 2.28 2.23 2.20 2.16 2.14
3.10 2.73 2.52 2.39 2.31 2.24 2.19 2.15 2.12 2.10
3.07 2.70 2.49 2.36 2.27 2.21 2.16 2.12 2.09 2.06
3.05 2.67 2.46 2.33 2.24 2.18 2.13 2.09 2.06 2.03
3.03 2.64 2.44 2.31 2.22 2.15 2.10 2.06 2.03 2.00
3.01 2.62 2.42 2.29 2.20 2.13 2.08 2.04 2.00 1.98
2.99 2.61 2.40 2.27 2.18 2.11 2.06 2.02 1.98 1.96
2.97 2.59 2.38 2.25 2.16 2.09 2.04 2.00 1.96 1.94
2.92 2.53 2.32 2.18 2.09 2.02 1.97 1.93 1.89 1.87
2.88 2.49 2.28 2.14 2.05 1.98 1.93 1.88 1.85 1.82
2.85 2.46 2.25 2.11 2.02 1.95 1.90 1.85 1.82 1.79
2.84 2.44 2.23 2.09 2.00 1.93 1.87 1.83 1.79 1.76
2.82 2.42 2.21 2.07 1.98 1.91 1.85 1.81 1.77 1.74
2.81 2.41 2.20 2.06 1.97 1.90 1.84 1.80 1.76 1.73
2.79 2.39 2.18 2.04 1.95 1.87 1.82 1.77 1.74 1.71
2.78 2.38 2.16 2.03 1.93 1.86 1.80 1.76 1.72 1.69
2.77 2.37 2.15 2.02 1.92 1.85 1.79 1.75 1.71 1.68
2.76 2.36 2.15 2.01 1.91 1.84 1.78 1.74 1.70 1.67
2.76 2.36 2.14 2.00 1.91 1.83 1.78 1.73 1.69 1.66
2.71 2.30 2.08 1.94 1.85 1.77 1.72 1.67 1.63 1.60
To find the critical value of F when is under the lower tail denoted by F1,2,1, we
use the following formula:
F , ,1 = 1/F , ,. Example: F , ,1 .10 = 1/F , ,.10.
1 2
2 1
1 2
2 1
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:16 PM
Table A.10
(continued)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
11
12
13
14
15
20
25
30
40
50
75
100
1 60.47 60.71 60.90 61.07 61.22 61.74 62.05 62.26 62.53 62.69 62.90 63.01 63.33
2
9.40 9.41 9.41 9.42 9.42 9.44 9.45 9.46 9.47 9.47 9.48 9.48 9.49
3
5.22 5.22 5.21 5.20 5.20 5.18 5.17 5.17 5.16 5.15 5.15 5.14 5.13
4
3.91 3.90 3.89 3.88 3.87 3.84 3.83 3.82 3.80 3.80 3.78 3.78 3.76
5
3.28 3.27 3.26 3.25 3.24 3.21 3.19 3.17 3.16 3.15 3.13 3.13 3.11
6
2.92 2.90 2.89 2.88 2.87 2.84 2.81 2.80 2.78 2.77 2.75 2.75 2.72
7
2.68 2.67 2.65 2.64 2.63 2.59 2.57 2.56 2.54 2.52 2.51 2.50 2.47
8
2.52 2.50 2.49 2.48 2.46 2.42 2.40 2.38 2.36 2.35 2.33 2.32 2.30
9
2.40 2.38 2.36 2.35 2.34 2.30 2.27 2.25 2.23 2.22 2.20 2.19 2.16
10
2.30 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.24 2.20 2.17 2.16 2.13 2.12 2.10 2.09 2.06
11
2.23 2.21 2.19 2.18 2.17 2.12 2.10 2.08 2.05 2.04 2.02 2.01 1.97
12
2.17 2.15 2.13 2.12 2.10 2.06 2.03 2.01 1.99 1.97 1.95 1.94 1.90
13
2.12 2.10 2.08 2.07 2.05 2.01 1.98 1.96 1.93 1.92 1.89 1.88 1.85
14
2.07 2.05 2.04 2.02 2.01 1.96 1.93 1.91 1.89 1.87 1.85 1.83 1.80
15
2.04 2.02 2.00 1.99 1.97 1.92 1.89 1.87 1.85 1.83 1.80 1.79 1.76
16
2.01 1.99 1.97 1.95 1.94 1.89 1.86 1.84 1.81 1.79 1.77 1.76 1.72
17
1.98 1.96 1.94 1.93 1.91 1.86 1.83 1.81 1.78 1.76 1.74 1.73 1.69
18
1.95 1.93 1.92 1.90 1.89 1.84 1.80 1.78 1.75 1.74 1.71 1.70 1.66
19
1.93 1.91 1.89 1.88 1.86 1.81 1.78 1.76 1.73 1.71 1.69 1.67 1.63
20
1.91 1.89 1.87 1.86 1.84 1.79 1.76 1.74 1.71 1.69 1.66 1.65 1.61
25
1.84 1.82 1.80 1.79 1.77 1.72 1.68 1.66 1.63 1.61 1.58 1.56 1.52
30
1.79 1.77 1.75 1.74 1.72 1.67 1.63 1.61 1.57 1.55 1.52 1.51 1.46
35
1.76 1.74 1.72 1.70 1.69 1.63 1.60 1.57 1.53 1.51 1.48 1.47 1.41
40
1.74 1.71 1.70 1.68 1.66 1.61 1.57 1.54 1.51 1.48 1.45 1.43 1.38
45
1.72 1.70 1.68 1.66 1.64 1.58 1.55 1.52 1.48 1.46 1.43 1.41 1.35
50
1.70 1.68 1.66 1.64 1.63 1.57 1.53 1.50 1.46 1.44 1.41 1.39 1.33
60
1.68 1.66 1.64 1.62 1.60 1.54 1.50 1.48 1.44 1.41 1.38 1.36 1.29
70
1.66 1.64 1.62 1.60 1.59 1.53 1.49 1.46 1.42 1.39 1.36 1.34 1.27
80
1.65 1.63 1.61 1.59 1.57 1.51 1.47 1.44 1.40 1.38 1.34 1.32 1.24
90
1.64 1.62 1.60 1.58 1.56 1.50 1.46 1.43 1.39 1.36 1.33 1.30 1.23
100 1.64 1.61 1.59 1.57 1.56 1.49 1.45 1.42 1.38 1.35 1.32 1.29 1.21
1.57 1.55 1.52 1.50 1.49 1.42 1.38 1.34 1.30 1.26 1.21 1.18 1.00
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:16 PM
320
Appendix
Table A.10
(continued)
( = 0.05)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
10
161.45
18.51
10.13
7.71
6.61
5.99
5.59
5.32
5.12
4.97
4.84
4.75
4.67
4.60
4.54
4.49
4.45
4.41
4.38
4.35
4.24
4.17
4.12
4.09
4.06
4.03
4.00
3.98
3.96
3.95
3.94
3.84
199.50
19.00
9.55
6.94
5.79
5.14
4.74
4.46
4.26
4.10
3.98
3.89
3.81
3.74
3.68
3.63
3.59
3.55
3.52
3.49
3.39
3.32
3.27
3.23
3.20
3.18
3.15
3.13
3.11
3.10
3.09
3.00
215.71
19.16
9.28
6.59
5.41
4.76
4.35
4.07
3.86
3.71
3.59
3.49
3.41
3.34
3.29
3.24
3.20
3.16
3.13
3.10
2.99
2.92
2.87
2.84
2.81
2.79
2.76
2.74
2.72
2.71
2.70
2.60
224.58
19.25
9.12
6.39
5.19
4.53
4.12
3.84
3.63
3.48
3.36
3.26
3.18
3.11
3.06
3.01
2.96
2.93
2.90
2.87
2.76
2.69
2.64
2.61
2.58
2.56
2.53
2.50
2.49
2.47
2.46
2.37
230.16
19.30
9.01
6.26
5.05
4.39
3.97
3.69
3.48
3.33
3.20
3.11
3.03
2.96
2.90
2.85
2.81
2.77
2.74
2.71
2.60
2.53
2.49
2.45
2.42
2.40
2.37
2.35
2.33
2.32
2.31
2.21
233.99
19.33
8.94
6.16
4.95
4.28
3.87
3.58
3.37
3.22
3.09
3.00
2.92
2.85
2.79
2.74
2.70
2.66
2.63
2.60
2.49
2.42
2.37
2.34
2.31
2.29
2.25
2.23
2.21
2.20
2.19
2.10
236.77
19.35
8.89
6.09
4.88
4.21
3.79
3.50
3.29
3.14
3.01
2.91
2.83
2.76
2.71
2.66
2.61
2.58
2.54
2.51
2.40
2.33
2.29
2.25
2.22
2.20
2.17
2.14
2.13
2.11
2.10
2.01
238.88
19.37
8.85
6.04
4.82
4.15
3.73
3.44
3.23
3.07
2.95
2.85
2.77
2.70
2.64
2.59
2.55
2.51
2.48
2.45
2.34
2.27
2.22
2.18
2.15
2.13
2.10
2.07
2.06
2.04
2.03
1.94
240.54
19.38
8.81
6.00
4.77
4.10
3.68
3.39
3.18
3.02
2.90
2.80
2.71
2.65
2.59
2.54
2.49
2.46
2.42
2.39
2.28
2.21
2.16
2.12
2.10
2.07
2.04
2.02
2.00
1.99
1.97
1.88
241.88
19.40
8.79
5.96
4.74
4.06
3.64
3.35
3.14
2.98
2.85
2.75
2.67
2.60
2.54
2.49
2.45
2.41
2.38
2.35
2.24
2.16
2.11
2.08
2.05
2.03
1.99
1.97
1.95
1.94
1.93
1.83
To find the critical value of F when is under the lower tail denoted by F1,2,1, we use the
following formula:
F , ,1 = 1/F , ,.
1 2
2 1
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:17 PM
Table A.10 Critical values of F with numerator and denominator degrees of freedom
1,2, respectively ( = 0.10).
(continued)
( = 0.05)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
11
12
13
14
15
20
25
30
40
50
75
100
243.0
19.40
8.76
5.94
4.70
4.03
3.60
3.31
3.10
2.94
2.82
2.72
2.63
2.57
2.51
2.46
2.41
2.37
2.34
2.31
2.20
2.13
2.07
2.04
2.01
1.99
1.95
1.93
1.91
1.90
1.89
1.79
243.9
19.41
8.74
5.91
4.68
4.00
3.57
3.28
3.07
2.91
2.79
2.69
2.60
2.53
2.48
2.42
2.38
2.34
2.31
2.28
2.16
2.09
2.04
2.00
1.97
1.95
1.92
1.89
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.75
244.7
19.42
8.73
5.89
4.66
3.98
3.55
3.26
3.05
2.89
2.76
2.66
2.58
2.51
2.45
2.40
2.35
2.31
2.28
2.25
2.14
2.06
2.01
1.97
1.94
1.92
1.89
1.86
1.84
1.83
1.82
1.72
245.4
19.42
8.71
5.87
4.64
3.96
3.53
3.24
3.03
2.86
2.74
2.64
2.55
2.48
2.42
2.37
2.33
2.29
2.26
2.22
2.11
2.04
1.99
1.95
1.92
1.89
1.86
1.84
1.82
1.80
1.79
1.69
246.0
19.43
8.70
5.86
4.62
3.94
3.51
3.22
3.01
2.85
2.72
2.62
2.53
2.46
2.40
2.35
2.31
2.27
2.23
2.20
2.09
2.01
1.96
1.92
1.89
1.87
1.84
1.81
1.79
1.78
1.77
1.67
248.0
19.45
8.66
5.80
4.56
3.87
3.44
3.15
2.94
2.77
2.65
2.54
2.46
2.39
2.33
2.28
2.23
2.19
2.16
2.12
2.01
1.93
1.88
1.84
1.81
1.78
1.75
1.72
1.70
1.69
1.68
1.57
249.3
19.46
8.63
5.77
4.52
3.83
3.40
3.11
2.89
2.73
2.60
2.50
2.41
2.34
2.28
2.23
2.18
2.14
2.11
2.07
1.96
1.88
1.82
1.78
1.75
1.73
1.69
1.66
1.64
1.63
1.62
1.51
250.1
19.46
8.62
5.75
4.50
3.81
3.38
3.08
2.86
2.70
2.57
2.47
2.38
2.31
2.25
2.19
2.15
2.11
2.07
2.04
1.92
1.84
1.79
1.74
1.71
1.69
1.65
1.62
1.60
1.59
1.57
1.46
251.1
19.47
8.59
5.72
4.46
3.77
3.34
3.04
2.83
2.66
2.53
2.43
2.34
2.27
2.20
2.15
2.10
2.06
2.03
1.99
1.87
1.79
1.74
1.69
1.66
1.63
1.59
1.57
1.54
1.53
1.52
1.39
251.8
19.48
8.58
5.70
4.44
3.75
3.32
3.02
2.80
2.64
2.51
2.40
2.31
2.24
2.18
2.12
2.08
2.04
2.00
1.97
1.84
1.76
1.70
1.66
1.63
1.60
1.56
1.53
1.51
1.49
1.48
1.35
252.6
19.48
8.56
5.68
4.42
3.73
3.29
2.99
2.77
2.60
2.47
2.37
2.28
2.21
2.14
2.09
2.04
2.00
1.96
1.93
1.80
1.72
1.66
1.61
1.58
1.55
1.51
1.48
1.45
1.44
1.42
1.28
253.0
19.49
8.55
5.66
4.41
3.71
3.27
2.97
2.76
2.59
2.46
2.35
2.26
2.19
2.12
2.07
2.02
1.98
1.94
1.91
1.78
1.70
1.63
1.59
1.55
1.52
1.48
1.45
1.43
1.41
1.39
1.24
254.3
19.50
8.53
5.63
4.37
3.67
3.23
2.93
2.71
2.54
2.40
2.30
2.21
2.13
2.07
2.01
1.96
1.92
1.88
1.84
1.71
1.62
1.56
1.51
1.47
1.44
1.39
1.35
1.32
1.30
1.28
1.00
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:18 PM
322
Appendix
Table A.10
(continued)
( = 0.025)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
10
647.79
38.51
17.44
12.22
10.01
8.81
8.07
7.57
7.21
6.94
6.72
6.55
6.41
6.30
6.20
6.12
6.04
5.98
5.92
5.87
5.69
5.57
5.49
5.42
5.38
5.34
5.29
5.25
5.22
5.20
5.18
5.02
799.50
39.00
16.04
10.65
8.43
7.26
6.54
6.06
5.71
5.46
5.26
5.10
4.97
4.86
4.77
4.69
4.62
4.56
4.51
4.46
4.29
4.18
4.11
4.05
4.01
3.97
3.93
3.89
3.86
3.84
3.83
3.69
864.16
39.17
15.44
9.98
7.76
6.60
5.89
5.42
5.08
4.83
4.63
4.47
4.35
4.24
4.15
4.08
4.01
3.95
3.90
3.86
3.69
3.59
3.52
3.46
3.42
3.39
3.34
3.31
3.28
3.26
3.25
3.12
899.58
39.25
15.10
9.60
7.39
6.23
5.52
5.05
4.72
4.47
4.28
4.12
4.00
3.89
3.80
3.73
3.66
3.61
3.56
3.51
3.35
3.25
3.18
3.13
3.09
3.05
3.01
2.97
2.95
2.93
2.92
2.79
921.85
39.30
14.88
9.36
7.15
5.99
5.29
4.82
4.48
4.24
4.04
3.89
3.77
3.66
3.58
3.50
3.44
3.38
3.33
3.29
3.13
3.03
2.96
2.90
2.86
2.83
2.79
2.75
2.73
2.71
2.70
2.57
937.11
39.33
14.73
9.20
6.98
5.82
5.12
4.65
4.32
4.07
3.88
3.73
3.60
3.50
3.41
3.34
3.28
3.22
3.17
3.13
2.97
2.87
2.80
2.74
2.70
2.67
2.63
2.59
2.57
2.55
2.54
2.41
948.22
39.36
14.62
9.07
6.85
5.70
4.99
4.53
4.20
3.95
3.76
3.61
3.48
3.38
3.29
3.22
3.16
3.10
3.05
3.01
2.85
2.75
2.68
2.62
2.58
2.55
2.51
2.47
2.45
2.43
2.42
2.29
956.66
39.37
14.54
8.98
6.76
5.60
4.90
4.43
4.10
3.85
3.66
3.51
3.39
3.29
3.20
3.12
3.06
3.01
2.96
2.91
2.75
2.65
2.58
2.53
2.49
2.46
2.41
2.38
2.35
2.34
2.32
2.19
963.28
39.39
14.47
8.90
6.68
5.52
4.82
4.36
4.03
3.78
3.59
3.44
3.31
3.21
3.12
3.05
2.98
2.93
2.88
2.84
2.68
2.57
2.50
2.45
2.41
2.38
2.33
2.30
2.28
2.26
2.24
2.11
968.63
39.40
14.42
8.84
6.62
5.46
4.76
4.30
3.96
3.72
3.53
3.37
3.25
3.15
3.06
2.99
2.92
2.87
2.82
2.77
2.61
2.51
2.44
2.39
2.35
2.32
2.27
2.24
2.21
2.19
2.18
2.05
To find the critical value of F when is under the lower tail denoted by F1,2,1, we use the
following formula:
F , ,1 = 1/F , ,.
1 2
2 1
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:19 PM
Table A.10 Critical values of F with numerator and denominator degrees of freedom
1,2, respectively ( = 0.10).
(continued)
( = 0.025)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
11
12
13
14
15
20
25
973.0
39.41
14.37
8.79
6.57
5.41
4.71
4.24
3.91
3.66
3.47
3.32
3.20
3.09
3.01
2.93
2.87
2.81
2.76
2.72
2.56
2.46
2.39
2.33
2.29
2.26
2.22
2.18
2.16
2.14
2.12
1.99
976.7
39.41
14.34
8.75
6.52
5.37
4.67
4.20
3.87
3.62
3.43
3.28
3.15
3.05
2.96
2.89
2.82
2.77
2.72
2.68
2.51
2.41
2.34
2.29
2.25
2.22
2.17
2.14
2.11
2.09
2.08
1.94
979.8
39.42
14.30
8.71
6.49
5.33
4.63
4.16
3.83
3.58
3.39
3.24
3.12
3.01
2.92
2.85
2.79
2.73
2.68
2.64
2.48
2.37
2.30
2.25
2.21
2.18
2.13
2.10
2.07
2.05
2.04
1.90
982.5
39.43
14.28
8.68
6.46
5.30
4.60
4.13
3.80
3.55
3.36
3.21
3.08
2.98
2.89
2.82
2.75
2.70
2.65
2.60
2.44
2.34
2.27
2.21
2.17
2.14
2.09
2.06
2.03
2.02
2.00
1.87
984.9
39.43
14.25
8.66
6.43
5.27
4.57
4.10
3.77
3.52
3.33
3.18
3.05
2.95
2.86
2.79
2.72
2.67
2.62
2.57
2.41
2.31
2.23
2.18
2.14
2.11
2.06
2.03
2.00
1.98
1.97
1.83
993.1
39.45
14.17
8.56
6.33
5.17
4.47
4.00
3.67
3.42
3.23
3.07
2.95
2.84
2.76
2.68
2.62
2.56
2.51
2.46
2.30
2.20
2.12
2.07
2.03
1.99
1.94
1.91
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.71
998.1
39.46
14.12
8.50
6.27
5.11
4.40
3.94
3.60
3.35
3.16
3.01
2.88
2.78
2.69
2.61
2.55
2.49
2.44
2.40
2.23
2.12
2.05
1.99
1.95
1.92
1.87
1.83
1.81
1.79
1.77
1.63
30
40
50
75
100
3/8/07 12:57:19 PM
324
Appendix
Table A.10
(continued)
( = 0.01)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
10
4052
98.50
34.12
21.20
16.26
13.75
12.25
11.26
10.56
10.04
9.65
9.33
9.07
8.86
8.68
8.53
8.40
8.29
8.18
8.10
7.77
7.56
7.42
7.31
7.23
7.17
7.08
7.01
6.96
6.93
6.90
6.63
5000
99.00
30.82
18.00
13.27
10.92
9.55
8.65
8.02
7.56
7.21
6.93
6.70
6.51
6.36
6.23
6.11
6.01
5.93
5.85
5.57
5.39
5.27
5.18
5.11
5.06
4.98
4.92
4.88
4.85
4.82
4.61
5403
99.17
29.46
16.69
12.06
9.78
8.45
7.59
6.99
6.55
6.22
5.95
5.74
5.56
5.42
5.29
5.18
5.09
5.01
4.94
4.68
4.51
4.40
4.31
4.25
4.20
4.13
4.07
4.04
4.01
3.98
3.78
5625
99.25
28.71
15.98
11.39
9.15
7.85
7.01
6.42
5.99
5.67
5.41
5.21
5.04
4.89
4.77
4.67
4.58
4.50
4.43
4.18
4.02
3.91
3.83
3.77
3.72
3.65
3.60
3.56
3.53
3.51
3.32
5764
99.30
28.24
15.52
10.97
8.75
7.46
6.63
6.06
5.64
5.32
5.06
4.86
4.69
4.56
4.44
4.34
4.25
4.17
4.10
3.85
3.70
3.59
3.51
3.45
3.41
3.34
3.29
3.26
3.23
3.21
3.02
5859
99.33
27.91
15.21
10.67
8.47
7.19
6.37
5.80
5.39
5.07
4.82
4.62
4.46
4.32
4.20
4.10
4.01
3.94
3.87
3.63
3.47
3.37
3.29
3.23
3.19
3.12
3.07
3.04
3.01
2.99
2.80
5928
99.36
27.67
14.98
10.46
8.26
6.99
6.18
5.61
5.20
4.89
4.64
4.44
4.28
4.14
4.03
3.93
3.84
3.77
3.70
3.46
3.30
3.20
3.12
3.07
3.02
2.95
2.91
2.87
2.84
2.82
2.64
5981
99.37
27.49
14.80
10.29
8.10
6.84
6.03
5.47
5.06
4.74
4.50
4.30
4.14
4.00
3.89
3.79
3.71
3.63
3.56
3.32
3.17
3.07
2.99
2.94
2.89
2.82
2.78
2.74
2.72
2.69
2.51
6022
99.39
27.35
14.66
10.16
7.98
6.72
5.91
5.35
4.94
4.63
4.39
4.19
4.03
3.89
3.78
3.68
3.60
3.52
3.46
3.22
3.07
2.96
2.89
2.83
2.78
2.72
2.67
2.64
2.61
2.59
2.41
6056
99.40
27.23
14.55
10.05
7.87
6.62
5.81
5.26
4.85
4.54
4.30
4.10
3.94
3.80
3.69
3.59
3.51
3.43
3.37
3.13
2.98
2.88
2.80
2.74
2.70
2.63
2.59
2.55
2.52
2.50
2.32
To find the critical value of F when is under the lower tail denoted by F1,2,1, we
use the following formula:
F , ,1 = 1/F , ,.
1 2
2 1
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:20 PM
Table A.10
(continued)
( = 0.01)
F 1, 2,
m1
m2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
60
70
80
90
100
11
12
13
14
15
20
25
30
40
50
75
100
6056
99.41
27.13
14.45
9.96
7.79
6.54
5.73
5.18
4.77
4.46
4.22
4.02
3.86
3.73
3.62
3.52
3.43
3.36
3.29
3.06
2.91
2.80
2.73
2.67
2.63
2.56
2.51
2.48
2.45
2.43
2.25
6106
99.42
27.05
14.37
9.89
7.72
6.47
5.67
5.11
4.71
4.40
4.16
3.96
3.80
3.67
3.55
3.46
3.37
3.30
3.23
2.99
2.84
2.74
2.66
2.61
2.56
2.34
2.45
2.42
2.39
2.37
2.18
6130
99.42
26.98
14.31
9.82
7.66
6.41
5.61
5.05
4.65
4.34
4.10
3.91
3.75
3.61
3.50
3.40
3.32
3.24
3.18
2.94
2.79
2.69
2.61
2.55
2.51
2.44
2.40
2.36
2.33
2.31
2.12
6140
99.43
26.92
14.25
9.77
7.61
6.36
5.56
5.01
4.60
4.29
4.05
3.86
3.70
3.56
3.45
3.35
3.27
3.19
3.13
2.89
2.74
2.64
2.56
2.51
2.46
2.39
2.35
2.31
2.27
2.27
2.08
6157
99.43
26.87
14.20
9.72
7.56
6.31
5.52
4.96
4.56
4.25
4.01
3.82
3.66
3.52
3.41
3.31
3.23
3.15
3.09
2.85
2.70
2.60
2.52
2.46
2.42
2.19
2.31
2.27
2.24
2.22
2.04
6209
99.45
26.69
14.02
9.55
7.40
6.16
5.36
4.81
4.41
4.10
3.86
3.66
3.51
3.37
3.26
3.16
3.08
3.00
2.94
2.70
2.55
2.44
2.3 7
2.31
2.27
2.03
2.15
2.12
2.09
2.07
1.88
6240
99.46
2658
13.91
9.45
7.30
6.06
5.26
4.71
4.31
4.01
3.76
3.57
3.41
3.28
3.16
3.07
2.98
2.91
2.84
2.60
2.45
2.35
2.27
2.21
2.17
2.10
2.05
2.01
1.99
1.97
1.77
6261
99.47
26.50
13.84
9.38
7.23
5.99
5.20
4.65
4.25
3.94
3.70
3.51
3.35
3.21
3.10
3.00
2.92
2.84
2.78
2.54
2.39
2.28
2.20
2.14
2.10
1.86
1.98
1.94
1.92
1.89
1.70
6287
99.47
26.41
13.75
9.29
7.14
5.91
5.12
4.57
4.17
3.86
3.62
3.43
3.27
3.13
3.02
2.92
2.84
2.76
2.69
2.45
2.30
2.19
2.11
2.05
2.01
1.76
1.87
1.85
1.82
1.80
1.59
6303
99.48
26.35
13.69
9.24
7.09
5.86
5.07
4.52
4.12
3.81
3.57
3.38
3.22
3.08
2.97
2.87
2.78
2.71
2.64
2.40
2.25
2.13
2.06
2.00
1.95
1.88
1.83
1.79
1.76
1.74
1.52
6320
99.49
26.28
13.61
9.17
7.02
5.79
5.00
4.45
4.05
3.74
3.50
3.31
3.15
3.01
2.90
2.80
2.71
2.64
2.57
2.33
2.17
2.06
1.98
1.92
1.87
1.79
1.74
1.70
1.67
1.65
1.42
6334
99.49
26.24
13.58
9.13
6.99
5.75
4.96
4.41
4.01
3.71
3.47
3.27
3.11
2.98
2.86
2.76
2.68
2.60
2.54
2.29
2.13
2.02
1.94
1.88
1.82
1.75
1.70
1.65
1.62
1.60
1.36
(continued)
3/8/07 12:57:21 PM
3/8/07 12:57:21 PM
Bibliography
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327
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330
Bibliography
3/8/07 12:57:48 PM
Index
Form 2 for, 195
structure and organization of,
195f
AOQ. See average outgoing quality
(AOQ)
AOQL. See average outgoing quality
limit (AOQL)
applied statistics, SQC and, 23, 3f
AQL. See acceptable quality limit
(AQL)
ARL. See average run length
(ARL)
ASN. See average sample number
(ASN)
assignable causes, of variation. See
special causes, of variation
asymptotically normal, 139
attributes
acceptance sampling by, 177
control charts for, 8384, 85t
c charts, 9396
np charts, 9293
p charts, 8590
u charts, 96100
defined, 83
attribute sampling plans. See also
sampling plans
ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003 and, 189
double, 184185
multiple, 186
single, 182184
vs. variables sampling plans,
193194
A
acceptable quality limit (AQL), 178, 194
acceptance number, sampling plans
and, 180182
acceptance sampling, 2. See also
sampling
by attributes, 177
double sampling plans, 184
intent of, 173174
multiple sampling plans, 186
standards, 188193
switching procedures, 190191, 190f
by variables, 193194
accuracy, vs. precision, 151, 151f
accuracy of measurement system,
defined, 151
action on output, 5152
action on process, 51
actions on system, for variation, 53
alpha () risk, 79
ANOVA, MSA based on, 156162
ANSI/ASQ Z1.4-2003, 188189, 205f,
206f, 207f, 208f, 209210f
levels of inspection in, 189191
types of sampling and, 191193
ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003, 194198, 211f,
212f, 213221f, 222f
AQL levels in, 195
Form 1 for, 195
331
3/8/07 1:37:58 PM
332
Index
B
bad decisions, risk associated with
making, 79
beta () risk, 79
binomial distribution, 85, 86, 175, 176
C
calibration, 45, 60
capability analysis, 2
cause-and-effect diagram, 43, 4748, 48f
c control charts, 9396
JMP for creating, 282283
MINITAB for, 240
center line (CL), for control charts, 54
central limit theorem (CLT), 148, 148f
check sheets, 4345, 44f
cluster random sampling, 15, 3237.
See also sampling
advantages of, 33
confidence interval for population
mean for, 3437
confidence interval for population
total for, 3437
determination of sample size for, 37
estimation of population mean for,
3334
estimation of population total for,
3334
one-stage, 33
two-stage, 33
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
Index 333
D
decision making, on quantitative
data, 5
defect concentration diagram, 43,
4849, 49f
defect rate, 167
defects
critical, 189
major, 189
minor, 189
Deming, W. Edwards, 3940
design of experiments (DOE), SQC
and, 23
distinct categories, determining
number of, 158159
Dodge-Romig tables, 193
Dodges continuous sampling plans,
201202
double sampling, 191192,
193f
double sampling plans
AOQ curve for, 186
AOQL for, 186
double, 184
OC curve for, 184185
downward shift, 102, 106, 115, 243,
286
E
Economic Control of Quality
of Manufactured Product
(Shewhart), 39
environment
as a category in a cause-and-effect
diagram, 48, 48f, 49f
as cause of part-to-part variation,
149
as part of a process, 41, 55, 127
in preparing control charts, 55
error of estimation, 15
estimate, 15
estimator, 15
EWMA control charts. See
exponentially weighted moving
average (EWMA) control
charts
exponentially weighted moving
average (EWMA) control charts,
101102, 120125
JMP for creating, 290292
MINITAB for, 247249
F
fast initial response (FIR) feature,
for CUSUM control charts,
112115, 245
fieldworkers, 13
finite populations, 12
FIR feature. See fast initial response
(FIR) feature, for CUSUM
control charts
fishbone. See cause-and-effect
diagram
Form 1, for ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003,
195
Form 2, for ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003,
195
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
334
Index
H
histograms, 43
I
individual observations, Shewhart
control charts for, 69
infinite populations, 12
inspection
levels of, 189191
sampling vs. 100 percent, 174175
interaction between instruments and
operators, 149, 152
Ishikawa diagram. See cause-andeffect diagram
J
JMP software package
for capability analysis, 275277
for creating c control charts,
282283, 282f, 283f
for creating CUSUM control charts,
286288, 287f, 288f
for creating EWMA control charts,
290292, 291f, 292f
creating new data table for, 264265
for creating p control charts,
277281, 280f
for creating u control charts,
284286, 284f, 285f
L
linearity, 151, 151f
line graphs. See run charts
local actions, for variation, 53
lot-by-lot sampling, 175
lot size, sampling plans and,
180182
lot tolerance percent defective (LTPD),
178
lower control limit (LCL), for control
charts, 54
LTPD. See lot tolerance percent
defective (LTPD)
M
MA control charts. See moving
average (MA) control charts
major defects, 189
margin of error, 15
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
Index 335
N
near zero, 167
nonconforming, use of term, 83
normal inspection to reduced
inspection, 190191
normal inspection to tightened
inspection, 190
np control charts, 9293
JMP for creating, 281
MINITAB for, 239
O
OC curve. See operating characteristic
(OC) curve
100 percent inspection, 174175
one-sided CUSUM control charts,
104106, 115
one-stage cluster random sampling, 33
operating characteristic (OC) curve,
57, 5960, 175176
for double sampling plans, 184185
plotting, 176177
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
336
Index
P
Pareto charts, 43, 4546, 45f, 47f
part-to-part variation, 149, 249,
292293
patterns
of defects, 45, 4849
of nonrandomness, 64, 66
presence of unusual, 87
of random variation, 54, 55
using run charts to identify, 5051,
Western Electric criteria, 64
p control charts, 8590
control chart for fraction
nonconforming with variable
samples, 8990
control limits for, 8587
interpreting, for fraction
nonconforming, 8789
JMP for creating, 277281, 280f
MINITAB for, 238239
point estimate. See estimate
Poisson distribution, 94, 175, 176
population, sampled, 13
population mean, confidence interval
for, 20
for cluster random sampling, 3437
for simple random sampling, 20
for systematic random sampling, 30
population mean, estimation of,
1619
for cluster random sampling, 3334
for simple random sampling, 1619
for stratified random sampling,
2224
for systematic random sampling,
2830
populations
defined, 12
finite, 12
infinite, 12
target, 12
population total
confidence interval for, 20
for cluster random sampling, 3437
for simple random sampling, 20
for systematic random sampling, 30
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
Index 337
Q
qualitative data, defined, 5
quality
benefits of better, 4041
defined, 40
quality characteristics, 7, 56, 79, 83
behavior of, 42
examples of attributes, 84
reducing variation of, 43
using a p chart to study, 85
quality control charts, 39, 42
categories of, 42
quantitative data, decision-making
and, 5
R
random causes. See common causes,
of variation
range method, 150
rational samples, for control charts,
57
reduced inspection to normal
inspection, 191
repeatability, 149
defined, 150151, 152153
reproducibility, 149
defined, 151, 153
risks
bad decisions and, 79
consumer, 8, 178
producer, 8, 178
run, defined, 57
run charts, 43, 49f, 5051
S
sample, defined, 12
sample designs, 11
cluster random sampling, 15
simple random sampling, 13
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
338
Index
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
Index 339
statistics
applied, SQC and, 24
role of, in SQC, 45
stem-and-leaf diagram, 43
stratified random sampling, 13, 14,
2127. See also sampling;
stratified random sampling
advantages of, 2122
confidence interval for population
mean for, 2427
confidence interval for population
total for, 2427
determination of sample size for,
2627
estimation of population mean for,
2224
estimation of population total for,
2224
process of, 22
systematic random sampling, 13, 14,
2732
advantages of, 2728
confidence interval for population
mean for, 30
confidence interval for population
total for, 30
determination of sample size for,
3032
estimation of population mean for,
2830
estimation of population total for,
2830
T
target populations, 12
test significance (), level of, 56
tightened inspection to normal
inspection, 190
time series graphs. See run charts
total Gage R&R variability, 152
total process variation, 149. See also
variation
measurement system variation, 249
part-to-part variation source, 249
total variability, components of,
151152
U
u control charts, 96100
JMP for creating, 284286
MINITAB for, 241243
uniformly weighted moving average
(UWMA) chart, JMP for
creating, 288290
upper control line (UCL), for control
charts, 54
upward shift, 102, 106, 115, 243, 286
UWMA. See uniformly weighted
moving average (UWMA) chart,
JMP for creating
V
variability
in measurement process, 148149
in production/service delivery
process, 148
total, components of, 151152
variable, defined, 42
variables sampling plans, 193198
ANSI/ASQ Z1.9-2003 and, 194198
benefits of, over attribute plans,
193194
when standard deviation is known,
203204
variation. See also total process
variation
actions on system for, 53
causes of, 42, 127
common causes of, 52
controlling, 42
defined, 42
due to measurement instruments, 149
due to operators, 149
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM
340
Index
W
Western Electric criteria
for detecting small shifts, 101102
for determining nonrandom patterns
on control charts, 64
3/8/07 1:37:59 PM