Expenditure Multipliers: The Keynesian Model : Key Concepts
Expenditure Multipliers: The Keynesian Model : Key Concepts
Expenditure Multipliers: The Keynesian Model : Key Concepts
13
EXPENDITURE
MULTIPLIERS: THE
KEYNESIAN MODEL*
Key Concepts
Fixed Prices and Expenditure Plans1
In the very short run, firms do not change their prices
and they sell the amount that is demanded. As a result:
The price level is fixed.
GDP is determined by aggregate demand.
Aggregate planned expenditure is the sum of planned
consumption expenditure, planned investment, planned
government purchases, and planned exports minus
planned imports.
GDP and aggregate planned expenditures have a twoway link: An increase in real GDP increases aggregate
planned expenditures, and an increase in aggregate
expenditures increases real GDP.
Consumption expenditure, C, and saving, S, depend
on disposable income (disposable income, YD, is income minus taxes plus transfer payments), the real interest rate, wealth, and expected future income.
The consumption function is the relationship between consumption expenditure and disposable income. Figure 13.1 illustrates a consumption function.
The amount of consumption when disposable income is zero ($1 trillion in Figure 13.1) is called
autonomous consumption. Consumption above this
amount is called induced consumption.
The marginal propensity to consume, MPC, is
the fraction of a change in disposable income that is
C
where means
consumed, or MPC =
YD
change in.
192
CHAPTER 13 (29)
The aggregate expenditure curve (AE ) shows the relationship between aggregate planned expenditure and
disposable income; the aggregate demand curve (AD)
shows the relationship between the aggregate quantity
of goods demanded and the price level. The AD curve
is derived from the AE curve.
An increase in the price level shifts the AE curve
downward and equilibrium expenditure decreases.
The Multiplier
A change in autonomous expenditure creates an additional change in induced expenditure. The multiplier
is the amount by which a change in autonomous expenditure is multiplied to determine the change in
193
from AE0 to AE1 and equilibrium expenditure decreases from $10 to $8 trillion.
Figure 13.3 shows that, when the price level is 130,
the aggregate quantity demanded is $10 trillion
and, when the price level is 170, the aggregate
quantity demanded is $8 trillion. These are two
points on the AD curve in Figure 13.4.
Helpful Hints
An increase in the price level leads to a movement
along the aggregate demand curve. Figure 13.4
shows how an increase in the price level from 130
to 170 lead to a movement along the AD curve
from point a to point b. The AD curve does not
shift in response to a change in the price level.
The AD curve shifts when autonomous expenditure changes for any reason other than a change in
the price level. For instance, a change in investment
or government purchases shifts the AD curve.
The size of the shift in the AD curve equals the
multiplier times the change in autonomous expenditure. Figure 13.5 shows this result, where the AD
curve shifts rightward and the multiplied change in
equilibrium expenditure is equal to the length of
the double-headed arrow, $2 trillion.
The change in real GDP is less than the shift in the
AD curve. In Figure 13.5 the shift in the AD curve
is $2 trillion. The increase in the price level reduces
the increase in GDP; in the short run, real GDP in
the figure increases by only $1 trillion.
194
CHAPTER 13 (29)
1
.
(1 MPS )
12. An increase in investment shifts the AE curve upward and the AD curve rightward.
13. In the short run, an increase in investment expenditure of $1 billion increases equilibrium GDP by
more than $1 billion.
14. In the long run, an increase in investment expenditure of $1 billion increases equilibrium GDP by
more than $1 billion.
Multiple Choice
Fixed Prices and Expenditure Plans
Questions
1.
0.
a number between 1 and 0.
a number not between 0 and 1.
195
18. The aggregate expenditure curve shows the relationship between aggregate planned expenditure and
a. government purchases.
b. real GDP.
c. the interest rate.
d. the price level.
19. Autonomous expenditure is NOT influenced by
a. the interest rate.
b. taxes.
c. real GDP.
d. any variable.
10. If unplanned inventories rise, aggregate planned
expenditure is
a. greater than real GDP and firms increase their
output.
b. greater than real GDP and firms decrease their
output.
c. less than real GDP and firms increase their
output.
d. less than real GDP and firms decrease their
output.
11. If aggregate planned expenditure exceeds real GDP,
in the short run,
a. aggregate planned expenditure will increase.
b. real GDP will increase.
c. the price level will fall to restore equilibrium.
d. exports decrease to restore equilibrium.
The Multiplier
196
CHAPTER 13 (29)
197
Consumption
expenditure
Investment
Government
purchases
0.5
0.2
0.3
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.2
1.5
1.0
0.3
0.2
2.0
1.4
0.3
0.2
2.5
1.8
0.3
0.2
TABLE 13.3
Consumption
expenditure
Investment
Government
purchases
0.5
0.2
0.4
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.4
0.2
1.5
1.0
0.4
0.2
TABLE 13.2
2.0
1.4
0.4
0.2
Aggregate Expenditure
2.5
1.8
0.4
0.2
Real GDP
(billions of
2000 dollars)
Aggregate expenditure
(billions of
2000 dollars)
0.5
____
1.0
____
1.5
____
2.0
____
2.5
____
5. Continuing with the Woodstock nation, investment increases by $0.1 billion to $0.4 billion, as
shown in Table 13.3.
a. Taking into account the increase in investment,
complete Table 13.4 to show aggregate expenditure in Woodstock.
TABLE 13.4
Aggregate expenditure
(billions of 2000 dollars)
0.5
____
1.0
____
1.5
____
2.0
____
2.5
____
198
CHAPTER 13 (29)
b. What is the new equilibrium level of expenditure? What is the increase in equilibrium consumption expenditure? Equilibrium investment? Equilibrium government purchases?
c. Compared to problem 4, what is the increase in
consumption expenditure? In investment? In
government purchases?
d. What is Woodstocks multiplier? How does the
fact that the multiplier exceeds 1.0 relate to
your answers to part (c)?
6. Explain why the multiplier is larger if the marginal
propensity to consume is larger.
TABLE 13.5
MPS
Multiplier
0.9
____
____
0.8
____
____
0.7
____
____
0.6
____
____
0.5
____
____
199
200
CHAPTER 13 (29)
Answers
True/False Answers
Fixed Prices and Expenditure Plans
11. F A change in disposable income creates a movement along the consumption function, not a
shift in it.
12. F The marginal propensity to consume equals the
change in consumption divided by the change in
disposable income.
13. T Because MPC + MPS = 1, the two formulas for
1
1
the multiplier,
and
, are
MPS
(1 MPC )
equivalent.
Real GDP with a Fixed Price Level
14. T The increase in GDP induces increases in aggregate expenditure. Indeed, that is why the AE
curve has a positive slope.
15. T If the economy is not in equilibrium, actual
aggregate expenditure is different from planned
aggregate expenditure.
16. T The question gives the definition of equilibrium
expenditure.
17. F When aggregate planned expenditure exceeds
real GDP, inventories fall because more goods
and services are being purchased than are being
produced.
The Multiplier
201
19. d An increase in the price level decreases consumption expenditure, thereby shifting the AE curve
downward and hence decreasing the equilibrium
level of expenditure.
20. c The change in the price level leads to a shift in
the AE curve and a movement along the AD curve.
21. a The rightward shift in the AD curve equals the
multiplied impact on equilibrium expenditure.
In this case it is (2.0) ($10 billion) = $20 billion, as illustrated in Figure 13.10 by the increase in the quantity of real GDP demanded
from $50 billion to $70 billion.
22. c Even though the AD curve shifts rightward by
$20 billion, the SAS curve slopes upward. So in
the short run, the increase in the equilibrium
level of real GDP is less than $20 billion. Figure
13.10 illustrates this situation, where the $20
billion rightward shift in the AD curve creates
only a $10 billion increase in equilibrium GDP.
202
CHAPTER 13 (29)
when we discuss how firms adjust to unwanted decreases in their inventories, we assume that firms respond by raising production, without prices changing. Hence when prices are fixed, equilibrium
expenditure is attained by an increase in output.
Aggregate Expenditure
Real GDP
(billions of 2000 dollars)
Aggregate expenditure
(billions of 2000 dollars)
d. Figure 13.12 shows the 45 line. The equilibrium level of expenditure equals $1.5 billion because the AE line crosses the 45 line at that
point.
e. In Figure 13.12 the dotted line indicating the
equilibrium level of expenditure shows that the
equilibrium level of consumption expenditure is
$1.0 billion, the equilibrium level of investment
is $0.3 billion, and the equilibrium level of government purchases is $0.2 billion. Alternatively,
in Table 13.1, the data in row 3, the row for
which GDP is $1.5 billion, give the same answers for consumption expenditure, investment,
and government purchases.
0.5
0.7
1.0
1.1
TABLE 13.7
1.5
1.5
2.0
1.9
2.5
2.3
b. Table 13.6 shows the schedule of aggregate expenditure. Aggregate expenditure equals the sum
of consumption expenditure, investment, and
government purchases. When GDP is, say, $1.0
billion, aggregate expenditure equals $0.6 billion
+ $0.3 billion + $0.2 billion, or $1.1 billion.
c. The aggregate expenditure curve, AE, is plotted
in Figure 13.11. It is the vertical sum of the C +
I + G curves in the figure.
Real GDP
(billions of 2000 dollars)
Aggregate expenditure
(billions of 2000 dollars)
0.5
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.0
2.5
2.4
MPS
Multiplier
0.9
0.1
10.0
0.8
0.2
5.0
0.7
0.3
3.3
0.6
0.4
2.5
0.5
0.5
2.0
203
204
CHAPTER 13 (29)
205
TABLE 13.9
Different Points
Point
Situation
Initial equilibrium